2016 New York Republican presidential primary

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2016 New York Republican presidential primary
Flag of New York (1909-2020).svg
  2012 April 19, 2016 (2016-04-19)2020 

95 pledged delegates to the 2016 Republican National Convention
  Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump John Kasich Ted Cruz
Home state New York Ohio Texas
Delegate count8960
Popular vote554,522231,166136,083
Percentage59.21%24.68%14.53%

2016 New York Republican presidential primary election results map by county (vote share).svg
2016 New York Republican presidential primary election results map by municipality (vote share).svg
2016 NY GOP presidential primary by Congressional Districts.svg

The 2016 New York Republican presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

Donald Trump won his home state with 59% of the vote and picked up 89 pledged delegates. He won over all age groups, income levels and political ideologies, [1] with most voters saying they want a candidate who "can bring change" and "tells it like it is". Most voters supported Trump's proposed ban on Muslim immigration to the United States. [2]

The Democratic Party also held their own New York primary on the same day which was won by Hillary Clinton. Apart from that, no other primaries were scheduled for that day by either party.

The state of the campaign

National situation

Despite an early victory by Ted Cruz in the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump was seen as making steady progress towards the Republican nomination at the time. Trump was victorious in 7 of the contests on March 1, with Cruz seen as the only viable threat to Trump after victories in his home state of Texas and 2 other March 1 contests. Marco Rubio performed worse than anticipated on March 1, taking only Minnesota. On March 8, two primaries and a caucus were held in Hawaii, Michigan and Mississippi. Despite a poll from American Research Group that showed Kasich leading Trump in Michigan, Trump won all three contests. [3] [4]

On March 15's primaries, Donald Trump took four of the five contests- Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina. Trump however was defeated in Ohio by John Kasich, losing all 66 of the state's delegates. Marco Rubio suspended his campaign after losing the Florida contest, [5] leaving just Cruz and Kasich in the race to oppose Trump.

On March 22, Trump won the Arizona contest and all of its 58 pledged delegates, while Cruz capitalized on Trump's comments critical of Mitt Romney's Mormon faith [6] to take the state of Utah and its 40 delegates.

The month of April brought several strong performances for Cruz. He capitalized on a weak ground game in the Donald Trump campaign to win the conventions in North Dakota and Colorado, despite criticism from Donald Trump. [7] In addition, Ted Cruz won the valuable Wisconsin primary and with it 36 of the state's 42 delegates. Many considered the probability of a "contested" Republican National Convention as it was considered doubtful that Trump would receive the requisite 1,237 delegates. [8]

New York situation

Being Donald Trump's home state, New York was expected to be one of his strongest states in the primary contests. While Trump himself said that he would be satisfied with only one half of the delegates, most prognosticators said that Trump would have to perform extremely strongly in the state in order to avoid a contested convention. [9] Ted Cruz's attacks in a Fox Business Network primary debate in South Carolina, criticizing Donald Trump for holding what he referred to as "New York values"- meaning the liberal, left leaning values of New York City came under fire as Cruz was campaigning in New York as well. [10] This, combined with Trump's strong performances in the Northeast, especially Massachusetts, meant that Trump was considered a favorite with Kasich as his main challenger.

Opinion polling

Results

New York Republican primary, April 19, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump554,52259.21%89089
John Kasich231,16624.68%606
Ted Cruz136,08314.53%000
Blank & Void14,7561.58%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:936,527100.00%95095
Source: The Green Papers

Of the 62 counties in the state, Donald Trump won 61, with the one loss being his home county of New York County (Manhattan), where John Kasich won. Trump's strongest showings were in Richmond County (Staten Island), Nassau County, Queens, Suffolk County and Erie County. [37] John Kasich won Manhattan with a plurality and placed a strong second in upstate college areas such as Cortland, Syracuse and the Capital District area centered around Albany.

Ultimately, Trump was able to get the full slate of delegates in 22 out of 27 congressional districts, due to meeting or exceeding the 50% threshold in each. [38] Kasich won 2 delegates in the 12th district (Upper East Side Manhattan/Queens), and one each in the 10th (Jewish Manhattan/Brooklyn neighborhoods), 13th (Harlem), 20th (Albany), and 24th (Syracuse) districts. Ted Cruz won 14.5% of the vote but did not win any delegates.

