2019 Chicago mayoral election

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2019 Chicago mayoral election
Flag of Chicago, Illinois.svg
←  2015 February 26, 2019 (first round)
April 2, 2019 (runoff)		 2023  →
Turnout35.20% Decrease2.svg 5.78 pp [1] [2] (first round)
32.89% Decrease2.svg 2.31 pp [3] [4] (second round)
  Lori Lightfoot at MacLean Center (02) (b).png Toni Preckwinkle (3107244285) white background.jpg William M. Daley official portrait (cropped).jpg
Candidate Lori Lightfoot Toni Preckwinkle Bill Daley
First round97,667
17.54%		89,343
16.04%		82,294
14.78%
Runoff 386,039
73.70%		137,765
26.30%		Eliminated
  Willie Wilson 2015.jpg Susana Mendoza Blue Suit (a).jpg Amara Enyia 2018.jpg
Candidate Willie Wilson Susana Mendoza Amara Enyia
First round59,072
10.61%		50,373
9.05%		44,589
8.00%
Runoff EliminatedEliminatedEliminated
  Jerry Joyce (cropped).jpg Gery Chico 2018 (a).jpg Paul Vallas in March 2023 (3x4b) (adjusted2).jpg
CandidateJerry Joyce Gery Chico Paul Vallas
First round40,099
7.20%		34,521
6.20%		30,236
5.43%
Runoff EliminatedEliminatedEliminated
Chicago mayoral election, 2019 runoff (Lori Lightfoot).svg
Second round results by ward:
Lightfoot:     54–59%     59–64%     64–69%     69–74%     74–79%     79–84%     84–88%
Mayor before election

Rahm Emanuel

Elected Mayor

Lori Lightfoot

The 2019 Chicago mayoral election was held on February 26, 2019, to determine the next Mayor of the City of Chicago, Illinois. Since no candidate received a majority of votes, a runoff election was held on April 2, 2019, between the two candidates with the most votes, Lori Lightfoot and Toni Preckwinkle. [5] Lightfoot defeated Preckwinkle in the runoff election to become mayor, [6] and was sworn in as mayor on May 20, 2019. [7]

Contents

The election was officially non-partisan, with its winner being elected to a four-year term. The elections were part of the 2019 Chicago elections, which included elections for City Council, City Clerk, and City Treasurer.

Incumbent Mayor Rahm Emanuel initially announced he would run for a third term but withdrew in September 2018. [8] Emanuel was first elected in 2011 (winning in the first round with 55.19% of the vote) and re-elected in 2015 (receiving 55.7% of the vote in the runoff election).

The runoff was historic, as it assured Chicago would elect its first African-American female mayor, its second elected African-American Mayor, after Harold Washington, and its second female mayor, after Jane Byrne. [9] Not only is Lightfoot the first African-American woman mayor in Chicago's history, but she is also the first openly LGBT person to lead Chicago. Lightfoot's election made Chicago the largest city won by an African American woman, as well as the largest by an openly LGBT person, in United States history. [10] [11]

Campaign

First round

Incumbent mayor Rahm Emanuel declared his intent to seek re-election on October 17, 2017. [12] One month later, Troy LaRaviere became the first opponent to declare their intent to run against Emanuel. [13]

Later, in 2018, more opponents would declare their intent to run against Emanuel, with Garry McCarthy and Willie Wilson doing so in March, [14] [15] Dorothy A. Brown Cook, Ja'Mal Green, and Neal Sáles-Griffin doing so in April, [16] [17] Lori Lightfoot, John Kozlar, and Paul Vallas doing so in May, [18] [19] Matthew Rooney doing so in June, [20] and Amara Enyia and Jerry Joyce doing so in August. [21] [22] By the end of the Summer of 2018, a dozen individuals had declared their candidacies. [23]

On September 4, 2018, Emanuel announced that he would no longer be seeking re-election. [24] Emanuel's announcement shook up the race, with many new candidates declaring their candidacies for mayor in the weeks that followed. [25]

In late November, much of the media coverage on the race showed Toni Preckwinkle and Susana Mendoza (both of whom had entered the race after Emanuel bowed out) to be considered its two frontrunners. [26] [27] [28]

The race for mayor was upended by Alderman Ed Burke's corruption scandal. Mayoral candidates Toni Preckwinkle, Susana Mendoza, Gery Chico, and Bill Daley all had connections to the disgraced alderman, and the scandal encouraged an anti-corruption and anti-machine politics sentiment among voters. [29] [30] [31]

A number of issues were debated by the candidates throughout the campaign. One of the major issues was pensions, as the city's annual pensions contribution had been projected to double between 2018 and 2023. [32] Another issue was education, where sub-issues included school closings that had taken place under the Emanuel administration and the possibility of reforming the school-board selection method. [32] Another issue was crime. [32] Particularly in light of cases such as the murder of Laquan McDonald, issues regarding practices by the city's law enforcement were also discussed by candidates. [32] Another issue was the use of tax increment financing by the city. [32] Affordable housing was another issue debated. [32] Ethics reforms were also debated. [32] Taxes were another issue debated, with some candidates advocating for a commuter tax and some candidates advocating for a property tax freeze. [33]

After ballot challenges were settled, a total of fourteen candidates were included on the ballot for the first round of the election. This is the most candidates that have ever been on the ballot in the history of Chicago mayoral elections. [34] [35] [36]

The first round of the election was considered highly competitive to the end, with a number of candidates shown by polls to be viable contenders to potentially advance to the run off. For example, a poll conducted February 11–13 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. for the media outlets Telemundo/NBC 5 Chicago illustrated what the outlets described as a tight five-way race between (in alphabetical order) Chico, Daley, Lightfoot, Mendoza, and Preckwinkle. [37] On February 24, The Wall Street Journal described the race's polling as showing six candidates with the possibility of making the runoff, with the five strongest contenders being described as (in alphabetical order) Chico, Daley, Lightfoot, Mendoza, and Preckwinkle. [38] Also on February 24, Chicago magazine wrote that it considered six individuals to have a chance of making the runoff, with those individuals being (in alphabetical order) Chico, Daley, Lightfoot, Mendoza, Preckwinkle, and Wilson. [39]

In the first round, Lori Lightfoot placed first and Toni Preckwinkle placed second, securing them both a spot in the runoff election.

