2016 United States Senate election in Georgia

Last updated

2016 United States Senate election in Georgia
Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg
  2010 November 8, 2016 2020–2021 (special)  
  Johnny Isakson official Senate photo1 (cropped).jpg Jim Barksdale Portrait.jpg
Nominee Johnny Isakson Jim Barksdale
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,135,8061,599,726
Percentage54.80%41.04%

2016 United States Senate election in Georgia results map by county.svg
2016 US Senate election in Georgia by congressional district.svg
GA Senate 2016.svg
Isakson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Barksdale:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Johnny Isakson
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Johnny Isakson
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on May 24, 2016. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Senator Johnny Isakson won re-election to a third term in office by a wide margin. [2] He later resigned from the Senate on December 31, 2019, due to health issues. As of 2024, this remains the last time Republicans won a Senate election in Georgia, as well as the last time that suburban Gwinnett and Henry counties have voted Republican in a statewide election. It also remains the last time that any statewide candidate has won an election in Georgia by double digits, and the last time that any U.S. Senate candidate in Georgia has won without a runoff. This is the also the last United States Senate election in Georgia in which the winning candidate won a majority of counties.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Johnny Isakson

Governors

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Statewide officials

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Johnny
Isakson
Another
candidate
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage [17] June 11–14, 2015492± 4.4%50%26%24%

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
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Isakson--80-90%
Isakson--70-80%
Isakson--60-70%
Isakson--50-60% Georgia Senate Republican primary, 2016.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Isakson—80–90%
  •   Isakson—70–80%
  •   Isakson—60–70%
  •   Isakson—50–60%
Republican primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Johnny Isakson (incumbent) 447,661 77.50%
Republican Derrick Grayson69,10111.96%
Republican Mary Kay Bacallao60,89810.54%
Total votes577,660 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • James F. Barksdale, investment firm executive [19]
  • Cheryl Copeland, AT&T manager [20]
  • John Coyne, businessman and perennial candidate [21]

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
Barksdale--80-90%
Barksdale--60-70%
Barksdale--50-60%
Barksdale--40-50%
Copeland--40-50%
Copeland--50-60%
Copeland--60-70%
Copeland--70-80% Georgia Senate Democratic primary, 2016.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Barksdale—80–90%
  •   Barksdale—60–70%
  •   Barksdale—50–60%
  •   Barksdale—40–50%
  •   Copeland—40–50%
  •   Copeland—50–60%
  •   Copeland—60–70%
  •   Copeland—70–80%
Democratic primary results [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Barksdale 166,627 53.74%
Democratic Cheryl Copeland130,82242.19%
Democratic John Coyne12,6044.07%
Total votes310,053 100.00%

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Allen Buckley, attorney, accountant, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004 and 2008 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2006 [38]
  • Ted Metz, insurance agent, former Cobb County Republican district chairman, and nominee for insurance commissioner in 2014 [39]

Allen Buckley won the nomination at the March 5, 2016, nominating convention in Marietta. [40]

General election

Debates

DatesLocationIsaksonBarksdaleBuckleyLink
October 21, 2016 Atlanta, Georgia ParticipantParticipantParticipant [41]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Johnny
Isakson (R)
Jim
Barksdale (D)
Allen
Buckley (L)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey [42] November 1–7, 20162,419± 4.6%47%41%8%4%
WSB-TV/Landmark [43] November 6, 20161,200± 2.8%52%41%4%3%
SurveyMonkey [44] October 31–November 6, 20162,348± 4.6%47%41%8%4%
CBS News/YouGov [45] November 3–5, 2016995± 4.6%48%41%6%5%
WSB-TV/Landmark [46] November 2–3, 20161,000± 3.1%50%40%5%6%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy [47] November 2–3, 2016538± 4.2%50%39%8%3%
SurveyMonkey [48] October 28–November 3, 20162,872± 4.6%47%42%8%3%
SurveyMonkey [49] October 27–November 2, 20162,722± 4.6%47%42%7%4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [50] October 30–November 1, 2016707 LV± 3.7%48%37%7%3%5%
937 RV± 3.2%46%36%8%4%7%
SurveyMonkey [51] October 26–November 1, 20162,678± 4.6%48%41%6%5%
Emerson College [52] October 29–31, 2016650± 3.8%48%40%5%7%
SurveyMonkey [53] October 25–31, 20162,665± 4.6%50%41%5%4%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [54] October 25–27, 2016594± 4.1%50%38%5%8%
Quinnipiac University [55] October 20–26, 2016707± 3.7%54%40%6%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy [56] October 20, 2016570± 4.1%51%42%3%4%
Google Consumer Surveys [57] October 18–20, 2016439± 4.2%58%36%6%
Atlanta Journal Constitution [58] October 17–20, 2016839± 4.3%47%32%11%7%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid [59] October 17–18, 2016807± 3.0%49%39%13%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey [60] October 8–16, 2016886± 0.5%50%46%4%
WSB-TV/Landmark [61] October 11–12, 20161,400± 2.7%50%37%5%8%
JMC Analytics (R) [62] September 20–22, 2016600± 4.0%41%28%4%27%
Quinnipiac University [63] September 13–21, 2016638± 3.9%55%34%10%
Monmouth University [64] September 15–18, 2016401± 4.9%50%34%5%10%
FOX 5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy [65] September 14, 2016568± 4.1%47%34%6%13%
Emerson College [66] September 9–13, 2016600± 3.6%48%32%10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [67] September 6–8, 2016649± 3.8%53%38%9%
JMC Analytics (R) [68] August 6–7, 2016615± 4.0%39%30%4%27%
Atlanta Journal Constitution [69] August 1–4, 2016847± 4.0%44%38%6%12%
48%42%10%
WSB-TV/Landmark [70] July 31, 2016787± 4.0%46%41%5%8%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSA [71] July 29–31, 2016570± 4.2%48%39%5%8%
Public Policy Polling [72] May 27–30, 2016724± 3.6%47%35%18%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [73] Likely RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [74] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [75] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [76] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [77] Likely RNovember 7, 2016

Results

State Senate district results 2016 GA Senate by State Senate district.svg
State Senate district results
United States Senate election in Georgia, 2016 [78]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Johnny Isakson (incumbent) 2,135,806 54.80% −3.51%
Democratic Jim Barksdale1,599,72641.04%+2.04%
Libertarian Allen Buckley162,2604.16%+1.47%
Total votes3,897,792 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Isakson won 10 of 14 congressional districts. [79]

DistrictIsaksonBarksdaleRepresentative
1st 60%36% Buddy Carter
2nd 47%50% Sanford Bishop
3rd 67%29% Lynn Westmoreland
Drew Ferguson
4th 26%70% Hank Johnson
5th 20%76% John Lewis
6th 58%37% Tom Price
7th 56%39% Rob Woodall
8th 66%31% Austin Scott
9th 78%18% Doug Collins
10th 64%32% Jody Hice
11th 64%30% Barry Loudermilk
12th 60%37% Rick W. Allen
13th 30%66% David Scott
14th 74%21% Tom Graves

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Official campaign websites