2020 United States Senate election in Montana

Last updated

2020 United States Senate election in Montana
Flag of Montana.svg
←  2014 November 3, 2020 2026  →
Turnout81.33% Increase2.svg [1]
  Steve Daines, Official Portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg Steve Bullock by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee Steve Daines Steve Bullock
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote333,174272,463
Percentage55.01%44.99%
2020 United States Senate election in Montana results map by county.svg
MT Senate 2020.svg
Daines:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bullock:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No data
U.S. senator before election

Steve Daines
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Steve Daines
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries for both the Democratic and Republican nominations took place on June 2, 2020. Incumbent senator Steve Daines won the Republican primary, while Montana Gov. Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary. [2]

Contents

Originally, this seat was projected to be a safe Republican hold. [3] However, Bullock entered the race on the last day to file, shifting the dynamics of the contest dramatically; many political pundits then considered it a competitive race and a potential pickup for Democrats. [4] One poll showed Bullock leading by seven points. [5] Democrats outspent Republicans $82 million to $63 million on this race; it was one of the most expensive Senate races in the 2020 cycle. [6] On Election Day, Daines prevailed by a relatively comfortable 10% margin following a trend of Republican Senate candidates outperforming expectations.

Despite his loss, Bullock did outperform Biden, who lost Montana by a 16.4% margin. [7] He also flipped two counties won by Donald Trump in the presidential contest — Lewis and Clark and Roosevelt.

This election marked the first time since 2000 where Montana voted for a Republican governor, president, and senator all on the same ballot. As the Green Party was removed from the ballot and both Libertarian nominees withdrew, this was the first time since 1988 that there were no third-party candidates running for either United States House of Representatives or United States Senate in Montana. [8] This was the first time ever that an incumbent Republican senator was re-elected to this seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Steve Daines

Businessmen

Results

Results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Daines 80-90% 90-100% Montana U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county
  Daines
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Daines (incumbent) 192,942 88.02%
Republican John Driscoll 13,9446.36%
Republican Daniel Larson12,3195.62%
Total votes219,205 100.00%

Democratic primary

Following Steve Bullock's entry shortly before the March 9 filing deadline, several Democrats dropped from the race. [2]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • John Mues, nuclear engineer and U.S. Navy veteran [15]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Steve Bullock

Federal officials

Results

Results by county Bullock 80-90% 90-100% Montana U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county
  Bullock
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Steve Bullock 144,949 95.45%
Democratic John Mues3,7402.46%
Democratic Mike Knoles (withdrawn)3,1652.09%
Total votes151,854 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

After Susan Geise officially withdrew, the Montana Libertarian Party could name a replacement candidate for the general election. [27] [28] However, during a meeting to select a replacement candidate, a majority of party officials selected not to have a replacement candidate, with "none of the above" winning the most votes. [29]

Withdrawn

Green Party

Disqualified

  • Wendie Fredrickson, former audit reviewer for Montana State Department of Public Health and Human Services [10] [33] [34]

Eliminated in primary

  • Dennis Daneke, retired college professor [35] [33]

Results

Results by county Fredrickson Daneke Tie No vote Montana U.S. Senate Green primary, 2020.svg
Results by county
  Fredrickson
  Daneke
  Tie
  No vote
Green primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Wendie Fredrickson 504 66.40%
Green Dennis Daneke25533.60%
Total votes758 100.00%

General election

Debate

HostDate & TimeLink(s)Participants
Steve Daines (R)Steve Bullock (D)
Montana Broadcasters AssociationAugust 8, 2020
9:30pm MDT		 [36] PresentPresent
Montana Television NetworkOctober 10, 2020
5:47pm MDT		 [37] PresentPresent

Predictions

SourceRatingAs of
The Cook Political Report [38] Toss UpOctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [39] TossupOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [40] Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [41] Lean ROctober 30, 2020
Politico [42] TossupNovember 2, 2020
RCP [43] TossupOctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [44] Lean RNovember 3, 2020
538 [45] Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Economist [46] Lean RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

