2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  

All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election513
Seats before612
Seats won99
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 3Decrease2.svg 3
Popular vote2,712,6652,206,260
Percentage55.03%44.75%
SwingIncrease2.svg 9.33%Decrease2.svg 9.16%

PA2018House.svg
2018 PA House Counties.svg

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.

Contents

The elections coincided with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans. New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018. [1] [2]

The 2018 general election saw the Democrats gain four seats and the Republicans gain one seat, for a Democratic net gain of three seats, changing the state's representation from 12 to 6 Republican to a 9–9 tie. In addition, Pennsylvanians in several districts elected female candidates to the U.S. House, thus ending four years of all-male Congressional representation in the state. [3]

Redistricting

Remedial Plan Statewide Image.png
Court-mandated districts for 2018 elections
Pennsylvania Congressional Districts, 113th Congress.tif
Congressional district map (2013–2018)

In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans. [4] [5] New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018, for use in the 2018 elections and took effect with representation in 2019. [2]

Overview

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No. %No.+/– %
Democratic 182,712,66554.92%9Increase2.svg350.00%
Republican 172,206,26044.67%9Decrease2.svg350.00%
Libertarian 210,9500.22%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Write-in 19,4520.19%0Steady2.svg0.00%
Total384,939,327100.0%18Steady2.svg100.00%
Popular vote
Democratic
54.97%
Republican
44.81%
Libertarian
0.22%
Write-in
0.19%
House seats
Democratic
50.00%
Republican
50.00%
Libertarian
0.00%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania: [6]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 160,74548.74%169,05351.26%00.00%329,798100.0%Republican hold
District 2 159,60079.02%42,38220.98%00.00%201,982100.0%Democratic hold
District 3 287,61093.38%20,3876.62%00.00%307,997100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 211,52463.52%121,46736.48%00.00%332,991100.0%Democratic hold
District 5 198,63965.19%106,07534.81%00.00%304,714100.0%Democratic gain
District 6 177,70458.88%124,12441.12%00.00%301,828100.0%Democratic gain
District 7 140,81353.49%114,43743.47%8,0113.04%263,261100.0%Democratic gain
District 8 135,60354.64%112,56345.36%00.00%248,166100.0%Democratic hold
District 9 100,20440.25%148,72359.75%00.00%248,927100.0%Republican hold
District 10 141,66848.68%149,36551.32%00.00%291,033100.0%Republican hold
District 11 113,87641.02%163,70858.98%00.00%277,584100.0%Republican hold
District 12 82,82533.96%161,04766.04%00.00%243,872100.0%Republican hold
District 13 74,73329.51%178,53370.49%00.00%253,266100.0%Republican hold
District 14 110,05142.09%151,38657.91%00.00%261,437100.0%Republican gain
District 15 78,32732.16%165,24567.84%00.00%243,572100.0%Republican hold
District 16 124,10947.30%135,34851.58%2,9391.12%262,396100.0%Republican hold
District 17 183,16256.26%142,41743.74%00.00%325,579100.00%Democratic gain
District 18 231,47296.08%00.00%9,4523.92%240,924100.0%Democratic hold
Total2,712,66554.92%%2,206,26044.67%20,4020.41%4,939,327100.0%

District 1

2018 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Brian Fitzpatrick official congressional photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Brian Fitzpatrick Scott Wallace
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote169,053160,745
Percentage51.26%48.74%

2018PA-1.svg
PA1 House 2018.svg
Fitzpatrick:     50–60%     60–70%
Wallace:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Tie:     50%

U.S. Representative before election

Brian Fitzpatrick (8th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

The 1st district previously consisted of central and South Philadelphia, the City of Chester, the Philadelphia International Airport and other small sections of Delaware County. [7] Under the new congressional map that was in place in 2019 (represented per 2018's elections), the first district overlaps with much of the former 8th district, which was represented by Republican Representative Brian Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick took office in 2017, succeeding his brother, former Representative Mike Fitzpatrick. The new 1st district consists of Bucks County and a small portion of Montgomery County. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Valerie Mihalek, former Yardley Borough council member and deputy district director for former U.S. Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick [9]

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 31,374 67.00
Republican Dean Malik15,45133.00
Total votes46,825 100.00

Democratic primary

The old 8th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. [10]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Scott Wallace, charitable foundation director and grandson of former Vice President Henry Wallace [11]
Eliminated in primary
  • Steven Bacher, environmentalist [12]
  • Rachel Reddick, former Navy prosecutor [13]
Declined
  • Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner [14]

