2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama

Last updated

2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2014 December 12, 2017 (2017-12-12) 2020  
Turnout40.5% [1] Increase2.svg
  Doug Jones headshot.jpg Roy Moore (1).jpg
Nominee Doug Jones Roy Moore
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote673,896651,972
Percentage49.97%48.34%

2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama results map by county.svg
2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama results map by congressional district.svg
2017 Senate Election in Alabama by Precinct.svg
Jones:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Moore:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Luther Strange [lower-alpha 1]
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Doug Jones
Democratic

The 2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama took place on December 12, 2017, in order for the winner to serve the remainder of the U.S. Senate term ending on January 3, 2021. A vacancy arose from Senator Jeff Sessions's February 8, 2017, resignation from the Senate. Sessions resigned his post to serve as the 84th U.S. attorney general. On February 9, 2017, Governor Robert J. Bentley appointed Luther Strange, the attorney general of Alabama, to fill the vacancy until a special election could take place. The special election was scheduled for December 12, 2017. [2]

Contents

Doug Jones, a former U.S. attorney for the Northern District of Alabama, won the Democratic primary election. Roy Moore, a former chief justice of the Supreme Court of Alabama, competed with Strange and U.S. Representative Mo Brooks in the August 15, 2017, Republican primary; the two highest vote-getters, Moore and Strange, advanced to a runoff. [3] President Donald Trump supported Strange during the primary runoff, as did much of the Republican establishment in the Senate. [4] [5] Moore won the primary runoff on September 26, 2017. [6] [7]

Following the primaries, Moore was expected to easily win the general election. Polling showed him with a clear lead, and Alabama is known for its overwhelming support for Republicans. The race was upended in mid-November 2017, when multiple women alleged that Moore had made unwanted advances or sexually assaulted them when he was in his early thirties and they were in their teens (the youngest was 14 at the time), attracting widespread national media coverage of the election. [8] [9] As a result of these allegations, many national Republican leaders and office holders called for Moore to withdraw from the special election, rescinded their endorsements of him, and stopped funding his campaign. [10] [11] [12] Trump and many Alabama Republicans reaffirmed their support. [13] At the time of the revelations, it was too late to remove his name from the ballot.

On December 12, 2017, the Associated Press called the election for Jones; however, Moore refused to concede. [14] [15] Jones’ victory was widely labeled a major upset. He was sworn into office on January 3, 2018, becoming the first Democratic U.S. senator from Alabama since Howell Heflin left office in 1997. [16] This is the only time Democrats won a statewide election in Alabama since 2008, when Lucy Baxley was elected President of the Alabama Public Service Commission.

Background

Potential appointees

Following then-President-elect Donald Trump's nomination of then-Senator Sessions to be U.S. attorney general, Robert Aderholt, a member of the United States House of Representatives, had asked to be appointed to the seat. [17] Representative Mo Brooks had also expressed interest in the seat, while Strange had stated before being selected that he would run for the seat in the special election whether or not he was appointed. [18] [19] Other candidates Governor Bentley interviewed for the Senate appointment included Moore; Del Marsh, the president pro tempore of the Alabama Senate; and Jim Byard, the director of the Alabama Department of Economic and Community Affairs. [20]

A vacancy arose from Senator Jeff Sessions' February 8, 2017 resignation to serve as the 84th U.S. attorney general. On February 9, 2017, Governor Robert J. Bentley appointed State Attorney General Luther Strange to fill the vacancy until a special election could take place. Bentley controversially scheduled the special election to occur in 2018 instead of sooner. [21] [22] When Kay Ivey succeeded Bentley as Alabama's Governor, she rescheduled the special election for December 12, 2017, a move she said was made to adhere with state law. [23]

Republican primary

Campaign

The Republican primary attracted national attention, especially following Trump's endorsement of incumbent Senator Luther Strange. Strange was backed by several key figures within the Republican establishment, most notably Mitch McConnell, the Senate Majority Leader. His two main rivals in the primary were former state judge Roy Moore and Congressman Mo Brooks. While Strange was expected to advance through the first round of the primary, almost every opinion poll showed him trailing Roy Moore in a potential runoff. Strange placed second behind Roy Moore, securing a spot in the runoff. [24]

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Roy Moore
Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State Representatives
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Luther Strange
Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
State representatives
Organizations
Mo Brooks
U.S. representatives
State representatives
  • Ed Henry, state representative and chairman of Donald Trump's Alabama campaign [98]
Organizations
Individuals

