2024 United States Senate election in Texas

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2024 United States Senate election in Texas
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  Ted Cruz official 116th portrait (cropped).jpg Colin Allred, official portrait, 117th Congress (3x4).jpg
Nominee Ted Cruz Colin Allred
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote5,990,7415,031,249
Percentage53.07%44.57%
2024 United States Senate election in Texas results map by county.svg
County results
Cruz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Allred:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Ted Cruz
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Ted Cruz
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican incumbent Ted Cruz won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic challenger and U.S. Representative Colin Allred. [1] [2] [3] The primary election took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday. [4]

Contents

Original polling showed Cruz as a clear favorite, but polls closer to the election showed a closer race. Cruz ultimately outperformed polling and expectations and won re-election by 8.5 points, improving on his 2018 margin by six points and flipping thirteen counties. [5] [6] Allred did outperform Kamala Harris in the concurrent 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas by 5 points. With slightly over 53% of the vote, Cruz received the lowest vote share for any incumbent Republican senator in the 2024 election cycle. Likewise, Allred received the highest vote share for a Democratic candidate in a seat occupied by a Republican (only Dan Osborn, an Independent running in Nebraska, received a larger vote share for a challenger in a Republican held seat).

Cruz won Hispanic and Latino voters, particularly those living on the border with Mexico who had traditionally supported Democratic candidates; exit polls showed 52% of Latinos supported Cruz, a 17-point increase from 2018. [7] Cruz received the most raw votes for a U.S. Senate candidate in Texas history, a record previously achieved by John Cornyn in 2020.

Background

Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994. [8] Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas's U.S. House congressional delegation. Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 15.84 points and was reelected in 2018 by only 2.56 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke. [9] [10] The close elections in 2018 prompted many electoral analysts to speculate that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans increased their margins of victory. [11] [8] This race was considered to generally favor Cruz, but some considered the race to have the potential to become competitive. [12]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Holland Gibson, retiree [14]
  • Rufus Lopez, attorney [14]

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ted Cruz (R)$59,159,421$46,606,430$12,710,949
Source: Federal Election Commission [26]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Cruz		Holland
Gibson		Rufus
Lopez		OtherUndecided
YouGov [27] [A] February 2–12, 2024492 (RV)± 4.42%82%7%3%9%–

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Cruz 70-80% 80-90% >90% Senate Texas Primary Republican 2024.svg
Results by county:
  Cruz
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 1,977,961 88.30%
Republican Holland Gibson134,0115.98%
Republican Rufus Lopez127,9865.71%
Total votes2,239,958 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Aaron Arguijo, coffee shop owner [32] [14]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Colin Allred

US executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers and other media

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Colin Allred (D)$38,433,747$27,983,265$10,450,482
Mark Gonzalez (D)$14,967 [b] $11,659$3,307
Roland Gutierrez (D)$1,301,543$1,146,487$155,055
Steven Keough (D)$27,357 [c] $27,730$0
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman (D)$30,458$29,440$1,017
Carl Sherman (D)$173,565$150,616$22,949
Thierry Tchenko (D)$117,067$106,606$10,461
Source: Federal Election Commission [26]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Colin
Allred		Meri
Gomez		Mark
Gonzalez		Roland
Gutierrez		Carl
Sherman		OtherUndecided
UT Tyler [80] February 18–26, 2024441 (LV)± 5.3%37%––22%6%2%32%
YouGov [81] [A] February 2–12, 2024354 (RV)± 5.21%52%3%5%14%2%5% [d] 18%
YouGov [82] [B] January 11–24, 20241,500 (LV)± 2.5%40%4%2%12%1%3% [e] 38%
Emerson College [83] [C] January 13–15, 2024460 (RV)± 4.81%29%4%6%7%2%15% [f] 37%
YouGov [84] [A] December 1–10, 2023415 (RV)± 4.81%28%3%2%7%2%10% [g] 48%
YouGov [85] [A] October 5–17, 2023409 (RV)± 4.84%21%2%2%10%2%15% [h] 46%
Texas Hispanic
Policy Foundation [86] 		May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%33%––22%–4% [i] 41%

