2024 United States presidential election in Alabama

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Alabama

←  2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Turnout	TBD
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Electoral vote 9 0 Popular vote 1,462,616 772,412 Percentage 64.57% 34.10%
County results Congressional district results Trump   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Harris   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Alabama took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Alabama chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alabama has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[1]

Alabama voted for Trump by a comfortable margin in the election, with him winning the state by 30.5%. ^[2] This was the largest Republican win in the state since 1972, against the backdrop of Richard Nixon's 49-state landslide re-election. Prior to the election, all major news organizations marked Alabama a safe red state. ^[3]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Alabama Democratic presidential primary

The Alabama Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Alabama Democratic primary, March 5, 2024 ^[4]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	168,080	89.50%	52		52
Uncommitted	11,283	6.01%	0		0
Dean Phillips	8,442	4.50%	0		0
Total:	187,805	100.00%	52	7	59

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary

The Alabama Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Alabama Republican primary, March 5, 2024 ^{[5] [6]}

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	499,147	83.20%	50	0	50
Nikki Haley	77,989	13.00%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	9,807	1.63%	0	0	0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	8,452	1.41%	0	0	0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	1,864	0.31%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	1,442	0.24%	0	0	0
David Stuckenberg	752	0.13%	0	0	0
Ryan Binkley	509	0.08%	0	0	0
Total:	599,962	100.00%	50	0	50

General election

On April 9, 2024, Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen informed the Democratic National Committee that state law would not permit certification in time to include President Biden on the November ballot, as the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) was to take place days after the state deadline of August 15. ^[7] The following month, legislation was approved extending the deadline to August 23, one day after the conclusion of the DNC, allowing Biden to appear on the ballot. ^[8] In early August, after Vice President Kamala Harris replaced Biden in the race, Democrats held a virtual convention to nominate Harris, a process then formalized at the DNC convention. The day after the convention's conclusion, the Alabama Democratic Party filed paperwork to ensure Harris's inclusion on the Alabama ballot in November. ^[9]

Voting laws

A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that Alabama is one of only three remaining states (along with Mississippi and New Hampshire) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail. ^[10]

In August 2024, Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen announced a process for purging 3,251 registered Alabama voters and referred them to the state attorney general’s office for criminal prosecution. ^{[11] [12]} In September 2024, the Department of Justice sued Alabama for violating the National Voter Registration Act. ^{[13] [14]} In October 2024, district judge Anna Manasco ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, ordering the state to restore the voter registrations. ^{[15] [16]} Alabama secretary of state’s chief of staff Clay Helms testified that 2,000 of the purged voters were legally registered citizens. ^[16]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report [17]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [18]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19]	Safe R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [20]	Safe R	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [21]	Solid R	December 30, 2023
CNN [22]	Solid R	January 14, 2024
The Economist [23]	Safe R	June 12, 2024
538 [24]	Solid R	June 11, 2024
RCP [25]	Solid R	June 26, 2024
NBC News [26]	Safe R	October 6, 2024

Polling

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
John Zogby Strategies [27] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	513 (LV)	–	60%	32%	8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [28]	February 29 – March 3, 2024	191 (RV)	–	56%	37%	7% [b]
		179 (LV)		57%	38%	5% [c]
WPA Intelligence (R) [29]	August 23–24 & 26, 2023	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	57%	32%	12%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [27] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	513 (LV)	–	56%	31%	13%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [27] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	513 (LV)	–	56%	30%	14%

Results

Swing by county

Legend

•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

2024 United States presidential election in Alabama ^[30]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	1,462,616	64.57%	+2.54%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	772,412	34.10%	−2.47%
	Independent	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	12,075	0.53%	N/A
	Independent [d]	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	4,930	0.22%	−0.86%
	Green	Jill Stein [d] Samson Kpadenou [e]	4,319	0.19%	N/A
	Write-in		8,738	0.39%	+0.07%
Total votes			2,265,090	100.00%	N/A

