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All 12 New Jersey seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in New Jersey |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 12 U.S. representatives from the state of New Jersey, one from each of the state's 12 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
Democrats won 4 seats from Republicans and changed control from 7–5 for Democrats to 11–1 for Democrats, the lowest number of seats Republicans have won in the state since 1912. [1] This is the first time since the 1912 elections that Republicans failed to hold any seat in North Jersey.
However, Representative Jeff Van Drew of the 2nd district would later change his party affiliation from Democratic to Republican in December 2019 bringing it down to 10-2. [2]
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Democratic | 12 | 1,856,819 | 59.92 | 11 | 4 | 91.67 | |
Republican | 12 | 1,198,664 | 38.68 | 1 | 4 | 8.33 | |
Independent | 15 | 23,719 | 0.77 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Libertarian | 8 | 12,963 | 0.42 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Constitution | 1 | 3,902 | 0.13 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Green | 1 | 2,676 | 0.09 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Total | 49 | 3,098,743 | 100.0 | 12 | 100.0 |
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey by district: [3]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 169,628 | 64.40% | 87,617 | 33.26% | 6,173 | 2.34% | 263,418 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 136,685 | 52.90% | 116,866 | 45.23% | 4,812 | 1.86% | 258,363 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 3 | 153,473 | 50.01% | 149,500 | 48.72% | 3,902 | 1.27% | 306,875 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 4 | 126,766 | 43.07% | 163,065 | 55.40% | 4,517 | 1.53% | 294,348 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 169,546 | 56.18% | 128,255 | 42.49% | 4,022 | 1.33% | 301,823 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 140,752 | 63.63% | 80,443 | 36.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,195 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 7 | 166,985 | 51.74% | 150,785 | 46.72% | 4,972 | 1.54% | 322,742 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 8 | 119,881 | 78.12% | 28,725 | 18.72% | 4,849 | 3.16% | 153,455 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 9 | 140,832 | 70.27% | 57,854 | 28.87% | 1,730 | 0.86% | 200,416 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | 175,253 | 87.56% | 20,191 | 10.09% | 4,715 | 2.36% | 200,159 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 11 | 183,684 | 56.77% | 136,322 | 42.13% | 3,568 | 1.10% | 323,574 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 12 | 173,334 | 68.68% | 79,041 | 31.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 252,375 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 1,856,819 | 59.92% | 1,198,664 | 38.68% | 43,260 | 1.40% | 3,098,743 | 100.0% |
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Norcross: 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in South Jersey and includes most of Camden County along with parts of Burlington County and Gloucester County. Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross, who had represented the district since 2014, ran for reelection. He was reelected with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+13.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donald Norcross (incumbent) | 39,788 | 84.1 | |
Democratic | Robert Lee Carlson | 4,570 | 9.7 | |
Democratic | Scot John Tomaszewski | 2,953 | 6.2 | |
Total votes | 47,311 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul E. Dilks | 12,363 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 12,363 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donald Norcross (incumbent) | 169,628 | 64.4 | |
Republican | Paul E. Dilks | 87,617 | 33.3 | |
Libertarian | Robert Shapiro | 2,821 | 1.1 | |
Independent | Paul Hamlin | 2,368 | 0.9 | |
Independent | Mohammad Kabir | 984 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 263,418 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
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County results Van Drew: 50-60% Grossman: 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in South Jersey and is the biggest Congressional District in the state. It includes all of Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland and Salem Counties and parts of Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Frank LoBiondo, who had represented the district since 1995, announced in November 2017 that he would not run for re-election in 2018 making the 2nd an open seat. [11] He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+1.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Seth Grossman | 10,215 | 39.0 | |
Republican | Hirsh V. Singh | 7,983 | 30.5 | |
Republican | Samuel Fiocchi | 6,107 | 23.3 | |
Republican | Robert D. Turkavage | 1,854 | 7.1 | |
Total votes | 26,159 | 100 |
This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [37]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jeff Van Drew | 16,901 | 57.0 | |
Democratic | Tanzira "Tanzie" Youngblood | 5,495 | 18.5 | |
Democratic | William Cunningham | 4,795 | 16.2 | |
Democratic | Nate Kleinman | 2,467 | 8.3 | |
Total votes | 29,658 | 100 |
A month after the primaries, the National Republican Congressional Committee withdrew its support of Grossman following the news that he had posted an article from the white nationalist website American Renaissance on his Facebook page stating blacks represent “a threat to all who cross their paths, black and non-black alike.” [44] Grossman responded that he hadn’t carefully read the article that he had posted in 2014 and doesn’t believe its racist sentiments, although in explaining his actions he said many black teenagers are violent and dangerous. [45] Grossman also posted comments that criticized ‘multi-culturalism’ and ‘diversity’. [46]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Seth Grossman (R) | Jeff Van Drew (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stockton University | October 17–23, 2018 | 597 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 55% | 5% [51] | 2% |