Results

Results by county: Allred 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90% Gutierrez 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Gonzalez 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% >90% Tied No Votes Senate Texas Primary Democratic 2024.svg
Results by county:
  Allred
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Gutierrez
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Gonzalez
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   >90%
  Tied
  No Votes
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Colin Allred 569,585 58.87%
Democratic Roland Gutierrez 160,97816.64%
Democratic Mark Gonzalez85,2288.81%
Democratic Meri Gomez44,1664.56%
Democratic Carl Sherman 31,6943.28%
Democratic Robert Hassan21,8552.26%
Democratic Steven Keough21,8012.25%
Democratic Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman18,8011.94%
Democratic Thierry Tchenko13,3951.38%
Total votes967,503 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Nominee

Write-in candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [90] Lean ROctober 1, 2024
Inside Elections [91] Tilt ROctober 31, 2024
Fox News [92] Likely ROctober 1, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [93] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [94] Lean RAugust 26, 2024
Elections Daily [95] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
CNalysis [96] Tilt ROctober 23, 2024
RealClearPolitics [97] TossupOctober 30, 2024
Split Ticket [98] Lean ROctober 23, 2024
538 [99] Likely ROctober 23, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Ted Cruz (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Colin Allred (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ted Cruz (R)$86,316,192$76,908,816$9,565,334
Colin Allred (D)$80,059,292$77,557,763$2,501,528
Source: Federal Election Commission [26]

Debates

2024 Texas U.S. Senate election debate
No.DateHostModeratorsLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
CruzAllred
1October 15, 2024 WFAA YouTube PP

