2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota

Not to be confused with 2024 North Dakota Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota

←  2018 November 5, 2024 2030  →

Nominee Kevin Cramer Katrina Christiansen Party Republican Democratic–NPL Popular vote 241,569 121,602 Percentage 66.31% 33.38%

County results Precinct results Cramer:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Christiansen:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90% Tie:     50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election Kevin Cramer Republican Elected U.S. Senator Kevin Cramer Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Dakota. Republican incumbent Kevin Cramer was re-elected to a second term in office, defeating Democratic–NPL educator Katrina Christiansen in the general election with more than 66% of the vote. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024, with Cramer and Christiansen winning their respective party's nomination unopposed. ^[1]

This marked the first time since 1958 that a Republican incumbent won re-election in this class 1 seat. Cramer more than tripled his margin from 2018 and won 10 counties he lost in 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kevin Cramer, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present) ^[2]

Endorsements

Kevin Cramer

Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021) ^[3]

Organizations

• American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) ^[4]
• ClearPath Action Fund ^[5]
• International Franchise Association ^[6]
• North Dakota Republican Party ^[7]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Kevin Cramer (R)	$5,423,493	$2,328,177	$3,290,838
Source: Federal Election Commission [8]

Results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kevin Cramer (incumbent)	82,692	100.00%
Total votes			82,692	100.00%

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Katrina Christiansen, University of Jamestown engineering professor and nominee for North Dakota’s other U.S. Senate seat in 2022 ^[9]

Endorsements

Katrina Christiansen

Statewide officials

• Roger Johnson, former North Dakota Agriculture Commissioner (1996–2009) ^[10]
• Sarah Vogel, former North Dakota Agriculture Commissioner (1989–1997) ^[10]

Organizations

• National Organization for Women PAC ^[11]
• National Women's Political Caucus ^[12]
• North Dakota Democratic-Nonpartisan League Party ^[13]
• Vote Common Good ^[14]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Katrina Christiansen (D-NPL)	$1,154,175	$957,217	$200,218
Source: Federal Election Commission [8]

Results

Democratic–NPL primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic–NPL	Katrina Christiansen	19,690	100.00%
Total votes			19,690	100.00%

Independents

Filed paperwork

• Kristin Hedger, manufacturing executive and Democratic nominee for North Dakota Secretary of State in 2006 ^[15]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [16]	Solid R	November 9, 2023
Inside Elections [17]	Solid R	November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18]	Safe R	November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [19]	Safe R	June 8, 2024
Elections Daily [20]	Safe R	May 4, 2023
CNalysis [21]	Solid R	November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [22]	Solid R	August 5, 2024
Split Ticket [23]	Safe R	October 23, 2024
538 [24]	Solid R	October 23, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Kevin Cramer (R)	Katrina Christiansen (D)	Other	Undecided
WPA Intelligence [25] [A]	September 28–30, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	29%	–	20%
Lake Research Partners (D) [26] [B]	September 23–26, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	40%	2% [b]	9%
WPA Intelligence (R) [27] [C]	September 22–24, 2024	521 (LV)	± 4.4%	60%	31%	–	9%
Lake Research Partners (D) [28] [B]	June 28 – August 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	38%	–	11%
Public Opinion Strategies [29] [D]	June 15–19, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	65%	28%	–	6%
Emerson College [30]	October 1–4, 2023	419 (RV)	± 4.8%	45%	19%	9%	28%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota ^[31]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Kevin Cramer (incumbent)	241,569	66.31%	+11.20%
	Democratic–NPL	Katrina Christiansen	121,602	33.38%	−10.89%
	Write-in		1,156	0.32%	-0.31%
Total votes			364,327	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

Shift by county

Trend by county

Legend

•   Republican — >15%
•   Republican — +12.5−15%
•   Republican — +10−12.5%
•   Republican — +7.5−10%
•   Republican — +5−7.5%
•   Republican — +2.5−5%
•   Republican — +0−2.5%
•   Democratic — +0−2.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5−5%
•   Democratic — +5−7.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +10−12.5%
•   Democratic — +12.5−15%
    Democratic—+>15%

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Cass (largest city: Fargo)
• Barnes (largest city: Valley City)
• Grand Forks (largest city: Grand Forks)
• Nelson (largest city: Lakota)
• Richland (largest city: Wahpeton)
• Traill (largest city: Mayville)
• Benson (largest CDP: Fort Totten)
• Ransom (largest city: Lisbon)
• Sargent (largest city: Gwinner)
• Steele (largest city: Finley)

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Other" and "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
2. Poll sponsored by Christiansen's campaign
3. Poll sponsored by Cramer's campaign
4. Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance

References

1. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
2. Nelson, TJ; Voorhees, Alison; Monk, Jim (October 8, 2023). "ND Republican Sen. Cramer To Run for Another Term in 2024, Dem. Candidate Also Emerges". KVRR . Retrieved October 30, 2023.
3. Porter, Joel (March 12, 2024). "Senator Cramer responds to Donald Trump endorsement". KX Television . Retrieved March 18, 2024.
4. "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
5. "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
6. "IFA Endorses Congressional Candidates Ahead of June Primary Elections | International Franchise Association". www.franchise.org. June 3, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
7. "Sen. Kevin Cramer receives NDGOP endorsement". April 6, 2024.
8. "2024 Election United States Senate - North Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
9. Fulton, Jacob (October 18, 2023). "Christiansen announces second Democratic bid for US Senate". The Bismarck Tribune . Retrieved October 18, 2023.
10. DeVries, Morgan (March 1, 2024). "Former ag commissioners endorse Christiansen for U.S. Senate". KX Television . Retrieved March 1, 2024.
11. "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
12. "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
13. "Katrina Christiansen endorsed for Senate by Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
14. "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
15. "Statement of candidacy" (PDF). fec.gov. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
16. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
17. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
18. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
19. "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
20. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
21. "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
22. "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
23. "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
24. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on October 26, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
25. WPA Intelligence
26. Lake Research Partners (D)
27. WPA Intelligence (R)
28. Lake Research Partners (D)
29. Public Opinion Strategies
30. Emerson College
31. "Official (without recounts) 2024 General Election Results". Vote.nd.gov. Retrieved November 22, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Katrina Christiansen (D) for Senate
• Kevin Cramer (R) for Senate