Lightfoot's first-place finish in the first round was regarded to be an upset. [40] [41] [42] She was seen as a long-shot when she first entered the race. [25] In late-January, Lightfoot's support in publicly released polls had only ranged between 2% and 5%. [43] [44] [45] [46] Despite her low poll numbers in January, Lightfoot had persisted in her campaign, performing well in debates and running some ads on television. [40] She won the endorsement of the Chicago Sun-Times . [40] She also garnered new personal endorsements, including those of the Scott Waguespack, David Orr, and Robin Kelly, of whom the Chicago Sun-Times' Mark Brown would later write in exploring the contributing factors to Lightfoot's first-round victory, "none of them heavyweights but influential enough to point the way for progressive voters looking for some sign, any sign, of how to pick their way through the thicket of candidates." [40] While Lightfoot rose to the top of some polls near the end of the race, she had peaked in support so late in the race that none of the other candidates had been focused on running negative ads against her. [40] Lightfoot also was seen as ultimately benefiting from the Burke corruption scandal, as she was running as a "political outsider" on an anti-corruption platform. [25] [47] [48] Preckwinkle's allies had also, accidentally, provided Lightfoot with free media attention on two noteworthy occasions. The first incident occurred February 18, when one of Lightfoot's press conferences was crashed by Preckwinkle ally Robert Martwick, with whom Lightfoot got into a heated exchange. [49] The second incident where Preckwinkle's camp generated free headlines for Lightfoot was when, days before the first round of the election, her campaign manager, Scott Cisek, published a Facebook post likening Lightfoot to a Nazi, leading to his firing by the Preckwinkle campaign. [50]

In Chicago, ethnic/racial coalitions had often played a key role in elections. As such, many of the candidates were seen as targeting different groups with their campaigns. [48] Hispanic candidates Gery Chico and Susana Mendoza were seen as vying for the Hispanic vote. [48] Toni Preckwinkle and Willie Wilson were seen as targeting the black vote. [48] [51] Bill Daley was seen as targeting the white vote. [48] Lightfoot was seen as breaking the rules of traditional Chicago politics by not basing her candidacy on seeking the support of particular ethnic/racial groups. [48]

Runoff

Throughout the runoff, Lightfoot led Preckwinkle in polls.

For the runoff, Lightfoot received endorsements from seven of the twelve candidates that had been eliminated in the first round (Gery Chico, Jerry Joyce, John Kozlar, Susana Mendoza, Neal Sales-Griffin, Paul Vallas, and Willie Wilson). Preckwinkle, in contrast, received no endorsements from any candidates that had been eliminated in the first round. [52]

In what was considered a "sweep" of the city's major publications, [53] retaining her endorsement from the Chicago Sun-Times, [54] for the runoff, Lightfoot also received the endorsements of the Chicago Tribune [55] and Crain's Chicago Business [56] (both of which had endorsed Bill Daley in the first round). [57] [58]

Both Lightfoot and Preckwinkle positioned themselves as self-declared, "progressives". [59] In a November 2019 retrospective, however, Edward McClelland of Chicago magazine wrote, "Lightfoot didn’t run as a progressive. She ran as a reformer, the political outsider who promised to quash the Chicago Way, as exemplified by Alderman Ed Burke and all the mayoral candidates who took his money. (Lightfoot's opponent, Toni Preckwinkle, ran as a progressive, but not a reformer.)" [60]

In the runoff, Preckwinkle highlighted her depth of government experience and sought to emphasize a contrast with Lightfoot's lack of experience in elected office. [61] Lightfoot criticized Preckwinkle's connections with controversial figures such as Ed Burke and Joseph Berrios. [61]

The two candidates differed on rent control, with Preckwinkle seeking the repeal of a state law prohibiting local governments from imposing rent control, while Lightfoot did not advocate for rent control in Chicago. [62] The candidates differed on prospective term limits, with Preckwinkle opposing them, and Lightfoot advocating limiting both mayoral tenures and City Council committee chairmanships to two terms. [62] Preckwinkle sought to create a ban on aldermen holding outside jobs, while Lightfoot differed, instead preferring to only ban them from holding outside jobs that pose conflicts of interest with official their duties. [62] Preckwinkle wanted the power to draw ward maps to remain in the hands of the City Council, while Lightfoot wanted a non-partisan and independent process to be created for redistricting. [62] Preckwinkle defended retaining the practice of "aldermanic prerogative", while Lightfoot sought to bring an end to the practice. [62] The candidates also differed on whether they would retain incumbent Superintendent of the Chicago Police Department Eddie T. Johnson, with Preckwinkle having stating that she planned to immediately dismiss Johnson of his post, while Lightfoot stated that she planned to retain him at least through the summer of 2019. [61]

Lightfoot ultimately won a landslide victory in the runoff.

Candidates

In order to be listed on the ballot, candidates were required to submit petitions between November 19 and 26. [63] [64]

Mayoral candidates at a forum at the Copernicus Center in Chicago's Jefferson Park neighborhood, December 2018 2019 Chicago mayoral forum December 2018.jpg
Mayoral candidates at a forum at the Copernicus Center in Chicago's Jefferson Park neighborhood, December 2018

Any certified candidate (those whose petitions had been certified by the Board of Elections) may have had their nomination papers challenged up until December 1. [64] Those candidates with properly-filed challenges against their petitions would have their candidature subjected to hearings and procedures which would assess the validity of their petitions. [64] If any candidate failed to file a statement of economic interests within five days of having their petition certified, then their certification would be revoked. [64]

The deadline to file a notarized declaration of intent to be a write–in candidate was December 27, 2018. [64] [65] An exception to the December 27 deadline for write-in candidates to file their declaration of intent existed for circumstances in which a candidate lost their certification after the December 27 deadline due to the outcome of a challenge to their petitions (candidates in this circumstance were granted until February 19 to file a notarized declaration of intent to run as a write-in candidate). [64]