Campaign

The race featured a number of negative ads between Reddick and Wallace. With Reddick's campaign releasing an ad calling Wallace a “Maryland multi-millionaire” and stating that he had case an absentee ballot cast from his second home in a South African “gated luxury estate”. The Wallace campaign responded with an ad higlishting Reddick flubbing a question about the so-called “global gag rule” during a campaign stop in Ottsville, [15] and for her having been registered as a Republican for most of her adult life. [16]

Many DC Democrats expressed excitement about Wallace's potential to spend big to defeat Fitzpatrick, especially in the expensive Philadelphia market. He loaned his campaign $2.5 million while Reddick only raised $363,000 and was shunned by most party strategists. [17]

Endorsements

Scott Wallace

Organizations

Local officials

  • Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Scott Wallace 27,652 56.49
Democratic Rachel Reddick17,28835.32
Democratic Steven Bacher4,0068.18
Total votes48,946 100.00

General election

Endorsements

Steve Scheetz (L)

Organizations

  • Firearm Owners Against Crime [43]

Debate

2018 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Brian Fitzpatrick Scott Wallace
1October 19, 2018 Bucks County Chamber of Commerce
Pennsylvania Cable Network
League of Women Voters of Bucks County
Carlo Borgia [44] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Fitzpatrick (R)
Scott
Wallace (D)
OtherUndecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College [45] October 26–29, 2018502± 4.7%47%46%7%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [46] October 11–14, 2018570± 4.6%43%50%8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fitzpatrick) [47] October 2–4, 2018400± 4.9%50%42%
Monmouth University [48] September 27 – October 1, 2018353± 5.2%50%46%1%3%
Monmouth University [49] May 31 – June 3, 2018254 LV± 6.5%48%47%0%5%
451 RV± 4.6%49%42%1%8%
DCCC (D) [50] May 12–14, 2018540± 4.2%48%46%6%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [54] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] TossupNovember 5, 2018
538 [56] TossupNovember 7, 2018
CNN [57] TossupOctober 31, 2018
Politico [58] TossupNovember 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, 2018 [59]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 169,053 51.26
Democratic Scott Wallace160,74548.74
Total votes329,798 100.00
Republican hold

Analysis

Fitzpatrick held out to win re-election, despite many similar suburban districts held by Republicans falling to Democrats in the 2018 cycle. Fitzpatrick did this by establishing a reputation for himself as an independent centrist who attained endorsements from several usually-left-leaning and nonpartisan groups without enraging the more fervently pro-Trump wing of the Republican party. Analysts considered the Democratic nominee Scott Wallace an unusually weak candidate: he was a wealthy heir who moved to the district, opening up accusations of carpetbagging, and made several gaffes and missteps. Editor Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report wrote that Wallace was perhaps the weakest candidate of the 2018 cycle. [60]

District 2

2018 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Brendan Boyle - 2018-05-21 ec 0004 (1).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Brendan Boyle Dave Torres
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote159,60042,382
Percentage79.0%21.0%

2018PA-2.svg
PA2 House 2018.svg
Boyle:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Torres:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bob Brady (1st)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Brendan Boyle
Democratic

The 2nd district consists of the northern half of Philadelphia. It mostly overlaps with the old 1st District. That district's incumbent, Democrat Bob Brady, had served since 1998, but did not run for reelection. The incumbent of the old 2nd district is Dwight Evans, but Evans opted to follow most of his constituents into the 3rd District. [7]

The new map drew the home of fellow Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the neighboring 13th District since 2015, into the 2nd, leading to speculation that he would run for reelection there. Soon after the new map was released, Boyle confirmed that he would indeed run in the 2nd. [61]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 23,261 64.5
Democratic Michele Lawrence12,81435.5
Total votes36,075 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • David Torres, community activist

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Torres 7,443 100.0
Total votes7,443 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 159,600 79.0
Republican David Torres42,38221.0
Total votes201,982 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2018 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Dwight Evans official portrait (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Dwight Evans Bryan E. Leib
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote287,61020,387
Percentage93.4%6.6%

2018PA-3.svg
PA3 House 2018.svg
Evans:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Dwight Evans (2nd)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Dwight Evans
Democratic

The 3rd district was previously located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, but now covers downtown and northern Philadelphia, and overlaps with much of the previous 2nd district. [7] The incumbent from the 2nd district is Democrat Dwight Evans, who had held office since 2016. Evans defeated incumbent Democratic Representative Chaka Fattah in the 2016 Democratic primary, and then went on to be elected with 90% in both the general election and a simultaneous special election for the remainder of the term after Fattah resigned.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Kevin Johnson

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 72,106 80.8
Democratic Kevin Johnson17,15319.2
Total votes89,259 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Bryan Leib

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bryan E. Leib 3,331 100.0
Total votes3,331 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 287,610 93.4
Republican Bryan E. Leib20,3876.6
Total votes307,997 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2018 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Madeleine Dean, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Madeleine Dean Dan David
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote211,524121,467
Percentage63.5%36.5%

2018PA-4.svg
PA4 House 2018.svg
Dean:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
David:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Brendan Boyle (13th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

The old 4th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 4th district is centered in Montgomery County. The district overlaps with the former 13th district. The incumbent from this district, Democrat Brendan Boyle, could have sought re-election in either this district or the new 2nd district, which absorbed his home and most of old 13th's share of Philadelphia. [7] Boyle opted to run in the 2nd, making the 4th an open seat.