Steve Daines (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Steve Bullock vs. Steve Daines
Source of poll aggregationDates administeredDates updated Steve Bullock Steve Daines Other/Undecided [a] Margin
Real Clear Politics [81] October 5–24, 2020October 30, 202046.4%48.8%4.8%
270 to Win [82] October 19, 2020October 28, 202047.2%48.0%4.8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Steve
Daines (R)		Steve
Bullock (D)		Other /
Undecided
Change Research [83] October 29 – November 2, 2020920 (LV)± 3.5%50%46%3% [c]
Public Policy Polling (D) [84] [A] October 26–27, 2020886 (LV)± 3.3%47%48%6% [d]
The Progress Campaign (D) [85] October 25, 2020– (V) [e] –48%48%–
Montana State University Billings [86] October 19–24, 2020546 (LV)± 4.2%47%48%5% [f]
Siena College/NYT Upshot [87] October 18–20, 2020758 (LV)± 4.4%49%46%6% [g]
Strategies 360 [88] October 15–20, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%48%47%5% [f]
RMG Research [89] October 15–18, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%49% [h] 47%5% [i]
47% [j] 48%5% [i]
50% [k] 45%5% [i]
Public Policy Polling [90] October 9–10, 2020798 (V)± 3.5%48%48%4% [l]
Emerson College [91] October 4–7, 2020500 (LV)± 3.7%52%43%6% [m]
Data For Progress (D) [92] September 30 – October 5, 2020737 (LV)± 3.6%47%48%4% [n]
Montana State University Bozeman [93] September 14 – October 2, 20201,609 (LV)± 3.9%47%49%4% [o]
Siena College/NYT Upshot [94] September 14–16, 2020625 (LV)± 4.8%45%44%11% [p]
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [95] [B] August 30 – September 5, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%50%47%3% [q]
Emerson College [96] July 31 – August 2, 2020584 (LV)± 4.0%50%44%6% [m]
Spry Strategies (R) [97] [C] July 11–16, 2020700 (LV)± 3.7%47%44%9% [r]
Civiqs/Daily Kos [98] July 11–13, 2020873 (RV)± 4.2%49%47%3% [s]
Public Policy Polling [99] July 9–10, 20201,224 (V)± 2.8%44%46%10% [t]
University of Montana [100] June 17–26, 2020517 (RV)± 4.3%43%47%10% [u]
Montana State University Bozeman [101] April 10–27, 2020459 (LV)± 4.6%39%46%15% [v]
The Progress Campaign (D) [102] April 14–21, 2020712 (LV)± 4.6%46%49%5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [103] [D] March 12–13, 2020903 (V)± 3.3%47%47%6%
Hypothetical polling

University of Montana polls did not account for certain presumed withdrawals of major party candidates after their primaries in the following polls. Steve Daines vs Steve Bullock, Wilmot Collins, Mike Knoles, Cora Neumann, and John Mues

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Democratic
candidates		Steve
Daines (R)
University of Montana [104] February 12–22, 2020498 (LV)± 4.4%53% [w] 47%

Steve Daines vs Jack Ballard, Wilmot Collins, and John Mues

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Democratic
candidates		Steve
Daines (R)
University of Montana [105] September 26 – October 3, 2019303 (RV)± 5.6%36% [x] 64%

Results

United States Senate election in Montana, 2020 [106]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Steve Daines (incumbent) 333,174 55.01% −2.78%
Democratic Steve Bullock 272,46344.99%+4.92%
Total votes605,637 100.00%
Republican hold

