2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  

All 12 New Jersey seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election75
Seats won111
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 4Decrease2.svg 4
Popular vote1,856,8191,198,691
Percentage59.92%38.68%
SwingIncrease2.svg 5.76%Decrease2.svg 7.16%

New Jersey 2018.svg
2018 U.S. House elections in New Jersey.svg
2018 New Jersey US House election results map by county.svg

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 12 U.S. representatives from the state of New Jersey, one from each of the state's 12 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

Democrats won four seats from Republicans and changed control from 7–5 for Democrats to 11–1 for Democrats, the fewest seats Republicans had won in the state since 1912. [1] This was the first time since the 1912 elections that Republicans failed to hold any seat in North Jersey.

However, Representative Jeff Van Drew of the 2nd district would later change his party affiliation from Democratic to Republican in December 2019, bringing it down to 10–2. [2]

Overview

Statewide

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No. %No.+/– %
Democratic 121,856,81959.9211Increase2.svg491.67
Republican 121,198,66438.681Decrease2.svg48.33
Independent 1523,7190.770Steady2.svg0.0
Libertarian 812,9630.420Steady2.svg0.0
Constitution 13,9020.130Steady2.svg0.0
Green 12,6760.090Steady2.svg0.0
Total493,098,743100.012Steady2.svg100.0
Popular vote
Democratic
59.92%
Republican
38.68%
Other
1.40%
House seats
Democratic
91.67%
Republican
8.33%

By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey by district: [3]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 169,62864.40%87,61733.26%6,1732.34%263,418100.0%Democratic hold
District 2 136,68552.90%116,86645.23%4,8121.86%258,363100.0%Democratic gain
District 3 153,47350.01%149,50048.72%3,9021.27%306,875100.0%Democratic gain
District 4 126,76643.07%163,06555.40%4,5171.53%294,348100.0%Republican hold
District 5 169,54656.18%128,25542.49%4,0221.33%301,823100.0%Democratic hold
District 6 140,75263.63%80,44336.37%00.00%221,195100.0%Democratic hold
District 7 166,98551.74%150,78546.72%4,9721.54%322,742100.0%Democratic gain
District 8 119,88178.12%28,72518.72%4,8493.16%153,455100.0%Democratic hold
District 9 140,83270.27%57,85428.87%1,7300.86%200,416100.0%Democratic hold
District 10 175,25387.56%20,19110.09%4,7152.36%200,159100.0%Democratic hold
District 11 183,68456.77%136,32242.13%3,5681.10%323,574100.0%Democratic gain
District 12 173,33468.68%79,04131.32%00.00%252,375100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,856,81959.92%1,198,66438.68%43,2601.40%3,098,743100.0%

District 1

2018 New Jersey's 1st congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Donald Norcross official portrait (alt crop).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Donald Norcross Paul E. Dilks
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote169,62887,617
Percentage64.4%33.3%

NJ-1 election 2020.svg
NJ-1 election 2018 municipal.svg
Norcross:      40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%     >90%
Dilks:      80-90%
Tie:      50%

U.S. Representative before election

Donald Norcross
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Donald Norcross
Democratic

The 1st district is based in South Jersey and includes most of Camden County along with parts of Burlington County and Gloucester County. Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross, who had represented the district since 2014, ran for reelection. He was reelected with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+13.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Robert Lee Carlson
  • Scot John Tomaszewski

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Donald Norcross (incumbent) 39,788 84.1
Democratic Robert Lee Carlson4,5709.7
Democratic Scot John Tomaszewski2,9536.2
Total votes47,311 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Paul Dilks [4]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Paul E. Dilks 12,363 100.0
Total votes12,363 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

New Jersey's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Donald Norcross (incumbent) 169,628 64.4
Republican Paul E. Dilks87,61733.3
Libertarian Robert Shapiro2,8211.1
Independent Paul Hamlin2,3680.9
Independent Mohammad Kabir9840.4
Total votes263,418 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2018 New Jersey's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Jeff Van Drew Official Portrait 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jeff Van Drew Seth Grossman
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote136,685116,866
Percentage52.9%45.2%