Stockton University | September 12–18, 2018 | 535 | ± 4.2% | 32% | 55% | 5% [52] | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican (R) | Jeff Van Drew (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DCCC (D) | February 12–13, 2018 | – | – | 39% | 51% | – | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Republican candidate | Democratic candidate | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | November 8–10, 2017 | 565 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 44% | – | 17% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [53] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [54] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [56] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [57] | Safe D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538 [58] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [59] | Safe D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [60] | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jeff Van Drew | 136,685 | 52.9 | |
Republican | Seth Grossman | 116,866 | 45.2 | |
Libertarian | John Ordille | 1,726 | 0.7 | |
Independent | Steven Fenichel | 1,154 | 0.4 | |
Independent | Anthony Parisi Sanchez | 1,064 | 0.4 | |
Independent | William Benfer | 868 | 0.3 | |
Majority | 19,819 | 7.7 | ||
Total votes | 258,363 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
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County results Kim: 50-60% MacArthur: 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is based in South Jersey and includes parts of Burlington and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Tom MacArthur, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+2.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom MacArthur (incumbent) | 25,612 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 25,612 | 100.0 |
This is one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [37]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 28,514 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 28,514 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Tom MacArthur | Andy Kim | |||||
1 | Oct. 31, 2018 | NJ PBS | David Cruz | YouTube | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom MacArthur (R) | Andy Kim (D) | Larry Berlinski (C) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 21–25, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 9% |
Monmouth University | October 18–22, 2018 | 363 | ± 5.2% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 5% |
Stockton University | October 3–10, 2018 | 546 | ± 4.2% | 47% | 45% | 7% [76] | 1% |
National Research Inc. (R-MacArthur) | October 2–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 22–26, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 49% | – | 12% |
DCCC (D) | September 4–5, 2018 | 523 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 47% | – | 8% |
Monmouth University | August 7–9, 2018 | 300 LV | ± 5.7% | 44% | 45% | 3% | 9% |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | 41% | 40% | 3% | 15% | ||
Global Strategy Group (D) | June 11–21, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 42% | – | 16% |
GQR Research (D-Kim) | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | April 16–17, 2018 | 669 | ± 3.8% | 42% | 41% | – | 17% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 14–15, 2018 | 336 | ± 5.4% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [53] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [54] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [56] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [57] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [58] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [59] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [60] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
The close result required a recount, with Kim ultimately winning by 3,973 votes [77]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Kim | 153,473 | 50.0 | |
Republican | Tom MacArthur (incumbent) | 149,500 | 48.7 | |
Constitution | Larry Berlinski | 3,902 | 1.3 | |
Majority | 3,973 | 1.3 | ||
Total votes | 306,875 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
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County results Smith: 50-60% 60-70% Welle: 40-50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Mercer, Monmouth and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Chris Smith, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chris Smith (incumbent) | 25,930 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 25,930 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joshua Welle | 16,905 | 57.1 | |
Democratic | Jim Keady | 12,682 | 42.9 | |
Total votes | 29,587 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [53] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [54] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [56] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [57] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [58] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [59] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [60] | Likely R | November 2, 2018 |
Smith's showing of 55% was his lowest since 1982 when he defeated Joseph P. Merlino 53% to 47%.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chris Smith (incumbent) | 163,065 | 55.4 | |
Democratic | Joshua Welle | 126,766 | 43.1 | |
Libertarian | Michael Rufo | 1,387 | 0.5 | |
Independent | Ed Stackhouse | 1,064 | 0.4 | |
Independent | Brian Reynolds | 851 | 0.3 | |
Independent | Felicia Stoler | 844 | 0.3 | |
Independent | Allen Yusufov | 371 | 0.1 | |
Majority | 36,299 | 12.3 | ||
Total votes | 294,348 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