By county

By county
County [106] Steve Daines
Republican 		Steve Bullock
Democratic 		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%
Beaverhead 3,77566.641,89033.361,88533.275,665
Big Horn 2,10643.942,68756.06-581-12.124,793
Blaine 1,34342.841,79257.16-449-14.323,135
Broadwater 3,10775.601,00324.402,10451.194,110
Carbon 4,40462.962,59137.041,81325.926,995
Carter 76786.089410.5567375.53891
Cascade 22,31255.7317,72744.274,58511.4540,039
Chouteau 1,81360.591,17939.4063421.192,992
Custer 3,99568.171,86531.832,13036.355,860
Daniels 78776.4124323.5954452.821,030
Dawson 3,63475.351,18924.652,44550.704,823
Deer Lodge 1,92139.352,96160.65-1,040-21.304,882
Fallon 1,34185.0923514.911,10670.181,576
Fergus 4,74672.631,78827.362,95845.276,534
Flathead 37,86163.0622,18036.9415,68126.1260,041
Gallatin 31,82944.6539,45055.35-7,621-10.6971,279
Garfield 73690.98739.0266381.95809
Glacier 1,68729.504,03270.50-2,345-41.005,719
Golden Valley 40580.369919.6430660.71504
Granite 1,36064.7374135.2761929.462,101
Hill 3,74651.863,47748.142693.727,223
Jefferson 5,20663.702,96736.302,23927.408,173
Judith Basin 1,02676.1132223.8970452.221,348
Lake 8,96453.917,66446.091,3007.8216,628
Lewis and Clark 20,55448.3521,95551.65-1,401-3.3042,509
Liberty 78972.5229927.4849045.041,088
Lincoln 8,49072.453,22827.555,26244.9011,718
Madison 4,10367.062,01532.932,08834.136,118
McCone 94684.2417715.7676968.481,123
Meagher 81272.6330627.3750645.261,118
Mineral 1,73568.0181631.9991936.022,551
Missoula 25,52935.5646,26864.44-20,739-28.8871,797
Musselshell 2,34181.3153818.691,80362.632,879
Park 5,84150.325,76649.68750.6511,607
Petroleum 30085.475114.5324970.94351
Phillips 1,89579.6948320.311,41259.382,378
Pondera 1,93364.331,07235.6786128.653,005
Powder River 95784.1718015.8377768.341,137
Powell 2,24070.5393629.471,30441.063,176
Prairie 58678.4516121.5542556.89747
Ravalli 18,70665.479,86834.538,83830.9328,574
Richland 4,66980.631,12219.373,54761.255,791
Roosevelt 1,89146.892,14253.11-251-6.224,033
Rosebud 2,43664.551,33835.451,09829.093,774
Sanders 5,39571.122,19128.883,20442.247,586
Sheridan 1,35667.0066833.0068833.992,024
Silver Bow 6,64135.2812,18364.72-5,542-29.4418,824
Stillwater 4,37076.081,37423.922,99652.165,744
Sweet Grass 1,83474.5862525.421,20949.172,459
Teton 2,54168.561,16531.441,37637.133,706
Toole 1,52871.9759528.0393343.952,123
Treasure 37681.038818.9728862.07464
Valley 2,95369.341,30630.661,64738.674,259
Wheatland 78974.5027025.5051949.011,059
Wibaux 49182.3810517.6238664.76596
Yellowstone 49,27658.5934,83341.4114,44317.1784,109
Totals333,17455.01272,46344.9960,71110.02605,637

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Did not vote, "Don't recall", and Undecided with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
  4. ↑ Undecided with 6%
  5. ↑ Not yet released
  6. 1 2 Undecided with 5%
  7. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 5%
  8. ↑ Standard VI response
  9. 1 2 3 "Some other candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  10. ↑ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  11. ↑ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  12. ↑ Undecided with 4%
  13. 1 2 "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  14. ↑ Geise (G) with 0%; Undecided with 4%
  15. ↑ "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  16. ↑ Fredrickson (G) with 4%; would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  17. ↑ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  18. ↑ "Another candidate" with 5%; Undecided with 4%
  19. ↑ Undecided with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  20. ↑ Undecided with 10%
  21. ↑ Undecided with 9.7%
  22. ↑ Undecided with 7%; "someone else" with 6%; would not vote with 1%
  23. ↑ Steve Bullock with 38%; Wilmot Collins with 4%; Cora Neumann with 7%; Mike Knoles and John Mues with 2%
  24. ↑ Jack Ballard with 18%; Wilmot Collins and John Mues with 9%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by AARP.
  3. ↑ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, an organization which has exclusively supported Democratic candidates.

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Steve Daines</span> American politician and businessman (born 1962)

Steven David Daines is an American politician and former corporate executive serving as the junior United States senator from Montana since 2015. A member of the Republican Party, he represented Montana's at-large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2013 to 2015.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Steve Bullock (American politician)</span> American politician and lawyer (born 1966)

Stephen Clark Bullock is an American politician and lawyer who served as the 24th governor of Montana from 2013 to 2021. He is a member of the Democratic Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States Senate election in Montana</span>

The 2014 United States Senate election in Montana took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate from Montana, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Matt Rosendale</span> American politician (born 1960)

Matthew Martin Rosendale Sr. is an American politician and former real estate developer representing Montana's 2nd congressional district in the United States House of Representatives. A Member of the Republican Party, Rosendale served in the Montana House of Representatives from 2011 to 2013, and in the Montana Senate from 2013 to 2017. From 2015 to 2017, he served as Senate majority leader. Rosendale was elected Montana state auditor in 2016 and held that position from 2017 to 2020. Rosendale ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2014 and for the U.S. Senate in 2018. He was elected to represent Montana's at-large congressional district in 2020. After Montana regained its second House seat in the 2020 census, Rosendale was elected to represent the new 2nd congressional district in 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana</span>

