1992 United States presidential election in New York

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1992 United States presidential election in New York
Flag of New York.svg
  1988 November 3, 1992 1996  
  Bill Clinton.jpg George H. W. Bush presidential portrait (cropped 2).jpg RossPerotColor.jpg
Nominee Bill Clinton George H. W. Bush Ross Perot
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Alliance Liberal
Home state Arkansas Texas Texas
Running mate Al Gore Dan Quayle James Stockdale
Electoral vote3300
Popular vote3,444,4502,346,6491,090,721
Percentage49.73%33.88%15.75%

New York Presidential Election Results 1992.svg
New York Presidential Results 1992 by Municipality.svg

President before election

George H. W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Bill Clinton
Democratic

The 1992 United States presidential election in New York took place on November 3, 1992, as part of the 1992 United States presidential election. Voters chose 33 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

New York was won by the Democratic candidate, Governor Bill Clinton of Arkansas who received 49.73% of the vote over incumbent Republican President George H. W. Bush of Texas, who received 33.88%. Independent candidate Ross Perot, a billionaire Texas businessman, finished in third, with 15.75% of the popular vote. [1] Clinton ultimately won the national election, defeating incumbent President Bush. [2]

Clinton's double-digit 15.85% margin of victory would mark the beginning of a dramatic shift toward the Democratic Party in New York, from a Democratic leaning swing state to a solidly blue state that Democrats would carry by landslide margins in every election since. In the preceding 6 elections, the state had gone Republican three times and Democratic 3 times, all but once decided by a single-digit margin. In the 7 elections that have followed 1992, Democratic presidential candidates have received between 58% and 64% of the vote, making it one of the most overwhelmingly Democratic states in the nation, largely as a result of trends that began in 1992.

Despite Ross Perot’s strong showing as a third-party candidate, taking votes away from the major party nominees statewide and nationally, Clinton increased the total Democratic vote share in the five heavily populated boroughs of New York City to 69% in 1992, compared to the 66% received by Democrat Michael Dukakis in the 1988 election, while Bush fell from 33% in 1988 to only 24% in his re-election bid. This was the last presidential election until 2020 in which the Bronx was not the most Democratic county in New York.

In addition, Clinton also picked up wins in heavily populated suburban counties around New York City that had long been reliably Republican, namely Westchester County just north of the city, and Nassau County on Long Island, which have remained loyally Democratic in every election that has followed, as well as Rockland County. Bush only carried Suffolk County by 1.5%, down from a landslide 21.8% victory margin in that county in 1988. Republican dominance of the populous suburbs had been crucial to previous Republican victories in the state in order to overcome the massive Democratic advantage in New York City. As the city became even more Democratic while downstate suburban voters defected from the GOP to the Democrats, Republican hopes of competing in New York State would vanish following this election.

Bush performed more strongly in traditionally Republican upstate New York, where he won most rural counties, although he lost a number of counties that he had won in 1988 against Dukakis. Clinton won a handful of rural upstate counties, and more significantly scored strong wins in counties home to the cities of Albany, Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, and the college town of Ithaca, all of which have become reliable Democratic bastions in upstate New York. Clinton thus became the first Democrat since 1964 (and only the third since 1852) to win the state outside the five boroughs of New York City, which has been replicated by every Democrat since.

Results

1992 United States presidential election in New York [1]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic Bill Clinton3,346,89448.32%
Liberal Bill Clinton97,5561.41%
Total Bill Clinton 3,444,45049.73%33
Republican George H. W. Bush2,041,69029.47%
Conservative George H. W. Bush177,0002.56%
Right to Life George H. W. Bush127,9591.85%
Total George H. W. Bush (incumbent)2,346,64933.88%0
Independent Ross Perot 1,090,72115.75%0
Socialist Workers James Warren 15,9240.23%0
Libertarian Andre Marrou 13,4510.19%0
New Alliance Lenora Fulani 11,2690.16%0
Natural Law Dr. John Hagelin 4,0170.06%0
Peace and Freedom Ron Daniels (write-in)3850.01%0
America First James "Bo" Gritz (write-in)250.00%0
Lyndon LaRouche (write-in)180.00%0
Independent J. Quinn Brisben (write-in)160.00%0
Totals6,926,925100.0%33

