2018 United States Senate election in Delaware

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2018 United States Senate election in Delaware
Flag of Delaware.svg
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Turnout52.18%
  Tom Carper, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped 2).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Tom Carper Rob Arlett
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote217,385137,127
Percentage59.95%37.81%
Delaware state election results.svg
2018 Delaware Senate election results by house district.svg
DE Senate 2018.svg
Carper:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Arlett:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No data
U.S. senator before election

Tom Carper
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tom Carper
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Contents

The primary for this U.S. Senate election was held on Thursday, September 6, 2018. [1] The Democratic Party nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Tom Carper and the Republican Party nominated Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper was re-elected to a fourth, and ultimately final, term. Despite Carper's victory, Arlett managed to flip Sussex County, typically a reliably Republican county in Delaware. This subsequently marked the first time Carper lost the county since his first election to the Senate in 2000.

Background

Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2012 against Republican Kevin Wade.

Carper, the incumbent U.S. senator, was challenged in the Democratic primary by Dover activist Kerri Evelyn Harris. Carper previously faced a primary challenge in the 2012 election from businessman Keith Spanarelli. However, Carper defeated Spanarelli by around 70 points. Carper went on to defeat Harris by around 30 points. It was the most competitive Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Delaware in two decades.

The main declared candidates in the Republican primary were Sussex County councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono, with a perennial candidacy from businessman Rocky De La Fuente, who also ran for Senate in seven other states. [2] Another candidate withdrew before the primary. Rob Arlett defeated Gene Truono in a landslide to win the Republican nomination.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Tykiem Booker, activist [5]

Declined

Endorsements

Tom Carper
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State executive branch officials
  • Rita Landgraf, former Secretary of Delaware Health and Social Services
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Kerri Evelyn Harris
State legislators
County councilpersons

City Councilpersons

Political candidates
Individuals
Organizations
Media
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate

Debates

Delaware newspaper The News Journal hosted a 90-minute debate on August 27, 2018, for the Democratic primary between Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris at Cab Calloway School of the Arts. [29] [51] Republican candidate businessman Gene Truono answered questions from panelists before Carper and Harris debated. Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett was also invited, but declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Carper		Kerri Evelyn
Harris		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [52] July 24–29, 2018354± 5.2%51%19%30%

Results

Results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Carper--60-70% 2018 DE US Senate Dem primary.svg
Results by county
  Carper—60–70%
Democratic primary results [53]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom Carper (incumbent) 53,633 64.59%
Democratic Kerri Evelyn Harris29,40635.41%
Total votes83,039 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Chuck Boyce, businessman [56] [57] (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Declined

  • Ken Simpler, State Treasurer (running for re-election) [58]
  • Kevin Wade, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2012 and 2014 (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Endorsements

Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
  • Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
Individuals
Gene Truono
State legislators
Republican Party officials
Political candidates
  • Lee Murphy, actor and Republican candidate for U.S. House of Representatives in Delaware
Individuals
  • Mitch Denham, Delaware Gun Rights
  • John Foltz, 11th District chairman
  • David Gilefski, Western NCC Region chairman
  • Shawn Michael Greener, radio host [67]
  • Dick Heller ( District of Columbia v. Heller )
  • Mark Keith Robinson, NRA affiliate
  • Maj Toure, Black Guns Matter
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate

Debates

Councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono had four debates in total. They were normally live streamed on Facebook and uploaded to YouTube. A fifth debate was planned, but Truono withdrew from the debate because he the organizers refused to give him control over what questions could not be asked. Instead organizers held a forum with all the other candidates for the U.S. Senate and other state offices. Five candidates attended that forum.

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Rob
Arlett		Rocky
De La Fuente		Gene
Truono		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [52] July 24–29, 2018288± 5.8%19%7%15%60%

Results

Results by county Map legend Arlett--70-80% Arlett--60-70% Arlett--50-60% 2018 DE US Senate GOP primary.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Arlett—70–80%
  •   Arlett—60–70%
  •   Arlett—50–60%
Republican primary results [53]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rob Arlett 25,284 66.77%
Republican Gene Truono10,58727.96%
Republican Rocky De La Fuente 1,9985.28%
Total votes37,869 100.00%

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Demitri Theodoropoulos, small business owner [70]

Declined

Endorsements

Demitri Theodoropoulos
Organizations

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Not to be confused with the Independent Party of Delaware, which did not run a candidate for the 2018 United States Senate election.

