2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi

2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi
Turnout	60.4%
	Hyde-Smith: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% >90%; Espy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 50% No data
U.S. senator before election; Cindy Hyde-Smith ; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator; Cindy Hyde-Smith ; Republican

Last updated April 14, 2024

The 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Mississippi, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith won reelection to a full term against Democratic nominee Mike Espy, in a rematch of the 2018 special election. Despite being outspent nearly four to one,^[1] Hyde-Smith won by a ten-point margin; however, she underperformed Republican president Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by around 6 points.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Cindy Hyde-Smith, incumbent U.S. senator^[2]

Declined

Gerard Gibert, businessman and vice chairman of the Mississippi Lottery Board^[3]
Chris McDaniel, incumbent state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018^[4]
Josh Randle, former president of the Miss America Organization ^[5]

Endorsements

Cindy Hyde-Smith

Organizations

Maggie's List ^[6]

Results

Republican primary results^[7]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent)	235,463	100.0%
Total votes			235,463	100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Mike Espy, former United States Secretary of Agriculture, former U.S. representative for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 ^[4]^[8]^[9]

Eliminated in primary

Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 ^[10]
Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018^[11]

Declined

J. P. Hughes Jr., state representative and candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Mississippi in 2019^[12]
Brandon Presley, member of the Mississippi Public Service Commission ^[12]

Endorsements

Mike Espy

Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mike Espy	250,496	93.12%
	Democratic	Tobey Bartee	11,148	4.14%
	Democratic	Jensen Bohren	7,345	2.74%
Total votes			268,989	100.0%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Jimmy Edwards^[17]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report ^[18]	Likely R	October 29, 2020
Inside Elections ^[19]	Safe R	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball ^[20]	Likely R	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos ^[21]	Safe R	October 30, 2020
Politico ^[22]	Likely R	November 2, 2020
RCP ^[23]	Lean R	October 23, 2020
DDHQ ^[24]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
538 ^[25]	Likely R	November 2, 2020
Economist ^[26]	Likely R	November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017-2021)^[27]

Organizations

Mike Espy (D)

Executive Branch officials

Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)^[33]
Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)^[34]

U.S. senators

Elizabeth Warren, senator from Massachusetts since 2013^[35]

U.S. representatives

Bennie Thompson, representative from MS-2 since 1993^[36]

State officials

Stacey Abrams, former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives ^[37]

Notable individuals

Andrew Yang, former 2020 Democratic presidential primary candidate^[38]

Organizations

Unions

Mississippi AFL-CIO ^[44]
National Education Association ^[45]

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)	Mike Espy (D)	Other	Undecided
Data For Progress	October 27 – November 1, 2020	562 (LV)	± 4.1%	50%	47%	4%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	–
Civiqs/Daily Kos	October 23–26, 2020	507 (LV)	± 5.3%	52%	44%	3%^{[lower-alpha 2]}	2%
The Progress Campaign (D)	October 23, 2020	– (V)^{[lower-alpha 3]}	–	48%	43%	–	–
Tyson Group (R) ^{[lower-alpha 4]}	August 28–30, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	41%	40%	–	18%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) ^{[lower-alpha 5]}	July 30 – August 9, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4.1%	47%	42%	3%^{[lower-alpha 6]}	8%
Public Policy Polling (D) ^{[lower-alpha 7]}	May 27–28, 2020	871 (V)	± 3.3%	49%	41%	–	10%
Impact Management Group (R)	May 4–7, 2020	606 (LV)	± 4.4%	58%	31%	3%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	9%^{[lower-alpha 9]}
Tyson Group (R) ^{[lower-alpha 4]}	March 10–12, 2020	600 (LV)	–	54%	28%	–	18%
The Progress Campaign (D)	March 3–7, 2020	826 (V)	–	52%	44%	–	4%^{[lower-alpha 10]}
Mason-Dixon	February 26–28, 2020	625 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	43%	–	4%
Chism Strategies	January 3–7, 2020	618 (LV)	± 3.9%	44%	36%	–	20%

Results

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2020^[46]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent)	709,511	54.11%	+0.48%
	Democratic	Mike Espy	578,691	44.13%	-2.24%
	Libertarian	Jimmy Edwards	23,152	1.77%	N/A
Total votes			1,311,354	100.00%
	Republican hold