Democratic primary

State Senator Daylin Leach had announced that he would run for Congress in the old 7th District, but was expected to switch races after his home was drawn into the new 4th. However, on February 24, 2018, Leach succumbed to pressures from fellow Democrats, including Governor Tom Wolf, to abandon his congressional campaign in the face of accusations of sexual harassment. However, he remained in his Pennsylvania Senate seat. [65]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Shira Goodman, public policy advocate [66]
  • Joe Hoeffel, former U.S. Representative, nominee for Senate in 2004 and candidate for governor in 2010 [67]
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Madeleine Dean

State legislators

Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Madeleine Dean 42,625 72.6
Democratic Shira Goodman9,64516.4
Democratic Joe Hoeffel 6,43111.0
Total votes58,701 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dan David, investor

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dan David 28,889 100.0
Total votes28,889 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Madeleine Dean 211,524 63.5
Republican Dan David121,46736.5
Total votes332,991 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

2018 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
2020  
  Mary Gay Scanlon, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Mary Gay Scanlon Pearl Kim
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote198,639106,075
Percentage65.2%34.8%

2018PA-5.svg
PA5 House 2018.svg
Scanlon:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Kim:     50–60%     60–70%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Mary Gay Scanlon (7th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

The old 5th district was in North Central Pennsylvania, but the new 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of southern Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The district overlaps with much of the old 7th district, whose incumbent Republican Representative Pat Meehan chose not to seek re-election, due to allegations regarding a sexual harassment complaint that was settled with the use of taxpayer funds, [7] [74] and subsequently resigned from office in April.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Disqualified
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Pearl Kim 33,685 100.0
Total votes33,685 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • George Badey III, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2012 [76]
  • Shelly Chauncey, attorney and former CIA agent [77] (endorsed Lunkenheimer) [76]
  • Dan Muroff, attorney [75]
  • David Wertime, journalist [78]

Endorsements

Richard Lazer

Local officials

Labor unions

Dan Muroff

Labor unions

Mary Gay Scanlon

Governors

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Margo
Davidson
Thaddeus
Kirkland
Rich
Lazer
Lindy
Li
Ashley
Lunkenheimer
Mary Gay
Scanlon
Molly
Sheehan
Greg
Vitali
Theresa
Wright
OtherUndecided
Chism Strategies Advocacy & Elections [81] May 2018638±3.87%11%22%17%57%
Independence Communications and Consulting [82] April 2018858±3.37%12%10%17%7%13%7%27%
Public Policy Polling (D-Vitali) [83] April 23–24, 20185625%4%5%6%18%6%17%8%5%25%

Forum

2018 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district democratic primary candidate forum
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Larry ArataGeorge Badey IIIShelly Chauncey Margo L. Davidson Thaddeus Kirkland Richard Lazer Lindy Li Ashley LunkenheimerDan Muroff Mary Gay Scanlon Molly Sheehan Greg Vitali David WertimeTheresa Wright
1 [79] April 5, 2018PPPPPPPPPPPPPA
2 [84] May 1, 2018 League of Women Voters
of Central Delaware County
Jennifer Levy-Tatum YouTube PWWPAAPPWPPPWP

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon 16,804 28.4
Democratic Ashley Lunkenheimer9,04415.3
Democratic Richard Lazer8,89215.0
Democratic Molly Sheehan6,09910.3
Democratic Greg Vitali 5,5589.4
Democratic Lindy Li 4,1267.0
Democratic Theresa Wright3,0465.2
Democratic Thaddeus Kirkland 2,3273.9
Democratic Margo L. Davidson 2,2753.9
Democratic Larry Arata9131.5
Total votes59,084 100.0

General election

Debate

2018 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Mary Gay Scanlon Pearl Kim
1Oct. 25, 2018 League of Women Voters of
Central Delaware County
Pennsylvania Cable Network
Heidi Gold C-SPAN PP

Endorsements

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Safe D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [54] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Safe D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [56] Safe D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [57] Likely D (flip)October 31, 2018
Politico [58] Safe D (flip)November 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon 198,639 65.2
Republican Pearl Kim106,07534.8
Total votes304,714 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 6

