2010 Georgia gubernatorial election

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2010 Georgia gubernatorial election
Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg
←  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  →
  Nathan Deal, official 110th Congress photo (cropped).jpg Roy Barnes concession speech (cropped).jpg
Nominee Nathan Deal Roy Barnes
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,365,8321,107,011
Percentage53.02%42.97%
2010 Georgia gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 GA GOV.svg
Deal:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Barnes:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
Governor before election

Sonny Perdue
Republican

Elected Governor

Nathan Deal
Republican

The 2010 Georgia gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican governor Sonny Perdue was term-limited and unable to seek re-election. Primary elections for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on July 20. Democrats nominated former governor Roy Barnes, and Republicans nominated Representative Nathan Deal following a runoff on August 10. The Libertarian Party also had ballot access and nominated John Monds. Deal won the general election, and took office on January 10, 2011. [1]

Contents

As of 2022, this was the last election in which a candidate won the governorship by double digits. This is the first gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1990 in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president. This was the first election in which Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. This was the last gubernatorial election in which Douglas, Henry, and Newton counties voted for the Republican candidate and the last in which Baker, Early, Mitchell, Peach, Clinch, Brooks, and McIntosh counties voted for the Democratic candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Primary

Poll sourceDates administeredJohn
Oxendine		Karen
Handel		Nathan
Deal		Eric
Johnson		Ray
McBerry		Austin
Scott		Jeff
Chapman		Undecided
Magellan Strategies July 18, 201012%38%20%17%3%–3%7%
InsiderAdvantage July 14, 201015%24%16%13%3%–6%22%
Rasmussen Reports July 13, 201020%25%25%13%–––14%
Mason-Dixon July 8–13, 201031%23%18%6%2%–1%19%
Magellan Strategies July 8, 201018%32%18%8%3%–3%14%
Survey USA July 7–8, 201032%23%12%12%5%–4%10%
InsiderAdvantage July 1, 201018%18%12%8%3%–6%34%
Survey USA June 14–17, 201034%18%17%6%3%–4%17%
InsiderAdvantage April 5, 201026%18%9%5%–––31%
Rasmussen Reports December 15, 200928%14%13%2%2%2%2%32%
Rasmussen Reports October 20, 200927%12%9%3%3%3%--35%
Rasmussen Reports August 18, 200931%13%13%3%2%----31%
Rasmussen Reports June 17, 200933%11%10%3%2%2%--33%
Strategic Vision June 17, 200935%13%12%4%2%2%--32%

Runoff

Poll sourceDates administeredNathan
Deal		Karen
Handel
Landmark Communications August 7, 201044%42%
Georgia Newspapers August 7, 201042%47%
Insider Advantage August 5, 201046%46%
Landmark Communications August 2, 201037%46%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived July 14, 2011, at the Wayback Machine July 23, 201039%38%

Results

Initial primary results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Deal 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Handel 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Johnson 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Oxendine 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 60-70% Chapman 30-40% 40-50% McBerry 30-40% Georgia gubernatorial Republican primary, 2010.svg
Initial primary results by county:
  Deal
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Handel
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Johnson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Oxendine
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  Chapman
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  McBerry
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Karen Handel 231,990 34.1
Republican Nathan Deal 155,946 22.9
Republican Eric Johnson 136,79220.1
Republican John Oxendine 115,42117.0
Republican Jeff Chapman 20,6363.0
Republican Ray McBerry17,1712.5
Republican Otis Putnam2,5430.4
Total votes680,499 100.0
Runoff results by county: Deal 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Handel 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Tie 50% Georgia gubernatorial Republican runoff primary, 2010.svg
Runoff results by county:
  Deal
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Handel
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Tie
  •   50%
Republican primary runoff results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Nathan Deal 291,035 50.2
Republican Karen Handel 288,51649.8
Total votes579,551 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredRoy
Barnes		Thurbert
Baker		DuBose
Porter		Carl
Camon		David
Poythress		Undecided
Rasmussen Reports July 13, 201059%16%5%--5%12%
Mason-Dixon July 8–13, 201054%20%3%--7%16%
Survey USA July 7–8, 201056%18%6%3%5%9%
Survey USA June 14–17, 201063%13%4%1%5%11%
InsiderAdvantage April 7, 201047%18%5%–6%24%
Rasmussen Reports December 18, 200948%17%3%1%4%19%
Rasmussen Reports October 20, 200943%19%4%3%4%21%
Rasmussen Reports August 18, 200942%9%7%1%2%30%
Rasmussen Reports June 17, 200948%8%5%2%2%31%
Strategic Vision June 17, 200949%30%2%-5%14%