New York City results

1992 Presidential Election in New York City Manhattan The Bronx Brooklyn Queens Staten Island Total
Democratic-
Liberal
Bill Clinton 416,142225,038411,183349,52056,9011,458,78468.73%
78.27%73.67%70.70%62.87%38.51%
Republican-
Conservative-
Right to Life
George H. W. Bush 84,50163,310133,344157,56170,707509,42324.00%
15.89%20.73%22.93%28.34%47.85%
Independent Ross Perot 27,68915,11533,01446,01419,678141,5106.67%
5.21%4.95%5.68%8.28%13.32%
New Alliance Lenora Fulani 1,3801,2982,4611,4661436,7480.32%
0.26%0.42%0.42%0.26%0.10%
Libertarian Andre Marrou 1,3583499678982453,8170.18%
0.26%0.11%0.17%0.16%0.17%
Socialist Workers James Warren 466206408273431,3960.07%
0.09%0.07%0.07%0.05%0.03%
Natural Law John Hagelin 217206217224439070.04%
0.04%0.07%0.04%0.04%0.03%
TOTAL531,673305,460581,594555,956147,7602,122,443100.00%

Results by county

CountyBill Clinton
Democratic
George H.W. Bush
Republican
Ross Perot
Independent
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %
Albany 80,64151.90%49,45231.83%24,06415.49%1,2060.78%31,18920.07%155,363
Allegany 4,84825.90%8,97647.95%4,70325.12%1921.03%-4,128-22.05%18,719
Bronx 225,03873.67%63,31020.73%15,1154.95%1,9970.65%161,72852.94%305,460
Broome 43,44443.51%34,65334.71%21,28021.31%4690.47%8,7918.80%99,846
Cattaraugus 10,15028.92%13,94439.74%10,66230.38%3360.96%3,282 [lower-alpha 1] 9.36%35,092
Cayuga 13,08836.69%12,06533.82%10,27928.82%2390.67%1,0232.87%35,671
Chautauqua 22,64536.07%21,22233.80%18,45529.39%4670.74%1,4232.27%62,789
Chemung 15,09938.58%16,08841.11%7,49319.15%4551.16%-989-2.53%39,135
Chenango 8,01736.80%8,11437.24%5,35624.58%3001.38%-97-0.44%21,787
Clinton 12,88140.27%13,45542.06%5,38916.85%2630.82%-574-1.79%31,988
Columbia 11,36839.12%11,56839.81%5,82920.06%2911.00%-200-0.69%29,056
Cortland 7,81537.48%7,78237.32%5,09824.45%1560.75%330.16%20,851
Delaware 7,15234.84%8,82943.01%4,40421.45%1450.71%-1,677-8.17%20,530
Dutchess 41,65536.12%46,70940.50%26,32022.82%6440.56%-5,054-4.38%115,328
Erie 196,23343.46%129,44428.67%123,35827.32%2,4610.55%66,78914.79%451,496
Essex 6,71735.40%8,27843.63%3,78419.94%1941.02%-1,561-8.23%18,973
Franklin 7,65441.68%6,63536.13%3,85721.00%2191.19%1,0195.55%18,365
Fulton 8,40036.77%9,13740.00%5,12022.41%1880.82%-737-3.23%22,845
Genesee 8,07130.78%11,66344.47%6,19223.61%2991.14%-3,592-13.69%26,225
Greene 6,92432.67%9,39044.31%4,68922.13%1880.89%-2,466-11.64%21,191
Hamilton 96325.23%2,03853.39%79320.78%230.60%-1,075-28.16%3,817
Herkimer 10,88036.34%12,05240.26%6,86622.93%1410.47%-1,172-3.92%29,939
Jefferson 13,38035.75%14,22738.01%9,46125.28%3580.96%-847-2.26%37,426
Kings 411,18370.70%133,34422.93%33,0145.68%4,0530.70%277,83947.77%581,594
Lewis 3,67633.32%4,10137.17%3,16428.68%910.82%-425-3.85%11,032
Livingston 8,64832.25%12,12245.21%5,77521.54%2691.00%-3,474-12.96%26,814
Madison 10,09934.78%11,29338.90%7,39125.46%2510.86%-1,194-4.12%29,034
Monroe 141,50241.57%134,02139.38%63,22918.58%1,6170.48%7,4812.19%340,369
Montgomery 9,50940.56%8,80237.55%5,02021.41%1120.48%7073.01%23,443
Nassau 282,59346.38%246,88140.52%77,09712.65%2,7550.45%35,7125.86%609,326
New York 416,14278.27%84,50115.89%27,6895.21%3,4410.65%331,64162.38%531,673
Niagara 35,64936.91%30,40131.48%30,12631.19%4080.42%5,2485.43%96,584
