2024 United States Senate election in Texas

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2024 United States Senate election in Texas
Flag of Texas.svg
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  Ted Cruz official 116th portrait (cropped).jpg Colin Allred, official portrait, 117th Congress (3x4).jpg
Nominee Ted Cruz Colin Allred
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote5,990,7415,031,249
Percentage53.05%44.56%
2024 United States Senate election in Texas results map by county.svg
2024 United States Senate election in Texas by congressional district.svg
TX Senate 2024.svg
Cruz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     90–100%
Allred:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Ted Cruz
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Ted Cruz
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Republican incumbent Ted Cruz won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic challenger and U.S. Representative Colin Allred. [1] [2] [3] The primary election took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday. [4]

Contents

Early polling showed Cruz as a clear favorite, but polls closer to the election showed a closer race. Cruz ultimately outperformed polling and expectations and won re-election by 8.49 points, improving on his 2018 margin by six points and flipping thirteen counties. [5] [6] Cruz won a slight majority of Hispanic and Latino voters in the election.

Colin Allred overperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election in Texas by 5.5 points, receiving nearly 200,000 votes more than her and performed relatively better in the largely Hispanic Rio Grande Valley. [7] [8]

Background

Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994. [9] Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas's U.S. House congressional delegation. Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 15.84 points and was reelected in 2018 by only 2.56 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke. [10] [11] The close elections in 2018 prompted many electoral analysts to speculate that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans increased their margins of victory. [12] [9] This race was considered to generally favor Cruz, but some considered the race to have the potential to become competitive. [13]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Holland Gibson, retiree [15]
  • Rufus Lopez, attorney [15]

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ted Cruz (R)$59,159,421$46,606,430$12,710,949
Source: Federal Election Commission [27]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Cruz		Holland
Gibson		Rufus
Lopez		OtherUndecided
YouGov [28] [A] February 2–12, 2024492 (RV)± 4.4%82%7%3%9%–

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Cruz 70-80% 80-90% >90% Senate Texas Primary Republican 2024.svg
Results by county:
  Cruz
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 1,977,961 88.30%
Republican Holland Gibson134,0115.98%
Republican Rufus Lopez127,9865.71%
Total votes2,239,958 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Aaron Arguijo, coffee shop owner [34] [15]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Colin Allred

US executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers and other media

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Colin Allred (D)$38,433,747$27,983,265$10,450,482
Mark Gonzalez (D)$14,967 [b] $11,659$3,307
Roland Gutierrez (D)$1,301,543$1,146,487$155,055
Steven Keough (D)$27,357 [c] $27,730$0
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman (D)$30,458$29,440$1,017
Carl Sherman (D)$173,565$150,616$22,949
Thierry Tchenko (D)$117,067$106,606$10,461
Source: Federal Election Commission [27]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Colin
Allred		Meri
Gomez		Mark
Gonzalez		Roland
Gutierrez		Carl
Sherman		OtherUndecided
UT Tyler [82] February 18–26, 2024441 (LV)± 5.3%37%––22%6%2%32%
YouGov [28] [A] February 2–12, 2024354 (RV)± 5.2%52%3%5%14%2%5% [d] 18%
YouGov [83] [B] January 11–24, 20241,500 (LV)± 2.5%40%4%2%12%1%3% [e] 38%
Emerson College [84] [C] January 13–15, 2024460 (RV)± 4.8%29%4%6%7%2%15% [f] 37%
YouGov [85] [A] December 1–10, 2023415 (RV)± 4.8%28%3%2%7%2%10% [g] 48%
YouGov [86] [A] October 5–17, 2023409 (RV)± 4.8%21%2%2%10%2%15% [h] 46%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [87] May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%33%––22%–4% [i] 41%

Results

Results by county: Allred 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90% Gutierrez 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Gonzalez 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% >90% Gomez 20-30% Tied No Votes Senate Texas Primary Democratic 2024.svg
Results by county:
  Allred
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Gutierrez
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Gonzalez
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   >90%
  Gomez
  •   20–30%
  Tied
  No Votes
Democratic primary results [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Colin Allred 569,585 58.87%
Democratic Roland Gutierrez 160,97816.64%
Democratic Mark Gonzalez85,2288.81%
Democratic Meri Gomez44,1664.56%
Democratic Carl Sherman 31,6943.28%
Democratic Robert Hassan21,8552.26%
Democratic Steven Keough21,8012.25%
Democratic Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman18,8011.94%
Democratic Thierry Tchenko13,3951.38%
Total votes967,503 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Nominee

Write-in candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [91] Lean ROctober 1, 2024
Inside Elections [92] Tilt ROctober 31, 2024
Fox News [93] Likely ROctober 1, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [94] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [95] Lean RAugust 26, 2024
Elections Daily [96] Lean RNovember 4, 2024
CNalysis [97] Tilt ROctober 23, 2024
RealClearPolitics [98] TossupOctober 30, 2024
Split Ticket [99] Lean ROctober 23, 2024
538 [100] Likely ROctober 23, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Ted Cruz (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Colin Allred (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ted Cruz (R)$86,316,192$76,908,816$9,565,334
Colin Allred (D)$80,059,292$77,557,763$2,501,528
Source: Federal Election Commission [27]

