2020 United States presidential election in Missouri

Last updated

2020 United States presidential election in Missouri
Flag of Missouri.svg
←  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  →
Turnout69.75% Increase2.svg 3.19 pp
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote100
Popular vote1,718,7361,253,014
Percentage56.80%41.41%
Missouri Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
MO-20-pres-districts.svg
MO President 2020.svg
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. [1] Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College. [2]

Contents

Trump won Missouri again by a 15.4% margin. This was 3.1% lower than his 2016 margin, but still a better performance in the state than that of any other Republican nominee since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state Trump would win; during the 21st century Missouri has shifted away from being one of the most notable bellwether states towards becoming a reliably red state. Trump became the first incumbent president since Grover Cleveland in 1888 to win Missouri and lose re-election and the first-ever Republican incumbent to do so. This is also the first time since 1916 (and only the second time ever) that Missouri has voted more Republican than neighboring Kansas.

In this election, Missouri voted just under 20% to the right of the nation as a whole.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Results by county Biden--40-50% Biden--50-60% Biden--60-70% Biden--70-80% Missouri Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020 (margins).svg
Results by county
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%

2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary [3]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [4]
Joe Biden 400,34760.1044
Bernie Sanders 230,37434.5924
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)9,8661.48
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)8,1561.22
Tulsi Gabbard 4,8870.73
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)3,3090.50
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)2,6820.40
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)9530.14
Cory Booker (withdrawn)6510.10
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)5840.09
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)2060.03
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)1700.03
John Delaney (withdrawn)1590.02
Julian Castro (withdrawn)1030.02
Henry Hewes 940.01
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)520.01
Other candidates1,0250.15
Uncommitted2,4940.37
Total666,112100%68

Republican primary

2020 Missouri Republican presidential primary [5]
CandidateVotes %Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent)301,95396.8%54
Uncommitted4,2161.4%0
Bill Weld 2,1710.7%0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)2,0150.6%0
Bob Ely 8440.3%0
Matthew John Matern5940.2%0
Total311,793100%54

Libertarian primary

2020 Missouri Libertarian presidential primary
Flag of Missouri.svg
←  2016 March 10, 2020 2024  →
←  NC
OH  →
  Jacob Hornberger by Gage Skidmore (cropped) (3).jpg NOTA Option Logo 3x4.svg
CandidateJacob Hornberger Uncommitted
Home state Virginia N/A
Popular vote1,683573
Percentage74.6%25.4%
Missouri Libertarian presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Election results by county
  Jacob Hornberger
  Uncommitted
  Tie
  No votes
Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 10, 2020 [6]
CandidateVotesPercentage
Jacob Hornberger1,68374.6%
Uncommitted57325.4%
Total2,256 100%

Green primary

2020 Missouri Green presidential primaries [7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green Howie Hawkins 2,73376.93%
Green Dario Hunter 63926.87%
Green David Rolde21410.99%
Total votes3,586 100%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [8] Likely RSeptember 10, 2020
Inside Elections [9] Lean RSeptember 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10] Likely RJuly 14, 2020
Politico [11] Safe RSeptember 8, 2020
RCP [12] Lean RAugust 3, 2020
Niskanen [13] Safe RJuly 26, 2020
CNN [14] Safe RAugust 3, 2020
The Economist [15] Likely RSeptember 2, 2020
CBS News [16] Likely RAugust 16, 2020
270towin [17] Likely RAugust 2, 2020
ABC News [18] Lean RJuly 31, 2020
NPR [19] Likely RAugust 3, 2020
NBC News [20] Likely RAugust 6, 2020
538 [21] Likely RSeptember 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		 Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
270 to Win [22] October 13 – November 2, 2020November 3, 202043.7%51.3%5.0%
FiveThirtyEight [23] until November 2, 2020November 3, 202043.6%51.6%4.8%
Average43.7%51.5%4.9%Trump +7.8

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios [24] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20202,926 (LV)± 2.5%54% [lower-alpha 3] 44%--––
Swayable [25] Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020487 (LV)± 6.6%55%43%2%0%––
Morning Consult [26] Oct 22–31, 20201,109 (LV)± 3%52%43%--––
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [27] Oct 28–29, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%50%45%2%1%–2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [24] Oct 1–28, 20204,759 (LV)–53%45%--––
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [28] Oct 14–15, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%51%45%1%1%-2%
YouGov/SLU [29] Sep 24 – Oct 7, 2020931 (LV)± 3.9%52%43%--3%2%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Missouri [30] [upper-alpha 1] Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2020600 (LV)± 4.1%50%48%--––
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [31] Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020980 (LV)± 3%51%46%--–3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [24] Sep 1–30, 20202,157 (LV)–53%45%--–2%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [32] Sep 16–17, 20201,046 (LV)± 3%53%45%--–2%
We Ask America [33] Sep 1–3, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%49%44%--5% [lower-alpha 4] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [24] Aug 1–31, 20201,863 (LV)–54%44%--–2%
Trafalgar Group (R) [34] Aug 26–28, 20201,015 (LV)± 2.99%52%41%3%-1% [lower-alpha 5] 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [24] Jul 1–31, 20202,261 (LV)–54%44%--–2%
YouGov/Saint Louis University [35] Jun 23 – Jul 1, 2020900 (LV)± 3.95%50%43%--4%4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [24] Jun 8–30, 2020868 (LV)–51%47%--–1%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout [36] [upper-alpha 1] Jun 16–22, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%46%48%--––
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [37] Jun 10–11, 20201,152 (LV)± 2.9%51%43%--–6%
We Ask America [38] May 26–27, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%48%44%--3% [lower-alpha 6] 5%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [39] Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)–53%42%--–5%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri [40] [upper-alpha 2] Jan 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)–50%43%--–7%
Remington Research Group [41] Sep 18–19, 20191,046 (LV)± 3.0%53%42%--–5%
Remington Research Group [42] Apr 10–11, 2019955 (LV)± 3.3%51%43%--–6%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump (R)		Michael
Bloomberg (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [39] Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)–51%39%10%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump (R)		Pete
Buttigieg (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [39] Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)–52%37%11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump (R)		Kamala
Harris (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group [42] Apr 10–11, 2019955 (LV)± 3.3%52%36%12%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump (R)		Beto
O'Rourke (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group [42] Apr 10–11, 2019955 (LV)± 3.3%51%38%11%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump (R)		Bernie
Sanders (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [39] Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)–52%37%11%
Remington Research Group [41] Sep 18–19, 20191,046 (LV)± 3.0%54%37%9%
Remington Research Group [42] Apr 10–11, 2019955 (LV)± 3.3%51%39%10%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump (R)		Elizabeth
Warren (D)		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [39] Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)–53%35%12%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri [40] [upper-alpha 2] Jan 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)–51%41%8%
Remington Research Group [41] Sep 18–19, 20191,046 (LV)± 3.0%54%40%6%
Zogby Analytics [43] Aug 17–23, 2017604 (LV)± 4.0%40%46%14%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump (R)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout [44] March 6–7, 2019984(LV)± 3.3%53%46%2%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Missouri [45] [46]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		1,718,736 56.80 +0.02
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		1,253,01441.41+3.27
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		41,2051.36−2.11
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker 		8,2830.27−0.63
Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr 		3,9190.13−0.34
Write-in 8050.03n/a
Total votes3,025,962 100.00