Candidates

Declared

  • Barry Eveland (write-in) [71]
  • Todd Farina, ticket company owner (write-in)
  • Matthew Water Stout, write-in presidential candidate in 2016 (write-in) [71] [72]

General election

Endorsements

Bold text indicates endorsement was given before the primary.

Tom Carper
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Governors
Other state executive branch officials
State legislators
Political candidates
Individuals
  • Matthew Albright, moderator of the Democratic primary debate [11]
  • Sandra Hall, 2016 Delaware Teacher of the Year
  • Douglas E. Krantz, rabbi [12]
  • Sonia Schorr Sloan, former Delaware president of the board of Planned Parenthood
  • Jon Soltz, chairman of VoteVets [13]
  • Laura Thein, former Disabilities Caucus Chair of Young Democrats of America [78]
Organizations
Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
  • Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
Individuals
Organizations
Demitri Theodoropoulos
Organizations
Media
  • Hijacked Radio Podcast
  • The Politics of Courage [84]
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse Tom Carper
  • Tykiem Booker, former candidate
  • Kerri Evelyn Harris, former candidate
  • Coby Owens, social justice activist, CEO of Youth Caucus of America, and 2016 delegate for Bernie Sanders
  • Justice Democrats
Declined to endorse Rob Arlett

Debates

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono
On August 20, 2018, the Greater Hockessin Area Development Association (GHADA) hosted a two-hour debate at the Hockessin Memorial Hall between Democratic candidate Kerri Evelyn Harris and Republican candidate Gene Truono. Tom Carper and Rob Arlett were also invited to the debate, but did not attend. Carper was not present because of the U.S. Senate's extended session due to session ceasing early the Thursday prior because of the death of former governor and U.S. Senator of Nevada, Paul Laxalt. [85] Arlett declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict. [86]

with Tom Carper and Rob Arlett
The debate gained national attention after Republican candidate Rob Arlett brought up Democratic senator Tom Carper’s past controversy of domestic abuse.

with Tom Carper, Rob Arlett, Nadine Frost, and Demitri Theodoropoulos

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [87] Safe DOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [88] Safe DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [89] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [90] Safe DApril 9, 2018
Fox News [91] Likely DJuly 9, 2018
CNN [92] Safe DJuly 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics [93] Safe DJune 2018
FiveThirtyEight [94] Safe DSeptember 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Carper (D)		Rob
Arlett (R)		Nadine
Frost (L)		Demitri
Theodoropoulos (G)		Undecided
University of Delaware [95] September 11–17, 2018728 LV–61%24%3%3%9%
908 RV± 3.7%60%22%5%2%12%
Gravis Marketing [52] July 24–29, 2018884± 3.3%47%39%––14%
Hypothetical polling

with Tom Carper and Gene Truono

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Carper (D)		Gene
Truono (R)		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [52] July 24–29, 2018884± 3.3%47%38%15%

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Rob Arlett

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kerri Evelyn
Harris (D)		Rob
Arlett (R)		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [52] July 24–29, 2018884± 3.3%42%35%23%

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kerri Evelyn
Harris (D)		Gene
Truono (R)		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [52] July 24–29, 2018884± 3.3%40%37%23%

