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Elections in Alabama |
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Government |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Alabama is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Alabama voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alabama has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]
As a Bible Belt state in the Deep South, Alabama is one of the most socially conservative states in the Union. Following the national Democratic Party's leftward shift in the mid-20th century, the only Democrat to win the Alabaman popular vote in a presidential election after John F. Kennedy in 1960 was Jimmy Carter of next-door Georgia in 1976. Since then, the only Democrats to come within single digits of winning the state at this level were Carter in 1980 and fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in his 1990s nationwide victories; and no presidential Democrat has won more than 40% of the vote in Alabama since Al Gore of neighboring Tennessee in 2000. Democratic support in Alabama today is often vastly concentrated on the state's largest city of Birmingham and the majority-African American Black Belt. The state is expected to remain safely red in 2024. [2]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. [3]
The Alabama Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 168,080 | 89.5% | 52 | ||
Uncommitted | 11,283 | 6.0% | |||
Dean Phillips | 8,442 | 4.5% | |||
Total: | 187,805 | 100.00% | 50 | 50 | |
Source: [4] |
The Alabama Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 497,739 | 83.2% | 50 | 50 | |
Nikki Haley | 77,564 | 13.0% | |||
Uncommitted | 9,755 | 1.6% | |||
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 8,426 | 1.4% | |||
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,859 | 0.3% | |||
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,436 | 0.2% | |||
David Stuckenberg | 748 | 0.1% | |||
Ryan Binkley | 508 | 0.1% | |||
Total: | 598,035 | 100.00% | 50 | 50 | |
Source: [5] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report [6] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections [7] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [9] | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis [10] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN [11] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence | August 23–24 & 26, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 12% |
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