2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
Flag of Alaska.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 2020  
Turnout49.34%
  Don Young, official 115th Congress photo portrait.jpg Alyse Galvin (cropped).jpg
Nominee Don Young Alyse Galvin [a]
Party Republican Independent
Alliance Democratic
Popular vote149,779131,199
Percentage53.08%46.50%

2018AKAL.svg
2018 Alaska's at-large congressional district results by county-equivalent.svg
2018 AK-at-large election by precinct.svg
Young:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Galvin:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Don Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Young
Republican

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who would represent the state of Alaska in the 116th United States Congress. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, as well as elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary results by state house district
Map legend
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Young--70-80%
Young--60-70%
Young--50-60% 2018 AK-AL Republican primary.svg
Republican primary results by state house district
Map legend
  •   Young—70–80%
  •   Young—60–70%
  •   Young—50–60%
2018 Alaska Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 49,667 70.85%
Republican Thomas "John" Nelson10,91315.57%
Republican Jed Whittaker9,52513.59%
Total votes70,105 100%

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Candidates

Declared

  • Christopher C. Cumings, running as Non-partisan (N) [4]
  • Alyse S. Galvin, running as Undeclared (U) [5]
  • Carol "Kitty" Hafner, running as Democrat (D) [6]
  • Dimitri Shein, running as Democrat (D) [7]

Endorsements

Dimitri Shein (D)
Individuals
Organizations
Media

Results

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results by state house district
Map legend
Galvin--60-70%
Galvin--50-60%
Galvin--40-50%
Galvin--30-40%
Galvin--<30%
Shein--<30% 2018 AK-AL Democratic primary.svg
Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results by state house district
Map legend
  •   Galvin—60–70%
  •   Galvin—50–60%
  •   Galvin—40–50%
  •   Galvin—30–40%
  •   Galvin—<30%
  •   Shein—<30%
2018 Alaska Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Alyse S. Galvin 21,742 53.62%
Democratic Dimitri Shein9,43423.26%
Democratic Carol Hafner6,07114.97%
Independent Christopher C. Cumings3,3048.15%
Total votes40,551 100%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [11] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [13] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [14] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [15] Lean RNovember 6, 2018

Endorsements

Alyse Galvin (I)
Local and statewide politicians
Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Don
Young (R)
Alyse
Galvin (I)
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research [20] October 26–29, 201850048%49%3%
Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin) [21] October 13–16, 201850048%44%8%
Alaska Survey Research [22] October 12–14, 2018500± 4.4%49%47%4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [23] October 11–12, 201864546%43%10%
Alaska Survey Research [24] October 1–6, 2018500± 4.4%50%46%4%
Alaska Survey Research [25] September 21–25, 2018500± 4.4%53%43%4%
Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin) [26] June 7–12, 2018540± 4.2%40%36%24%

Results

2018 Alaska's at-large congressional district [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 149,779 53.08% +2.76%
Independent Alyse S. Galvin [a] 131,19946.50%+10.48%
Write-in 1,1880.42%+0.02%
Total votes282,166 100% N/A
Republican hold

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

  1. 1 2 Also listed as having the Democratic nomination.

References

  1. "John Nelson for Alaskans" . Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  2. "Alaskans for Don Young" . Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  3. "2018 Alaska primary election results" . Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  4. "Ketchikan resident running for U.S. House of Representative". KRBD. June 8, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  5. "Alyse for Alaska" . Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  6. "Carol Hafner for Congress" . Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  7. "Dimitri for Congress". Archived from the original on July 19, 2017. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  8. "Alaska Candidate Rescues Neglected Children". YouTube . August 17, 2018.
  9. "Election Results" . Retrieved August 22, 2018.
  10. "2018 House Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report.
  11. "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org.
  13. "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  14. "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  15. Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . Archived from the original on September 9, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  16. "I'm excited to share with you that Anchorage Assembly member Eric Croft has endorsed my campaign for Congress today. I'm grateful to earn his support, and I'm looking forward to continuing to work with him on behalf of a better future for families across Alaska". www.facebook.com. Alyse Galvin for Congress. January 24, 2018.
  17. "PACE Recommendations - NEA-Alaska". www.neaalaska.org. NEA-Alaska. Archived from the original on November 1, 2020. Retrieved August 22, 2018.
  18. "We Endorse Alyse Galvin for Congress- The Alaska Center". The Alaska Center.
  19. Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
  20. Alaska Survey Research
  21. Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
  22. Alaska Survey Research
  23. Public Policy Polling (D)
  24. Alaska Survey Research
  25. Alaska Survey Research
  26. Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
  27. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019.

Official campaign websites