First round

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
James
Beretta
Joseph
Breault
Randy
Brinson
Mo
Brooks
Mary
Maxwell
Roy
Moore
Bryan
Peeples
Trip
Pittman
Luther
Strange
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R) August 12–13, 2017870± 3.3%1%1%6%17%1%38%1%6%24%5%
Emerson College Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine August 10–12, 2017373± 5.0%1%0%0%15%0%29%0%10%32%11%
Trafalgar Group (R) August 8–10, 20171,439± 2.6%1%1%4%20%2%35%1%6%23%8%
Cygnal (R) August 8–9, 2017502± 4.4%2%18%31%7%23%13%
Strategy Research August 7, 20172,000± 2.0%1%1%1%19%4%35%1%9%29%0%
JMC Analytics (R) August 5–6, 2017500± 4.4%2%19%30%6%22%17%
RRH Elections (R) July 31 – August 3, 2017426± 5.0%2%18%31%8%29%11%
Strategy Research July 24, 20173,000± 2.0%1%1%2%16%5%33%2%5%35%
Cygnal (R) [ permanent dead link ]July 20–21, 2017500± 2.0%16%26%33%

Results

Primary results by county
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Moore
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Strange
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
Brooks
40-50%
50-60% 2017ALUSSenateGOP.svg
Primary results by county
  Moore
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Strange
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Brooks
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results, August 15, 2017 [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Roy Moore 164,524 38.9%
Republican Luther Strange (incumbent) 138,971 32.8%
Republican Mo Brooks 83,28719.7%
Republican Trip Pittman 29,1246.9%
Republican Randy Brinson 2,9780.6%
Republican Bryan Peeples1,5790.4%
Republican Mary Maxwell1,5430.4%
Republican James Beretta1,0780.3%
Republican Dom Gentile3030.1%
Republican Joseph Breault2520.1%
Total votes423,282 100.0%

Runoff

President Donald Trump supported Strange during the primary runoff, in addition to much of the Republican establishment in the Senate, including Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who made the success of Strange's candidacy a major priority. [108] [5] Trump's efforts on behalf of Strange included tweeting and a rally in Huntsville, Alabama. Vice President Mike Pence campaigned for Strange as well. [109] [6] With McConnell's help, Strange outspent Moore by a margin of 10-to-1. [109] [110]

National interest in the race dramatically increased in the month before the runoff. Strange maintained his endorsement from Trump, who campaigned for him in Huntsville during the closing days of the campaign. [111] Trump's endorsement of Strange sparked criticism among his own base, many of whom preferred Moore and detested Strange for being seemingly too friendly with the GOP establishment. Several notable figures close to Trump broke from the president to endorse Moore, including HUD Secretary Ben Carson and Breitbart Executive Chairman Steve Bannon. Despite Trump’s endorsement, Strange was defeated by Roy Moore in the runoff, [112] 54.6%-45.4%. [113]

Moore won the primary runoff on September 26, 2017. [6] [114] This was the first time that an incumbent U.S. senator having active White House support lost a primary since Arlen Specter lost to Joe Sestak in 2010. [115]

Debates

Averages

ModelMooreStrangeSpread
RealClearPolitics [116] 52.5%41.5%Moore +11.0

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Moore
Luther
Strange
Undecided
Cygnal (R) September 23–24, 2017996± 3.1%52%41%7%
Trafalgar Group (R) September 23–24, 20171,073± 3.0%57%41%2%
Optimus (R) September 22–23, 20171,045± 2.9%55%45%
Emerson College September 21–23, 2017367± 5.1%50%40%10%
Gravis Marketing September 21–22, 2017559± 4.1%48%40%12%
Strategy Research Archived September 22, 2017, at the Wayback Machine September 20, 20172,000± 3.0%54%46%
Strategy Research September 18, 20172,930± 3.0%53%47%
JMC Analytics (R) September 16–17, 2017500± 4.4%47%39%14%
Voter Consumer Research (R-SLF) September 9–10, 2017604± 4.0%41%40%19%
Emerson College September 8–9, 2017355± 5.2%40%26%34%
Strategic National September 6–7, 2017800± 3.5%51%35%14%
Southeast Research August 29–31, 2017401± 5.0%52%36%12%
Harper Polling Archived August 30, 2017, at the Wayback Machine August 24–26, 2017600± 4.0%47%45%8%
Voter Consumer Research (R-SLF) August 21–23, 2017601± 4.0%45%41%14%
Opinion Savvy August 22, 2017494± 4.4%50%32%18%
JMC Analytics (R) August 17–19, 2017515± 4.3%51%32%17%
Cygnal (R) August 8–9, 2017502± 4.4%45%34%11%
RRH Elections (R) July 31 – August 3, 2017426± 5.0%34%32%34%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)

administered

Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Moore
Mo
Brooks
Undecided
RRH Elections (R) July 31 – August 3, 2017426± 5.0%43%20%37%