By county

County^[47]	Cindy Hyde-Smith Republican		Mike Espy Democratic		Jimmy Edwards Libertarian		Margin		Total votes
County^[47]	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total votes
Adams	5,416	39.37	8,190	59.53	152	1.10	-2,774	-20.16	13,758
Alcorn	11,616	74.29	3,641	23.29	378	2.42	7,975	51.01	15,635
Amite	4,347	60.62	2,750	38.35	74	1.03	1,597	22.27	7,171
Attala	4,888	55.42	3,824	43.36	108	1.22	1,064	12.06	8,820
Benton	2,320	54.21	1,868	43.64	92	2.15	452	10.56	4,280
Bolivar	4,317	31.40	9,330	67.86	102	0.74	-5,013	-36.46	13,749
Calhoun	4,341	65.86	2,138	32.44	112	1.70	2,203	33.42	6,591
Carroll	3,716	64.93	1,923	33.60	84	1.47	1,793	31.33	5,723
Chickasaw	3,913	47.96	4,134	50.67	112	1.37	-221	-2.71	8,159
Choctaw	2,811	66.78	1,320	31.36	78	1.85	1,491	35.42	4,209
Claiborne	555	12.37	3,907	87.05	26	0.58	-3,352	-74.69	4,488
Clarke	5,169	61.93	3,053	36.58	125	1.50	2,116	25.35	8,347
Clay	4,006	38.95	6,171	59.99	109	1.06	-2,165	-21.05	10,286
Coahoma	2,133	25.05	6,337	74.41	46	0.54	-4,204	-49.37	8,516
Copiah	6,062	46.96	6,730	52.13	118	0.91	-668	-5.17	12,910
Covington	5,604	59.80	3,637	38.81	131	1.40	1,967	20.99	9,372
DeSoto	43,171	56.76	31,115	40.91	1,768	2.33	12,056	15.85	76,054
Forrest	16,079	50.81	14,871	46.99	695	2.20	1,208	3.82	31,645
Franklin	2,833	63.56	1,570	35.23	54	1.21	1,263	28.34	4,457
George	8,811	80.72	1,844	16.89	260	2.38	6,967	63.83	10,915
Greene	4,395	76.84	1,196	20.91	129	2.25	3,199	55.93	5,720
Grenada	5,654	51.72	5,120	46.84	157	1.44	534	4.88	10,931
Hancock	14,537	70.02	5,651	27.22	573	2.76	8,886	42.80	20,761
Harrison	43,180	57.04	30,367	40.12	2,152	2.84	12,813	16.93	75,699
Hinds	23,661	23.65	75,467	75.44	910	0.91	-51,806	-51.77	100,038
Holmes	1,230	15.25	6,798	84.30	36	0.45	-5,568	-69.05	8,064
Humphreys	1,023	24.43	3,135	74.88	29	0.69	-2,112	-50.44	4,187
Issaquena	309	45.37	367	53.89	5	0.73	-58	-8.52	681
Itawamba	8,818	82.04	1,680	15.63	251	2.33	7,138	66.41	10,749
Jackson	33,608	61.93	19,334	35.63	1,325	2.44	14,274	26.30	54,267
Jasper	4,102	46.88	4,556	52.07	92	1.05	-454	-5.19	8,750
Jefferson Davis	2,400	38.70	3,758	60.59	44	0.71	-1,358	-21.90	6,202
Jefferson	476	12.15	3,428	87.54	12	0.31	-2,952	-75.38	3,916
Jones	19,917	66.43	9,422	31.43	641	2.14	10,495	35.01	29,980
Kemper	1,720	36.40	2,965	62.75	40	0.85	-1,245	-26.35	4,725
Lafayette	12,127	51.90	10,806	46.25	432	1.85	1,321	5.65	23,365
Lamar	19,588	68.88	8,157	28.68	693	2.44	11,431	40.20	28,438
Lauderdale	17,082	54.89	13,537	43.50	501	1.61	3,545	11.39	31,120
Lawrence	4,222	64.00	2,318	35.14	57	0.86	1,904	28.86	6,597
Leake	4,991	54.21	4,123	44.79	92	1.00	868	9.43	9,206
Lee	22,739	61.70	13,372	36.28	745	2.02	9,367	25.42	36,856
Leflore	2,914	26.72	7,936	72.76	57	0.52	-5,022	-46.04	10,907
Lincoln	11,378	67.72	5,256	31.28	168	1.00	6,122	36.44	16,802
Lowndes	13,010	47.79	13,843	50.85	369	1.36	-833	-3.06	27,222
Madison	30,038	53.42	25,374	45.12	823	1.46	4,664	8.29	56,235
Marion	7,821	64.19	4,177	34.28	187	1.53	3,644	29.91	12,185
Marshall	6,904	43.96	8,590	54.69	212	1.35	-1,686	-10.74	15,706
Monroe	10,516	60.89	6,441	37.29	314	1.82	4,075	23.59	17,271
Montgomery	2,738	53.81	2,264	44.50	86	1.69	474	9.32	5,088
Neshoba	7,797	67.03	3,602	30.96	234	2.01	4,195	36.06	11,633
Newton	6,659	65.77	3,290	32.49	176	1.74	3,369	33.27	10,125
Noxubee	1,178	22.07	4,138	77.53	21	0.39	-2,960	-55.46	5,337
Oktibbeha	8,592	43.45	10,870	54.97	313	1.58	-2,278	-11.52	19,775
Panola	7,425	47.60	7,953	50.99	220	1.41	-528	-3.39	15,598
Pearl River	17,814	75.33	5,053	21.37	780	3.30	12,761	53.96	23,647
Perry	4,204	71.24	1,555	26.35	142	2.41	2,649	44.89	5,901
Pike	8,044	46.37	9,048	52.15	257	1.48	-1,004	-5.79	17,349
Pontotoc	10,803	75.52	3,164	22.12	337	2.36	7,639	53.40	14,304
Prentiss	7,651	72.22	2,714	25.62	229	2.16	4,937	46.60	10,594
Quitman	883	27.27	2,307	71.25	48	1.48	-1,424	-43.98	3,238
Rankin	48,502	68.82	20,315	28.82	1,664	2.36	28,187	39.99	70,481
Scott	5,933	55.28	4,649	43.31	151	1.41	1,284	11.96	10,733
Sharkey	663	30.40	1,511	69.28	7	0.32	-848	-38.88	2,181
Simpson	7,381	62.43	4,303	36.40	138	1.17	3,078	26.04	11,822
Smith	6,202	74.64	1,977	23.79	130	1.57	4,225	50.85	8,309
Stone	5,609	71.38	2,051	26.10	198	2.52	3,558	45.28	7,858
Sunflower	2,623	27.08	7,020	72.48	42	0.43	-4,397	-45.40	9,685
Tallahatchie	2,309	40.59	3,316	58.29	64	1.25	-1,007	-17.70	5,689
Tate	8,071	61.98	4,694	36.05	256	1.97	3,377	25.93	13,021
Tippah	7,394	73.69	2,432	24.24	208	2.07	4,962	49.45	10,034
Tishomingo	7,216	79.59	1,594	17.58	256	2.82	5,622	62.01	9,066
Tunica	814	22.78	2,717	76.04	42	1.18	-1,903	-53.26	3,573
Union	9,572	75.63	2,660	21.02	424	3.35	6,912	54.61	12,656
Walthall	4,005	56.54	2,993	42.25	86	1.21	1,012	14.29	7,084
Warren	9,912	47.18	10,853	51.65	246	1.17	-941	-4.48	21,011
Washington	4,891	26.94	13,155	72.46	109	0.60	-8,264	-45.52	18,155
Wayne	5,984	59.35	3,954	39.22	144	1.43	2,030	20.13	10,082
Webster	4,067	75.62	1,198	22.28	113	2.10	2,869	53.35	5,378
Wilkinson	1,295	31.76	2,702	66.27	80	1.96	-1,407	-32.06	4,077
Winston	4,846	52.32	4,303	46.45	114	1.23	543	5.86	9,263
Yalobusha	3,415	52.47	3,005	46.17	88	1.35	410	6.30	6,508
Yazoo	4,551	43.62	5,804	55.63	79	0.76	-1,253	-12.01	10,434
Totals	709,511	54.11	578,691	44.13	23,152	1.77	130,820	9.98	1,311,354

Notes

↑ Edwards (L) with 3%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
↑ Edwards (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
↑ Not yet released
1 2 Poll sponsored by the Consumer Energy Alliance, which is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group.
↑ Poll sponsored by Espy's campaign
↑ "Third party" with 3%
↑ Poll conducted for the Mississippi Democratic Party.
↑ Edwards (L) with 3%
↑ Includes "refused"
↑ Listed as "other/undecided"

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↑ "NRA-PVF | Grades | Mississippi". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on October 27, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
↑ "2020 Election HQ". Archived from the original on November 1, 2020.
↑ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce again endorses Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith for US Senate". www.yallpolitics.com. June 30, 2020. Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.
↑ "Obama endorses Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". The Hill. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
↑ "U.S. Senate Candidate Mike Espy receives endorsement from Joe Biden". WMC5. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
↑ "Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senator". June 21, 2020.
↑ Adam Ganucheau (October 22, 2020). "Rep. Bennie Thompson, Democratic kingmaker, throws full support behind Mike Espy in Senate race". Mississippi Today.
↑ "Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senate Contests". AP.
↑ Frank Corder (October 15, 2020). "Yang's PAC endorses Espy, says it gives Democrats better chance to pass universal basic income". Y'all Politics.
↑ "2020 Endorsements".
↑ Geoff Pender (October 4, 2020). "Espy finally lands support from national Democrats in Senate race. Is it too late?". Mississippi Today.
↑ "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
↑ "CBC Candidate: Mike Espy".
↑ "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". HRC. March 4, 2020.
↑ "Mississippi AFL-CIO endorses Mike Espy for Senate". April 7, 2020.
↑ "U.S. Senate – Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
↑ "AMENDED CERTIFICATION OF VOTE FOR UNITED STATES SENATE" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. December 7, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2022.
↑ "Total Votes Reported by Counties for 2020 General Election" (PDF). Statewide Election Management System. Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved February 13, 2022.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Mississippi", Voting & Elections Toolkits
"Mississippi: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
"League of Women Voters of Mississippi". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Mississippi at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.

[46] Edwards (L) with 3%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%

[47] Edwards (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%

[48] Not yet released

[consumer-49] 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Consumer Energy Alliance, which is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group.

[EspySponsored-50] Poll sponsored by Espy's campaign

[51] "Third party" with 3%

[MDP-52] Poll conducted for the Mississippi Democratic Party.

[53] Edwards (L) with 3%

[54] Includes "refused"

[55] Listed as "other/undecided"

[1] "Mississippi Senate 2020 Race". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on April 21, 2021.

[2] "HYDE-SMITH, CINDY – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.

[3] Lange, Alan (May 22, 2019). "Say it ain't so. Time to talk about the 2020 senate race already?". Y'all Politics. Retrieved May 23, 2019.

[McClatchy-4] 1 2 Douglas, William; Glueck, Katie (November 28, 2018). "Get ready: The fierce Mississippi Senate race may not be ending anytime soon". McClatchy. Retrieved November 30, 2018.

[5] Ganucheau, Adam (November 12, 2019). "Former Miss America pageant leader mulls Sen. Hyde-Smith challenge in 2020 GOP primary". Mississippi Today. Retrieved November 15, 2019.

[autogenerated3-6] 1 2 "2020 Candidates". maggieslist.org.

[MSGOP-7] "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.

[8] "ESPY, MICHAEL – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.

[9] "Democrat Mike Espy starts 2020 US Senate bid in Mississippi". The Philadelphia Tribune. November 15, 2019.

[10] "Mississippi will have Democratic primary for US Senate". AP NEWS. January 10, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2020.

[11] Ulmer, Sarah (June 17, 2019). "Unique candidate Jensen Bohren announces candidacy for 2020 U.S. Senate run" . Retrieved June 17, 2019.

[Wishlist-12] 1 2 Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.

[autogenerated2-13] "DSCC Endorses Mike Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". November 13, 2019.

[autogenerated1-14] "Our Candidates". Flip the Senate. Retrieved March 10, 2020.

[autogenerated4-15] Acosta, Lucas (March 4, 2020). "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign.^{[ dead link ]}

[MSDEM-16] "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on April 18, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.

[17] Pettus, Emily (March 11, 2020). "Espy wins Mississippi US Senate primary, setting up rematch with Hyde-Smith". Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2020.

[Cook_PR-18] "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

[Inside_Elections-19] "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-20] "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.

[Daily_Kos-21] "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.

[Politico-22] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[RCP-23] "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.

[DDHQ-24] "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.

[25] Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved September 18, 2020.

[26] "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.

[27] Geoff Pender (October 21, 2020). "Trump endorses Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi Senate race". Mississippi Today.

[28] "Campaign for Working Families Endorsed Candidates".

[29] "Mississippi". www.huckpac.com. Archived from the original on October 27, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)

[30] "NRA-PVF | Grades | Mississippi". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on October 27, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)

[31] "2020 Election HQ". Archived from the original on November 1, 2020.

[32] "U.S. Chamber of Commerce again endorses Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith for US Senate". www.yallpolitics.com. June 30, 2020. Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.

[33] "Obama endorses Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". The Hill. Retrieved October 21, 2020.

[34] "U.S. Senate Candidate Mike Espy receives endorsement from Joe Biden". WMC5. Retrieved October 2, 2020.

[35] "Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senator". June 21, 2020.

[36] Adam Ganucheau (October 22, 2020). "Rep. Bennie Thompson, Democratic kingmaker, throws full support behind Mike Espy in Senate race". Mississippi Today.

[37] "Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senate Contests". AP.

[38] Frank Corder (October 15, 2020). "Yang's PAC endorses Espy, says it gives Democrats better chance to pass universal basic income". Y'all Politics.

[39] "2020 Endorsements".

[40] Geoff Pender (October 4, 2020). "Espy finally lands support from national Democrats in Senate race. Is it too late?". Mississippi Today.

[41] "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.

[42] "CBC Candidate: Mike Espy".

[43] "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". HRC. March 4, 2020.

[44] "Mississippi AFL-CIO endorses Mike Espy for Senate". April 7, 2020.

[45] "U.S. Senate – Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.

[56] "AMENDED CERTIFICATION OF VOTE FOR UNITED STATES SENATE" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi. December 7, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2022.

[57] "Total Votes Reported by Counties for 2020 General Election" (PDF). Statewide Election Management System. Secretary of State of Mississippi. Retrieved February 13, 2022.

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2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Notes

Related Research Articles

References

External links