2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

Last updated

2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2014 November 3, 2020 2022 (special)  
  Jim Inhofe official portrait.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Inhofe Abby Broyles
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote979,140509,763
Percentage62.91%32.75%

2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma results map by county.svg
2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma results by congressional district.svg
Inhofe:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. senator before election

Jim Inhofe
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jim Inhofe
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe won reelection to a fifth full term, defeating Democratic challenger Abby Broyles. [1]

Contents

This proved to be the fifth U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma in a row in which the Democratic nominee failed to carry any of Oklahoma's counties, but Broyles came very close to breaking this drought, losing Oklahoma County by less than one percentage point. To date, this election has seen the largest age-gap between major party nominees in a U.S. Senate election, as Inhofe was nearly 55 years older than Broyles.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Results by county:
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Inhofe
40-50%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% Oklahoma U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
  Inhofe
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 277,868 74.05
Republican J.J. Stitt57,43315.31
Republican John Tompkins23,5636.28
Republican Neil Mavis16,3634.36
Total votes375,227 100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Abby Broyles, attorney and former KFOR news reporter [9]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Abby Broyles

Organizations

Unions

  • Oklahoma Building Trades [17]

Results

Results by county:
Broyles
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Cassity
30-40% Oklahoma U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
  Broyles
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Cassity
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Abby Broyles 163,921 60.45
Democratic Elysabeth Britt45,20616.67
Democratic Sheila Bilyeu32,35011.93
Democratic R. O. Joe Cassity, Jr.29,69810.95
Total votes271,175 100.00

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Robert Murphy, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 [18]

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [20] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [22] Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico [23] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [24] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [25] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538 [26] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Additional general election endorsements

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Jim
Inhofe (R)
Abby
Broyles (D)
OtherUndecided
SoonerPoll [38] October 15–20, 20205,466 (LV)± 1.33%56%37%2% [b] 4%
Amber Integrated [39] September 17–20, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%46%30%5% [c] 19%
SoonerPoll [40] September 2–8, 2020486 (LV)± 4.45%57%33%3% [d] 6%
DFM Research (D) [41] [A] July 29–30, 2020572 (LV)± 4.1%50%34%5% [e] 11%
Amber Integrated [42] March 5–8, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%57%31%12%
Abby Broyles [43] [A] Released February 17, 2020– (V) [f] 56%44%
Hypothetical polling

with generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Jim
Inhofe (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Undecided
Amber Integrated [44] June 3–4, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%54%34%12%

Results

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020 [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 979,140 62.91% –5.10
Democratic Abby Broyles509,76332.75%+4.20
Libertarian Robert Murphy34,4352.21%N/A
Independent Joan Farr21,6521.39%+0.11
Independent A. D. Nesbit11,3710.73%N/A
Total votes1,556,361 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By county

By congressional district

Inhofe won all five congressional districts. [46]

DistrictInfoheBroylesRepresentative
1st 58%38% Kevin Hern
2nd 72%24% Markwayne Mullin
3rd 72%24% Frank Lucas
4th 64%32% Tom Cole
5th 50%45% Kendra Horn (116th Congress)
Stephanie Bice (117th Congress)

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for Abby Broyles.

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Farr (I), Murphy (L) and Nesbitt (I) with 1%
  3. Murphy (L) and Nesbit (I) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  4. Murphy (L) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  5. "Independent candidate" with 5%
  6. Not yet released

