2010 Texas gubernatorial election

Last updated

2010 Texas gubernatorial election
Flag of Texas.svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
Turnout38% (of registered voters)
27% (of eligible voters) [1]
  Rick Perry by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg Bill White for Texas (41591).jpg
Nominee Rick Perry Bill White
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,737,4812,106,395
Percentage54.97%42.30%

2010 Texas gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
TX GOV 2010.svg
Perry:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
White:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Other:     Tie     No Votes

Governor before election

Rick Perry
Republican

Elected Governor

Rick Perry
Republican

The 2010 Texas gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Rick Perry ran successfully for election to a third consecutive term. He won the Republican primary against U.S. senator Kay Bailey Hutchison and political newcomer, Debra Medina. The former mayor of Houston, Bill White, won the Democratic nomination. Kathie Glass, a lawyer from Houston and previous candidate for Texas Attorney General, won the Libertarian nomination. Deb Shafto was the nominee of the Texas Green Party. Andy Barron, an orthodontist from Lubbock, was a declared write-in candidate.

Contents

Exit polls showed Perry winning Whites (71% to 29%), while White performed well among African Americans (88% to 12%) and Latinos (61% to 38%). Perry's fourth inauguration for a third full four-year term began on January 18, 2011, on the State Capitol South Grounds. As of 2023, this is the last time Foard, Falls, Trinity, Reeves, La Salle and Kleberg counties voted for the Democratic candidate for governor.

Republican primary

Candidates

Endorsements

Rick Perry

Statewide officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Debra Medina

Individuals

Organizations

Kay Bailey Hutchinson

Executive officials

Federal officials

Individuals

Newspapers and publications

Polling

Note: polls used different sample sizes and citizen groups. A candidate must have a majority of the vote (>50%) to avoid a runoff with their second place opponent.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Rick
Perry
Kay Bailey
Hutchison
Debra
Medina
OtherUnde-
cided
Rasmussen Reports [50] February 23, 201048%27%16%9%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 19–21, 201040%31%20%9%
Research 2000 (report)February 8–10, 201042%30%17%11%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 4–7, 201039%28%24%10%
University of Texas (report)February 1–7, 201045%21%19%16%
Rasmussen Reports (report)February 1, 201044%29%16%11%
Rasmussen Reports (report)January 17, 201043%33%12%11%
Rasmussen Reports (report)November 13, 200946%35%4%14%
University of Texas (report)November 3, 200942%30%7%4%18%
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 16, 200938%40%3%19%
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 15, 200946%36%5%14%
Texas Politics (report)June 11–22, 200938%27%8%26%
38%26%9%27%
Texas Lyceum (report)June 5–12, 200933%21%1%41%
Rasmussen Reports (report)May 7, 200942%38%7%13%
Texas Politics (report)February 24 – March 6, 200929%37%10%24%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 18–20, 200931%56%
Texas Lyceum (report)June 12–20, 200822%35%

Results

Results of the Republican gubernatorial primary by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Rick Perry
Kay Bailey Hutchison
Debra Medina
No votes Texas Republican Gubernatorial Election Results by County, 2010.svg
Results of the Republican gubernatorial primary by county:
  Rick Perry
  Kay Bailey Hutchison
  Debra Medina
  No votes
Republican primary results [51]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rick Perry (incumbent) 758,222 51.1
Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison450,19630.3
Republican Debra Medina275,69318.6
Total votes1,484,111 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Bill White

Executive officials

Federal officials

Statewide officials

State officials

Local officials

Newspapers and publications

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Felix
Alvarado
Alma
Aguado
Kinky
Friedman*
Tom
Schieffer*
Bill
White
Farouk
Shami
Unde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report)February 19–21, 20105%3%59%12%18%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 4–7, 20105%2%49%19%24%
University of Texas (report)October 20–27, 20092%19%10%55%
University of Texas (report)June 11–22, 200912%2%62%
Texas Lyceum (report)June 5–12, 200710%6%73%
Wilson Research (report)September 21, 20079%12%30%

* Dropped out prior to the primary.

Results

Results of the Democratic gubernatorial primary by county:
White
White-->90%
White--80-90%
White--70-80%
White--60-70%
White--50-60%
White--40-50%
White--<40%
No vote
No vote Texas Democratic Gubernatorial Election Results by County, 2010.svg
Results of the Democratic gubernatorial primary by county:
White
  •   White—>90%
  •   White—80-90%
  •   White—70-80%
  •   White—60-70%
  •   White—50-60%
  •   White—40-50%
  •   White—<40%
No vote
  •   No vote
Democratic primary results [51] [74]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bill White516,62176.0
Democratic Farouk Shami87,26812.8
Democratic Felix Alvarado33,7085.0
Democratic Alma Aguado19,5562.9
Democratic Clement E. Glenn9,8521.4
Democratic Bill Dear6,5741.0
Democratic Star Locke6,2980.9
Total votes679,877 100