NJ-2 election 2018.svg
County results
Van Drew:      50-60%
Grossman:      50-60%     60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Frank LoBiondo
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Van Drew
Democratic

The 2nd district is based in South Jersey and is the biggest Congressional District in the state. It includes all of Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland and Salem Counties and parts of Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Frank LoBiondo, who had represented the district since 1995, announced in November 2017 that he would not run for re-election in 2018 making the 2nd an open seat. [11] He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+1.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Sam Fiocchi

County Republican Party organizations

Brian T. Fitzherbert

County Republican Party organizations

Hirsh Singh

County Republican Party organizations

State senators

State Assembly members

Individuals

  • Giancarlo Ghione, chair of the New Jersey Young Republican Federation [32]
James Toto

County Republican Party organizations

Robert Turkavage

County Republican Party organizations

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Seth Grossman 10,215 39.0
Republican Hirsh V. Singh7,98330.5
Republican Samuel Fiocchi 6,10723.3
Republican Robert D. Turkavage1,8547.1
Total votes26,159 100

Democratic primary

This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [37]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Sean Thom, school administrator [27] [41]

Endorsements

Jeff Van Drew

Individuals

Tanzie Youngblood

Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jeff Van Drew 16,901 57.0
Democratic Tanzira "Tanzie" Youngblood5,49518.5
Democratic William Cunningham4,79516.2
Democratic Nate Kleinman2,4678.3
Total votes29,658 100

General election

Campaign

A month after the primaries, the National Republican Congressional Committee withdrew its support of Grossman, following the news that he had posted an article from the white nationalist website American Renaissance on his Facebook page stating that blacks represented "a threat to all who cross their paths, black and non-black alike." [44] Grossman responded that he had not carefully read the article that he had posted in 2014 and did not believe its racist sentiments, although in explaining his actions he said many black teenagers are violent and dangerous. [45] Grossman also posted comments that criticized "multi-culturalism" and "diversity". [46]

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Seth
Grossman (R)
Jeff
Van Drew (D)
OtherUndecided
Stockton University [51] October 17–23, 2018597± 4.0%38%55%5% [52] 2%
Stockton University [53] September 12–18, 2018535± 4.2%32%55%5% [54] 8%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)

administered

Sample
size
Margin of
error
Generic
Republican (R)
Jeff
Van Drew (D)
OtherUndecided
DCCC (D) [55] February 12–13, 201839%51%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [56] November 8–10, 2017565± 4.1%39%44%17%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [57] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [58] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [59] Safe D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [60] Likely D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [61] Safe D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [62] Safe D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [63] Safe D (flip)October 31, 2018
Politico [64] Likely D (flip)November 4, 2018

Results

New Jersey's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jeff Van Drew 136,685 52.9
Republican Seth Grossman116,86645.2
Libertarian John Ordille1,7260.7
Independent Steven Fenichel1,1540.4
Independent Anthony Parisi Sanchez1,0640.4
Independent William Benfer8680.3
Majority19,8197.7
Total votes258,363 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 3

2018 New Jersey's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Andy Kim, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg Tom MacArthur, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Andy Kim Tom MacArthur
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote153,473149,500
Percentage50.0%48.7%

NJ-3 election 2018.svg
County results
Kim:      50-60%
MacArthur:      60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom MacArthur
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Kim
Democratic

The 3rd district is based in South Jersey and includes parts of Burlington and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Tom MacArthur, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+2.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom MacArthur (incumbent) 25,612 100.0
Total votes25,612 100.0

Democratic primary

This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [37]

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Rich Dennison, attorney, funeral home director, and nominee for the state senate (LD-7) in 2007 (died on January 22, 2018) [66] [67]
  • Katherine Hartman, attorney [68]
Declined

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Andy Kim 28,514 100.0
Total votes28,514 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Tom MacArthur (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Debate