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ted
Cruz (R)		Colin
Allred (D)		Undecided
[j] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [132] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.4%45.4%5.2%Cruz +4.0%
RCP [133] October 22 - November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.2%44.8%6.0%Cruz +4.4%
270toWin [134] October 18 - November 3, 2024November 3, 202449.0%45.2%5.8%Cruz +3.8%
TheHill/DDHQ [135] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.8%46.0%4.2%Cruz +3.8%
Average49.4%45.4%5.2%Cruz +4.0%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Cruz (R)		Colin
Allred (D)		OtherUndecided
AtlasIntel [136] November 1–4, 20242,434 (LV)± 2.0%53%46%1%–
Morning Consult [137] October 22–31, 20242,120 (LV)± 2.0%47%44%–9%
Cygnal (R) [138] October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%45%3% [k] 3%
ActiVote [139] October 21–27, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%––
NYT/Siena College [140] October 23–26, 20241,180 (LV)± 3.3%50%46%–4%
1,180 (RV)± 3.1%49%46%–5%
GBAO (D) [141] [D] October 18–23, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%4% [l] 4%
Emerson College [142] [E] October 18–21, 2024815 (LV)± 3.4%48%47%–5%
UT Tyler [143] October 14–21, 2024956 (LV)± 3.0%47%45%3% [k] 6%
YouGov [144] [F] October 7–17, 20241,108 (RV)± 3.49%49%45%–6%
ActiVote [145] October 1–16, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%53%47%––
Morning Consult [137] October 6–15, 20242,048 (LV)–46%45%–9%
YouGov [146] [A] October 2–10, 20241,091 (LV)± 2.97%51%44%4% [l] –
University of Houston [147] September 26 – October 10, 20241,329 (LV)± 2.7%50%46%1% [m] 3%
Marist College [148] October 3–7, 20241,186 (LV)± 3.6%51%46%–3%
1,365 (RV)± 3.3%50%47%–3%
FAU/Mainstreet Research [149] October 2–6, 2024811 (RV)± 3.4%46%43%–11%
775 (LV)± 3.4%47%44%–9%
NYT/Siena College [150] September 29 – October 4, 2024617 (LV)± 4.8%48%44%–8%
617 (RV)± 4.5%45%43%–12%
GBAO (D) [141] [D] Early October 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%46%44%6% [n] 4%
ActiVote [151] September 5–30, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%––
RMG Research [152] [G] September 25–27, 2024779 (LV)± 3.5%50%47%4% [o] –
Public Policy Polling [153] [H] September 25–26, 2024759 (RV)± 3.5%47%46%–7%
45%43%3% [k] 9%
Emerson College [142] [E] September 22–24, 2024950 (LV)± 3.1%49%45%–6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [154] September 13–18, 20241,200 (LV)± 2.83%48%45%–7%
Morning Consult [137] September 9–18, 20242,716 (LV)± 2.0%44%45%–11%
CWS Research (R) [155] [I] September 4–9, 2024504 (LV)± 4.365%46%40%3% [k] 11%
Morning Consult [156] August 30 – September 8, 20242,940 (LV)± 2.0%47%42%–11%
Emerson College [157] September 3–5, 2024845 (LV)± 3.3%48%44%–8%
GBAO (D) [141] [D] September 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%43%4% [l] 5%
YouGov [158] [A] August 23–31, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%44%36%6% [p] 14%
Quantus Polls and News [159] August 29–30, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.1%50%43%3%4%
Texas Public Opinion Research/
Lake Research Partners [160] 		August 24–29, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%47%43%7% [q] 3%
ActiVote [161] August 13–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%55%45%––
Public Policy Polling (D) [162] [H] August 21–22, 2024725 (RV)± 3.6%47%45%–8%
44%40%4% [l] 12%
YouGov [163] [J] August 5–16, 20241,365 (LV)± 2.65%47%45%3% [k] 6%
ActiVote [164] June 25 – July 18, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54%46%––
Remington Research Group (R) [165] [K] June 29 – July 1, 2024589 (LV)± 4.0%53%43%–4%
YouGov [166] [J] June 20 – July 1, 20241,484 (LV)± 2.5%47%44%3% [k] 6%
Manhattan Institute [167] June 25–27, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%43%3% [r] 8%
UT Tyler [168] June 11–20, 20241,144 (RV)± 3.7%43%39%7% [s] 10%
931 (LV)± 3.8%45%42%7% [s] 7%
YouGov [169] [A] May 31 – June 9, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%45%34%6%15%
GBAO (D) [141] [D] May 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%47%40%8% [t] 5%
YouGov [170] [A] April 12–22, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.83%46%33%7%22%
Texas Lyceum [171] April 12–21, 2024926 (RV)± 3.2%41%31%13%15%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [172] April 5–10, 20241,600 (LV)± 2.45%46%41%4% [l] 9%
Cygnal (R) [173] April 4–6, 20241,000 (RV)± 2.9%45%36%5% [u] 14%
Marist College [174] March 18–21, 20241,117 (RV)± 3.8%51%45%1%3%
UT Tyler [80] February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%41%41%7%12%
YouGov [27] [A] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.49%46%32%9%13%
National Public Affairs [175] February 6–8, 2024807 (LV)± 3.5%44%44%–12%
YouGov [82] [B] January 11–24, 20241,145 (RV)± 2.5%48%39%4% [l] 9%
Emerson College [83] [C] January 13–15, 20241,315 (RV)± 2.6%42%40%8%11%
YouGov [84] [A] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.4%43%27%15% [v] 15%
University of Texas at Tyler [176] May 10–21, 20231,413 (RV)± 3.0%42%37%8% [w] 14%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [177] May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%47%40%4% [x] 9%
Hypothetical polling

Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Cruz (R)		Roland
Gutierrez (D)		OtherUndecided
YouGov [27] [A] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.49%45%31%9%14%
YouGov [82] [B] January 11–24, 20241,145 (RV)± 2.5%48%38%4% [l] 10%
Emerson College [83] [C] January 13–15, 20241,315 (RV)± 2.6%41%40%8%11%
YouGov [84] [A] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.4%42%26%16% [y] 17%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Texas [178]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 5,990,741 53.07% +2.18%
Democratic Colin Allred 5,031,24944.57%−3.76%
Libertarian Ted Brown267,0392.37%+1.59%
Total votes11,289,029 100.00%
Republican hold
Texas counties 2018-2024 senate shift.svg
Texas counties 2018-2024 senate trend.svg

