2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

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2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district
Flag of Vermont.svg
  2004 November 7, 2006 2008  
  Peter Welch, official 110th Congress photo 2.jpg Rainville official (cropped).jpg
Nominee Peter Welch Martha Rainville
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote139,815117,023
Percentage53.22%44.54%

VermontHouseofRepresentivesElection2006.svg
2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont results by municipality.svg
Welch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Rainville:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Trudell:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter Welch
Democratic

The 2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 7, 2006, for representation of Vermont's at-large congressional district in the United States House of Representatives from January 3, 2007, to January 3, 2009.

Contents

Incumbent Congressman Bernie Sanders, an independent member of Congress who caucused with the Democrats, did not seek a ninth term in the House, instead running successfully for the United States Senate.

To replace Congressman Sanders, Democrat Peter Welch defeated Republican Martha Rainville by a somewhat narrow margin (just under 10%) in staunchly-liberal Vermont. As of 2022, this is the last federal election in which a Republican received more than a third of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Peter Welch 34,706 97.11
Democratic Write-ins1,0332.89
Total votes35,739 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Martha Rainville 26,199 71.31
Republican Mark Shepard10,28527.99
Republican Write-ins2580.70
Total votes36,742 100.00

Third-party and independent candidates

Declined

General election

Polling

SourceDatePeter
Welch (D)
Martha
Rainville (R)
Jane
Newton (LU)
Research 2000 [5] October 23–24, 200651%41%
Greenburg Quinlan [6] October 8–9, 200652%41%
Research 2000 [7] September 18–19, 200645%39%
American Research Group [8] September 14, 200648%45%2%
American Research Group [8] July 27, 200641%42%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [9] Lean D (flip)November 6, 2006
Rothenberg [10] Likely D (flip)November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Likely D (flip)November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics [12] Lean D (flip)November 7, 2006
CQ Politics [13] Lean D (flip)November 7, 2006

Results

Vermont's at-large congressional district election, 2006 [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Peter Welch 139,815 53.22
Republican Martha Rainville 117,02344.54
Independent Dennis Morrisseau1,3900.53
Independent Jerry Trudell1,0130.39
Green Bruce R. Marshall9940.38
Independent Keith Stern9630.37
Liberty Union Jane Newton7210.27
Independent Chris Karr5990.23
Write-ins2080.08
Total votes262,726 100.00
Democratic gain from Independent

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

References

  1. 1 2 "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on April 27, 2012. Retrieved March 31, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  2. "FairVote - All Articles". archive.fairvote.org. Retrieved August 14, 2025.
  3. Porter, Louis (February 16, 2006). "Zuckerman out; House race clearer". Rutland Herald. Retrieved August 14, 2025.
  4. "Rothenberg's 2006 Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats". www.insideelections.com. Retrieved August 14, 2025.
  5. Research 2000
  6. Greenburg Quinlan
  7. Research 2000
  8. 1 2 American Research Group
  9. "2006 Competitive House Race Chart" (PDF). House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on September 27, 2007. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  10. "2006 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on November 7, 2006. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  11. "2006 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on November 10, 2006. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  12. "Battle for the House of Representatives". realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2006. Archived from the original on November 9, 2006. Retrieved December 12, 2023.
  13. "Balance of Power Scorecard: House". cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived from the original on November 17, 2006. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  14. "2006 Election Statistics". clerk.house.gov.
Preceded by
2004
U.S. House of Representatives elections ( Vermont's at-large congressional district )
2006
Succeeded by
2008