2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

Last updated

2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2010 November 8, 2016 2022  
  Pat Toomey official photo.jpg Kathleen McGinty (2015).jpg
Nominee Pat Toomey Katie McGinty
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,951,7022,865,012
Percentage48.77%47.34%

2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania results map by county.svg
2016PAsenatecongressionaldistrict.svg
2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania results map by municipality.svg
PA Senate 2016.svg
Toomey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
McGinty:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Pat Toomey
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Pat Toomey
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Toomey was reelected to a second term in a close race, defeating Democratic nominee Katie McGinty and Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford. [1] [2] With a margin of 1.43%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in New Hampshire.

Contents

As of 2023, this is the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania. This is also the last time that the winner of the United States Senate election in Pennsylvania won a majority of Pennsylvania's counties.

Background

Five-term senator Arlen Specter, a longtime moderate Republican, switched to the Democratic Party in April 2009, and ran for reelection in 2010 as a Democrat. He was defeated in the Democratic primary by U.S. Representative and former U.S. Navy three-star admiral Joe Sestak. After a close race, Sestak lost the general election to former U.S. Representative Pat Toomey by 51% to 49%, a margin of 80,229 votes out of almost 4 million cast. Toomey had previously run for the seat in 2004, narrowly losing to Specter in the Republican primary. Specter later died in 2012.

After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Pennsylvania was seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hoped to regain their majority. [3] [4] [5] Katie McGinty, who won the Democratic primary, was one of 160 candidates endorsed by Barack Obama. McGinty got her start in politics after winning the Congressional Fellowship of the American Chemical Society, leading to a position with then Senator Al Gore. In 1993 she was appointed deputy assistant and then chair of the White House Council of Environmental Quality under Bill Clinton. She then went on to be appointed head of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection by Governor Ed Rendell in 2003. [6] McGinty faced 2010 nominee Sestask and Mayor of Braddock, future Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania and holder of this Senate seat John Fetterman in the primary.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Pat Toomey
Federal officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Results

Republican primary results [26]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Pat Toomey 1,342,941 100.00%
Total votes1,342,941 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

John Fetterman
Governors
State officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers and publications
Katie McGinty
Federal officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Governors
State legislators
Municipal officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and publications

Debates

A debate hosted by Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz College in association with the 14th Ward Independent Democratic Club featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on January 31 at Rangos Hall in Jared L. Cohon University Center, Carnegie Mellon University, in Pittsburgh. [113]

A debate hosted by Keystone Progress featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on February 19 at the Hilton Harrisburg, in the Harrisburg Ballroom, in Harrisburg. [114]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joe
Vodvarka
John
Fetterman
Katie
McGinty
Joe
Sestak
OtherUndecided
FOX 29/Opinion Savvy April 24–25, 2016942± 3.2%14%39%34%13%
Harper Polling Archived April 27, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 21–23, 2016641± 3.9%3%15%39%33%11%
Monmouth University Archived April 21, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 17–19, 2016302± 5.6%4%39%39%18%
Franklin & Marshall College April 11–18, 2016510± 5.3%8%27%38%2%25%
Harper Polling Archived April 7, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 3–4, 2016603± 4.0%9%31%41%19%
Franklin & Marshall College March 14–20, 2016408± 4.7%7%14%31%2%46%
Harper Polling Archived March 25, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 1–2, 2016662± 3.6%4%15%17%33%35%
Harper Polling Archived January 30, 2016, at the Wayback Machine January 22–23, 2016640± 3.8%11%28%33%28%
Public Policy Polling October 8–11, 20151,012± 3.1%14%22%29%35%
Franklin & Marshall College August 17–24, 2015298± ?13%16%5%66%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Pawlowski
Joe
Sestak
Josh
Shapiro
OtherUndecided
Robert Morris University Archived June 11, 2015, at the Wayback Machine May 8–16, 2015 ?± ?11.1%44.7%44.3%
Harper Polling Archived May 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine May 6–7, 2015173± 7.45%12%42%8%39%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathleen
Kane
Joe
Sestak
OtherUndecided
Harper Polling Archived January 16, 2018, at the Wayback Machine February 22–23, 2014501± 4.38%47%24%29%