2018 New Jersey's 3rd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Tom MacArthur Andy Kim
1Oct. 31, 2018 NJ PBS David Cruz [80] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
MacArthur (R)
Andy
Kim (D)
Larry
Berlinski (C)
Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College [81] October 21–25, 2018508± 4.8%45%44%2%9%
Monmouth University [82] October 18–22, 2018363± 5.2%46%48%2%5%
Stockton University [83] October 3–10, 2018546± 4.2%47%45%7% [84] 1%
National Research Inc. (R-MacArthur) [85] October 2–4, 2018400± 4.9%44%40%16%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [86] September 22–26, 2018499± 4.8%39%49%12%
DCCC (D) [87] September 4–5, 2018523± 4.3%45%47%8%
Monmouth University [88] August 7–9, 2018300 LV± 5.7%44%45%3%9%
401 RV± 4.9%41%40%3%15%
Global Strategy Group (D) [89] June 11–21, 2018400± 4.9%42%42%16%
GQR Research (D-Kim) [90] May 29 – June 3, 2018550± 4.2%48%44%8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [91] April 16–17, 2018669± 3.8%42%41%17%
Public Policy Polling (D) [92] February 14–15, 2018336± 5.4%47%43%10%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [57] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [58] Tilt D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [59] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [60] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [61] TossupNovember 5, 2018
538 [62] TossupNovember 7, 2018
CNN [63] TossupOctober 31, 2018
Politico [64] TossupNovember 2, 2018

Results

The close result required a recount, with Kim ultimately winning by 3,973 votes. [93]

New Jersey's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Andy Kim 153,473 50.0
Republican Tom MacArthur (incumbent)149,50048.7
Constitution Larry Berlinski3,9021.3
Majority3,9731.3
Total votes306,875 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 4

2018 New Jersey's 4th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Chris Smith official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Chris Smith Joshua Welle
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote163,065126,766
Percentage55.4%43.1%

NJ-4 election 2018.svg
County results
Smith:      50-60%     60-70%
Welle:      40-50%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Smith
Republican

The 4th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Mercer, Monmouth and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Chris Smith, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chris Smith (incumbent) 25,930 100.0
Total votes25,930 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joshua Welle, Navy veteran [94]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
  • Kelly Stewart Maer, party operative [97]

Endorsements

Joshua Welle

County Democratic Party organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joshua Welle 16,905 57.1
Democratic Jim Keady 12,68242.9
Total votes29,587 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Chris Smith (R)

Labor unions

Organizations

  • Campaign for Working Families [100]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [57] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [58] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [59] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [60] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [61] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [62] Likely RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [63] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [64] Likely RNovember 2, 2018

Results

Smith's showing of 55% was his lowest since 1982, when he defeated Joseph P. Merlino 53% to 47%.

New Jersey's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chris Smith (incumbent) 163,065 55.4
Democratic Joshua Welle126,76643.1
Libertarian Michael Rufo1,3870.5
Independent Ed Stackhouse1,0640.4
Independent Brian Reynolds8510.3
Independent Felicia Stoler8440.3
Independent Allen Yusufov3710.1
Majority36,29912.3
Total votes294,348 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2018 New Jersey's 5th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Josh Gottheimer Photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Josh Gottheimer John J. McCann Jr.
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote169,546128,255
Percentage56.2%42.5%

NJ-5 election 2018.svg
County results
Gottheimer:      60-70%
Pallotta:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Josh Gottheimer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Josh Gottheimer
Democratic

The 5th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Passaic, Sussex and Warren counties. Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) 27,486 100.0
Total votes27,486 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • John McCann, attorney and former Cresskill Borough Council member [104]
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Steve Lonegan

U.S. Senators

State senators

State assembly members

Organizations

Local politicians

  • Richard D. Gardner, Warren County freeholder [127]
  • Jason Sarnoski, Warren County freeholder [127]
  • Edward J. Smith, Warren County freeholder [127]

Individuals

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John J. McCann Jr. 16,685 53.0
Republican Steven M. Lonegan 14,76747.0
Total votes31,452 100.0

General election

Endorsements

John McCann (R)

