2024 United States presidential election in Texas

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Texas
Flag of Texas.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
Turnout61.15% (of registered voters) Decrease2.svg 5.58 pp
  Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote400
Popular vote6,393,5974,835,250
Percentage56.14%42.46%

Texas Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
TX-24-pres-districts.svg

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats. [1]

Contents

A heavily populated West South Central state, Texas is one of the fastest-growing and most diverse states in the U.S., and is generally considered to be a red state, not having voted Democratic in a presidential election since 1976 and with Republicans holding all statewide offices since 1999. Texas's location in the American South and largely in the greater Bible Belt has given the Republican Party the upper hand in the state in recent decades. [2] Nonetheless, Texas was considered by some to be potentially in play, as the state had not backed a Republican for president by double digits since it favored Mitt Romney in 2012. This increased competitiveness was largely explained by the fast-growing Texas Triangle trending leftwards in some elections, namely in the closely-contested 2018 U.S. Senate race and the 2020 U.S. presidential election, which saw the Metroplex county of Tarrant and the Greater Austin counties of Williamson and Hays flip to the Democratic candidate for the first time in decades. However, in the 2020 state elections, predominantly Hispanic South Texas shifted significantly rightward, a trend that the rest of the state followed in the 2022 midterms. [3] [4] In 2024, Trump went on to win Texas by a margin of over 1.5 million votes, the second-largest margin of victory for any presidential candidate in Texas history. [5] Trump won 242 out of the state's 254 counties, the most for a Republican since 1972.[ citation needed ]

Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee. [6] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. [7] Biden's withdrawal from the race made him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Texan Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.

Former Republican President Donald Trump ran for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after his defeat in the 2020 election. [8] Having carried Texas by single-digit margins in the past two presidential elections (by a 9% margin in 2016 and by 5.6% in 2020), Trump once again carried The Lone Star State, but now with a decisive victory margin of 13.7%. Trump significantly outperformed his polling averages in the state and became the first presidential candidate to win Texas by double digits since 2012, reversing the trend towards Democrats that Texas had exhibited in the two previous presidential elections. According to exit polls, 55% of Latinos in the state voted for Trump. [9] Data also showed that Trump made large inroads with Asian-American voters in Texas, who awarded him 58% of their votes. [10] This marked the first time a Republican candidate won a majority of both Asian and Latino voters in Texas. Such rightward trends by these groups were replicated nationwide.

Trump became the first presidential candidate to receive over six million votes in Texas, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate in any election in the state, as well as the largest vote total ever received by a Republican presidential candidate in any state in American history.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Texas Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state in a landslide, with minor opposition from various other candidates, particularly in the Lower Rio Grande Valley region. Biden lost Loving County, in which there was only one ballot cast for Frankie Lozada.

Popular vote share by county
Biden
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
>90%
Lozada
100%
No votes 2024 Texas Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
Popular vote share by county
  Biden
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Lozada
  •   100%
  No votes
Texas Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 [11]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)831,24784.6%244244
Marianne Williamson 43,6674.5%
Armando Perez-Serrato27,4732.8%
Dean Phillips 26,4732.7%
Gabriel Cornejo17,1961.8%
Cenk Uygur 16,1001.6%
Frankie Lozada11,3111.2%
Star Locke8,6020.9%
Total:982,069100%272272

Republican primary

The Texas Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump easily won the state and all of its delegates against Nikki Haley, who remained his only major opposition. Trump received the endorsements of U.S. senators John Cornyn and Ted Cruz, as well as Texas governor Greg Abbott, in his primary campaign.

Popular vote share by county
Trump
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
>90%
Haley
60-70% 2024 Texas Republican Presidental Primary.svg
Popular vote share by county
  Trump
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Haley
  •   60–70%
Texas Republican primary, March 5, 2024 [12]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 1,808,26977.84%161161
Nikki Haley 405,47217.45%
Uncommitted 45,5681.96%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)36,3021.56%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)10,5820.46%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)8,9380.38%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)2,9640.13%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)2,5850.11%
David Stuckenberg2,3390.10%
Total:2,323,019100.00%161161

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. independent bid

The Texas Secretary of State's office announced on August 8 that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would appear on the state ballot. [13] Kennedy later dropped out of the race nationally on August 23. [14] [15]

General election

Candidates

The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Texas: [16]