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Cruz won 25 of 38 congressional districts. [179] [180]

DistrictCruzAllredRepresentative
1st Nathaniel Moran
2nd Dan Crenshaw
3rd Keith Self
4th Pat Fallon
5th Lance Gooden
6th Jake Ellzey
7th Lizzie Fletcher
8th Morgan Luttrell
9th Al Green
10th Michael McCaul
11th August Pfluger
12th Kay Granger (118th Congress)
Craig Goldman (119th Congress)
13th Ronny Jackson
14th Randy Weber
15th 54%44% Monica De La Cruz
16th Veronica Escobar
17th Pete Sessions
18th Erica Lee Carter (118th Congress)
Sylvester Turner (119th Congress)
19th Jodey Arrington
20th Joaquín Castro
21st Chip Roy
22nd Troy Nehls
23rd Tony Gonzales
24th Beth Van Duyne
25th Roger Williams
26th Michael Burgess (118th Congress)
Brandon Gill (119th Congress)
27th Michael Cloud
28th 48%50% Henry Cuellar
29th Sylvia Garcia
30th Jasmine Crockett
31st John Carter
32nd Colin Allred (118th Congress)
Julie Johnson (119th Congress)
33rd Marc Veasey
34th 46%52% Vicente Gonzalez
35th Greg Casar
36th Brian Babin
37th Lloyd Doggett
38th Wesley Hunt

Analysis

Exit Polls from Fox News Voter Analysis showed Cruz winning Anglos (62%-36%) and other minorities (52%-44%) while Allred won African Americans (79%-18%) and Latinos (51%-46%).

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ $3,900 of this total was self-funded by Gonzalez
  3. ↑ $6,050 of this total was self-funded by Keough
  4. ↑ Steven Keough with 3%; Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman and Thierry Tchenko with 1%; Robert Hassan with 0%
  5. ↑ Robert Hassan, Steven Keough, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Thierry Tchenko with 0%
  6. ↑ Steven Keough, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Robert Hassan with 1%; "Someone else" with 8%
  7. ↑ Sherri Taylor, Victor Dunn, and John Love III with 2%; Tracy Andrus, Aaron Arguijo, and Steven Keough with 1%; Teresa Naranjo, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
  8. ↑ Sherri Taylor with 3%; Tracy Andrus, Steven Keough, Teresa Naranjo, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Aaron Arguijo, John Love III, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Victor Dunn with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ↑ John Love with 4%
  10. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Brown (L) with 3%
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Brown (L) with 4%
  13. ↑ Brown (L) with 1%
  14. ↑ Brown (L) with 6%
  15. ↑ "Wouldn't Vote" and "Someone Else" with 2%
  16. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; Brown (L) with 2%
  17. ↑ Brown (L) with 5%; "Refused" with 1%
  18. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  19. 1 2 Brown (L) with 5%; "Refused" with 2%
  20. ↑ Brown (L) with 8%
  21. ↑ Brown (L) with 3%; Mason Cysewski (G) with 2%
  22. ↑ "Someone else" with 15%
  23. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%; Refused to answer with 1%
  24. ↑ Libertarian candidate with 2%; Green Party candidate with 2%
  25. ↑ "Someone else" with 16%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  3. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  4. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Allred's campaign
  5. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Hill and Nexstar
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by Napolitan Institute
  8. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights, which supports Republican candidates
  10. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, which supports Republican candidates