Debate

2024 Texas U.S. Senate election debate
No.DateHostModeratorsLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
CruzAllred
1October 15, 2024 WFAA YouTube PP

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ted
Cruz (R)		Colin
Allred (D)		Undecided
[j] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [134] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.4%45.4%5.2%Cruz +4.0%
RCP [135] October 22 - November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.2%44.8%6.0%Cruz +4.4%
270toWin [136] October 18 - November 3, 2024November 3, 202449.0%45.2%5.8%Cruz +3.8%
TheHill/DDHQ [137] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202449.8%46.0%4.2%Cruz +3.8%
Average49.4%45.4%5.2%Cruz +4.0%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Cruz (R)		Colin
Allred (D)		OtherUndecided
AtlasIntel [138] November 1–4, 20242,434 (LV)± 2.0%53%46%1%–
Morning Consult [139] October 22–31, 20242,120 (LV)± 2.0%47%44%–9%
Cygnal (R) [140] October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%45%3% [k] 3%
ActiVote [141] October 21–27, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%––
New York Times/Siena College [142] October 23–26, 20241,180 (LV)± 3.3%50%46%–4%
1,180 (RV)± 3.1%49%46%–5%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [143] [D] October 24–25, 20241,002 (LV)± 3.0%47%43%3%7%
GBAO (D) [144] [E] October 18–23, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%4% [l] 4%
Emerson College [145] [F] October 18–21, 2024815 (LV)± 3.4%48%47%–5%
UT Tyler [146] October 14–21, 2024956 (LV)± 3.0%47%45%3% [k] 6%
YouGov [147] [G] October 7–17, 20241,108 (RV)± 3.5%49%45%–6%
ActiVote [148] October 1–16, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%53%47%––
Morning Consult [139] October 6–15, 20242,048 (LV)–46%45%–9%
YouGov [149] [A] October 2–10, 20241,091 (LV)± 3.0%51%44%4% [l] –
University of Houston [150] September 26 – October 10, 20241,329 (LV)± 2.7%50%46%1% [m] 3%
Marist College [151] October 3–7, 20241,186 (LV)± 3.6%51%46%–3%
1,365 (RV)± 3.3%50%47%–3%
Mainstreet Research/FAU [152] October 2–6, 2024811 (RV)± 3.4%46%43%–11%
775 (LV)± 3.4%47%44%–9%
New York Times/Siena College [153] September 29 – October 4, 2024617 (LV)± 4.8%48%44%–8%
617 (RV)± 4.5%45%43%–12%
GBAO (D) [144] [E] Early October 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%46%44%6% [n] 4%
ActiVote [154] September 5–30, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%––
RMG Research [155] [H] September 25–27, 2024779 (LV)± 3.5%48%45%4% [o] 3%
50% [p] 47%4% [q] –
Public Policy Polling [156] [I] September 25–26, 2024759 (RV)± 3.5%47%46%–7%
45%43%3% [k] 9%
Emerson College [157] [F] September 22–24, 2024950 (LV)± 3.1%49%45%–6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [158] September 13–18, 20241,200 (LV)± 2.8%48%45%–7%
Morning Consult [139] September 9–18, 20242,716 (LV)± 2.0%44%45%–11%
CWS Research (R) [159] [J] September 4–9, 2024504 (LV)± 4.4%46%40%3% [k] 11%
Morning Consult [139] August 30 – September 8, 20242,940 (LV)± 2.0%47%42%–11%
Emerson College [160] September 3–5, 2024845 (LV)± 3.3%48%44%–8%
GBAO (D) [144] [E] September 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%43%4% [l] 5%
YouGov [161] [A] August 23–31, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%44%36%6% [r] 14%
Quantus Insights (R) [162] August 29–30, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.1%50%43%3%4%
Texas Public Opinion Research/
Lake Research Partners (D) [163] 		August 24–29, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%47%43%7% [s] 3%
ActiVote [164] August 13–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%55%45%––
Public Policy Polling (D) [165] [I] August 21–22, 2024725 (RV)± 3.6%47%45%–8%
44%40%4% [l] 12%
YouGov [166] [K] August 5–16, 20241,365 (LV)± 2.7%47%45%3% [k] 6%
ActiVote [167] June 25 – July 18, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54%46%––
Remington Research Group (R) [168] [L] June 29 – July 1, 2024589 (LV)± 4.0%53%43%–4%
YouGov [169] [K] June 20 – July 1, 20241,484 (LV)± 2.5%47%44%3% [k] 6%
Manhattan Institute [170] June 25–27, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%43%3% [t] 8%
UT Tyler [171] June 11–20, 20241,144 (RV)± 3.7%43%39%7% [u] 10%
931 (LV)± 3.8%45%42%7% [u] 7%
YouGov [172] [A] May 31 – June 9, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%45%34%6%15%
GBAO (D) [144] [E] May 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%47%40%8% [v] 5%
YouGov [173] [A] April 12–22, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%46%33%7%22%
Texas Lyceum [174] April 12–21, 2024926 (RV)± 3.2%41%31%13%15%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [175] April 5–10, 20241,600 (LV)± 2.5%46%41%4% [l] 9%
Cygnal (R) [176] April 4–6, 20241,000 (RV)± 2.9%45%36%5% [w] 14%
Marist College [177] March 18–21, 20241,117 (RV)± 3.8%51%45%1%3%
UT Tyler [82] February 18–26, 20241,167 (RV)± 3.2%41%41%7%12%
YouGov [28] [A] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.5%46%32%9%13%
National Public Affairs [178] February 6–8, 2024807 (LV)± 3.5%44%44%–12%
YouGov [83] [B] January 11–24, 20241,145 (RV)± 2.5%48%39%4% [l] 9%
Emerson College [84] [C] January 13–15, 20241,315 (RV)± 2.6%42%40%8%11%
YouGov [85] [A] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.4%43%27%15% [x] 15%
UT Tyler [179] May 10–21, 20231,413 (RV)± 3.0%42%37%8% [y] 14%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [180] May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%47%40%4% [z] 9%
Hypothetical polling

Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Ted
Cruz (R)		Roland
Gutierrez (D)		OtherUndecided
YouGov [28] [A] February 2–12, 20241,200 (RV)± 3.5%45%31%9%14%
YouGov [83] [B] January 11–24, 20241,145 (RV)± 2.5%48%38%4% [l] 10%
Emerson College [84] [C] January 13–15, 20241,315 (RV)± 2.6%41%40%8%11%
YouGov [85] [A] December 1–10, 20231,200 (RV)± 2.4%42%26%16% [aa] 17%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Texas [181] [182]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Ted Cruz (incumbent) 5,990,741 53.05% +2.18%
Democratic Colin Allred 5,031,24944.56%−3.76%
Libertarian Ted Brown267,0392.36%+1.59%
Write-in 2,8250.03%
Total votes11,291,854 100.00%
Republican hold
Texas counties 2018-2024 senate shift.svg
Texas counties 2018-2024 senate trend.svg

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Cruz won 25 of 38 congressional districts. [183]

DistrictCruzAllredRepresentative
1st 73%25% Nathaniel Moran
2nd 58%39% Dan Crenshaw
3rd 56%42% Keith Self
4th 63%35% Pat Fallon
5th 60%38% Lance Gooden
6th 60%37% Jake Ellzey
7th 35%62% Lizzie Fletcher
8th 63%35% Morgan Luttrell
9th 24%73% Al Green
10th 59%38% Michael McCaul
11th 70%28% August Pfluger
12th 57%40% Kay Granger (118th Congress)
Craig Goldman (119th Congress)
13th 71%27% Ronny Jackson
14th 64%34% Randy Weber
15th 54%44% Monica De La Cruz
16th 38%58% Veronica Escobar
17th 62%36% Pete Sessions
18th 26%71% Erica Lee Carter (118th Congress)
Sylvester Turner (119th Congress)
19th 73%25% Jodey Arrington
20th 34%63% Joaquín Castro
21st 59%39% Chip Roy
22nd 56%42% Troy Nehls
23rd 53%44% Tony Gonzales
24th 54%43% Beth Van Duyne
25th 64%33% Roger Williams
26th 58%40% Michael Burgess (118th Congress)
Brandon Gill (119th Congress)
27th 61%37% Michael Cloud
28th 48%49% Henry Cuellar
29th 33%64% Sylvia Garcia
30th 23%75% Jasmine Crockett
31st 58%39% John Carter
32nd 34%64% Colin Allred (118th Congress)
Julie Johnson (119th Congress)
33rd 28%69% Marc Veasey
34th 46%52% Vicente Gonzalez
35th 29%68% Greg Casar
36th 65%33% Brian Babin
37th 22%75% Lloyd Doggett
38th 57%41% Wesley Hunt