Results

Results by Precinct: Carper 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% Arlett 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware results map by precinct.svg
Results by Precinct:
Carper
  •      40-50%
  •      50-60%
  •      60-70%
  •      70-80%
  •      80-90%
  •      90-100%
Arlett
  •      40-50%
  •      50-60%
  •      60-70%
  •      70-80%
United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018 [96]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Tom Carper (incumbent) 217,385 59.95% −6.47%
Republican Rob Arlett137,12737.81%+8.85%
Green Demitri Theodoropoulos4,1701.15%+0.35%
Libertarian Nadine Frost3,9101.09%N/A
Total votes362,592 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018 - Ballotpedia" . Retrieved December 23, 2017.
  2. 1 2 "California businessman running for US Senate in Delaware--and 7 other states". wdel.com.
  3. ↑ @kailanikm (July 24, 2017). "Sen. Tom Carper (D-DE) announced in interview w/ @ChrisJansing on #MTPDaily right now that he's running for re-election in 2018" (Tweet). Retrieved July 24, 2017– via Twitter.
  4. ↑ "Dover community activist to challenge Tom Carper".
  5. ↑ "BOOKER, TYKIEM - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  6. ↑ "FILED CANDIDATES BY OFFICE". Delaware Department of Elections.
  7. 1 2 3 "Biden wades into Delaware primary on behalf of Carper". NBC News . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  8. 1 2 "Tom Carper for Delaware". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  9. 1 2 "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Tom Carper for Senate in Delaware - Giffords". August 17, 2018. Archived from the original on August 26, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  10. 1 2 @debraheffernan (September 6, 2018). "Please join me in voting for Senator @TomCarperforDE ! Tom has the experience & strong passion for Delaware. No one is better equipped to lead the fight against #Trump politics" (Tweet). Retrieved September 19, 2018– via Twitter.
  11. 1 2 @tnj_malbright (August 30, 2018). "This was a tough decision for the editorial board. @KerriHarrisDE has run an excellent campaign and has impressed us greatly with her passion and eloquence. She made an excellent case for herself in Monday's debate. #netDE" (Tweet). Retrieved September 19, 2018– via Twitter.
  12. 1 2 "Tom Carper on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  13. 1 2 "VoteVets on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  14. 1 2 Campaign, Human Rights. "HRC Endorses Sen. Carper & Rep. Blunt Rochester for Re-Election - Human Rights Campaign". Human Rights Campaign. Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  15. 1 2 "The News Journal's editorial board endorses Tom Carper in the U.S. Senate primary" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  16. ↑ "A Democrat from Dover is challenging Senator Tom Carper in the September primary".
  17. ↑ "Ilhan Omar on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  18. ↑ "Nina Turner on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  19. ↑ "Go Vote! Rally for Racial and Economic Justice!". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  20. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  21. ↑ "Ayanna Pressley on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  22. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  23. ↑ "Adrienne Bell on Twitter".
  24. ↑ "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter".
  25. ↑ Bricker, Kristin (August 28, 2018). "Kerri was at last night's Delaware NORML meeting to talk about her candidacy and stance on marijuana (or "cannabis" as the group's members prefer to call it)". Team Kerri on Facebook.
  26. ↑ "The Humanist Report🌹 on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  27. ↑ "Coby Owens on Twitter".
  28. ↑ "Opposing view: Why you should vote for Kerri Harris for U.S. Senate" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  29. 1 2 Grim, Ryan (August 11, 2018). "Tom Carper Agrees to Debate Kerri Harris as Reinforcements Arrive for Insurgent Challenger" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  30. 1 2 "YouTube: Kerri Evelyn Harris Calls Out Wall St. Democrat". YouTube .
  31. ↑ "YouTube: Help Kerri Evelyn Harris Win Senate Race!". YouTube .
  32. ↑ The Young Turks (August 21, 2018). "Cenk Uygur RIPS Into Democratic Senator" . Retrieved September 19, 2018– via YouTube.
  33. ↑ "Winifred on Twitter".
  34. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  35. ↑ "CPD Action on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  36. ↑ "Common Defense #VetsAgainstTrump on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  37. 1 2 "Endorsements - Kerri Evelyn Harris - Democrat for US Senate". www.kerrievelynharris.com. Archived from the original on August 13, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  38. ↑ "Democratic Socialists of Delaware". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  39. ↑ "Democracy for America on Twitter".
  40. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  41. ↑ "Harris Endorsed by Justice Democrats". May 22, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  42. ↑ "Our Revolution on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  43. ↑ The People for Bernie Sanders [@People4Bernie] (July 17, 2018). ".@KerriHarrisDE is an activist, a community organizer and a veteran of the United States Air Force. She's an incredible movement leader and we're so proud to endorse her campaign for US Senate. Join the political revolution: http://www.kerrievelynharris.com" (Tweet). Retrieved July 17, 2018– via Twitter.
