2010 United States Senate election in Oregon

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2010 United States Senate election in Oregon
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2004 November 2, 2010 2016  
  Ron Wyden official photo (cropped).jpg Jim Huffman.jpg
Nominee Ron Wyden Jim Huffman
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote825,507566,199
Percentage57.22%39.25%

2010 United States Senate election in Oregon results map by county.svg
County results
Wyden:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Huffman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ron Wyden
Democratic

The 2010 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ron Wyden won re-election to a third full term by a landslide margin of 18 points, despite the national Republican midterm wave. As of 2022, this is the only senate election since 1998 in which Deschutes County has not supported the Democratic candidate (albeit by a plurality).

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredRon WydenLoren HookerPavel GobermanUndecided
Survey USA [2] May 7–9, 201080%9%4%8%

Results

Oregon Democratic U.S. Senate primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ronald Wyden (Incumbent) 323,652 89.55%
Democratic Loren Hooker25,1526.75%
Democratic Pavel Goberman9,9852.68%
Democratic Write Ins3,7821.02%
Total votes376,353 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJim HuffmanThomas StutzmanKeith WaldronRobin ParkerUndecided
Survey USA [2] May 7–9, 201020%11%9%6%43%

Results

Results by county
Huffman
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Dinkel
20-30% 2010 United States Senate election in Oregon, Republican primary.svg
Results by county
Huffman
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Dinkel
  •   20–30%
Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jim Huffman 110,450 41.70
Republican Loren Later39,75315.01
Republican G. Shane Dinkel36,76013.88
Republican Thomas Stutzman31,85912.03
Republican Keith Waldron24,6029.29
Republican Robin Parker14,6375.53
Republican Walter Woodland4,4171.67
Miscellaneous2,3630.89
Total votes264,841 100

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Wyden, a popular incumbent with a 52% approval rating in a July poll, [7] touted bipartisanship and promised to hold town-hall meetings annually in each of Oregon's 36 counties and to open offices outside of Portland and Salem. [8] A Survey USA poll taken a few days before the election showed that 23% of Republicans supported Wyden. [9]

Huffman, widely considered as an underdog, financed his own campaign. He defended bonuses for Wall Street executives and questioned global warming. [10]

Debates

The first debate took place on October 21, 2010, in Medford, Oregon and was broadcast by KOBI-TV. Only the two major-party candidates, Huffman and Wyden, participated in the debate. [11] The second debate, which was hosted by the City Club of Portland at the Governor Hotel, took place on October 22. The debate played live on KOIN and re-aired on Oregon Public Broadcasting later that night. [12]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [13] Solid DOctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DOctober 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics [15] Likely DOctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Safe DOctober 21, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJim Huffman (R)Ron Wyden (D)
Rasmussen Reports [18] February 16, 201035%49%
Rasmussen Reports [19] May 24, 201038%51%
Survey USA [20] June 7–9, 201038%51%
Rasmussen Reports [21] June 17, 201037%47%
Davis, Hibbits and Midghall [22] June 21, 201032%50%
Rasmussen Reports [23] July 26, 201035%51%
Survey USA [24] July 25–27, 201035%53%
Rasmussen Reports [25] August 22, 201036%56%
Rasmussen Reports [26] September 8, 201035%53%
Survey USA [27] September 12–14, 201038%54%
Rasmussen Reports [28] October 10, 201036%52%
Survey USA [29] October 12–14, 201034%56%
Public Policy Polling [30] October 17, 201040%56%
Rasmussen Reports [28] October 25, 201042%53%
Survey USA [31] October 23–28, 201032%57%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Ron Wyden (D)$5,529,660$4,820,297$1,827,374$0
James Huffman (R)$2,227,784$1,576,662$651,118$1,350,000
Marc Delphine (L)$4,728$4,805$221$0
Source: Federal Election Commission [32]

Results

General election results [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ronald Wyden (Incumbent) 825,507 57.22%
Republican Jim Huffman566,19939.25%
Working Families Bruce Cronk18,9401.31%
Libertarian Marc Delphine16,0281.11%
Progressive Rick Staggenborg14,4661.00%
Write-in1,4480.10%
Total votes1,442,588 100.0%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Candidate Filings, United States Senate election". Oregon Secretary of State . Retrieved February 12, 2010.
  2. 1 2 Survey USA
  3. 1 2 "Official Results May 2010 Primary Election". sos.oregon.gov. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  4. Mapes, Jeff (March 4, 2010). "Lewis & Clark law professor Jim Huffman announces run against Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Retrieved March 5, 2010.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "Candidate Filings, Governor (2010 General Election)". Oregon Secretary of State . Retrieved September 13, 2010.
  6. "Etsy - Your place to buy and sell all things handmade, vintage, and supplies". Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
  7. "SurveyUSA News Poll #16824".
  8. http://www.statesmanjournal.com/article/20101028/NEWS/10280337/1001/news#ixzz14WlSG8xm [ permanent dead link ]
  9. "SurveyUSA Election Poll #17610".
  10. Duara, Nigel (November 3, 2010). "Ore. Democrat holds Senate seat against professor". The Washington Post.
  11. "Wyden, challenger debate tonight". The Mail Tribune. Southern Oregon Media Group. October 21, 2010. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
  12. Graves, Bill (October 8, 2010). "Challenger Jim Huffman champions limited government in quest to unseat Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Oregon Live LLC. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
  13. "Senate". Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  14. "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  15. "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  16. "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  17. "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  18. Rasmussen Reports
  19. Rasmussen Reports
  20. Survey USA
  21. Rasmussen Reports
  22. Davis, Hibbits and Midghall
  23. Rasmussen Reports
  24. Survey USA
  25. Rasmussen Reports
  26. Rasmussen Reports
  27. Survey USA
  28. 1 2 Rasmussen Reports
  29. Survey USA
  30. Public Policy Polling
  31. Survey USA
  32. "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oregon". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010.[ permanent dead link ]
  33. "November 2, 2010, General Election Abstracts of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State . Retrieved December 3, 2010.

Official campaign websites