2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  

All 5 Oregon seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election41
Seats won41
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote1,061,412702,531
Percentage57.45%38.02%
SwingIncrease2.svg 3.74%Decrease2.svg 0.21%

Oregon Congressional Election Results 2018 and 2020.svg
Oregon US House Election Results By County 2018.svg

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Oregon; one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The primaries were held on May 15, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

Contents

All five incumbents were re-elected, leaving Oregon at a 4–1 split in favor of the Democrats.

Overview

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon by district: [1]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 231,19863.65%116,44632.06%15,6054.30%363,249100.0%Democratic hold
District 2 145,29839.41%207,59756.30%15,8144.29%368,709100.0%Republican hold
District 3 279,01972.60%76,18719.82%29,1207.58%384,326100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 208,71055.97%152,41440.87%11,7693.16%372,893100.0%Democratic hold
District 5 197,18755.01%149,88741.81%11,3953.18%358,469100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,061,41257.45%702,53138.02%83,7034.53%1,847,646100.0%

District 1

2018 Oregon's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2016
2020  
  Suzanne Bonamici, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Suzanne Bonamici John Verbeek
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote231,198116,446
Percentage63.6%32.1%

2018 OR-01 Election by County.svg
County results
Bonamici:     40–50%     50–60%     60-70%     80-90%

OR1 House 2018.svg
Precinct results
Bonamici:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Verbeek:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Suzanne Bonamici
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Suzanne Bonamici
Democratic

The 1st district is located in northwestern Oregon and stretches from coastal cities of the Astoria and Seaside, to the parts of Portland and the surrounding suburbs such as Beaverton, Hillsboro, and Newberg. This district had a PVI of D+9. The incumbent was Democrat Suzanne Bonamici, who had represented the district since 2012. She was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2016. She faced Republican nominee John Verbeek in the November 2018 general election.

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) 69,774 91.7
Democratic Ricky Barajas2,9453.9
Democratic Michael E. Stansfield2,9363.8
Democratic Write-ins4240.6
Total votes76,079 100.0

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Verbeek 21,191 50.6
Republican George Griffith17,04940.7
Republican Preston L. Miller3,2287.7
Republican Write-ins4021.0
Total votes41,870 100.0

Independent primary

Primary results

Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Party Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) (write-in) 406 32.8
Independent Party Other write-ins83267.2
Total votes1,238 100

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [7] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [9] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [10] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538 [11] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [12] Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [13] Safe DNovember 2, 2018

Results

Oregon's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) [14] 231,198 63.6 +4.0
Republican John Verbeek116,44632.1−4.9
Libertarian Drew A. Layda [15] 15,1214.2+1.0
n/a Write-ins4840.1−0.1
Total votes363,249 100.0 N/A
Democratic hold

District 2

2018 Oregon's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2016
2020  
  Greg Walden, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg JMSCrop.jpg
Nominee Greg Walden Jamie McLeod-Skinner
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote207,597145,298
Percentage56.3%39.4%

2018 OR-02 Election by County.svg
County results
Walden:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Skinner:     40–50%     60–70%

OR2 House 2018.svg
Precinct results
Walden:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Skinner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Greg Walden
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Walden
Republican

Oregon's second district is made up of rural eastern Oregon and stretches into southern Oregon, including Bend, Klamath Falls, and Medford. This was the most Republican district in Oregon, with a PVI of R+11.

The incumbent, Republican Greg Walden of Hood River, was re-nominated in the May 2018 primary election. He had represented the district since 1999, and was re-elected with 72% of the vote in 2016. He had faced little serious opposition in recent years, but in 2018 was heavily criticized by constituents for helping to write a bill to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act. [16]

Democrat Jamie McLeod-Skinner of Terrebonne [17] won her party's nomination in May 2018. [16] She had criticized Walden for skipping public events and declining to take strong stands on behalf of his constituents. [17] Incumbent Walden agreed in July to debate McLeod-Skinner, but as of early September, no debate had been scheduled. [18]

As of November 2018, national handicappers considered the district "safe Republican." [16]

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jamie McLeod-Skinner 25,351 42.8
Democratic Jennifer Neahring14,02023.7
Democratic James Crary6,77411.4
Democratic Tim S. White3,4695.9
Democratic Raz Mason3,1375.3
Democratic Eric Burnette2,7344.6
Democratic Michael Byrne2,5464.3
Democratic Write-ins1,1732.0
Total votes59,204 100.0

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg Walden (incumbent) 71,543 77.3
Republican Paul J. Romero Jr15,18116.4
Republican Randy Pollock5,5146.0
Republican Write-ins2800.3
Total votes92,518 100.0

Independent primary

Primary results

Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Party Mark R. Roberts 3,441 66.0
Independent Party Write-ins1,77334.0
Total votes5,214 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [10] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [11] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [12] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [13] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Walden (R)
Jamie
McLeod-Skinner (D)
Mark
Roberts (I)
Undecided
Patinkin Research Strategies (D-McLeod-Skinner) [28] October 11–12, 2018400± 5.0%49%40%7%5%

Results

This was the closest race ever in Greg Walden's political history, the first time he had received less than 60% of the votes.

