2016 United States Senate election in Georgia

Last updated

2016 United States Senate election in Georgia
Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg
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  Johnny Isakson official Senate photo1 (cropped).jpg Jim Barksdale Portrait.jpg
Nominee Johnny Isakson Jim Barksdale
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,135,8061,599,726
Percentage54.80%41.04%
2016 United States Senate election in Georgia results map by county.svg
2016 US Senate election in Georgia by congressional district.svg
GA Senate 2016.svg
Isakson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Barksdale:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Johnny Isakson
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Johnny Isakson
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on May 24, 2016. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Senator Johnny Isakson won re-election to a third term in office by a wide margin. [2] He later resigned from the Senate on December 31, 2019, due to health issues. As of 2024, this remains the last time Republicans won a Senate election in Georgia, as well as the last time that suburban Gwinnett and Henry counties have voted Republican in a statewide election. It also remains the last time that any statewide candidate has won an election in Georgia by double digits, and the last time that any U.S. Senate candidate in Georgia has won without a runoff. This is the also the last United States Senate election in Georgia in which the winning candidate won a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Johnny Isakson

Governors

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Statewide officials

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Johnny
Isakson		Another
candidate		Undecided
InsiderAdvantage [17] June 11–14, 2015492± 4.4%50%26%24%

Results

Results by county: Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Isakson--80-90% Isakson--70-80% Isakson--60-70% Isakson--50-60% Georgia Senate Republican primary, 2016.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Isakson—80–90%
  •   Isakson—70–80%
  •   Isakson—60–70%
  •   Isakson—50–60%
Republican primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Johnny Isakson (incumbent) 447,661 77.50%
Republican Derrick Grayson69,10111.96%
Republican Mary Kay Bacallao60,89810.54%
Total votes577,660 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • James F. Barksdale, investment firm executive [19]
  • Cheryl Copeland, AT&T manager [20]
  • John Coyne, businessman and perennial candidate [21]

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

Results by county: Map legend Barksdale--80-90% Barksdale--60-70% Barksdale--50-60% Barksdale--40-50% Copeland--40-50% Copeland--50-60% Copeland--60-70% Copeland--70-80% Georgia Senate Democratic primary, 2016.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Barksdale—80–90%
  •   Barksdale—60–70%
  •   Barksdale—50–60%
  •   Barksdale—40–50%
  •   Copeland—40–50%
  •   Copeland—50–60%
  •   Copeland—60–70%
  •   Copeland—70–80%
Democratic primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Barksdale 166,627 53.74%
Democratic Cheryl Copeland130,82242.19%
Democratic John Coyne12,6044.07%
Total votes310,053 100.00%

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Allen Buckley, attorney, accountant, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004 and 2008 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2006 [38]
  • Ted Metz, insurance agent, former Cobb County Republican district chairman, and nominee for insurance commissioner in 2014 [39]

Allen Buckley won the nomination at the March 5, 2016, nominating convention in Marietta. [40]

General election

Debates

DatesLocationIsaksonBarksdaleBuckleyLink
October 21, 2016 Atlanta, Georgia ParticipantParticipantParticipant [41]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Johnny
Isakson (R)		Jim
Barksdale (D)		Allen
Buckley (L)		OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey [42] November 1–7, 20162,419± 4.6%47%41%8%—4%
WSB-TV/Landmark [43] November 6, 20161,200± 2.8%52%41%4%—3%
SurveyMonkey [44] October 31–November 6, 20162,348± 4.6%47%41%8%—4%
CBS News/YouGov [45] November 3–5, 2016995± 4.6%48%41%—6%5%
WSB-TV/Landmark [46] November 2–3, 20161,000± 3.1%50%40%5%—6%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy [47] November 2–3, 2016538± 4.2%50%39%8%—3%
SurveyMonkey [48] October 28–November 3, 20162,872± 4.6%47%42%8%—3%
SurveyMonkey [49] October 27–November 2, 20162,722± 4.6%47%42%7%—4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [50] October 30–November 1, 2016707 LV± 3.7%48%37%7%3%5%
937 RV± 3.2%46%36%8%4%7%
SurveyMonkey [51] October 26–November 1, 20162,678± 4.6%48%41%6%—5%
Emerson College [52] October 29–31, 2016650± 3.8%48%40%—5%7%
SurveyMonkey [53] October 25–31, 20162,665± 4.6%50%41%5%—4%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [54] October 25–27, 2016594± 4.1%50%38%5%—8%
Quinnipiac University [55] October 20–26, 2016707± 3.7%54%40%——6%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy [56] October 20, 2016570± 4.1%51%42%3%—4%
Google Consumer Surveys [57] October 18–20, 2016439± 4.2%58%36%——6%
Atlanta Journal Constitution [58] October 17–20, 2016839± 4.3%47%32%11%—7%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid [59] October 17–18, 2016807± 3.0%49%39%——13%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey [60] October 8–16, 2016886± 0.5%50%46%——4%
WSB-TV/Landmark [61] October 11–12, 20161,400± 2.7%50%37%5%—8%
JMC Analytics (R) [62] September 20–22, 2016600± 4.0%41%28%4%—27%
Quinnipiac University [63] September 13–21, 2016638± 3.9%55%34%——10%
Monmouth University [64] September 15–18, 2016401± 4.9%50%34%5%—10%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy [65] September 14, 2016568± 4.1%47%34%6%—13%
Emerson College [66] September 9–13, 2016600± 3.6%48%32%——10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [67] September 6–8, 2016649± 3.8%53%38%——9%
JMC Analytics (R) [68] August 6–7, 2016615± 4.0%39%30%4%—27%
Atlanta Journal Constitution [69] August 1–4, 2016847± 4.0%44%38%6%—12%
48%42%——10%
WSB-TV/Landmark [70] July 31, 2016787± 4.0%46%41%5%—8%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [71] July 29–31, 2016570± 4.2%48%39%5%—8%
Public Policy Polling [72] May 27–30, 2016724± 3.6%47%35%——18%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [73] Likely RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [74] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [75] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [76] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [77] Likely RNovember 7, 2016