Results

Primary runoff results by county
Moore
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Strange
50-60% 2017ALUSSenateGOPrunoff.svg
Primary runoff results by county
  Moore
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Strange
  •   50–60%
Republican primary runoff results, September 26, 2017 [113]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Roy Moore 262,204 54.6%
Republican Luther Strange (incumbent)218,06645.4%
Total votes480,270 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Ron Crumpton, activist, nominee for the state senate in 2014 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016 [124] [53]
  • Brian McGee, retired teacher and Vietnam War veteran [27] [125] [126]

Declined

Endorsements

Doug Jones
Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Individuals
Robert Kennedy Jr.
Individual
  • Carl Lewis, Olympic gold medalist and University of Houston track and field head coach [148]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Will
Boyd
Vann
Caldwell
Jason
Fisher
Michael
Hansen
Doug
Jones
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Charles
Nana
Undecided
Emerson College Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine August 10–12, 2017164± 7.6%8%2%1%0%40%23%1%25%
Strategy Research August 7, 20172,000± 2.0%9%5%3%7%30%40%5%
Strategy Research July 24, 20173,000± 2.0%6%4%4%4%28%49%5%

Results

Primary results by county
Jones
>=90%
80-90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
Boyd
Boyd--30-40% 2018ALUSSenateDprimary.svg
Primary results by county
  Jones
  •   ≥90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  Boyd
  •   Boyd—30–40%
Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Doug Jones 109,105 66.1%
Democratic Robert Kennedy Jr.29,21517.7%
Democratic Michael Hansen11,1056.7%
Democratic Will Boyd8,0104.9%
Democratic Jason Fisher3,4782.1%
Democratic Brian McGee1,4500.9%
Democratic Charles Nana1,4040.9%
Democratic Vann Caldwell1,2390.8%
Total votes165,006 100.0%

Independents and write-in candidates

Candidates

Declared

  • Ron Bishop (L, write-in) [149]
  • Lee Busby (R, write-in), retired Marine colonel [150]
  • Jeff "Cog" Coggin (I, write-in), Air Force veteran [151]
  • Chanda Mills Crutcher (I, write-in), minister [152]
  • Eulas Kirtdoll (I, write-in) [153]
  • Arlester "Mack" McBride (I, write-in) [154]
  • Mac Watson (R, write-in) [155]

Declined

General election

Controversies

Roy Moore sexual misconduct allegations

On November 9, The Washington Post reported that four women had accused Roy Moore of engaging in sexual conduct with them when they were teenagers and he was an assistant district attorney in his thirties. One of the women was 14 years old at the time, below the legal age of consent. [8] A few days later a fifth woman said that she had received unwanted attention from Moore when she was 15 years old, and that in December 1977 or January 1978, [156] when she was 16, Moore sexually assaulted her. [9] [157] Moore denied the allegations.

After this, certain Republican leaders and conservative organizations withdrew their endorsements of Moore or asked him to drop out of the campaign. These included Texas Senator Ted Cruz, U.S. Attorney General and former seat holder Jeff Sessions, Ivanka Trump, [158] the National Republican Senatorial Committee, [159] former Republican presidential nominees Mitt Romney [160] and John McCain, [161] Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, [162] Ohio Governor John Kasich, [163] Utah Senator Mike Lee, [164] Montana Senator Steve Daines, [165] and House Representatives Barbara Comstock, Carlos Curbelo, and Adam Kinzinger, as well as the Young Republican Federation of Alabama. [166] [167] [168] [169] [170] The state’s senior Senator Richard Shelby also refused to endorse Moore. Other conservative websites and organizations such as National Review urged readers not to vote for Moore. [171] [172] Despite this, Moore continued to receive support from the state party and a week before the election, President Donald Trump strongly endorsed Moore. [173] Following Trump's endorsement, the RNC reinstated their support for him, [174] and Republican leaders said they would "let the people of Alabama decide" whether to elect Moore. [175]