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Autauga	20,484	72.43%	7,439	26.30%	358	1.27%	13,045	46.13%	28,281
Baldwin	95,798	78.36%	24,934	20.40%	1,517	1.24%	70,864	57.96%	122,249
Barbour	5,606	56.88%	4,158	42.19%	91	0.93%	1,448	14.69%	9,855
Bibb	7,572	81.80%	1,619	17.49%	66	0.71%	5,953	64.31%	9,257
Blount	25,354	90.03%	2,576	9.15%	233	0.82%	22,778	80.88%	28,163
Bullock	1,101	26.78%	2,983	72.56%	27	0.66%	-1,882	-45.78%	4,111
Butler	5,172	60.99%	3,251	38.34%	57	0.67%	1,921	22.65%	8,480
Calhoun	34,912	71.76%	13,194	27.12%	547	1.12%	21,718	44.64%	48,653
Chambers	8,711	61.15%	5,405	37.94%	129	0.91%	3,306	23.21%	14,245
Cherokee	11,358	87.33%	1,553	11.94%	95	0.73%	9,805	75.39%	13,006
Chilton	16,920	85.61%	2,698	13.65%	145	0.74%	14,222	71.96%	19,763
Choctaw	4,103	61.64%	2,515	37.79%	38	0.57%	1,588	23.85%	6,656
Clarke	6,965	58.25%	4,927	41.20%	66	0.55%	2,038	17.05%	11,958
Clay	5,734	84.73%	993	14.67%	40	0.60%	4,741	70.06%	6,767
Cleburne	6,988	91.33%	605	7.91%	58	0.76%	6,383	83.42%	7,651
Coffee	17,495	78.39%	4,601	20.61%	223	1.00%	12,894	57.78%	22,319
Colbert	19,714	72.58%	7,137	26.28%	309	1.14%	12,577	46.30%	27,160
Conecuh	3,423	56.57%	2,580	42.64%	48	0.79%	843	13.93%	6,051
Coosa	3,758	71.34%	1,478	28.06%	32	0.60%	2,280	43.28%	5,268
Covington	14,677	85.86%	2,314	13.54%	104	0.60%	12,363	72.32%	17,095
Crenshaw	5,000	77.09%	1,457	22.46%	29	0.45%	3,543	54.63%	6,486
Cullman	38,704	89.70%	4,039	9.36%	403	0.94%	34,665	80.34%	43,146
Dale	14,476	75.64%	4,484	23.43%	179	0.93%	9,992	52.21%	19,139
Dallas	5,190	33.38%	10,236	65.84%	121	0.78%	-5,046	-32.46%	15,547
DeKalb	25,633	86.42%	3,758	12.67%	269	0.91%	21,875	73.75%	29,660
Elmore	31,374	75.37%	9,774	23.48%	476	1.15%	21,600	51.89%	41,624
Escambia	10,884	72.77%	3,964	26.50%	109	0.73%	6,920	46.27%	14,957
Etowah	35,653	77.28%	10,027	21.73%	457	0.99%	25,626	55.55%	46,137
Fayette	7,158	85.53%	1,142	13.65%	69	0.82%	6,016	71.88%	8,369
Franklin	10,417	86.11%	1,568	12.96%	112	0.93%	8,849	73.15%	12,097
Geneva	10,929	88.13%	1,391	11.22%	81	0.65%	9,538	76.91%	12,401
Greene	885	21.91%	3,133	77.57%	21	0.52%	-2,248	-55.66%	4,039
Hale	3,369	46.12%	3,868	52.95%	68	0.93%	-499	-6.83%	7,305
Henry	6,989	74.99%	2,263	24.28%	68	0.73%	4,726	50.71%	9,320
Houston	32,469	73.21%	11,352	25.60%	528	1.19%	21,117	47.61%	44,349
Jackson	20,073	85.21%	3,276	13.91%	207	0.88%	16,797	71.30%	23,556
Jefferson	131,123	43.90%	162,112	54.27%	5,469	1.83%	-30,989	-10.37%	298,704
Lamar	6,033	87.56%	806	11.70%	51	0.74%	5,227	75.86%	6,890
Lauderdale	32,708	74.95%	10,326	23.66%	603	1.39%	22,382	51.29%	43,637
Lawrence	13,024	80.78%	2,983	18.50%	115	0.72%	10,041	62.28%	16,122
Lee	46,020	62.93%	25,798	35.28%	1,309	1.79%	20,222	27.65%	73,127
Limestone	37,887	71.04%	14,581	27.34%	864	1.62%	23,306	43.70%	53,332
Lowndes	1,758	31.09%	3,867	68.38%	30	0.53%	-2,109	-37.29%	5,655
Macon	1,682	21.47%	6,084	77.66%	68	0.87%	-4,402	-56.19%	7,834
Madison	105,430	53.35%	87,824	44.44%	4,363	2.21%	17,606	8.91%	197,617
Marengo	4,995	51.59%	4,631	47.83%	56	0.58%	364	3.76%	9,682
Marion	12,245	90.42%	1,197	8.84%	101	0.74%	11,048	81.58%	13,543
Marshall	34,434	85.26%	5,553	13.75%	401	0.99%	28,881	71.51%	40,388
Mobile	100,759	57.52%	72,055	41.14%	2,350	1.34%	28,704	16.38%	175,164
Monroe	6,007	61.20%	3,740	38.10%	68	0.70%	2,267	23.10%	9,815
Montgomery	30,477	33.94%	57,946	64.53%	1,375	1.53%	-27,469	-30.59%	89,798
Morgan	40,449	75.54%	12,392	23.14%	702	1.32%	28,057	52.40%	53,543
Perry	1,269	28.42%	3,174	71.09%	22	0.49%	-1,905	-42.67%	4,465
Pickens	5,465	61.32%	3,388	38.02%	59	0.66%	2,077	23.30%	8,912
Pike	8,224	62.14%	4,899	37.02%	111	0.84%	3,325	25.12%	13,234
Randolph	9,102	82.07%	1,920	17.31%	69	0.62%	7,182	64.76%	11,091
Russell	10,078	48.64%	10,422	50.30%	218	1.06%	-344	-1.66%	20,718
Shelby	79,666	69.46%	33,087	28.85%	1,945	1.69%	46,579	40.61%	114,698
St. Clair	35,501	81.56%	7,640	17.55%	385	0.89%	27,861	64.01%	43,526
Sumter	1,542	29.06%	3,725	70.19%	40	0.75%	-2,183	-41.13%	5,307
Talladega	22,100	66.47%	10,898	32.78%	252	0.75%	11,202	33.69%	33,250
Tallapoosa	14,884	74.33%	4,975	24.85%	164	0.82%	9,909	49.48%	20,023
Tuscaloosa	50,724	59.50%	33,399	39.17%	1,133	1.33%	17,325	20.33%	85,256
Walker	25,464	85.49%	4,102	13.77%	220	0.74%	21,362	71.72%	29,786
Washington	6,534	77.41%	1,863	22.07%	44	0.52%	4,671	55.34%	8,441
Wilcox	1,793	34.07%	3,449	65.53%	21	0.40%	-1,656	-31.46%	5,263
Winston	10,191	91.41%	884	7.93%	74	0.66%	9,307	83.48%	11,149
Totals	1,462,616	64.57%	772,412	34.10%	30,062	1.33%	690,204	30.47%	2,265,090

