2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election

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2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election
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Nominee Doug Burgum Marvin Nelson
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Running mate Brent Sanford Joan Heckaman
Popular vote259,86365,855
Percentage76.5%19.4%
2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
ND Governor 2016.svg
Burgum:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Nelson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Governor before election

Jack Dalrymple
Republican

Elected Governor

Doug Burgum
Republican

The 2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This would have been the first time North Dakotans selected a governor under new voter ID requirements, in which a student ID was insufficient identification to vote, [1] but a court ruling in August 2016 struck the down the provision; the election was held under the 2013 rules. [2]

Contents

The primaries took place on June 14. This is the first open seat election since 2000. Incumbent Republican Jack Dalrymple announced that he would not run for re-election to a second full term in office. [3] Doug Burgum (R) defeated Marvin Nelson (DNPL) in the general election to become the new Governor of North Dakota.

Background

In December 2010, Republican Governor John Hoeven resigned after being elected to the U.S. Senate. Jack Dalrymple, the lieutenant governor, was sworn in as governor and was elected to a full term in 2012. In August 2015, Dalrymple announced that he would not run for re-election to a second full term in office. [3]

Republican primary

The North Dakota Republican Party endorsed North Dakota Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem at their April 2–3 state convention, however ballot access was actually determined by the June 14th primary election, which former Microsoft executive Doug Burgum won in an upset. [4]

Candidates

Endorsed

Other candidates

Withdrawn

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Becker		Doug
Burgum		Wayne
Stenehjem		Undecided
ND United/DFM Research [15] February 18–25, 2016369 [lower-alpha 1] ±5.1%—10%59%31%
  1. ↑ likely Republican primary voters

Republican State Convention

To endorse a candidate, delegates to the Republican state convention voted for one candidate in a series of rounds. After the first round, all candidates would remain on the ballot, but after subsequent rounds of voting, the recipient of the lowest number of votes would be removed. The first candidate to receive more than half the cast vote would receive the state party endorsement.

After no candidate received the majority in the first round, a second round of voting was completed, in which enough delegates voted for Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem to give him the endorsement without having to remove a candidate from the ballot or vote again. [16]

First Convention Ballot
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Wayne Stenehjem76947.97%
Republican Rick Becker58736.61%
Republican Doug Burgum24715.40%
Total votes1,603 100.00%
Second Convention Ballot
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Wayne Stenehjem 823 51.50%
Republican Rick Becker61838.67%
Republican Doug Burgum1579.82%
Total votes1,598 100.00%

Republican primary results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Burgum--70-80% Burgum--60-70% Burgum--50-60% Burgum--40-50% Burgum/Stenehjem tie--40-50% Stenehjem--50-60% North Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary 2016.svg
Results by county:
  Burgum—70–80%
  Burgum—60–70%
  Burgum—50–60%
  Burgum—40–50%
  Burgum/Stenehjem tie—40–50%
  Stenehjem—50–60%
Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Doug Burgum 68,042 59.47%
Republican Wayne Stenehjem44,15838.59%
Republican Paul Sorum2,1641.89%
Republican Write-in510.04%
Total votes114,415 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Endorsed

Declined

Results

Democratic-NPL primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPL Marvin Nelson 17,278 99.66%
Democratic–NPL Write-in590.34%
Total votes17,337 100.00%

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Endorsed

  • Marty Riske, businessman and former state party chairman [27]
    • Running mate: Joshua Voytek [8]

Results

Libertarian primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Marty Riske 1,088 99.36%
Libertarian Write-in70.64%
Total votes1,095 100.00%

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [28] Safe RAugust 12, 2016
Daily Kos [29] Likely RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [30] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [31] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics [32] Safe RNovember 1, 2016
Governing [33] Safe ROctober 27, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Doug
Burgum (R)		Marvin
Nelson (D)		Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016313± 4.6%70%27%3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016288± 4.6%68%29%3%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016276± 4.6%70%27%3%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016260± 4.6%69%28%3%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016254± 4.6%67%30%3%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016279± 4.6%68%29%3%

Results

North Dakota gubernatorial election, 2016 [34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Doug Burgum 259,863 76.52% +13.42%
Democratic–NPL Marvin Nelson 65,85519.39%-14.92%
Libertarian Marty Riske13,2303.90%N/A
Write-in 6530.19%N/A
Total votes339,601 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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References

