2010 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts

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2010 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts
Flag of Massachusetts.svg
  2006 January 19, 2010 (2010-01-19) 2012  
  Scott P. Brown.jpg Martha Coakley crop.jpg
Nominee Scott Brown Martha Coakley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,168,1781,060,861
Percentage51.83%47.07%

2010 United States Senate election in Massachusetts results map by county.svg
2010 United States Senate Special Election in Massachusetts by Town.svg
2010 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts by Congressional District.svg
2010 United States Senate election in Massachussetts by precinct.svg
Brown:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Coakley:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. senator before election

Paul Kirk [lower-alpha 1]
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Scott Brown
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts was a special election held on January 19, 2010, in order to fill the Massachusetts Class I United States Senate seat for the remainder of the term ending January 3, 2013. It was won by Republican candidate Scott Brown.

Contents

The vacancy that prompted the special election was created by the death of Democratic Senator Ted Kennedy on August 25, 2009. Kennedy had served as a U.S. senator since 1962, having been elected in a special election to fill the vacancy created when his brother John F. Kennedy was elected president of the United States in 1960. The seat was held until the election by an appointee, Senator Paul Kirk, a former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, who was not a candidate in the election to complete the term. This was the first open seat U.S. senate election in Massachusetts since 1984 and the first in this seat since 1962 where Ted Kennedy was first elected.

A party primary election determining the winners of party nominations was held on December 8, 2009. [1] [2] The Democratic Party nominated Martha Coakley, the Massachusetts attorney general; the Republican Party nominated Scott Brown, a Massachusetts state senator. The race drew national attention due to Brown's unexpectedly closing the gap and running even with, or ahead of, Coakley in independent and internal polling in the last few days of the campaign. [3] [4]

Polls closed at 8:00 p.m. Eastern Time. At 9:06 p.m., BNO News projected Brown as the winner of the race. [5] At 9:13 p.m., The Boston Globe reported that Coakley telephoned Brown and conceded her defeat in the election. [6] As a result of the election, the Republicans would control 41 seats in the United States Senate, enough to successfully make the Senate filibuster happen. [7] Although Democrats would retain control of both houses of Congress until January 2011, Brown's victory would greatly affect their political plans, most notably for the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, though the legislation was signed into law two months later. [8] [9]

With his victory, Brown became the first Republican to win this seat since 1946, and the first to win either Massachusetts Senate seat since 1972. Indeed, he was the first Massachusetts Republican to be elected to Congress since Peter Blute and Peter Torkildsen won reelection to the House in 1994. As of 2023, this is the last congressional election in Massachusetts won by a Republican. The only Massachusetts congressional Republican throughout his whole Senate tenure, Brown was defeated in 2012; he later moved to New Hampshire where he unsuccessfully ran for U.S. Senate in 2014. This election was the first time since 1946 that the winner of Massachusetts's Class 1 Senate seat was not a member of the Kennedy family.

Background

Timeline

Massachusetts law requires a special election to be held on a Tuesday, no fewer than 145 days, nor more than 160 days from the date of office vacancy, on a date determined by the governor. That range placed the election date between January 17 and February 1, 2010. [1] [10] [11] Massachusetts law specifies that a party primary shall be held the sixth Tuesday before the general election. [12] On August 28, 2009, Secretary of the Commonwealth William F. Galvin presented the dates January 19 and 26, 2010, after meetings with State House Speaker Robert DeLeo, State Senate President Therese Murray, and aides to Governor Deval Patrick. Patrick was legally required to select one of these two dates. A January 19 election would require the primary to be held on December 8, while a January 26 election would have required a December 15 primary. [1] Republican State Representative Karyn Polito suggested on August 28, 2009, that, because the possible election dates overlap the holiday season, the law ought to be rewritten to allow the special election to be held on November 3, 2009, to coincide with other elections in the state. [13]

Patrick stated on August 29, 2009, that he wanted to honor a request by Kennedy that any appointee to the seat not run, and that he would address the issue of the election date "after we have finished this period of respectful grief." [13] On August 31, 2009, Patrick scheduled the special election for January 19, 2010, with the primary elections on December 8, 2009. For party primary candidates, completed nomination papers with certified signatures were required to be filed by the close of business, November 3, 2009. Non-party candidates had a December 8, 2009, filing deadline. [2] [14] [15]

Qualifications

A senator must, by the date of inauguration, be at least thirty years old, a U.S. citizen for at least nine years, and a state inhabitant of the state wishing to represent. [16] In Massachusetts, candidates for the U.S. Senate must file nomination papers with certified signatures of 10,000 Massachusetts voters, by deadlines established by the Secretary of the Commonwealth. [17] A candidate for nomination in a party's special primary election must have been an enrolled member of the party, through filing as a member of that party with the Secretary of the Commonwealth using a certificate of voter registration, for the 90 days preceding the filing deadline, unless the candidate is a newly registered voter. The candidate additionally must not have been enrolled in any other party in the prior year. [18]

Appointment

In 2004, the Massachusetts General Court withdrew the authority of the governor to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy by appointment, to prevent the then-Governor Mitt Romney, a Republican, from appointing a Republican to fill the remainder of Democrat John Kerry's Senate term, if Kerry were to win the 2004 presidential election. The legislation was enacted over Romney's veto. [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] At that time, Senator Ted Kennedy successfully made personal appeals to Massachusetts Democratic legislative leaders to pass the bill, which was stalled prior to his request. [24]

Seven days before his death, Kennedy communicated his desire to amend the law so that upon a vacancy, the governor might appoint a Senator to serve until the special election occurred and avoid a five-month vacancy for the office. Kennedy sent a letter to the governor and legislative leaders (received on August 18, 2009, and dated July 2, 2009) requesting that they consider changing the law, and that the Governor obtain the personal pledge of such an appointee not to become a candidate in the following special election. [25] [26] John Kerry, President Barack Obama, and State House Speaker Robert DeLeo all expressed support for an interim appointment. [27] [28] [29]

Patrick stated that he wished to honor the request by Kennedy that any appointee pledge not to run in the special election. [13] The legality of such a demand in state law is questioned by Secretary of the Commonwealth William F. Galvin, as the qualifications for office to Congress are specified solely in the Constitution. [13] Robert DeLeo stated that both the Senate and the House of Representatives planned to approve resolutions indicating that they did not want the appointee to run in the special election or become involved with any candidate's campaign. [30]

A bill previously pending before the legislature, filed by State Rep. Robert Koczera of New Bedford in January 2009, proposed to permit the governor to appoint a senator; to enjoin the governor from appointing a candidate in a subsequent special election; and to permit the appointment date to occur only after the filing deadline for the special election had passed. [31] Governor Patrick said he would push the General Court to pass the bill, and that he would sign it into law. [32] The General Court held its first hearing on the legislation on September 9. [33]