  44. ↑ "ProgActNet on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  45. ↑ "Progressive Democrats for Delaware on Twitter".
  46. ↑ "Working Families Party on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  47. ↑ "Kerri Evelyn Harris". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  48. ↑ "Tom Carper and the third way".
  49. ↑ "Delaware Liberal Primary Endorsements : Delaware Liberal". www.delawareliberal.net. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  50. ↑ Greenwald, Glenn; Grim, Ryan (July 12, 2018). "The Team That Helped Elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Has Its Next Mission: Lifting Kerri Harris Over Sen. Tom Carper" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  51. ↑ "Watch Democratic U.S. Senate candidates Sen. Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris debate" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  52. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Gravis Marketing
  53. 1 2 "2018 Delaware primary election results". Archived from the original on December 28, 2018. Retrieved June 12, 2019.
  54. ↑ "Sussex Councilman Arlett Announces U.S. Senate Bid". Salisbury, MD: WBOC-TV. April 17, 2018. Retrieved April 17, 2018.
  55. ↑ "TRUONO, EUGENE (GENE) J JR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  56. ↑ Goss, Scott (March 22, 2017). "Republican U.S. Senate candidate Chuck Boyce dropping out of race". The News Journal . Retrieved March 19, 2018.
  57. ↑ Petree, Rob (April 23, 2018). "Former candidate Chuck Boyce endorses Rob Arlett for U.S. Senate". WXDE . Archived from the original on April 23, 2018. Retrieved April 28, 2018.
  58. ↑ "State of Delaware - Department of Elections · New Castle County Office - 2016 Filed Candidates". electionsncc.delaware.gov. Archived from the original on March 20, 2018. Retrieved March 19, 2018.
  59. 1 2 "Rob Arlett for US Senate on Twitter".
  60. 1 2 "Carter Clark (@carterclarkkkk) • Instagram photos and videos". instagram.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  61. 1 2 "Coach Glanden on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  62. 1 2 "Bobby Halton on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  63. 1 2 "Charlie Kirk on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  64. 1 2 "Rob Arlett Responds To The News That Bobby Knight Will Attend His Rally & Fundraiser". June 8, 2018. Archived from the original on October 1, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  65. 1 2 "Michael F. McMahon on Twitter".
  66. 1 2 "Frank Ricci on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  67. ↑ "Shawn Michael Greener on Facebook". Facebook .
  68. ↑ https://twitter.com/nevercarper/status/1037107549999443969 [ dead link ]
  69. ↑ "The News Journal editorial board endorses Gene Truono in the Republican Senate primary" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  70. 1 2 "Candidates file for primaries" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  71. 1 2 "Declared Write-In Candidates, November 6, 2018 General Election" (PDF). State of Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved August 24, 2018.
  72. ↑ "The Green Papers: Delaware 2016 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved September 10, 2018.
  73. ↑ "Chris Coons on Facebook". Facebook .
  74. ↑ "Lisa Blunt Rochester on Twitter".
  75. ↑ "Matthew Bittle on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  76. ↑ "John Carney on Instagram: "Thank you to everyone who came out to the Sussex County Jamboree this weekend! We have a great slate of candidates this year, and I'm…"". Instagram. Archived from the original on December 26, 2021. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  77. ↑ "Laura Sturgeon". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  78. ↑ https://twitter.com/tomcarperforde/status/1057634672077811713 [ dead link ]
  79. ↑ "Candidates We Endorse and Support".
  80. ↑ Tom Carper for Delaware (October 29, 2018). "The polls open in 8 days! Here are 8 organizations endorsing Tom Carper for U.S. Senate". Facebook .
  81. ↑ Patriot Majority (October 23, 2018). "Tom Carper will fight to improve the quality of our health care system". Facebook .
  82. ↑ "ENDORSEMENTS". Sierra Club . March 19, 2021.
  83. ↑ "New Castle County GOP chairman resigns, blasts party and U.S. Senate candidate Rob Arlett".
  84. ↑ "Politics of Courage on Twitter" . Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  85. ↑ "**Live from GHADA US Senate candidates debate/forum**". Facebook .
  86. ↑ "Delaware Senate Candidates Debate Set for August 27".
  87. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  88. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  89. ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  90. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . June 5, 2018.
  91. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News . Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  92. ↑ "Key Races: Senate" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  93. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  94. ↑ "Delaware - 2018 Senate Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. September 11, 2018. Retrieved September 25, 2018.
  95. ↑ University of Delaware
  96. ↑ "State of Delaware General Election (Official Results)". State of Delaware Election Commissioner. Retrieved November 6, 2018.

Official campaign websites

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