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Toomey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% McGinty: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Pennsylvania |
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Government |
The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Toomey was reelected to a second term in a close race, defeating Democratic nominee Katie McGinty and Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford. [1] [2] With a margin of 1.43%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in New Hampshire.
This was the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania until 2024 in which Republican Dave McCormick unseated incumbent Democrat Bob Casey Jr.
Five-term senator Arlen Specter, a longtime moderate Republican, switched to the Democratic Party in April 2009, and ran for reelection in 2010 as a Democrat. He was defeated in the Democratic primary by U.S. Representative and former U.S. Navy three-star admiral Joe Sestak. After a close race, Sestak lost the general election to former U.S. Representative Pat Toomey by 51% to 49%, a margin of 80,229 votes out of almost 4 million cast. Toomey had previously run for the seat in 2004, narrowly losing to Specter in the Republican primary. Specter later died in 2012.
After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Pennsylvania was seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hoped to regain their majority. [3] [4] [5] Katie McGinty, who won the Democratic primary, was one of 160 candidates endorsed by Barack Obama. McGinty got her start in politics after winning the Congressional Fellowship of the American Chemical Society, leading to a position with then Senator Al Gore. In 1993 she was appointed deputy assistant and then chair of the White House Council of Environmental Quality under Bill Clinton. She then went on to be appointed head of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection by Governor Ed Rendell in 2003. [6] McGinty faced 2010 nominee Sestask and Mayor of Braddock, future Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania and holder of this Senate seat John Fetterman in the primary.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pat Toomey (incumbent) | 1,342,941 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 1,342,941 | 100.00% |
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A debate hosted by Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz College in association with the 14th Ward Independent Democratic Club featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on January 31 at Rangos Hall in Jared L. Cohon University Center, Carnegie Mellon University, in Pittsburgh. [113]
A debate hosted by Keystone Progress featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on February 19 at the Hilton Harrisburg, in the Harrisburg Ballroom, in Harrisburg. [114]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Vodvarka | John Fetterman | Katie McGinty | Joe Sestak | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FOX 29/Opinion Savvy [115] | April 24–25, 2016 | 942 | ± 3.2% | – | 14% | 39% | 34% | – | 13% |
Harper Polling [116] | April 21–23, 2016 | 641 | ± 3.9% | 3% | 15% | 39% | 33% | – | 11% |
Monmouth University [117] | April 17–19, 2016 | 302 | ± 5.6% | – | 4% | 39% | 39% | – | 18% |
Franklin & Marshall College [118] | April 11–18, 2016 | 510 | ± 5.3% | – | 8% | 27% | 38% | 2% | 25% |
Harper Polling [119] | April 3–4, 2016 | 603 | ± 4.0% | – | 9% | 31% | 41% | – | 19% |
Franklin & Marshall College [120] | March 14–20, 2016 | 408 | ± 4.7% | – | 7% | 14% | 31% | 2% | 46% |
Harper Polling [121] | March 1–2, 2016 | 662 | ± 3.6% | 4% | 15% | 17% | 33% | – | 35% |
Harper Polling [122] | January 22–23, 2016 | 640 | ± 3.8% | – | 11% | 28% | 33% | – | 28% |
Public Policy Polling [123] | October 8–11, 2015 | 1,012 | ± 3.1% | – | 14% | 22% | 29% | – | 35% |