The 2014 congressional election in Montana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. Between 1993 and 2023, Montana had one at-large seat in the House.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Montana gubernatorial election</span>

The 2016 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Montana, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2020 United States Senate elections were held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 class 2 seats of the Senate contested in regular elections. Of these, 21 were held by Republicans, and 12 by Democrats. The winners were elected to 6-year terms from January 3, 2021, to January 3, 2027. Two special elections for seats held by Republicans were also held in conjunction with the general elections: one in Arizona, to fill the vacancy created by John McCain's death in 2018; and one in Georgia, following Johnny Isakson's resignation in 2019. These elections ran concurrently with the 2020 United States presidential election in which incumbent president Donald Trump lost to Democratic nominee Joe Biden.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Michigan</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Michigan. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Montana</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Maine</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maine, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. This was Maine's first election for its Class 2 seat to use its ranked choice voting system. Because the first round of the general election saw a majority, the instant runoff tabulation of more than 800,000 ballots was not carried out.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen won reelection to a third term after comfortably defeating Republican nominee Bryant Messner by 15.6 points and sweeping every single county in the state. This marked the first Senate election since 1972 in which the Democrat carried Belknap County.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 Montana gubernatorial election</span>

The 2020 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the next governor of Montana, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. It resulted in voters selecting Greg Gianforte over Mike Cooney. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Bullock was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term in office, and he ran unsuccessfully for Montana's Class II Senate seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2017 Montana's at-large congressional district special election</span>

In Montana, an at-large congressional district special election was held on May 25, 2017, to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Montana's at-large congressional district. The election was necessitated by incumbent Republican Representative Ryan Zinke's appointment as United States Secretary of the Interior. Zinke resigned on March 1, 2017, upon his confirmation.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona</span>

The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona was held on November 3, 2020, following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican to fill the vacant seat until a special election winner could be sworn in. On September 5, 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat. However, Kyl announced he would resign on December 31, 2018.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Montana</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Montana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Montana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Montana had three electoral votes in the Electoral College for the 2020 election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Maine, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The election was conducted with ranked choice voting, as per the result of a referendum passed in 2016.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Montana</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester lost re-election to a fourth term, being defeated by Republican nominee Tim Sheehy. Sheehy's victory gave Republicans control of both of Montana's Senate seats for the first time since 1911. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024. Although Tester outperformed Kamala Harris in the concurrent presidential election, receiving 7% more of the vote, it was still not enough to win.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect two U.S. Representatives from Montana, one from each of its congressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had one at-large district, represented by Republican Matt Rosendale. However, during the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the 2nd district that it lost in 1993.