Certified candidates (those whose petitions had been certified by the Board of Elections) were permitted to have their name removed from the ballot if they officially withdrew any time before December 20, 2018. [64] [65] Even if they informally withdrew by ceasing to campaign, all certified candidates that did not file to formally withdraw before the December 20 deadline would have their names listed on the ballot regardless of whether they were still active contenders. [65] However, after December 20 candidates still may have filed to officially withdraw, an action which would have instructed the Board of Elections to deem all votes cast for the candidates as invalid when tallying votes. [64]

Due to the time needed to complete process of reviewing nearly 200 challenges to candidate petitions in the mayoral race and other municipal elections, the start of the early voting period for the first round had been delayed to January 29 from its previously scheduled January 17 date. [66] [67] [68]

The total of fourteen candidates on the February mayoral ballot is record-setting for Chicago mayoral elections. [34] [35] [36]

Candidates who advanced to runoff

CandidateExperienceAnnouncedRef
The following candidates advanced to the runoff election held on April 2 [69] [70]
Lori Lightfoot at MacLean Center (10).png
Lori Lightfoot 		Former President of the Chicago Police Board 2015–2018

Chair of the Chicago Police Accountability Task Force

May 10, 2018
Lori Lightfoot for Chicago.png
(Website Archived January 17, 2019, at the Wayback Machine )		 [71] [13] [72] [73] [74]
Toni Preckwinkle (3107244285) white background (1).jpg
Toni Preckwinkle 		President of the Cook County Board of Commissioners since 2010
Former Alderman from the 4th ward 1991–2010		September 20, 2018
Toni-Logo-200.png
(Website Archived January 17, 2019, at the Wayback Machine )		 [63] [72] [75] [76]

Candidates eliminated in the first round

CandidateExperienceAnnouncedRef
The following candidates were eliminated in the first round, and did not advance to the runoff election
Gery Chico 2018.jpg
Gery Chico 		Chair of the Illinois State Board of Education 2011–2015
President of the Chicago Park District Board of Commissioners 2007–2010
President of the Chicago Board of Education 1995–2001		September 17, 2018
Chico for Mayor 2019 (1).png
(Website Archived January 19, 2019, at the Wayback Machine )		 [69] [77] [78] [79] [80] [81]
William M. Daley official portrait (cropped).jpg
Bill Daley 		White House Chief of Staff 2011–2012
United States Secretary of Commerce 1997–2000		September 14, 2018
Bill-DaleyLogo-01-e1536961848592.png
(Website)		 [69] [82] [83] [84] [85]
Amara Enyia 2018.jpg
Amara Enyia 		Director of the Austin Chamber of CommerceAugust 28, 2018
Amara logo1.jpg
(Website)		 [71] [72] [86] [21] [87]
Robert Fioretti (20741647040) (cropped).jpg
Bob Fioretti 		Former Alderman from the 2nd Ward 2007–2015November 26, 2018
Fioretti 2019.jpg
(Website Archived January 19, 2019, at the Wayback Machine )		 [88] [89] [90] [91] [92]
La Shawn K. Ford 2019.jpg
La Shawn Ford 		Member of the Illinois House of Representatives since 2007November 12, 2018
La Shawn K. Ford for Mayor 457405 (a).jpg
(Website)		 [93] [94] [95] [96] [97] [98]
Jerry Joyce (cropped).jpg
Jerry Joyce		Former Assistant State's AttorneyAugust 29, 2018
Jerry Joyce Full Color Logo Horizontal 01 with black text.png
(Website Archived January 17, 2019, at the Wayback Machine )		 [63] [72] [22]
John Kolzar (cropped).jpg
John Kozlar		Candidate for Alderman from the 11th Ward in 2011 and 2015 May 30, 2018
John Kolzar for Mayor.webp
(Website Archived August 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine )		 [71] [99]
Ct-met-garry-mccarthy-chicago-mayor-20180321.jpg
Garry McCarthy 		Former Superintendent of the Chicago Police Department 2011–2015March 21, 2018
GM Logo White Background.jpg
(Website)		 [69] [77] [100] [101]
Susana Mendoza Blue Suit (a).jpg
Susana Mendoza 		Illinois Comptroller since 2016
City Clerk of Chicago 2011–2016
Member of the Illinois House of Representatives 2001–2011		November 14, 2018
2019-SusanaMendoza-stacked-logo.png
(Website)		 [71] [72] [102] [103] [104]
Neal Sales-Griffin.png
Neal Sáles-Griffin		CEO of CodeNowMarch 11, 2018
Nfm-lockup-2line-black-md.png
(Website Archived January 17, 2019, at the Wayback Machine )		 [71] [17] [105]
Paul Vallas 2018 (a).jpg
Paul Vallas 		Former Chief Executive Officer of Chicago Public Schools 1995–2001March 28, 2018
Paul Vallas 2019 logo.jpg
(Website)		 [63] [18] [106]
Willie Wilson 2015.jpg
Willie Wilson 		Businessman
Owner of Omar Medical Supplies		March 29, 2018
Wilson logo 2019.png
(Website Archived January 17, 2019, at the Wayback Machine )		 [63] [14]

Write-in candidates

A full list of eligible write-ins was made available to precincts on election day. [107]

Petitions rejected

The following candidates had been denied inclusion on the ballot following successful challenges to their petitions: [69] [70] [125]

Withdrew

The following individuals are previously declared candidates who had terminated their candidacies. Unless otherwise indicated, these individuals did not submit petitions:

Declined

The following are prospective and speculative candidates that declined to run:

Endorsements

First round

Gery Chico
Local officeholders
Bill Daley
Officeholders
Individuals
Editorial boards
Organizations
  • Plumbers Local Union 130 [186]
Amara Enyia
Officeholders
Individuals
Jerry Joyce
Officeholders
Lori Lightfoot
Officeholders
Individuals
Editorial boards
Organizations
Garry McCarthy
Officeholders
Susana Mendoza
State officeholders
Individuals
Editorial boards
Organizations
Toni Preckwinkle
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Members of Congress
State officeholders
County officeholders
Local officeholders
Individuals
Editorial boards
Organizations
Paul Vallas
Individuals
Organizations
Willie Wilson
Officeholders
Organizations

