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Turnout | 53.01% (of registered voters) 19.31pp 42.07% (of voting age population) [1] | ||||||||||||||||
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Abbott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Valdez: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Texas |
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Government |
The 2018 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Texas, concurrently with the election of Texas's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other congressional, state and local elections throughout the United States and Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a second term in office [2] defeating Democratic nominee Lupe Valdez, the former sheriff of Dallas County, and Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts, a former member of the Lago Vista city council.
The Republican and Democratic party primaries were held on March 6, 2018, making them the first primaries of the 2018 electoral season. [3] Abbott won the March 6 primary with 90% of the vote to receive the Republican nomination, while Democratic candidates Lupe Valdez and Andrew White advanced to a May 22 runoff. [4] Valdez defeated White in the runoff with 53.1% of the vote and faced Abbott in the general election as the Democratic nominee. [5]
Valdez's nomination made her the first openly gay person nominated for governor by a major party in the state. [6]
Tippetts was nominated at the Libertarian Party of Texas' state convention in Houston April 13–15, 2018. He defeated three challengers, as well as the None Of The Above option, on the first ballot and received more than 70% approval from Libertarian party delegates.
Despite considerably closer contests in other Texas state elections, Abbott handily won a second term with the highest margin of victory of any state official on the ballot, although Valdez also won the largest vote share for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate since Ann Richards in 1994. [7] Tippetts' showing exceeded the previous record for most votes for a Libertarian nominee for Texas governor; that record had been set in 1990.
The election also took place alongside a closer, higher-profile Senate race between Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz, which may have played a factor in making the Democratic gubernatorial candidate considerably more competitive than in 2014. Abbott won a majority among white voters (72% to 26%), while Valdez won majorities among African Americans (80% to 16%) and Latinos (63% to 35%). [8]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott | Barbara Krueger | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dixie Strategies [22] | February 22–23, 2018 | – | ± 4.7% | 84% | 2% | 1% [23] | 13% |
University of Texas [24] | February 1–12, 2018 | 612 | ± 5.3% | 95% | 5% | 0% [25] | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Abbott (incumbent) | 1,392,310 | 90.38% | −1.11% | |
Republican | Barbara Krueger | 127,549 | 8.28% | ||
Republican | Larry Kilgore | 20,504 | 1.33% | −0.09% | |
Total votes | 1,540,363 | 100% | +202,488 | ||
Turnout | 10.10% [27] | −0.26%'"`UNIQ−−ref−00000087−QINU`"' |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adrian Ocegueda | Jeffrey Payne | Lupe Valdez | Tom Wakely | Andrew White | Grady Yarbrough | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dixie Strategies [22] | February 22–23, 2018 | – | ± 5.7% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 6% [109] | 54% |
University of Texas [24] | February 1–12, 2018 | 453 | ± 7.4% | 5% | 5% | 43% | 7% | 24% | 7% | 8% [110] | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lupe Valdez | 436,666 | 42.89% | ||
Democratic | Andrew White | 278,708 | 27.37% | ||
Democratic | Cedric Davis Sr. | 83,938 | 8.24% | ||
Democratic | Grady Yarbrough | 54,660 | 5.36% | ||
Democratic | Jeffrey Payne | 48,407 | 4.75% | ||
Democratic | Adrian Ocegueda | 44,825 | 4.4% | ||
Democratic | Tom Wakely | 34,889 | 3.42% | ||
Democratic | James Clark | 21,945 | 2.15% | ||
Democratic | Joe Mumbach | 13,921 | 1.36% | ||
Total votes | 1,017,959 | 100% | +463,945 | ||
Turnout | 6.67% [27] | +2.6%'"`UNIQ−−ref−000001D7−QINU`"' |
Lupe Valdez and Andrew White proceeded to a run-off on May 22 since neither received 50% of the vote in the first round of the primary. [4] Lupe Valdez won the runoff. [112]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lupe Valdez | 227,577 | 53.1 | ||
Democratic | Andrew White | 201,356 | 46.9 | ||
Total votes | 432,180 | 100 |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [152] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [153] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [154] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [155] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [156] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [157] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [158] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [159] [a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [160] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [161] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Lupe Valdez (D) | Mark Tippetts (L) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [162] | October 28–30, 2018 | 781 | ± 3.7% | 51% | 43% | 2% | – | 4% |
Quinnipiac University [163] | October 22–28, 2018 | 1,078 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 40% | – | 1% | 6% |
University of Texas Tyler [164] | October 15–28, 2018 | 1,033 | ± 3.0% | 53% | 32% | – | 5% | 10% |
Dixie Strategies [165] | October 25–26, 2018 | 588 | ± 4.0% | 59% | 33% | – | – | 7% |