By county

County [184] Ted Cruz
Republican		Colin Allred
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Anderson 15,02278.17%3,87220.15%3221.68%11,15058.02%19,216
Andrews 4,97684.32%87314.62%1232.06%4,10369.70%5,972
Angelina 24,99473.37%8,38224.61%6902.03%16,61248.76%34,066
Aransas 9,60574.14%3,06923.69%2822.18%6,53650.45%12,956
Archer 4,48387.75%56211.00%641.25%3,92176.75%5,109
Armstrong 1,00190.02%978.72%141.26%90481.30%1,112
Atascosa 11,97365.94%5,73931.61%4462.46%6,23434.33%18,158
Austin 11,98178.36%2,99819.61%3102.03%8,98358.75%15,289
Bailey 1,35278.93%32518.97%362.10%1,02759.95%1,713
Bandera 10,47277.40%2,73520.21%3232.39%7,73757.18%13,530
Bastrop 21,83555.35%16,44541.69%1,1662.96%5,39013.66%39,446
Baylor 1,43385.71%19911.90%402.39%1,23482.80%1,672
Bee 5,63965.03%2,84532.81%1882.17%2,79432.22%8,672
Bell 70,46854.47%55,44142.85%3,4632.68%15,02711.62%129,372
Bexar 303,26239.88%422,90355.61%34,2984.51%−119,641−15.73%760,463
Blanco 6,24373.47%2,07124.37%1832.15%4,17249.10%8,497
Borden 36695.56%133.39%41.04%35392.17%383
Bosque 7,64380.01%1,71217.92%1982.07%5,93162.09%9,553
Bowie 26,21972.43%9,40525.98%5731.58%16,81446.45%36,197
Brazoria 90,20855.88%67,07541.55%4,1632.58%23,13314.33%161,446
Brazos 54,15359.03%34,84937.98%2,7432.99%19,30421.04%91,745
Brewster 2,42253.30%1,99843.97%1242.73%4249.33%4,544
Briscoe 64987.23%7910.62%162.15%57076.61%744
Brooks 87437.97%1,37959.90%492.13%−505−21.94%2,302
Brown 14,10884.08%2,35914.06%3131.87%11,74970.02%16,780
Burleson 7,32778.61%1,80519.36%1892.03%5,52259.24%9,321
Burnet 21,05674.97%6,40122.79%6292.24%14,65552.18%28,086
Caldwell 8,22752.94%6,85144.08%4632.98%1,3768.85%15,541
Calhoun 5,60372.22%2,01826.01%1371.77%3,58546.21%7,758
Callahan 5,97385.62%86312.37%1402.01%5,11073.25%6,976
Cameron 53,39146.63%58,33050.94%2,7892.44%−4,939−4.31%114,510
Camp 3,89474.51%1,25724.05%751.44%2,63750.46%5,226
Carson 2,75587.43%32810.41%682.16%2,42777.02%3,151
Cass 11,47781.30%2,45717.40%1831.30%9,02063.89%14,117
Castro 1,53077.12%40820.56%462.32%1,12256.55%1,984
Chambers 19,74679.37%4,61718.56%5142.07%15,12960.82%24,877
Cherokee 16,06578.78%3,91519.20%4132.02%12,15059.58%20,393
Childress 1,91985.52%28512.70%401.78%1,63472.82%2,244
Clay 5,12887.23%66311.28%881.50%4,46575.95%5,879
Cochran 70680.23%14916.93%252.84%55763.30%880
Coke 1,56786.86%21812.08%191.05%1,34974.78%1,804
Coleman 3,58586.97%47011.40%671.64%3,11575.57%4,122
Collin 263,38151.51%236,57946.27%11,3132.21%26,8025.24%511,273
Collingsworth 1,03987.98%14111.94%10.08%89876.04%1,181
Colorado 7,55476.16%2,20722.25%1581.59%5,34753.91%9,919
Comal 71,75769.45%29,14928.21%2,4182.34%42,60841.24%103,324
Comanche 5,43583.54%96214.79%1091.68%4,47368.75%6,506
Concho 98983.53%17614.86%191.60%81368.67%1,184
Cooke 16,28480.22%3,62017.83%3951.95%12,66462.39%20,299
Coryell 15,77566.35%7,27630.60%7263.05%8,49935.74%23,777
Cottle 54484.60%9014.00%91.40%45470.61%643
Crane 1,11583.33%19614.65%272.02%91968.68%1,338
Crockett 1,00873.42%32823.89%372.69%68049.53%1,373
Crosby 1,37073.66%43823.55%522.80%93250.11%1,860
Culberson 39452.89%34045.64%111.48%547.25%745
Dallam 1,22975.15%15811.09%382.67%1,07175.16%1,425
Dallas 291,52834.61%531,15363.05%19,7442.34%-239,625-28.44%842,425
Dawson 2,68677.74%68819.91%812.34%1,99857.83%3,455
Deaf Smith 3,11373.68%1,02524.26%872.06%2,08849.42%4,225
Delta 2,15881.28%45317.06%441.66%1,70564.22%2,655
Denton 237,97853.07%200,67644.75%9,8052.19%37,3028.32%448,459
DeWitt 6,24080.52%1,39217.96%1181.52%4,84862.55%7,750
Dickens 81783.11%14815.06%181.83%66968.06%983
Dimmit 1,30540.24%1,84957.02%892.74%-544-16.77%3,243
Donley 1,45387.01%19211.50%251.50%1,26175.51%1,670
Duval 1,87244.82%2,19052.43%1152.75%-318-7.61%4,177
Eastland 7,13285.89%1,02612.36%1461.76%6,10673.53%8,304
Ector 30,72972.70%10,62025.13%9192.17%20,10947.57%42,268
Edwards 80082.14%15215.61%222.26%64866.53%974
El Paso 92,99737.96%141,82657.89%10,1644.15%-48,829-19.93%244,987
Ellis 61,02061.78%35,68536.13%2,0702.10%25,33525.65%98,775
Erath 14,67280.71%3,12617.20%3802.09%11,54663.52%18,178
Falls 4,35169.44%1,78228.44%1332.12%2,56941.00%6,266
Fannin 13,08480.08%2,92717.92%3272.00%10,15762.17%16,338
Fayette 10,40878.34%2,64919.94%2281.72%7,75958.40%13,285
Fisher 1,42078.37%35819.76%341.88%1,06258.61%1,812
Floyd 1,61778.12%40619.61%472.27%1,21158.50%2,070
Foard 43881.41%9417.47%61.12%34463.94%538
Fort Bend 159,69144.84%186,71052.43%9,7402.73%-27,019-7.59%356,141
Franklin 4,34982.43%85916.29%681.29%3,49066.15%5,276
Freestone 7,19780.35%1,60117.87%1591.78%5,59662.48%8,957
Frio 2,55752.98%2,03942.25%2404.97%51810.73%4,826
Gaines 5,70089.52%5618.81%1061.66%5,13980.71%6,367
Galveston 95,11460.05%59,31637.45%3,9622.50%35,79822.60%158,392