Oregon's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Greg Walden (incumbent) 207,597 56.3 −15.4
Democratic Jamie McLeod-Skinner 145,29839.4+11.4
Independent Party Mark Roberts15,5364.2N/A
n/a Write-ins2780.1−0.2
Total votes368,709 100.0 N/A
Republican hold

District 3

2018 Oregon's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2016
2020  
  Earl Blumenauer official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped2) .jpg 3x4.svg 3x4.svg
Nominee Earl Blumenauer Thomas HarrisonMarc Koller
Party Democratic Republican Independent Party
Alliance Pacific Green
Popular vote279,01976,18721,352
Percentage72.6%19.8%5.6%

2018 OR-03 Election by County.svg
County results
Blumenaur:     70–80%
Harrison:     40–50%

OR3 House 2018.svg
Precinct results
Blumenaur:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Harrison:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Earl Blumenauer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Earl Blumenauer
Democratic

The 3rd district is centered around the city of Portland, and includes the surrounding suburbs such as Estacada, Fairview, and Gresham. This was the most Democratic-friendly district in the state, with a PVI of D+24. The incumbent was Democrat Earl Blumenauer, who had represented the district since 1996. He was re-elected with 72% of the vote in 2016. He faced Independent Party nominee Marc Koller and Republican write-in nominee Tom Harrison in the November 2018 general election.

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) 91,226 90.8
Democratic Ben Lavine6,0086.0
Democratic Charles Rand Barnett1,5861.6
Democratic Eric Hafner1,3771.4
Democratic Write-ins2910.3
Total votes100,488 100.0

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Thomas Harrison (write-in)104 6.6
Republican Other write-ins1,47093.4
Total votes1,574 100.0

Independent primary

Primary results

Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Party Marc W. Koller 930 42.0
Independent Party David W. Walker74133.5
Independent Party Write-ins54224.5
Total votes2,213 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [7] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [9] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [10] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538 [11] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [12] Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [13] Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Results

Oregon's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) 279,019 72.6
Republican Tom Harrison76,18719.8
Independent Party Marc Koller [29] 21,3525.6
Libertarian Gary Dye5,7671.5
Constitution Michael Marsh1,4870.4
n/a Write-ins5140.1
Total votes384,326 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2018 Oregon's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2016
2020  
  Peter DeFazio official photo.jpg Art Robinson.jpg
Nominee Peter DeFazio Art Robinson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote208,710152,414
Percentage56.0%40.9%

2018 OR-04 Election by County.svg
County results
DeFazio:     60–70%     70–80%
Robinson:     50–60%

OR4 House 2018.svg
Precinct results
DeFazio:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Robinson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Peter DeFazio
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter DeFazio
Democratic

The 4th district is located in the South Coast region of Oregon. Cities in this district include Coos Bay, Eugene, and Roseburg. This was a highly competitive district, with an even PVI. The incumbent was Democrat Peter DeFazio, who had represented the district since 1987. He was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2016. He faced Art Robinson for the fifth time; Robinson had been the Republican nominee in the district in every election since 2010.

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Peter A. DeFazio (incumbent) 78,575 91.4
Democratic Daniel Arcangel6,6727.8
Democratic Write-ins7170.8
Total votes85,964 100.0

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Arthur B. Robinson 30,384 45.5
Republican Court Boice15,77323.6
Republican Jo Rae Perkins 13,89220.8
Republican Michael Polen3,9705.9
Republican Stefan G. Strek2,2443.4
Republican Write-ins5030.8
Total votes66,766 100.0

Independent primary

Primary results

Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Party Peter A. DeFazio (incumbent) (write-in) 888 32.9
Independent Party Other write-ins1,81167.1
Total votes2,699 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [7] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [9] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [10] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538 [11] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [12] Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [13] Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Results

Oregon's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Peter DeFazio (incumbent) [35] 208,710 56.0
Republican Art Robinson [36] 152,41440.9
Pacific Green Mike Beilstein5,9561.6
Libertarian Richard Jacobson5,3701.4
n/a Write-ins4430.1
Total votes372,893 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

2018 Oregon's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2016
2020  
  Kurt Schrader official photo (cropped).jpg Mark Callahan.jpg
Nominee Kurt Schrader Mark Callahan
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote197,187149,887
Percentage55.0%41.8%

2018 OR-05 Election by County.svg
County results
Schrader:     40–50%     50–60%     70-80%

OR5 House 2018.svg
Precinct results
Schrader:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Callahan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Kurt Schrader
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kurt Schrader
Democratic

The 5th district is centered around the state capital, Salem. The district stretches from the Central Coast region to the southern Portland suburbs, including Lake Oswego, Wilsonville, and Oregon City. The district was highly competitive, with an even PVI. The incumbent was Democrat Kurt Schrader, who had represented the district since 2009. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2016. He faced Republican nominee Mark Callahan in the November 2018 general election.