Statewide officials

State legislators

Organizations

Mayors

County sheriffs

County freeholders

  • John Driscoll, Bergen County Freeholder (former) [133]
  • John Felice, Bergen County Freeholder (former) [143]
  • George Graham, Sussex County Freeholder [140]
  • Robert Hermansen, Bergen County Freeholder (former), Mahwah Councilman [133]
  • Carl Lazarro, Sussex County Freeholder [140]
  • Johnathan Rose, Sussex County Freeholder

Municipal council members

Individuals

County Republican Party organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Josh
Gottheimer (D)
John
McCann (R)
OtherUndecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R-McCann) [153] October 12–15, 2018400± 4.9%47%38%9% [154] 7%
Tel Opinion Research (R-McCann) [155] August 9–12, 2018400± 4.9%36%39%25%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [57] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [58] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [59] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [60] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [61] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
538 [62] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [63] Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [64] Likely DNovember 2, 2018

Results

New Jersey's 5th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) 169,546 56.2
Republican John J. McCann128,25542.5
Libertarian James Tosone2,1150.7
Independent Wendy Goetz1,9070.6
Majority41,29113.7
Total votes301,823 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

2018 New Jersey's 6th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Frank Pallone, Official Portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Frank Pallone Richard J. Pezzullo
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote140,75280,443
Percentage63.6%36.4%

NJ-6 election 2018.svg
County results
Pallone:      50-60%     60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Frank Pallone
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Pallone
Democratic

The 6th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone, who had represented the district since 1988, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Javahn Walker

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Frank Pallone Jr. (incumbent) 23,621 86.2
Democratic Javahn Walker3,77013.8
Total votes27,391 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Richard Pezzullo, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2014 [156]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Richard J. Pezzullo 9,827 100.0
Total votes9,827 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

New Jersey's 6th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Frank Pallone Jr. (incumbent) 140,752 63.6
Republican Richard J. Pezzullo80,44336.4
Total votes221,195 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

2018 New Jersey's 7th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Tom Malinowski, official portrait, 116th congress (3x4).jpg Leonard Lance, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Tom Malinowski Leonard Lance
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote166,985150,785
Percentage51.7%46.7%

NJ-7 election 2018.svg
County results
Malinowski:      50-60%     60-70%
Lance:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Leonard Lance
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Malinowski
Democratic

The 7th district includes all of Hunterdon County, and parts of Essex, Morris, Somerset, Union, and Warren Counties. Incumbent Republican Leonard Lance, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Lindsay Brown, web developer [158]
Declined
  • Rosemary Becchi, attorney [159]
  • Craig Heard, marketing consultant and candidate for this seat in 2016 [160]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Leonard Lance (incumbent) 24,934 74.9
Republican Lindsay C. Brown4,79514.4
Republican Raafat Barsoom3,55610.7
Total votes33,285 100

Democratic primary

This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [37]

Three Democrats were on the Democratic primary ballot. They included former Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor Tom Malinowski; [161] lawyer Goutam Jois; [162] and social worker Peter Jacob. Green Party of New Jersey member Diane Moxley also announced her intent to run for the seat. [163] Westfield teacher and attorney Lisa Mandelblatt withdrew in February 2017, [164] as did Scotch Plains lawyer Scott Salmon. [165] The Democratic County Parties in New Jersey's 7th District unanimously threw their support to Malinowski, and he received the county line for the June 5 primary in all counties.

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Peter Jacob, social worker and nominee in 2016 [167]
  • Goutam Jois, attorney [168]
Withdrawn
  • Lisa Mandelblatt, teacher and attorney [169] (withdrew February 2018, endorsed Malinowski) [164]
  • David Pringle, environmental activist [170]
  • Scott Salmon, attorney [169] (withdrew February 2018, endorsed Malinowski) [171]
  • Linda Weber, bank executive [172] [173]
Declined

Endorsements

Tom Malinowski

County Democratic Party organizations

Individuals

  • Lisa Mandelblatt, teacher, attorney, and former candidate for this seat

Results

Malinowski won the Democratic nomination in the June primary. [184]

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom Malinowski 26,172 66.8
Democratic Peter Jacob7,50319.1
Democratic Goutam Jois5,50714.1
Total votes39,182 100

