2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota

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2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota
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←  2018 November 5, 20242030 →
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Nominee Kevin Cramer Katrina Christiansen
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Popular vote241,569121,602
Percentage66.31%33.38%
2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota results map by county.svg
County results
Cramer:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Christiansen:     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Kevin Cramer
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Kevin Cramer
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Dakota. Republican incumbent Kevin Cramer was re-elected to a second term in office, defeating Democratic–NPL educator Katrina Christiansen in the general election. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024, with Cramer and Christiansen winning their respective party's nomination unopposed. [1]

Contents

This marked the first time since 1958 that a Republican incumbent won re-election in this class 1 seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kevin Cramer (R)$5,423,493$2,328,177$3,290,838
Source: Federal Election Commission [8]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kevin Cramer (incumbent) 82,692 100.00%
Total votes82,692 100.00%

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Katrina Christiansen (D-NPL)$1,154,175$957,217$200,218
Source: Federal Election Commission [8]

Results

Democratic–NPL primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPL Katrina Christiansen 19,690 100.00%
Total votes19,690 100.00%

Independents

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [16] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [17] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [19] Safe RJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [20] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [21] Solid RNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [22] Solid RAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket [23] Safe ROctober 23, 2024
538 [24] Solid ROctober 23, 2024


Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Kevin
Cramer (R)		Katrina
Christiansen (D)		OtherUndecided
WPA Intelligence [25] [A] September 28–30, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%51%29%–20%
Lake Research Partners (D) [26] [B] September 23–26, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%49%40%2% [b] 9%
WPA Intelligence (R) [27] [C] September 22–24, 2024521 (LV)± 4.4%60%31%–9%
Lake Research Partners (D) [28] [B] June 28 – August 2, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%51%38%–11%
Public Opinion Strategies [29] [D] June 15–19, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%65%28%–6%
Emerson College [30] October 1–4, 2023419 (RV)± 4.8%45%19%9%28%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Kevin Cramer (incumbent) 241,569 66.31% +11.20%
Democratic–NPL Katrina Christiansen121,60233.38%−10.89%
Write-in 1,1560.32%-0.31%
Total votes364,327 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Other" and "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Christiansen's campaign
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Cramer's campaign
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance

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References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ↑ Nelson, TJ; Voorhees, Alison; Monk, Jim (October 8, 2023). "ND Republican Sen. Cramer To Run for Another Term in 2024, Dem. Candidate Also Emerges". KVRR . Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  3. ↑ Porter, Joel (March 12, 2024). "Senator Cramer responds to Donald Trump endorsement". KX Television . Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  4. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  5. ↑ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  6. ↑ "IFA Endorses Congressional Candidates Ahead of June Primary Elections | International Franchise Association". www.franchise.org. June 3, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  7. ↑ "Sen. Kevin Cramer receives NDGOP endorsement". April 6, 2024.
  8. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - North Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  9. ↑ Fulton, Jacob (October 18, 2023). "Christiansen announces second Democratic bid for US Senate". The Bismarck Tribune . Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  10. 1 2 DeVries, Morgan (March 1, 2024). "Former ag commissioners endorse Christiansen for U.S. Senate". KX Television . Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  11. ↑ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  12. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  13. ↑ "Katrina Christiansen endorsed for Senate by Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
  14. ↑ "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  15. ↑ "Statement of candidacy" (PDF). fec.gov. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
  16. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  17. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  18. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  19. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  20. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  21. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  22. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  23. ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  24. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  25. ↑ WPA Intelligence
  26. ↑ Lake Research Partners (D)
  27. ↑ WPA Intelligence (R)
  28. ↑ Lake Research Partners (D)
  29. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies
  30. ↑ Emerson College
  31. ↑ "Official (without recounts) 2024 General Election Results". Vote.nd.gov. Retrieved November 22, 2024.

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