Results

2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
McGinty -- 50-60%
McGinty -- 40-50%
McGinty -- <40%
Sestak -- <40%
Sestak -- 40-50%
Sestak -- 60-70%
Fetterman -- 40-50% United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania, 2016.svg
2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results
  McGinty — 50–60%
  McGinty — 40–50%
  McGinty — <40%
  Sestak — <40%
  Sestak — 40–50%
  Sestak — 60–70%
  Fetterman — 40–50%
2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results [26]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Katie McGinty 669,774 42.50%
Democratic Joe Sestak 513,22132.57%
Democratic John Fetterman 307,09019.49%
Democratic Joseph Vodvarka85,8375.45%
Total votes1,575,922 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Debates

DatesLocationToomeyMcGintyLink
October 17, 2016 Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania ParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 24, 2016 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [116] TossupNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [117] Lean D (flip)November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [118] TossupNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [119] Lean D (flip)November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [120] TossupNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Katie
McGinty (D)
Edward
Clifford (L)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 20162,845± 4.6%45%49%6%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 20162,685± 4.6%45%50%5%
CBS News/YouGov November 3–5, 2016931± 4.3%46%47%1%6%
Clarity Campaign Labs November 1–4, 20161,033± 3.0%43%46%11%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call October 30–November 4, 2016405± 5.5%43%42%15%
Harper Polling Archived November 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine November 2–3, 2016504± 4.4%44%44%6%5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 20162,454± 4.6%45%50%5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing November 1–2, 20161,016± 3.1%43%45%12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research October 31–November 2, 2016681± 3.8%41%47%5%1%7%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 20162,177± 4.6%46%50%4%
Public Policy Polling October 31–November 1, 20161,050± 3.0%44%46%10%
Monmouth University October 29–November 1, 2016403± 4.9%44%47%3%6%
CNN/ORC October 27–November 1, 2016799 LV± 3.5%46%51%1%1%
917 RV± 3.0%47%49%1%2%
Quinnipiac University Archived November 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 27–November 1, 2016612± 4.0%47%48%1%5%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 2, 20162,078± 4.6%46%50%4%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 20162,255± 4.6%46%49%5%
Franklin & Marshall College October 26–30, 2016652 LV± 5.1%35%47%1%2%16%
863 RV± 4.4%33%43%1%23%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 25–30, 20163,217± 1.7%41%45%13%
CBS News/YouGov October 26–28, 20161,091± 3.7%41%44%2%13%
Emerson College October 25–26, 2016550± 4.1%43%45%7%5%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Archived October 29, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 20–26, 2016420± 5.5%41%41%1%17%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College Archived October 31, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 23–25, 2016824± 3.4%44%47%9%
Emerson College October 17–19, 2016800± 3.4%46%43%5%7%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 10–16, 2016660± 3.8%49%45%6%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Archived September 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 8–16, 20161,449± 0.5%47%47%6%
Bloomberg/Selzer October 7–11, 2016806± 3.5%45%47%2%4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid October 7–10, 20161,457± 3.0%44%44%12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research October 4–9, 2016764± 3.5%42%38%7%1%12%
CBS News/YouGov October 5–7, 2016997± 4.2%42%42%1%15%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 3–6, 2016709± 3.7%44%48%2%6%
Monmouth University September 30–October 3, 2016402± 4.9%46%46%3%5%
Franklin & Marshall College September 28–October 2, 2016496 LV± 6.1%35%41%2%22%
813 RV± 4.8%31%36%11%22%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine September 27–October 2, 2016535± 4.2%50%42%7%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016886± 3.3%35%40%9%16%
42%44%14%
CNN/ORC September 20–25, 2016771 LV± 3.5%46%49%2%
895 RV
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing September 23, 2016949± 3.2%39%43%18%
Harper Polling Archived October 1, 2016, at the Wayback Machine September 21–22, 2016500± 4.4%42%42%8%8%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 19–23, 2016486± 5.0%41%40%20%
Mercyhurst University September 12–23, 2016420± 4.8%43%42%15%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Archived September 23, 2016, at the Wayback Machine September 10–19, 2016400± 4.0%45%43%12%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 12–16, 2016405± 5.5%38%43%19%
Quinnipiac University Archived September 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 29–September 7, 2016778± 3.5%46%45%1%7%
CBS News/YouGov August 30–September 2, 20161,091± 4.1%39%39%2%20%
Public Policy Polling Archived September 9, 2016, at the Wayback Machine August 30–31, 2016814± 3.4%41%44%15%
Public Policy Polling August 26–27, 20161,194± 3.0%40%46%14%
Monmouth University August 26–29, 2016402± 4.9%41%45%6%8%
Franklin & Marshall College August 25–29, 2016496 LV± 5.6%38%43%18%
736 RV± 4.6%37%36%27%
Emerson College August 25–28, 2016800± 3.4%46%39%5%10%
GBA Strategies August 21–28, 2016881± 4.4%42%47%8%3%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine July 30–August 7, 2016815± 3.4%44%47%9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 3–7, 2016834± 3.4%44%48%1%7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research July 31–August 4, 2016772± 3.5%40%42%2%16%
Franklin & Marshall College July 29–August 1, 2016389 LV± 6.3%38%39%23%
661 RV± 4.8%30%38%32%
Public Policy Polling July 29–31, 20161,505± 2.7%42%41%17%