2018 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Chrissy Houlahan, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Chrissy Houlahan Greg McCauley
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote177,704124,124
Percentage58.9%41.1%

2018PA-6.svg
PA6 House 2018.svg
Houlahan:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
McCauley:     50–60%     60–70%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Ryan Costello
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

The 6th district consists of Chester County and Reading. [7] The incumbent is Republican Ryan Costello, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 57% of the vote in 2016. On March 24, 2018, Costello announced that he would no longer seek re-election due to the growing Democratic voter demographic in the 6th district. [85] Costello formally withdrew his name on March 27.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Greg McCauley
Withdrawn

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg McCauley 31,611 100.0
Total votes31,611 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan 34,947 100.0
Total votes34,947 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Chrissy Houlahan (D)

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Local officials

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Safe D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [54] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Safe D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [56] Safe D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [57] Likely D (flip)October 31, 2018
Politico [58] Likely D (flip)November 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, 2018 [97]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan 177,704 58.9
Republican Greg McCauley124,12441.1
Total votes301,828 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 7

2018 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
2020  
  Susan Wild, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Susan Wild Marty Nothstein
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote140,813114,437
Percentage53.5%43.5%

2018PA-7.svg
PA7 House 2018.svg
Wild:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Nothstein:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. Representative before election

Susan Wild (15th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Susan Wild
Democratic

The 7th district was formerly centered on Delaware County, but the new district consisted of much of the Lehigh Valley. The new 7th district overlapped with much of the former 15th district, which was represented by retired Republican Representative Charlie Dent, who resigned early. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Marty Nothstein 16,004 50.5
Republican Dean Browning15,69649.5
Total votes31,700 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Endorsements

John Morganelli

State legislators

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Susan Wild 15,001 33.3
Democratic John Morganelli13,56530.1
Democratic Greg Edwards 11,51025.6
Democratic Roger Ruggles2,4435.4
Democratic Rick Daugherty1,7183.8
Democratic David Clark7661.7
Total votes45,003 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Marty Nothstein (R)

Organizations

Local officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Marty
Nothstein (R)
Susan
Wild (D)
Tim
Silfies (L)
Undecided
Muhlenberg College [116] October 14–18, 2018411± 5.5%41%48%5%
DeSales University [117] September 28 – October 7, 2018405± 4.5%31%50%8%11%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [118] September 21–25, 2018539± 4.7%42%50%8%
Monmouth University [119] September 5–9, 2018299 LV± 5.7%45%47%2%7%
401 RV± 4.9%40%46%3%11%
Muhlenberg College [120] April 24 – May 3, 2018408± 5.5%31%42%5%21%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [54] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [56] Safe D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [57] Lean D (flip)October 31, 2018
Politico [58] Lean D (flip)November 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Susan Wild 140,813 53.5
Republican Marty Nothstein 114,43743.5
Libertarian Tim Silfies8,0113.0
Total votes263,261 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 8

2018 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Matt Cartwright, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Matt Cartwright John Chrin
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote135,603112,563
Percentage54.6%45.4%

2018PA-8.svg
PA8 House 2018.svg
Cartwright:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Chrin:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Matt Cartwright (17th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Matt Cartwright
Democratic

The 8th district was previously centered on Bucks County, but now consists of portions of Northeastern Pennsylvania, including the city of Scranton. The new district overlaps with much of the former 17th district, which was represented by Democratic Representative Matt Cartwright. [7] Cartwright had held office since 2013.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 36,040 100.0
Total votes36,040 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • John Chrin, businessman [121]
Eliminated in primary
  • Robert Kuniegel
  • Joe Peters, former federal prosecutor [122]

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Chrin 15,136 48.4
Republican Joe Peters10,92734.9
Republican Robert Kuniegel5,21816.7
Total votes31,281 100.0

General election

Endorsements

John Chrin (R)

Executive branch officials

Organizations

State representatives

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
John
Chrin (R)
OtherUndecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research [126] October 28–29, 2018446± 4.6%57%40%1% [127] 2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [128] October 16–19, 2018506± 4.7%52%40%8%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [54] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
538 [56] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [57] Likely DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [58] Likely DNovember 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 135,603 54.6
Republican John Chrin112,56345.4
Total votes248,166 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

2018 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Rep. Dan Meuser official photo, 116th congress (cropped).jpg Denniswolfffarmer (cropped).jpg
Nominee Dan Meuser Denny Wolff
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote148,723100,204
Percentage59.7%40.3%

2018PA-9.svg
PA9 House 2018.svg
Meuser:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Wolff:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Lou Barletta (11th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Meuser
Republican