References

  1. ↑ "Montana Voter Turnout". Montana Secretary of State - Christi Jacobsen. February 22, 2018. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
  2. 1 2 Drake, Phil. "Daines, Bullock take party primaries in Montana US Senate race". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  3. ↑ "Here's who we think will win the 2020 elections in Montana". Politico. November 19, 2019. Retrieved April 12, 2020.
  4. 1 2 Nilsen, Ella; Zhou, Li (March 9, 2020). "Gov. Steve Bullock just made the Montana Senate race competitive for Democrats". Vox. Retrieved April 12, 2020.
  5. ↑ "Western States Coronavirus Survey - Montana - Politics and Policy Questions" (PDF). Montana State University - HELPS Lab.
  6. ↑ "Trump noticeably absent from key US Senate race in Montana". ABC News. November 1, 2020. Retrieved February 16, 2021.
  7. ↑ "Montana U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 11, 2021.
  8. ↑ "No Alternative Candidates on Montana Ballot for Any Congressional Race". Ballot Access News . September 13, 2020. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved September 13, 2020.
  9. 1 2 "Hardware store manager enters Montana U.S. Senate race". KPAX. February 23, 2020. Retrieved March 3, 2020.
  10. 1 2 Michels, Holly (March 9, 2020). "Filing deadline for Montana ballot sees last-minute surprises". Helena Independent Record.
  11. 1 2 Trump, Donald Jr. (November 25, 2019). "Montana's A-Team: Daines, Rosendale, Gianforte". Missoulian. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  12. 1 2 3 "2020 Statewide Primary Election Canvass" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State . Retrieved June 2, 2020.
  13. ↑ Arkin, James (March 9, 2020). "Bullock enters Montana Senate race". Politico.
  14. ↑ Pramuk, Jacob (March 9, 2020). "Montana Gov. Steve Bullock launches Senate bid, a boost in Democrats' push for majority". CNBC.
  15. ↑ Michels, Holly (July 11, 2019). "Democrat John Mues joins U.S. Senate race". Missoulian.
  16. ↑ "Ballard drops from U.S. Senate Race". Great Falls Tribune. September 13, 2019. Retrieved September 14, 2019.
  17. ↑ Collins, Wilmot [@CollinsWilmot] (March 9, 2020). "Thank you, Montana. It's been my honor to run for U.S. Senate. Today I'm suspending my campaign and endorsing Governor Steve Bullock" (Tweet). Retrieved March 9, 2020– via Twitter.
  18. ↑ Mike Knoles [@KnolesMichael] (March 9, 2020). "With @GovernorBullock joining the Montana Senate race, I'll be dropping This race is too important to let my ego dictate decisions. @SteveDaines must go, and I will do everything I can to make sure we #FlipTheSenate I'll find another vector. Right now we've got a seat to flip!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on March 9, 2020 – via Twitter.
  19. ↑ Neumann, Cora [@CoraforMT] (March 9, 2020). "Today, I am announcing that I am withdrawing from the race for U.S. Senate and supporting Governor Steve Bullock's campaign" (Tweet). Retrieved March 9, 2020– via Twitter.
  20. ↑ @LA_Hagen (March 9, 2020). "With Bullock's entrance into #MTSEN, Democrat Cora Neumann drops out and endorses him" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  21. ↑ Stein, Perrin. "Bozeman Senate candidate drops out of race, supports Bullock". Bozeman Daily Chronicle.
  22. ↑ Lippman, Daniel (May 10, 2019). "'The Revenant' author considering run for Montana Senate or governor". Politico. Retrieved May 10, 2019.
  23. ↑ Punke, Michael [@MPunke] (June 23, 2019). "As my friends and family know, I have been considering a run for Montana's senator or governor. I'm grateful for the encouragement I received. I have decided not to seek election this cycle. For my family &me, it's not the right time. Thx to all who offered advice &encouragement" (Tweet). Retrieved June 23, 2019– via Twitter.
  24. ↑ Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  25. ↑ "Williams launches new bid for Montana US House seat". KECI. Associated Press. April 5, 2019. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
  26. 1 2 "Kamala Harris Endorsements". May 9, 2020.
  27. 1 2 "Susan Good Geise: Montana Libertarian withdraws from U.S. Senate race". Missoula Current. May 18, 2020.
  28. ↑ "Statement from the Montana Libertarian Party as Susan Good Geise withdraws from the US Senate race in Montana". May 16, 2020 – via Facebook.
  29. ↑ Dennison, Mike (August 6, 2020). "Libertarians won't have 2020 candidate for U.S. Senate in Montana". KTVH. Retrieved August 7, 2020.
  30. ↑ "Candidate Filing". Montana Secretary of State - Christi Jacobsen. Montana Secretary of State. March 18, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
  31. ↑ "Geise enters 2020 run for U.S. Senate as Libertarian". Great Falls Tribune. March 20, 2020.
  32. ↑ "May 15, 2020 — Susan Good Geise". Susan Good Geise for US Senate. May 15, 2020. Archived from the original on June 26, 2020. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  33. 1 2 Holly Michels (May 18, 2020). "Greens say 'Go Green Montana' group isn't affiliated". Helena Independent Record. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  34. ↑ Michels, Holly (August 7, 2020). "Helena judge again takes Green Party off the ballot". Helena Independent Record. Retrieved August 7, 2020.
  35. ↑ Dennison, Mike (March 26, 2020). "MT Green Party candidates: One says, 'don't vote for me'". KTVH.
  36. ↑ "WATCH: Daines, Bullock square off in first 2020 U.S. Senate Debate". KTVH. August 8, 2020.