Suffolk University Archived August 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine July 25–27, 2016500± 4.4%36%43%1%19%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine June 30–July 11, 2016982± 3.1%49%39%1%9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–10, 2016829± 3.4%44%47%2%8%
Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2016980± 3.1%40%39%21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Archived July 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine June 11–20, 2016300± 5.7%46%38%16%
Quinnipiac University June 8–19, 2016950± 3.2%49%40%8%
Public Policy Polling June 8–9, 2016965± 3.2%45%42%12%
Public Policy Polling June 3–5, 20161,106± 3.0%41%38%21%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine April 27–May 8, 20161,077± 3.0%45%44%11%
Quinnipiac University Archived April 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 30–April 4, 20161,737± 2.4%47%38%1%12%
Mercyhurst University March 1–11, 2016421± 4.8%47%34%2%13%
Harper Polling Archived March 12, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 1–2, 2016662± 3.75%47%39%13%
Robert Morris University February 11–16, 2016511± 4.5%34%21%45%
Public Policy Polling October 8–11, 20151,012± 3.1%43%36%21%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine September 25–October 5, 20151,049± 3.0%51%31%1%15%
Harper Polling Archived October 25, 2015, at the Wayback Machine September 9–10, 2015700± 3.7%48%34%18%
Franklin & Marshall College August 17–24, 2015605± 3.9%35%28%38%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 28, 2015, at the Wayback Machine August 7–18, 20151,085± 3%48%32%1%17%
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 1, 2014835± 3.4%42%38%20%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
John
Fetterman (D)
OtherUndecided
Mercyhurst University March 1–11, 2016421± 4.8%49%31%2%15%
Harper Polling Archived March 12, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 1–2, 2016662± 3.75%47%36%16%
Robert Morris University February 11–16, 2016511± 4.5%38%14%49%
Public Policy Polling October 8–11, 20151,012± -3.141%34%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Joe
Sestak (D)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University Archived April 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 30–April 4, 20161,737± 2.4%47%39%1%10%
Mercyhurst University March 1–11, 2016421± 4.8%43%38%1%15%
Harper Polling Archived March 12, 2016, at the Wayback Machine March 1–2, 2016662± 3.75%47%41%13%
Robert Morris University February 11–16, 2016511± 4.5%34%18%48%
Public Policy Polling October 8–11, 20151,012± -3.141%38%21%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine September 25-October 5, 20151,049± 3.0%49%34%1%13%
Harper Polling Archived October 25, 2015, at the Wayback Machine September 9–10, 2015700± 3.7%47%37%15%
Franklin & Marshall College August 17–24, 2015605± 3.9%41%29%31%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 28, 2015, at the Wayback Machine August 7–18, 20151,085± 3%48%33%1%15%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine June 4–15, 2015970± 3.2%47%36%1%16%
Franklin & Marshall College June 8–14, 2015556± 4.1%35%31%34%
Public Policy Polling May 21–24, 2015799± 3.5%42%38%20%
Robert Morris University Archived June 11, 2015, at the Wayback Machine May 8–16, 2015529± 4.5%28.5%34.2%37.3%
Harper Polling Archived May 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine May 6–7, 2015503± 4.37%53%32%15%
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine March 17–28, 20151,036± 3%48%35%1%16%
Franklin & Marshall College March 17–23, 2015597± 4.2%34%29%37%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 11, 2015, at the Wayback Machine Jan. 22–Feb. 1, 2015881± 3.3%45%35%20%
Public Policy Polling January 15–18, 20151,042± 3%40%36%23%
Public Policy Polling May 30 – June 1, 2014835± 3.4%41%35%24%
Harper Polling Archived January 4, 2014, at the Wayback Machine December 21–22, 2013604± 4%49%42%9%
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%42%42%16%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 23, 2013, at the Wayback Machine May 30 – June 4, 20131,032± 3.1%42%37%1%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Chris
Carney (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 21–24, 2015799± 3.5%44%35%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Vincent
Hughes (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 21–24, 2015799± 3.5%44%35%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Kathleen
Kane (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling January 15–18, 20151,042± 3%44%38%17%
Public Policy Polling May 30 – June 1, 2014835± 3.4%40%42%19%
Harper Polling Archived January 4, 2014, at the Wayback Machine December 21–22, 2013604± 4%49%44%7%
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013693± 3.7%42%46%12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Chris
Matthews (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling January 15–18, 20151,042± 3%42%38%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Michael
Nutter (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling January 15–18, 20151,042± 3%42%35%23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Ed
Pawlowski (D)
OtherUndecided
Mercyhurst University March 1–11, 2016421± 4.8%47%31%2%16%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine June 4–15, 2015970± 3.2%52%28%1%19%
Franklin & Marshall College June 8–14, 2015556± 4.1%34%23%43%
Public Policy Polling May 21–24, 2015799± 3.5%44%34%22%
Harper Polling Archived May 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine May 6–7, 2015503± 4.37%54%30%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Ed
Rendell (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 21–24, 2015799± 3.5%46%41%13%
Public Policy Polling January 15–18, 20151,042± 3%41%44%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Josh
Shapiro (D)
OtherUndecided
Harper Polling Archived May 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine May 6–7, 2015503± 4.37%55%27%18%
Public Policy Polling January 15–18, 20151,042± 3%43%31%26%
Public Policy Polling May 30 – June 1, 2014835± 3.4%41%32%28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Seth
Williams (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling May 21–24, 2015799± 3.5%44%33%23%

