2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

Last updated

2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2014 November 3, 2020 2022 (special)  
  Jim Inhofe official portrait.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Inhofe Abby Broyles
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote979,140509,763
Percentage62.91%32.75%

2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma results map by county.svg
2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma results by congressional district.svg
Inhofe:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. senator before election

Jim Inhofe
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jim Inhofe
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe won reelection to a fifth full term, defeating Democratic challenger Abby Broyles. [1]

Contents

This proved to be the fifth U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma in a row in which the Democratic nominee failed to carry any of Oklahoma's counties, but Broyles came very close to breaking this drought, losing Oklahoma County by less than one percentage point.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Results by county:
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Inhofe
40-50%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% Oklahoma U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
  Inhofe
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 277,868 74.05
Republican J.J. Stitt57,43315.31
Republican John Tompkins23,5636.28
Republican Neil Mavis16,3634.36
Total votes375,227 100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Abby Broyles, attorney and former KFOR news reporter [9]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Abby Broyles

Organizations

Unions

  • Oklahoma Building Trades [17]

Results

Results by county:
Broyles
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Cassity
30-40% Oklahoma U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
  Broyles
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Cassity
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Abby Broyles 163,921 60.45
Democratic Elysabeth Britt45,20616.67
Democratic Sheila Bilyeu32,35011.93
Democratic R. O. Joe Cassity, Jr.29,69810.95
Total votes271,175 100.00

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Robert Murphy, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 [18]

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [20] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [22] Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico [23] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [24] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [25] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538 [26] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

Jim Inhofe (R)

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jim
Inhofe (R)
Abby
Broyles (D)
OtherUndecided
SoonerPoll [38] October 15–20, 20205,466 (LV)± 1.33%56%37%2% [lower-alpha 2] 4%
Amber Integrated [39] September 17–20, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%46%30%5% [lower-alpha 3] 19%
SoonerPoll [40] September 2–8, 2020486 (LV)± 4.45%57%33%3% [lower-alpha 4] 6%
DFM Research (D) [41] [upper-alpha 1] July 29–30, 2020572 (LV)± 4.1%50%34%5% [lower-alpha 5] 11%
Amber Integrated [42] March 5–8, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%57%31%12%
Abby Broyles [43] [upper-alpha 1] Released February 17, 2020– (V) [lower-alpha 6] 56%44%
Hypothetical polling

with generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jim
Inhofe (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Undecided
Amber Integrated [44] June 3–4, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%54%34%12%

