2018 Arizona gubernatorial election

Last updated

2018 Arizona gubernatorial election
Flag of Arizona.svg
←  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  →
Turnout64.85% Increase2.svg17.33pp [1]
  DougDucey (cropped).jpg David Garcia by Gage Skidmore 2 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Doug Ducey David Garcia
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,330,863994,341
Percentage56.00%41.84%
2018 Arizona gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2018AZGovCD.svg
AZ Governor 2018 Precinct Results.svg
Ducey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Garcia:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:      40–50%     50%     No data
Governor before election

Doug Ducey
Republican

Elected Governor

Doug Ducey
Republican

The 2018 Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Arizona, concurrently with the election of Arizona's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

The primary was held on August 28. [2] Despite considerably closer contests in other Arizona state elections, which included Democratic gains for U.S. Senate, Secretary of State, and Superintendent of Public Instruction, incumbent Governor Doug Ducey won a second term, with a slightly increased majority from his 2014 win and the largest margin of victory of any statewide candidate on the ballot. This was the first Arizona gubernatorial election since 1990 in which the winner was of the same party as the incumbent U.S. president. In addition, Ducey was the first person to receive 1 million votes in a gubernatorial election in the state.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Doug Ducey

Organizations

Newspapers

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Doug
Ducey		Ken
Bennett		Undecided
Emerson College [31] June 21–22, 2018305± 5.9%44%22%35%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Ducey 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 2018 AZ GOV GOP primary.svg
Results by county:
  Ducey
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [32]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Doug Ducey (incumbent) 463,672 70.7
Republican Ken Bennett191,77529.3
Republican Robert Weber (write-in)910.0
Total votes655,538 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Mirza Fareed "Fareed" Baig (write-in) [6]
  • Steve Farley, state senator [35]
  • Kelly Fryer, nonprofit executive and activist [36]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Steve
Farley		Kelly
Fryer		David
Garcia		Undecided
OH Predictive Insights [53] August 14–15, 2018589± 4.0%25%7%40%28%
Data Orbital [54] June 25–27, 2018550± 4.2%11%6%33%49%
Emerson College [55] June 21–22, 2018260± 6.2%13%8%30%48%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Garcia) [56] May 21–23, 2018400± 5.0%11%11%32%46%
Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) [57] January 5–7, 2018446–22%–43%36%

Results

Results by county: Garcia 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Farley 40-50% 2018 AZ GOV Dem primary.svg
Results by county:
  Garcia
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Farley
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results [32]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Garcia 255,555 50.6
Democratic Steve Farley163,07232.3
Democratic Kelly Fryer86,81017.2
Democratic Mirza Fareed Baig (write-in)440.0
Total votes505,481 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Disqualified

  • Jeff Funicello, activist [58]
  • Barry Hess (write-in) [6]
  • Kevin McCormick, [6] candidate for president in 2016 [59] [60]

Endorsements

Kevin McCormick

Individuals

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county: Torres 90-100% 80-90% 70-80% 60-70% Torres/Dyer tie 50-60% No votes 2018 AZ gubernatorial Green primary.svg
Results by county:
  Torres
  •   90-100%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  Torres/Dyer tie
  •   50-60%
No votes
  •   
Green primary results [63]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Angel Torres (write-in)357 76.3
Green Noah Dyer (write-in)11123.7
Total votes468 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Disqualified

  • Noah Dyer, author, businessman and educator [64] [65]
  • Christian R. Komor, author, psychologist, climate scientist [66]