General election

Endorsements

Leonard Lance (R)

Debate

2018 New Jersey's 7th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Leonard Lance Tom Malinowski
1Oct. 17, 2018 NJTV Briana Vannozzi [186] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Leonard
Lance (R)
Tom
Malinowski (D)
OtherUndecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College [187] October 28–31, 2018503± 4.6%39%47%1%12%
Monmouth University [188] October 25–29, 2018356± 5.2%44%47%2%6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [189] September 17–21, 2018504± 4.8%45%44%10%
Monmouth University [190] September 13–17, 2018365 LV± 5.1%43%46%2%9%
414 RV± 4.8%39%47%2%12%
GQR Research (D-Malinowski) [191] June 20–25, 2018500± 4.4%45%47%7%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Leonard
Lance (R)
Democratic
candidate (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [192] November 8–9, 2017528± 4.3%41%42%17%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [57] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [58] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [59] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [60] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [61] TossupNovember 5, 2018
538 [62] Likely D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [63] TossupOctober 31, 2018
Politico [64] TossupNovember 2, 2018

Results

New Jersey's 7th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom Malinowski 166,985 51.7
Republican Leonard Lance (incumbent)150,78546.7
Green Diane Moxley2,6760.8
Independent Gregg Mele2,2960.7
Majority16,2005.0
Total votes322,742 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 8

2018 New Jersey's 8th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Albio Sires (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Albio Sires John R. Muniz
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote119,88128,725
Percentage78.1%18.7%

NJ-8 election 2018.svg
County results
Sires:      70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Albio Sires
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Albio Sires
Democratic

The 8th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Essex, Hudson and Union counties. Incumbent Democrat Albio Sires, who had represented the district since 2006, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+27.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Albio Sires (incumbent) 31,583 100.0
Total votes31,583 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • John Muniz [4]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John R. Muniz 3,052 100.0
Total votes3,052 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

New Jersey's 8th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Albio Sires (incumbent) 119,881 78.1
Republican John R. Muniz28,75218.7
Independent Mahmoud Mahmoud3,6582.4
Libertarian Dan Delaney1,1910.8
Total votes153,455 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

2018 New Jersey's 9th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Bill pascrell 375 (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bill Pascrell Eric P. Fisher
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote140,83257,854
Percentage70.3%28.9%

NJ-9 election 2018.svg
County results
Pascrell:      60-70%     70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Bill Pascrell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Pascrell
Democratic

The 9th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Hudson and Passaic counties. Incumbent Democrat Bill Pascrell, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • William Henry

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bill Pascrell Jr. (incumbent) 23,365 85.7
Democratic William O. Henry3,91114.3
Total votes27,276 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Eric Fisher [4]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eric P. Fisher 5,142 100.0
Total votes5,142 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

New Jersey's 9th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bill Pascrell Jr. (incumbent) 140,832 70.3
Republican Eric P. Fisher57,85428.9
Libertarian Claudio Belusic1,7300.9
Total votes200,416 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

2018 New Jersey's 10th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Donald Payne Jr Official Portrait 113th Congress (cropped).png 3x4.svg
Nominee Donald Payne Jr. Agha Khan
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote175,25320,191
Percentage87.6%10.1%

NJ-10 election 2018.svg
County results
Payne Jr.:      70-80%     80-90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Donald Payne Jr.
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Donald Payne Jr.
Democratic

The 10th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Essex, Hudson and Union counties. Incumbent Democrat Donald Payne Jr., who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 86% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+36.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Aaron Fraser

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Donald M. Payne Jr. (incumbent) 38,206 91.7
Democratic Aaron Walter Fraser3,4428.3
Total votes41,648 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Agha Khan 2,292 100.0
Total votes2,292 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

New Jersey's 10th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Donald M. Payne Jr. (incumbent) 175,253 87.6
Republican Agha Khan20,19110.1
Independent Cynthia Johnson2,0701.0
Independent Joanne Miller2,0381.0
Libertarian Scott DiRoma6070.3
Total votes200,159 100.0