References

  1. ↑ Yoon, Robert (November 6, 2024). "Why AP called the Texas Senate race for Ted Cruz". AP News. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  2. ↑ Weaver, Al (November 6, 2024). "Ted Cruz wins Texas Senate reelection race, defeating Colin Allred". The Hill. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  3. ↑ Garcia, Eric (November 6, 2024). "Ted Cruz evades Democratic efforts to unseat him again in Texas". The Independent. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  4. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". National Conference of State Legislatures . Archived from the original on November 10, 2023.
  5. ↑ "Ted Cruz Is Again Fighting for Political Survival in Texas". The New York Times. September 24, 2024. Retrieved September 25, 2024.
  6. ↑ Reporter, Martha McHardy US News (September 22, 2024). "Could Ted Cruz actually lose in Texas?". Newsweek. Retrieved September 23, 2024.
  7. ↑ Morton, Joseph (November 7, 2024). "Hispanic voters shift to the right, leaving Texas Democrats seeking answers". The Dallas Morning News . Retrieved November 22, 2024.
  8. 1 2 "Republican victories show Texas is still far from turning blue". The Texas Tribune. November 9, 2022. As large as the cities are and how Democratic that they are, Texas Democrats still don't have a way to get past that red wall of rural West Texas, [Drew Landry] said. Rural Texas still rules the day. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott.
  9. ↑ "Texas". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  10. ↑ "Texas Senate Election Results 2018". POLITICO . November 7, 2018. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  11. ↑ Goodman, J. David (November 9, 2022). "Texas Democrats Look to a Future Beyond Beto". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  12. ↑ Choi, Matthew (March 30, 2023). "Why Ted Cruz's next reelection path looks smoother with Beto O'Rourke behind him". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  13. ↑ Chan, Sewell (November 19, 2022). "U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz confirms he will seek a third term in 2024". The Texas Tribune .
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Candidate Information". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2023.
  15. ↑ Neukam, Stephen (September 23, 2022). "Republican Texas Congressman Dan Crenshaw takes aim at his own party's "woke right" for stoking division". The Texas Tribune .
  16. ↑ Druke, Galen (November 2, 2023). "Adam Kinzinger muses: 'I would love to run against Ted Cruz'". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved November 2, 2023.
  17. 1 2 "RJC PAC Endorses Champions of the Jewish Community, Senators Ted Cruz and Rick Scott, for Re-Election". Republican Jewish Coalition. July 12, 2023. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  18. ↑ Pauda, Erica (September 15, 2023). "CLEAT Endorsed Sen. Ted Cruz for Reelection". KXAN . Retrieved September 15, 2023.
  19. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  20. ↑ Kildea, Joe (August 9, 2023). "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Cruz In TX Senate Race". Club for Growth. Archived from the original on September 11, 2023. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  21. ↑ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Texas". NRA-PVF. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  22. ↑ "Senate Conservatives Fund". Senate Conservatives Fund. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  23. ↑ "NEWS RELEASE: Texas Alliance for Life Releases First Round of Endorsements in the Primary Elections - Texas Alliance for Life". Texas Alliance for Life. October 5, 2023. Archived from the original on October 5, 2023. Retrieved October 5, 2023.
  24. ↑ "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  25. ↑ Dunning, Nate (October 10, 2023). "Young Conservatives of Texas Announces First Round of 2024 Endorsements - Young Conservatives of TexasYoung Conservatives of Texas". Young Conservatives of Texas. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  26. 1 2 3 "2024 Election United States Senate - Texas". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 4, 2024.
  27. 1 2 3 YouGov
  28. ↑ Jeffers Jr., Gromer (May 3, 2023). "Rep. Colin Allred launches Senate bid to oust Ted Cruz". The Dallas Morning News . Retrieved May 3, 2023.
  29. ↑ Williams, Haley; Gibson, Michael (September 5, 2023). "District Attorney Mark Gonzalez resigns to run for US Senate against Ted Cruz". KIII . Retrieved August 5, 2023.
  30. ↑ Svitek, Patrick (July 10, 2023). "Texas Sen. Roland Gutierrez enters Democratic primary targeting U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in 2024". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved July 10, 2023.
