2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

Last updated

2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election
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←  2014 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2022  →
  Asa Hutchinson crop (3x4b).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Asa Hutchinson Jared Henderson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote582,406283,218
Percentage65.33%31.77%
2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election by CD.svg
Arkansas 2018 Governor Township Results.svg
2018 AR Gov.svg
Hutchinson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Henderson:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%
Governor before election

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

Elected Governor

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

The 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Asa Hutchinson won re-election to a second term, winning by more than 33 percentage points and carrying all but seven counties, marking the largest winning margin of any Republican gubernatorial candidate in Arkansas history.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Asa Hutchinson
Federal officials
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Asa
Hutchinson		Jan
Morgan		Undecided
Hendrix College April 17–19, 2018676± 3.8%58%31%12%

Results

Results by county: Hutchinson .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} 80-90% 70-80% 60-70% 50-60% Morgan 50-60% Arkansas gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Hutchinson
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Morgan
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) 145,251 69.7
Republican Jan Morgan63,00930.3
Total votes208,260 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Results by county: Henderson 70-80% 60-70% 50-60% Sanders 50-60% Arkansas gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Henderson
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Sanders
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jared Henderson 68,340 63.4
Democratic Leticia Sanders39,38236.6
Total votes107,722 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declined

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Safe ROctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [19] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [20] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [21] Safe RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [23] Safe RNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [24] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [25] [lower-alpha 1] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Politico [26] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Governing [27] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

DatesLocationHutchinsonHendersonWestLink
September 12, 2018 Little Rock, Arkansas Didn't participateParticipantParticipant Full debate - YouTube
October 12, 2018 Conway, Arkansas ParticipantParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Asa
Hutchinson (R)		Jared
Henderson (D)		Mark
West (L)		OtherUndecided
University of Arkansas October 1–28, 2018618± 3.9%59%35%–6%–
Hendrix College October 18–19, 2018528± 4.3%60%24%5%–11%
Hendrix College September 5–7, 20181,701± 2.4%60%25%6%–9%
Mason-Dixon March 21–24, 2018625± 4.0%63%24%––13%

Results

2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) 582,406 65.33% +9.89%
Democratic Jared Henderson283,21831.77%−9.72%
Libertarian Mark West25,8852.90%+0.98%
Total votes891,509 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Hutchinson won all 4 congressional districts. [29]

DistrictHutchinsonHendersonRepresentative
1st 69%27% Rick Crawford
2nd 59%39% French Hill
3rd 66%31% Steve Womack
4th 69%28% Bruce Westerman

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 Wickline, Michael R. (January 3, 2017). "Arkansas governor to hold fundraiser for term 2; re-election bid not yet formally announced". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette . Retrieved January 3, 2017.
  2. ↑ Wickline, Michael R. (May 17, 2017). "Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson to pursue second term". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette . Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  3. ↑ Lanning, Curt (October 3, 2017). "Gov. Hutchinson May Have a GOP Challenger". KNWA-TV . Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  4. ↑ "Republican Jan Morgan Announces Run for Arkansas Governor". U.S. News & World Report. January 1, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2018.
  5. ↑ Ramsey, David (April 18, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Tim Griffin "opposes Obamacare" (duh), dodges questions on "Arkansas Works"". Arkansas Times . Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  6. ↑ DeMillo, Andrew (July 11, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Griffin says he's seeking re-election". Log Cabin Democrat . Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  7. ↑ Donald J. Trump. ".@AsaHutchinson, the great Governor of Arkansas, is in a primary tomorrow. He has done an incredible job with a focus on lower taxes, border security, and crime prevention. Asa loves our military and our veterans. I fully endorse Asa for Governor!". Twitter.
  8. ↑ "NRA Endorses Governor Asa Hutchinson In Re-Election Bid". 5newsonline.com . September 20, 2018. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020.
  9. ↑ "EDITORIAL: For Asa Hutchinson". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette . October 23, 2018.
  10. ↑ Brock, Roby (December 12, 2017). "Jared Henderson to run as Democratic candidate for Governor". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
  11. ↑ "Meet Jan Morgan, GOP Candidate For Arkansas Governor". KFSM. March 27, 2018. Retrieved April 8, 2018.
  12. ↑ Brock, Roby (November 28, 2017). "Former State Rep. Jay Martin eyeing run for governor on Democratic ticket". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved November 29, 2017.
  13. ↑ "Martin says time is not right to run for Arkansas governor's office". Talk Business & Politics. December 1, 2017. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
  14. ↑ "Radio host Bobby Bones considering run for Ark. governor". THV11 Digital, KTHV. January 3, 2017. Archived from the original on January 4, 2017. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
  15. ↑ Taha, Nada (March 14, 2017). "Bobby Makes Official Statement On Political Plans". The Bobby Bones Show . Archived from the original on March 20, 2017. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  16. ↑ Wickline, Michael R. (June 28, 2017). "Libertarian to run for governor's post". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette . Retrieved June 28, 2017.
  17. ↑ Lampe, Ellen (June 27, 2017). "Libertarian Party Candidate Announces Run for AR Governor". ArkansasMatters.com. Retrieved June 28, 2017.
  18. ↑ "2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
  19. ↑ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post . October 16, 2018.
  20. ↑ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  21. ↑ "2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  22. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  23. ↑ "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . October 9, 2018.
  24. ↑ "2018 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos . June 5, 2018.
  25. ↑ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News . August 2, 2023.
  26. ↑ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico .
  27. ↑ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
  28. ↑ "2018 Arkansas Gubernatorial election" . Retrieved January 6, 2022.
  29. ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 19, 2024.
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