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Marengo (largest municipality: Demopolis)

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 7 congressional districts. ^{[31] [ user-generated source ]}

District	Trump	Harris	Representative
1st	76.94%	21.89%	Jerry Carl (118th Congress)
			Barry Moore (119th Congress)
2nd	45.31%	53.52%	Barry Moore (118th Congress)
			Shomari Figures (119th Congress)
3rd	72.71%	26.18%	Mike Rogers
4th	83.02%	15.96%	Robert Aderholt
5th	64.02%	34.20%	Dale Strong
6th	68.47%	29.68%	Gary Palmer
7th	37.50%	61.45%	Terri Sewell

Analysis

A Deep Southern state in the heart of the Bible Belt, no Democrat has won Alabama's electoral votes since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since 1996, when Bill Clinton lost the state by 7 points. Donald Trump was able to increase his support and gain ground in every county. He narrowly flipped majority-Black Marengo County into the Republican column for the first time in a presidential race since George W. Bush did so by a similar margin in 2004.

See also

• United States presidential elections in Alabama
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Another candidate" with 5%
3. "Another candidate" with 4%
4. Oliver and ter Maat were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Alabama but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
5. Replacement for Butch Ware, Stein's vice presidential nominee.

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
2. "Alabama Presidential Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 19, 2024.
3. "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved December 25, 2024.
4. "Certification of Results - Democratic Party (Excel file with vote totals)". Alabama Secretary of State . Retrieved March 28, 2024.
5. "2024 Qualified Candidates". Alabama Republican Party. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
6. "Alabama Presidential Primary". The AP. April 30, 2024. Retrieved May 9, 2024.
7. Jack Forrest (April 9, 2024). "Biden may miss window to appear on Alabama's presidential ballot, secretary of state says". CNN . Retrieved May 3, 2024.
8. Kim Chandler (May 2, 2024). "Alabama lawmakers approve legislation to ensure President Biden is on the November ballot". Associated Press . Retrieved May 3, 2024.
9. Stephenson, Jemma (August 23, 2024). "Kamala Harris, Donald Trump get on Alabama state ballots near deadline". Alabama Reflector. Retrieved September 7, 2024.
10. "The Expansion of Voting Before Election Day, 2000–2024". The Center for Election Innovation & Research. Retrieved September 7, 2024.
11. Levine, Sam (August 30, 2024). "'The chilling effect': behind GOP-led states' efforts to purge some voters from the rolls". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved November 2, 2024.
12. "Federal judge blocks Alabama's voter purge program ahead of election". NBC News. October 16, 2024. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
13. Cole, Devan (September 29, 2024). "Justice Department sues Alabama over its effort to remove more than 3,000 names from voter rolls too close to election | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
14. Lo Wang, Hansi (September 27, 2024). "Justice Department sues Alabama, claiming it purged voters too close to the election". NPR. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
15. Rubin, April (October 16, 2024). "Federal judge orders Alabama to halt voter purge program and restore eligible voters". Axios.
16. Riddle, Safiyah (October 16, 2024). "A federal judge halts an Alabama program that purged thousands of legal voters". AP News. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
17. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
18. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
19. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
20. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
21. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
22. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
23. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
24. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
25. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
26. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
27. "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
28. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Super Tuesday States" (PDF). FAU Polling. March 4, 2024.
29. Gorman, Reese (August 30, 2023). "Alabama voters support Tuberville military hold abortion protest, poll says". The Washington Examiner .
30. "Alabama State Canvassing Board Meeting" (PDF). Secretary of State of Alabama. November 26, 2024. Retrieved November 30, 2024.
31. "2024 Pres by CD".