  31. ↑ Powell, Adam (July 7, 2023). "Democrat Steven Keough: Road to US Senate in Texas runs through El Paso". El Paso Times . Retrieved July 6, 2023.
  32. 1 2 Frisk, Garrett (March 31, 2023). "These Four Democrats Want to Unseat Ted Cruz". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Archived from the original on March 31, 2023.
  33. ↑ Svitek, Patrick (September 9, 2023). "State Rep. Carl Sherman becomes latest Democrat to target Sen. Ted Cruz in 2024". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved September 9, 2023.
  34. ↑ Frisk, Garrett (July 6, 2023). "More Democrats Announce for 2024 Texas Senate Race". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 6, 2023.
  35. ↑ "Texas House Candidate Roundup: May 30, 2023". Diamond Eye Candidate Report.
  36. ↑ Svitek, Patrick; Choi, Steven (May 3, 2023). "Dallas Democrat Colin Allred announces 2024 challenge to Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz". Texas Tribune . Retrieved May 3, 2023. Julián Castro, the former U.S. housing secretary and San Antonio mayor, does not plan to run, according to a spokesperson.
  37. 1 2 Svitek, Patrick; Choi, Matthew (May 3, 2023). "Dallas Democrat Colin Allred announces 2024 challenge to Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved May 3, 2023.
  38. ↑ Covey, Erin (March 22, 2023). "Texas Senate: Always on Democrats' Mind". Inside Elections .
  39. ↑ "Harris campaigns in Houston". YouTube . October 25, 2024.
  40. 1 2 Carrasquillo, Adrian (October 26, 2023). "Hispanic Caucus Super PAC Under Fire From Democrats for Not Backing Latino Candidate To Unseat Sen. Ted Cruz (Exclusive)". The Messenger . Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  41. ↑ Franken, Al (July 19, 2023). "Why I Hate Ted Cruz". Midwest Values PAC. Retrieved September 9, 2023.
  42. ↑ "TX-Sen: Jon Tester helps Colin Allred (D) fire Ted Cruz". Daily Kos . August 15, 2023. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
  43. 1 2 3 4 Jeffers Jr., Gromer (July 6, 2023). "Ted Cruz, Colin Allred prepare for Senate showdown as others plan to join the race". The Dallas Morning News . Retrieved July 6, 2023.
  44. ↑ Chilliak, Matt (May 18, 2023). "Moulton backs Allred and promotes MA Convention". Rockport, MA Democrats. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  45. ↑ Powell, Adam (August 10, 2023). "U.S. Rep. Colin Allred receives Borderland endorsements in bid to oust U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz" . El Paso Times . Archived from the original on August 19, 2023. Retrieved August 19, 2023.
  46. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Overton, Mac (January 30, 2024). "In Another Sign of Strong Momentum, Allred Earns Backing of Texas AFL-CIO". The Gilmer Mirror. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  47. 1 2 Svitek, Patrick (January 26, 2024). "Colin Allred looks to protect advantages in crowded race to challenge U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  48. 1 2 Caesar, Alana (January 30, 2024). "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses U.S. Representative Colin Allred for Senate". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  49. ↑ Congressional Black Caucus PAC [@CBCPAC] (May 16, 2023). "The #CBCPAC is proud to endorse Rep. Colin Allred's campaign for U.S. Senate in Texas" (Tweet). Retrieved May 16, 2023– via Twitter.
  50. ↑ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Archived from the original on September 6, 2023. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
  51. ↑ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Congressman Colin Allred for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United. June 26, 2023. Retrieved June 26, 2023.
  52. ↑ "Presenting the official Spring 2024 Harvard Dems Endorsement Results! Congratulations to all who were endorsed". Instagram . February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
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  55. ↑ Hyer, Mika. "LCV Action Fund Endorses Colin Allred for Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
  56. ↑ NCPSSM. "Leading Social Security/Medicare Advocacy Group Proudly Endorses Colin Allred for U.S. Senate". NCPSSM. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
  57. ↑ "Meet Our 2024 Candidates". Peace Action. Archived from the original on July 14, 2023. Retrieved July 14, 2023.
  58. ↑ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
  59. ↑ "Texas". UAW Endorsements. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
  60. ↑ "Our recommendation in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate". Dallas News. February 18, 2024. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  61. ↑ "Star-Telegram endorsement: Democrats' best option to face Ted Cruz for Senate". February 18, 2024.