Republican Primary Results by County

CountyCarson*%Cruz%Kasich%Trump%BVSTotalTurnoutMV%
Albany 1501.04%2,39016.58%5,02634.87%6,79341.13%5514,41441.25%12.26%
Allegany 1562.93%1,15921.74%1,17522.05%2,82753.04%135,33043.63%30.99%
Bronx 1271.75%1,16416.00%1,14815.78%4,73065.00%1087,27719.57%49.00%
Broome 2861.55%3,95321.45%5,13827.88%8,92348.42%13018,43045.32%20.54%
Cattaraugus 1131.74%1,29819.97%1,41921.83%3,63655.93%356,50138.22%31.10%
Cayuga 701.13%1,13618.38%1,94231.42%3,02448.92%96,18137.92%17.51%
Chautauqua 1771.85%2,01621.08%2,29423.99%5,02752.57%499,56338.35%28.58%
Chemung N/A1,82021.16%2,37227.58%4,20848.92%2018,60142.99%21.35%
Chenango 871.64%1,13321.31%1,39426.22%2,65950.02%435,31643.33%23.80%
Clinton N/A73915.77%1,38929.64%2,48753.06%724,68733.05%23.43%
Columbia 631.32%74415.62%1,27126.68%2,66255.88%244,76440.46%29.20%
Cortland N/A90022.66%1,27632.13%1,71043.06%853,97141.05%10.93%
Delaware 911.85%84617.19%1,14223.21%2,83157.53%114,92142.63%34.32%
Dutchess 2131.05%2,84013.94%4,40121.60%12,87263.18%4620,37240.07%41.58%
Erie N/A7,96412.93%13,13621.33%39,58964.27%90761,59642.04%42.95%
Essex 681.71%66416.72%1,27432.07%1,91848.29%483,97236.82%16.21%
Franklin 622.27%43315.83%76327.90%1,46053.38%172,73532.34%25.48%
Fulton 721.17%1,03616.85%1,55225.24%3,45656.20%346,15039.59%30.96%
Genesee N/A1,03216.54%1,28220.54%3,81561.13%1126,24140.16%40.59%
Greene N/A70516.39%83819.48%2,68962.52%694,30137.08%43.04%
Hamilton N/A21018.77%32629.13%56550.49%181,11944.89%21.36%
Herkimer 1071.47%1,04214.35%1,87725.85%4,19357.75%427,26141.32%31.90%
Jefferson 1211.28%1,23513.10%2,86030.34%5,19055.07%199,42541.69%24.72%
Kings (Brooklyn) 2551.01%4,87219.32%4,02415.96%15,92063.14%14425,21525.12%43.82%
Lewis 712.29%47615.36%89828.99%1,64353.03%103,09836.49%24.05%
Livingston 1161.62%1,32918.54%1,72424.05%3,95755.20%437,16943.60%31.15%
Madison N/A1,35819.87%2,21432.39%3,10845.47%1556,83543.72%13.08%
Monroe 6851.24%9,53717.23%16,87030.47%28,03450.63%23955,36543.98%20.16%
Montgomery 421.12%79321.15%86523.07%2,03954.39%103,74939.85%31.32%
Nassau N/A9,9029.54%22,72221.90%69,69267.17%1,437103,75332.35%45.27%
New York (Manhattan) 2540.93%3,58613.08%12,18144.43%11,19640.84%19827,41532.30%-3.59%
Niagara 2451.40%2,40613.78%3,32119.02%11,45065.56%4317,46541.26%46.54%
Oneida 2521.23%3,33516.33%5,39826.44%11,33255.50%10220,41943.10%29.06%
Onondaga 3070.91%6,07517.97%12,05535.67%15,15544.84%20733,79941.76%9.17%
Ontario 1801.60%2,06118.37%3,38030.13%5,55849.55%3911,21843.02%19.42%
Orange 2170.89%3,12012.75%4,37217.87%16,65968.07%10424,47235.94%50.21%
Orleans 611.45%72016.65%79918.95%2,64362.69%114,21640.68%43.74%
Oswego 1881.57%2,02616.88%3,28527.37%6,42353.52%8012,00238.57%26.15%
Otsego 961.78%1,03519.20%1,51628.12%2,71950.43%265,39241.92%22.31%
Putnam 610.70%98611.36%1,58718.28%6,02769.44%198,68040.96%51.15%
Queens 3421.08%4,49514.20%5,60117.69%20,95166.18%26831,65727.36%48.49%
Rensselaer 1001.10%1,57617.27%2,60028.48%4,75852.13%949,12838.70%23.64%
Richmond (Staten Island) 1200.45%2,0967.90%2,69010.14%21,52181.09%11426,54134.76%70.95%
Rockland 1040.70%2,36715.92%3,15821.24%9,21962.00%2114,86934.71%40.76%
St. Lawrence 1241.74%1,07415.04%2,03628.52%3,82553.58%807,13936.07%25.06%
Saratoga 2400.97%4,40417.85%8,27233.52%11,67347.30%8824,67741.91%13.78%
Schenectady N/A2,01020.93%2,94630.67%4,49646.81%1529,60441.32%16.14%
Schoharie N/A64022.74%63822.66%1,49753.18%402,81539.99%30.44%
Schuyler 422.21%40521.35%46124.30%97951.61%101,89740.85%27.31%
Seneca 561.85%52117.21%85428.20%1,58552.34%123,02840.86%24.14%
Steuben 2622.24%2,40120.50%2,75523.52%6,25253.37%4411,71442.09%29.85%
Suffolk 7350.73%9,0999.01%18,69418.52%72,35971.67%77100,96434.15%53.15%
Sullivan N/A53413.19%68716.98%2,74267.75%844,04733.08%50.78%
Tioga 1262.09%1,42923.68%1,54625.62%2,92648.48%86,03544.66%22.87%
Tompkins 1052.11%1,34226.96%1,69133.98%1,82136.59%184,97742.82%2.61%
Ulster 1421.41%1,33213.19%2,19721.75%6,38863.24%4310,10236.63%41.49%
Warren 1011.28%1,20615.28%2,77235.12%3,76147.64%547,89442.15%12.53%
Washington 70.13%1,04819.15%1,83933.61%2,45844.92%1205,47237.60%11.31%
Wayne N/A1,62719.99%2,01624.77%4,47254.94%1568,27138.12%30.17%
Westchester 3760.83%5,24511.59%13,59930.06%25,88057.20%14745,24735.31%27.14%
Wyoming N/A74917.40%72416.82%2,75263.94%794,30440.10%46.54%
Yates 431.56%42515.44%88432.11%1,38850.42%132,75343.29%18.31%
Total8,018*0.86%136,08314.53%231,16624.69%554,52259.22%6,636936,52536.35%34.53%