Runoff

Lori Lightfoot
Members of Congress
State officeholders
Local officeholders
Individuals
Editorial boards/publishers
Organizations
Toni Preckwinkle
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Members of Congress
State officeholders
County officeholders
Local officeholders
Individuals
Editorial boards
Organizations

Fundraising

First round

Campaign finance reports as of February 25, 2019
CandidateTotal receipts
Bill Daley$8,746,398.81
Toni Preckwinkle$4,621,770.23
Gery Chico$3,043,467.45
Jerry Joyce$2,796,317.32
Susana Mendoza$2,788,787.02
Lori Lightfoot$1,620,123.65
Willie Wilson$1,619,088.16
Garry McCarthy$1,391,426.80
Paul Vallas$1,128,992.78
Robert Fioretti$716,729.31
Amara Enyia$654,771.31
Neal Sales-Griffin$153,781.73
LaShawn Ford$96,907.58
John Kozlar$1,014.00
[309]

Runoff

Note that following totals include the amount raised in both rounds of the election

Campaign finance reports as of April 7, 2019
CandidateTotal receipts
Toni Preckwinkle$7,114,662.62
Lori Lightfoot$5,773,302.07
[310]

Polling

First round

Graph of select polls

Only showing polls by more-established polling sources: ALG Research, Change Research, David Binder Research, Global Strategy Group, Lake Research Partners, Mason Dixon, Ogden & Fry, RABA Research, Public Policy Polling, Tulchin Research, Victory Research, We Ask America

Graph of all polls
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Dorothy
Brown Cook		Gery
Chico		Bill
Daley		Amara
Enyia		Bob
Fioretti		La Shawn
Ford		Jerry
Joyce		John
Kozlar		Lori
Lightfoot		Garry
McCarthy		Susana
Mendoza		Toni
Preckwinkle		Neal
Sales-Griffin		Paul
Vallas		Willie
Wilson		UndecidedOther
Change Research [311] February 22–23, 2019706±3.7%–9%14%4%2%1%8%0%14%5%10%14%1%6%9%––
L2T Research & Survey (Vallas) [312] February 21, 20198,700–––10.16%–––––––6.29%8.64%–10.75%–64.17%–
Joyce campaign-sponsored poll [313] February 14–15, 2019–––11%11%–––10%–18%–11%14%––12%––
Independent poll [314] February 12–14, 2019–––14%15%–––––14%–10%12%–––––
Mason Dixon [315] February 11–13, 2019–±4.0%–9%13%7%1%1%4%0%10%3%12%14%1%2%4%19%–
Tulchin Research [316] [317] February 6–10, 2019500 (LV)±4.38–5%10%8%–1%––9%5%10%21%–7%11%13%–
Ogden & Fry [318] February 9, 2019716±3.74%–7.1%11.9%–––––––5.7%16.1%––13.3%25.6%20.4%
Campaign-sponsored poll [319] ––––11%14%7%––––7%–7%16%–––––
Victory Research [43] January 26–29, 2019801±3.46%–8.4%13.9%2.0%6.1%1.1%1.0%0.5%4.1%5.1%12.4%11.5%0.0%5.6%12.2%16.1%–
We Ask America [44] [45] January 21–23, 2019644±3.5%4̶.̶7̶%̶9.3%12.1%3.1%0.9%1.2%0.9%0.6%2.8%3.7%8.7%12.7%0.0%4.3%9%––
David Binder Research [46] January 19–21, 2019500±4.4%–4%9%5%––––5%4%9%15%–4%6%34%–
Global Strategy Group [320] [321] (Mendoza)January 10–15, 2019600±4.0%––9%–––––––11%11%–––––
David Binder Research [46] December 12–16, 2018500±4.4%–1%10%6%––––5%6%11%24%–7%6%19%–
Lake Research Partners [322] December 11–16, 2018600±4.0%4%5%10%7%1%1%––5%7%12%18%–6%6%19%–
Tulchin Research [323] December 10–16, 2018600±4.0%–3%10%6%–2%––3%8%12%22%–10%7%19%–
ALG Research [324] [325] [326] December 4–9, 2018600–6%3%9%5%––––4%7%16%21%–6%8%––
4%4%12%4%––––3%6%20%22%––7%––
Global Strategy Group [327] [328] November 8–11, 2018–±4.0%––16%––––––8%24%19%–7%9%––
––9%––––––7%13%15%–6%8%––

Runoff

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Lori
Lightfoot		Toni
Preckwinkle		Undecided
Temkin/Harris with Normington, Petts & Associates [336] [337] [338] March 18–20, 2019500±4.4%53%17%29%
Jason McGrath (Lightfoot) [282] February 28 – March 3, 2019799±3.5%59%29%–
FM3 [339] [340] [341] [342] February 27–28, 2019400 (LV)±4.9%58%30%12%
Change Research [311] February 22–23, 2019706±3.7%42%25%–
Ward poll(s)

The following are runoff polls limited to voters in a single ward:

WardPoll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Lori
Lightfoot		Toni
Preckwinkle		Undecided
2ndPoll for Brian K. Hopkins aldermanic campaign [343] Mid-March 201968%20%–

