2006 Illinois gubernatorial election

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2006 Illinois gubernatorial election
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Turnout47.29% Decrease2.svg 2.76 pp
  Rod Blagojevich (2008).jpg President George W. Bush Greets Judy Baar Topinka, State Treasurer, Upon Arrival at Lincoln Airport in Springfield, Illinois (01) (cropped).jpg RichWhitney2 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Rod Blagojevich Judy Baar Topinka Rich Whitney
Party Democratic Republican Green
Running mate Pat Quinn Joe Birkett Julie Samuels
Popular vote1,736,7311,369,315361,336
Percentage49.79%39.26%10.36%
2006 Illinois gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Blagojevich:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Topinka:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Rod Blagojevich
Democratic

Elected Governor

Rod Blagojevich
Democratic

The 2006 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich won re-election to a second four-year term scheduled to have ended on January 10, 2011. However, Blagojevich did not complete his term, as he was impeached and removed from office in 2009. This was the first election since 1964 that a Democrat was re-elected governor.

Contents

Many observers expected the race to be close, especially considering the polling, [1] which had shown Governor Blagojevich to have a high disapproval rating. However, the Republicans had fared poorly due to scandals involving prior Governor George Ryan, and the increasingly unpopular presidency of George W. Bush. Exit polls showed Topinka won white voters (46%-41%-13%), while Blagojevich performed well among African Americans (80%-16%-2%) and Latinos (83%-12%-4%). Democrats won Will County for the first time since 1964, and Lake County for the first time since 1960.

This was the second and last time in Illinois that a woman was a major party's nominee for Governor, the other being 1994. This was also the last time a male lieutenant governor was on the winning ticket.

Election information

The primaries and general elections coincided with those for Congress and those for other state offices. The election was part of the 2006 Illinois elections.

Turnout

For the primaries, turnout for the gubernatorial primaries was 23.13%, with 1,680,207 votes cast and turnout for the lieutenant gubernatorial primaries was 20.60% with 1,496,453 votes cast. [2] [3] For the general election, turnout was 47.29%, with 3,487,989 votes cast. [2] [3]

Democratic primaries

Governor

Candidates

Results

County results Illinois Governor D Primary 2006.svg
County results
Democratic gubernatorial primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Rod Blagojevich (incumbent) 669,006 70.84
Democratic Edwin Eisendrath 275,37529.16
Total votes944,397 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Results

Democratic lieutenant gubernatorial primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Pat Quinn (incumbent) 819,005 100.00
Democratic Pamela R. Schadow170.00
Total votes819,022 100.00

Republican primaries

Governor

Candidates

Declined

Campaign

On November 7, 2005, Topinka announced that she would not seek re-election as state treasurer — instead, she entered the gubernatorial primary, hoping to challenge Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich. The Republican primary was deeply divisive; her tenure as Party Chairman destroyed her support from the conservative wing of her party, and it was feared that her pro-choice and positive gay rights positions would be detrimental to her standing with the same conservatives. In December she announced that she would join forces with DuPage County State's Attorney Joe Birkett as a candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Illinois.

In February 2006, the candidates for the Republican nomination for Illinois Governor began running their first TV ads for the March statewide primary election. Rival candidate Ron Gidwitz's advertisements, attacking Topinka, were rebuked in the same week by the Illinois Republican Party: "In an unprecedented action, the Illinois Republican Party has officially rebuked the Gidwitz campaign for this ad because the Party found that the ad violates the Party's "Code of Conduct", which was enacted to police proper conduct among Republican candidates."

Later in February, candidate Jim Oberweis, another rival for the Republican Gubernatorial nomination, started a series of attack ads for television markets, against Topinka, that were even more widely criticized, mostly for using "fake" headlines on the images of actual Illinois newspapers. These ads, like Gidwitz's ads, also came under review by the Illinois Republican Party. Because of the controversy generated, several television stations withdrew Oberweis's ads.