The old 9th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 9th district is in east central Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with the old 11th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Lou Barletta. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dan Meuser 26,568 53.0
Republican George Halcovage Jr.12,03224.0
Republican Scott Uehlinger11,54123.0
Total votes50,141 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Laura Quick, delivery driver
  • Gary Wegman, dentist

Endorsements

Laura Quick

Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Denny Wolff 11,020 40.7
Democratic Gary Wegman8,45031.2
Democratic Laura Quick7,61628.1
Total votes27,086 100.0

General election

Debate

2018 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Dan Meuser Denny Wolff
1Oct. 30, 2018 WVIA-TV Larry Vojtko YouTube PP

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Dan
Meuser (R)
Denny
Wolff (D)
OtherUndecided
Susquehanna Polling and Research [129] October 23–25, 2018271± 5.9%57%36%1% [130] 6%

Results

Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dan Meuser 148,723 59.7
Democratic Denny Wolff 100,20440.3
Total votes248,927 100.0
Republican hold

District 10

2018 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Scott Perry, official portrait, 116th congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Scott Perry George Scott
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote149,365141,668
Percentage51.3%48.7%

2018PA-10.svg
PA10 House 2018.svg
Perry:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Scott:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Scott Perry (4th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Perry
Republican

The 10th district was previously in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but it now overlaps with much of the former 4th district in South Central Pennsylvania. Under the map released in 2018, the 10th district includes Harrisburg and a portion of York County. [7] The incumbent from the 4th district is Republican Scott Perry, who had represented his district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 66% of the vote in 2016. Several Democrats sought to challenge Perry in 2018, with George Scott, a 20-year Army veteran and Lutheran pastor, receiving the party's nomination. [131] [132] [133]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 57,407 100.0
Total votes57,407 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • George Scott, Lutheran pastor and former Army Lt. Colonel
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Christina Hartman, former nonprofit executive and nominee for Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district in 2016 [136]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic George Scott 13,924 36.3
Democratic Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson13,37634.9
Democratic Eric Ding 6,91218.0
Democratic Alan Howe4,15710.8
Total votes38,369 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Scott Perry (R)

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Debates

2018 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Scott Perry George Scott
1September 17, 2018Rotary Club of York [139] PP
2October 18, 2018 American Association of University Women
WGAL-TV
Janelle Stelson
Mike Straub
[140] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Scott
Perry (R)
George
Scott (D)
OtherUndecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College [141] October 23–26, 2018498± 4.7%45%43%12%
Susquehanna Polling and Research [142] October 19–21, 2018366± 5.2%49%46%1% [130] 4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [143] September 24–25, 201865044%43%12%
Public Policy Polling (D-Scott) [144] June 8–10, 2018654± 4.1%45%41%14%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [54] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
538 [56] Lean RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [57] Lean ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [58] Lean RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 149,365 51.3
Democratic George Scott141,66848.7
Total votes291,033 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

2018 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 2020  
  Lloyd Smucker official congressional photo (cropped).jpg Jess King (2017) (cropped).png
Nominee Lloyd Smucker Jess King
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote162,835114,831
Percentage58.6%41.4%

2018PA-11.svg
PA11 House 2018.svg
Smucker:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
King:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%

U.S. Representative before election

Lloyd Smucker (16th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

The old 11th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the district now overlaps with much of the former 16th district in South Central Pennsylvania. The new district consists of Lancaster County and portions of York County. The incumbent from the former 16th district is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had held office since 2017. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 34,002 58.6
Republican Chet Beiler24,06341.4
Total votes58,065 100.0

Democratic primary

Christina Hartman, a former nonprofit executive who lost against Smucker in 16th had filed for a rematch; [145] however, following the court-ordered redrawing, she considered switching to run in the more competitive 10th before withdrawing from the race altogether. [136]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jess King, nonprofit director
Withdrawn
  • John George, former Warwick superintendent [146] [147]
  • Christina Hartman, former nonprofit executive and nominee for this seat in 2016
  • Charles Klein, pharmacist and candidate for state representative in 2016 [148]

Endorsements

Christina Hartman (withdrawn)

State legislators

Statewide officials

Organizations

Jess King

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Local officials

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jess King 22,794 100.0
Total votes22,794 100.0

General election

Meteorologist Drew Anderson planned to run without party affiliation and expected to be listed that way on the November ballot. [152] However, he failed to file papers in time, and was not in the race. [153]

Debate

2018 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Lloyd Smucker Jess King
1Oct. 30, 2018 Eastern York School District
WGAL
York County Economic Alliance
Janelle Stelson
Mike Straub
[154] [155] [156] [157] PP