  37. ↑ "Montana U.S. Senate Debate". C-SPAN. October 10, 2020.
  38. ↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  39. ↑ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  40. ↑ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  41. ↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  42. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  43. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  44. ↑ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  45. ↑ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  46. ↑ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  47. ↑ "Noteworthy endorsements" . Retrieved November 2, 2020.
  48. ↑ "Steve Daines for Senate". WinRed. Campaign donation page with Nikki Haley endorsement.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: postscript (link)
  49. ↑ "Steve Daines for Senate". WinRed.
  50. ↑ "Steve Daines for Senate". WinRed.
  51. ↑ "Steve Daines for Senate". WinRed.
  52. ↑ "Steve Daines for Senate". WinRed. Campaign donation page with Ted Cruz endorsement.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: postscript (link)
  53. 1 2 "Steve Daines' Ratings and Endorsements". Vote Smart.
  54. 1 2 3 4 5 "2020 Endorsements" . Retrieved November 2, 2020.
  55. ↑ "Crow Tribal Chairman endorses Trump campaign". Ict News. September 15, 2020. Archived from the original on September 18, 2020. Retrieved September 29, 2020.
  56. ↑ "Montana Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  57. ↑ "NRA Endorses Steve Daines". Montana Right Now. May 13, 2020. Archived from the original on May 20, 2020.
  58. ↑ "Building A Conservative Senate". Senate Conservatives Fund.
  59. ↑ "The Win Big Project". The Win Big Project.
  60. ↑ Podcast, The Al Franken. "The Al Franken Podcast - Montana Sen. Jon Tester on How Dems Win Back Rural America". Google Podcasts.
  61. ↑ "Gazette endorsement: For U.S. Senate, Steve Bullock". The Billings Gazette. October 25, 2020.
  62. ↑ "Montanans should send Governor Bullock to the Senate". Missoulian. October 25, 2020.
  63. ↑ "Standard endorsement: For Senate, we recommend Steve Bullock". Montana Standard. October 25, 2020.
  64. ↑ "2020 Endorsements".
  65. ↑ Muller, Tiffany (March 9, 2020). "End Citizens United Endorses Governor Steve Bullock for Montana Senate". End Citizens United.
  66. ↑ Acosta, Lucas (May 27, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Gov. Steve Bullock for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign.[ dead link ]
  67. ↑ "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[ permanent dead link ]
  68. ↑ Connon, Courtnee (May 14, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Steve Bullock for U.S. Senate". League of Conservation Voters .
  69. ↑ Manchester, Julia (June 24, 2020). "Lincoln Project Backs Bullock in Montana Senate Race". The Hill. Retrieved June 25, 2020.
  70. ↑ "Home | Montana Firefighters Occupational Health and Safety". MTPROFF. Archived from the original on September 29, 2020. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
  71. ↑ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Steve Bullock for U.S. Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. June 17, 2020.
  72. ↑ "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  73. ↑ "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 14 for House, Senate". nrdcactionfund.org. September 3, 2020.
  74. ↑ "2020 Endorsements". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Archived from the original on April 12, 2020. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  75. ↑ Kornbluh, Jacob (June 17, 2020). "Jewish Dems roll out new round of congressional endorsements". Jewish Insider. Retrieved March 6, 2023.
  76. ↑ "Communications Workers of America Endorses Governor Steve Bullock (MT) for US Senate". Communications Workers of America. June 11, 2020.
  77. ↑ "Endorsements". mtaflcio.com. Montana AFL-CIO.
  78. ↑ "2020 Election Endorsements". Montana Federation of Public Employees.
  79. ↑ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  80. ↑ "Montana – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  81. ↑ Real Clear Politics
  82. ↑ 270 to Win
  83. ↑ Change Research
  84. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  85. ↑ The Progress Campaign (D)
  86. ↑ Montana State University Billings
  87. ↑ Siena College/NYT Upshot
  88. ↑ Strategies 360
  89. ↑ RMG Research Archived October 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  90. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  91. ↑ Emerson College
  92. ↑ Data For Progress (D)
  93. ↑ Montana State University Bozeman Archived October 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  94. ↑ Siena College/NYT Upshot
  95. ↑ Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates
  96. ↑ Emerson College
  97. ↑ Spry Strategies (R)
  98. ↑ Civiqs/Daily Kos
  99. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  100. ↑ University of Montana
  101. ↑ Montana State University Bozeman
  102. ↑ The Progress Campaign (D)
  103. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  104. ↑ University of Montana
  105. ↑ University of Montana
  106. 1 2 "2020 Statewide General Election Canvass" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved December 2, 2020.

Further reading

Official campaign websites

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.