Garza 1,31884.00%22314.21%281.78%1,09569.79%1,569
Gillespie 12,88178.01%3,29619.96%3342.02%9,58558.05%16,511
Glasscock 61693.33%375.61%71.06%57987.73%660
Goliad 3,01676.51%85321.64%731.85%2,16354.87%3,942
Gonzales 5,60773.44%1,84924.22%1792.34%3,75849.22%7,635
Gray 6,48986.29%87811.68%1532.03%5,61174.61%7,520
Grayson 48,50474.31%15,45323.67%1,3192.02%33,05150.63%65,276
Gregg 31,86268.51%13,66029.37%9832.11%18,20239.14%46,505
Grimes 10,83077.41%2,90020.73%2611.86%7,93056.68%13,991
Guadalupe 50,97264.08%30,98134.66%2,1592.57%19,99123.77%84,112
Hale 6,94175.49%2,01321.89%2412.62%4,92853.59%9,195
Hall 95784.61%15513.71%191.68%80270.91%1,131
Hamilton 3,69982.68%67915.18%962.15%3,02067.50%4,474
Hansford 1,80291.06%1477.43%301.52%1,65583.63%1,979
Hardeman 1,16383.19%21715.52%181.29%94667.67%1,398
Hardin 23,99285.48%3,60312.84%4731.69%20,38972.64%28,068
Harris 666,02743.00%841,78454.35%41,1032.65%-175,757-11.35%1,548,914
Harrison 22,13773.60%7,40824.63%5341.78%14,72948.97%30,079
Hartley 1,81790.62%1728.58%160.80%1,64582.04%2,005
Haskell 1,82681.74%36316.25%452.01%1,46365.49%2,234
Hays 54,43643.35%67,47553.73%3,6652.92%-13,039-10.38%125,576
Hemphill 1,38086.30%19512.20%241.50%1,18574.11%1,599
Henderson 30,04778.60%7,45319.50%7261.90%22,59459.11%38,226
Hidalgo 96,20845.46%110,13952.05%5,2752.49%-13,931-6.58%211,622
Hill 13,10478.67%3,22319.35%3311.99%9,88159.32%16,658
Hockley 6,43780.92%1,35517.03%1632.05%5,08263.88%7,955
Hood 29,11279.84%6,60418.11%7472.05%22,50861.73%36,463
Hopkins 13,26979.43%3,14218.81%2941.76%10,12760.62%16,705
Houston 7,03375.75%2,10422.66%1481.59%4,92953.09%9,285
Howard 7,38877.67%1,89519.92%2292.41%5,49357.75%9,512
Hudspeth 70268.82%28527.94%333.24%41740.88%1,020
Hunt 34,35174.02%11,06723.85%9912.13%23,28450.17%46,409
Hutchinson 7,04786.28%94611.58%1752.14%6,10174.69%8,168
Irion 73284.43%11813.61%171.96%61470.82%867
Jack 3,68988.23%42710.21%651.55%3,26278.02%4,181
Jackson 5,22282.89%99815.84%801.27%4,22467.05%6,300
Jasper 12,84281.56%2,70217.16%2011.28%10,14064.40%15,745
Jeff Davis 67158.10%44738.70%373.20%22419.40%1,155
Jefferson 43,88851.66%39,64346.66%1,4251.68%4,2455.00%84,956
Jim Hogg 58638.58%91760.37%161.05%-331-21.79%1,519
Jim Wells 6,77352.26%5,89545.49%2922.25%8786.77%12,960
Johnson 57,38271.44%20,93526.06%2,0062.50%36,44745.38%80,323
Jones 5,72983.02%1,03915.06%1331.93%4,69067.96%6,901
Karnes 3,74374.71%1,17523.45%921.84%2,56851.26%5,010
Kaufman 41,17759.83%26,23538.12%1,4142.05%14,94221.71%68,826
Kendall 22,06875.37%6,66622.77%5461.86%15,40252.60%29,280
Kenedy 9263.89%4833.33%42.78%4430.56%144
Kent 38385.49%5812.95%71.56%32572.54%448
Kerr 20,84074.11%6,67223.73%6102.17%14,16850.38%28,122
Kimble 2,03985.71%29812.53%421.77%1,74173.18%2,379
King 12996.27%53.73%00.00%12492.54%134
Kinney 97069.94%39028.12%271.95%58041.82%1,387
Kleberg 5,04751.02%4,61446.64%2322.35%4334.38%9,893
Knox 1,09680.35%24918.25%191.39%84762.10%1,364
Lamar 16,45477.96%4,34420.58%3081.46%12,11057.38%21,106
Lamb 3,28579.92%72917.73%972.36%2,55662.17%4,111
Lampasas 8,60676.92%2,31420.68%2682.40%6,29256.24%11,188
La Salle 1,08851.52%95645.27%683.22%1326.25%2,112
Lavaca 8,91585.56%1,37813.23%1261.21%7,53772.34%10,419
Lee 6,50577.79%1,71920.56%1381.65%4,78657.24%8,362
Leon 7,73485.84%1,11512.38%1611.79%6,61973.46%9,010
Liberty 23,98377.21%6,42920.70%6512.10%17,55456.51%31,063
Limestone 6,82175.70%2,04522.69%1451.61%4,77653.00%9,011
Lipscomb 1,09487.66%13110.50%231.84%96377.16%1,248
Live Oak 4,16582.28%82216.24%751.48%3,34366.04%5,062
Llano 10,69878.53%2,67719.65%2481.82%8,02158.88%13,623
Loving 7578.95%1717.89%33.16%5861.05%95
Lubbock 83,64367.20%37,56030.18%3,2662.62%46,08337.02%124,469
Lynn 2,11883.78%36714.52%431.70%1,75169.26%2,528
Madison 4,33679.66%1,01218.59%951.75%3,32461.07%5,443
Marion 3,50974.75%1,10123.45%841.79%2,40851.30%4,694
Martin 1,75684.95%26412.77%472.27%1,49272.18%2,067
Mason 2,02780.85%44117.59%391.56%1,58663.26%2,507
Matagorda 9,48271.78%3,48626.39%2411.82%5,99645.39%13,209
Maverick 7,28749.46%6,85946.56%5863.98%4282.91%14,732
McCulloch 2,93883.99%49714.21%631.80%2,44169.78%3,498
McLennan 62,05462.19%35,63235.71%2,0912.10%26,42226.48%99,777
McMullen 42388.87%4810.08%51.05%37578.78%476
Medina 16,50867.50%7,41630.32%5332.18%9,09237.18%24,457
Menard 82479.54%19418.73%181.74%63060.81%1,036
Midland 45,03277.40%11,86620.39%1,2842.21%33,16657.00%58,182
Milam 8,34775.63%2,46222.31%2272.06%5,88553.33%11,036
Mills 2,34385.82%34412.60%431.58%1,99973.22%2,730
Mitchell 2,05983.26%37415.12%401.62%1,68568.14%2,473
Montague 9,48986.15%1,35312.28%1721.56%8,13673.87%11,014
Montgomery 213,79769.75%86,87928.34%5,8411.91%126,91841.41%306,517