  62. ↑ "We endorse Colin Allred in the Democratic primary for Senate (Editorial)". Houston Chronicle. February 11, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  63. ↑ "Allred best choice in crowded Democratic primary for U.S. Senate". San Antonio Express-News. February 9, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  64. 1 2 @LaCongresista (February 17, 2024). "This morning we held a great GOTV breakfast with our community members and candidates for office where I endorsed @RolandForTexas in our senate race! 🏛️ Thank you to @Pct6Constable, @HarrisCoPct2 Jerry Garcia, @JuanForJudge, @MarioforHouston, and @RepPennyMShaw for coming out!" (Tweet). Retrieved February 17, 2024– via Twitter.
  65. 1 2 3 Powell, Adam (October 11, 2023). "State Sen. Roland Gutierrez drawing strength from Uvalde tragedy in US Senate campaign". El Paso Times . Retrieved October 16, 2023.
  66. ↑ Arévalo, Dina (September 11, 2023). "Ted Cruz challenger Roland Gutierrez stumps in the RGV". My RGV: The Monitor . Archived from the original on October 5, 2023. Retrieved October 5, 2023.
  67. ↑ Austin Young Democrats [@AustinYoungDems] (February 5, 2024). "AYD Endorsements are in: Austin Young Democrats - Mar. 2024 Election Endorsements" (Tweet). Retrieved February 11, 2024– via Twitter.
  68. ↑ Powell, Adam (February 7, 2024). "Find out who El Paso Eastside Democrats are backing in Democratic primaries". El Paso Times . Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  69. ↑ Jones, Donaldson (February 29, 2024). "Emgage PAC Endorsements for 2024 March Primary Elections". Emgage PAC. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  70. ↑ "Endorsements – Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus PAC". Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus . Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  71. ↑ Perez, Zenia (January 31, 2024). "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Texas Slate". Latino Victory . Retrieved February 1, 2024.
  72. ↑ Our Revolution Montgomery County, TX [@OurRevMCTX] (September 4, 2023). "We're proud to endorse @RolandForTexas for US Senate for his commitment to fighting for the working-class of Montgomery County and TX" (Tweet). Retrieved October 7, 2023– via Twitter.
  73. ↑ "2024 Democratic Primary - Official Candidate Endorsements: Federal Candidates". Stonewall Democrats of San Antonio. January 28, 2024. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
  74. ↑ "March 2024 Primary Endorsements". Stonewall Democrats of Dallas. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  75. ↑ Stonewall Democrats of El Paso [@stonewalldemselp] (February 8, 2024). "As many of you know our board has always been solidly behind one of Texas strongest legislators, that's why we're proud to endorse our friend @rolandfortexas". Instagram . Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  76. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". Texas Progressive Caucus. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  77. ↑ University Democrats [@UDems] (December 18, 2023). "Endorsements are in: University Democrats est. 1953 - 2024 Primary Endorsements" (Tweet). Retrieved February 11, 2024– via Twitter.
  78. ↑ "March 2024 Primary Election Endorsements for Travis County Residents". www.austinchronicle.com. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
  79. ↑ Stonewall Democrats of Austin [@StonewallAustin] (January 11, 2024). "The results for the Stonewall Democrats of Austin 2024 primary endorsement election are in". Facebook . Retrieved February 11, 2024.
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  81. ↑ YouGov
  82. 1 2 3 YouGov
  83. 1 2 3 Emerson College
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  87. ↑ Dawson, Noah (April 15, 2024). "Texas Libertarian Party Announces Statewide Nominees". The Amarillo Pioneer. Retrieved June 27, 2024.
  88. ↑ Richardson, Robin Y. (February 27, 2024). "Andrus misses primary election, will be write-in candidate for U.S. Senate seat". Marshall News Messenger. Retrieved July 14, 2024.
  89. ↑ Dexter, Emily (October 3, 2024). "5 GoodParty.org Certified Candidates Running for Congress in 2024". GoodPartyOrg. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
  90. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  91. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  92. ↑ "Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. October 1, 2024. Retrieved October 1, 2024.
  93. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  94. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  95. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  96. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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  98. ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. May 25, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  99. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 11, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