Oneida 40,96637.81%43,80640.43%22,71720.97%8530.79%-2,840-2.62%108,342
Onondaga 90,64542.18%77,64236.13%45,17521.02%1,4450.67%13,0036.05%214,907
Ontario 16,06435.79%18,99542.32%9,57121.32%2590.58%-2,931-6.53%44,889
Orange 45,94637.50%53,49343.66%22,49918.36%5820.48%-7,547-6.16%122,520
Orleans 4,92729.41%7,46844.57%4,27525.52%840.50%-2,541-15.16%16,754
Oswego 16,99033.36%18,53036.38%14,85329.16%5581.10%-1,540-3.02%50,931
Otsego 10,47139.36%10,14138.12%5,84121.95%1530.58%3301.24%26,606
Putnam 14,04834.05%18,93445.89%8,01119.41%2700.65%-4,886-11.84%41,263
Queens 349,52062.87%157,56128.34%46,0148.28%2,8610.51%191,95934.53%555,956
Rensselaer 29,79339.95%28,93738.80%15,19820.38%6520.87%8561.15%74,580
Richmond 56,90138.51%70,70747.85%19,67813.32%4740.32%-13,806-9.34%147,760
Rockland 56,75946.59%49,60840.72%15,02612.33%4380.36%7,1515.87%121,831
St. Lawrence 18,19743.00%13,90132.85%9,75823.06%4611.09%4,29610.15%42,317
Saratoga 33,01136.76%36,91741.10%19,09121.26%7930.88%-3,906-4.34%89,812
Schenectady 32,33543.77%26,25835.55%14,83820.09%4390.59%6,0778.22%73,870
Schoharie 4,99735.32%5,67840.14%3,32723.52%1451.02%-681-4.82%14,147
Schuyler 2,85934.87%3,22639.35%2,05125.02%630.77%-367-4.48%8,199
Seneca 5,81038.80%5,43236.28%3,66024.44%720.48%3782.52%14,974
Steuben 12,04329.08%19,76147.72%9,37822.65%2280.55%-7,718-18.64%41,410
Suffolk 220,81138.88%229,46740.40%112,97319.89%4,7040.83%-8,656-1.52%567,955
Sullivan 13,71743.36%11,39636.02%6,33620.03%1860.59%2,3217.34%31,635
Tioga 7,79133.78%9,28740.26%5,86725.44%1200.52%-1,496-6.48%23,065
Tompkins 23,19755.68%11,52027.65%6,70416.09%2390.57%11,67728.03%41,660
Ulster 32,88640.69%29,22336.16%17,95222.21%7600.94%3,6634.53%80,821
Warren 9,82034.14%12,26042.62%6,40122.25%2860.99%-2,440-8.48%28,767
Washington 8,42933.53%10,30541.00%6,14324.44%2581.03%-1,876-7.47%25,135
Wayne 11,86630.19%18,01945.84%9,18823.38%2330.59%-6,153-15.65%39,306
Westchester 184,30048.65%151,99040.12%39,93310.54%2,6170.69%32,3108.53%378,840
Wyoming 4,04524.70%7,32444.73%4,83729.54%1691.03%2,487 [lower-alpha 1] 15.19%16,375
Yates 3,24232.12%4,36643.26%2,35423.33%1301.29%-1,124-11.14%10,092
Totals3,444,45049.73%2,346,64933.88%1,090,72115.75%45,1050.65%1,097,80115.85%6,926,925

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

New York would be one of only three states, along with Washington, D.C., where if Bush’s and Perot’s vote had been combined, Clinton would still come out on top. The other two states are Arkansas and Maryland. Clinton's victory margin would make New York State about 10% more Democratic than the nation as a whole in the 1992 election. As of the 2020 presidential election , this is the last election in which Clinton County and Columbia County voted for a Republican presidential candidate. [3] Suffolk County would not vote Republican again until 2016.

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 In this county where Perot ran second ahead of Clinton, margin given is Bush vote minus Perot vote.

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References

  1. 1 2 "1992 Presidential General Election Results - New York". U.S. Election Atlas. Retrieved June 9, 2012.
  2. "1992 Presidential General Election Results". U.S. Election Atlas. Retrieved June 9, 2012.
  3. Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016