Hypothetical runoff polling

Dorothy Brown Cook vs. Rahm Emanuel
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Dorothy
Brown Cook		Rahm
Emanuel		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [332] August 2018722±7.0%26%43%31%
Gery Chico vs. Susana Mendoza
with Gery Chico and Susana Mendoza
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Gery
Chico		Susana
Mendoza
ALG Research [324] December 4–9, 2018600–23%58%
Bill Daley vs. Lori Lightfoot
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Bill
Daley		Lori
Lightfoot		Undecided
Change Research [311] February 22–23, 2019706±3.7%35%40%25%
Bill Daley vs. Susana Mendoza
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Bill
Daley		Susana
Mendoza
ALG Research [324] December 4–9, 2018600–29%56%
32%56%
Global Strategy Group [332] November 8–11, 2018600±4.0%29%47%
21%55%
Bill Daley vs. Toni Preckwinkle
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Bill
Daley		Toni
Preckwinkle		Undecided
Change Research [311] February 22–23, 2019706±3.7%39%32%–
Tulchin Research [317] February 6–10, 2019500 (LV)±4.3838%50%12%
We Ask America [344] January 10–15, 2019644±4.0%40.1%38.2%21.7%
Tulchin Research [323] December 10–16, 2018600±4.0%31%49%20%
ALG Research [324] December 4–9, 2018600–32%51%
–34%50%
Susana Mendoza v. Gery McCarthy
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Susana
Mendoza		Garry
McCarthy		Undecided
We Ask America [344] January 10–15, 2019644±4.0%54%24.2%21.7%
Susana Mendoza vs. Toni Preckwinkle
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Susana
Mendoza		Toni
Preckwinkle		Undecided
Tulchin Research [317] February 6–10, 2019500 (LV)±4.3839%46%18%
We Ask America [344] January 10–15, 2019644±4.0%43.5%35.1%21.4%
Global Strategy Group [320] January 10–15, 2019600±4.0%43%30%
Tulchin Research [323] December 10–16, 2018600±4.0%39%42%19%
ALG Research [324] [325] [326] December 4–9, 2018600–45%39%
44%44%12%
Global Strategy Group [332] November 8–11, 2018600±4.0%47%35%
39%34%
Rahm Emanuel vs. Lori Lightfoot
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Rahm
Emanuel		Lori
Lightfoot		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [332] August 201872238%33%20%
Jason McGrath (Lightfoot) [335] July 7–9, 2018800±0%40%50%–
Rahm Emanuel vs. Garry McCarthy
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Rahm
Emanuel		Garry
McCarthy		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [332] August 201872238%37%25%
Rahm Emanuel vs. Paul Vallas
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Rahm
Emanuel		Paul
Vallas		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [332] August 201872233%39%28%
Global Strategy Group [333] July 22–29, 2018600±4%44%37%–

Other polling

If Rahm Emanuel were running for re-election, would you vote for him?
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		YesNoUndecided
Temkin/Harris with Normington, Petts & Associates [336] [337] [338] March 18–20, 2019500±4.4%25%63%12%

Results

First round

2019 Chicago mayoral election results (first round)
Non-partisan election [1] [2]
CandidateVotes %
Lori Lightfoot97,66717.54
Toni Preckwinkle89,34316.04
William M. Daley82,29414.78
Willie L. Wilson59,07210.61
Susana A. Mendoza50,3739.05
Amara Enyia44,5898.01
Jerry Joyce40,0997.20
Gery Chico34,5216.20
Paul Vallas30,2365.43
Garry McCarthy14,7842.65
La Shawn K. Ford5,6061.01
Robert "Bob" Fioretti4,3020.77
John Kenneth Kozlar2,3490.42
Neal Sales-Griffin1,5230.27
Roger L. Washington write-in470.01
Tamara McCullough AKA Tamar Manasseh write-in110.00
Catherine Brown D'Tycoon write-in70.00
Stephen Hodge write-in70.00
Ja'Mal Green write-in60.00
Daniel Fein write-in30.00
Ryan Friedman write-in20.00
Richard Benedict Mayers write-in20.00
Robert A. Palmer write-in10.00
Total votes556,844

Results by ward

First round results by ward Chicago mayoral election, 2019 first round results.svg
First round results by ward

Seven candidates each had pluralities in at least one of the city's fifty wards. [2] [345] [346] [347] [348]

Of the city's eighteen wards that are predominantly black, Wilson carried a plurality of the vote in thirteen (Wards 6, 7, 9, 16, 17, 18, 20, 21, 24, 28, 29, 34, and 37) with Preckwinkle carrying a plurality of the vote in the remaining five (Wards 3, 4, 5, 8, and 27). [349] In the combined vote of the city's predominately black wards, Wilson placed first, Preckwinkle placed second, Lightfoot placed third, Daley placed fourth, and Enyia placed fifth. [349]

  Chico  Daley  Joyce  Lightfoot  Mendoza  Preckwinkle  Wilson

Results by ward [2]
WardChicoDaleyEnyiaFiorettiFordJoyceKolzarLightfootMcCarthyMendozaPreckwinkleSales-GriffinVallasWilsonTotal
votes		Turnout
%
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
 
