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| Elections in Vermont |
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The 2016 Vermont Republican presidential primary was held on March 1, 2016, along with ten other state nominating contests during Super Tuesday.
Donald Trump held a big edge in Vermont polls, with John Kasich and Marco Rubio splitting much of the rest of the vote. [1] However, on election day, Donald Trump only narrowly won the popular vote by 2.3%, and tied with John Kasich in the delegate count.
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary results | March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump32.34% | John Kasich30.01% | Marco Rubio19.08% | Ted Cruz 9.61%, Ben Carson 4.13%, Jeb Bush 1.79%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Chris Christie 0.58%, Carly Fiorina 0.34%, Rick Santorum 0.27% |
| Castleton University/Vermont Public Radio [2] Margin of error: ± 9.01% Sample size: 118 | February 3–17, 2016 | Donald Trump 32.4% | Marco Rubio 16.9% | Ted Cruz 10.5% | John Kasich 10.0%, Jeb Bush 7.7%, Ben Carson 3.1%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Carly Fiorina 1.0%, Rick Santorum 0.6%, Someone else 3.3%, Not sure/Don't know 12.1% |
| Candidate | Vote [3] | Delegates [4] | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | ||
| Donald Trump | 19,974 | 32.52 | 8 |
| John Kasich | 18,534 | 30.17 | 8 |
| Marco Rubio | 11,781 | 19.18 | 0 |
| Ted Cruz | 5,932 | 9.66 | 0 |
| Ben Carson | 2,551 | 4.15 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 1,106 | 1.80 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 423 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 361 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 212 | 0.35 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 164 | 0.27 | 0 |
| Write-ins | 390 | 0.63 | 0 |
| Total valid votes | 61,428 | 100% | 16 |
Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 20% or more of the vote proportionally.
Vermont's voter base is much more moderate and irreligious than the Southern Super Tuesday contests. [5] Exit polls by Edison Research showed this benefitted Trump and Kasich: Trump carried somewhat conservative voters with 35% of the vote, but John Kasich won moderates with 40% to Trump's 34%. [6] Kasich did particularly well in the populous Burlington metro, holding Trump to a narrow margin statewide.
Turnout dropped in the Vermont Republican primary compared with 2012, as some registered Republicans crossed over to vote for favorite son Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary.
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| image_size = x160px | votes_for_election = 95 pledged delegates to the 2016 Republican National Convention }}
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