Results

.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Baar Topinka 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Oberweis 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Brady 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 2006 Illinois gubernatorial Republican primary results map by county.svg
  Baar Topinka
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Oberweis
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Brady
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60-70%
Republican gubernatorial primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Judy Baar Topinka 280,701 38.15
Republican Jim Oberweis 233,57631.74
Republican Bill Brady 135,37018.40
Republican Ron Gidwitz 80,06810.88
Republican Andy Martin 6,0950.83
Total votes735,810 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Results

Birkett 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Rauschenberger 30-40% 40-50% 2006 Illinois lieutenant gubernatorial Republican primary results map by county.svg
  Birkett
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Rauschenberger
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican lieutenant gubernatorial primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Joe Birkett 342,950 50.63
Republican Steve Rauschenberger 202,90529.95
Republican Sandy Wegman90,25513.32
Republican Lawrence L. Bruckner41,3076.19
Republican Jeremy Bryan Cole140.00
Total votes677,431 100.00

General election

Candidates

On ballot

Write-ins

The following candidates were write-in candidates. [7]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [8] Lean DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] Lean DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report [10] Likely DNovember 2, 2006
Real Clear Politics [11] Lean DNovember 6, 2006

Polling

Polling on 14 October 2006 2006IllinoisGubernatorialElectionPolling061014.gif
Polling on 14 October 2006
SourceDateRod
Blagojevich (D)		Judy Baar
Topinka (R)		Rich
Whitney (G)		Other
Survey USA November 2, 200645%37%14%4%
Survey USA October 23, 200644%34%14%8%
Rasmussen October 19, 200644%36%9%11%
Zogby/WSJ October 16, 200647.1%33.2%11.3%8.4%
Glengariff Group October 15, 200639%30%9%22%
Tribune/WGN-TV October 11, 200643%29%9%19%
Survey USA September 20, 200645%39%7%9%
Rasmussen September 13, 200648%36%–16%
Sun-Times/NBC5 September 12, 200656%26%3%15%
Tribune/WGN-TV September 11, 200645%33%6%16%
Zogby/WSJ September 11, 200646.5%33.6%–19.9%
Research 2000 [ permanent dead link ]August 31, 200647%39%2%12%
Zogby/WSJ August 28, 200644.8%37.6%–17.6%
Rasmussen August 10, 200645%37%–18%
Survey USA July 25, 200645%34%–21%
Zogby/WSJ July 24, 200644.4%36.4%–19.2%
Rasmussen July 13, 200645%34%–21%
Zogby/WSJ June 21, 200641.1%37.5%–21.4%
Glengariff Group Archived 2006-06-13 at archive.today June 1–3, 200641%34%–25%
Survey USA May 23, 200643%37%–20%
Rasmussen April 24, 200638%44%–18%
Rasmussen March 31, 200641%43%–16%
Rasmussen February 25, 200642%36%–22%
Rasmussen February 7, 200637%48%–15%
Research 2000 January 22, 200645%37%–18%

Results

2006 Illinois gubernatorial election [2] [3] [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Rod Blagojevich (incumbent) 1,736,731 49.79% -2.40%
Republican Judy Baar Topinka 1,369,31539.26%-5.81%
Green Rich Whitney361,33610.36%n/a
Write-in 20,6070.59%n/a
Total votes3,487,989 100.00% n/a
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Aftermath

The Green Party became an established political party statewide, according to Illinois state election law, when Rich Whitney received more than 5% of the total vote for governor. The new status provided the party with several new advantages, such as lower signature requirements for ballot access, primary elections, free access to additional voter data, the ability to elect precinct committeemen, run a partial slate of candidates at any jurisdictional level, and slate candidates without petitioning. The only other statewide established political parties were the Democratic and Republican Parties. It is rare for a new political party to become established statewide in Illinois, the last to do so being the Solidarity Party in 1986 and the Progressive Party before that.

See also

Related Research Articles

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References

  1. ↑ "SurveyUSA News Poll #8260". Surveyusa.com. Retrieved March 30, 2015.
  2. 1 2 3 "Voter Turnout". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on May 30, 2021. Retrieved March 24, 2020.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 "Election Results". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved March 23, 2020.
  4. 1 2 "Ballots Cast". Elections.illinois.gov. March 21, 2006. Archived from the original on January 13, 2016. Retrieved March 30, 2015.
  5. ↑ "Jim Edgar says no to run for Illinois Governor". September 30, 2005.
  6. ↑ "Prosecutor removes office from case". chicagotribune.com. Chicago Tribune. January 21, 2006. Retrieved March 24, 2020.
  7. ↑ Official Vote Cast at the General Election November 7, 2006. Illinois State Board of Elections. November 7, 2006. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
  8. ↑ "2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved October 1, 2006.
  9. ↑ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  10. ↑ "2006 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  11. ↑ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  12. ↑ "Ballots Cast". Elections.illinois.gov. November 7, 2006. Archived from the original on March 19, 2012. Retrieved March 30, 2015.
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