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  102. ↑ Mutnick, Ally (October 15, 2024). "John Thune doles out the money as he runs for Senate GOP leader". Politico . Retrieved October 17, 2024.
  103. ↑ @PatrickSvitek on X (October 21, 2024). "In #TXSEN, former state Sen. Eddie Lucio, a conservative Dem from the Rio Grande Valley, endorses Cruz". Twitter .
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  105. ↑ Blankley, Bethany (September 3, 2024). "US Chamber of Commerce endorses Cruz over rival, whom it endorsed twice previously". The Center Square . Retrieved September 4, 2024.
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  107. ↑ "Former President Barack Obama endorses Colin Allred for Senate". KDFW . Dallas. October 11, 2024. Retrieved October 11, 2024.
  108. ↑ "Everything Depends on the Senate". Robert Reich . Retrieved October 2, 2024.
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  111. 1 2 "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Colin Allred for US Senate". Giffords. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
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  117. ↑ Talarico, James. "Endorsement Announcement" . Retrieved November 2, 2024.
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  119. ↑ Davidson, Lillie (October 5, 2024). "Former Republican Tarrant County judge endorses Allred, slams Cruz at Fort Worth rally". Fort Worth Star Telegram .
  120. ↑ Rajwani-Dharsi, Naheed (October 30, 2024). "What Mark Cuban is up to these days". Axios . Retrieved October 31, 2024.
  121. ↑ Kurtz, Josh (July 10, 2024). "Dunn's new PAC backs 10 Democratic Senate candidates, including Alsobrooks". Maryland Matters. Maryland Matters. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
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  123. ↑ Austin American-Statesman Editorial Board (October 21, 2024). "Endorsement: Allred is the right choice for Texas in the U.S. Senate". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved October 21, 2024.
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  125. ↑ Dallas Morning News Editorial (October 20, 2024). "Our recommendation for U.S. Senate". Dallas Morning News. Retrieved October 21, 2024.
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  127. ↑ The Fort Worth Star-Telegram Editorial Board (October 21, 2024). "Star-Telegram endorsement: Is Ted Cruz or Colin Allred better for Texas in the Senate?". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Retrieved October 21, 2024.
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  129. ↑ "Retiree Group Endorses Colin Allred for Election to U.S. Senate". Retired Americans. May 31, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  130. ↑ Bade, Rachael; Lizza, Ryan; Daniels, Eugene (September 10, 2024). "Playbook: Another GOP spending plan goes poof". Politico. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
  131. ↑ "People For Endorses Seven New and Incumbent Senate Candidates in "Defend the Senate" Campaign". People for the American Way (Press release). July 29, 2024. Retrieved July 29, 2024.
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  133. ↑ RCP
  134. ↑ 270toWin
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  136. ↑ AtlasIntel
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  138. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  139. ↑ ActiVote
  140. ↑ NYT/Siena College
  141. 1 2 3 4 GBAO (D)
  142. 1 2 Emerson College
  143. ↑ UT Tyler
  144. ↑ YouGov
  145. ↑ ActiVote
  146. ↑ YouGov
  147. ↑ University of Houston
  148. ↑ Marist College
  149. ↑ FAU/Mainstreet Research
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  152. ↑ RMG Research
  153. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  154. ↑ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
  155. ↑ CWS Research (R)
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  157. ↑ Emerson College
  158. ↑ YouGov
  159. ↑ Quantus Polls and News
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  163. ↑ YouGov
  164. ↑ ActiVote
  165. ↑ Remington Research Group (R)
  166. ↑ YouGov
  167. ↑ Manhattan Institute
  168. ↑ UT Tyler
  169. ↑ YouGov
  170. ↑ YouGov
  171. ↑ Texas Lyceum
  172. ↑ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
  173. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  174. ↑ Marist College
  175. ↑ National Public Affairs
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  177. ↑ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
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