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Joe Biden
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adair 6,41362.05%3,71035.89%2132.06%2,70326.14%10,336
Andrew 7,25574.23%2,35124.05%1681.72%4,90450.18%9,774
Atchison 2,19978.14%56420.04%511.82%1,63558.10%2,814
Audrain 7,73272.49%2,70425.35%2302.16%5,02847.14%10,666
Barry 12,42579.66%2,94818.90%2251.44%9,47760.76%15,598
Barton 5,16885.04%84413.89%651.07%4,32471.15%6,077
Bates 6,59778.18%1,67219.82%1692.00%4,92558.36%8,438
Benton 8,10977.35%2,18020.79%1951.86%5,92956.56%10,484
Bollinger 5,16786.36%75012.54%661.10%4,41773.82%5,983
Boone 38,64642.32%50,06454.82%2,6162.86%-11,418-12.50%91,326
Buchanan 22,45061.15%13,44536.62%8182.23%9,00524.53%36,713
Butler 14,60280.37%3,30118.17%2661.46%11,30162.20%18,169
Caldwell 3,72579.32%89719.10%741.58%2,82860.22%4,696
Callaway 14,81569.94%5,87027.71%4982.35%8,94542.23%21,183
Camden 18,85075.97%5,65222.78%3101.25%13,19853.19%24,812
Cape Girardeau 28,90771.51%10,76026.62%7591.87%18,14744.89%40,426
Carroll 3,70681.77%78617.34%400.89%2,92064.43%4,532
Carter 2,45184.60%41814.43%280.97%2,03370.17%2,897
Cass 37,19764.61%19,05233.09%1,3192.30%18,14531.52%57,568
Cedar 5,78882.17%1,14516.25%1111.58%4,64365.92%7,044
Chariton 3,11176.31%91622.47%503.30%2,19553.84%4,077
Christian 34,92074.42%11,13123.72%8741.86%23,78950.70%46,925
Clark 2,67278.73%67819.98%441.29%1,99458.75%3,394
Clay 64,60551.04%59,40046.93%2,5642.03%5,2054.11%126,569
Clinton 7,79971.51%2,89626.55%2111.94%4,90344.96%10,906
Cole 26,08665.80%12,69432.02%8652.18%13,39233.78%39,645
Cooper 6,27272.15%2,24925.87%1721.98%4,02346.28%8,693
Crawford 8,72579.51%2,11319.26%1351.23%6,61260.25%10,973
Dade 3,41482.88%65615.93%491.19%2,75866.95%4,119
Dallas 6,61981.68%1,38017.03%1051.29%5,23964.65%8,104
Daviess 3,10279.31%74619.07%631.62%2,35660.24%3,911
DeKalb 3,82878.90%93019.17%941.93%2,89859.73%4,852
Dent 5,98783.83%1,05614.79%991.38%4,93169.04%7,142
Douglas 5,89884.26%1,01614.51%861.23%4,88269.75%7,000
Dunklin 8,13578.08%2,20021.12%840.80%5,93556.96%10,419
Franklin 38,05870.76%14,56927.09%1,1562.15%23,48943.67%53,783
Gasconade 6,22278.53%1,60120.21%1001.26%4,62158.32%7,923
Gentry 2,58179.73%61318.94%431.33%1,96860.79%3,237
Greene 83,63058.78%55,06838.71%3,5742.51%28,56220.07%142,272
Grundy 3,58580.80%79918.01%531.19%2,78662.79%4,437
Harrison 3,19883.59%59715.60%310.81%2,60167.99%3,826
Henry 8,02774.29%2,61924.24%1591.47%5,40850.05%10,805
Hickory 3,96678.07%1,05620.79%581.14%2,91057.28%5,080
Holt 1,97684.34%33814.43%291.23%1,63869.91%2,343
Howard 3,55369.78%1,41327.75%1262.47%2,14042.03%5,092
Howell 15,18181.29%3,21817.23%2771.48%11,96364.06%18,676
Iron 3,59678.31%94520.58%511.11%2,65157.73%4,592
Jackson 126,53537.88%199,84259.82%7,6782.30%-73,307-21.94%334,055
Jasper 37,72871.81%13,54925.79%1,2622.40%24,17946.02%52,539
Jefferson 77,04665.88%37,52332.08%2,3842.04%39,52333.80%116,953
Johnson 15,48966.84%6,97430.10%7093.06%8,51536.74%23,172
Knox 1,48680.06%34018.32%301.62%1,14661.74%1,856
Laclede 13,76281.78%2,78016.52%2861.70%10,98265.26%16,828
Lafayette 12,27371.79%4,47226.16%3512.05%7,80145.63%17,096
Lawrence 14,42680.43%3,21417.92%2951.65%11,21262.51%17,935
Lewis 3,55376.92%98421.30%821.78%2,56955.62%4,619
Lincoln 21,84875.17%6,60722.73%6102.10%15,24152.44%29,065
Linn 4,36376.20%1,27522.27%881.53%3,08853.93%5,726