The Massachusetts House of Representatives approved legislation to give Governor Patrick the power to appoint an interim senator on September 17, 2009, by a 95–58 vote. [30] The Massachusetts Senate approved the measure on September 22, 2009, by a vote of 24 to 16, [34] and both houses of the General Court gave final approval to the bill on September 23. [35]

On September 24, 2009, Patrick appointed Paul G. Kirk, former Democratic National Committee chairman and aide to Ted Kennedy, to serve until the elected successor took office. [27] [36] Kennedy's two sons, Patrick J. Kennedy and Edward Kennedy, Jr., [37] and his wife, Victoria Reggie Kennedy, [38] had all expressed their preference for Kirk. Kirk was sworn into office on Friday, September 25, 2009. [39] He pledged not to be a candidate in the special election. [36]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

SourceDate(s) administered Mike Capuano Martha Coakley Alan Khazei Stephen Pagliuca Other
Rasmussen Reports (report) [Poll 1] September 8, 20097%38%24%
Suffolk University (report Archived January 3, 2010, at the Wayback Machine ) [Poll 2] September 16, 20099%47%3%6%
Lake Research (report) [Poll 3] September 21–24, 200912%47%1%4%
Research 2000 (report) [Poll 4] October 28–29, 200916%42%5%15%
Suffolk University (report Archived November 15, 2009, at the Wayback Machine ) [Poll 5] November 4–8, 200916%44%3%17%
The Boston Globe (report)(graphic) [Poll 6] November 13–18, 200922%43%6%15%
Rasmussen Reports (report) [Poll 7] November 23, 200921%36%14%14%5%
ResultsDecember 8, 200928%47%13%12%[ ? ]

Results

Municipal results of the Democratic primary for the United States Senate special election in Massachusetts, 2010 Massachusetts United States Senate Democratic primary results by municipality, 2010.svg
Municipal results of the Democratic primary for the United States Senate special election in Massachusetts, 2010
Democratic Primary results [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Martha Coakley 310,227 46.71%
Democratic Mike Capuano184,79127.82%
Democratic Alan Khazei88,92913.39%
Democratic Stephen Pagliuca80,24812.08%
Total votes664,195 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

Brown announced his candidacy on September 12, 2009. [47] He previously announced, on September 6, 2009, that he was exploring becoming a candidate under the "testing the waters" provisions of federal election law, and intended to announce his decision on whether he would become a candidate on September 9 or 10, 2009. [48] [49] [50] On September 9, Brown said that he would not run if George W. Bush's White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card entered the race. [51] [52] On September 11, Card declined to run and offered his support to Brown. [53]

Polling

SourceDates administered Scott Brown Jack E. Robinson IIIUndecided
Suffolk University (report Archived November 15, 2009, at the Wayback Machine ) [Poll 5] November 4–8, 200945%7%47%
ResultsDecember 8, 200989%11%

Results

Republican Primary results [54] [55]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Brown 145,465 89.40%
Republican Jack Robinson17,24110.60%
Total votes162,706 100.00%

Other candidates

Independent or third party candidates had until December 8, 2009, to submit nomination papers for signature certification. [14]

General election campaign

Scott Brown considered himself a fiscal conservative and Washington, D.C. outsider. [47] He said "I have always thought that being in government service is a privilege, not a right. This Senate seat doesn't belong to any one person or political party. It belongs to you, the people, and the people deserve a U.S. senator who will always put your interests first." [47] Brown had called for fiscal restraint and smaller government, claiming that he had never voted for a tax increase. Brown also pledged to be the 41st vote against the current health care reform bill in the Senate. [47] [58] Assistant Professor Boris Schor of the University of Chicago's Harris School of Public Policy Studies described Brown as a liberal Republican by national standards, but well suited for his Massachusetts constituency. [59] [60] [61] Brown drew attention for having appeared nude [62] [63] [64] and semi-nude [65] with his hands covering his genitals in a centerfold in Cosmopolitan in 1982.

Coakley positioned herself as a liberal, supporting several key initiatives of President Obama's, including healthcare reform. [66] She supported reform that accomplished the three goals of expanding coverage, improving healthcare outcomes and reducing costs. [67] She supported increased regulation of the financial sector, "the protection of abortion rights" and ending the war in Afghanistan. Notably, Coakley took positions to increase equal rights for LGBT individuals; she favors ending Don't Ask, Don't Tell, repealing the Defense of Marriage Act and strengthening hate crimes laws. [68] Coakley refused to investigate Thomas M. Menino, Mayor of Boston, and his office for allegedly violating laws in regards to destruction of public e-mail records. Coakley denies all accusations of misconduct. [69]

She also declined to reprimand the state's District Attorneys in relation to false statements they allegedly made regarding the effects of the state's voter approved Massachusetts Sensible Marijuana Policy Initiative in an attempt to defeat the ballot question, as well as allegations the District Attorneys misused state resources (website) and failed to file as designated ballot committee in a timely manner while receiving contributions as required by law while challenging the initiative. [70] The statements by the District Attorneys included allegedly inaccurate and misleading warnings in an effort to defeat the law, such as that if the law passed "any person may carry and use marijuana at any time." When declining to pursue the case Coakley's office responded with "nothing in the proposed law explicitly forbids public use of the drug." This basically ignores the fact that the law still levies a $100 fine and confiscation for adults, as well as additional mandatory community service for minors for the act of possession, and that using the drug requires possessing it, as well as the fact the law as passed allows cities to pass their own ordinances to further fine public consumption if needed. [71]

The failure to file as a ballot committee allegedly stemmed from the fact state records showed the district attorneys began raising money as early as July 18, 2008, but did not file a statement of organization or any of the appropriate financial disclosures with the state until September 5, 2008. [70] Coakley was herself a member of The Coalition for Safe Streets, the political action group eventually formed by the District Attorneys to fight the ballot question. She stated that she did not feel it was necessary to recuse herself from any decisions based on any possible conflict of interest grounds. [72] In a radio interview on January 16, 2010, Coakley described former Boston Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling as a "Yankee fan," which drew criticism. [73] [74] [75] Schilling, who considered running for the Senate seat himself and later endorsed Scott Brown, [76] responded by saying "I've been called a lot of things ... but never, I mean never, could anyone make the mistake of calling me a Yankee fan. Well, check that, if you didn't know what the hell is going on in your own state maybe you could ..." [77] [78] Coakley later described the comment as a joke. [79]