University of Texas/YouGov [166] | October 15–21, 2018 | 927 | ± 3.2% | 56% | 37% | 3% | 4% | – |
Ipsos [167] | October 12–18, 2018 | 1,298 | ± 3.2% | 53% | 38% | – | 3% | 6% |
CNN/SSRS [168] | October 9–13, 2018 | 716 LV | ± 4.5% | 57% | 39% | – | 0% | 3% |
862 RV | ± 4.1% | 56% | 38% | – | 0% | 4% | ||
NYT Upshot/Siena College [169] | October 8–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.6% | 57% | 35% | – | – | 8% |
Quinnipiac University [170] | October 3–9, 2018 | 730 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 38% | – | 0% | 4% |
Emerson College [171] | October 1–5, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 33% | – | 3% | 11% |
Epstein Group [172] | September 15–24, 2018 | 1,200 | ± 2.9% | 58% | 29% | 3% | – | 10% |
Vox Populi Polling [173] | September 16–18, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 45% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [174] | September 11–17, 2018 | 807 | ± 4.1% | 58% | 39% | – | 0% | 3% |
Ipsos [175] | September 6–14, 2018 | 992 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 41% | – | 2% | 6% |
Crosswind Media & Public Relations [176] | September 6–9, 2018 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | – | – | – |
Dixie Strategies [177] | September 6–7, 2018 | 519 | ± 4.3% | 53% | 34% | 1% | – | 12% |
Emerson College [178] | August 22–25, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 28% | – | 3% | 20% |
Marist College [179] | August 12–16, 2018 | 759 | ± 3.8% | 56% | 37% | – | <1% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University [180] | July 26–31, 2018 | 1,118 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 38% | – | 1% | 9% |
Texas Lyceum [181] | July 9–26, 2018 | 441 LV | ± 4.7% | 47% | 31% | 1% | – | 22% |
806 RV | ± 3.5% | 44% | 25% | 3% | – | 28% | ||
Gravis Marketing [182] | July 3–7, 2018 | 602 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
University of Texas/YouGov [183] | June 8–17, 2018 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 44% | 32% | 4% | 4% | 16% |
Quinnipiac University [184] | May 23–29, 2018 | 961 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 34% | – | 1% | 9% |
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) [185] | May 19–21, 2018 | 575 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 36% | – | – | 16% |
Quinnipiac University [186] | April 12–17, 2018 | 1,029 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 40% | – | 0% | 9% |
with Andrew White
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Andrew White (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) [185] | May 19–21, 2018 | 575 | ± 4.1% | 50% | 39% | – | 10% |
Quinnipiac University [186] | April 12–17, 2018 | 1,029 | ± 3.6% | 48% | 41% | 0% | 9% |
with Julian Castro
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Julian Castro (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [187] | August 12–14, 2016 | 944 | ± 3.2% | 57% | 28% | – | 15% |
with Wendy Davis
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Wendy Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [187] | August 12–14, 2016 | 944 | ± 3.2% | 57% | 32% | – | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Abbott (incumbent) | 4,656,196 | 55.81% | −3.46% | |
Democratic | Lupe Valdez | 3,546,615 | 42.51% | +3.61% | |
Libertarian | Mark Tippetts | 140,632 | 1.69% | +0.28% | |
Total votes | 8,343,443 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Abbott won 25 of 36 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats. [189]
Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls. [190]
Demographic subgroup | Abbott | Valdez | % of total vote |
---|---|---|---|
Ideology | |||
Liberals | 11 | 83 | 22 |
Moderates | 43 | 55 | 35 |
Conservatives | 88 | 11 | 43 |
Party | |||
Democrats | 11 | 87 | 34 |
Republicans | 93 | 4 | 39 |
Independents | 55 | 40 | 27 |
Age | |||
18–24 years old | 34 | 53 | 8 |
25–29 years old | 31 | 68 | 7 |
30–39 years old | 53 | 44 | 15 |
40–49 years old | 58 | 41 | 17 |
50–64 years old | 60 | 36 | 26 |
65 and older | 62 | 37 | 27 |
Gender | |||
Men | 60 | 36 | 49 |
Women | 50 | 47 | 51 |
Marital status | |||
Married | 60 | 37 | 66 |
Unmarried | 45 | 53 | 34 |
Marital status by gender | |||
Married men | 63 | 35 | 34 |
Married women | 55 | 40 | 31 |
Unmarried men | 48 | 50 | 15 |
Unmarried women | 43 | 56 | 20 |
Race | |||
White | 69 | 29 | 57 |
Non-white | 36 | 60 | 43 |
Race/ethnicity | |||
White | 69 | 29 | 57 |
Black | 15 | 82 | 12 |
Latino | 42 | 53 | 26 |
Asian | N/A | N/A | 3 |
Other | N/A | N/A | 3 |
Gender by race | |||
White men | 75 | 23 | 27 |
White women | 65 | 34 | 29 |
Black men | 24 | 75 | 6 |
Black women | 8 | 89 | 6 |
Latino men | 42 | 49 | 12 |
Latino women | 42 | 56 | 13 |
Other racial/ethnic groups | 53 | 46 | 6 |
Education | |||
Never attended college | 57 | 41 | 21 |
Some college education | 57 | 37 | 26 |
Associate degree | 53 | 44 | 14 |
Bachelor's degree | 58 | 40 | 25 |
Advanced degree | 46 | 53 | 15 |
Education by race | |||
White college graduates | 61 | 37 | 26 |
White no college degree | 76 | 22 | 31 |
Non-white college graduates | 38 | 61 | 14 |
Non-white no college degree | 35 | 60 | 29 |
Education by gender/race | |||
White women with college degrees | 56 | 42 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 72 | 28 | 17 |
White men with college degrees | 67 | 32 | 13 |
White men without college degrees | 81 | 15 | 14 |
Non-white | 36 | 60 | 43 |
Income | |||
Under $50K | 48 | 50 | 35 |
$50K-$100K | 57 | 43 | 31 |
$100K or more | 69 | 34 | 34 |
2016 presidential vote | |||
Trump | 94 | 3 | 46 |
Clinton | 14 | 85 | 37 |
Other | N/A | N/A | 5 |
Did not vote | N/A | N/A | 11 |