Moore 4,18679.76%95418.18%1082.06%3,23261.59%5,248
Morris 3,95873.42%1,35325.10%801.48%2,60548.32%5,391
Motley 59292.21%416.39%91.40%55185.83%642
Nacogdoches 17,07267.01%7,92731.11%4781.88%9,14535.90%25,477
Navarro 14,32772.37%5,12025.86%3511.77%9,20746.51%19,798
Newton 4,65081.71%97217.08%691.21%3,67864.63%5,691
Nolan 3,80875.56%1,12322.28%1092.16%2,68553.27%5,040
Nueces 62,06251.52%55,43346.02%2,9642.46%6,6295.50%120,459
Ochiltree 2,66989.09%2809.35%471.57%2,38979.74%2,996
Oldham 86289.70%919.47%80.83%77180.23%961
Orange 29,05080.78%6,28517.48%6261.74%22,76563.30%35,961
Palo Pinto 10,61180.13%2,35517.78%2772.09%8,25662.34%13,243
Panola 9,28181.69%1,93517.03%1451.28%7,34664.66%11,361
Parker 72,47779.89%16,34918.02%1,9002.09%56,12861.87%90,726
Parmer 2,06083.27%37415.12%401.62%1,68668.15%2,474
Pecos 2,81768.01%1,20629.12%1192.87%1,61138.89%4,142
Polk 18,59677.02%5,10621.15%4411.83%13,49055.88%24,143
Potter 22,10969.33%8,93328.01%8482.66%13,17641.32%31,890
Presidio 65133.56%1,24964.38%402.06%-598-30.82%1,940
Rains 5,45083.49%95114.57%1271.94%4,49968.92%6,528
Randall 51,99177.73%13,59620.33%1,3021.95%38,39557.40%66,889
Reagan 76481.62%15616.67%161.71%60864.96%936
Real 1,57480.76%33617.24%392.00%1,23863.52%1,949
Red River 4,49878.40%1,14820.01%911.59%3,35058.39%5,737
Reeves 2,03461.86%1,14234.73%1123.41%89227.13%3,288
Refugio 2,00466.12%95831.61%692.28%1,04634.51%3,031
Roberts 54294.92%203.50%91.58%52291.42%571
Robertson 5,98273.62%2,00624.69%1371.69%3,97648.94%8,125
Rockwall 41,72666.96%19,46631.24%1,1271.81%22,26035.72%62,319
Runnels 3,43085.17%52513.04%721.79%2,90572.14%4,027
Rusk 16,66577.43%4,50020.91%3571.66%12,16556.52%21,522
Sabine 4,86487.80%61211.05%641.16%4,25276.75%5,540
San Augustine 2,83477.85%80821.59%650.56%2,02656.26%3,707
San Jacinto 10,11879.61%2,33818.39%2542.00%7,78061.22%12,710
San Patricio 16,11667.78%8,57831.37%6270.85%7,53836.41%25,321
San Saba 2,31486.02%33312.38%431.60%1,98173.64%2,690
Schleicher 87279.42%20518.67%211.91%66760.75%1,098
Scurry 4,68383.16%81114.40%1372.43%3,87268.76%5,631
Shackelford 1,52088.73%17310.10%201.17%1,34778.63%1,713
Shelby 8,02281.23%1,75617.78%980.99%6,26663.45%9,876
Sherman 79189.18%829.24%141.58%70979.93%887
Smith 72,20569.95%28,97128.07%2,0521.99%43,23441.88%103,228
Somervell 4,29881.46%85916.28%1192.26%3,43965.18%5,276
Starr 7,08149.93%6,74547.56%3562.51%3362.37%14,182
Stephens 3,21686.29%45012.07%611.64%2,76674.22%3,727
Sterling 55388.62%568.97%152.40%49779.65%624
Stonewall 58181.60%12016.85%111.54%46164.75%712
Sutton 1,12981.28%23917.21%211.51%89064.07%1,389
Swisher 1,74478.10%44019.70%492.19%1,30458.40%2,233
Tarrant 399,92748.68%401,74248.91%19,8042.41%-1,815-0.22%821,473
Taylor 39,50971.51%14,47926.20%1,2642.29%25,03045.30%55,252
Terrell 30175.25%9223.00%71.75%20952.25%400
Terry 2,66379.56%60918.20%752.24%2,05461.37%3,347
Throckmorton 80190.00%808.99%91.01%72181.01%890
Titus 7,54574.50%2,38623.56%1971.95%5,15950.94%10,128
Tom Green 31,68670.15%12,33227.30%1,1522.55%19,35442.85%45,170
Travis 157,20327.17%407,21070.39%14,1282.44%-250,007-43.21%578,541
Trinity 5,91080.56%1,29817.69%1281.74%4,61262.87%7,336
Tyler 8,00184.16%1,33714.06%1691.78%6,66470.10%9,507
Upshur 16,45182.92%2,99415.09%3941.99%13,45767.83%19,839
Upton 1,06984.51%16412.96%322.53%90571.54%1,265
Uvalde 5,84860.81%3,49336.31%2782.89%2,35524.48%9,619
Val Verde 8,07156.48%5,78240.45%4403.08%2,28916.01%14,293
Van Zandt 23,62684.60%3,83813.74%4631.66%19,78870.86%27,927
Victoria 24,00268.90%10,17629.21%6571.89%13,82639.69%34,835
Walker 16,77567.16%7,72830.94%4751.90%9,04736.22%24,978
Waller 16,38559.71%10,43238.01%6252.28%5,95321.70%27,442
Ward 2,93178.64%71019.05%862.31%2,22159.52%3,727
Washington 13,58674.86%4,24023.36%3231.78%9,34651.50%18,149
Webb 28,12144.15%33,75853.00%1,8202.86%-5,637-8.85%63,699
Wharton 11,91573.00%4,15025.42%2581.58%7,76547.57%16,323
Wheeler 2,02589.88%1928.52%361.60%1,83381.36%2,253
Wichita 30,71169.39%12,54528.35%1,0012.26%18,16641.05%44,257
Wilbarger 3,41977.13%92620.89%881.99%2,49356.24%4,433
Willacy 2,36543.67%2,89253.41%1582.92%-527-9.73%5,415
Williamson 146,45147.85%151,07649.36%8,5182.78%-4,625-1.51%306,045
Wilson 19,78372.91%6,80225.07%5482.02%12,98147.84%27,133
Winkler 1,56082.36%30316.00%311.64%1,25766.37%1,894
Wise 31,06081.44%6,35016.65%7301.91%24,71064.79%38,140
Wood 20,12982.75%3,75715.45%4381.80%16,37267.31%24,324
Yoakum 1,92882.36%35715.25%562.39%1,57167.11%2,341
Young 7,08885.70%1,06312.85%1201.45%6,02572.84%8,271
Zapata 2,19751.51%1,95745.88%1112.60%2405.63%4,265
Zavala 1,16735.66%1,99460.92%1123.42%-827-25.27%3,273
Totals5,990,74153.05%5,031,24944.56%267,0392.36%959,4928.50%11,291,854