Results

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020 [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 979,140 62.91% –5.10
Democratic Abby Broyles509,76332.75%+4.20
Libertarian Robert Murphy34,4352.21%N/A
Independent Joan Farr21,6521.39%+0.11
Independent A. D. Nesbit11,3710.73%N/A
Total votes1,556,361 100.0% N/A
Republican hold
By county
County Jim Inhofe
Republican
Abby Broyles
Democratic
Robert Murphy
Libertarian
Joan Farr
Independent
A. D. Nesbit
Independent
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Adair 5,13472.581,61522.831381.951241.75630.893,51949.757,074
Alfalfa 1,89984.1026211.60462.04381.68130.581,63772.502,258
Atoka 4,38081.9379814.93831.55541.01310.583,58267.005,346
Beaver 1,88987.291959.01431.99221.02150.691,69478.282,164
Beckham 6,41780.951,19615.091782.25891.12470.595,22165.867,927
Blaine 2,98776.8775119.33651.67591.52240.622,23657.543,886
Bryan 11,92874.993,33520.973582.251851.161010.638,59354.0215,907
Caddo 6,76168.722,66527.091861.891511.53750.764,09641.639,838
Canadian 41,51967.3117,38628.191,5252.478181.334330.7024,13339.1261,681
Carter 14,34473.854,35222.413451.782431.251400.729,99251.4419,424
Cherokee 10,24958.036,51936.914362.473021.711560.883,73021.1217,662
Choctaw 4,55578.511,07018.44741.28671.15360.623,48560.075,802
Cimarron 94890.89646.14141.34111.0560.5888484.751,043
Cleveland 64,54053.9849,63241.512,8902.421,6351.378570.7214,90812.47119,554
Coal 1,96479.1643017.33331.33301.21240.971,53461.832,481
Comanche 21,02659.2512,68735.758522.405961.683270.928,33923.5035,488
Cotton 2,11482.5135813.97391.52331.29180.701,75668.542,562
Craig 4,27871.221,44624.071442.40941.56450.752,83247.146,007
Creek 22,09772.636,95622.866882.264861.601990.6515,14149.7730,426
Custer 7,73572.542,45423.012752.581341.26650.615,28149.5310,663
Delaware 12,82974.673,70021.542831.652491.451200.709,12953.1317,181
Dewey 2,04586.8725310.75291.23200.8570.301,79276.122,354
Ellis 1,62186.8718710.02281.50180.96120.641,43476.851,866
Garfield 16,30672.965,00622.405192.323321.491850.8311,30050.5622,348
Garvin 8,50478.111,99318.311641.511371.26890.826,51159.8010,887
Grady 17,70076.814,50319.543971.722831.231600.6913,19757.2723,043
Grant 1,83582.8430413.72371.67241.08150.681,53169.122,215
Greer 1,53478.3534717.72402.04190.97180.921,18760.631,958
Harmon 73078.2418219.51121.2960.6430.3254858.73933
Harper 1,29087.041449.72181.21221.4880.541,14677.321,482
Haskell 3,89278.2092618.61811.63490.98290.582,96659.594,977
Hughes 3,66075.811,00220.75751.55651.35260.542,65855.064,828
Jackson 6,40778.241,44717.671942.371001.22410.504,96060.578,189
Jefferson 1,94382.3732313.69451.91321.36160.681,62068.682,359
Johnston 3,31878.6674917.76681.61571.35260.622,56960.904,218
Kay 12,21971.074,15924.193692.152861.661610.948,06046.8817,194
Kingfisher 5,33282.6289513.871302.01731.13240.374,43768.756,454
Kiowa 2,59275.7773021.34571.67230.67190.561,86254.433,421
Latimer 3,17275.1888320.93671.59571.35400.952,28954.254,219
Le Flore 14,48477.683,46218.573201.722691.441100.5911,02259.1118,645
Lincoln 11,44577.162,76718.653122.102051.381040.708,67858.5114,833
Logan 15,04470.005,54225.795162.402471.151410.669,50244.2121,490
Love 3,23079.5870117.27561.38441.08280.692,52962.314,059
Major 2,99286.4534810.05712.05391.13110.322,64476.403,461
Marshall 12,21971.074,15924.193692.152861.661610.948,06046.8817,194
Mayes 11,82671.423,97323.993532.132721.641340.817,85347.4316,558
McClain 14,60376.093,86120.123972.072131.111190.6210,74255.9719,193
McCurtain 9,02179.611,94117.131721.521321.16660.587,08062.4811,332
McIntosh 5,73369.162,23526.961431.721141.38650.783,49842.208,290
Murray 4,40074.911,25221.311081.84751.28390.663,14853.605,874
Muskogee 15,52962.068,38133.505042.013961.582110.847,14828.5625,021
Noble 3,60373.021,09822.251232.49711.44390.792,50550.774,934
Nowata 3,37477.0381418.58902.05691.58330.752,56058.454,380
Okfuskee 2,86571.3499124.68691.72621.54290.721,87446.664,016
Oklahoma 142,09248.29139,55947.436,5452.223,7991.292,2520.772,5330.86294,247
Okmulgee 9,11463.854,51031.602952.072291.601260.884,60432.2514,274
Osage 13,27664.796,33630.924292.093141.531360.666,94033.8720,491
Ottawa 7,28364.273,28328.973312.922672.361681.484,00035.3011,332
Pawnee 4,93773.061,45921.591662.461331.97620.923,47851.476,757
Payne 17,11457.8311,01037.208632.923881.312180.746,10420.6329,593
Pittsburg 13,10273.334,03222.573431.922631.471280.729,07050.7617,868
Pontotoc 10,41868.294,16827.323512.301911.251280.846,25040.9715,256
Pottawatomie 19,25768.497,64627.196042.153631.292470.8811,61141.3028,117
Pushmataha 3,83681.4371415.16801.70531.13280.593,12266.274,711
Roger Mills 1,52884.0523312.82291.60150.83130.721,29571.231,818
Rogers 32,10972.2410,22623.011,1342.556931.562880.6521,88349.2344,450
Seminole 5,72668.812,29427.571331.601031.24660.793,43241.248,322
Sequoyah 11,37074.463,32721.792811.841941.27970.648,04352.6815,269
Stephens 15,21680.183,12216.453401.792081.10910.4812,09463.7318,977
Texas 4,36879.3585315.501492.71971.76380.693,51563.855,505
Tillman 2,07776.8754120.02311.15331.22200.741,53656.852,702
Tulsa 145,36954.59108,86940.886,2502.353,8751.461,9350.7336,50013.71266,298
Wagoner 24,86370.508,85125.107762.205301.502460.7016,01245.4035,266
Washington 16,41770.025,89825.165892.513931.681480.6310,51944.8723,445
Washita 3,88781.4570214.71982.05611.28240.503,18566.744,772
Woods 2,85177.6466718.16842.29501.36200.542,18459.483,672
Woodward 6,31981.371,10514.231852.381061.36510.665,21467.147,766
Totals979,14062.91509,76332.7534,4352.2121,6521.3911,3710.73469,37730.161,556,361

By congressional district

Inhofe won all 5 congressional districts. [46]

DistrictInfoheBroylesRepresentative
1st 58%38% Kevin Hern
2nd 72%24% Markwayne Mullin
3rd 72%24% Frank Lucas
4th 64%32% Tom Cole
5th 50%45% Kendra Horn (116th Congress)
Stephanie Bice (117th Congress)

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for Abby Broyles.

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Farr (I), Murphy (L) and Nesbitt (I) with 1%
  3. Murphy (L) and Nesbit (I) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  4. Murphy (L) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  5. "Independent candidate" with 5%
  6. Not yet released

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Official campaign websites