In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was on the ballot under the Texas Independent Party before he suspended his campaign.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Likely RAugust 27, 2024
Inside Elections [18] Likely RAugust 29, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Likely RSeptember 25, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [20] Likely ROctober 4, 2024
CNN [21] Solid RJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist [22] Likely RJune 13, 2024
538 [23] Likely ROctober 5, 2024
CNalysis [24] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
NBC News [25] Likely ROctober 6, 2024
YouGov [26] Lean ROctober 16, 2024
Split Ticket [27] Likely RNovember 1, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald TrumpAggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270ToWin [28] October 18 – November 3, 2024November 3, 202444.4%51.8%3.8%Trump +7.4%
538 [29] through November 3, 2024November 3, 202443.8%51.7%4.5%Trump +7.9%
Silver Bulletin [30] through November 3, 2024November 3, 202444.3%51.4%4.3%Trump +7.1%
The Hill/DDHQ [31] through October 29, 2024November 3, 202444.2%51.8%4.0%Trump +7.6%
Average44.2%51.7%4.1%Trump +7.5%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel [32] November 3–4, 20242,434 (LV)± 2.0%55%44%1%
Morning Consult [33] October 22−31, 20242,120 (LV)± 2.0%52%45%3%
ActiVote [34] October 21−27, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%55%45%
New York Times/Siena College [35] October 23−26, 20241,180 (RV)± 3.3%52%41%7%
1,180 (LV)52%42%6%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [36] [A] October 24–25, 20241,002 (LV)± 3.0%50%44%6% [c]
CES/YouGov [37] October 1–25, 20246,526 (A)51%47%2%
6,473 (LV)51%47%2%
Emerson College [38] October 18−21, 2024815 (LV)± 3.4%53%46%1% [d]
53% [e] 46%1% [d]
Rose Institute/YouGov [39] October 7–17, 20241,108 (RV)± 3.5%49%44%7% [f]
1,108 (RV)50% [e] 45%5%
1,075 (LV)51%46%3%
ActiVote [40] September 26 − October 16, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%56%44%
Morning Consult [33] October 6−15, 20242,048 (LV)± 2.0%50%46%4%
Marist College [41] October 3–7, 20241,365 (RV)± 3.3%52%46%2% [g]
1,186 (LV)± 3.6%53%46%1%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [42] October 2–6, 2024811 (RV)± 3.4%50%45%5% [h]
775 (LV)50%45%5% [h]
New York Times/Siena College [43] September 29 – October 6, 2024617 (LV)± 5.0%50%44%6%
RMG Research [44] [B] September 25–27, 2024779 (LV)± 3.5%51%45%3% [i]
53% [e] 46%1%
Public Policy Polling (D) [45] [C] September 25–26, 2024759 (RV)± 3.5%51%46%3%
Emerson College [46] September 22−24, 2024950 (LV)± 3.1%51%46%3% [d]
52% [e] 47%1% [d]
ActiVote [47] September 7−24, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54%46%
Morning Consult [33] September 9−18, 20242,716 (LV)± 2.0%50%46%4%
Morning Consult [33] August 30 – September 8, 20242,940 (LV)± 2.0%52%43%5%
Emerson College [48] September 3–5, 2024845 (LV)± 3.3%50%46%4%
51% [e] 48%1% [j]
YouGov [49] [D] August 23–31, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%49%44%7% [k]
ActiVote [50] August 14–31, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54.5%45.5%
Quantus Insights (R) [51] August 29–30, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.1%49%42%9% [l]
52%44%4% [m]
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D) [52] [C] August 21–22, 2024725 (RV)± 3.6%49%44%6%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
ActiVote [53] July 31 – August 13, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%53%47%
August 6, 2024Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
July 21, 2024Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
YouGov [54] [E] January 11–24, 20241,500 (RV)± 2.5%52%39%9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [55] May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%46%39%15% [n]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel [32] November 3–4, 20242,434 (LV)± 2.0%54%44%1%0%1%
Cygnal (R) [56] October 26−28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%2%2%2%
New York Times/Siena College [35] October 23−26, 20241,180 (RV)± 3.3%50%40%2%2%6%
1,180 (LV)51%40%1%1%7%
UT Tyler [57] October 14–21, 20241,129 (RV)± 3.0%51%45%1%2%1%
956 (LV)51%46%1%1%1%
YouGov [58] [D] October 2–10, 20241,091 (LV)± 3.0%51%46%2%1%
CWS Research (R) [59] [F] October 1–4, 2024533 (LV)± 4.2%48%43%2%1%6%
University of Houston [60] September 26 – October 10, 20241,329 (LV)± 2.7%51%46%1%0%2%
Public Policy Polling (D) [45] [C] September 25–26, 2024759 (RV)± 3.5%49%44%0%1%6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [61] September 13–18, 20241,200 (LV)± 2.9%50%44%1%1%4%
CWS Research (R) [62] [G] September 4–9, 2024504 (LV)± 4.4%51%41%0%2%6%
Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D) [63] August 24–29, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%51%43%2%2%2%
YouGov [49] [D] August 23–31, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%49%44%2%0%5%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College [43] September 29 – October 6, 2024617 (LV)± 5.0%49%42%0%0%2%2%5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [64] [C] August 21–22, 2024725 (RV)± 3.6%45%42%6%1%0%6%
University of Houston [65] August 5–16, 20241,365 (LV)± 2.7%50%45%2%1%1%1%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote [66] June 25 – July 18, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54%46%
Remington Research Group (R) [67] June 29 – July 1, 2024589 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
Manhattan Institute [68] June 25–27, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%52%41%7%
UT Tyler [69] June 11–20, 20241,144 (RV)± 3.7%46%40%14%
931 (LV)± 3.8%48%43%9%
YouGov [70] [D] May 31 – June 9, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%46%39%15% [o]
YouGov [71] [D] April 12–22, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.3%48%40%12% [p]
John Zogby Strategies [72] [H] April 13–21, 2024743 (LV)50%40%10%
Cygnal (R) [73] April 4–6, 20241,000 (RV)± 2.9%51%42%7%
Marist College [74] March 18–21, 20241,117 (RV)± 3.8%55%44%1%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [75] February 29 – March 3, 2024489 (RV)50%42%8%
458 (LV)51%42%7%
UT Tyler [76] February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%46%42%12%
YouGov [77] [D] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.4%48%41%11% [q]
YouGov [54] [E] January 11–24, 20241,145 (LV)± 2.5%49%40%11%
Emerson College [78] [I] January 13–15, 20241,315 (RV)± 2.6%49%41%10%
YouGov [79] [D] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%45%39%16%
YouGov [80] [D] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%45%37%18%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [55] May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%44%42%14% [r]
CWS Research (R) [81] [J] April 17–21, 2023677 (LV)± 3.8%45%42%13%
Emerson College [82] October 17–19, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%40%13%
Emerson College [83] September 20–22, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Echelon Insights [84] August 31 – September 7, 2022813 (LV)± 4.4%48%43%9%
Blueprint Polling (D) [85] June 8–10, 2022603 (LV)± 4.0%44%38%17%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
YouGov [86] [K] June 20 – July 1, 20241,484 (LV)± 2.5%49%40%5%2%4% [s]
Manhattan Institute [68] June 25–27, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%36%7%1%0%11% [t]
UT Tyler [69] June 11–20, 20241,144 (RV)± 3.7%46%38%12%1%3% [u]
931 (LV)± 3.8%47%41%8%1%3% [u]
YouGov [70] [D] May 31 – June 9, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%43%34%8%2%2%11%
YouGov [71] [D] April 12–22, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.3%45%36%8%2%2%7%
Texas Lyceum [87] April 12–21, 2024926 (RV)± 3.2%41%31%11%1%1%15% [v]
Cygnal (R) [73] April 4–6, 20241,000 (RV)± 2.9%46%37%8%1%2%6%
UT Tyler [76] February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%41%37%13%6%3%
YouGov [77] [D] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.4%45%36%6%3%2%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [88] February 1–3, 2024605 (LV)± 4.0%44%35%6%1%1%13%
Emerson College [78] [I] January 13–15, 20241,315 (RV)± 2.6%46%36%5%1%1%11%
YouGov [79] [D] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%42%34%8%3%2%12%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [89] April 5–10, 20241,600 (LV)± 2.45%46%34%9%11% [w]
Marist College [74] March 18–21, 20241,117 (RV)± 3.8%48%36%15%1%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [89] April 5–10, 20241,600 (LV)± 2.45%48%36%3%13% [x]
YouGov [54] [E] January 11–24, 20241,500 (RV)± 2.5%49%40%3%8% [y]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Manchin
No Labels
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
National Public Affairs [90] February 6–8, 2024807 (LV)± 3.5%42%35%6%4%3%9%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [72] [H] April 13–21, 2024743 (LV)45%40%15%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [72] [H] April 13–21, 2024743 (LV)53%35%12%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
UT Tyler [76] February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%42%36%22%
YouGov [77] [D] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.4%31%40%29% [z]
YouGov [54] [E] January 11–24, 20241,500 (RV)± 2.5%43%39%18%
YouGov [79] [D] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%33%36%31%
YouGov [80] [D] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%32%34%34%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
UT Tyler [76] February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%33%36%20%7%3%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [88] February 1–3, 2024605 (LV)± 4.0%30%32%14%0%0%24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov [79] [D] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%39%37%24%
YouGov [80] [D] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%39%38%24%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [55] May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%44%42%14% [aa]
CWS Research (R) [81] April 17–21, 2023677 (LV)± 3.8%44%40%16%
Echelon Insights [84] August 31 – September 7, 2022813 (LV)± 4.4%44%41%15%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [55] May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%45%40%15% [ab]

Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov [79] [D] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%34%37%30%
YouGov [80] [D] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%33%36%32%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov [80] [D] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%29%36%36%

Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Scott
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov [80] [D] October 5–17, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.8%33%34%33%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Texas [91]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican 6,393,597 56.14% Increase2.svg 4.08%
Democratic 4,835,25042.46%Decrease2.svg 4.02%
Green 82,7010.73%Increase2.svg 0.43%
Libertarian 68,5570.60%Decrease2.svg 0.52%
Write-in 8,5690.07%+0.03%
Total votes11,388,674 100.00% N/A

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Anderson 15,59780.57%3,63518.78%1260.65%11,96261.79%19,358
Andrews 5,20585.89%80613.30%490.81%4,39972.59%6,060
Angelina 26,04975.68%8,14623.67%2270.66%17,90352.01%34,422
Aransas 10,09077.43%2,83121.73%1100.84%7,25955.70%13,031
Archer 4,59289.48%52010.13%200.39%4,07279.35%5,132
Armstrong 1,02992.79%776.94%30.27%95285.85%1,109
Atascosa 13,14271.25%5,15327.94%1490.81%7,98943.31%18,444
Austin 12,45780.98%2,81618.31%1100.72%9,64162.67%15,383
Bailey 1,39580.13%33219.07%140.80%1,06361.06%1,741
Bandera 10,93980.43%2,53218.62%1290.95%8,40761.81%13,600
Bastrop 23,30158.54%15,98940.17%5161.30%7,31218.37%39,806
Baylor 1,47187.82%18410.99%201.19%1,28776.83%1,675
Bee 6,11169.52%2,60629.65%730.83%3,50539.87%8,790
Bell 75,16157.52%53,97341.31%1,5281.17%21,18816.21%130,662
Bexar 337,54544.51%411,38554.25%9,3891.24%−73,844−9.74%758,323
Blanco 6,44775.64%1,97323.15%1031.21%4,47452.49%8,523
Borden 37095.61%164.13%10.26%35491.48%387
Bosque 7,96983.22%1,52415.91%830.87%6,44567.31%9,576
Bowie 27,12274.01%9,28225.33%2400.65%17,84048.68%36,644
Brazoria 95,86759.16%63,97639.48%2,2031.36%31,89119.68%162,046
Brazos 56,67161.63%33,84436.80%1,4461.57%22,82724.83%91,961
Brewster 2,54555.59%1,96943.01%641.40%57612.58%4,578
Briscoe 66689.40%729.66%70.94%59479.74%745
Brooks 1,07744.84%1,30854.45%170.71%−231−9.61%2,402
Brown 14,59386.59%2,13212.65%1280.76%12,46173.94%16,853
Burleson 7,59081.01%1,70518.20%740.79%5,88562.81%9,369
Burnet 21,79577.42%6,11421.72%2440.87%15,68155.70%28,153
Caldwell 8,88056.59%6,61842.17%1951.24%2,26214.41%15,693
Calhoun 5,93975.83%1,85323.66%400.51%4,08652.17%7,832
Callahan 6,18088.44%76110.89%470.67%5,41977.55%6,988
Cameron 60,99152.51%54,25846.71%9040.78%6,7335.80%116,153
Camp 4,01176.52%1,20122.91%300.57%2,81053.61%5,242
Carson 2,86690.21%2909.13%210.66%2,57681.08%3,177
Cass 11,69382.68%2,40617.01%440.31%9,28765.66%14,143
Castro 1,59478.79%41820.66%110.54%1,17658.13%2,023
Chambers 20,56782.36%4,19216.79%2140.86%16,37565.57%24,973
Cherokee 16,59380.91%3,74418.26%1700.83%12,84962.66%20,507
Childress 1,99187.63%26311.58%180.79%1,72876.06%2,272
Clay 5,28889.51%5849.88%360.61%4,70479.62%5,908
Cochran 73582.31%14816.57%101.12%58765.73%893
Coke 1,62389.47%1799.87%120.66%1,44479.60%1,814
Coleman 3,71289.32%42810.30%160.38%3,28479.02%4,156
Collin 279,53454.22%222,11543.08%13,9362.70%57,41911.14%515,585
Collingsworth 1,06688.76%13511.24%00.00%93177.52%1,201
Colorado 7,82478.29%2,10821.09%620.62%5,71657.19%9,994
Comal 74,75672.23%27,68026.75%1,0551.02%47,07645.49%103,491
Comanche 5,67986.78%83412.74%310.47%4,84574.04%6,544
Concho 1,03886.64%15312.77%70.58%88573.87%1,198
Cooke 16,97583.02%3,31016.19%1620.79%13,66566.83%20,447
Coryell 16,68869.75%6,95929.09%2791.17%9,72940.66%23,926