Franklin & Marshall College [124] | August 17–24, 2015 | 298 | ± ? | – | – | 13% | 16% | 5% | 66% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Pawlowski | Joe Sestak | Josh Shapiro | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Morris University [125] | May 8–16, 2015 | ? | ± ? | 11.1% | 44.7% | — | — | 44.3% |
Harper Polling [126] | May 6–7, 2015 | 173 | ± 7.45% | 12% | 42% | 8% | — | 39% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kathleen Kane | Joe Sestak | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling [127] | February 22–23, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.38% | 47% | 24% | — | 29% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Katie McGinty | 669,774 | 42.50% | |
Democratic | Joe Sestak | 513,221 | 32.57% | |
Democratic | John Fetterman | 307,090 | 19.49% | |
Democratic | Joseph Vodvarka | 85,837 | 5.45% | |
Total votes | 1,575,922 | 100.00% |
Dates | Location | Toomey | McGinty | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 17, 2016 | Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | Participant | Participant | [129] |
October 24, 2016 | Philadelphia, Pennsylvania | Participant | Participant | [130] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [131] | Tossup | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [132] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report [133] | Tossup | November 3, 2016 |
Daily Kos [134] | Lean D (flip) | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics [135] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Katie McGinty (D) | Edward Clifford (L) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey [136] | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,845 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 49% | — | — | 6% |
SurveyMonkey [137] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 2,685 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 50% | — | — | 5% |
CBS News/YouGov [138] | November 3–5, 2016 | 931 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 47% | — | 1% | 6% |
Clarity Campaign Labs [139] | November 1–4, 2016 | 1,033 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | — | — | 11% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [140] | October 30–November 4, 2016 | 405 | ± 5.5% | 43% | 42% | — | — | 15% |
Harper Polling [141] | November 2–3, 2016 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 44% | 6% | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey [142] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 2,454 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 50% | — | — | 5% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing [143] | November 1–2, 2016 | 1,016 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | — | — | 12% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research [144] | October 31–November 2, 2016 | 681 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 47% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
SurveyMonkey [145] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 2,177 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 50% | — | — | 4% |
Public Policy Polling [146] | October 31–November 1, 2016 | 1,050 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | — | — | 10% |
Monmouth University [147] | October 29–November 1, 2016 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 47% | 3% | — | 6% |
CNN/ORC [148] | October 27–November 1, 2016 | 799 LV | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | — | 1% | 1% |
917 RV | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | — | 1% | 2% | ||
Quinnipiac University [149] | October 27–November 1, 2016 | 612 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | — | 1% | 5% |
SurveyMonkey [150] | October 26–November 2, 2016 | 2,078 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 50% | — | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey [151] | October 25–31, 2016 | 2,255 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 49% | — | — | 5% |