Two of Coakley's ads had to be re-edited after they first aired, one because of a typo in spelling Massachusetts (spelling it Massachusettes), and another which used old stock footage of New York's World Trade Center, destroyed in the September 11 terrorist attacks, to represent Wall Street. The second ad was meant to depict Scott Brown as a Wall Street crony. [80] On January 12, 2010, an altercation occurred between The Weekly Standard journalist John McCormack and Democratic strategist Michael Meehan, in which the journalist was pushed onto the ground while trying to ask Coakley a question. [81] [82] Coakley stated she was aware of the incident but unsure of exactly what happened. [83] Meehan later apologized for being "a little too aggressive," while denying any intention to knock down McCormack. [84]

Coakley's role in the case of Keith Winfield attracted criticism. In October 2005, Winfield, then working as a police officer, was accused of raping his 23-month-old niece with a hot object, most likely a curling iron. A Middlesex County grand jury overseen by Coakley investigated the case and did not take any actions. After the toddler's mother filed applications for criminal complaints, Coakley then obtained grand jury indictments charging rape and assault and battery. She recommended about ten months after the indictment that Winfield be released, without bail. Winfield remained free until December 2007, when he received two life terms in prison in a case prosecuted by Coakley's successor. Coakley defended her decisions, saying that Winfield had a clean record and few other signs of danger. [85]

Joseph L. Kennedy Joseph L. Kennedy.jpg
Joseph L. Kennedy

Joseph L. Kennedy opposed Democratic plans for healthcare reform and vowed, if elected, to work to repeal the legislation. He opposes government spending by both the George W. Bush and Barack Obama administrations. It was suggested that he could have benefited from voters who associated him with the Kennedy family, [86] which he acknowledged, saying "I'm not going to be delusional, there will be hard-core Kennedy voters who will pull the wrong lever." However, Boston University political scientist Thomas Whalen said that Kennedy's libertarian views may cause him to detract votes from Brown rather than Coakley. [87]

ObamaforCoakley2010.JPG
BrownSupportersAtNortheastern2.JPG
People stand in line to see Barack Obama campaign for Martha Coakley at Northeastern University (top). Scott Brown supporters line the opposite side of the street (bottom).

CQ Politics and Cook Political Report rated the election[ when? ] as a "Tossup". The Rothenberg Political Report changed its rating from "Tossup" to "Lean Takeover" on January 18. [88] Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report stated on January 17, said that he would put his "finger on the scale" for Scott Brown as favored to win. The Rothenberg Political Report released a statement that, "unless Democratic turnout exceeds everyone's expectations, Brown is headed for a comfortable win." [89] [90] As of January 18, Brown led Coakley in the Intrade prediction market by high double-digit margins. [91] [92] Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com projected on January 18 that there was a 75% chance that Brown would defeat Coakley. [93]

During the campaign, controversy erupted over a conscientious objector amendment Brown sponsored in 2005, which, according to The Boston Globe, "would have allowed a doctor, nurse or hospital to deny rape victims an emergency contraceptive if it 'conflicts with a sincerely held religious belief.'" In the candidates' January 5 debate, Brown stated that he continues to support religious hospitals in refusing to provide emergency contraception, causing the woman to go to another hospital. He said, "That's really up to the hospital. There are many, many hospitals that can deal with that situation." [94] [95] Coakley ran a television advertisement attacking Brown over that saying, "Brown even favors letting hospitals deny emergency contraception to rape victims." Brown's daughter Ayla called the Coakley advertisement "completely inaccurate and misleading", and Brown criticized Coakley for running what he described as "attack ads". [96]

Scott Brown filed an ethics complaint stating that the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Local 509 used state computers and e-mail addresses to direct employees of the state to volunteer for Coakley's campaign. [97] During a State Senate debate in 2001, Brown referred to the decision of his lesbian Democratic opponent, Cheryl Jacques, to have children as "not normal". He also described her parenting role as "alleged family responsibilities." Several Massachusetts LGBT activists condemned the statement. Brown quickly apologized for his "poor choice of words", and he defended his position on that issue as being anti-gay-marriage and pro-civil-unions. [98]

Finances

As of January 8,2010, Martha Coakley raised over US$5.2million in total, and had $937,383 cash on hand. Scott Brown had $367,150 cash on hand. Brown spent $450,000 on television advertisements, while Coakley spent $1.4million. [99] A week before the general election, Brown raised $1.3 million from over 16,000 donors in a 24-hour fund-raising effort. Reports also indicated that Brown raised an average of $1 million per day the week prior to the election. [100] This outpouring of support from the Internet and other givers offset what had been relatively less support from national Republican committees, who had decided not to target the race publicly. [101] [102] In the final fundraising push one of Brown's contributions for $5,000 came from David Koch, a wealthy activist and supporter of conservative causes and campaigns. Koch had also given the National Republican Senatorial Committee $30,400 in November 2009 and the Koch Industries PAC gave $15,000 to NRSC right before the January 2010 special election. [103] [104]

Coakley admitted to making an "honest mistake" while filing the financial disclosure forms for her Senate run claiming to have no personal assets when in fact she had an account under her husband's name with over $200,000 and a personal Individual Retirement Account containing approximately $12,000. [105]

Approximately US$23 million was spent on the election. [106]

Debates

All three candidates participated in the debates. The first was held on the Jim & Margery show in Boston on January 5, and broadcast by WTKK. The January 8 debate was held in Springfield, Massachusetts and broadcast by WGBY-TV. The final debate was held on January 11 at the Edward M. Kennedy Institute at the University of Massachusetts Boston. [107] [108]

Endorsements

The Boston Herald , [109] the Cape Cod Times , [110] The Eagle-Tribune , [111] the Telegram & Gazette , [112] The Sun [113] The Martha's Vineyard Times , [114] and The Salem News [115] endorsed Brown for the general election, while The Boston Globe [116] The Boston Phoenix, [117] and the Watertown Tab & Press [118] endorsed Coakley. Vicki Kennedy, wife of the late Senator Edward Kennedy, endorsed Coakley, along with other members of the Kennedy family, [119] while former presidential candidates John McCain and Rudy Giuliani, [120] Boston College legend and former NFL quarterback Doug Flutie, and Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling [121] endorsed Brown. Both former President Bill Clinton and President Barack Obama actively campaigned for Coakley in the final days of the campaign. [122] [123] Former governors Bill Weld and Mitt Romney also endorsed Brown, with Weld actively campaigning with him in places such as Quincy and Romney e-mailing supporters to get out the vote to turn out for Brown on Tuesday.[ citation needed ] The national Tea Party Express endorsed Brown. [124]

Media

In regards to the coverage of the election, MSNBC was criticized by one reporter for perceived bias against Brown, while Fox News was accused of favoring Brown. One journalist reported that CNN and Fox News may have delivered more balanced coverage on the election day itself, providing both Republican and Democratic commentators. [125]