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lloyd
Smucker (R)
Jess
King (D)
OtherUndecided
Susquehanna Polling and Research [164] October 21–22, 2018311± 5.6%50%46%1% [130] 3%
Public Policy Polling (D-King) [165] September 12–13, 2018552± 4.2%44%35%21%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [54] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [56] Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [57] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [58] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 163,708 59.0
Democratic Jess King113,87641.0
Total votes277,584 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, 2018
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 2019 (special)  
  Tom Marino Official Portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg Marc Friendberg 2020 (cropped).png
Nominee Tom Marino Marc Friedenburg
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote160,19382,122
Percentage66.1%33.9%

2018PA-12.svg
PA12 House 2018.svg
Marino:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Friedenburg:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Marino (10th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Marino
Republican

The old 12th district was in Southwestern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in North Central Pennsylvania. It overlaps with the former 10th district, which was represented by Republican Tom Marino. [7] Marino had held office since 2011.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Douglas McLinko

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Marino (incumbent) 39,537 67.0
Republican Douglas McLinko19,43533.0
Total votes58,972 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Marc Friedenburg, teacher
Eliminated in primary
  • Judith Herschel, certified drug and alcohol counselor

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Marc Friedenburg 12,713 50.6
Democratic Judith Herschel12,40749.4
Total votes25,120 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Marino (incumbent) 161,047 66.0
Democratic Marc Friedenburg82,82534.0
Total votes243,872 100.0
Republican hold

District 13

2018 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  John Joyce, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee John Joyce Brent Ottaway
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote178,53374,733
Percentage70.5%29.5%

2018PA-13.svg
PA13 House 2018.svg
Joyce:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Ottaway:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes

U.S. representative before election

Bill Shuster (9th)
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

John Joyce
Republican

The old 13th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the old 9th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Bill Shuster. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

Results by county:
Joyce
20-30%
30-40%
Eichelberger
20-30%
40-50%
Bloom
40-50%
70-80%
Mastriano
30-40%
Halvorson
30-40% 2018 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district Republican primary election results by county map.svg
Results by county:
  Joyce
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Eichelberger
  •   20–30%
  •   40–50%
  Bloom
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
  Mastriano
  •   30–40%
  Halvorson
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Joyce 14,615 21.9
Republican John Eichelberger 13,10119.6
Republican Stephen Bloom 12,19518.3
Republican Doug Mastriano 10,48515.7
Republican Art Halvorson10,16115.2
Republican Travis Schooley3,0304.5
Republican Bernie Washabaugh1,9082.9
Republican Ben Hornberger1,1821.8
Total votes66,677 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Brent Ottaway

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brent Ottaway 21,096 100.0
Total votes1,096 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Joyce (R)
Brent
Ottaway (D)
OtherUndecided
Susquehanna Polling and Research [166] October 25–26, 2018303± 5.6%57%36%2% [167] 5%

Results

Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Joyce 178,533 70.5
Democratic Brent Ottaway74,73329.5
Total votes253,266 100.0
Republican hold

District 14

2018 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2018 (Special) November 6, 2018 2020  
  3x4.svg
Nominee Guy Reschenthaler Bibiana Boerio
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote149,147108,179
Percentage58.0%42.0%

2018PA-14.svg
PA14 House 2018.svg
Reschenthaler:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Boerio:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Conor Lamb (18th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

The old 14th district consisted of the city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs, but the new district consists of suburbs to the south and west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with much of the former 18th district. [7] The winner of the 2018 special election, Democrat Conor Lamb, ran in the more competitive 17th district. [168]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Tom Prigg
  • Adam Sedlock, psychologist
  • Bob Solomon, physician and candidate for this seat in 2018
Declined
  • Conor Lamb, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in the 17th)

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bibiana Boerio 17,755 43.0
Democratic Adam Sedlock9,94424.1
Democratic Bob Solomon7,83119.0
Democratic Tom Prigg5,72413.9
Total votes41,254 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Guy Reschenthaler 23,245 55.4
Republican Rick Saccone 18,73444.6
Total votes41,979 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Bibiana Boerio (D)
Guy Reschenthaler (R)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] Likely R (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Likely R (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Safe R (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [54] Likely R (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Safe R (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [56] Safe R (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [57] Safe R (flip)October 31, 2018
Politico [58] Safe R (flip)November 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Guy Reschenthaler 151,386 57.9
Democratic Bibiana Boerio 110,05142.1
Total votes261,437 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 15

2018 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Glenn Thompson 116th Congress.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Glenn Thompson Susan Boser
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote165,24578,327
Percentage67.8%32.2%

2018PA-15.svg
PA15 House 2018.svg
Thompson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Boser:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     50%