Livingston 5,26777.94%1,41020.86%811.20%3,85757.08%6,758
Macon 6,07677.54%1,66221.21%981.25%4,41456.33%7,836
Madison 4,58480.76%1,01917.95%731.29%3,56562.81%5,676
Maries 3,89281.58%81417.06%651.36%3,07864.52%4,771
Marion 9,91574.13%3,20223.94%2591.93%6,71350.19%13,376
McDonald 7,46582.37%1,43915.88%1591.75%6,02666.49%9,063
Mercer 1,54186.48%22212.46%191.06%1,31974.02%1,782
Miller 10,17682.08%2,03816.44%1831.48%8,13865.64%12,397
Mississippi 3,53774.37%1,17824.77%410.86%2,35949.60%4,756
Moniteau 5,74480.26%1,30818.28%1051.46%4,43661.98%7,157
Monroe 3,47777.56%93620.88%701.56%2,54156.68%4,483
Montgomery 4,46577.36%1,20820.93%991.71%3,25756.43%5,772
Morgan 7,44278.44%1,92420.28%1211.28%5,51858.16%9,487
New Madrid 5,44775.13%1,74824.11%550.76%3,69951.02%7,250
Newton 22,12077.74%5,81820.45%5161.81%16,30257.29%28,454
Nodaway 6,86569.27%2,85328.79%1921.94%4,01240.48%9,910
Oregon 3,84781.18%82317.37%691.45%3,02463.81%4,739
Osage 6,42585.14%1,03713.74%841.12%5,38871.40%7,546
Ozark 4,06483.55%75215.46%480.99%3,31268.09%4,864
Pemiscot 4,12071.84%1,56027.20%550.96%2,56044.64%5,735
Perry 7,65780.98%1,66417.60%1351.42%5,99363.38%9,456
Pettis 13,85472.55%4,78325.05%4602.40%9,07147.50%19,097
Phelps 13,48068.77%5,63728.76%4842.47%7,84340.01%19,601
Pike 5,86376.08%1,71722.28%1261.64%4,14653.80%7,706
Platte 28,91750.49%27,17947.46%1,1742.05%1,7383.03%57,270
Polk 11,85078.49%2,88519.11%3632.40%8,96559.38%15,098
Pulaski 10,32971.53%3,74025.90%3722.57%6,58945.63%14,441
Putnam 1,98484.03%36115.29%160.68%1,62368.74%2,361
Ralls 4,39677.64%1,20521.28%611.08%3,19156.36%5,662
Randolph 8,01874.54%2,48523.10%2542.36%5,53351.44%10,757
Ray 8,34571.48%3,10926.63%2211.89%5,23644.85%11,675
Reynolds 2,73382.87%52916.04%361.09%2,20466.83%3,298
Ripley 4,83984.64%83314.57%450.79%4,00670.07%5,717
Saline 6,45167.67%2,90430.46%1781.87%3,54737.21%9,533
Schuyler 1,60680.18%37318.62%241.20%1,23361.56%2,003
Scotland 1,56078.55%38819.54%381.91%1,17259.01%1,986
Scott 13,76977.58%3,75321.15%2261.27%10,01656.43%17,748
Shannon 3,16581.03%70618.07%350.90%2,45962.96%3,906
Shelby 2,70080.60%59217.67%581.73%2,10862.93%3,350
St. Charles 128,38957.69%89,53040.23%4,6472.08%38,85917.46%222,566
St. Clair 3,93279.05%98819.86%541.09%2,94459.19%4,974
St. Francois 20,51173.08%7,04425.10%5101.82%13,46747.98%28,065
St. Louis 199,49337.19%328,15161.17%8,8021.64%-128,658-23.98%536,446
St. Louis City 21,47415.98%110,08981.93%2,8092.09%-88,615-65.95%134,372
Ste. Genevieve 6,63069.80%2,71328.56%1551.64%3,91741.24%9,498
Stoddard 11,48485.54%1,81913.55%1230.91%9,66571.99%13,426
Stone 14,80079.91%3,50618.93%2141.16%11,29460.98%18,520
Sullivan 1,97479.89%47819.34%190.77%1,49660.55%2,471
Taney 20,50877.86%5,33920.27%4911.87%15,16957.59%26,338
Texas 9,47883.76%1,71615.17%1211.07%7,76268.59%11,315
Vernon 7,15577.90%1,90320.72%1271.38%5,25257.18%9,185
Warren 13,22271.80%4,76925.90%4252.30%8,45345.90%18,416
Washington 8,04780.56%1,80418.06%1381.38%6,24362.50%9,989
Wayne 4,98784.84%84514.38%460.78%4,14270.46%5,878
Webster 14,88079.24%3,57319.03%3261.73%11,30760.21%18,779
Worth 87779.22%21519.42%151.36%66259.80%1,107
Wright 7,45385.17%1,16813.35%1301.48%6,28571.82%8,751
Totals1,718,73656.71%1,253,01441.34%58,9981.95%465,72215.37%3,030,748
Missouri County Swing 2020.svg
Missouri County Trend 2020.svg

