2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland

Last updated

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland
Flag of Maryland.svg
←  2008 November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02) 2012  →
All 8 Maryland seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election7 seats, 67.15%1 seat, 30.53%
Seats won62
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 1Increase2.svg 1
Popular vote1,104,056674,246
Percentage60.48%36.94%
SwingDecrease2.svg 6.67%Increase2.svg 6.41%
2010 U.S. House elections in Maryland.svg
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland by county.svg

The 2010 congressional elections in Maryland were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who will represent the state of Maryland in the United States House of Representatives. Maryland has eight seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. The party primaries were held September 14, 2010.

Contents

As of 2024, this is the last time that Republicans won more than one congressional district in Maryland.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland, 2010 [1]
PartySeatsGainsLossesNet gain/lossSeats %Votes %Votes+/−
  Democratic 601–175%60.48%1,104,056-6.67%
  Republican 210+125%36.94%674,246+6.41%
  Libertarian 0000—2.03%37,099+0.12%
  Constitution 0000—0.45%8,237+0.45%
  Other parties 0000—0.10%1,834-0.03%
Totals811—100%100%1,825,472

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland by district: [2]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 120,40041.98%155,11854.08%11,2943.94%286,812100.0%Republican gain
District 2 134,13364.21%69,52333.28%5,2482.51%208,904100.0%Democratic hold
District 3 147,44861.07%86,94736.01%7,0342.91%241,429100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 160,22883.44%31,46716.39%3250.17%192,020100.0%Democratic hold
District 5 155,11064.26%83,57534.62%2,6981.12%241,383100.0%Democratic hold
District 6 80,45533.22%148,82061.45%12,9145.33%242,189100.0%Republican hold
District 7 152,66975.18%46,37522.84%4,0241.98%203,068100.0%Democratic hold
District 8 153,61373.27%52,42125.00%3,6331.73%209,667100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,104,05660.48%674,24636.94%47,1702.58%1,825,472100.0%

District 1

United States House of Representatives, Maryland District 1 map.png

The district encompasses the entire Eastern Shore of Maryland, as well as parts of Anne Arundel, Baltimore and Harford Counties.

Incumbent Democrat Frank Kratovil ran for re-election against Republican State Senator Andy Harris. Libertarian Richard Davis [3] and Independent Jack Wilson also ran. [4]

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredFrank
Kratovil (D)		Andy
Harris (R)		Richard
Davis (L)		OtherUndecided
Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks [5] October 15–20, 201040%40%——14%
Monmouth University [6] October 16–19, 201042%53%——5%
The Hill/ANGA [7] October 5, 201040%43%—1%15%
OnMessage Inc. [8] September 20–21, 201039%43%———
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group [9] †September 12–13, 201045%39%———
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group [10] †June 15–16, 201044%39%——17%
Public Opinion Strategies [11] April 25–26, 201036%39%6%1%18%
Tarrance Group [12] November 15–17, 200939%52%———

† Internal poll for Kratovil campaign

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
RCP [16] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Likely R (flip)November 1, 2010
Maryland's 1st Congressional District: 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Andy Harris 155,118 54.08% +5.75
Democratic Frank Kratovil (incumbent)120,40041.98%−7.14
Libertarian Richard Davis10,8763.79%+1.33
No party Write-ins 4180.15%
Total votes286,812 100.00
Republican gain from Democratic

District 2

United States House of Representatives, Maryland District 2 map.png

The district comprises parts of Harford, Baltimore, and Anne Arundel Counties, as well as small portions of the City of Baltimore, and has been represented by Democrat Dutch Ruppersberger since 2003; he ran for re-election against Republican Marcelo Cardarelli, a physician.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Maryland's 2nd Congressional District: 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Dutch Ruppersberger (incumbent) 134,133 64.21% −7.65
Republican Marcelo Cardarelli69,52333.28%+8.47
Libertarian Lorenzo Gaztanaga5,0902.44%−0.74
No party Write-ins 1580.08%
Total votes208,904 100.00
Democratic hold

District 3

United States House of Representatives, Maryland District 3 map.png

This gerrymandered district comprises portions of Baltimore, Howard and Anne Arundel counties, as well as a significant part of the independent city of Baltimore, and was represented by Democrat John Sarbanes since 2007. Sarbanes is the son of former Maryland Senator Paul Sarbanes. His Republican opponent was Jim Wilhelm.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Maryland's 3rd Congressional District: 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic John Sarbanes (incumbent) 147,448 61.07% −8.59
Republican Jim Wilhelm86,94736.01%+5.93
Libertarian Jerry McKinley5,2122.16%+2.16
Constitution Alain Lareau1,6340.68%+0.68
No party Write-ins 1880.08%
Total votes241,429 100.00
Democratic hold