Cottle 56586.00%8913.55%30.46%47672.45%657
Crane 1,19586.03%18613.39%80.58%1,00972.64%1,389
Crockett 1,08776.71%32322.79%70.49%76453.92%1,417
Crosby 1,41675.32%45123.99%130.69%96551.33%1,880
Culberson 45157.75%31940.85%111.41%13216.90%781
Dallam 1,28588.80%15210.50%100.69%1,13378.30%1,447
Dallas 322,56937.96%511,11860.14%16,1851.90%-188,549-22.19%849,872
Dawson 2,81079.99%66718.99%361.02%2,14361.00%3,513
Deaf Smith 3,23375.43%1,01923.78%340.79%2,21451.66%4,286
Delta 2,25084.65%39714.94%110.41%1,85369.71%2,658
Denton 250,52155.77%191,50342.63%7,1641.59%59,01813.14%449,188
DeWitt 6,51583.26%1,27016.23%400.51%5,24567.03%7,825
Dickens 84484.99%14614.70%30.30%69870.29%993
Dimmit 1,65348.23%1,76551.50%90.26%-112-3.27%3,427
Donley 1,51288.32%17410.16%261.52%1,33878.15%1,712
Duval 2,43954.67%2,00344.90%190.43%4369.77%4,461
Eastland 7,39788.44%91810.98%490.59%6,47977.46%8,364
Ector 32,42976.10%9,88123.19%3050.72%22,54852.91%42,615
Edwards 86986.47%13313.23%30.30%73673.23%1,005
El Paso 105,12441.79%143,15656.91%3,2891.31%-38,032-15.12%251,569
Ellis 64,76365.05%33,85034.00%9440.95%30,91331.05%99,557
Erath 15,34983.64%2,87115.64%1310.71%12,47868.00%18,351
Falls 4,52072.01%1,71327.29%440.70%2,80744.72%6,277
Fannin 13,64883.24%2,60715.90%1400.85%11,04167.34%16,395
Fayette 10,69980.26%2,51518.87%1170.88%8,18461.39%13,331
Fisher 1,48781.26%33018.03%130.71%1,15763.22%1,830
Floyd 1,71582.06%35817.13%170.81%1,35764.93%2,090
Foard 44882.20%9216.88%50.92%35665.32%545
Fort Bend 173,59247.88%179,31049.46%9,6222.65%-5,718-1.58%362,524
Franklin 4,47384.22%81315.31%250.47%3,66068.91%5,311
Freestone 7,50082.92%1,49916.57%460.51%6,00166.35%9,045
Frio 3,06061.88%1,84837.37%370.75%1,21224.51%4,945
Gaines 5,84091.02%5388.39%380.59%5,30282.64%6,416
Galveston 100,29563.08%56,73235.68%1,9691.24%43,56327.40%158,996
Garza 1,37485.93%21313.32%120.75%1,16172.61%1,599
Gillespie 13,20280.05%3,16019.16%1300.79%10,04260.89%16,492
Glasscock 62393.97%385.73%20.30%58588.24%663
Goliad 3,17879.71%77819.51%310.78%2,40060.20%3,987
Gonzales 5,98177.12%1,72922.30%450.58%4,25254.83%7,755
Gray 6,69188.27%84511.15%440.58%5,84677.12%7,580
Grayson 50,55676.70%14,80022.45%5590.85%35,75654.25%65,915
Gregg 33,02670.66%13,29428.44%4180.89%19,73242.22%46,738
Grimes 11,19779.69%2,73419.46%1200.85%8,46360.23%14,051
Guadalupe 54,69164.24%29,57334.74%8721.02%25,11829.50%85,136
Hale 7,28378.44%1,90320.50%991.07%5,38057.94%9,285
Hall 99286.34%14912.97%80.70%84373.37%1,149
Hamilton 3,80985.31%62514.00%310.69%3,18471.31%4,465
Hansford 1,84292.15%1467.30%110.55%1,69684.84%1,999
Hardeman 1,21086.12%18813.38%70.50%1,02272.74%1,405
Hardin 24,69187.69%3,34711.89%1190.42%21,34475.80%28,157
Harris 722,69546.40%808,77151.93%26,0181.67%-86,076-5.63%1,557,484
Harrison 22,65874.92%7,36924.37%2160.71%15,28950.55%30,243
Hartley 1,84391.42%1638.09%100.50%1,68083.33%2,016
Haskell 1,91885.36%31313.93%160.71%1,60571.43%2,247
Hays 58,43846.44%65,52852.08%1,8611.48%-7,090-5.63%125,827
Hemphill 1,41287.59%19011.79%100.62%1,22275.81%1,612
Henderson 31,37981.42%6,91917.95%2420.63%24,46063.47%38,540
Hidalgo 110,76050.98%104,51748.11%1,9880.92%6,2432.87%217,625
Hill 13,66981.82%2,91917.47%1180.71%10,75064.35%16,706
Hockley 6,61682.82%1,32316.56%490.61%5,29366.26%7,988
Hood 30,17482.55%6,07016.61%3090.85%24,10465.94%36,553
Hopkins 13,75481.98%2,91717.39%1070.64%10,83764.59%16,778
Houston 7,24777.38%2,06522.05%530.57%5,18255.33%9,365
Howard 7,81781.08%1,75918.24%650.67%6,05862.84%9,641
Hudspeth 75973.12%27526.49%40.39%48446.63%1,038
Hunt 36,13777.33%10,21221.85%3840.82%25,92555.47%46,733
Hutchinson 7,27388.22%91311.07%580.70%6,36077.15%8,244
Irion 76187.67%10512.10%20.23%65675.58%868
Jack 3,81990.91%3638.64%190.45%3,45682.27%4,201
Jackson 5,38685.10%90714.33%360.57%4,47970.77%6,329
Jasper 13,16283.09%2,61516.51%640.40%10,54766.58%15,841
Jeff Davis 69959.79%45038.49%201.71%24921.30%1,169
Jefferson 46,59653.98%38,93645.11%7820.91%7,6608.87%86,314
Jim Hogg 72545.74%85654.01%40.25%-131-8.26%1,585
Jim Wells 7,63657.55%5,57742.03%550.41%2,05915.52%13,268
Johnson 60,75275.26%19,24723.84%7220.89%41,50551.42%80,721
Jones 5,98886.20%90713.06%520.75%5,80173.14%6,947
Karnes 4,00178.84%1,05120.71%230.45%2,95058.13%5,075
Kaufman 44,06363.49%24,47635.63%6170.89%19,33727.86%69,406
Kendall 22,66877.33%6,35521.68%2921.00%16,31355.65%29,315
Kenedy 11572.68%4125.95%21.27%7446.84%158
Kent 39087.64%5011.24%51.12%34076.40%445
Kerr 21,61576.73%6,31522.42%2400.85%15,30054.31%28,170
Kimble 2,12688.44%26110.86%170.71%1,86577.58%2,404
King 12995.56%64.44%00.00%12391.11%135
Kinney 1,06374.91%34624.38%100.70%71750.53%1,419
Kleberg 5,61256.04%4,33843.32%640.64%1,27412.72%10,014
Knox 1,15684.01%21415.55%60.44%94268.46%1,376
Lamar 17,04480.08%4,07919.16%1620.76%12,96560.91%21,285
Lamb 3,39881.86%72917.56%240.58%2,66964.30%4,151
Lampasas 8,96179.29%2,23219.75%1080.96%6,72959.54%11,301
La Salle 1,41760.04%93339.53%100.42%48420.51%2,360
Lavaca 8,96187.84%1,23511.77%410.39%7,98076.07%10,491
Lee 6,72479.90%1,64019.49%510.61%5,08460.42%8,415
Leon 7,98288.06%1,03311.40%490.54%6,94976.67%9,064
Liberty 25,24180.58%5,95219.00%1300.42%19,28961.58%31,323
Limestone 7,08178.03%1,92121.17%730.80%5,16056.86%9,075
Lipscomb 1,12589.36%1239.77%110.87%1,00279.59%1,259
Live Oak 4,30784.57%76114.94%250.49%3,54669.62%5,093
Llano 10,90279.99%2,61319.17%1140.84%8,28960.82%13,629
Loving 8688.26%1010.31%11.03%7678.35%97
Lubbock 86,54769.22%37,14829.71%1,3431.07%49,39939.51%125,038
Lynn 2,17584.73%37114.45%210.82%1,80470.28%2,567
Madison 4,49881.95%96417.56%270.49%3,53464.38%5,489
Marion 3,57775.88%1,10123.36%360.76%2,47652.52%4,714
Martin 1,82587.61%24711.86%110.53%1,57875.76%2,083
Mason 2,07682.15%43417.17%170.67%1,64264.98%2,527
Matagorda 9,95774.80%3,23124.27%1240.93%6,72650.53%13,312
Maverick 9,28558.97%6,37340.48%870.55%2,91218.49%15,745
McCulloch 2,90484.52%49014.26%421.22%2,41470.26%3,436
McLennan 64,60664.82%33,86333.97%1,2031.21%30,74330.84%99,672
McMullen 44891.99%377.60%20.41%41184.39%487
Medina 17,46470.94%6,95028.23%2030.82%10,51442.71%24,617
Menard 86182.79%17016.35%90.87%69166.44%1,040
Midland 46,94479.83%11,35119.30%5130.87%35,59360.52%58,808
Milam 8,69178.31%2,33121.00%760.68%6,36057.31%11,098
Mills 2,41888.18%31011.31%140.51%2,10876.88%2,742
Mitchell 2,14485.32%35214.01%170.68%1,79271.31%2,513
Montague 9,82588.51%1,20810.88%680.61%8,61777.62%11,101
Montgomery 221,96472.24%82,27726.78%3,0170.98%139,68745.46%307,258
Moore 4,45883.14%86016.04%440.82%3,59867.10%5,362
Morris 4,09275.30%1,31224.14%300.55%2,78051.16%5,434
Motley 61294.15%355.38%30.46%57788.77%650
Nacogdoches 17,57568.96%7,69030.17%2210.87%9,88538.79%25,486
Navarro 14,98375.55%4,70823.74%1400.71%10,27551.81%19,831
Newton 4,78183.16%95216.56%160.28%3,82966.60%5,749
Nolan 4,04879.14%1,02019.94%470.92%3,02859.20%5,115
Nueces 67,20155.23%53,24843.76%1,2291.01%13,59311.47%121,678
Ochiltree 2,72390.47%2698.94%180.60%2,45481.53%3,010
Oldham 89591.89%747.60%50.51%82184.29%974
Orange 30,19183.08%5,94516.36%2020.56%24,24666.72%36,338
Palo Pinto 11,09383.18%2,14316.07%1000.75%8,95067.11%13,336
Panola 9,50083.05%1,90516.65%340.30%7,59566.40%11,439
Parker 75,16882.75%14,87216.37%8000.88%60,29666.38%90,840
Parmer 2,12384.78%36814.70%130.52%1,75570.09%2,504
Pecos 3,04271.86%1,14427.03%471.11%1,89844.84%4,233
Polk 19,21679.10%4,91020.21%1660.68%14,30658.89%24,292
Potter 23,00771.63%8,74827.23%3661.14%14,25944.39%32,121
Presidio 68634.40%1,28964.64%190.95%-603-30.24%1,994
Rains 5,64986.17%86913.26%380.58%4,78072.91%6,556
Randall 53,31479.69%12,93519.33%6520.97%40,37960.36%66,901
Reagan 80084.30%14114.86%80.84%65969.44%949
Real 1,62582.99%31516.09%180.92%1,31066.91%1,958
Red River 4,68280.78%1,10319.03%110.19%3,57961.75%5,796
Reeves 2,34068.04%1,07031.11%290.84%1,27036.93%3,439
Refugio 2,13469.40%91929.89%220.72%1,21539.51%3,075
Roberts 54795.63%203.50%50.87%52792.13%572
Robertson 6,17775.72%1,92623.61%550.67%4,25152.11%8,158
Rockwall 43,54269.93%18,09229.05%6351.02%25,45040.87%62,269
Runnels 3,58088.26%45211.14%240.59%3,12877.12%4,056
Rusk 17,23479.40%4,33719.98%1350.62%12,89759.42%21,706
Sabine 4,97289.09%59010.57%190.34%4,38278.52%5,581
San Augustine 2,91777.85%80921.59%210.56%2,10856.26%3,747
San Jacinto 10,52482.29%2,17517.01%900.70%8,34965.28%12,789
San Patricio 17,33767.78%8,02531.37%2170.85%9,31236.40%25,579
San Saba 2,41289.04%27610.19%210.78%2,13678.85%2,709
Schleicher 90681.77%19217.33%100.90%71464.44%1,108
Scurry 4,94586.44%73412.83%420.73%4,21173.61%5,721
Shackelford 1,56590.57%1468.45%170.98%1,41982.12%1,728
Shelby 8,16482.07%1,74117.50%430.43%6,42364.57%9,948
Sherman 81793.59%485.50%80.92%76988.09%873
Smith 74,86272.07%28,04126.99%9760.94%46,82145.07%103,879
Somervell 4,49384.87%75114.19%500.94%3,74270.68%5,294
Starr 9,48757.77%6,86241.79%720.44%2,62515.99%16,421
Stephens 3,36889.55%38410.21%90.24%2,98479.34%3,761
Sterling 58392.69%436.84%30.48%54085.85%629
Stonewall 60484.36%11015.36%20.28%49468.99%716
Sutton 1,16783.36%22816.29%50.36%93967.07%1,400
Swisher 1,84081.24%40317.79%220.97%1,43763.44%2,265
Tarrant 426,62651.82%384,50146.70%12,1851.48%42,1255.12%823,312
Taylor 41,19874.34%13,62424.58%5951.07%27,57449.76%55,417
Terrell 31477.53%9122.47%00.00%22355.06%405
Terry 2,81582.31%58717.16%180.53%2,22865.15%3,420
Throckmorton 82391.44%738.11%40.44%75083.33%900
Titus 7,86176.96%2,27522.27%780.76%5,58654.69%10,214
Tom Green 33,39973.47%11,58525.48%4761.05%21,81447.99%45,460
Travis 170,78729.38%398,98168.64%11,5081.98%-228,194-39.26%581,276
Trinity 6,13683.21%1,19516.21%430.58%4,94167.01%7,374
Tyler 8,28686.51%1,24913.04%430.45%7,03773.47%9,578
Upshur 16,93985.18%2,82014.18%1280.64%14,11971.00%19,887
Upton 1,14988.18%14611.20%80.61%1,00376.98%1,303
Uvalde 6,48266.33%3,21832.93%720.74%3,26433.40%9,772
Val Verde 9,16262.81%5,28236.21%1440.99%3,88026.60%14,588
Van Zandt 24,35187.12%3,45012.34%1490.53%20,90174.78%27,950
Victoria 25,01070.82%9,99828.31%3070.87%15,01242.51%35,515
Walker 17,51569.57%7,46129.64%1990.79%10,05439.94%25,175
Waller 17,07761.96%10,18336.95%3011.09%6,89425.01%27,561
Ward 3,11582.74%62716.65%230.61%2,48866.08%3,765
Washington 14,02076.96%4,05822.28%1390.76%9,96254.69%18,217
Webb 33,38450.69%31,95248.51%5290.80%1,4322.17%65,865
Wharton 12,43975.60%3,91023.76%1040.63%8,52951.84%16,453
Wheeler 2,09392.04%1697.43%120.53%1,92484.61%2,274
Wichita 31,81871.45%12,23727.48%4751.07%19,58143.97%44,530
Wilbarger 3,56679.83%86019.25%410.92%2,70660.58%4,467
Willacy 2,85651.34%2,67348.05%340.61%1833.29%5,563
Williamson 155,31050.35%147,76647.90%5,3931.75%7,5442.45%308,469
Wilson 20,89476.60%6,24722.90%1340.49%14,64753.70%27,275
Winkler 1,64685.15%28314.64%40.21%1,36370.51%1,933
Wise 32,38584.68%5,60514.66%2530.66%26,78070.03%38,243
Wood 20,62184.56%3,61814.84%1470.60%17,00369.72%24,386
Yoakum 2,03985.21%34214.29%120.50%1,69770.92%2,393
Young 7,29887.78%96211.57%540.65%6,33676.21%8,314
Zapata 2,97060.97%1,87738.53%240.49%1,09322.44%3,874
Zavala 1,48242.44%1,98456.82%260.74%-502-14.38%3,492
Totals6,393,59756.14%4,835,25042.46%159,8271.40%1,558,34713.68%11,388,674

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Trump won 27 of 38 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats. [92] [ user-generated source ]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
1st 75%24% Nathaniel Moran
2nd 61%37% Dan Crenshaw
3rd 59%39% Keith Self
4th 65%33% Pat Fallon
5th 63%36% Lance Gooden
6th 64%35% Jake Ellzey
7th 38%59% Lizzie Fletcher
8th 66%32% Morgan Luttrell
9th 27%71% Al Green
10th 62%37% Michael McCaul
11th 72%27% August Pfluger
12th 61%38% Kay Granger (118th Congress)
Craig Goldman (119th Congress)
13th 73%26% Ronny Jackson
14th 66%32% Randy Weber
15th 58%41% Monica De La Cruz
16th 41%57% Veronica Escobar
17th 64%35% Pete Sessions
18th 29%69% Erica Lee Carter (118th Congress)
Sylvester Turner (119th Congress)
19th 75%24% Jodey Arrington
20th 39%60% Joaquín Castro
21st 61%38% Chip Roy
22nd 60%39% Troy Nehls
23rd 57%42% Tony Gonzales
24th 57%41% Beth Van Duyne
25th 68%31% Roger Williams
26th 61%38% Michael Burgess (118th Congress)
Brandon Gill (119th Congress)
27th 64%35% Michael Cloud
28th 53%46% Henry Cuellar
29th 39%60% Sylvia Garcia
30th 26%73% Jasmine Crockett
31st 61%38% John Carter
32nd 37%60% Colin Allred (118th Congress)
Julie Johnson (119th Congress)
33rd 32%66% Marc Veasey
34th 52%47% Vicente Gonzalez
35th 32%66% Greg Casar
36th 68%31% Brian Babin
37th 24%73% Lloyd Doggett
38th 59%39% Wesley Hunt
Texas County Swings in the 2024 United States Presidential Election.svg
Texas County Flips 2024.svg
2024 presidential election in Texas voter demographics [93]
Demographic subgroupTrumpHarris % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals128718
Moderates376238
Conservatives92844
Party
Democrats 49526
Republicans 97338
Independents494836
Gender
Men633548
Women504952
Race/ethnicity
White663355
Black128611
Latino554526
Asian55424
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men702725
White women623730
Black men22775
Black women4946
Latino men653514
Latina women415812
All other races58408
White evangelical or born again Christian
Yes861323
No465377
Age
18–29 years old485014
30–44 years old554424
45–64 years old584137
65 and older594026
First time voter
Yes77239
No544491
Education
No college degree613858
College graduate494942
Education by race
White college graduates574127
White no college degree742529
Non-White college graduates376216
Non-White no college degree485129
Military service
Veterans653418
Non-veterans544482
Area type
Urban465242
Suburban623749
Rural72259
Biden job approval
Strongly disapprove98152
Somewhat disapprove356012
Somewhat approve49521
Strongly approve19915
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
Dissatisfied504840
Angry861337
Satisfied158515
Enthusiasticn/an/a8
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Has ability to lead702929
Can bring needed change692929
Has good judgment336523
Cares about people like me435717
Vote for president mainly
For your candidate594079
Against their opponent465220
Issue regarded as most important
Democracy237531
Economy871235
Abortion99114
Immigration91914
Foreign policyn/an/a5
Democracy threatened in the United States
Democracy in the U.S. very threatened603841
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened594032
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure465322
Democracy in the U.S. very securen/an/a4
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
Very confident306834
Somewhat confident683147
Not very confident564014
Not at all confidentn/an/a4
Condition of the nation's economy
Not so good554432
Poor94539
Good69325
Excellentn/an/a4
Family's financial situation today
Worse than four years ago841553
About the same336527
Better than four years ago128620
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases108923
Legal in most cases435435
Illegal in most cases95531
Illegal in all casesn/an/a8
Most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. should be
Offered chance at legal status217650
Deported92748