Franklin & Marshall College [152] | October 26–30, 2016 | 652 LV | ± 5.1% | 35% | 47% | 1% | 2% | 16% |
863 RV | ± 4.4% | 33% | 43% | — | 1% | 23% | ||
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing [153] | October 25–30, 2016 | 3,217 | ± 1.7% | 41% | 45% | — | — | 13% |
CBS News/YouGov [154] | October 26–28, 2016 | 1,091 | ± 3.7% | 41% | 44% | — | 2% | 13% |
Emerson College [155] | October 25–26, 2016 | 550 | ± 4.1% | 43% | 45% | — | 7% | 5% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [156] | October 20–26, 2016 | 420 | ± 5.5% | 41% | 41% | — | 1% | 17% |
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [157] | October 23–25, 2016 | 824 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 47% | — | — | 9% |
Emerson College [158] | October 17–19, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | — | 5% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University [159] | October 10–16, 2016 | 660 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 45% | — | — | 6% |
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey [160] | October 8–16, 2016 | 1,449 | ± 0.5% | 47% | 47% | — | — | 6% |
Bloomberg/Selzer [161] | October 7–11, 2016 | 806 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 47% | — | 2% | 4% |
The Times-Picayune/Lucid [162] | October 7–10, 2016 | 1,457 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 44% | — | — | 12% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research [163] | October 4–9, 2016 | 764 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
CBS News/YouGov [164] | October 5–7, 2016 | 997 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 42% | — | 1% | 15% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist [165] | October 3–6, 2016 | 709 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | — | 2% | 6% |
Monmouth University [166] | September 30–October 3, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | 3% | — | 5% |
Franklin & Marshall College [167] | September 28–October 2, 2016 | 496 LV | ± 6.1% | 35% | 41% | 2% | — | 22% |
813 RV | ± 4.8% | 31% | 36% | — | 11% | 22% | ||
Quinnipiac University [168] | September 27–October 2, 2016 | 535 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 42% | — | — | 7% |
Public Policy Polling [169] | September 27–28, 2016 | 886 | ± 3.3% | 35% | 40% | 9% | — | 16% |
42% | 44% | — | — | 14% | ||||
CNN/ORC [170] | September 20–25, 2016 | 771 LV | ± 3.5% | 46% | 49% | — | — | 2% |
895 RV | ||||||||
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing [171] | September 23, 2016 | 949 | ± 3.2% | 39% | 43% | — | — | 18% |
Harper Polling [172] | September 21–22, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 42% | 8% | — | 8% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [173] | September 19–23, 2016 | 486 | ± 5.0% | 41% | 40% | — | — | 20% |
Mercyhurst University [174] | September 12–23, 2016 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 42% | — | — | 15% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps [175] | September 10–19, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | — | — | 12% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [176] | September 12–16, 2016 | 405 | ± 5.5% | 38% | 43% | — | — | 19% |
Quinnipiac University [177] | August 29–September 7, 2016 | 778 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 45% | — | 1% | 7% |
CBS News/YouGov [178] | August 30–September 2, 2016 | 1,091 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 39% | — | 2% | 20% |
Public Policy Polling [179] | August 30–31, 2016 | 814 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 44% | — | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling [180] | August 26–27, 2016 | 1,194 | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | — | — | 14% |
Monmouth University [181] | August 26–29, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 41% | 45% | 6% | — | 8% |