At the time of the revelations, it was too close to the election for Moore's name to be removed from the ballot, as Alabama law forbids any change to names on the ballot within 76 days of any primary or general election. [176] Republican officials proposed various ways to promote an alternate Republican candidate. One suggestion was to ask Governor Kay Ivey to delay the special election until 2018, [177] but Ivey said she had no plans to change the election date. [178] Some Republicans such as Senator Lisa Murkowski floated the prospect of a write-in campaign to elect Luther Strange, with Utah Senator Orrin Hatch actively endorsing a write-in campaign for Strange. [179] However, Strange said it was "highly unlikely" that he would run a write-in campaign. [180] Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell proposed Attorney General Jeff Sessions, who formerly held the Senate seat, as a write-in candidate. [181] In late November, Retired Marine Col. Lee Busby launched a write-in campaign, stating that he thought there was room for a centrist in the race. [182]

Debates

Republican nominee Roy Moore refused to debate Democratic nominee Doug Jones. [183] [184] [185] Moore turned down debate invitations extended by the League of Women Voters, [184] WHNT-TV and AL.com. [185] [183] Jones' campaign said that Jones was "willing to debate Roy Moore anytime, anywhere" and accused Moore of "hiding from the voters, from the media and from his record for weeks." [185] [183] Moore and his campaign stated that he refused to debate Jones because their policy positions were already clear to voters and thus there was no need for a formal debate. [185] [183]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [186] TossupDecember 7, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball [187] TossupDecember 7, 2017
Rothenberg Political Report [188] TossupDecember 7, 2017

Candidates

On ballot

Write-in

Endorsements

Doug Jones (D)
Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Roy Moore (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide office holders
State Senators
State Representatives
Sheriffs
Political commentators
Religious leaders
White nationalists
Other individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Moore (R)
Doug
Jones (D)
Lee
Busby (R)
write-in
OtherUndecided
Change Research December 9–11, 20171,543± 2.0%51%45%4%
SurveyMonkey November 30 – December 11, 20172,203± 4.5%47%49%4%
Fox News Archived December 11, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 7–10, 20171,127± 3.0%40%50%2%8%
Emerson College December 7–9, 2017600± 3.9%53%44%4%
Monmouth University December 6–9, 2017546± 4.2%46%46%2%6%
Public Policy Polling (D)* December 7–8, 20171,092± 3.8%46%48%6%
Gravis Marketing December 5–8, 20171,254± 2.8%49%45%6%
Trafalgar Group (R) December 6–7, 20171,419± 3.1%51%46%3%
Change Research December 5–7, 20172,443± 2.0%51%44%5%
SurveyMonkey November 30 – December 7, 20171,559± 5.5%47%49%4%
Strategy Research December 4, 20173,200± 2.0%50%43%3%4%
Gravis Marketing December 1–3, 20171,276± 2.7%44%48%8%
Emerson College November 30 – December 2, 2017500± 4.3%49%46%5%
YouGov November 28 – December 1, 20171,067± 3.8%49%43%4%4%
Washington Post/Schar School November 27–30, 2017739± 4.5%47%50%3%
JMC Analytics (R) November 27–28, 2017650± 3.8%49%44%5% [356] 2%
National Research Inc (R) November 26–28, 2017600± 4.0%46%45%9%
Change Research November 26–27, 20171,868± 2.3%49%44%7%
Emerson College November 25–27, 2017500± 4.3%53%47%
Strategy Research November 20, 20173,000± 2.0%47%45%3%5%
WT&S Consulting (R) November 18–20, 201711,641± 1.2%46%40%13%
Change Research November 15–16, 20172,09043%46%11%
National Research Inc November 13–16, 2017600± 4.0%41%49%10%
Gravis Marketing November 14–15, 2017628± 3.5%42%47%11%
Fox News November 13–15, 2017649± 3.5%42%50%2%7%
Strategy Research Archived November 15, 2017, at the Wayback Machine November 13, 20173,000± 2.0%49%43%8%
NRSC (R) November 12–13, 201750039%51%10%
WT&S Consulting (R) November 11, 20171,536± 3.3%50%40%11%
Emerson College November 9–11, 2017600± 3.9%55%45%
JMC Analytics (R) November 9–11, 2017575± 4.1%44%48%2% [357] 6%
Change Research November 9–11, 20171,85544%40%3%13%
Gravis Marketing November 10, 2017478± 4.5%48%46%6%
WT&S Consulting (R) November 9, 20171,354± 3.5%50%39%11%
Opinion Savvy November 9, 2017515± 4.3%46%46%4%4%
NRSC (R) November 6–7, 201751%42%8%
Strategy Research November 6, 20172,200± 2.0%51%40%9%
Axis Research (R-SLF) October 24–26, 2017503± 4.5%56%39%5%
Strategy Research Archived October 24, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 19, 20173,000± 3.0%52%41%7%
Strategy Research Archived October 19, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 16, 20173,000± 2.5%51%40%9%
Fox News October 14–16, 2017801± 3.5%42%42%3%11%
NRSC (R) October 3–5, 201753%37%10%
Cygnal (R) October 2–5, 2017497± 4.4%49%41%9%
JMC Analytics (R) September 30 – October 1, 2017500± 4.4%48%40%1% [358] 11%
Opinion Savvy September 27–28, 2017590± 4.0%50%45%5%
Emerson College September 21–23, 2017519± 4.3%52%30%18%
Emerson College September 8–9, 2017416± 4.8%44%40%16%