U.S. representative before election

Glenn Thompson (5th)
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Glenn Thompson
Republican

The old 15th district was in Eastern Pennsylvania, but the new district is in Western Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with much of the former 5th district, which was represented by Republican G.T. Thompson. [7] Thompson had held office since 2009.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined
Withdrew

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican G.T. Thompson (incumbent) 44,893 100.0
Total votes44,893 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Susan Boser, teacher
Eliminated in primary
  • Wade Jodun

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Susan Boser 20,135 74.5
Democratic Wade Jodun6,90225.5
Total votes27,037 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican G.T. Thompson (incumbent) 165,245 67.8
Democratic Susan Boser78,32732.2
Total votes243,572 100.0
Republican hold

District 16

2018 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Mike Kelly Photo.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Mike Kelly Ronald DiNicola
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote135,348124,109
Percentage51.5%47.3%

2018PA-16.svg
PA16 House 2018.svg
Kelly:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
DiNicola:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. representative before election

Mike Kelly (3rd)
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Kelly
Republican

The former 16th district was in Southeastern Pennsylvania, but the redrawn 16th district is in Northwestern Pennsylvania, overlapping with the former 3rd district. [7] The incumbent from the 3rd district was Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. Kelly had considered running for the U.S. Senate, but announced he would run for re-election instead. [171]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 39,412 98.7
Write-in 5251.3
Total votes39,937 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Robert Multari, physician [172]
  • Chris Rieger, attorney [172]

Endorsements

Debate

2018 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Ron DiNicolaRobert MultariChris Rieger
1 [173] April 16, 2018 Allegheny College Center for Political Participation
The Meadville Tribune
Rick Green
Keith Gushard
Marley Parish
[174] PPP

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ron DiNicola 23,480 59.7
Democratic Chris Rieger9,75824.8
Democratic Robert Multari5,91415.0
Write-in 1720.4
Total votes39,324 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Debate

2018 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Mike Kelly Ron DiNicola
1October 8, 2018 Mercyhurst University
WKBN-TV
Sean Lafferty [178] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Kelly (R)
Ron
DiNicola (D)
OtherUndecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research [126] October 29–30, 2018405± 4.9%47%51%1% [127] 1%
DCCC (D) [179] October 9–10, 2018548± 4.2%49%46%5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [180] October 5–8, 2018532± 4.8%50%42%8%
Normington, Petts & Associates (D-DiNicola) [181] June 5–7, 2018400± 4.9%50%44%6%
Public Policy Polling (D-DiNicola) [182] May 21–22, 2018623± 3.9%48%43%10%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [54] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
538 [56] Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [57] Lean ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [58] Lean RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 135,348 51.5
Democratic Ronald DiNicola124,10947.3
Libertarian Ebert "Bill" Beeman2,9391.1
Write-in 1670.1
Total votes262,563 100.0
Republican hold

District 17

2018 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Conor Lamb, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg Keith Rothfus, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).png
Nominee Conor Lamb Keith Rothfus
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote183,162142,417
Percentage56.2%43.7%

2018PA-17.svg
PA17 House 2018.svg
Lamb:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Rothfus:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     50%

U.S. Representative before election

Keith Rothfus (12th)
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Conor Lamb
Democratic

The former 17th district was in Northeastern Pennsylvania, but the new 17th district consists of suburbs west of Pittsburgh. The district overlaps with parts of the former 12th district, which was represented by Republican Keith Rothfus. [7] Rothfus had held office since 2013, and ran for reelection in the new 17th. [183]

The new map drew the home of Democrat Conor Lamb, who won a special election for the old 18th District, into the new 17th. The 17th is far less Republican than its predecessor, and voted for Democrats downballot, leading to speculation that Lamb would run for a full term in the 17th regardless of the special election result. [7] On March 14, Democratic officials in Beaver County, which is entirely within the 17th, received a written request from Lamb for their endorsement in the 2018 general election. [184] On March 20, Lamb formally filed to run for a full term in the 17th. [185]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Keith Rothfus (incumbent) 38,513 98.3
Write-in 6491.7
Total votes39,162 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Conor Lamb (incumbent) 52,590 99.1
Write-in 4670.9
Total votes53,057 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Keith Rothfus (R)

Executive branch officials

Organizations

Debate

2018 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Conor Lamb Keith Rothfus
1October 16, 2018 WTAE-TV Mike Clark [187] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Keith
Rothfus (R)
Conor
Lamb (D)
OtherUndecided
Monmouth University [188] October 5–8, 2018354± 5.2%42%54%0%4%
Monmouth University [189] July 19–22, 2018355 LV± 5.2%40%53%2%5%
401 RV± 4.9%39%51%2%9%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [51] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [52] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [54] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [55] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [56] Safe D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [57] Lean D (flip)October 31, 2018
Politico [58] Likely D (flip)November 4, 2018