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County results Gottheimer: 60-70% Pallotta: 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Passaic, Sussex and Warren counties. Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) | 27,486 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 27,486 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John J. McCann Jr. | 16,685 | 53.0 | |
Republican | Steven M. Lonegan | 14,767 | 47.0 | |
Total votes | 31,452 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Gottheimer (D) | John McCann (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R-McCann) | October 12–15, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 38% | 9% [137] | 7% |
Tel Opinion Research (R-McCann) | August 9–12, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 36% | 39% | – | 25% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [53] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [54] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [56] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [57] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
538 [58] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [59] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [60] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) | 169,546 | 56.2 | |
Republican | John J. McCann | 128,255 | 42.5 | |
Libertarian | James Tosone | 2,115 | 0.7 | |
Independent | Wendy Goetz | 1,907 | 0.6 | |
Majority | 41,291 | 13.7 | ||
Total votes | 301,823 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
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County results Pallone: 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone, who had represented the district since 1988, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frank Pallone Jr. (incumbent) | 23,621 | 86.2 | |
Democratic | Javahn Walker | 3,770 | 13.8 | |
Total votes | 27,391 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Richard J. Pezzullo | 9,827 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 9,827 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frank Pallone Jr. (incumbent) | 140,752 | 63.6 | |
Republican | Richard J. Pezzullo | 80,443 | 36.4 | |
Total votes | 221,195 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
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County results Malinowski: 50-60% 60-70% Lance: 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district includes all of Hunterdon County, and parts of Essex, Morris, Somerset, Union, and Warren Counties. Incumbent Republican Leonard Lance, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Leonard Lance (incumbent) | 24,934 | 74.9 | |
Republican | Lindsay C. Brown | 4,795 | 14.4 | |
Republican | Raafat Barsoom | 3,556 | 10.7 | |
Total votes | 33,285 | 100 |
This is one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [37]
Three Democrats were on the Democratic primary ballot. They included former Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor Tom Malinowski; [143] lawyer Goutam Jois; [144] and social worker Peter Jacob. Green Party of New Jersey member Diane Moxley also announced her intent to run for the seat. [145] Westfield teacher and attorney Lisa Mandelblatt withdrew in February 2017, [146] as did Scotch Plains lawyer Scott Salmon. [147] The Democratic County Parties in New Jersey's 7th District unanimously threw their support to Malinowski, and he received the county line for the June 5 primary in all counties.
Malinowski won the Democratic nomination in the June primary. [166]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Malinowski | 26,172 | 66.8 | |
Democratic | Peter Jacob | 7,503 | 19.1 | |
Democratic | Goutam Jois | 5,507 | 14.1 | |
Total votes | 39,182 | 100 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Leonard Lance | Tom Malinowski | |||||
1 | Oct. 17, 2018 | NJTV | Briana Vannozzi | C-SPAN | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Leonard Lance (R) | Tom Malinowski (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 28–31, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.6% | 39% | 47% | 1% | 12% |
Monmouth University | October 25–29, 2018 | 356 | ± 5.2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 6% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | September 17–21, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 44% | – | 10% |
Monmouth University | September 13–17, 2018 | 365 LV | ± 5.1% | 43% | 46% | 2% | 9% |
414 RV | ± 4.8% | 39% | 47% | 2% | 12% | ||
GQR Research (D-Malinowski) | June 20–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | – | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Leonard Lance (R) | Democratic candidate (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | November 8–9, 2017 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 41% | 42% | – | 17% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [53] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [54] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [56] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [57] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [58] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [59] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [60] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Malinowski | 166,985 | 51.7 | |
Republican | Leonard Lance (incumbent) | 150,785 | 46.7 | |
Green | Diane Moxley | 2,676 | 0.8 | |
Independent | Gregg Mele | 2,296 | 0.7 | |
Majority | 16,200 | 5.0 | ||
Total votes | 322,742 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
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County results Sires: 70-80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Essex, Hudson and Union counties. Incumbent Democrat Albio Sires, who had represented the district since 2006, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+27.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Albio Sires (incumbent) | 31,583 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 31,583 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John R. Muniz | 3,052 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 3,052 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Albio Sires (incumbent) | 119,881 | 78.1 | |