* Unpublished poll released on December 15

Hypothetical polling
with Roy Moore on ballot and Luther Strange as write-in candidate
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Moore (R)
Doug
Jones (D)
Luther
Strange (R)
OtherUndecided
Opinion Savvy [359] November 9, 2017515± 4.3%41%44%12%1%2%
with Luther Strange on ballot
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Luther
Strange (R)
Doug
Jones (D)
OtherUndecided
Fox News [360] November 13–15, 2017649 LV± 3.5%38%48%3%5%
823 RV± 3.0%39%46%3%6%
Emerson College [361] September 21–23, 2017519± 4.3%49%36%15%
Emerson College [362] September 8–9, 2017416± 4.8%43%40%17%
with generic Republican/Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Washington Post/Schar School [363] November 27–30, 2017739± 4.5%50%44%6%
JMC Analytics (R) [364] November 27–28, 2017650± 3.8%49%46%3%
JMC Analytics (R) [365] November 9–11, 2017575± 4.1%45%47%8%
JMC Analytics (R) [366] September 30 – October 1, 2017500± 4.4%49%45%6%

Results

Turnout map by county

25-30%
30-35%
35-40%
40-45%
45-50%
50-55% 2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama turnout map by county.svg
Turnout map by county
  25–30%
  30–35%
  35–40%
  40–45%
  45–50%
  50–55%

At 9:23 p.m. CST on December 12, 2017, the Associated Press called the election for Jones; however, Moore refused to concede. [367] [368] Jones was the first Democratic candidate to win a statewide election in Alabama since former lieutenant governor Lucy Baxley was elected president of the Alabama Public Service Commission in 2008. [369] Jones was sworn into office on January 3, 2018, becoming the first Democratic U.S. senator from Alabama since Howell Heflin left office in 1997. [16]

United States Senate special election in Alabama, 2017 [370] [371]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Doug Jones 673,896 49.97% +49.97%
Republican Roy Moore 651,97248.34%−48.91%
Write-in 22,8521.69%−1.06%
Total votes1,348,720 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

By congressional district

Despite his statewide win, Jones only won one district. [372]

DistrictMooreJonesRepresentative
1st 51%47% Bradley Byrne
2nd 55%44% Martha Roby
3rd 51%48% Mike Rogers
4th 68%31% Robert Aderholt
5th 49%49% Mo Brooks
6th 51%47% Gary Palmer
7th 21%78% Terri Sewell