On Fox's Hannity on January 11, political commentator Dick Morris solicited donations for a last-minute Brown advertising buy before the election, and said "please, please help (elect Brown)". [126] Brown himself made multiple appearances on various Fox programs within a 24-hour-period, where he made fundraising solicitations during the course of the interviews. [127] [128]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [129] TossupJanuary 18, 2010
Rothenberg [130] Lean R (flip)January 18, 2010
RealClearPolitics [131] TossupJanuary 18, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [132] TossupJanuary 18, 2010
CQ Politics [133] TossupJanuary 18, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Scott
Brown (R)
Martha
Coakley (D)
Joseph L.
Kennedy (I)
OtherUndecided
Suffolk University (report Archived January 3, 2010, at the Wayback Machine )September 16, 2009500± 4.4%24%54%20%9%
Western New England College (report)October 18–22, 2009468± 4.5%32%58%9%9%
Suffolk University (report Archived January 7, 2010, at the Wayback Machine )November 4–8, 2009600± 4%27%58%15%9%
The Boston Globe (report)January 2–6, 2010554± 4.2%35%50%5%9%
Rasmussen Reports (report)January 4, 2010500± 4.5%41%50%1%7%
Public Policy Polling (report)January 7–9, 2010744± 3.6%48%47%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)January 11, 20101000± 3%47%49%3%2%
Suffolk University (report Archived February 14, 2010, at the Wayback Machine )January 11–13, 2010500± 4.4%50%46%3%1%
Research 2000 (report [ permanent dead link ]) [134] January 12–13, 2010500± 4%41%49%5%5%
American Research Group (report)January 12–14, 2010600± 4%48%45%2%5%
CrossTarget ResearchJanuary 14, 2010946± 3.19%54%39%8%
Merriman River Group (report)January 15, 2010565 ± 4%51%41%2%6%
American Research Group (report)January 15–17, 2010600± 4%52%45%2%2%
Daily Kos/Research 2000 (report) [134] January 15–17, 2010500± 4.5%48%48%3%1%
CrossTarget ResearchJanuary 16–17, 2010571± 4.09%52%42%6%
Public Policy Polling (report)January 16–17, 20101231± 2.8%51%46%4%
Politico (report)January 17, 2010804± 3.4%52%43%2%3%
ResultsJanuary 19, 20102,253,72751.83%47.07%0.99%0.05%

Results

Polls closed at 8:00pm Eastern Time. At 9:06pm BNO News projected Brown as the winner of the race. [5] At 9:13 p.m., The Boston Globe reported that Coakley telephoned Brown and conceded the election. [6] The best county for Brown was Plymouth, with 62.77%, while the best county for Coakley was Berkshire, with 68.48%.

The final results certified on February 4, 2010 were: [135]

2010 Massachusetts U.S. Senate special election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Scott Brown 1,168,178 51.83% +21.28%
Democratic Martha Coakley 1,060,86147.07%-22.23%
Libertarian Joseph L. Kennedy22,3880.99%n/a
All others1,1550.05%n/a
Blanks1,1450.05%n/a
Total votes2,253,727 100.00%
Turnout 54
Republican gain from Democratic Swing Increase2.svg 21.3

By county

2010 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts (by county) [136]
CountyBrown - R %Brown - R #Coakley - D %Coakley - D #Others %Others #Total #
Barnstable 57.3%60,03241.7%43,6521.0%1,019104,703
Berkshire 30.5%13,29868.5%29,8691.0%45843,625
Bristol 55.7%93,82643.0%72,4921.3%2,138168,456
Dukes 34.5%2,64664.1%4,9221.4%1057,673
Essex 56.5%143,96942.5%108,4301.0%2,605255,004
Franklin 35.7%9,90862.6%17,3821.7%47327,763
Hampden 54.5%71,69744.0%57,8901.6%2,085131,672
Hampshire 37.2%21,11261.4%34,8081.3%76056,680
Middlesex 47.1%256,92752.0%283,5951.0%5,234545,756
Nantucket 48.0%2,03250.5%2,1411.5%644,237
Norfolk 55.2%150,89043.9%120,1680.9%2,541273,599
Plymouth 62.9%120,97136.2%69,6150.9%1,819192,405
Suffolk 32.7%57,46166.1%116,0381.2%2,065175,564
Worcester 60.8%160,40937.9%99,9291.3%3,322263,660

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By municipality

The Associated Press and The Boston Globe reported voting results for each of the 351 municipalities in Massachusetts. [137] [138] Brown won in 229 of those 351 municipalities, while Coakley won in 121. Coakley and Brown tied in the small town of Hawley, each receiving 63 votes. In general, Scott Brown drew support from suburban towns in the central and southeastern portions of the state, while Martha Coakley generally fared well in the cities, rural towns in the west and the offshore islands. More specifically, support for Brown tended to be high in Hampden County, the 495 Corridor, the South Shore suburbs and the southwestern part of Cape Cod. Brown also won or ran close to even in a number of historically Democratic working class cities such as Worcester, Lowell and Quincy. Coakley generally fared well in the Berkshires and the cities, and had particularly strong support in college towns such as Amherst, Northampton and Cambridge. [139]

The central and southeastern parts of the state that favored Brown in 2010 experienced steep drops in the Democratic share of the vote – often more than 15% – compared to the vote for Barack Obama in 2008. As of November 2009, towns in those same areas also had a higher average unemployment rate, 8.7%, compared to that of the rest of the state at 7.7%. At 51%, towns where the Democratic share of the vote declined by less than 10% from 2008 for Obama to 2010 for Coakley had a higher percentage of people with a bachelor's degree compared to that of the rest of the state, 31%. [139]

Voter turnout in the 2010 special election was significantly lower than in the 2008 election. The drop in turnout was smallest—around 25%—in areas that supported Obama in the 2008 election by less than 60%. Turnout fell 30% among towns that supported Obama by over 60%. In Boston, which supported Obama by almost 79% in 2008, the decrease in 2010 voter turnout was even more pronounced, at about 35%. [139]

