2016 United States Senate election in New York

Last updated

2016 United States Senate election in New York
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Nominee Chuck Schumer Wendy Long
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance
Parties
Parties
Popular vote5,221,9672,009,380
Percentage70.64%27.18%
2016 United States Senate election in New York results map by county.svg
2016 NY Senate BY Congressional District.svg
Map of the township level results of the 2016 United States Senate election in the State of New York.svg
NY Senate 2016.svg
Schumer:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%     >90%
Long:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:          40–50%     50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28. This was the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a fourth term in office. [1] This was considered by many polling aggregate groups to be one of the safest Democratic seats in the nation for this cycle. The prediction turned out to be correct, with Schumer winning around 71% of the vote and all but five of the state's 62 counties: Hamilton, Orleans, Wyoming, Allegany and Steuben.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Third-party and independent candidates

Libertarian Party

Green Party

Conservative Party

General election

Debates

DatesLocationSchumerLongLink
October 30, 2016 Schenectady, New York ParticipantParticipant [9]

Endorsements

Chuck Schumer
U.S. senators
  • Al D'Amato, former U.S. senator from New York, 1981-1999 (Republican) [10]
Media companies

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [12] Safe DNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [14] Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [15] Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [16] Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Chuck
Schumer (D)		Wendy
Long (R)		OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey [17] November 1–7, 20162,208± 4.6%71%25%—4%
SurveyMonkey [18] October 31–November 6, 20162,132± 4.6%71%25%—4%
Siena College [19] November 3–4, 2016617± 4.5%67%25%—8%
SurveyMonkey [20] October 28–November 3, 20161,949± 4.6%71%26%—3%
SurveyMonkey [21] October 27–November 2, 20161,755± 4.6%70%26%—4%
SurveyMonkey [22] October 26–November 1, 20161,645± 4.6%70%27%—3%
SurveyMonkey [23] October 25–31, 20161,734± 4.6%68%28%—4%
Siena College [24] October 13–17, 2016611± 4.6%66%27%1%6%
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist [25] September 21–23, 2016676± 3.8%70%24%1%6%
Siena College [26] September 11–15, 2016600± 5.0%69%23%—8%
Emerson College [27] August 28–30, 2016800± 3.4%60%23%4%12%
Siena College [28] August 7–10, 2016717± 4.3%63%24%—13%
Quinnipiac University [29] July 13–17, 20161,104± 3.0%60%28%1%8%
Siena College [30] June 22–28, 2016803± 4.0%66%23%—11%
Siena College [31] May 22–26, 2016825± 3.9%64%22%—14%
Siena College [32] April 24–27, 2016802± 4.1%64%24%—12%
Public Policy Polling [33] April 7–10, 20161,403± 2.6%55%23%—22%
Quinnipiac University [34] March 22–29, 20161,667± 2.4%63%24%—11%

Results

United States Senate election in New York, 2016 [35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Chuck Schumer4,784,21864.72%+6.25%
Working Families Chuck Schumer241,6723.27%−0.73%
Independence Chuck Schumer150,6542.04%−1.82%
Women's Equality Chuck Schumer45,4010.61%N/A
Total Chuck Schumer (incumbent)5,221,94570.64%+4.31%
Republican Wendy Long1,723,92023.32%−3.65%
Conservative Wendy Long267,6223.62%−1.62%
Reform Wendy Long17,8130.24%N/A
Total Wendy Long 2,009,35527.18%−5.03%
Green Robin Laverne Wilson113,4131.53%+0.61%
Libertarian Alex Merced48,1200.65%+0.11%
Total votes7,392,833 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Schumer won all 27 congressional districts, including nine that elected Republicans. [36]

DistrictSchumerLongRepresentative
1st 58%40% Lee Zeldin
2nd 61%38% Peter T. King
3rd 64%35% Steve Israel
Thomas Suozzi
4th 66%32% Kathleen Rice
5th 90%9% Gregory Meeks
6th 75%22% Grace Meng
7th 88%8% Nydia Velázquez
8th 89%8% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 89%9% Yvette Clarke
10th 82%15% Jerry Nadler
11th 64%34% Dan Donovan
12th 83%14% Carolyn Maloney
13th 92%5% Charles B. Rangel
Adriano Espaillat
14th 84%14% Joe Crowley
15th 95%4% Jose Serrano
16th 80%19% Eliot Engel
17th 68%30% Nita Lowey
18th 59%39% Sean Patrick Maloney
19th 58%39% John Faso
20th 68%30% Paul Tonko
21st 57%40% Elise Stefanik
22nd 59%38% Richard L. Hanna
Claudia Tenney
23rd 56%42% Tom Reed
24th 66%32% John Katko
25th 68%30% Louise Slaughter
26th 74%23% Brian Higgins
27th 55%43% Chris Collins

References

  1. 1 2 Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  2. ↑ Tumulty, Brian (March 3, 2016). "Republican Wendy Long will run against Sen. Chuck Schumer". Gannett News Service. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  3. ↑ Weiner, Mark (April 7, 2015). "U.S. Rep. Richard Hanna says he won't run against Chuck Schumer in 2016 NY senate race". Syracuse.com. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
  4. ↑ Johnson, Eliana (June 24, 2015). "Larry Kudlow and NRSC Renew Discussions on Senate Run". National Review . Retrieved June 25, 2015.
  5. ↑ Burns, Alexander (September 22, 2015). "Larry Kudlow Weighs Run Against Senator Richard Blumenthal in Connecticut". The New York Times . Retrieved October 1, 2015.
  6. ↑ "Candidates 2016". Libertarian Party of New York. Archived from the original on December 17, 2018. Retrieved December 19, 2018.
  7. ↑ "Dr. Jill Stein Wins 89% of GPNY Presidential Convention Vote, Robin Laverne Wilson Rallies For US Senate". Green Party of New York. June 12, 2016.
  8. ↑ "Wendy Long works convention to boost long-shot Senate bid". The Journal News.
  9. ↑ Full debate
  10. ↑ Campanile, Carl (September 29, 2015). "D'Amato endorses former opponent Schumer for re-election". New York Post . Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 17, 2022.
  11. ↑ "Editorial endorsement: U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer for re-election in 2016". Advance Media New York . October 21, 2016. Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 17, 2022.
  12. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  13. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  14. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  15. ↑ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  16. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  17. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  18. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  19. ↑ Siena College Archived June 3, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  20. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  21. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  22. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  23. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  24. ↑ Siena College Archived March 11, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  25. ↑ NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist
  26. ↑ Siena College Archived January 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  27. ↑ Emerson College
  28. ↑ Siena College
  29. ↑ Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  30. ↑ Siena College
  31. ↑ Siena College Archived January 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  32. ↑ Siena College Archived March 3, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  33. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  34. ↑ Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  35. ↑ "New York State Official Election Night Results" (PDF). New York Board of Elections. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 27, 2021. Retrieved December 28, 2016.
  36. ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting.

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