Declined

General election

Debates

DatesLocationDuceyGarciaLink
September 24, 2018 Tempe, Arizona ParticipantParticipant Full debate [68] – YouTube
September 25, 2018 Tucson, Arizona ParticipantParticipant Full debate [69] – C-SPAN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [70] Likely ROctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [71] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [72] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [73] Likely RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [74] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [75] Likely RNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [76] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [77] [a] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Politico [78] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Governing [79] Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Doug
Ducey (R)		David
Garcia (D)		Angel
Torres (G)		OtherUndecided
HarrisX [80] November 3–5, 2018600± 4.0%53%39%–––
HarrisX [81] November 2–4, 2018600± 4.0%55%37%–––
Emerson College [82] November 1–3, 2018758± 3.7%55%40%––5%
HarrisX [83] November 1–3, 2018600± 4.0%57%36%–––
Research Co. [84] November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%54%39%–2%5%
HarrisX [85] October 31 – November 2, 2018600± 4.0%56%37%–––
Gravis Marketing [86] October 24 – November 2, 20181,165± 2.9%53%40%––7%
HarrisX [87] October 30 – November 1, 2018600± 4.0%57%36%–––
HarrisX [88] October 29–31, 2018600± 4.0%54%37%–––
Vox Populi Polling [89] October 27–30, 2018677± 3.7%54%46%–––
HarrisX [90] October 24–30, 20181,400± 2.6%57%35%–––
Fox News [91] October 27–29, 2018643 LV± 3.5%55%37%–2%5%
710 RV± 3.5%54%35%–3%7%
CNN/SSRS [92] October 24–29, 2018702 LV± 4.4%52%45%–0%1%
867 RV± 4.0%52%43%–0%3%
HighGround Public Affairs [93] October 26–28, 2018400± 4.9%55%35%4%–7%
Marist College [94] October 23–27, 2018506 LV± 5.4%54%40%5%<1%2%
55%42%–1%1%
793 RV± 4.4%54%38%5%<1%3%
55%41%–1%3%
YouGov [95] October 23–26, 2018972± 4.1%52%41%–1%5%
Ipsos [96] October 17–26, 2018799± 4.0%57%37%–2%3%
OH Predictive Insights [97] October 22–23, 2018600± 4.0%57%39%1%–3%
Change Research (D-Garcia) [98] October 9–10, 2018783–47%40%––11%
OH Predictive Insights [99] October 3, 2018600± 4.0%54%37%2%–7%
Data Orbital [100] October 1–3, 2018550± 4.2%52%34%2%2%9%
Fox News [101] September 29 – October 2, 2018716 LV± 3.5%55%37%–1%7%
806 RV± 3.5%54%35%–2%9%
Vox Populi Polling [102] September 29 – October 1, 2018702± 3.5%57%43%–––
Suffolk University [103] September 27–30, 2018500± 4.4%50%38%2%0%10%
Latino Decisions [104] September 10–25, 2018463 LV–45%40%––15%
610 RV–41%37%––19%
Emerson College [105] September 19–21, 2018650± 4.4%42%38%–6%14%
Marist College [106] September 16–20, 2018564 LV± 4.7%49%39%6%<1%6%
51%43%–<1%5%
763 RV± 4.2%48%37%7%<1%7%
51%42%–1%6%
CNN/SSRS [107] September 11–15, 2018761 LV± 4.3%49%46%–0%2%
854 RV± 4.1%48%45%–1%4%
Ipsos [108] September 5–14, 20181,016± 4.0%51%39%–4%7%
TargetSmart (D-ProgressNow AZ) [109] September 8–13, 2018800± 4.0%49%48%–0%3%
Fox News [110] September 8–11, 2018710 LV± 3.5%51%40%–1%8%
801 RV± 3.5%49%39%–1%10%
Gravis Marketing [111] September 5–7, 2018882± 3.3%48%44%––9%
Data Orbital [112] September 4–6, 2018550± 4.2%49%41%–2% [113] 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) [114] August 30–31, 2018554± 4.2%44%43%––13%
Gravis Marketing [115] June 27 – July 2, 2018925± 3.2%41%42%––17%
Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) [57] January 5–7, 2018735± 4.0%42%43%––15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) [116] June 7–8, 20171,020± 3.1%42%44%––14%
Hypothetical polling

with Steve Farley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Doug
Ducey (R)		Steve
Farley (D)		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [115] June 27 – July 2, 2018925± 3.2%42%39%19%
GQR Research (D-Farley) [117] February 23 – March 5, 2018500± 4.4%49%44%7%
Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) [57] January 5–7, 2018735± 4.0%42%39%19%
Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) [116] June 7–8, 20171,020± 3.1%42%40%18%

with generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Doug
Ducey (R)		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
Morning Consult [118] June 29 – July 9, 20181,641± 2.0%34%41%25%

with Kyrsten Sinema

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Doug
Ducey (R)		Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [119] May 13–15, 2016896± 3.3%43%36%21%