Results

Primary results by county: Barnes 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Porter 50-60% 60-70% 2010 Georgia gubernatorial Democratic primary county map.svg
Primary results by county:
  Barnes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Porter
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results [7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Roy Barnes 259,482 65.6
Democratic Thurbert Baker 85,57121.6
Democratic David Poythress 21,7805.5
Democratic DuBose Porter 17,7674.5
Democratic Carl Camon4,1701.1
Democratic Bill Bolton3,5730.9
Democratic Randy Mangham3,1240.8
Total votes395,497 100.0

Third party and independent candidates

Independent

Libertarian Party

Write-in

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [10] TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [11] Lean ROctober 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [12] Lean RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Lean ROctober 28, 2010
CQ Politics [14] Lean ROctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredNathan
Deal (R)		Roy
Barnes (D)		John
Monds (L)		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports October 24, 201049%39%5%5%1%
Insider Advantage Unavailable49%41%3%--7%
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 201050%41%3%3%3%
Insider Advantage September 27, 201045%37%5%--13%
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 201045%39%5%6%5%
Insider Advantage September 16, 201042%42%5%--11%
Survey USA September 10–12, 201049%38%9%--4%
Insider Advantage August 17, 201045%41%5%--9%
Rasmussen Reports August 11, 201051%42%--3%3%
Rasmussen Reports July 21, 201049%43%--4%4%
Rasmussen Reports May 20, 201047%40%--6%7%
Rasmussen Reports April 22, 201046%39%--7%8%
Rasmussen Reports March 17, 201043%41%--5%13%
Public Policy Polling February 26–28, 201038%43%----19%
Rasmussen Reports February 18, 201043%37%------
Rasmussen Reports January 20, 201042%43%------

Results

2010 Georgia gubernatorial election [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Nathan Deal 1,365,832 53.02% −4.93%
Democratic Roy Barnes 1,107,01142.97%+4.75%
Libertarian John Monds 103,1944.01%+0.17%
Write-in 1240.00%N/A
Total votes2,576,161 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "Deal defeats Barnes to take Governor's Mansion". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved September 3, 2010.
  2. ↑ [ dead link ]
  3. ↑ Amy, Jeff (December 19, 2021). "Johnny Isakson, former Georgia Republican U.S. senator, dies". Associated Press.
  4. ↑ "Unofficial And Incomplete Results of the Tuesday, July 20, 2010 General Primary Election", Georgia Secretary of State, July 20, 2010, archived from the original on July 23, 2010, retrieved July 25, 2010
  5. ↑ "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  6. ↑ Jim Galloway (June 3, 2009). "Roy Barnes to join 2010 race for Georgia governor | Political Insider". Blogs.ajc.com. Archived from the original on June 10, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ↑ "7/20/2010 - Governor". Sos.georgia.gov. Archived from the original on July 23, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. 1 2 3 "Georgia 2010 Midterm Election". Thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. ↑ "John Monds to seek Libertarian nomination for Governor" www.lp.org. Retrieved September 15, 2009.
  10. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  11. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  12. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ↑ "11/2/2010 - Federal and Statewide". Archived from the original on March 27, 2016. Retrieved March 31, 2011.
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[[Category:2010s Georgia (U.S. state) elections]

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