16375.12%1,61713.01%1,74914.07%1010.81%780.63%4273.43%840.68%3,19825.73%2291.84%1,33810.76%2,02016.25%460.37%5564.47%3512.82%12,43133.72%
26124.47%3,87128.27%8756.39%900.66%640.47%5223.81%760.55%3,08822.55%4082.98%1,0147.40%1,63011.90%580.42%1,0257.49%3612.64%13,69434.24%
34923.64%1,80813.36%1,2909.53%1661.23%1421.05%3962.93%440.33%2,45718.16%1771.31%6684.94%3,09722.88%450.33%5303.92%2,22116.41%13,53335.90%
43612.51%1,3319.27%1,60011.14%1541.07%1801.25%2581.80%340.24%2,86519.95%1300.91%5924.12%4,52031.47%550.38%4152.89%1,86713.00%14,36239.82%
52471.85%1,0948.19%1,51411.33%540.40%1441.08%1951.46%140.10%2,80420.99%810.61%4143.10%4,59934.43%510.38%3462.59%1,80213.49%13,35942.04%
62572.48%8338.04%9659.31%590.57%2001.93%2152.07%80.08%1,52214.69%740.71%2782.68%2,61125.20%270.26%2182.10%3,09529.87%10,36231.70%
73503.39%9048.76%1,07610.42%590.57%1521.47%1931.87%130.13%1,49214.45%870.84%4484.34%2,50524.26%430.42%2552.47%2,74826.62%10,32532.14%
83682.67%1,2809.28%1,45710.57%750.54%2451.78%2942.13%140.10%2,03514.76%860.62%4343.15%3,63926.39%510.37%3072.23%3,50425.41%13,78936.80%
93693.19%1,0429.01%1,0789.32%850.74%1571.36%2562.21%110.10%1,64114.19%870.75%3523.04%2,63822.82%400.35%2962.56%3,51030.36%11,56231.86%
101,95223.07%1,07312.68%3464.09%730.86%280.33%6447.61%310.37%5376.35%5196.13%1,56118.45%5836.89%140.17%5446.43%5566.57%8,46131.47%
117266.88%3,80836.10%6816.46%650.62%320.30%9989.46%2752.61%1,21011.47%5415.13%6606.26%8157.73%150.14%4834.58%2392.27%10,54837.27%
1288715.02%98316.64%4667.89%340.58%260.44%4447.52%430.73%4818.14%2313.91%1,45024.55%4988.43%190.32%1913.23%1542.61%5,90728.97%
131,86614.86%2,07816.54%3492.78%1140.91%200.16%2,63420.97%520.41%6094.85%7576.03%2,48119.75%5114.07%170.14%7866.26%2872.28%12,56144.30%
141,27117.46%1,14815.77%3584.92%650.89%70.10%1,00713.83%340.47%3725.11%3895.34%1,79924.71%3524.84%100.14%3364.62%1311.80%7,27934.19%
1574614.56%58911.49%3617.04%250.49%400.78%2785.42%190.37%3426.67%1062.07%1,12221.89%57011.12%130.25%1412.75%77315.08%5,12526.99%
162684.72%58310.27%4217.42%240.42%931.64%1232.17%170.30%57310.10%571.00%4958.72%1,09819.35%90.16%1192.10%1,79431.62%5,67422.80%
172883.57%7429.20%6828.46%340.42%1251.55%1702.11%90.11%94611.73%640.79%3724.61%1,75721.79%220.27%1962.43%2,65632.94%8,06327.12%
187316.02%1,32410.91%9547.86%580.48%1711.41%9007.42%220.18%1,55912.85%2572.12%8647.12%2,22718.35%300.25%5734.72%2,46620.32%12,13635.84%
191,0504.92%2,18010.21%7533.53%800.37%800.37%9,29643.55%520.24%1,8098.48%3961.86%7913.71%1,7248.08%320.15%2,0239.48%1,0785.05%21,34456.99%
202172.83%5687.40%83610.90%400.52%1351.76%1391.81%110.14%1,12214.63%510.66%3524.59%1,78023.20%190.25%1542.01%2,24729.29%7,67129.59%
213602.86%1,0458.29%1,1869.41%670.53%2111.67%2952.34%110.09%1,71313.59%780.62%4073.23%3,04924.19%460.37%2932.33%3,84130.48%12,60233.48%
2268313.80%63412.81%3627.31%240.48%470.95%3737.53%210.42%3276.60%1412.85%1,29226.10%58311.78%70.14%1122.26%3456.97%4,95124.38%
231,30314.29%1,48916.33%2813.08%650.71%190.21%2,03122.27%600.66%4995.47%5476.00%1,57417.26%4054.44%100.11%6096.68%2282.50%9,12035.35%
241522.34%5358.23%5588.58%480.74%2193.37%1141.75%60.09%73911.36%580.89%2684.12%1,37821.19%120.18%1001.54%2,31635.61%6,50324.19%
251,02610.43%1,35313.75%1,22312.43%940.96%560.57%5255.34%640.65%1,61316.39%2172.21%1,43614.59%1,37613.98%340.35%4104.17%4134.20%9,84033.15%
267328.22%1,12812.67%1,09812.33%510.57%650.73%3103.48%240.27%1,55117.42%2172.44%1,27514.32%1,59417.91%370.42%3223.62%4985.59%8,90230.55%
274043.84%1,54514.69%9168.71%2112.01%1891.80%2882.74%430.41%1,77216.85%1651.57%6516.19%2,01219.13%410.39%3763.57%1,90518.11%10,51828.12%
283013.59%8259.83%7118.47%1201.43%3063.65%2062.45%210.25%1,23114.67%931.11%3774.49%1,46317.43%240.29%2653.16%2,44929.18%8,39225.38%
294584.21%1,25311.52%7877.23%1111.02%5875.40%4023.70%300.28%1,44713.30%2171.99%6886.32%1,91117.57%90.08%4153.81%2,56423.57%10,87930.11%
307449.91%1,06414.17%6108.12%761.01%270.36%4005.33%600.80%1,15415.37%3414.54%1,54520.57%88511.78%100.13%3574.75%2373.16%7,51029.20%
3172511.15%1,03315.88%4707.23%540.83%230.35%3244.98%370.57%82012.61%2854.38%1,48222.78%70810.88%130.20%2674.10%2644.06%6,50526.16%
326154.59%2,44918.26%1,39810.43%1000.75%690.51%5223.89%800.60%3,94729.43%2682.00%1,0637.93%1,82213.59%600.45%8126.06%2051.53%13,41035.99%
336786.15%1,40712.77%1,21511.03%820.74%650.59%4434.02%420.38%2,76825.13%2932.66%1,46313.28%1,77416.10%370.34%5294.80%2202.00%11,01639.90%
343302.79%1,1109.39%1,0538.91%770.65%1981.67%3312.80%60.05%1,62313.73%970.82%3883.28%2,71622.97%280.24%2782.35%3,58730.34%11,82231.91%
355386.71%88110.99%1,06913.34%600.75%540.67%2763.44%310.39%1,78822.31%1952.43%1,14214.25%1,46118.23%230.29%2943.67%2012.51%8,01330.91%
3667211.53%94716.25%2584.43%480.82%250.43%4928.44%540.93%5659.70%2774.75%1,28322.02%5088.72%50.09%4217.23%2714.65%5,82623.75%
371962.53%7589.77%5787.45%530.68%6137.90%1321.70%120.15%84310.87%710.92%3724.80%1,41618.25%170.22%1622.09%2,53532.68%7,75824.50%
381,15110.46%1,90117.27%3202.91%1301.18%260.24%1,57614.32%740.67%1,22511.13%7246.58%1,51013.72%8067.32%180.16%1,17510.68%3703.36%11,00633.01%
391,0467.81%2,54819.03%6374.76%1140.85%320.24%1,2439.28%600.45%2,38717.83%5854.37%1,2889.62%1,52711.40%370.28%1,47611.02%4113.07%13,39140.62%
406885.11%1,62612.07%1,3409.94%740.55%640.47%6925.14%490.36%4,02729.88%3112.31%1,1548.56%2,27416.88%300.22%8646.41%2822.09%13,47541.96%
411,6339.11%3,39318.93%2981.66%2091.17%170.09%3,65320.38%740.41%1,5948.89%1,2066.73%1,5468.63%9115.08%310.17%2,74715.33%6123.41%17,92448.18%
427075.16%4,41232.23%5664.13%970.71%520.38%5514.02%850.62%2,86820.95%5654.13%9376.84%1,50210.97%570.42%9877.21%3042.22%13,69031.42%
436524.51%4,48931.02%7435.13%900.62%490.34%5303.66%730.50%3,36523.25%3422.36%9956.88%1,65911.46%480.33%1,1337.83%3042.10%14,47240.10%
447094.62%3,18720.76%1,1717.63%1000.65%700.46%4542.96%800.52%4,45329.01%3492.27%1,3919.06%2,13213.89%590.38%9616.26%2361.54%15,35240.26%
451,2668.46%2,40216.05%6244.17%1851.24%460.31%1,87012.50%1010.68%2,31315.46%9426.30%1,62410.85%1,4559.72%200.13%1,52910.22%5853.91%14,96242.62%
466104.32%2,03914.43%1,50310.64%960.68%870.62%3922.77%730.52%4,16329.46%2892.05%1,2548.87%2,42617.17%450.32%6744.77%4803.40%14,13140.78%
478204.18%2,86514.60%1,99110.15%1200.61%870.44%7363.75%970.49%6,21631.68%3731.90%1,6248.28%3,15916.10%490.25%1,1906.07%2931.49%19,62049.55%
485713.71%1,88612.27%1,4919.70%840.55%750.49%6374.14%520.34%5,05632.89%2971.93%1,0376.75%3,04619.81%360.23%6754.39%4302.80%15,37344.97%
494693.77%1,1479.23%1,75614.13%850.68%780.63%3843.09%370.30%3,32826.79%1771.42%1,0678.59%2,91823.49%440.35%4833.89%4513.63%12,42442.61%
505876.39%2,08722.72%5656.15%1221.33%310.34%5285.75%290.32%1,61017.53%3373.67%7558.22%1,29314.08%200.22%8268.99%3954.30%9,18532.85%