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts. [47]

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st 18.1%80.3% Lacy Clay (116th Congress)
Cori Bush (117th Congress)
2nd 49.18%49.16% Ann Wagner
3rd 66.9%31.3% Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th 66%31.9% Vicky Hartzler
5th 39.6%58.4% Emanuel Cleaver
6th 63.3%35% Sam Graves
7th 70%28.1% Billy Long
8th 77.3%21.4% Jason Smith

Analysis

A bellwether state for the bulk of the 20th century, Missouri has since come to vote reliably Republican in presidential elections. This has been attributed to a shift in Republican policy towards right-wing populism and social conservatism; the platform has found fertile ground in the state, which lies in the Bible Belt, with Trump carrying 86% of White, born-again/Evangelical Christians. [48]

Biden won the same four jurisdictions that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton did in 2012 and 2016, respectively: Jackson County, home to Kansas City; Boone County, home to the college town of Columbia; and St. Louis County, home to the suburbs of St. Louis, which he also won. Biden also improved Democratic margins in Platte and Clay counties, both suburbs of Kansas City; Platte was carried by Trump by only 3%, and Clay by 4%. In addition, the 61% of the vote that Biden won in St. Louis County was the best performance for a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide.[ citation needed ]

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Missouri came from voters who trusted him on economic policy: a 57% majority believed Trump was better able to handle international trade. With a hybrid industrial-service-agricultural economy, 63% of Missourian voters favored increasing taxes on goods imported to the U.S. from other countries, and these voters broke for Trump by 67%. As is the case in many Southern and border states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: White Missourians supported Trump by 62%, while black Missourians supported Biden by 88%. Trump became the first-ever Republican presidential candidate to win Missouri by double digits twice. [48]

In other elections, incumbent Republican Mike Parson easily defeated State Auditor Nicole Galloway by 16 points—outperforming Trump—in the governor's race, further testifying to the state's trend towards the GOP, and becoming the best performance for a Republican on the gubernatorial level since John Ashcroft's 1988 victory.

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
  5. ↑ "Another Party Candidate" with 1%
  6. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Galloway's campaign for governor
  2. 1 2 Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.

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References

  1. ↑ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?" . The Independent . Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ↑ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ↑ "State of Missouri - Presidential Primary Election, March 10, 2020" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved August 12, 2020.
  4. ↑ "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker". Associated Press . Retrieved November 23, 2022.
  5. ↑ "2020_Presidential_Preference_Primary_All_Results.pdf" (PDF). April 9, 2020.
  6. ↑ "Joe Biden, Donald Trump win Missouri Presidential Preferential Primary". KMBC. March 10, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  7. ↑ "Candidate List — March 2020 Presidential Preference Primary" . Retrieved December 18, 2019.
  8. ↑ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  9. ↑ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  10. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  12. ↑ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  13. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  14. ↑ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  15. ↑ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  16. ↑ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  17. ↑ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  18. ↑ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  19. ↑ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  20. ↑ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  21. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  22. ↑ 270 to Win
  23. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  24. 1 2 3 4 5 6 SurveyMonkey/Axios
  25. ↑ Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  26. ↑ Morning Consult
  27. ↑ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  28. ↑ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  29. ↑ YouGov/SLU
  30. ↑ Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Missouri
  31. ↑ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  32. ↑ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  33. ↑ We Ask America
  34. ↑ Trafalgar Group (R)
  35. ↑ "YouGov/Saint Louis University". Archived from the original on July 13, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  36. ↑ Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout
  37. ↑ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  38. ↑ We Ask America
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  40. 1 2 American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri
  41. 1 2 3 Remington Research Group
  42. 1 2 3 4 Remington Research Group
  43. ↑ Zogby Analytics
  44. ↑ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  45. ↑ "Official List of Candidates" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 1, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  46. ↑ General Election, November 03, 2020, Official Results, Missouri Secretary of State, December 8, 2020.
  47. ↑ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.
  48. 1 2 "Missouri Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 9, 2020.

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