Results

United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2016 [121]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Pat Toomey (incumbent) 2,951,702 48.77% -2.24%
Democratic Katie McGinty 2,865,01247.34%-1.65%
Libertarian Edward T. Clifford III235,1423.89%N/A
Total votes6,051,856 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

County [122] Katie McGinty

Democratic

Patrick J. Toomey

Republican

Edward T. Clifford III

Libertarian

MarginTotal Votes Cast
#%#%#%#%
Adams14,59330.72%30,49264.19%2,4185.09%15,89933.47%47,503
Allegheny357,45055.25%261,31640.39%28,2604.37%-96,134-14.86%647,026
Armstrong8,38726.71%20,79366.22%2,2207.07%12,40639.51%31,400
Beaver34,26341.12%44,00052.81%5,0586.07%9,73711.69%83,321
Bedford4,35618.58%17,73975.68%1,3445.73%13,38357.10%23,439
Berks77,02842.93%95,46653.21%6,9193.86%18,43810.28%179,413
Blair15,10727.57%36,53366.68%3,1505.75%21,42639.11%54,790
Bradford6,98527.33%16,57464.85%2,0007.83%9,58937.52%25,559
Bucks157,70946.46%175,89851.82%5,8451.72%18,1895.36%339,452
Butler28,71529.72%62,42564.62%5,4655.66%33,71034.89%96,605
Cambria21,89434.90%36,94858.90%3,8866.20%15,05424.00%62,728
Cameron59327.53%1,39064.53%1717.94%79737.00%2,154
Carbon10,08635.75%16,36057.98%1,7706.27%6,27422.24%28,216
Centre35,48746.45%36,52747.82%4,3785.73%1,0401.36%76,392
Chester127,55247.10%133,66249.36%9,5883.54%6,1102.26%270,802
Clarion4,93128.27%11,31064.83%1,2046.90%6,37936.57%17,445
Clearfield9,45427.80%22,12865.06%2,4297.14%12,67437.26%34,011
Clinton5,51136.34%8,70257.38%9526.28%3,19121.04%15,165
Columbia9,81934.94%16,29257.97%1,9917.08%6,47323.03%28,102
Crawford11,04729.65%24,47265.68%1,7404.67%13,42536.03%37,259
Cumberland44,79636.74%71,63858.75%5,5094.52%26,84222.01%121,943
Dauphin62,55148.61%63,74049.54%2,3831.85%1,1890.92%128,674
Delaware163,37755.64%126,30043.01%3,9481.34%-37,077-12.63%293,625
Elk4,50931.48%8,70360.76%1,1117.76%4,19429.28%14,323
Erie56,84646.32%60,94849.66%4,9304.02%4,1023.34%122,724
Fayette20,54738.62%29,69955.82%2,9585.56%9,15217.20%53,204
Forest70829.82%1,50263.27%1646.91%79433.45%2,374
Franklin17,82725.54%48,65869.72%3,3094.74%30,83144.17%69,794
Fulton1,02515.23%5,45681.06%2503.71%4,43165.83%6,731
Greene5,69236.93%8,82657.26%8965.81%3,13420.33%15,414
Huntingdon5,10526.06%13,07866.76%1,4067.18%7,97340.70%19,589