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kurt Schrader (incumbent) 59,196 86.1
Democratic Peter Wright9,00213.1
Democratic Write-ins5490.8
Total votes68,747 100.0

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mark Callahan 33,933 61.9
Republican Joey Nations11,30020.6
Republican Robert L. Reynolds9,12016.6
Republican Write-ins4650.8
Total votes54,818 100.0

Independent primary

Primary results

Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Party Kurt Schrader (incumbent) (write-in) 498 31.9
Independent Party Other write-ins1,06568.2
Total votes1,563 100

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [7] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [9] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [10] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538 [11] Likely DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [12] Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [13] Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kurt
Schrader (D)
Mark
Callahan (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing [38] October 8, 2018359± 5.2%33%56%11%

Results

Oregon's 5th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kurt Schrader (incumbent) [14] 197,187 55.0
Republican Mark Callahan 149,88741.8
Libertarian Dan Souza6,0541.7
Pacific Green Marvin Sandnes4,8021.3
n/a Write-ins5390.2
Total votes358,469 100.0
Democratic hold

References

  1. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019.
  2. "Congressional candidates on display at Astoria forum". The Daily Astorian. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  3. Wong, Peter (March 2, 2018). "Rep. Bonamici starts re-election bid". pamplinmedia.com. Beaverton Valley Times. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  4. "Congressional candidates on display at Astoria forum". The Daily Astorian. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  5. "Support John Verbeek on Crowdpac!". www.crowdpac.com. Archived from the original on April 17, 2018. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Retrieved September 7, 2018.
  14. 1 2 Co-nominated by Independent Party
  15. Co-nominated by Pacific Green Party
  16. 1 2 3 Mapes, Jeff (May 14, 2018). "Jamie McLeod-Skinner Nominated To Take On Republican Rep. Greg Walden Oregon Congressional Seat". Oregon Public Broadcasting. Retrieved August 23, 2018.
  17. 1 2 Wright, Phil (March 9, 2018). "Democrat McLeod-Skinner on the road to oust Walden". East Oregonian. Retrieved August 23, 2018.
  18. Selsky, Andrew. "House Seeker Hopes 'Blue Wave' Floods A Conservative Corner Of Oregon". Archived from the original on September 5, 2018. Retrieved September 5, 2018.
  19. "A union-backed challenge to Oregon's Greg Walden nwLaborPress". nwLaborPress. January 30, 2018. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  20. "Hood River stonemason one of seven challenging Walden". East Oregonian. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  21. "U.S. House: U.S. Rep. Greg Walden vs. Democrat Jim Crary" . Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  22. House, Up Close: Road To The White (April 1, 2018). "Up Close, with Peter Sage: Raz Mason: Campaign Update". Up Close, with Peter Sage. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  23. "Jamie McLeod-Skinner for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District - American Women's Party : American Women's Party". www.americanwomensparty.org. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  24. "Bend Democrat eyeing Greg Walden challenge". Portland Tribune . Pamplin Media Group. December 27, 2017. Archived from the original on December 28, 2017. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  25. Kolliner, Kimberly. "Six District 2 candidates have varying missions, but agree on one thing". KTVL. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  26. "Representative candidates speak to the issues". The La Grande Observer. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  27. Chaney, Jason (March 16, 2018). "Local man running again for Congress position". Central Oregonian. Pamplin Media Group. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  28. Patinkin Research Strategies (D-McLeod-Skinner)
  29. Co-nominated by Pacific Green Party.
  30. News-Review, CARISA CEGAVSKE Senior Staff Writer The. "Devastating forest fires convinced Curry County Commissioner Court Boice to run for Congress". NRToday.com. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  31. News-Review, CARISA CEGAVSKE Senior Staff Writer The. "Four Republicans to vie for Congressman Peter DeFazio's seat". NRToday.com. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  32. "PRIMARY BALLOT SET FOR LEGISLATIVE AND CONGRESSIONAL CANDIDATES - KQEN News Radio". kqennewsradio.com. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  33. "Peter DeFazio to face Art Robinson for 4th time for U.S. House seat (election results)". OregonLive.com. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  34. "Student Congressional candidate doesn't shy away from controversy - Emerald Media". Emerald Media. March 12, 2018. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  35. Co-nominated by Independent Party of Oregon.
  36. Co-nominated by Constitution Party.
  37. Lehman, Chris. "Perennial Oregon Political Candidate Mark Callahan Heads For His Biggest Stage Yet. But How?". Oregon Public Broadcasting. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  38. Gravis Marketing

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates

Official campaign websites for fifth district candidates