Republican | John R. Muniz | 28,752 | 18.7 | |
Independent | Mahmoud Mahmoud | 3,658 | 2.4 | |
Libertarian | Dan Delaney | 1,191 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 153,455 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
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County results Pascrell: 60-70% 70-80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Hudson and Passaic counties. Incumbent Democrat Bill Pascrell, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bill Pascrell Jr. (incumbent) | 23,365 | 85.7 | |
Democratic | William O. Henry | 3,911 | 14.3 | |
Total votes | 27,276 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eric P. Fisher | 5,142 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 5,142 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bill Pascrell Jr. (incumbent) | 140,832 | 70.3 | |
Republican | Eric P. Fisher | 57,854 | 28.9 | |
Libertarian | Claudio Belusic | 1,730 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 200,416 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
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County results Payne Jr.: 70-80% 80-90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Essex, Hudson and Union counties. Incumbent Democrat Donald Payne Jr., who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 86% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+36.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donald M. Payne Jr. (incumbent) | 38,206 | 91.7 | |
Democratic | Aaron Walter Fraser | 3,442 | 8.3 | |
Total votes | 41,648 | 100 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Agha Khan | 2,292 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 2,292 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donald M. Payne Jr. (incumbent) | 175,253 | 87.6 | |
Republican | Agha Khan | 20,191 | 10.1 | |
Independent | Cynthia Johnson | 2,070 | 1.0 | |
Independent | Joanne Miller | 2,038 | 1.0 | |
Libertarian | Scott DiRoma | 607 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 200,159 | 100.0 |
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County results Sherrill: 50-60% 60-70% Webber: 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Essex, Morris, Passaic and Sussex counties. Incumbent Republican Rodney Frelinghuysen, who had represented the district since 1995, announced in January 2018 that he will not seek re-election. [170] He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jay Webber | 16,417 | 40.0 | |
Republican | Peter de Neufville | 12,487 | 30.5 | |
Republican | Antony E. Ghee | 8,991 | 21.9 | |
Republican | Patrick S. Allocco | 1,680 | 4.1 | |
Republican | Martin Hewitt | 1,428 | 3.5 | |
Total votes | 41,003 | 100 |
This is one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [37]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mikie Sherrill | 35,338 | 77.4 | |
Democratic | Tamara Harris | 6,615 | 14.5 | |
Democratic | Mark Washburne | 1,538 | 3.4 | |
Democratic | Alison Heslin | 1,253 | 2.7 | |
Democratic | Mitchell H. Cobert | 885 | 1.9 | |
Total votes | 45,629 | 100 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Jay Webber | Mikie Sherrill | |||||
1 | Oct. 10, 2018 | NJTV | Michael Aron | C-SPAN | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jay Webber (R) | Mikie Sherrill (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 13–17, 2018 | 487 | ± 4.6% | 38% | 49% | 2% | 11% |
Monmouth University | October 3–7, 2018 | 356 | ± 5.2% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 6% |
National Research Inc. (R-Webber) | September 24–27, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | – | – |
Monmouth University | June 22–25, 2018 | 339 LV | ± 5.3% | 40% | 44% | 1% | 15% |
406 RV | ± 4.9% | 38% | 40% | 1% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Mikie Sherill (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 12–13, 2018 | 688 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 40% | – | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rodney Freylinghuysen (R) | Democratic candidate (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | November 8–9, 2017 | 710 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [53] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [54] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [56] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [57] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538 [58] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [59] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [60] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mikie Sherrill | 183,684 | 56.8 | |
Republican | Jay Webber | 136,322 | 42.1 | |
Independent | Robert Crook | 2,182 | 0.7 | |
Libertarian | Ryan Martinez | 1,386 | 0.4 | |
Majority | 47,362 | 14.7 | ||
Total votes | 323,574 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
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County results Watson Coleman: 60-70% 70-80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset and Union counties. The district is known for its research centers and educational institutions such as Princeton University, Institute for Advanced Study, Johnson & Johnson and Bristol-Myers Squibb. Incumbent Democrat Bonnie Watson Coleman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 20. The district had a PVI of +.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bonnie Watson Coleman (incumbent) | 35,430 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 35,430 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daryl Kipnis | 9,776 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 9,776 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bonnie Watson Coleman (incumbent) | 173,334 | 68.7 | |
Republican | Daryl Kipnis | 79,041 | 31.3 | |
Total votes | 252,375 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
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