Rank
of 351
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Municipality
Coakley
votes
Coakley
%
Brown
votes
Brown
%
Kennedy
votes
Kennedy
%
Total
vote
Turnout
%
Abington 2,08833.1%4,15865.9%611.0%6,30760%
Acton 5,37157.5%3,89641.7%710.8%9,33868%
Acushnet 1,62742.8%2,13856.3%340.9%3,79951%
Adams 1,65068.1%74830.9%261.1%2,42440%
Agawam 3,66034.7%6,72663.8%1581.5%10,54451%
Alford 15769.2%6830.0%20.9%22758%
Amesbury 2,54341.7%3,48057.1%701.1%6,09351%
Amherst 6,54784.0%1,18015.1%640.8%7,79147%
Andover 5,90041.2%8,33658.2%800.6%14,31664%
Aquinnah 14977.6%4221.9%10.5%19248%
Arlington 13,28465.5%6,84533.7%1570.8%20,28668%
Ashburnham 86635.1%1,57463.8%271.1%2,46758%
Ashby 47533.0%94966.0%141.0%1,43860%
Ashfield 67075.0%21223.7%111.2%89369%
Ashland 2,89745.1%3,46754.0%600.9%6,42461%
Athol 1,17135.0%2,10562.9%682.0%3,34450%
Attleboro 4,81935.6%8,59863.5%1160.9%13,53353%
Auburn 2,40636.9%4,03662.0%721.1%6,51456%
Avon 70637.5%1,15561.3%221.2%1,88362%
Ayer 98939.6%1,46758.8%411.6%2,49753%
Barnstable 7,54337.6%12,33161.5%1790.9%20,05365%
Barre 72836.1%1,26362.7%231.1%2,01458%
Becket 38462.0%22536.3%101.6%61949%
Bedford 2,97650.3%2,90049.0%460.8%5,92264%
Belchertown 2,62948.4%2,74950.6%571.0%5,43557%
Bellingham 2,17934.3%4,09064.4%781.2%6,34761%
Belmont 6,52859.3%4,40540.0%760.7%11,00967%
Berkley 74631.2%1,61467.6%281.2%2,38856%
Berlin 53839.0%82559.7%181.3%1,38169%
Bernardston 44552.9%37844.9%192.3%84254%
Beverly 6,73544.0%8,40054.9%1631.1%15,29861%
Billerica 4,97233.8%9,58365.1%1561.1%14,71160%
Blackstone 1,05232.9%2,10265.8%401.3%3,19453%
Blandford 19635.6%34362.4%112.0%55063%
Bolton 99541.9%1,36257.3%180.8%2,37574%
Boston 105,28968.7%46,46830.3%1,5131.0%153,27043%
Bourne 2,80735.0%5,13464.0%760.9%8,01761%
Boxborough 1,14150.7%1,08748.3%210.9%2,24967%
Boxford 1,23930.3%2,83769.3%180.4%4,09469%
Boylston 72935.2%1,32163.7%231.1%2,07367%
Braintree 5,60637.2%9,31261.8%1551.0%15,07361%
Brewster 2,41646.5%2,73052.6%460.9%5,19264%
Bridgewater 2,79431.0%6,13868.1%850.9%9,01758%
Brimfield 48932.8%99566.7%70.5%1,49158%
Brockton 11,76154.4%9,63444.6%2231.0%21,61841%
Brookfield 43033.8%81363.9%292.3%1,27255%
Brookline 15,26474.1%5,21725.3%1080.5%20,58949%
Buckland 52265.4%26333.0%131.6%79862%
Burlington 3,65839.1%5,64060.3%540.6%9,35258%
Cambridge 27,26884.1%4,92115.2%2320.7%32,42154%
Canton 3,78739.3%5,77059.9%800.8%9,63763%
Carlisle 1,44254.0%1,21545.5%130.5%2,67073%
Carver 1,61133.0%3,22266.0%501.0%4,88356%
Charlemont 27860.0%17638.0%91.9%46352%
Charlton 1,27126.6%3,45872.4%461.0%4,77553%
Chatham 1,48840.3%2,17959.0%270.7%3,69465%
Chelmsford 5,68837.3%9,41761.8%1280.8%15,23365%
Chelsea 2,56261.9%1,50136.3%731.8%4,13637%
Cheshire 74062.2%43636.7%131.1%1,18951%
Chester 19439.0%29258.6%122.4%49854%
Chesterfield 26451.8%24247.5%40.8%51059%
Chicopee 7,04344.8%8,33953.1%3342.1%15,71646%
Chilmark 36470.7%14127.4%101.9%51559%
Clarksburg 39567.3%18631.7%61.0%58752%
Clinton 1,66137.4%2,72461.3%591.3%4,44447%
Cohasset 1,41937.0%2,40162.6%170.4%3,83770%
Colrain 40160.2%24937.4%162.4%66656%
Concord 5,44562.1%3,27137.3%520.6%8,76872%
Conway 68569.0%30330.5%50.5%99366%
Cummington 30669.2%13029.4%61.4%44268%
Dalton 1,42361.7%84536.7%371.6%2,30550%
Danvers 3,65136.2%6,34762.9%890.9%10,08757%
Dartmouth 5,11046.4%5,81252.7%980.9%11,02047%
Dedham 4,64743.1%5,97955.5%1471.4%10,77365%
Deerfield 1,48262.5%85336.0%361.5%2,37163%
Dennis 3,13141.4%4,35857.6%761.0%7,56565%
Dighton 82931.6%1,77067.5%240.9%2,62357%
Douglas 84025.4%2,44073.7%310.9%3,31154%
Dover 1,05835.8%1,88863.8%130.4%2,95975%
Dracut 3,16629.0%7,65870.2%870.8%10,91155%
Dudley 1,12530.6%2,51568.4%391.1%3,67953%
Dunstable 50233.8%96865.2%140.9%1,48469%
Duxbury 2,67434.7%4,98264.7%440.6%7,70070%
East Bridgewater 1,58328.9%3,84970.4%390.7%5,47160%
East Brookfield 24527.3%64571.7%91.0%89960%
Eastham 1,54050.7%1,47348.5%250.8%3,03871%
Easthampton 3,70858.9%2,49339.6%911.4%6,29256%
East Longmeadow 2,09132.5%4,29466.6%580.9%6,44358%
Easton 3,35035.9%5,93163.5%590.6%9,34061%
Edgartown 1,00255.8%77142.9%241.3%1,79757%
Egremont 44571.8%17227.7%30.5%62065%
Erving 29657.8%20840.6%81.6%51247%
Essex 68539.7%1,02359.3%171.0%1,72563%
Everett 4,24552.0%3,79846.5%1231.5%8,16644%
Fairhaven 2,83447.6%3,04551.2%691.2%5,94854%
Fall River 10,34156.9%7,48941.2%3431.9%18,17338%
Falmouth 7,13346.6%8,04152.5%1280.8%15,30259%
Fitchburg 3,78340.0%5,57458.9%1041.1%9,46146%
Florida 14452.9%12546.0%31.1%27249%
Foxborough 2,46533.6%4,82165.7%570.8%7,34365%
Framingham 10,32952.6%9,14946.6%1600.8%19,63858%
Franklin 4,47033.3%8,82865.8%1100.8%13,40867%
Freetown 1,18934.5%2,22064.5%341.0%3,44355%
Gardner 2,44142.0%3,27156.2%1051.8%5,81752%
Georgetown 1,23934.7%2,31164.6%250.7%3,57561%
Gill 39862.2%22635.3%162.5%64060%
Gloucester 5,55349.6%5,52249.3%1211.1%11,19656%
Goshen 24453.0%20444.3%122.6%46064%
Gosnold 1838.3%2961.7%00.0%4734%
Grafton 2,44235.5%4,37263.6%590.9%6,87360%
Granby 1,04440.4%1,51258.5%271.0%2,58357%
Granville 20730.2%47268.9%60.9%68560%
Great Barrington 2,02576.7%59122.4%250.9%2,64157%
Greenfield 3,83564.6%1,99233.6%1091.8%5,93653%
Groton 2,13244.2%2,66355.2%290.6%4,82467%
Groveland 99133.0%1,98066.0%280.9%2,99962%
Hadley 1,40759.3%93639.5%291.2%2,37263%
Halifax 99231.2%2,14767.5%421.3%3,18157%
Hamilton 1,38137.1%2,31962.2%270.7%3,72765%