Results

Swing by county Legend Democratic--+5-10% Democratic--+<5% Republican--+<5% Republican--+5-10% Republican--+10-15% Republican--+15-20% Republican--+20-25% 2018 Arizona Governor swing by county margins.svg
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic—+5-10%
  •   Democratic—+<5%
  •   Republican—+<5%
  •   Republican—+5-10%
  •   Republican—+10-15%
  •   Republican—+15-20%
  •   Republican—+20-25%
Arizona gubernatorial election, 2018 [120]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Doug Ducey (incumbent) 1,330,863 56.00% +2.56%
Democratic David Garcia 994,34141.84%+0.22%
Green Angel Torres50,9622.14%N/A
Write-in 2750.01%-0.10%
Total votes2,376,441 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By county

CountyDavid Garcia
Democratic		Doug Ducey
Republican		Angel Torres
Green		MarginTotal

votes

# %# %# %#%
Apache 14,95559.72%9,17536.64%9123.64%5,78023.08%25,042
Cochise 14,57632.10%29,63865.26%1,2012.64%-15,062-33.17%45,415
Coconino 30,71255.91%22,77841.47%1,4402.62%7,93414.44%54,930
Gila 5,62327.38%14,44470.34%4682.28%-8,821-42.96%20,535
Graham 2,56924.19%7,77673.21%2762.60%-5,207-49.03%10,621
Greenlee 83232.64%1,63764.22%803.14%-805-31.58%2,549
La Paz 1,12221.99%3,85275.49%1292.53%-2,730-53.50%5,103
Maricopa 603,05542.09%800,21055.85%29,4952.06%-197,155-13.76%1,432,760
Mohave 13,58018.97%56,68279.18%1,3251.85%-43,102-60.21%71,587
Navajo 13,64637.30%21,88059.81%1,0552.88%-8,234-22.51%36,581
Pima 195,22750.25%184,62147.52%8,6782.23%10,6062.73%388,526
Pinal 38,80133.21%75,27264.42%2,7672.37%-36,471-31.21%116,840
Santa Cruz 8,40762.46%4,79235.60%2611.94%3,61526.86%13,460
Yavapai 32,15929.68%74,14868.44%2,0291.87%-41,989-38.76%108,336
Yuma 19,07743.47%23,95854.60%8461.93%-4,881-11.12%%43,881
Total994,34141.8%1,330,86356.0%50,9622.1%336,52214.2%2,376,166

By congressional district

Ducey won six of nine congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats. [121]

DistrictDavid Garcia
Democratic		Doug Ducey
Republican		Representative
1st 43.1%54.3% Tom O'Halleran
2nd 46.1%51.6% Ann Kirkpatrick
3rd 57.7%35.7% Raúl Grijalva
4th 25.1%72.9% Paul Gosar
5th 34.0%64.0% Andy Biggs
6th 38.2%60.1% David Schweikert
7th 67.3%29.6% Ruben Gallego
8th 33.2%64.6% Debbie Lesko
9th 52.2%45.5% Greg Stanton

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroupGarciaDuceyNo
answer		 % of
voters
Gender
Men4058247
Women4355253
Age
18–24 years oldN/AN/AN/A5
25–29 years oldN/AN/AN/A4
30–39 years old4552317
40–49 years old4355216
50–64 years old3761229
65 and older4059129
Race
White 3762175
Black N/AN/AN/A2
Latino 5644N/A19
Asian N/AN/AN/A1
OtherN/AN/AN/A1
Race and gender
White men3464234
White women3960141
Black menN/AN/AN/A1
Black womenN/AN/AN/A1
Latino men534619
Latina women5842N/A10
OthersN/AN/AN/A4
Education
High school or less3267125
Some college education4058228
Associate degree 3859310
Bachelor's degree 4651323
Advanced degree5940114
Education and race
White college graduates4849327
White no college degree3069138
Non-white college graduates514729
Non-white no college degree6138116
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees5049115
White women without college degrees3366126
White men with college degrees4649512
White men without college degrees2872N/A21
Non-whites5840225
Military service
Veteran3365214
Non-veteran4554186
Income
Under $30,0003662215
$30,000-$49,9995445119
$50,000-$99,9994652233
$100,000-$199,9993167224
Over $200,0002872N/A9
Party ID
Democrats 8514131
Republicans 595N/A38
Independents 4552331
Party by gender
Democratic men7720314
Democratic women919N/A17
Republican men595N/A15
Republican women496N/A23
Independent men4256218
Independent women4847513
Ideology
Liberals 8316122
Moderates 5741238
Conservatives 495140
First-time midterm election voter
Yes5145415
No4158185
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 6433342
Immigration 891131
Economy 3860218
Gun policy N/AN/AN/A7
Area type
Urban5246243
Suburban3464251
RuralN/AN/AN/A5
Source: CNN [122]