Runoff

2019 Chicago mayoral election results (runoff) [4] [3]
CandidateVotes %
Lori Lightfoot386,03973.70%
Toni Preckwinkle137,76526.30%
Total votes523,804

Results by ward

Lightfoot won all fifty of the city's wards. [4] [350] [351] Additionally, Lightfoot won 2,049 of the city's 2,069 voting precincts (all but twenty), a victory for Lightfoot in more than 99.03% of precincts. [352]

The only neighborhood to back Preckwinkle over Lightfoot was Preckwinkle's home neighborhood of Hyde Park. [353] Preckwinkle's strongest support was in Hyde Park and its surrounding area, with Preckwinkle only managing to outperform Lightfoot in a single precinct that was located away from that part of the city. [354]

Results by ward [4]
WardLightfootPreckwinkleTotal votesTurnout %
Votes %Votes %
17,76271.42%3,10628.58%10,86829.20%
210,43080.89%2,46419.11%12,89432.09%
39,28470.01%3,97729.99%13,26134.94%
48,66359.72%5,84240.28%14,50539.94%
57,52254.38%6,31145.62%13,83343.14%
67,54966.88%3,73933.12%11,28834.31%
77,09967.56%3,40932.44%10,50832.48%
89,32765.99%4,80634.01%14,13337.56%
98,25169.67%3,59230.33%11,84332.51%
105,28181.67%1,18518.33%6,46623.93%
116,48374.31%2,24125.69%8,72430.61%
123,06174.35%1,05625.65%4,11720.05%
137,20184.95%1,27615.05%8,47729.70%
143,85381.87%85318.13%4,70621.90%
153,97474.32%1,37325.68%5,34727.98%
164,08569.77%1,77030.23%5,85523.39%
175,73669.59%2,50730.41%8,24327.61%
188,43973.38%3,06126.62%11,50033.82%
1915,93184.33%2,96115.67%18,89250.16%
205,11065.81%2,65534.19%7,76520.56%
219,41668.97%4,23731.03%13,65336.15%
222,82075.20%93024.80%3,75018.40%
235,75783.56%1,13316.44%6,89026.59%
244,57669.49%2,00930.51%6,58524.21%
256,88371.81%2,70228.19%9,58532.01%
264,86766.22%2,48333.78%7,35025.05%
277,41470.78%3,06129.22%10,47527.71%
286,00471.81%2,35728.19%8,36125.04%
298,16973.40%2,96126.60%11,13030.71%
305,79073.67%2,06926.33%7,85930.33%
314,86673.28%1,77426.72%6,64026.55%
3210,02778.91%2,68021.09%12,70733.87%
338,12770.93%3,33029.07%11,45741.16%
348,30468.78%3,77031.22%12,07432.41%
354,63266.51%2,33233.49%6,96426.72%
364,55781.96%1,00318.04%5,56022.51%
375,68672.72%2,13327.28%7,81924.60%
388,49883.87%1,63416.13%10,13230.25%
3910,52379.00%2,79821.00%13,32140.23%
409,95471.55%3,95828.45%13,91243.05%
4113,02687.53%1,85612.47%14,88239.79%
4211,08684.32%2,06115.68%13,14729.95%
4311,75683.58%2,30916.42%14,06538.59%
4410,90480.47%2,64619.53%13,55035.20%
4510,04181.50%2,27918.50%12,32034.90%
4610,40073.06%3,83526.94%14,23540.69%
4714,30274.78%4,82425.22%19,12647.97%
4810,45270.27%4,42129.73%14,87343.26%
496,58463.32%3,81436.68%10,39835.00%
505,57771.88%2,18228.12%7,75927.57%

Voter turnout

First round

Turnout in the first round of the election was 35.20%. [1] [2] The low turnout was attributed to poor youth turnout and a drop off in voter turnout from the 2018 midterms. [355] [356] [357]

The 35.32% turnout was higher than that of the first round of the 2015 election, [358] but was lower than that of the 2015 runoff. [359] Turnout was lower than in the previous open race in 2011. [360]

Turnout was reported to be lowest among the millennial age demographic, with a lower turnout among those under 35 than the previous lowest under-35 turnout in 2007. [361]

Runoff

Runoff turnout was 32.89%. [4] [3]

Portrayal in media

The Steve James documentary series City So Real , which premiered at the 2020 Sundance Film Festival and was later televised on National Geographic on October 28, 2020, centers on the mayoral election. [362]

Timeline

2017

2018

March
April
May
August
September
November
December

2019

January
February
March
April

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 Chicago elections</span> Chicago Mayors Election

The 2019 Chicago elections took place in two rounds on February 26, 2019, and April 2, 2019. Elections were held for Mayor of Chicago, City Clerk of Chicago, City Treasurer of Chicago, and all 50 members of the Chicago City Council. The candidates who won in these elections were inaugurated on May 20, 2019. Four ballot referendums were also voted on in certain precincts. The elections were administered by the Chicago Board of Elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Lori Lightfoot</span> 56th mayor of Chicago from 2019 to 2023

Lori Elaine Lightfoot is an American politician and attorney who was the 56th mayor of Chicago from 2019 until 2023. She is a member of the Democratic Party. Before becoming mayor, Lightfoot worked in private legal practice as a partner at Mayer Brown and held various government positions in Chicago. She served as president of the Chicago Police Board and chair of the Chicago Police Accountability Task Force. In 2019, Lightfoot defeated Toni Preckwinkle in a runoff election for Chicago mayor. She ran again in 2023 but failed to qualify for the runoff, becoming the city's first incumbent mayor to not be reelected since Jane Byrne in 1983.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mayoral elections in Chicago</span> Elections since 1837

Chicago has held regularly-scheduled popular elections to select the city's mayor ever since it was incorporated as a city in 1837.

Lakefront liberals is a voting bloc in the city of Chicago that was prominent in the 1970s and 1980s.

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  315. ↑ "5-Person Dash to Finish of Chicago Mayoral Race, Poll Shows". NBC Chicago. February 14, 2019. Retrieved February 26, 2019.
  316. ↑ Wilson, Willie [@DrWillieWilson] (February 16, 2019). "No bias. All the polls are "singing the same song" - Victory, Ogden & Fry, We Ask America and now Tulchin Research. And now that you know? You know what to do... punch 22 for Willie Wilson For Mayor! Everyone else is saying so! Click, read, like & share! https://t.co/9CfzbfCoho" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020– via Twitter.
  317. 1 2 3 "Tulchin Research Memo - Chicago Mayoral Poll 2-19 Final.pdf". Google Docs. Tulchin Research. 2019. Retrieved January 30, 2023.
  318. ↑ Wilson, Willie [@DrWillieWilson] (February 12, 2019). "Ogden & Fry releases an unbiased poll - unsolicited by Dr. Wilson - on the Feb 26 election. A head-to-head tie between Dr. Willie Wilson & Alderman Ed Burke's favorite machine politician: Toni Preckwinkle. Click, read, like & share! #ThePeoplesMayor #Punch22Feb26 #ChiMayor19 https://t.co/uWjBU7O3PE" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020– via Twitter.
  319. ↑ Blakley, Derrick (February 8, 2019). "New Poll: In Mayor's Race, Daley Places Second". WBBM-TV .
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  322. ↑ "Key Takeaways from New Survey of Likely 2019 Voters" (PDF). Chicago Teachers Union. January 4, 2019. Retrieved February 28, 2019.
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  329. ↑ "It's a wide-open race to replace Emanuel, survey says". Crain's Chicago Business. September 10, 2018.
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  341. ↑ Stand for Children Illinois (March 4, 2019). "Stand for Children IL PAC Poll: Lightfoot 58%, Preckwinkle 30%". Politico.
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  349. 1 2 Johnson, Erick (February 28, 2019). "Lightfoot won without winning a Black ward | The Crusader Newspaper Group". The Chicago Crusader. Retrieved February 12, 2020.
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  351. ↑ "Stunning Map Shows Lightfoot Victory in All 50 Wards". NBC Chicago. April 3, 2019.
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  353. ↑ Gettinger, Aaron (March 2, 2023). "Johnson carried plurality of Hyde Park's vote, followed by Lightfoot". Hyde Park Herald.
  354. ↑ Posa, Pranathi (April 14, 2019). "How Hyde Park Voted". Chicago Maroon. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
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  356. ↑ "Low voter turnout attributed to disillusionment with leaders, drop in interest from midterms". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved April 2, 2019.
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  360. ↑ "TABULATED STATEMENT OF THE RETURNS AND PROCLAMATION OF THE RESULTS OF THE CANVASS OF THE ELECTION RETURNS FOR THE FEBRUARY 22, 2011 MUNICIPAL GENERAL ELECTION HELD IN EACH OF THE PRECINCTS IN ALL OF THE WARDS IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO" (PDF). Chicago Board of Elections. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
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  364. ↑ "Black Lives Matter activist Ja'Mal Green announces run for mayor of Chicago". April 20, 2018. Retrieved January 18, 2019.
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  366. ↑ "Quinn files 86K signatures hoping to get mayoral term limits before voters this fall". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved April 2, 2019.
  367. ↑ Illinois Campaign for Political Reform. "Friends of Trudy Leong". Illinois Sunshine. Retrieved December 29, 2018.
  368. 1 2 "Pat Quinn faces additional hurdles in trying to term-limit Chicago mayors". Chicago Tribune. August 31, 2018. Retrieved April 28, 2019.
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  376. ↑ "Ald. Sawyer says Preckwinkle will join crowded mayoral field this week". September 17, 2018. Retrieved January 18, 2019.
  377. ↑ "La Shawn Ford enters race for mayor". Gary/Chicago Crusader. Retrieved January 18, 2019.
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  379. ↑ "Monday is last day for challenges in Chicago mayoral race". December 3, 2018. Retrieved January 18, 2019.
  380. ↑ "Municipal Candidate List". November 24, 2018. Archived from the original on November 24, 2018. Retrieved January 18, 2019.
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