Analysis

Trump flipped 10 counties that voted for Biden in 2020, including multiple heavily Hispanic counties in the Rio Grande Valley and South Texas, including 97.7% Hispanic Starr County, becoming the first Republican to win it since Benjamin Harrison in 1892. [94] Trump also became the first Republican to win Maverick County since Herbert Hoover in 1928, the first Republican to win Webb County since William Howard Taft in 1912, [95] the first Republican to win Duval County since Theodore Roosevelt in 1904, the first Republican to win Hidalgo County and Willacy County since Richard Nixon in 1972, and the first Republican to win Cameron County and Culberson County since George W. Bush in 2004. [96] Trump also received the most raw votes for a political candidate ever in Texas, breaking his own record from 2020. Nevertheless, he became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Hays County since Richard Nixon in 1968.

Trump won the three largest metro areas in Texas, which include Dallas-Fort Worth (which Trump carried by a margin of about 7 percentage points), Greater Houston (which Trump also carried by about 7 percentage points), and Greater San Antonio (which Trump carried by about 5 percentage points). Trump also carried every other metro area in the state except for Greater Austin and El Paso (though he greatly improved on his 2020 margins in both of these). [97]

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Other" with 1%
  4. 1 2 3 4 "Someone else" with 1%
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. "Other" with 7%
  7. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  8. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 2%
  9. "Some other candidate" with 2%
  10. "Someone else"
  11. "Someone else" with 3%
  12. "Other candidate" with 3%
  13. "Would not vote" with 4%
  14. "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  15. "Someone else" with 9%
  16. "Someone else" with 6%
  17. "Someone else" with 7%
  18. "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  19. Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  20. "Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  21. 1 2 Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  22. "Someone else" with 5%
  23. Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  24. Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  25. Libertarian candidate with 1%
  26. "Someone else" with 21%
  27. "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  28. "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  1. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  2. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  3. 1 2 3 4 Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  5. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  6. Poll sponsored by Texans for Fiscal Responsibility
  7. Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights
  8. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  9. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  10. Poll sponsored by Defend Texas Liberty PAC
  11. Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University

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