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References

  1. ↑ "Voter Registration Statistics | Arizona Secretary of State" . Retrieved May 7, 2023.
  2. ↑ Legislatures, National Conference of State. "2018 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  3. ↑ "Ducey 2018". www.ducey2018.com. Archived from the original on August 6, 2018. Retrieved February 9, 2018.
  4. ↑ Services, Howard Fischer Capitol Media (April 21, 2018). "Former Secretary of State Ken Bennett to challenge Gov. Doug Ducey in primary". Arizona Daily Star. Retrieved May 7, 2023.
  5. ↑ Services, Howard Fischer, Capitol Media (April 22, 2018). "Ducey draws primary challenge from Bennett | Arizona Capitol Times" . Retrieved May 7, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Arizona Election Information". apps.azsos.gov.[ permanent dead link ]
  7. ↑ "Arizona Realtors® Announces 2018 Primary Election Endorsements". blog.aaronline.com. June 18, 2018.
  8. ↑ "Arizona Chamber of Commerce and Industry announces 2018 statewide office endorsements". azchamber.com. June 27, 2018. Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  9. ↑ "Arizona Fraternal Order of Police Endorses Doug Ducey". Doug Ducey for Governor of Arizona. August 21, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  10. ↑ "Arizona Police Association Endorses Doug Ducey". Doug Ducey for Governor of Arizona. August 20, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  11. ↑ "Arizona State Troopers Association Endorses Doug Ducey". Doug Ducey for Governor. September 25, 2018. Archived from the original on November 1, 2018. Retrieved November 1, 2018.
  12. ↑ "Chandler Chamber announces picks for upcoming election". Wrangler News. June 22, 2018.
  13. ↑ "Greater Phoenix Chamber Announces Endorsements for 2018 State Elections". Gilbert Chamber of Commerce. Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  14. ↑ "Greater Phoenix Chamber Endorses Governor Ducey". phoenixchamber.com. June 28, 2018.
  15. ↑ Skabelund, Adrian. "Garcia visits Flagstaff as chamber chooses Ducey for governor". Arizona Daily Sun. Retrieved November 1, 2018.
  16. ↑ "Mesa Chamber Announces 2018 Candidate Endorsements". mesachamber.org. June 27, 2018. Archived from the original on July 3, 2018. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  17. ↑ "Border Patrol Unions Back Arizona Gov. Ducey for Re-Election". usnews.com . Associated Press. September 10, 2018.
  18. ↑ "Small Business PAC Endorses Governor Ducey for Re-election". NFIB. September 26, 2018. Retrieved November 1, 2018.
  19. ↑ "Arizona Firefighters Endorse Doug Ducey". Doug Ducey for Governor. October 16, 2018. Archived from the original on November 1, 2018. Retrieved November 1, 2018.
  20. ↑ "Tucson Metro Chamber Endorses Governor Ducey". Doug Ducey for Governor of Arizona. October 5, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  21. ↑ "Star Opinion: Doug Ducey for Arizona governor". Arizona Daily Star. October 15, 2018.
  22. ↑ "The Arizona Republic Endorses Doug Ducey". Doug Ducey for Governor of Arizona. August 1, 2018. Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  23. ↑ "Governor's race". Casa Grande Dispatch . July 18, 2018.
  24. ↑ "Editorial: Courier offers picks in partisan races, ballot questions". The Daily Courier. October 20, 2018.
  25. ↑ "Our View: Let Ducey keep on building the Arizona economy in a second term". Today's News-Herald. October 20, 2018.
  26. 1 2 3 "Doug Ducey Earns Bipartisan Support From Border Mayors". Doug Ducey for Governor of Arizona. September 18, 2018. Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  27. 1 2 3 "Arizona Sheriffs Endorse Governor Ducey". Doug Ducey for Governor of Arizona. October 4, 2018. Archived from the original on November 16, 2018. Retrieved October 12, 2018.
  28. ↑ Maria Polletta (September 26, 2018). "Cindy McCain endorses Doug Ducey in governor's race". The Arizona Republic .
  29. ↑ Mike Pence. "Congratulations to @DougDucey on his primary victory tonight in Arizona. We need strong governors like Doug across this nation to help enact the @RealDonaldTrump agenda that has our economy BOOMING! We're with you all the way!". Twitter.
  30. ↑ Donald J. Trump. "Governor Doug Ducey of Arizona is doing a great job. It would be really nice to show your support tomorrow by voting for him in Tuesdays Primary. Doug is strong on Crime, the Border, and our Second Amendment. Loves our Military & our Vets. He has my full and complete Endorsement". Twitter.
  31. ↑ Emerson College Archived 2018-09-06 at the Wayback Machine