Results

Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Conor Lamb (incumbent) 183,162 56.2
Republican Keith Rothfus (incumbent)142,41743.7
Write-in 1840.1
Total votes325,763 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 18

2018 Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2016
2020  
  Mike Doyle, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mike Doyle
Party Democratic
Popular vote231,472
Percentage96.1%

2018PA-18.svg
PA18 House 2018.svg
Doyle:     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Doyle (14th)
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Doyle
Democratic

The 18th district formerly consisted of the southern suburbs of Pittsburgh, but the new district is now centered on Pittsburgh itself. The district overlaps with the former 14th district, which was represented by Democrat Michael F. Doyle. [7] Doyle had held office since 1995. He ran unopposed in the general election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Janis C. Brooks, pastor, CEO/founder of Citizens to Abolish Domestic Apartheid and candidate for this seat in 2012, 2014 & 2016

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mike Doyle (incumbent) 52,080 75.6
Democratic Janis Brooks16,54924.0
Write-in 2600.4
Total votes68,889 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mike Doyle (incumbent) 231,472 96.1
Write-in 9,4523.9
Total votes240,924 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

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  124. Donald J. Trump. ".@JohnChrin of Pennsylvania is fantastic. He is strong on the Border, Crime, the Military, our Vets and the 2nd Amendment. He is a powerful vote for #MAGA and loves the Great State of Pennsylvania. Please get out and vote for John, he has my Total and very Strong Endorsement!". Twitter.
  125. "Your Freedom is Under Attack! Vote On November 6th!". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. Retrieved August 16, 2023. The NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed John Chrin for the U.S. House of Representatives in the 8th Congressional District of Pennsylvania.
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  127. 1 2 "Other candidate" with 1%"
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  136. 1 2 "Christina Hartman withdraws from 10th District race". Daily Local News. March 27, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
  137. Donald J. Trump. "Scott Perry of Pennsylvania is fantastic. He is strong on the Border, Crime, the Military, our Vets and the Second Amendment. Scott has my Total Endorsement!". Twitter.
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  144. Public Policy Polling (D-Scott)
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  146. Sam Janesch (May 24, 2017). "Former Warwick superintendent John George will challenge US Rep. Lloyd Smucker". lancasteronline.com. Archived from the original on December 21, 2017. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
  147. Sam Janesch (December 7, 2017). "Former Warwick superintendent John George drops out of congressional race". lancasteronline.com. Archived from the original on December 12, 2017. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
  148. Sam Janesch (May 17, 2017). "Manheim Township pharmacist plans to run for US Rep. Smucker's seat in 2018". lancasteronline.com. Archived from the original on July 29, 2017. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
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  150. "350 Action Endorses Jess King (PA-11) for U.S. Congress". May 11, 2018. Archived from the original on November 25, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
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  155. YouTube (Part 2)
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  159. "JESS KING". climatehawksvote.com. Archived from the original on December 28, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
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  169. Engelkemier, Paul (March 21, 2018). "Reed Opts Out of Congressional Bid, Won't Run for Office in 2018". PoliticsPA . Retrieved March 24, 2024.
  170. Brelje, Beth (March 3, 2018). "State Rep. Ryan Mackenzie quits Congressional race". Reading Eagle. Retrieved August 10, 2023.
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  173. Gushard, Keith (March 23, 2018). "Forum set for Democrats running for Pennsylvania's 16th District seat". The Meadville Tribune . Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  174. YouTube
  175. "DiNicola is endorsed in 16th District". Erie Times-News. October 21, 2018. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
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  179. DCCC (D)
  180. NYT Upshot/Siena College
  181. Normington, Petts & Associates (D-DiNicola)
  182. Public Policy Polling (D-DiNicola)
  183. Wes Venticher (March 15, 2018). "Conor Lamb eyes run for Congress in new district". Pittsburgh Tribune-Review.
  184. Emily Goodin; John Verhovek (March 15, 2018). "Conor Lamb, Rick Saccone to run again in November in new and different congressional districts". ABC News .
  185. Eliza Collins (March 20, 2018). "Conor Lamb won Pennsylvania's 18th district. Tuesday he filed in the state's 17th District". USA Today .
  186. Donald J. Trump. "Congressman Keith Rothfus continues to do a great job for the people of Pennsylvania. Keith is strong on Crime, the Border, and our Second Amendment. Loves our Military and our Vets. He has my total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  187. C-SPAN
  188. Monmouth University
  189. Monmouth University
Official campaign websites