Issue regarded as most important | |||
Immigration | 74 | 16 | 34 |
Economy | 61 | 36 | 21 |
Healthcare | 36 | 62 | 36 |
Gun policy | N/A | N/A | 6 |
Area type | |||
Urban | 45 | 51 | 41 |
Suburban | 59 | 38 | 46 |
Rural | 73 | 26 | 13 |
Gregory Wayne Abbott is an American politician, attorney, and jurist serving as the 48th governor of Texas since 2015. A member of the Republican Party, he served as the 50th attorney general of Texas from 2002 to 2015 and as a justice of the Texas Supreme Court from 1996 to 2001.
Guadalupe Valdez is an American law enforcement official who served as Sheriff of Dallas County, Texas, from 2005 to 2017, and was the Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas in the 2018 gubernatorial election losing to incumbent, Greg Abbott.
The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Rick Perry, who had served since the resignation of then-Governor George W. Bush on December 21, 2000, declined to run for an unprecedented fourth full term, making this the first open election for governor of the state since 1990.
Donald Blaine Huffines is an American politician and businessman from the state of Texas. Huffines co-owns and operates Huffines Communities, a real estate development company in the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex. A conservative, Tea Party Republican, Huffines represented District 16 in the Texas Senate from 2015 to 2019. He lost his re-election campaign in 2018.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives in additional states. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Ted Cruz secured a second term, defeating Democratic candidate Beto O'Rourke. The primary for all parties was held on March 6, 2018, making it the first primary of the 2018 season. As Cruz and O'Rourke both won majorities in their primaries, they did not participate in the May 22 runoff primary that was held for some nominations in Texas.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the State of Texas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn won re-election to a fourth term against Democratic nominee MJ Hegar by 9.6%.
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 36 U.S. representatives from the state of Texas, one from each of the state's 36 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate and various state and local elections. Primaries were held on March 3 and run-offs were held on July 14.
The 2022 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a third term, defeating the Democratic nominee, former Congressman Beto O'Rourke. All statewide elected offices are currently held by Republicans. In his previous gubernatorial race in 2018, Abbott won with 55.8% of the vote.
The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican incumbent Ted Cruz won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic challenger and U.S. representative Colin Allred. Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 38 U.S. representatives from Texas, one from each of the state's 38 congressional districts. The state gained two seats after the results of the 2020 census. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Primary elections took place on March 1, with primary runoffs scheduled for May 24 for districts where no candidate received over 50% of the vote.
The 2022 Texas Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Texas. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton won re-election to his third term. Paxton won 233 counties and won the popular vote by a margin of 9.7%, underperforming Governor Greg Abbott's concurrent bid for re-election by 1.1%.
The 2021 Fort Worth mayoral election was held on Saturday, May 1, 2021, to decide the mayor of Fort Worth, Texas. Incumbent mayor Betsy Price, who had served as the city's mayor since 2011, announced on January 6, 2021, that she would not seek a sixth term. Ten candidates ran in the primary election. Early voting in person began on April 19, 2021. Since no candidate received a majority of the vote on May 1, the top two finishers, Democrat Deborah Peoples and Republican Mattie Parker, advanced to a June 5, 2021, runoff election. Parker won the runoff and was elected mayor.
The 2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election was held on May 1, 2021. The seat became vacant after incumbent Republican Ron Wright died on February 7 of COVID-19.
The 2022 Texas lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the lieutenant governor of the state of Texas. The election coincided with various other federal and state elections, including for governor of Texas. Primary elections were held on March 1, with runoffs being held on May 24 for instances in which no candidate received a majority of the initial vote. Texas is one of 21 states that elects its lieutenant governor separately from its governor.
The 2022 Texas elections were held on November 8, 2022. Primary elections were held on March 1, with runoffs held on May 24 for primary candidates who did not receive a majority of the vote.
The 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election was held on June 14, 2022. The seat, which went to Democratic president Joe Biden by only four points in the 2020 United States presidential election after being solidly blue in the past, became vacant after Democratic incumbent representative Filemon Vela Jr. resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld.
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the thirty-eight U.S. representatives from the State of Texas, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on March 5, 2024.
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