*Note: Blank, Void, and Scattering (BVS) votes include some votes for Former Candidate Ben Carson. Carson vote totals are unavailable in some county canvass returns. Only those available are posted. New York is a Closed primary state, meaning that the turnout is based on Active Republican Voters on April 1, 2016

See also

Related Research Articles

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. On May 4, 2016, Donald Trump became the sole contender and presumptive nominee.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place within all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories between February 1 and June 7, 2016. These elections selected the 2,472 delegates that were sent to the Republican National Convention. Businessman and reality television personality Donald Trump won the Republican nomination for president of the United States.

The following is a timeline of major events leading up to, during, and after the 2016 United States presidential election. The election was the 58th quadrennial United States presidential election, held on November 8, 2016. The presidential primaries and caucuses were held between February 1 and June 14, 2016, staggered among the 50 states, Washington, D.C., and U.S. territories. The U.S. Congress certified the electoral result on January 6, 2017, and the new president and vice president were inaugurated on January 20, 2017.

The 2016 presidential campaign of Ted Cruz, the junior United States senator from Texas, was announced on March 23, 2015. He was a candidate for the Republican Party's 2016 presidential nomination and won the second-most state contests and delegates. Cruz themed his campaign around being an outsider and a strict conservative. In the crowded early field, he chose not to directly confront the leading candidate, Donald Trump, who was also viewed as an outsider candidate. His cordial and sympathetic tone towards Trump contrasted with the more critical approach of rivals such as Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, which took place on February 9, was the second major vote of the cycle. Donald Trump was declared the winner with 35.2% of the popular vote and picked up 11 delegates, while John Kasich emerged from a pack of candidates between 10 and 20% to capture second place with 15.8% of the vote and picked up four delegates.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses</span>

The 2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 1 in the U.S. state of Iowa, traditionally marking the Republican Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Oregon</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Oregon has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New York Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Hillary Clinton, who had previously represented New York in the United States Senate from 2001 to 2009, won a comfortable majority in both the popular vote and delegate count over Bernie Sanders, who was born in Brooklyn.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary was held on April 5 in the U.S. state of Wisconsin as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Texas senator Ted Cruz won the contest with 48%, ahead of nationwide frontrunner Donald Trump by 13 percentage points. Taking advantage of the state's two-level "winner takes all" provision, Cruz took 36 out of the 42 available delegates.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Indiana Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Indiana Republican presidential primary was held on May 3 in the U.S. state of Indiana as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. This was a winner-take-all election, so Donald Trump, who came in first in the popular vote, won all the delegates.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Ohio primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina, along with the Democratic contest in Ohio.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses</span>

The 2016 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses took place in early April in the U.S. state of Colorado, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Colorado contest consisted of a series of congressional district conventions on April 2, 7 and 8 and a state convention on April 9. A non-binding "beauty contest" caucus was held March 1 to coincide with the Super Tuesday conventions. Ted Cruz won a majority of delegates in the convention.

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 North Carolina elections</span>

North Carolina's state elections were held on November 8, 2016.

This page lists statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary was held on Tuesday March 1, as one of the Republican Party's 2016 presidential primaries. Massachusetts was one of eleven states that held both their Democratic and Republican presidential primaries on that day, dubbed "Super Tuesday". 42 delegates were allocated proportionally to all candidates who received at least 5 percent of the vote in the primary.

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