Results by county

Doug Jones Roy Moore Write-insTotal votes
CountyVotes %Votes %Votes %Turnout %
Autauga 5,61538.38%8,76259.90%2531.73%14,63038.32%
Baldwin 22,26135.60%38,56661.68%1,7032.72%62,53042.74%
Barbour 3,71657.53%2,70241.83%410.63%6,45938.35%
Bibb 1,56729.95%3,59968.79%661.26%5,23238.32%
Blount 2,40816.94%11,63181.80%1801.27%14,21937.45%
Bullock 2,71580.37%65619.42%70.21%3,37845.53%
Butler 2,91551.02%2,75848.27%410.72%5,71442.36%
Calhoun 12,33144.04%15,23854.43%4291.53%27,99836.18%
Chambers 4,25755.75%3,31243.37%670.88%7,63632.42%
Cherokee 1,52927.09%4,00670.98%1091.93%5,64433.00%
Chilton 2,30623.06%7,56375.62%1321.32%10,00135.42%
Choctaw 2,27753.66%1,94945.93%170.40%4,24340.10%
Clarke 4,36351.93%3,99547.55%430.51%8,40143.96%
Clay 99027.52%2,58971.96%190.53%3,59836.92%
Cleburne 60019.37%2,46879.66%300.97%3,09829.47%
Coffee 3,73031.10%8,06367.22%2021.68%11,99536.52%
Colbert 6,88146.41%7,77152.41%1711.15%14,82837.75%
Conecuh 2,25955.21%1,81544.35%180.44%4,09239.84%
Coosa 1,41542.71%1,86756.39%300.91%3,31241.42%
Covington 2,10723.33%6,83575.69%880.97%9,03035.09%
Crenshaw 1,32035.46%2,34763.04%561.50%3,72537.66%
Cullman 4,16119.73%16,60978.74%3241.54%21,09437.61%
Dale 3,84435.04%6,99163.72%1361.24%10,97134.87%
Dallas 10,50374.75%3,48724.82%600.43%14,05044.88%
DeKalb 3,55925.62%10,09772.69%2341.68%13,89034.31%
Elmore 7,71134.33%14,41564.16%3381.50%22,46441.34%
Escambia 3,64241.78%4,98757.22%871.00%8,71635.39%
Etowah 10,56840.34%15,73060.04%6202.37%26,91838.57%
Fayette 1,14324.39%3,49174.55%501.07%4,68438.40%
Franklin 1,77129.34%4,21669.86%480.80%6,03533.50%
Geneva 1,29018.92%5,43379.72%931.37%6,81637.84%
Greene 3,34587.64%46212.12%90.24%3,81653.89%
Hale 3,90269.33%1,69130.11%320.57%5,62546.26%
Henry 1,89938.32%3,01560.91%380.77%4,95239.20%
Houston 9,19837.81%14,84661.02%2851.17%24,32934.18%
Jackson 3,33030.82%7,31767.75%1541.43%10,80129.44%
Jefferson 149,75968.13%66,35030.18%3,7161.69%219,82547.38%
Lamar 77921.31%2,84777.89%290.79%3,65534.46%
Lauderdale 9,97043.02%12,81855.31%3881.67%23,17637.53%
Lawrence 3,03336.04%5,32163.23%610.72%8,41535.49%
Lee 19,88657.61%14,05940.73%6741.95%34,51932.90%
Limestone 9,60639.19%14,29858.33%5152.10%24,51441.18%
Lowndes 3,78379.08%98820.65%130.27%4,78447.14%
Macon 5,78388.14%75911.56%200.30%6,56737.70%
Madison 65,99756.98%46,38140.04%3,4472.98%115,82545.68%
Marengo 4,49861.11%2,80538.11%620.84%7,36146.01%
Marion 1,31119.72%5,26979.25%681.02%6,64732.82%
Marshall 5,14526.47%13,84271.21%4502.32%19,43734.22%
Mobile 62,71656.46%46,82842.15%1,5461.39%111,09038.55%
Monroe 3,26649.59%3,28049.80%400.61%6,58640.79%
Montgomery 48,37472.35%17,73926.53%7451.11%66,85844.05%
Morgan 10,93535.48%19,21562.34%6712.18%30,82140.28%
Perry 3,14079.04%82120.68%110.28%3,97248.70%
Pickens 3,06450.44%2,96548.81%460.76%6,07544.18%
Pike 4,01548.51%4,16550.32%971.17%8,27737.58%
Randolph 1,69534.25%3,23165.29%230.46%4,94929.66%
Russell 6,76164.77%3,62234.70%550.53%10,43828.52%
Shelby 27,31141.71%36,45555.67%1,7182.62%65,48445.63%
St. Clair 6,21227.43%15,88970.15%4592.03%22,56038.05%
Sumter 3,52780.91%81418.67%180.41%4,35943.95%
Talladega 9,97750.13%9,70148.75%2231.12%19,90137.45%
Tallapoosa 4,60538.59%7,17960.16%1501.26%11,93440.19%
Tuscaloosa 30,86957.23%22,06740.91%1,0071.87%53,94340.83%
Walker 4,33026.20%11,93872.23%2591.57%16,52735.19%
Washington 1,80534.86%3,32564.21%480.93%5,17839.78%
Wilcox 3,34576.74%1,00022.94%160.37%4,35946.94%
Winston 91116.10%4,68182.71%671.18%5,65935.80%
Totals673,89649.97%651,97248.34%22,8521.69%1,348,720100.00%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

External videos
Nuvola apps kaboodle.svg Doug Jones election night remarks, December 12, 2017, C-SPAN
Nuvola apps kaboodle.svg Roy Moore election night remarks, December 12, 2017, C-SPAN
Jones on stage following his victory Doug Jones election watch party (39007876972).jpg
Jones on stage following his victory
Write-in votes by county:
<1%
>1%
>2%
>3% Alabama Senate special election, 2017 write-ins by county.svg
Write-in votes by county:
  <1%
  >1%
  >2%
  >3%

Doug Jones defeated Roy Moore by a margin of 21,924 votes. Voter turnout was 40.54% of Alabama's 3,326,812 [373] registered voters.