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [78] TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [79] Lean ROctober 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [80] Lean RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [81] Likely ROctober 28, 2010
CQ Politics [82] Lean ROctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Perry
(R)
Kathie
Glass
(L)
Bill
White
(D)
OtherUnde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report)October 26–28, 2010568± 4.1%53%44%3%
Lighthouse Opinion and Polling Research (report)October 15–17, 20101200± 2.9%48%3%37%1%11%
Public Policy Polling (report)September 2–6, 2010538± 4.2%48%42%10%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 22, 2010500± 4.5%49%41%3%7%
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 13, 2010500± 4.5%50%41%2%7%
Public Policy Polling (report)June 19–21, 2010500± 4.4%43%43%14%
Rasmussen Reports (report)June 16, 2010500± 4.5%48%40%5%8%
Rasmussen Reports (report)May 13, 2010500± 4.5%51%38%4%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)April 14, 2010500± 4.5%48%44%2%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)March 3, 2010500± 4.5%49%43%3%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)February 22, 20101,200± 3.0%47%41%5%7%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 4–7, 20101,200± 2.8%48%42%10%
Rasmussen Reports (report)February 1, 20101,000± 3.0%48%39%5%8%
Rasmussen Reports (report [ permanent dead link ])January 17, 20101,000± 3.0%50%40%4%6%

Results

2010 Texas gubernatorial election [83]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Rick Perry (incumbent) 2,737,481 54.97 +15.95
Democratic Bill White 2,106,39542.30+12.52
Libertarian Kathie Glass109,2112.19+1.58
Green Deb Shafto19,5160.39+0.39
Independent Andy Barron (write-in)7,2670.15
Majority631,08612.67
Turnout 4,979,870
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

Election rules

Texas does not have term limits for its governors; thus, gubernatorial incumbents have been free to run as often as they want if they are eligible for the office. The Republicans and Democrats chose their gubernatorial nominees based on the results of primary votes held on March 2, 2010 (the first Tuesday in March. [84] ) Both parties' candidates received at least 20 percent of the total votes cast for governor in the 2006 election; thus, they must nominate their candidates via primary election. [85] Any third party that obtains ballot access must nominate its candidates via a statewide convention, which by law must be held on June 12, 2010 (the second Saturday in June. [86] ) The Libertarian Party obtained ballot access automatically due to its 2008 showing, in which one of its nominees attracted over one million votes.

In the primary election, the party's winning candidate must garner a majority (over 50%) of votes cast; otherwise, the top two candidates face each other in a runoff election. However, in the general election, the winning candidate needs only a plurality of votes to be elected governor (as was the case with the 2006 election and the 1990 election, in which Libertarian Jeff Daiell attracted over 129,000 votes). Independent and write-in candidates may seek ballot access; however, the criteria for such access are quite strict (see "Ballot Access" below). Nevertheless, in the 2006 election, two independent candidates, Carole Keeton Strayhorn, the Republican State Comptroller, and Kinky Friedman, a popular Texas country musician, obtained enough signatures to qualify. The Libertarian nominee, James Werner, was on the ballot automatically because of that party's Texas showing in the 2004 general election.

Political party candidates

Any political party whose candidate for governor, during the 2006 election, garnered at least 20 percent of the total votes cast, must nominate all its candidates for all offices sought via primary election. [85] In the 2006 election, both the Democratic candidate (Chris Bell) and the Republican candidate (Rick Perry) received this many votes; thus, both parties must hold primary elections using the two-round system. The primary elections must be held on the first Tuesday in March, [84] and a candidate must receive a majority of votes cast in the primary election; [87] otherwise, a runoff election between the top two finishers must be held [88] on the second Tuesday in April. [89]

A political party whose candidate for governor, during the 2006 election, received at least two percent but less than 20 percent of the total votes cast, may nominate its candidates for all offices sought via either a primary election (using the two-round system) or a state convention. If the party chooses to conduct a primary election, it must notify the Texas Secretary of State at least one year prior to the general election date and must nominate all its candidates via primary election. [90] No third-party candidate met this requirement in 2006; the last to do so was the Libertarian Party in 1990 (when nominee Jeff Daiell polled over 3.3% of the vote).

All other political parties must nominate their candidates via state convention, [91] which by law must be held on the second Saturday in June. [86] In order to qualify for ballot access at the general election, the party must either:

Independent candidates

Should an independent gubernatorial candidate seek ballot access in the state of Texas, the candidate must meet the following requirements:

Write-in candidates

In the event a candidate does not qualify for independent status, the person may still run as a write-in candidate. The candidate must either: [101]

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  84. 1 2 Texas Election Code, Section 41.007(a).
  85. 1 2 Texas Election Code, Section 172.001.
  86. 1 2 Texas Election Code, Section 181.061(a).
  87. Texas Election Code, Section 172.003.
  88. Texas Election Code, Section 172.004.
  89. Texas Election Code, Section 41.007(b).
  90. Texas Election Code, Section 172.002.
  91. Texas Election Code, Section 181.003.
  92. Texas Election Code, Section 181.005(b).
  93. Texas Election Code, Section 181.005(a).
  94. Texas Election Code, Section 181.006(b)(2).
  95. Texas Election Code, Section 181.006(g).
  96. Texas Election Code, Section 142.007.
  97. Texas Election Code, Sections 142.008 and 142.009.
  98. Texas Election Code, Section 141.066.
  99. Texas Election Code, Section 142.009(1).
  100. Texas Election Code, Section 142.006(a).
  101. Texas Election Code, Section 146.023 (filing fee or signatures required).
  102. Texas Election Code, Section 146.0231 (referencing Section 172.024).
  103. Texas Election Code, Section 146.0230 (referencing Section 172.025).
  104. Texas Election Code, Section 146.025.

Debate:

Voter resources:

Republican candidates for governor:

Democratic candidates for governor:

Libertarian candidate for governor:

Third party/Independent candidates for governor: