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Turnout | 72.14% | ||||||||||||||||
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Durbin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Curran: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Illinois |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections and the Illinois Fair Tax. Incumbent Democratic Senator Dick Durbin, who had been Senate Minority Whip since 2015, won reelection to a fifth term in office, defeating Republican nominee Mark Curran.
Durbin decisively won re-election with 54.9% of the vote. Key to Durbin's landslide victory was the heavily populated and very Democratic Cook County home of Chicago, which he won by around 560,000 votes. Durbin also did well in the suburban, often called collar counties of Chicago, winning all of them except McHenry County. Durbin did well in Champaign County, home of the University of Illinois, and St. Clair County, where his birth home of East St. Louis is located. Nevertheless, Curran did well in most rural areas of the state, including winning rural Alexander County where a Republican had not won since 1972. Durbin became the first senator from Illinois to be elected five consecutive times since senators began being elected by popular vote in 1913. [1]
The primaries and general elections coincide with those for federal (president and House) and those for state offices.
For the primaries, turnout was 28.36% with 2,279,439 votes cast. [2] [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dick Durbin (incumbent) | 1,446,118 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 1,446,118 | 100.00% |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mark Curran | 205,747 | 41.55% | |
Republican | Peggy Hubbard | 113,189 | 22.86% | |
Republican | Robert Marshall | 75,561 | 15.26% | |
Republican | Tom Tarter | 73,009 | 14.74% | |
Republican | Casey Chlebek | 27,655 | 5.58% | |
Republican | Richard Mayers (write-in) | 7 | 0.00% | |
Total votes | 495,168 | 100.00% |
A legal ruling, taking note of the COVID-19 pandemic in Illinois, allowed the Libertarian and Green Parties to have their selected candidate on the ballot without the normal signature requirements, as they each ran a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016. [31]
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [47] | Safe D | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections [48] | Safe D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [50] | Safe D | October 30, 2020 |
Politico [51] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP [52] | Safe D | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ [53] | Safe D | November 3, 2020 |
538 [54] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Economist [55] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Dick Durbin (D) | Mark Curran (R) | Willie Wilson (I) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. [82] | October 31 – November 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 52% | 30% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 2] | 14% |
Victory Research [83] | October 26 – November 1, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 26% | 15% | 5% [lower-alpha 3] | 4% |
with Dick Durbin, generic Republican and Willie Wilson
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Dick Durbin (D) | Generic Republican (R) | Willie Wilson (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson [84] [upper-alpha 1] | September 4, 2019 | 449 (LV) | ± 4.31% | 44% | 34% | 4% | 18% |
with Dick Durbin and Willie Wilson
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Dick Durbin (D) | Willie Wilson (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson [84] [upper-alpha 1] | September 4, 2019 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.31% | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Durbin also kept his landslide winning streak by winning with at least a ten-point margin. Durbin was sworn in on January 3, 2021, for his fifth term, which expires on January 3, 2027.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dick Durbin (incumbent) | 3,278,930 | 54.93% | +1.38% | |
Republican | Mark Curran | 2,319,870 | 38.87% | −3.82% | |
Willie Wilson Party | Willie Wilson | 237,699 | 3.98% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Danny Malouf | 75,673 | 1.27% | −2.49% | |
Green | David Black | 56,711 | 0.95% | N/A | |
Write-in | 18 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 5,968,901 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold |
Durbin won 12 of the 18 congressional districts, with the remaining 6 going to Curran. Each candidate won a district that elected a representative of the other party. [86]
District | Durbin | Curran | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 64% | 22% | Bobby Rush |
2nd | 68% | 18% | Robin Kelly |
3rd | 55% | 37% | Dan Lipinski |
Marie Newman | |||
4th | 78% | 14% | Chuy García |
5th | 69% | 25% | Mike Quigley |
6th | 51% | 44% | Sean Casten |
7th | 75% | 12% | Danny Davis |
8th | 58% | 37% | Raja Krishnamoorthi |
9th | 68% | 27% | Jan Schakowsky |
10th | 60% | 36% | Brad Schneider |
11th | 59% | 35% | Bill Foster |
12th | 44% | 53% | Mike Bost |
13th | 47.7% | 48.3% | Rodney Davis |
14th | 47% | 48% | Lauren Underwood |
15th | 29% | 68% | Mary Miller |
16th | 41% | 55% | Adam Kinzinger |
17th | 49% | 48% | Cheri Bustos |
18th | 37% | 60% | Darin LaHood |
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