District 4

United States House of Representatives, Maryland District 4 map.png

The district comprises portions of Prince George's and Montgomery Counties, and was represented by Democrat Donna Edwards. She ran for re-election against Republican Robert Broadus.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Maryland's 4th Congressional District: 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Donna Edwards (incumbent) 160,228 83.44% −2.39
Republican Robert Broadus31,46716.39%+3.54
No party Write-ins 3250.17%
Total votes192,020 100.00
Democratic hold

District 5

United States House of Representatives, Maryland District 5 map.png

The district comprises all of Charles, St. Mary's, and Calvert Counties, as well as portions of Prince George's and Anne Arundel Counties. The seat had been represented by Democrat and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer since 1981. He was challenged by Republican Charles Lollar, the Chairman of the Charles County Republican Party, and Libertarian H. Gavin Shickle. [19]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Maryland's 5th Congressional District: 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Steny Hoyer (incumbent) 155,110 64.26% −9.39
Republican Charles Lollar83,57534.62%+10.65
Libertarian H. Gavin Shickle2,5781.07%−1.20
No party Write-ins 1200.05%
Total votes241,383 100.00
Democratic hold

District 6

United States House of Representatives, Maryland District 6 map.png

The district comprises all of Garrett, Allegany, Washington, Frederick and Carroll Counties, as well as portions of Montgomery, Baltimore, and Harford Counties, and had been represented by Republican Roscoe Bartlett since 1993. Democrat Andrew J. Duck challenged Roscoe Bartlett in 2010.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Maryland's 6th Congressional District: 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Roscoe Bartlett (incumbent) 148,820 61.45% +3.69
Democratic Andrew Duck80,45533.22%−5.57
Libertarian Dan Massey6,8162.81%−0.54
Constitution Michael Reed5,9072.44%+2.44
No party Write-ins 1910.08%
Total votes242,189 100.00
Republican hold

District 7

United States House of Representatives, Maryland District 7 map.png

The district encompasses parts of Baltimore City, Baltimore County, and Howard County, and had been represented by Democrat Elijah Cummings since 1996. He was challenged for re-election by Republican Frank Mirabile.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Maryland's 7th Congressional District: 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Elijah Cummings (incumbent) 152,669 75.18% −4.32
Republican Frank C. Mirabile46,37522.84%+4.26
Libertarian Scott Spencer3,8141.88%+0.06
No party Write-ins 2100.10%
Total votes203,068 100.00
Democratic hold

District 8

United States House of Representatives, Maryland District 8 map.png

The district mostly consists of the larger part of Montgomery County, but also includes a small portion of Prince George's County, and had been represented by Democrat Chris Van Hollen since 2003. He was challenged by Republican Michael Lee Philips.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Maryland's 8th Congressional District: 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) 153,613 73.27% −1.81
Republican Michael Lee Philips52,42125.00%+3.32
Libertarian Mark Grannis2,7131.29%+0.45
Constitution Fred Nordhorn6960.33%+0.33
No party Write-ins 2240.11%
Total votes209,667 100.00
Democratic hold

References

  1. ↑ Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives
  2. ↑ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  3. ↑ www.delmarvanow.com Archived August 7, 2009, at the Wayback Machine
  4. ↑ Official candidate list Archived 2012-03-06 at the Wayback Machine Maryland Board of Elections
  5. ↑ "Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks". Archived from the original on June 7, 2011. Retrieved January 1, 2011.
  6. ↑ Monmouth University
  7. ↑ The Hill/ANGA
  8. ↑ OnMessage Inc.
  9. ↑ Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group
  10. ↑ Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group
  11. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies
  12. ↑ Tarrance Group
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Crystal Ball, as of November 1,2010
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1,2010
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  19. ↑ "Race Rating Change Tracker, 2010 Maps and Ratings: Maryland - 5th District". Roll Call. CQ Politics. March 2, 2010. Archived from the original on September 8, 2010. Retrieved August 27, 2010.
Preceded by
2008 elections 		United States House elections in Maryland
2010		Succeeded by
2012 elections
This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.