Franklin & Marshall College [182] | August 25–29, 2016 | 496 LV | ± 5.6% | 38% | 43% | — | — | 18% |
736 RV | ± 4.6% | 37% | 36% | — | — | 27% | ||
Emerson College [183] | August 25–28, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 39% | — | 5% | 10% |
GBA Strategies [184] | August 21–28, 2016 | 881 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | — | 8% | 3% |
Quinnipiac University [185] | July 30–August 7, 2016 | 815 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 47% | — | — | 9% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist [186] | August 3–7, 2016 | 834 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 48% | — | 1% | 7% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research [187] | July 31–August 4, 2016 | 772 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 42% | — | 2% | 16% |
Franklin & Marshall College [188] | July 29–August 1, 2016 | 389 LV | ± 6.3% | 38% | 39% | — | — | 23% |
661 RV | ± 4.8% | 30% | 38% | — | — | 32% | ||
Public Policy Polling [189] | July 29–31, 2016 | 1,505 | ± 2.7% | 42% | 41% | — | — | 17% |
Suffolk University [190] | July 25–27, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 36% | 43% | — | 1% | 19% |
Quinnipiac University [191] | June 30–July 11, 2016 | 982 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 39% | — | 1% | 9% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist [192] | July 5–10, 2016 | 829 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 47% | — | 2% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [193] | June 22–23, 2016 | 980 | ± 3.1% | 40% | 39% | — | — | 21% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps [194] | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 46% | 38% | — | — | 16% |
Quinnipiac University [195] | June 8–19, 2016 | 950 | ± 3.2% | 49% | 40% | — | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling [196] | June 8–9, 2016 | 965 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 42% | — | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling [197] | June 3–5, 2016 | 1,106 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 38% | — | — | 21% |
Quinnipiac University [198] | April 27–May 8, 2016 | 1,077 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 44% | — | — | 11% |
Quinnipiac University [199] | March 30–April 4, 2016 | 1,737 | ± 2.4% | 47% | 38% | — | 1% | 12% |
Mercyhurst University [200] | March 1–11, 2016 | 421 | ± 4.8% | 47% | 34% | — | 2% | 13% |
Harper Polling [201] | March 1–2, 2016 | 662 | ± 3.75% | 47% | 39% | — | — | 13% |
Robert Morris University [202] | February 11–16, 2016 | 511 | ± 4.5% | 34% | 21% | — | — | 45% |
Public Policy Polling [123] | October 8–11, 2015 | 1,012 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 36% | — | — | 21% |
Quinnipiac University [203] | September 25–October 5, 2015 | 1,049 | ± 3.0% | 51% | 31% | — | 1% | 15% |
Harper Polling [204] | September 9–10, 2015 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 34% | — | — | 18% |
Franklin & Marshall College [124] | August 17–24, 2015 | 605 | ± 3.9% | 35% | 28% | — | — | 38% |
Quinnipiac University [205] | August 7–18, 2015 | 1,085 | ± 3% | 48% | 32% | — | 1% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling [206] | May 30–June 1, 2014 | 835 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 38% | — | — | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | John Fetterman (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mercyhurst University [200] | March 1–11, 2016 | 421 | ± 4.8% | 49% | 31% | 2% | 15% |
Harper Polling [201] | March 1–2, 2016 | 662 | ± 3.75% | 47% | 36% | — | 16% |
Robert Morris University [202] | February 11–16, 2016 | 511 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 14% | — | 49% |
Public Policy Polling [123] | October 8–11, 2015 | 1,012 | ± -3.1 | 41% | 34% | — | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Joe Sestak (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University [199] | March 30–April 4, 2016 | 1,737 | ± 2.4% | 47% | 39% | 1% | 10% |
Mercyhurst University [200] | March 1–11, 2016 | 421 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 38% | 1% | 15% |
Harper Polling [201] | March 1–2, 2016 | 662 | ± 3.75% | 47% | 41% | — | 13% |
Robert Morris University [202] | February 11–16, 2016 | 511 | ± 4.5% | 34% | 18% | — | 48% |
Public Policy Polling [123] | October 8–11, 2015 | 1,012 | ± -3.1 | 41% | 38% | — | 21% |
Quinnipiac University [207] | September 25-October 5, 2015 | 1,049 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 34% | 1% | 13% |
Harper Polling [204] | September 9–10, 2015 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 37% | — | 15% |
Franklin & Marshall College [124] | August 17–24, 2015 | 605 | ± 3.9% | 41% | 29% | — | 31% |
Quinnipiac University [205] | August 7–18, 2015 | 1,085 | ± 3% | 48% | 33% | 1% | 15% |
Quinnipiac University [208] | June 4–15, 2015 | 970 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 36% | 1% | 16% |
Franklin & Marshall College [209] | June 8–14, 2015 | 556 | ± 4.1% | 35% | 31% | — | 34% |
Public Policy Polling [210] | May 21–24, 2015 | 799 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 38% | — | 20% |
Robert Morris University [125] | May 8–16, 2015 | 529 | ± 4.5% | 28.5% | 34.2% | — | 37.3% |
Harper Polling [211] | May 6–7, 2015 | 503 | ± 4.37% | 53% | 32% | — | 15% |
Quinnipiac University [212] | March 17–28, 2015 | 1,036 | ± 3% | 48% | 35% | 1% | 16% |
Franklin & Marshall College [213] | March 17–23, 2015 | 597 | ± 4.2% | 34% | 29% | — | 37% |
Quinnipiac University [214] | Jan. 22–Feb. 1, 2015 | 881 | ± 3.3% | 45% | 35% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling [215] | January 15–18, 2015 | 1,042 | ± 3% | 40% | 36% | — | 23% |
Public Policy Polling [206] | May 30 – June 1, 2014 | 835 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 35% | — | 24% |
Harper Polling [216] | December 21–22, 2013 | 604 | ± 4% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
Public Policy Polling [217] | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 42% | — | 16% |
Quinnipiac University [218] | May 30 – June 4, 2013 | 1,032 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 37% | 1% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Chris Carney (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [210] | May 21–24, 2015 | 799 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 35% | — | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Vincent Hughes (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [210] | May 21–24, 2015 | 799 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 35% | — | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Kathleen Kane (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [215] | January 15–18, 2015 | 1,042 | ± 3% | 44% | 38% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling [206] | May 30 – June 1, 2014 | 835 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 42% | — | 19% |
Harper Polling [216] | December 21–22, 2013 | 604 | ± 4% | 49% | 44% | — | 7% |
Public Policy Polling [217] | November 22–25, 2013 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 46% | — | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Chris Matthews (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [215] | January 15–18, 2015 | 1,042 | ± 3% | 42% | 38% | — | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Michael Nutter (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [215] | January 15–18, 2015 | 1,042 | ± 3% | 42% | 35% | — | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Ed Pawlowski (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mercyhurst University [200] | March 1–11, 2016 | 421 | ± 4.8% | 47% | 31% | 2% | 16% |
Quinnipiac University [208] | June 4–15, 2015 | 970 | ± 3.2% | 52% | 28% | 1% | 19% |
Franklin & Marshall College [209] | June 8–14, 2015 | 556 | ± 4.1% | 34% | 23% | — | 43% |
Public Policy Polling [210] | May 21–24, 2015 | 799 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 34% | — | 22% |
Harper Polling [211] | May 6–7, 2015 | 503 | ± 4.37% | 54% | 30% | — | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Ed Rendell (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [210] | May 21–24, 2015 | 799 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 41% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling [215] | January 15–18, 2015 | 1,042 | ± 3% | 41% | 44% | — | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Josh Shapiro (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling [211] | May 6–7, 2015 | 503 | ± 4.37% | 55% | 27% | — | 18% |
Public Policy Polling [215] | January 15–18, 2015 | 1,042 | ± 3% | 43% | 31% | — | 26% |
Public Policy Polling [206] | May 30 – June 1, 2014 | 835 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 32% | — | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat Toomey (R) | Seth Williams (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [210] | May 21–24, 2015 | 799 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 33% | — | 23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pat Toomey (incumbent) | 2,951,702 | 48.77% | −2.24% | |
Democratic | Katie McGinty | 2,865,012 | 47.34% | −1.65% | |
Libertarian | Edward T. Clifford III | 235,142 | 3.89% | N/A | |
Total votes | 6,051,856 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
County [220] | Katie McGinty Democratic | Patrick J. Toomey Republican | Edward T. Clifford III Libertarian | Margin | Total Votes Cast | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Adams | 14,593 | 30.72% | 30,492 | 64.19% | 2,418 | 5.09% | 15,899 | 33.47% | 47,503 |
Allegheny | 357,450 | 55.25% | 261,316 | 40.39% | 28,260 | 4.37% | -96,134 | -14.86% | 647,026 |
Armstrong | 8,387 | 26.71% | 20,793 | 66.22% | 2,220 | 7.07% | 12,406 | 39.51% | 31,400 |
Beaver | 34,263 | 41.12% | 44,000 | 52.81% | 5,058 | 6.07% | 9,737 | 11.69% | 83,321 |
Bedford | 4,356 | 18.58% | 17,739 | 75.68% | 1,344 | 5.73% | 13,383 | 57.10% | 23,439 |
Berks | 77,028 | 42.93% | 95,466 | 53.21% | 6,919 | 3.86% | 18,438 | 10.28% | 179,413 |
Blair | 15,107 | 27.57% | 36,533 | 66.68% | 3,150 | 5.75% | 21,426 | 39.11% | 54,790 |
Bradford | 6,985 | 27.33% | 16,574 | 64.85% | 2,000 | 7.83% | 9,589 | 37.52% | 25,559 |
Bucks | 157,709 | 46.46% | 175,898 | 51.82% | 5,845 | 1.72% | 18,189 | 5.36% | 339,452 |
Butler | 28,715 | 29.72% | 62,425 | 64.62% | 5,465 | 5.66% | 33,710 | 34.89% | 96,605 |
Cambria | 21,894 | 34.90% | 36,948 | 58.90% | 3,886 | 6.20% | 15,054 | 24.00% | 62,728 |
Cameron | 593 | 27.53% | 1,390 | 64.53% | 171 | 7.94% | 797 | 37.00% | 2,154 |
Carbon | 10,086 | 35.75% | 16,360 | 57.98% | 1,770 | 6.27% | 6,274 | 22.24% | 28,216 |
Centre | 35,487 | 46.45% | 36,527 | 47.82% | 4,378 | 5.73% | 1,040 | 1.36% | 76,392 |
Chester | 127,552 | 47.10% | 133,662 | 49.36% | 9,588 | 3.54% | 6,110 | 2.26% | 270,802 |
Clarion | 4,931 | 28.27% | 11,310 | 64.83% | 1,204 | 6.90% | 6,379 | 36.57% | 17,445 |
Clearfield | 9,454 | 27.80% | 22,128 | 65.06% | 2,429 | 7.14% | 12,674 | 37.26% | 34,011 |
Clinton | 5,511 | 36.34% | 8,702 | 57.38% | 952 | 6.28% | 3,191 | 21.04% | 15,165 |
Columbia | 9,819 | 34.94% | 16,292 | 57.97% | 1,991 | 7.08% | 6,473 | 23.03% | 28,102 |
Crawford | 11,047 | 29.65% | 24,472 | 65.68% | 1,740 | 4.67% | 13,425 | 36.03% | 37,259 |
Cumberland | 44,796 | 36.74% | 71,638 | 58.75% | 5,509 | 4.52% | 26,842 | 22.01% | 121,943 |
Dauphin | 62,551 | 48.61% | 63,740 | 49.54% | 2,383 | 1.85% | 1,189 | 0.92% | 128,674 |
Delaware | 163,377 | 55.64% | 126,300 | 43.01% | 3,948 | 1.34% | -37,077 | -12.63% | 293,625 |
Elk | 4,509 | 31.48% | 8,703 | 60.76% | 1,111 | 7.76% | 4,194 | 29.28% | 14,323 |
Erie | 56,846 | 46.32% | 60,948 | 49.66% | 4,930 | 4.02% | 4,102 | 3.34% | 122,724 |
Fayette | 20,547 | 38.62% | 29,699 | 55.82% | 2,958 | 5.56% | 9,152 | 17.20% | 53,204 |
Forest | 708 | 29.82% | 1,502 | 63.27% | 164 | 6.91% | 794 | 33.45% | 2,374 |