Jones won primarily by running up huge margins in the state's major cities. The state's four largest counties—Jefferson (home to the state's largest city of Birmingham), Mobile (home to Mobile), Madison (home to Huntsville), and Montgomery (home to the state capital of Montgomery)—all gave Jones 56 percent or more of the vote. He carried Jefferson by over 83,800 votes, and Montgomery by almost 30,500 votes; either county would have been more than enough to give him the victory. Jones also dominated the Black Belt. Jones took 61% of votes from voters under 45. He also took over 96 percent of the Black vote. While Moore dominated the state's rural areas outside of the Black Belt, he significantly underperformed Trump's totals in those areas, as well as the suburbs such as traditional GOP fortress Shelby County, which Moore won by a small margin. [374]

An envelope to a Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee fundraising mailer distributed in 2018 with a reference to Jones' victory in the traditionally strongly Republican state of Alabama DSCC fundraising off of 2017 Alabama special election victory (4).jpg
An envelope to a Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee fundraising mailer distributed in 2018 with a reference to Jones' victory in the traditionally strongly Republican state of Alabama

As of December 15, Moore demanded a recount and refused to concede the race, despite being urged by Trump, Bannon, and others to concede. In Alabama, if the final margin of victory is less than 0.5%, then a recount is automatically triggered. If not, then either candidate can request a recount at their own expense. [375] [376] However, Alabama Secretary of State John Merrill estimated that a recount could cost anywhere from $1 million to $1.5 million, an amount that would have had to be paid in full when the request is made. Moore had only $636,046 on hand by the time the campaign ended. [377] A number of right-leaning websites pushed conspiracy theories about voter fraud providing the margin for Jones. [378] Merrill noted on December 20 that the only outstanding ballots were 366 military ballots and 4,967 provisional ballots; even if all those votes were for Moore, it would not have been enough to trigger an automatic recount. [379]

Because the number of write-in votes was larger than Jones' margin of victory, the names written in were both counted and listed. [380] Luther Strange, who lost the Republican primary to Moore, received the most write-in votes, followed by former White House aide Lee Busby, U.S. Rep. Mo Brooks, who also ran in the Republican Senate primary, Libertarian write-in candidate Ron Bishop, and Attorney General Jeff Sessions. Nick Saban, Alabama's head coach, finished in seventh with more than 250 votes. [381]

After the election, Moore filed a lawsuit attempting to block the state from certifying the election and calling for an investigation into voter fraud. On December 28, 2017, a judge dismissed this lawsuit and state officials certified the election results, officially declaring Doug Jones the winner. [382] Jones was sworn into office on January 3, 2018, by Vice President Mike Pence. [16] Jones became the first Democrat to win a statewide race in Alabama since former lieutenant governor Lucy Baxley was elected president of the Alabama Public Service Commission in 2008 over Republican Twinkle Andress Cavanaugh. [369] Prior to that, Democrat Jim Folsom Jr. was elected Lieutenant Governor of Alabama in 2006 over Republican Luther Strange. [383] The last Democrat to win a federal statewide election in Alabama was Richard Shelby in 1992, who switched to the Republican Party in late 1994. [384]

Voter demographics

Cnn Exit Poll
Demographic subgroupJonesMoore % of
Voters
Gender
Men425649
Women574151
Age
18–24 years old59408
25–29 years old62355
30–39 years old663212
40–49 years old534620
50–64 years old465332
65 and older405923
Race
White 306866
Black 96429
Race by gender
White men267235
White women346331
Black men93611
Black women98217
Education
High school or less445620
Some college education465036
College degree524628
Advanced degree583916
Party ID
Democrats 98237
Republicans 89143
Independents 514321
Ideology
Liberals 861423
Moderates 742531
Conservatives 158345
Children under 18 in your home?
Yes564235
No495065
Are sexual misconduct allegations against Moore:
Definitely True97226
Probably True821526
Probably False39527
Definitely False79315
When did you decide your vote?
Last few days385712
Earlier in December47509
In November534621
Before November534657
Area type
Urban851420
Suburban475138
Rural366242
Source: CNN [385]

See also

Notes

  1. In February 2017, Strange was appointed by Governor Robert J. Bentley to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Jeff Sessions, who had appointed U.S. attorney general.