  1. ↑ Watts, Adam; Lyden, Grace (March 9, 2016). "ID law may complicate voting for North Dakota students". Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved March 9, 2016.
  2. ↑ Childress, Sarah (August 2, 2016). "North Dakota's Voter ID Law Is Latest to Be Overturned". Frontline . WGBH-TV . Retrieved September 22, 2016.
  3. 1 2 3 "Dalrymple won't run for re-election". KFGO. August 24, 2015. Retrieved August 24, 2015.
  4. 1 2 Springer, Patrick (January 14, 2016). "Doug Burgum announces bid for North Dakota governor". Grand Forks Herald . Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved January 14, 2016.
  5. ↑ "Stenehjem to announce for governor next week". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . November 17, 2015. Retrieved November 19, 2015.
  6. ↑ "After two ballots, Stenehjem wins GOP nomination for ND governor's race". The Dickinson Press . Forum Communications. Forum News Service. April 2, 2016. Retrieved April 5, 2016.
  7. ↑ Nelson, TJ (April 3, 2016). "Stenehjem Announces Running Mate in ND Governor Race". KVRR.com. Red River Broadcast Co. Retrieved April 10, 2016.
  8. 1 2 Nowatzki, Mike (April 8, 2016). "After criticizing Burgum, Sanford agrees to be his running mate". Jamestown Sun . Forum Communications. Forum News Service. Retrieved April 10, 2016.
  9. ↑ "State lawmaker from Bismarck running for governor". Grand Forks Herald . September 23, 2015. Archived from the original on September 27, 2015. Retrieved September 26, 2015.
  10. ↑ Hageman, John (November 16, 2015). "Campbell announces he won't run for North Dakota governor". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved September 19, 2015.
  11. ↑ Musland, Cally (August 25, 2015). "Congressman Kevin Cramer: "Timing isn't right for me to run for Governor"". KFGO . Retrieved September 29, 2015.
  12. ↑ "Former Secretaries". usda.gov. United States Department of Agriculture. Retrieved March 19, 2019.
  13. ↑ Nowatzki, Mike (November 18, 2015). "ND treasurer Schmidt to seek fourth term, won't run for governor". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved November 19, 2015.
  14. ↑ Nowatzki, Mike (September 28, 2015). "North Dakota Lt. Gov. Wrigley won't run for governor". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved September 29, 2015.
  15. ↑ Nowatzki, Mike (March 1, 2016). "Poll finds Burgum trailing Stenehjem by large margin". Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Forum News Service. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  16. ↑ "news". INFORUM.
  17. 1 2 3 "North Dakota Secretary of State". ND Secretary of State. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
  18. ↑ Nowatzki, Mike (April 4, 2016). "Four races still unfilled". Jamestown Sun . Forum Communications . Retrieved April 5, 2016.
  19. ↑ Grossfeld, Max (March 23, 2016). "ND Gov. Candidate Nelson Chooses New Rockford Sen. Heckaman as Running Mate". KFYR-TV . Associated Press . Retrieved April 10, 2016.
  20. ↑ Nowatzki, Mike (September 9, 2015). "Heitkamp says she won't run for governor in 2016". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved September 9, 2015.
  21. 1 2 Haney, Don (January 29, 2016). "North Dakota democrat party leader says plenty of potential canidates [sic] for governor". KFGO . Retrieved February 26, 2016.
  22. 1 2 Monk, Jim (March 3, 2016). "Sinner rules out gov. race; may not run for re-election to senate". KFGO . Retrieved March 4, 2016.
  23. ↑ Jacobson, Louis (January 23, 2015). "Democrats Have More Seats to Defend in 2015-2016 Governors Races". Governing . Retrieved March 24, 2015.
  24. ↑ Nowatzki, Mike (August 25, 2015). "Heitkamp: Decision on ND governor's race coming 'sooner rather than later'". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved September 9, 2015.
  25. ↑ Nowatzki, Mike (November 3, 2015). "Former ND ag commissioner exploring run for governor". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved November 19, 2015.
  26. ↑ "Vogel bows out of North Dakota governor's race". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . January 28, 2016. Retrieved January 29, 2016.
  27. ↑ "Fargo businessman to run for governor as Libertarian". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Forum Communications. Forum News Service. April 5, 2016. Retrieved April 5, 2016.
  28. ↑ "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  29. ↑ "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  30. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  31. ↑ "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  32. ↑ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  33. ↑ "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Archived from the original on October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  34. ↑ "Official Results General Election". North Dakota Voting Information & Central Election Systems. North Dakota Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved January 2, 2017.
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