Indiana12,59233.32%22,24558.86%2,9557.82%9,65325.54%37,792
Jefferson4,16021.54%13,70670.95%1,4517.51%9,54649.42%19,317
Juniata2,15320.66%7,65773.47%6125.87%5,50452.81%10,422
Lackawanna53,93652.93%40,51939.76%7,4557.32%-13,417-13.17%101,910
Lancaster89,92237.07%142,77458.85%9,9094.08%52,85221.79%242,605
Lawrence15,28937.96%22,67456.29%2,3175.75%7,38518.33%40,280
Lebanon19,07931.01%39,38664.02%3,0604.97%20,30733.01%61,525
Lehigh77,23248.25%76,21647.61%6,6274.14%-1,016-0.63%160,075
Luzerne56,47742.89%66,55150.54%8,6506.57%10,0747.65%131,678
Lycoming14,18728.06%33,01565.29%3,3656.65%18,82837.23%50,567
Mckean3,98724.73%11,53071.52%6053.75%7,54346.79%16,122
Mercer19,19337.05%30,56759.00%2,0463.95%11,37421.95%51,806
Mifflin4,03122.13%13,08971.87%1,0936.00%9,05849.73%18,213
Monroe34,28051.32%30,74346.03%1,7682.65%-3,537-5.30%66,791
Montgomery237,35354.90%189,57443.85%5,4311.26%-47,779-11.05%432,358
Montour2,89833.89%5,06659.25%5866.85%2,16825.36%8,550
Northampton64,15145.86%72,17251.59%3,5662.55%8,0215.73%139,889
Northumberland11,11731.28%21,82661.42%2,5927.29%10,70930.14%35,535
Perry4,96223.53%14,89870.64%1,2315.84%9,93647.11%21,091
Philadelphia560,42181.79%116,71417.03%8,0301.17%-443,707-64.76%685,165
Pike9,32936.39%15,19259.27%1,1134.34%5,86322.87%25,634
Potter1,38718.01%5,99077.79%3234.19%4,60359.78%7,700
Schuylkill19,53931.45%37,75760.77%4,8327.78%18,21829.32%62,128
Snyder4,29926.40%10,86766.74%1,1166.85%6,56840.34%16,282
Somerset8,34023.34%25,47071.28%1,9235.38%17,13047.94%35,733
Sullivan86728.03%2,02065.31%2066.66%1,15337.28%3,093
Susquehanna5,53528.76%11,99662.33%1,7168.92%6,46133.57%19,247
Tioga3,99221.97%13,41873.83%7644.20%9,42651.87%18,174
Union6,09234.81%10,56860.39%8414.81%4,47625.58%17,501
Venango6,98930.11%14,58162.83%1,6387.06%7,59232.71%23,208
Warren5,12428.14%12,13066.60%9585.26%7,00638.47%18,212
Washington38,13337.79%56,95256.44%5,8245.77%18,81918.65%100,909
Wayne7,48731.42%14,53861.01%1,8037.57%7,05129.59%23,828
Westmoreland62,98134.94%107,53259.65%9,7455.41%44,55124.72%180,258
Wyoming4,15431.79%7,84460.03%1,0688.17%3,69028.24%13,066
York69,39433.68%126,35061.33%10,2714.99%56,95627.65%206,015
Pennsylvania2,865,01247.34%2,951,70248.77%235,1423.89%86,6901.43%6,051,856

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

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