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  232. Barber, Rev Dr [@RevDrBarber] (November 10, 2017). "AL auditor's bizarre read on the Holy family reveals twisted logic of #slaveholderreligion. If you read the Bible to justify hurting the ppl Jesus loved, you can no longer see the good news for anyone" (Tweet). Retrieved November 12, 2017 via Twitter.
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  234. Begala, Paul [@PaulBegala] (November 8, 2017). "Every Virginian who worked and walked; every American who phoned and donated; every progressive who put unity over division, you did this. Let's do it again soon. In Alabama on Dec. 12, then in all 50 states in 2018!" (Tweet). Retrieved November 12, 2017 via Twitter.
  235. Bell, W. Kamau [@wkamaubell] (November 10, 2017). "Also... Alabama, I spend a lot of time defending you. Don't make me a jerk outta me by turning Roy Moore into a Senator. On December 12 vote for @GDouglasJones!" (Tweet). Retrieved November 12, 2017 via Twitter.
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  253. Jeffery, Clara [@ClaraJeffery] (November 3, 2017). "Doug Jones is all that stands between us and a future with Roy Moore as a Senator: Read @pemalevy:" (Tweet). Retrieved November 12, 2017 via Twitter.
  254. Kelly, Michael [@michaeljkellyjr] (October 21, 2017). "Watch this video, follow this man @GDouglasJones, & let's tell all our friends in #Alabama that this is the direction our Country can go" (Tweet). Retrieved October 28, 2017 via Twitter.
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  258. King, Shaun [@ShaunKing] (December 10, 2017). "Progressives. I share every position you do from Medicare For All, on down. If you say you won't vote for Doug Jones in Alabama because he doesn't support 82 out of 82 of your positions, that's dumb AND privileged. Rethink that" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  260. Lavin, Talia B. [@chick_in_kiev] (October 30, 2017). "god i hope doug jones wins" (Tweet). Retrieved November 12, 2017 via Twitter.
  261. LeGate, William [@williamlegate] (November 20, 2017). "Priorities rn for anyone who cares about our country: 1. Kill #GOPTaxScam 2. Call FCC to demand they keep net neutrality (vote is over Thanksgiving holidays to try to sneak it through) 3. Get Doug Jones elected to Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2017 via Twitter.
  262. Sean, McElwee [@SeanMcElwee] (September 27, 2017). "Doug Jones will run against Roy Moore in December. Let's replace white nationalist Jeff Sessions with the man who prosecuted the KKK" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  263. Messing, Debra [@DebraMessing] (September 28, 2017). "Support this decent man!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 28, 2017 via Twitter.
  264. Milano, Alyssa [@Alyssa_Milano] (September 23, 2017). "I love Alabama. And I also love @GDouglasJones" (Tweet). Retrieved October 28, 2017 via Twitter.
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  267. O'Reilly, Holly [@AynRandPaulRyan] (November 10, 2017). "She worked for Republicans: Luther Strange Jeff Sessions Haley Barbour But she's voting for Doug Jones on December 12. Thank you, @chicmadesimple, and every Republican who will vote their conscience" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2017 via Twitter.
  268. Oswalt, Patton [@pattonoswalt] (November 12, 2017). "If everyone who followed ME gave @GDouglasJones $1, we could all wave bye-bye to #RoyMooreChildMolester" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2017 via Twitter.
  269. Painter, Richard W. [@RWPUSA] (September 27, 2017). "Alabama: Unless you want a man who talks like the Taliban representing you in the Senate Doug Jones is your man" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  270. Parkhomenko, Adam [@AdamParkhomenko] (November 4, 2017). "Russia is actively trying to change the perceptions of voters to favor GOP candidates in Alabama & Virginia. Where the hell is the outrage?" (Tweet). Retrieved November 12, 2017 via Twitter.
  271. Parnell, Archie [@Archie4Congress] (September 28, 2017). "Pay attention to the #ALSen race, & support @GDouglasJones. Doug Jones can win this special election w your support" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  273. Reiner, Carl [@carlreiner] (December 12, 2017). "Doug Jones, I meant Doug Jones, I'm 95* 8 mos and I am forgetful.....don't vote for the sexual predator, Moore, vote JONES!" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  274. Reiner, Rob [@robreiner] (December 12, 2017). "Today decency, Democracy, Donald Trump are on the ballot. If Alabama votes Doug Jones, it will have a huge impact on preserving our Republic" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  281. Sinyangwe, Samuel [@samswey] (November 9, 2017). "If Alabama elects Doug Jones to the Senate on 12/12, he'd be seated by 12/15 and effectively *shut down* the GOP legislative agenda.*By next month.*" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2017 via Twitter.
  282. Skolnik, Michael [@MichaelSkolnik] (December 12, 2017). "Dear Alabama, We believe in you!! Vote for Doug Jones! Sincerely, America" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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