Hampden 75432.9%1,51165.9%271.2%2,29265%
Hancock 15857.0%11842.6%10.4%27754%
Hanover 1,89528.4%4,73171.0%350.5%6,66171%
Hanson 1,25428.8%3,06770.4%350.8%4,35665%
Hardwick 37738.6%58660.0%141.4%97755%
Harvard 1,56854.1%1,30545.1%230.8%2,89671%
Harwich 2,63541.9%3,59757.2%510.8%6,28362%
Hatfield 87556.2%65241.9%291.9%1,55662%
Haverhill 7,25939.2%11,06959.7%2021.1%18,53045%
Hawley 6348.1%6348.1%53.8%13158%
Heath 20361.9%12337.5%20.6%32862%
Hingham 4,41639.2%6,80060.3%530.5%11,26972%
Hinsdale 41558.5%28540.1%101.4%71050%
Holbrook 1,52738.5%2,40260.5%411.0%3,97057%
Holden 2,86434.4%5,39664.7%740.9%8,33468%
Holland 29931.9%63167.3%80.9%93851%
Holliston 2,92143.7%3,72555.8%350.5%6,68168%
Holyoke 4,86955.3%3,77142.8%1691.9%8,80936%
Hopedale 99737.7%1,61961.2%301.1%2,64667%
Hopkinton 2,60038.5%4,12361.0%350.5%6,75871%
Hubbardston 60730.0%1,38868.5%301.5%2,02567%
Hudson 3,06841.8%4,18157.0%901.2%7,33958%
Hull 2,03745.4%2,40953.7%441.0%4,49058%
Huntington 34641.2%46755.7%263.1%83960%
Ipswich 2,60441.6%3,60457.6%450.7%6,25362%
Kingston 1,70132.0%3,57667.4%310.6%5,30863%
Lakeville 1,25927.7%3,24871.4%441.0%4,55162%
Lancaster 1,01234.9%1,86064.2%250.9%2,89763%
Lanesborough 65461.5%39937.5%111.0%1,06448%
Lawrence 6,44965.3%3,33133.7%981.0%9,87828%
Lee 1,27263.9%70435.3%160.8%1,99250%
Leicester 1,32032.6%2,68266.1%531.3%1,99256%
Lenox 1,53271.7%59427.8%120.6%2,13857%
Leominster 4,70736.3%8,12762.6%1411.1%12,97547%
Leverett 77981.9%16417.2%80.8%95168%
Lexington 9,37565.0%4,95334.4%850.6%14,41368%
Leyden 21164.1%11635.3%20.6%32957%
Lincoln 1,92867.9%89931.6%140.5%2,84166%
Littleton 1,85943.5%2,38955.9%220.5%4,27069%
Longmeadow 3,15842.7%4,19656.7%470.6%7,40163%
Lowell 9,54746.8%10,54851.7%3021.5%20,39738%
Ludlow 2,76839.5%4,15959.3%861.2%7,01351%
Lunenburg 1,53034.3%2,89064.8%431.0%4,46362%
Lynn 9,79152.7%8,59546.2%2031.1%18,58938%
Lynnfield 1,62028.6%4,01070.8%370.7%5,66764%
Malden 7,79456.0%5,94542.7%1861.3%13,92548%
Manchester 1,18944.1%1,49455.4%120.4%2,69570%
Mansfield 3,04533.8%5,90965.5%650.7%9,01963%
Marblehead 4,65746.5%5,28552.8%640.6%10,00669%
Marion 1,00242.6%1,33256.7%170.7%2,35164%
Marlborough 5,03742.0%6,81756.9%1281.1%11,98259%
Marshfield 3,89533.4%7,67765.8%910.8%11,66366%
Mashpee 2,31337.3%3,83561.8%601.0%6,20861%
Mattapoisett 1,31741.4%1,83457.7%270.8%3,17865%
Maynard 2,23151.1%2,13148.8%20.0%4,36460%
Medfield 2,27637.0%3,84262.4%400.6%6,15874%
Medford 11,41557.1%8,38141.9%2061.0%20,00257%
Medway 2,04435.7%3,64163.6%380.7%5,72364%
Melrose 5,86148.7%6,08550.6%910.8%12,03764%
Mendon 79230.9%1,75068.3%190.7%2,56162%
Merrimac 1,04238.2%1,65160.5%371.4%2,73062%
Methuen 4,83734.2%9,17164.9%1170.8%14,12549%
Middleborough 2,61529.6%6,15869.6%760.9%8,84957%
Middlefield 12651.9%11346.5%41.6%24368%
Middleton 1,08130.7%2,41268.6%230.7%3,51664%
Milford 3,56139.2%5,43259.8%881.0%9,08155%
Millbury 1,65534.3%3,12564.7%491.0%4,82956%
Millis 1,38336.0%2,43063.2%310.8%3,84472%
Millville 32328.4%79970.3%141.2%1,13659%
Milton 6,43650.0%6,34749.3%860.7%12,86970%
Monroe 2050.0%1947.5%12.5%4056%
Monson 1,25838.8%1,93359.6%531.6%3,24457%
Montague 1,89564.7%98533.6%511.7%2,93151%
Monterey 29673.8%10225.4%30.7%40157%
Montgomery 12331.2%26767.8%41.0%39467%
Mount Washington 6273.8%2125.0%11.2%8466%
Nahant 87749.5%88049.7%130.7%1,77069%
Nantucket 2,13950.6%2,03248.0%581.4%4,22955%
Natick 7,20850.5%6,95448.7%1250.9%14,28764%
Needham 7,65452.4%6,89447.2%590.4%14,60771%
New Ashford 6862.4%3935.8%21.8%10962%
New Bedford 11,75459.0%7,82839.3%3391.7%19,92135%
New Braintree 16936.8%28562.1%51.1%45965%
Newbury 1,41440.4%2,04858.5%361.0%3,49868%
Newburyport 4,26650.2%4,17449.1%570.7%8,49765%
New Marlborough 36661.1%22737.9%61.0%59953%
New Salem 25955.6%19541.8%122.6%46660%
Newton 23,45667.0%11,35232.4%2170.6%35,02563%
Norfolk 1,39429.5%3,30869.9%280.6%4,73075%
North Adams 2,85474.1%96525.0%340.9%3,85342%
Northampton 9,41578.7%2,44720.4%1050.9%11,96761%
North Andover 3,82635.0%7,01864.2%800.7%10,92460%
North Attleborough 3,01827.7%7,77871.5%850.8%10,88159%
Northborough 2,48639.1%3,81660.0%611.0%6,36365%
Northbridge 1,63828.7%3,98769.9%761.3%5,70156%
North Brookfield 52829.8%1,22569.2%171.0%1,77055%
Northfield 74458.4%50839.8%231.8%1,27560%
North Reading 2,13532.5%4,37366.6%540.8%6,56264%
Norton 2,20933.0%4,42466.1%570.9%6,69059%
Norwell 1,68032.3%3,48567.1%320.6%5,19770%
Norwood 4,53240.4%6,56858.6%1171.0%11,21757%
Oak Bluffs 1,17760.9%73237.8%251.3%1,93458%
Oakham 28129.9%64568.6%141.5%94071%
Orange 86937.3%1,41660.9%421.8%2,32748%
Orleans 1,70546.2%1,96153.1%260.7%3,69268%
Otis 26547.8%28351.1%61.1%55451%
Oxford 1,43930.9%3,15167.7%611.3%4,65154%
Palmer 1,62238.3%2,52459.6%912.1%4,23751%
Paxton 68733.7%1,33165.4%180.9%2,03665%
Peabody 7,61939.6%11,44059.4%1911.0%19,25057%
Pelham 59682.2%12617.4%30.4%72563%
Pembroke 2,42431.9%5,13467.6%410.5%7,59961%
Pepperell 1,60732.6%3,27966.6%380.8%4,92461%
Peru 16255.9%12543.1%31.0%29049%
Petersham 30645.6%35753.2%81.2%67171%
Phillipston 23533.0%46765.6%101.4%71260%
Pittsfield 8,99069.5%3,80329.4%1491.2%12,94245%
Plainfield 21369.2%9129.5%41.3%30869%
Plainville 97128.0%2,46971.2%300.9%3,47063%
Plymouth 7,98935.6%14,27663.6%1760.8%22,44160%
Plympton 44431.5%95167.5%141.0%1,40970%
Princeton 68136.6%1,16562.6%160.9%1,86268%
Provincetown 1,34484.1%23814.9%161.0%1,59855%