  32. 1 2 "Statewide canvass" (PDF). azsos.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 12, 2018. Retrieved September 14, 2018.
  33. ↑ Resnik, Brahm (April 7, 2017). "Democrat David Garcia to announce run for Arizona governor". 12 News. Archived from the original on September 18, 2017. Retrieved April 9, 2017.
  34. ↑ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett. "Democrat David Garcia challenging Doug Ducey for Arizona governor". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved May 7, 2023.
  35. ↑ Nunez, Steve. "Democrat Kelly Fryer announces run for AZ governor. Democrat Steve Farley announces run for AZ governor". Archived from the original on June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 6, 2017.
  36. ↑ Ferguson, Joe (January 8, 2018). "Tucson Democrat Kelly Fryer enters race for governor". Arizona Daily Star. Retrieved May 7, 2023.
  37. ↑ "Valdez: Who do politicians love? Here's why you need to see the donor list" . Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  38. ↑ Cohen, Zach C. (December 8, 2016). "FWIW, @RepSinema (D-AZ) told me yesterday, "I am not running for governor."". Twitter. Retrieved December 8, 2016.
  39. ↑ Gardiner, Dustin (November 1, 2016). "Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton eyeing run for statewide office". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved November 4, 2016.
  40. ↑ Boehm, Jessica (October 5, 2017). "Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton announces run for Congress". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  41. ↑ "AFGE | Vote 2018". www.afge.org.
  42. ↑ "AZBTC endorses candidates running for statewide office". Arizona Building Trades. May 10, 2018.
  43. ↑ Ball, Amy; Gould, Amber; Thomas, Joe (March 7, 2018). "AEA Endorses David Garcia for Governor of Arizona". www.arizonaea.org. Archived from the original on April 12, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
  44. ↑ "Our Candidates". CWA Political. Archived from the original on April 3, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
  45. ↑ "Democracy for America Endorses David Garcia for Governor and January Contreras for Attorney General".
  46. ↑ "Current Candidates". LatinoVictory.us. Archived from the original on April 22, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
  47. ↑ "PFAW Announces Endorsements of History-Making Candidates for Governor" . Retrieved May 7, 2023.
  48. ↑ "Endorsement". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
  49. ↑ "Join the Bold Progressive Movement!". Progressive Change Campaign Committee (BoldProgressives.org).
  50. ↑ "Voter guide" (PDF). www.sierraclub.org. 2018.
  51. ↑ Sotlz, Jon (May 3, 2018). "VoteVets PAC Endorses David Garcia for Governor". VoteVets.org.
  52. ↑ "Our 2018 Endorsements". Working Families. March 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 26, 2018. Retrieved May 6, 2018.
  53. ↑ OH Predictive Insights
  54. ↑ Data Orbital Archived 2018-07-03 at the Wayback Machine
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  59. ↑ "McCormick For Governor Announcement". YouTube . September 14, 2017. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
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  61. ↑ "Weld Endorses McCormick". Facebook.
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  64. ↑ "Noah Dyer announces his bid for Arizona governor". azcentral.
  65. ↑ Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne (July 26, 2017). "Fed up with Democrats, Arizona governor candidate Noah Dyer changes to independent". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  66. ↑ "2018 Senate Congressional General Election Candidates" (PDF). County Supervisors Association of Arizona. Retrieved July 11, 2019.
  67. ↑ "Jeffries Will Not Run For Governor, Will Proceed With Lawsuit". Arizona Daily Independent. January 22, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  68. ↑ Full debate
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  71. ↑ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post . October 16, 2018.
  72. ↑ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  73. ↑ "2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  74. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
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  115. 1 2 Gravis Marketing
  116. 1 2 Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia)
  117. ↑ GQR Research (D-Farley)
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