Analysis

Cruz won a majority of Hispanic and Latino voters, particularly those living on the border with Mexico who had traditionally supported Democratic candidates; the NBC News exit poll showed 52% of Latinos supported Cruz, a 17-point increase from 2018. [185]

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ $3,900 of this total was self-funded by Gonzalez
  3. ↑ $6,050 of this total was self-funded by Keough
  4. ↑ Steven Keough with 3%; Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman and Thierry Tchenko with 1%; Robert Hassan with 0%
  5. ↑ Robert Hassan, Steven Keough, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Thierry Tchenko with 0%
  6. ↑ Steven Keough, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Robert Hassan with 1%; "Someone else" with 8%
  7. ↑ Sherri Taylor, Victor Dunn, and John Love III with 2%; Tracy Andrus, Aaron Arguijo, and Steven Keough with 1%; Teresa Naranjo, Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, and Thierry Tchenko with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
  8. ↑ Sherri Taylor with 3%; Tracy Andrus, Steven Keough, Teresa Naranjo, and Thierry Tchenko with 2%; Aaron Arguijo, John Love III, and Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman with 1%; Victor Dunn with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ↑ John Love with 4%
  10. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Brown (L) with 3%
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Brown (L) with 4%
  13. ↑ Brown (L) with 1%
  14. ↑ Brown (L) with 6%
  15. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  16. ↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  17. ↑ "Wouldn't vote" and "Someone else" with 2%
  18. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; Brown (L) with 2%
  19. ↑ Brown (L) with 5%; "Refused" with 1%
  20. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  21. 1 2 Brown (L) with 5%; "Refused" with 2%
  22. ↑ Brown (L) with 8%
  23. ↑ Brown (L) with 3%; Mason Cysewski (G) with 2%
  24. ↑ "Someone else" with 15%
  25. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%; Refused to answer with 1%
  26. ↑ Libertarian Party candidate with 2%; Green Party candidate with 2%
  27. ↑ "Someone else" with 16%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  3. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  5. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Allred's campaign
  6. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Hill and Nexstar
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by Napolitan Institute
  9. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, which supports Democratic candidates
  10. ↑ Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights, which supports Republican candidates
  11. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
  12. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, which supports Republican candidates