Quincy 13,33045.6%15,60753.3%3251.1%29,26247%
Randolph 5,99661.2%3,69937.8%1001.0%9,79550%
Raynham 1,68731.8%3,57467.3%480.9%5,30958%
Reading 4,65942.5%6,22556.8%810.7%10,96566%
Rehoboth 1,53833.0%3,08066.1%440.9%4,66256%
Revere 5,02145.8%5,78552.8%1501.4%10,95646%
Richmond 49968.6%22030.3%81.1%72763%
Rochester 77631.3%1,67167.5%301.2%2,47763%
Rockland 2,23133.9%4,25364.7%891.4%6,57356%
Rockport 1,87952.5%1,66746.6%340.9%3,58064%
Rowe 9750.5%8946.4%63.1%19263%
Rowley 89332.3%1,84566.8%260.9%2,76466%
Royalston 21340.6%29856.9%132.5%52459%
Russell 19533.3%37964.8%111.9%58557%
Rutland 1,02930.6%2,30768.6%250.7%3,36164%
Salem 6,65053.1%5,72645.7%1541.2%12,53050%
Salisbury 1,06135.0%1,92763.6%421.4%3,03051%
Sandisfield 15050.0%14648.7%41.3%30052%
Sandwich 3,41633.8%6,62565.6%610.6%10,10265%
Saugus 3,58735.9%6,31563.2%961.0%9,99858%
Savoy 13154.8%10443.5%41.7%23946%
Scituate 3,47438.1%5,58461.2%610.7%9,11969%
Seekonk 1,91137.6%3,13361.7%360.7%5,08053%
Sharon 4,46155.4%3,53643.9%610.8%8,05866%
Sheffield 82263.9%44834.8%161.2%1,28657%
Shelburne 58868.4%26330.6%91.0%86062%
Sherborn 1,06145.2%1,26954.1%170.7%2,34777%
Shirley 86835.7%1,52562.7%381.6%2,43162%
Shrewsbury 5,24239.7%7,86759.5%1040.8%13,21360%
Shutesbury 77182.5%15816.9%50.5%93465%
Somerset 3,55348.5%3,70650.5%731.0%7,33254%
Somerville 16,96574.8%5,46224.1%2611.2%22,68854%
Southampton 1,05240.2%1,53358.5%341.3%2,61965%
Southborough 1,84540.4%2,68958.9%330.7%4,56769%
Southbridge 1,74842.5%2,27155.2%982.4%4,11734%
South Hadley 3,22747.7%3,43450.8%1021.5%6,76359%
Southwick 1,07429.8%2,46968.6%561.6%3,59953%
Spencer 1,23730.8%2,72767.9%531.3%4,01752%
Springfield 17,61061.4%10,63037.1%4321.5%28,67232%
Sterling 1,17431.0%2,56967.8%441.2%3,78767%
Stockbridge 67274.1%22424.7%111.2%90761%
Stoneham 3,63439.6%5,47359.6%750.8%9,18261%
Stoughton 4,46643.9%5,61655.2%840.8%10,16658%
Stow 1,59546.8%1,78952.5%240.7%3,40873%
Sturbridge 1,35035.1%2,45463.8%441.1%3,84860%
Sudbury 4,29151.0%4,07848.5%410.5%8,41071%
Sunderland 84266.6%41032.4%120.9%1,26453%
Sutton 1,13627.6%2,93171.3%431.0%1,26462%
Swampscott 3,12148.7%3,22250.2%721.1%6,41563%
Swansea 2,44942.1%3,29756.7%731.3%5,81951%
Taunton 6,58641.8%8,92556.7%2281.4%15,73948%
Templeton 88632.3%1,81466.1%441.6%2,74455%
Tewksbury 3,38131.2%7,35367.9%900.8%10,82454%
Tisbury 1,17266.2%57932.7%191.1%1,77058%
Tolland 5625.7%15872.5%41.8%21864%
Topsfield 1,11735.7%1,99363.6%220.7%3,13275%
Townsend 1,09229.2%2,61869.9%361.0%3,74659%
Truro 67362.5%39636.8%70.7%1,07664%
Tyngsborough 1,45231.0%3,18668.0%451.0%4,68359%
Tyringham 13161.2%8238.3%10.5%21468%
Upton 1,13834.5%2,12564.5%321.0%3,29567%
Uxbridge 1,65130.6%3,69068.3%581.1%5,39956%
Wakefield 4,41139.0%6,81560.3%820.7%11,30867%
Wales 24434.9%44163.0%152.1%70055%
Walpole 3,56531.7%7,60467.7%640.6%11,23369%
Waltham 8,52349.5%8,54649.6%1570.9%17,22649%
Ware 1,12737.7%1,78559.7%802.7%2,99247%
Wareham 3,12839.8%4,62858.9%1011.3%7,85752%
Warren 59436.7%98660.9%382.3%1,61852%
Warwick 20761.8%12336.7%51.5%33560%
Washington 16063.0%9135.8%31.2%25460%
Watertown 7,30161.2%4,52037.9%1000.8%11,92155%
Wayland 3,59754.9%2,91544.5%380.6%6,55065%
Webster 1,54133.6%2,97764.8%741.6%4,59240%
Wellesley 5,93449.8%5,92249.7%480.4%11,90468%
Wellfleet 1,07563.4%59635.1%251.5%1,69664%
Wendell 33879.7%7918.6%71.7%42461%
Wenham 67436.0%1,18463.3%120.6%1,87066%
Westborough 3,00943.6%3,83155.5%600.9%6,90060%
West Boylston 1,13335.2%2,04463.6%381.2%3,21566%
West Bridgewater 84227.4%2,21171.9%210.7%3,07461%
West Brookfield 52336.1%90762.6%181.2%1,44855%
Westfield 4,54236.4%7,77262.2%1721.4%12,48653%
Westford 3,88739.4%5,93060.1%570.6%9,87466%
Westhampton 41448.5%42950.3%101.2%85369%
Westminster 1,02131.4%2,20267.8%260.8%3,24960%
West Newbury 90641.2%1,28158.3%120.5%2,19968%
Weston 2,42446.2%2,79453.2%300.6%5,24867%
Westport 2,89846.9%3,20351.8%771.2%6,17854%
West Springfield 3,14537.5%5,10260.9%1311.6%8,37850%
West Stockbridge 47373.6%16525.7%50.8%64362%
West Tisbury 1,03374.2%34724.9%130.9%1,39361%
Westwood 2,95339.6%4,46559.8%470.6%7,46574%
Weymouth 8,10434.6%15,09364.4%2351.0%23,43269%
Whately 42056.8%30541.3%141.9%73965%
Whitman 1,68330.9%3,72468.4%370.7%5,44458%
Wilbraham 2,21634.0%4,23765.1%580.9%6,51163%
Williamsburg 89570.5%35528.0%191.5%1,26964%
Williamstown 2,10077.1%61222.5%100.4%2,72260%
Wilmington 3,05732.6%6,22566.5%810.9%9,36360%
Winchendon 98633.5%1,90864.8%511.7%2,94543%
Winchester 4,87647.8%5,24851.5%680.7%10,19268%
Windsor 25263.8%14135.7%20.5%39559%
Winthrop 2,90244.2%3,59654.7%711.1%6,56956%
Woburn 5,63539.9%8,36359.1%1421.0%14,14057%
Worcester 19,86151.9%17,88946.7%5321.4%38,28242%
Worthington 33558.8%22940.2%61.1%57063%
Wrentham 1,41426.5%3,88072.7%410.8%5,33571%
Yarmouth 4,39040.0%6,49659.1%980.9%10,98460%
Massachusetts 1,058,68247.1%1,168,10751.9%22,2371.0%2,249,02654%
Notes: Totals do not include all absentee ballots; the final tally is not due until ten days after the election, or January 29, 2010.
Median rank (176), average turnout (54%), closest to average percentages for Brown and Coakley (both in Westport)
and closest to average size of total vote (6,415 in Swampscott) have been shaded to show midpoints when sorting the table.
Source: "2010 Massachusetts US Senate Special Election Results". Boston Globe . January 19, 2010.

Analysis

After the election, senior Brown adviser Eric Fehrnstrom stated that the turning point for Brown was the December 30 "JFK ad" [140] which put the campaign on the map. "After that, it was like riding a rocket ship for 2½ to 3 weeks till today," he said. [6] Another widely aired Brown TV ad featured him crisscrossing the state in his 2005 GMC Canyon pickup truck, which had amassed nearly 200,000 miles on the odometer. [141] In his victory speech, Brown said "I'm Scott Brown. I'm from Wrentham. I drive a truck." [142]

Another critical event in the Brown surge was his debate performance on January 11. When asked by moderator David Gergen why he would oppose health care reform while holding the "Kennedy seat," Brown replied, "It's not the Kennedy seat and it's not the Democrats' seat. It's the people's seat." [143] After the debate "people's seat" became a rallying cry for Brown supporters.

Brown's late surge was made possible by support by conservative bloggers, who immediately after the Massachusetts primary began promoting his candidacy among national conservative activists, who sought to challenge the Democrats in every election. [144] [145] [146] At the same time, national Republicans were not publicly targeting the campaign, leading one paper to claim Brown was "left to fend for himself." [101] Undaunted, the Brown campaign succeeded through its moneybomb in raising millions of dollars from Internet donations down the stretch run of the campaign. [147]

Barack Obama named Martha Coakley's controversial rhetorical quote of "What should I do, stand in front of Fenway and shake hands with voters?" as one of five days that shaped his presidency. Obama correlated this quote with Coakley's subsequent loss, and as a hurdle towards the passing of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. [148]

National response

The election was viewed by conservatives outside of Massachusetts as a referendum against President Barack Obama.[ citation needed ] However, Brown stated that he didn't believe that it was a referendum on Obama. [149]

Response from Democrats

Obama and his aides discuss Brown's win and the loss of a filibuster-proof super-majority in the Senate. President Barack Obama meets with senior advisors on health care strategy in the Oval Office, Jan. 20, 2010.jpg
Obama and his aides discuss Brown's win and the loss of a filibuster-proof super-majority in the Senate.

Response from Republicans, conservatives, and news outlets

Republicans and conservatives nationally were elated at the results, with some commentators and news outlets calling the results the "Massachusetts Miracle" both before and after the election was held. [158] [159] [160] Federally-elected Republicans also responded favorably to the results of the contest:

See also

Notes

  1. Sample size: 611, margin of error: ±4%
  2. Sample size: 500, margin of error: ±4.4%
  3. Sample size: 800, margin of error: ±3.5%
  4. Sample size: 400, margin of error: ±5%
  5. 1 2 Sample size: 600, margin of error: ±4%
  6. Sample size: 537, margin of error: ±4.4%
  7. Sample size: 567, margin of error: ±4%

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