District 11

2018 New Jersey's 11th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Mikie Sherrill, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Mikie Sherrill Jay Webber
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote183,684136,322
Percentage56.8%42.1%

NJ-11 election 2018.svg
County results
Sherrill:      50-60%     60-70%
Webber:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Rodney Frelinghuysen
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mikie Sherrill
Democratic

The 11th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Essex, Morris, Passaic and Sussex counties. Incumbent Republican Rodney Frelinghuysen, who had represented the district since 1995, announced in January 2018 that he will not seek re-election. [195] He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Peter De Neufville, former executive chairman of Voltaix, Inc. [197]
  • Antony Ghee, JAG officer, investment banker, and attorney [198]
  • Martin Hewitt, attorney [199]
  • Patrick S Allocco, concert promoter and political campaign operative [200]
Declined
Endorsements
Antony Ghee

State senators

State assembly member

Local officials

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jay Webber 16,417 40.0
Republican Peter de Neufville12,48730.5
Republican Antony E. Ghee8,99121.9
Republican Patrick S. Allocco1,6804.1
Republican Martin Hewitt1,4283.5
Total votes41,003 100

Democratic primary

This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [37]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mikie Sherrill 35,338 77.4
Democratic Tamara Harris6,61514.5
Democratic Mark Washburne1,5383.4
Democratic Alison Heslin1,2532.7
Democratic Mitchell H. Cobert8851.9
Total votes45,629 100

General election

Endorsements

Jay Webber (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

State senators

State Assembly members

Organizations

Local officials

Individuals

Mikie Sherrill (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Statewide officials

State senators

State Assembly members

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Local officials

Individuals

County Democratic Party organizations

Debate

2018 New Jersey's 11th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jay Webber Mikie Sherrill
1Oct. 10, 2018 NJTV Michael Aron [277] PP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jay
Webber (R)
Mikie
Sherrill (D)
OtherUndecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College [278] October 13–17, 2018487± 4.6%38%49%2%11%
Monmouth University [279] October 3–7, 2018356± 5.2%44%48%1%6%
National Research Inc. (R-Webber) [280] September 24–27, 2018400± 4.9%43%46%
Monmouth University [281] June 22–25, 2018339 LV± 5.3%40%44%1%15%
406 RV± 4.9%38%40%1%20%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Generic
Republican
Mikie
Sherill (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [282] February 12–13, 2018688± 3.7%42%40%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rodney
Freylinghuysen (R)
Democratic
candidate (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [192] November 8–9, 2017710± 3.7%44%46%10%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [57] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [58] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [59] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
RCP [60] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [61] Lean D (flip)November 5, 2018
538 [62] Likely D (flip)November 7, 2018
CNN [63] Lean D (flip)October 31, 2018
Politico [64] Lean D (flip)November 2, 2018

Results

New Jersey's 11th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mikie Sherrill 183,684 56.8
Republican Jay Webber 136,32242.1
Independent Robert Crook2,1820.7
Libertarian Ryan Martinez1,3860.4
Majority47,36214.7
Total votes323,574 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 12

2018 New Jersey's 12th congressional district election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2016
2020  
  Bonnie Watson Coleman (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bonnie Watson Coleman Daryl Kipnis
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote173,33479,041
Percentage68.7%31.3%

NJ-12 election 2018.svg
County results
Watson Coleman:      60-70%     70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Bonnie Watson Coleman
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bonnie Watson Coleman
Democratic

The 12th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset and Union counties. The district is known for its research centers and educational institutions such as Princeton University, Institute for Advanced Study, Johnson & Johnson and Bristol-Myers Squibb. Incumbent Democrat Bonnie Watson Coleman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 20. The district had a PVI of +.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bonnie Watson Coleman (incumbent)35,430 100.0
Total votes35,430 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Daryl Kipnis, attorney and nominee for state senate (LD-17) in 2017 [283]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Daryl Kipnis 9,776 100.0
Total votes9,776 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

New Jersey's 12th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bonnie Watson Coleman (incumbent) 173,334 68.7
Republican Daryl Kipnis79,04131.3
Total votes252,375 100.0
Democratic hold

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