Results

State Senate district results 2016 GA Senate by State Senate district.svg
State Senate district results
United States Senate election in Georgia, 2016 [78]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Johnny Isakson (incumbent) 2,135,806 54.80% −3.51%
Democratic Jim Barksdale1,599,72641.04%+2.04%
Libertarian Allen Buckley162,2604.16%+1.47%
Total votes3,897,792 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Isakson won 10 of 14 congressional districts. [79]

DistrictIsaksonBarksdaleRepresentative
1st 60%36% Buddy Carter
2nd 47%50% Sanford Bishop
3rd 67%29% Lynn Westmoreland
Drew Ferguson
4th 26%70% Hank Johnson
5th 20%76% John Lewis
6th 58%37% Tom Price
7th 56%39% Rob Woodall
8th 66%31% Austin Scott
9th 78%18% Doug Collins
10th 64%32% Jody Hice
11th 64%30% Barry Loudermilk
12th 60%37% Rick W. Allen
13th 30%66% David Scott
14th 74%21% Tom Graves

References

  1. ↑ "Georgia | GA Elections". Archived from the original on November 17, 2015. Retrieved November 13, 2015.
  2. 1 2 3 "Johnny Isakson to announce he will seek a third term". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. November 11, 2014. Archived from the original on November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 11, 2014.
  3. ↑ "Qualifying for Georgia's May primaries ends". WSB-TV . March 11, 2016. Archived from the original on March 12, 2016. Retrieved March 11, 2016.
  4. ↑ Malloy, Daniel (January 9, 2015). "It looks like Johnny Isakson has his first challenger". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on January 17, 2015. Retrieved January 15, 2015.
  5. 1 2 "Tea Party Talk". Fetch Your News. June 16, 2015. Retrieved June 27, 2015.
  6. ↑ Lennon, Abbigail (March 13, 2016). "Columbia County incumbents faces opposition after qualifying ends". Columbia County News-Times. Archived from the original on March 14, 2016. Retrieved March 25, 2016.
  7. ↑ Wirth, Michelle (November 17, 2014). "Sen. Isakson Announces Re-Election Bid". WABE. Retrieved November 18, 2014.
  8. ↑ Bluestein, Greg (March 9, 2016). "Barry Loudermilk, Doug Collins attract two new primary challengers". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on March 10, 2016. Retrieved March 9, 2016.
  9. 1 2 Wilson, Reid (November 12, 2014). "READ IN: Back To School Edition". The Washington Post . Retrieved November 18, 2014.
  10. ↑ Wilson, Reid (November 18, 2014). "READ IN: Keystone's Klose Edition". The Washington Post . Retrieved November 18, 2014.
  11. ↑ Bluestein, Greg (November 11, 2014). "Georgia's Isakson readies run for third Senate term — and seeks GOP unity". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on November 26, 2014. Retrieved November 18, 2014.
  12. 1 2 Bluestein, Greg (May 5, 2015). "House speaker: 'You're going to hear more discussion' about horse racing". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on June 21, 2015. Retrieved June 20, 2015.
  13. ↑ Gould Sheinin, Aaron (March 7, 2016). "Qualifying opens for Georgia's 2016 elections". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on May 15, 2016. Retrieved March 7, 2016.
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Richards, Jon (November 17, 2014). "Johnny Isakson Announces Re-Election Bid". Peach Pundit. Archived from the original on November 21, 2014. Retrieved November 18, 2014.
  15. ↑ Joseph, Cameron (November 20, 2014). "Senator watching his back in reelection bid". The Hill . Retrieved November 20, 2014.
  16. ↑ @CarlyFiorina (October 14, 2016). "I'm proud to endorse @SenatorIsakson..." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  17. ↑ InsiderAdvantage
  18. 1 2 "Official Results". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 20, 2016.
  19. 1 2 Bluestein, Greg (March 10, 2016). "Party-backed Georgia Democrat qualifies for U.S. Senate seat". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on March 11, 2016. Retrieved March 11, 2016.
  20. ↑ "Southwest Georgia's congressional delegation qualifies for re-election". The Albany Herald . March 8, 2016. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
  21. 1 2 3 Bluestein, Greg (March 6, 2016). "More Democrats come out of woodwork for Georgia Senate race". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on March 7, 2016. Retrieved March 6, 2016.
  22. ↑ Hankerson, Jazmyne (April 18, 2016). "Candidate changes affects May primary ballot". WFXL . Retrieved April 19, 2016.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 Cahn, Emily. "Republicans Line Up for Open Seats in Georgia | Farm Team". Roll Call. Retrieved August 14, 2013.
  24. 1 2 3 4 Bluestein, Greg (October 2, 2015). "Pastor of MLK's church will not run for Georgia Senate seat". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on July 6, 2017. Retrieved October 3, 2015.
  25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Bluestein, Greg; Malloy, Daniel (April 28, 2015). "Georgia Democrats still searching for a 2016 Senate contender". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on June 14, 2015. Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  26. ↑ "John Barrow to teach at University of Georgia, signaling he's out for 2016". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. July 22, 2015. Archived from the original on July 23, 2015. Retrieved July 23, 2015.
