2024 United States presidential election in Oregon

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Oregon

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Nominee Joe Biden (presumptive) Donald Trump (presumptive) Party Democratic Republican Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris (presumptive) TBA

Incumbent President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oregon voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oregon has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. ^[1]

Democrats have won Oregon in every presidential election since 1988 and have consistently done so by double digits since 2008. Oregon is predicted to go comfortably for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. ^[2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. ^[3]

Primary elections

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Oregon Republican presidential primary

The Oregon Republican primary will be held on May 21, 2024. Alongside with the Kentucky caucuses.

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Oregon Democratic presidential primary

The Oregon Democratic primary will be held on May 21, 2024. Alongside with the Kentucky primary.

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report [4]	Solid D	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [5]	Solid D	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6]	Solid D	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [7]	Solid D	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [8]	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN [9]	Lean D	January 14, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	October 31 – November 1, 2022	975 (LV)	± 3.1%	51%	35%	14%
Emerson College	September 30 – October 1, 2022	796 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	41%	9%

See also

• United States presidential elections in Oregon
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
2. "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
3. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
4. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
5. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
6. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
7. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
8. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
9. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.