Franklin | 17,827 | 25.54% | 48,658 | 69.72% | 3,309 | 4.74% | 30,831 | 44.17% | 69,794 |
Fulton | 1,025 | 15.23% | 5,456 | 81.06% | 250 | 3.71% | 4,431 | 65.83% | 6,731 |
Greene | 5,692 | 36.93% | 8,826 | 57.26% | 896 | 5.81% | 3,134 | 20.33% | 15,414 |
Huntingdon | 5,105 | 26.06% | 13,078 | 66.76% | 1,406 | 7.18% | 7,973 | 40.70% | 19,589 |
Indiana | 12,592 | 33.32% | 22,245 | 58.86% | 2,955 | 7.82% | 9,653 | 25.54% | 37,792 |
Jefferson | 4,160 | 21.54% | 13,706 | 70.95% | 1,451 | 7.51% | 9,546 | 49.42% | 19,317 |
Juniata | 2,153 | 20.66% | 7,657 | 73.47% | 612 | 5.87% | 5,504 | 52.81% | 10,422 |
Lackawanna | 53,936 | 52.93% | 40,519 | 39.76% | 7,455 | 7.32% | -13,417 | -13.17% | 101,910 |
Lancaster | 89,922 | 37.07% | 142,774 | 58.85% | 9,909 | 4.08% | 52,852 | 21.79% | 242,605 |
Lawrence | 15,289 | 37.96% | 22,674 | 56.29% | 2,317 | 5.75% | 7,385 | 18.33% | 40,280 |
Lebanon | 19,079 | 31.01% | 39,386 | 64.02% | 3,060 | 4.97% | 20,307 | 33.01% | 61,525 |
Lehigh | 77,232 | 48.25% | 76,216 | 47.61% | 6,627 | 4.14% | -1,016 | -0.63% | 160,075 |
Luzerne | 56,477 | 42.89% | 66,551 | 50.54% | 8,650 | 6.57% | 10,074 | 7.65% | 131,678 |
Lycoming | 14,187 | 28.06% | 33,015 | 65.29% | 3,365 | 6.65% | 18,828 | 37.23% | 50,567 |
Mckean | 3,987 | 24.73% | 11,530 | 71.52% | 605 | 3.75% | 7,543 | 46.79% | 16,122 |
Mercer | 19,193 | 37.05% | 30,567 | 59.00% | 2,046 | 3.95% | 11,374 | 21.95% | 51,806 |
Mifflin | 4,031 | 22.13% | 13,089 | 71.87% | 1,093 | 6.00% | 9,058 | 49.73% | 18,213 |
Monroe | 34,280 | 51.32% | 30,743 | 46.03% | 1,768 | 2.65% | -3,537 | -5.30% | 66,791 |
Montgomery | 237,353 | 54.90% | 189,574 | 43.85% | 5,431 | 1.26% | -47,779 | -11.05% | 432,358 |
Montour | 2,898 | 33.89% | 5,066 | 59.25% | 586 | 6.85% | 2,168 | 25.36% | 8,550 |
Northampton | 64,151 | 45.86% | 72,172 | 51.59% | 3,566 | 2.55% | 8,021 | 5.73% | 139,889 |
Northumberland | 11,117 | 31.28% | 21,826 | 61.42% | 2,592 | 7.29% | 10,709 | 30.14% | 35,535 |
Perry | 4,962 | 23.53% | 14,898 | 70.64% | 1,231 | 5.84% | 9,936 | 47.11% | 21,091 |
Philadelphia | 560,421 | 81.79% | 116,714 | 17.03% | 8,030 | 1.17% | -443,707 | -64.76% | 685,165 |
Pike | 9,329 | 36.39% | 15,192 | 59.27% | 1,113 | 4.34% | 5,863 | 22.87% | 25,634 |
Potter | 1,387 | 18.01% | 5,990 | 77.79% | 323 | 4.19% | 4,603 | 59.78% | 7,700 |
Schuylkill | 19,539 | 31.45% | 37,757 | 60.77% | 4,832 | 7.78% | 18,218 | 29.32% | 62,128 |
Snyder | 4,299 | 26.40% | 10,867 | 66.74% | 1,116 | 6.85% | 6,568 | 40.34% | 16,282 |
Somerset | 8,340 | 23.34% | 25,470 | 71.28% | 1,923 | 5.38% | 17,130 | 47.94% | 35,733 |
Sullivan | 867 | 28.03% | 2,020 | 65.31% | 206 | 6.66% | 1,153 | 37.28% | 3,093 |
Susquehanna | 5,535 | 28.76% | 11,996 | 62.33% | 1,716 | 8.92% | 6,461 | 33.57% | 19,247 |
Tioga | 3,992 | 21.97% | 13,418 | 73.83% | 764 | 4.20% | 9,426 | 51.87% | 18,174 |
Union | 6,092 | 34.81% | 10,568 | 60.39% | 841 | 4.81% | 4,476 | 25.58% | 17,501 |
Venango | 6,989 | 30.11% | 14,581 | 62.83% | 1,638 | 7.06% | 7,592 | 32.71% | 23,208 |
Warren | 5,124 | 28.14% | 12,130 | 66.60% | 958 | 5.26% | 7,006 | 38.47% | 18,212 |
Washington | 38,133 | 37.79% | 56,952 | 56.44% | 5,824 | 5.77% | 18,819 | 18.65% | 100,909 |
Wayne | 7,487 | 31.42% | 14,538 | 61.01% | 1,803 | 7.57% | 7,051 | 29.59% | 23,828 |
Westmoreland | 62,981 | 34.94% | 107,532 | 59.65% | 9,745 | 5.41% | 44,551 | 24.72% | 180,258 |
Wyoming | 4,154 | 31.79% | 7,844 | 60.03% | 1,068 | 8.17% | 3,690 | 28.24% | 13,066 |
York | 69,394 | 33.68% | 126,350 | 61.33% | 10,271 | 4.99% | 56,956 | 27.65% | 206,015 |
Pennsylvania | 2,865,012 | 47.34% | 2,951,702 | 48.77% | 235,142 | 3.89% | 86,690 | 1.43% | 6,051,856 |
Patrick Joseph Toomey Jr. is an American businessman and politician who served as a United States senator from Pennsylvania from 2011 to 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he served three terms as the U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, from 1999 to 2005.