  27. 1 2 Schultheis, Emily (November 12, 2014). "Losing Democrats Already Being Touted for 2016 Comebacks". National Journal . Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  28. ↑ Bluestein, Greg (August 25, 2015). "Scouted for Senate run, Stacey Evans decides to stay in Georgia House". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on August 28, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  29. 1 2 Leslie, Katie (December 2, 2015). "Democrats vetting Reed ally for Senate race against Isakson". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on December 5, 2015. Retrieved December 3, 2015.
  30. 1 2 Henry, Scott (March 3, 2016). "Johnny Isakson appears to scare off all potential challengers". Atlanta Magazine . Retrieved March 5, 2016.
  31. ↑ Bluestein, Greg; Malloy, Daniel (April 11, 2015). "Get ready for three open-seat House races in Atlanta". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on June 21, 2015. Retrieved June 20, 2015.
  32. ↑ Galloway, Jim (May 9, 2013). "Kasim Reed rules out a 2016 run for U.S. Senate". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on November 1, 2014. Retrieved October 31, 2014.
  33. ↑ Leslie, Katie (December 18, 2015). "Search for Democratic challenger to Isakson continues". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on December 21, 2015. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  34. ↑ "Former state senator to run for Smyrna City Council". Marietta Daily Journal . July 6, 2015. Retrieved October 3, 2015.
  35. ↑ Bluestein, Greg (January 16, 2016). "Democrat Ed Tarver eyes a potential Senate bid". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on January 18, 2016. Retrieved January 18, 2016.
  36. ↑ Galloway, Jim (November 20, 2014). "DuBose Porter announces re-election bid as chairman of Georgia Democrats". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on May 28, 2015. Retrieved May 27, 2015.
  37. ↑ Bluestein, Greg; Malloy, Daniel (August 6, 2015). "Exclusive: Pastor of historic Ebenezer Baptist Church considers U.S. Senate run". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on August 7, 2015. Retrieved August 7, 2015.
  38. ↑ Bluestein, Greg; Malloy, Daniel (October 7, 2015). "Johnny Isakson draws a Libertarian challenger as he raises another $1 million". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on October 8, 2015. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  39. ↑ Bluestein, Greg; Malloy, Daniel (November 19, 2015). "Johnny Isakson gets an opponent — a Libertarian one". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution . Archived from the original on November 22, 2015. Retrieved November 22, 2015.
  40. ↑ "Libertarian Nomination". politics.blog.ajc.com. Archived from the original on May 24, 2016. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
  41. ↑ Full debate
  42. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  43. ↑ WSB-TV/Landmark
  44. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  45. ↑ CBS News/YouGov
  46. ↑ WSB-TV/Landmark
  47. ↑ FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  48. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  49. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  50. ↑ NBC/WSJ/Marist
  51. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  52. ↑ Emerson College
  53. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  54. ↑ WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA
  55. ↑ Quinnipiac University Archived July 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  56. ↑ FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  57. ↑ Google Consumer Surveys
  58. ↑ Atlanta Journal Constitution Archived October 22, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  59. ↑ The Times-Picayune/Lucid
  60. ↑ Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  61. ↑ WSB-TV/Landmark
  62. ↑ JMC Analytics (R)
  63. ↑ Quinnipiac University Archived September 24, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  64. ↑ Monmouth University
  65. ↑ FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy
  66. ↑ Emerson College
  67. ↑ NBC/WSJ/Marist
  68. ↑ JMC Analytics (R)
  69. ↑ Atlanta Journal Constitution Archived August 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  70. ↑ WSB-TV/Landmark Archived August 10, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  71. ↑ WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA
  72. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  73. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  74. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  75. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  76. ↑ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  77. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  78. ↑ "General Election November 8, 2016". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved December 19, 2016.
  79. ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 20, 2024.

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