References

  1. ↑ Yoon, Robert (November 6, 2024). "Why AP called the Texas Senate race for Ted Cruz". AP News. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  2. ↑ Weaver, Al (November 6, 2024). "Ted Cruz wins Texas Senate reelection race, defeating Colin Allred". The Hill. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  3. ↑ Garcia, Eric (November 6, 2024). "Ted Cruz evades Democratic efforts to unseat him again in Texas". The Independent. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  4. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". National Conference of State Legislatures . Archived from the original on November 10, 2023.
  5. ↑ "Ted Cruz Is Again Fighting for Political Survival in Texas". The New York Times. September 24, 2024. Retrieved September 25, 2024.
  6. ↑ Reporter, Martha McHardy US News (September 22, 2024). "Could Ted Cruz actually lose in Texas?". Newsweek. Retrieved September 23, 2024.
  7. ↑ Guo, By Kayla (July 1, 2025). "Texas Democrat Colin Allred launches 2026 U.S. Senate campaign". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved July 1, 2025.
  8. ↑ Epstein, Reid J. (July 1, 2025). "Colin Allred Will Run Again for Senate in Texas". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved July 1, 2025.
  9. 1 2 "Republican victories show Texas is still far from turning blue". The Texas Tribune. November 9, 2022. As large as the cities are and how Democratic that they are, Texas Democrats still don't have a way to get past that red wall of rural West Texas, [Drew Landry] said. Rural Texas still rules the day. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott.
  10. ↑ "Texas". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  11. ↑ "Texas Senate Election Results 2018". POLITICO . November 7, 2018. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  12. ↑ Goodman, J. David (November 9, 2022). "Texas Democrats Look to a Future Beyond Beto". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  13. ↑ Choi, Matthew (March 30, 2023). "Why Ted Cruz's next reelection path looks smoother with Beto O'Rourke behind him". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  14. ↑ Chan, Sewell (November 19, 2022). "U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz confirms he will seek a third term in 2024". The Texas Tribune .
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Candidate Information". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2023.
  16. ↑ Neukam, Stephen (September 23, 2022). "Republican Texas Congressman Dan Crenshaw takes aim at his own party's "woke right" for stoking division". The Texas Tribune .
  17. ↑ Druke, Galen (November 2, 2023). "Adam Kinzinger muses: 'I would love to run against Ted Cruz'". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved November 2, 2023.
  18. 1 2 "RJC PAC Endorses Champions of the Jewish Community, Senators Ted Cruz and Rick Scott, for Re-Election". Republican Jewish Coalition. July 12, 2023. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  19. ↑ Pauda, Erica (September 15, 2023). "CLEAT Endorsed Sen. Ted Cruz for Reelection". KXAN . Retrieved September 15, 2023.
  20. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  21. ↑ Kildea, Joe (August 9, 2023). "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Cruz In TX Senate Race". Club for Growth. Archived from the original on September 11, 2023. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  22. ↑ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Texas". NRA-PVF. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  23. ↑ "Senate Conservatives Fund". Senate Conservatives Fund. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
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  30. ↑ Jeffers Jr., Gromer (May 3, 2023). "Rep. Colin Allred launches Senate bid to oust Ted Cruz". The Dallas Morning News . Retrieved May 3, 2023.
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  34. 1 2 Frisk, Garrett (March 31, 2023). "These Four Democrats Want to Unseat Ted Cruz". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Archived from the original on March 31, 2023.
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  37. ↑ "Texas House Candidate Roundup: May 30, 2023". Diamond Eye Candidate Report.
  38. ↑ Svitek, Patrick; Choi, Steven (May 3, 2023). "Dallas Democrat Colin Allred announces 2024 challenge to Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz". Texas Tribune . Retrieved May 3, 2023. Julián Castro, the former U.S. housing secretary and San Antonio mayor, does not plan to run, according to a spokesperson.
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  41. ↑ "Harris campaigns in Houston". YouTube . October 25, 2024.
  42. 1 2 Carrasquillo, Adrian (October 26, 2023). "Hispanic Caucus Super PAC Under Fire From Democrats for Not Backing Latino Candidate To Unseat Sen. Ted Cruz (Exclusive)". The Messenger . Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
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  72. ↑ "Endorsements – Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus PAC". Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus . Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  73. ↑ Perez, Zenia (January 31, 2024). "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Texas Slate". Latino Victory . Retrieved February 1, 2024.
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