The 2006 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Rick Santorum ran for re-election to a third term, but was easily defeated by Democratic State Treasurer Bob Casey, Jr., the son of former Governor Bob Casey Sr. Casey was elected to serve between January 3, 2007 and January 3, 2013.
Joseph Ambrose Sestak Jr. is an American politician and retired U.S. Navy officer. He represented Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2007 to 2011 and was the Democratic nominee for the United States Senate in 2010. A three-star admiral, he was the highest-ranking military official ever elected to the United States Congress at the time of his election. He was a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination in the 2020 election, launching his campaign on June 23, 2019, and ending it on December 1, 2019, subsequently endorsing Amy Klobuchar.
The 2010 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 2, 2010, during the 2010 midterm elections. Incumbent Republican-turned-Democrat U.S. Senator Arlen Specter ran for reelection to a sixth term, but lost in the Democratic primary to Joe Sestak. Republican nominee Pat Toomey then won the seat.
The 2004 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Republican Senator Arlen Specter won re-election to a fifth term. As of 2024, this is the last time a Republican statewide candidate won Montgomery and Delaware Counties and won more than 25% of the vote in Philadelphia. Specter later lost renomination in 2010 as a Democrat, having joined the party in April 2009. Specter’s party switch marked the first time since 1947 that Democrats held both of Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seats.
The 2010 United States Senate election in Florida took place on November 2, 2010, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Kathleen Alana McGinty is a retired American politician and former state and federal environmental policy official. She served as an environmental advisor to Vice President Al Gore and President Bill Clinton. Later, she served as Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection in the cabinet of Governor Ed Rendell.
The 2012 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the House and Senate, as well as various state and local elections. The primary election was held August 14, 2012. Incumbent Senator Bill Nelson won reelection to a third term, defeating Republican U.S. Representative Connie Mack IV by 13%, winning 55% to 42%. Nelson defeated Mack by over 1 million votes.
The Democratic Party primary for the 2010 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on May 18, 2010, when Congressman Joe Sestak defeated incumbent Arlen Specter, which led to the end of Specter's five-term Senatorial career. Just before the start of the primary campaign, after serving in the Senate as a Republican for 29 years, Specter had switched to the Democratic Party in anticipation of a difficult primary challenge by Pat Toomey; Toomey ultimately defeated Sestak in the general election. Political observers and journalists described the race between Specter and Sestak as one of the bitterest and most-watched of all the 2010 primary elections.
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The 2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Casey, Jr. ran for and won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Tom Smith, and Libertarian nominee Rayburn Smith.
The 2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Herb Kohl retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since 1988, when Kohl won his first term.
The 2014 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2014 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Colorado, other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Udall ran for re-election to a second term, but narrowly lost to Republican U.S. Representative Cory Gardner by a margin of 1.9 percent.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Florida was held November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary elections for both the Republicans and Democrats took place on August 30, 2016.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The close of registration for electors in the primary election was December 16, 2015, and the primary election took place on March 15, 2016. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator Rob Portman faced former Democratic governor Ted Strickland. Green Party nominee Joseph DeMare was also on the ballot along with two other independent candidates and one officially declared write-in candidate.
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Pennsylvania, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. The primary elections were held on May 15. Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. ran for re-election to a third term. Casey, who faced no primary opposition, defeated the Republican nominee, Lou Barletta, Green Party nominee Neal Gale, and Libertarian Party nominee Dale Kerns. Casey was the first senator to be elected to a third term from Pennsylvania since Arlen Specter in 1992, and the first Pennsylvania Democrat to be popularly elected to three terms in the Senate.
The 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Pennsylvania. Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated by Republican nominee Dave McCormick in what was considered a major upset. The primary election took place on April 23, 2024. The election was considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain their majority in 2024.
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