References

  1. "Inhofe says he's seeking another term in Senate". KTUL. Associated Press. March 5, 2020. Archived from the original on April 4, 2020. Retrieved March 6, 2020.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Krehbiel, Randy (June 7, 2020). "U.S. Senate primary draws lively competition despite Inhofe's decades dominating at polls". Tulsa World. Archived from the original on June 16, 2020. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  3. Krehbiel, Randy (October 27, 2019). "Inspired by Oklahoma's governor, another Stitt is running for U.S. Senate". Tulsa World. Archived from the original on October 31, 2019. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
  4. Davenport, Coral (March 17, 2018). "Scott Pruitt, Trump's Rule-Cutting E.P.A. Chief, Plots His Political Future". The New York Times. Archived from the original on March 21, 2021. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  5. Trump, Donald [@realDonaldTrump] (March 9, 2020). "THANK YOU, Jim, for your incredible support of our #MAGA Agenda! You are a tremendous Senator for the people of the Great State of Oklahoma and you have my Complete and Total Endorsement! https://t.co/yx3e1tmjCM" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 via Twitter.
  6. Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 24, 2020). "Thank you Congressman Lucas for your kind words. Proud to represent the citizens of Oklahoma alongside you and excited for the future of our great state. https://t.co/zsGHMjOciQ" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 via Twitter.
  7. Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 16, 2020). ""Jim is a close friend. Jim Inhofe is Oklahoma's stable rock in turbulent times." @GovStitt https://t.co/xpDoxb5fSv" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 via Twitter.
  8. 1 2 "OK Election Results". Oklahoma Secretary of State. Archived from the original on July 1, 2020. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
  9. 1 2 3 Savage, Tres (November 4, 2019). "Abby Broyles is fifth Dem to file against Jim Inhofe". Non Doc. Archived from the original on December 15, 2019. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  10. 1 2 Simmons, Beau (August 16, 2019). "Incoming OSU instructor launches U.S. Senate campaign". Stillwater News Press. Archived from the original on August 26, 2019. Retrieved August 25, 2019.
  11. Bach, Tawnya (November 1, 2019). "Coffee With The Candidates: Bevon Rogers". KOAM News. Archived from the original on January 1, 2020. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  12. 1 2 3 "Filing data". www.ok.gov. Archived from the original on June 12, 2020. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
  13. 1 2 "United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020". Ballotpedia. Archived from the original on March 19, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  14. "Workman 4 Oklahoma". www.facebook.com. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2020.
  15. "Crap. Scott Pruitt wants to be Oklahoma's next U.S. Senator". The Last Ogle. August 15, 2017. Archived from the original on January 11, 2020. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  16. "2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC". nowpac.org. Archived from the original on June 15, 2020. Retrieved June 18, 2020.
  17. Broyles, Abby [@abbybroyles] (March 2, 2020). "I'm excited to announce I've been endorsed by Oklahoma Building Trades! This organization represents thousands of Oklahoma workers that I look forward to supporting in the US Senate. Join our team! https://t.co/gzXLcfAqSB -AB https://t.co/C72wvdmdlN" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 via Twitter.
  18. "Murphy for Senate 2020". secure.anedot.com. Archived from the original on April 6, 2020. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
  19. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on May 30, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  20. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on March 13, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  21. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on March 1, 2021. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  22. "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.[ permanent dead link ]
  23. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019. Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
  24. "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020. Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  25. "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  26. Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight . Archived from the original on September 20, 2020. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  27. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  28. "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved September 15, 2020.
  29. "Endorsed Candidates". Hertime. Archived from the original on September 27, 2020. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
  30. Swalwell, Eric [@ericswalwell] (July 1, 2020). "#FactCheck: Sen. Inhofe won't stand up for Oklahoma soldiers Trump may have allowed Russians to target. But @abbybroyles will. Flip the senate with Abby" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  31. "Archived copy". Facebook . Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved October 17, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  32. 1 2 "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Slate of Candidates Committed to Fighting the Status Quo in Washington". End Citizens United. July 30, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  33. "Endorsed Candidates – National Women's Political Caucus PAC". Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved July 21, 2020.
  34. "2020 Endorsements - Patriotic Millionaires". patrioticmillionaires.org. Archived from the original on September 28, 2020. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
  35. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club. March 19, 2021. Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. Retrieved September 28, 2020.
  36. "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  37. "Oklahoma – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved September 3, 2020.
  38. SoonerPoll
  39. Amber Integrated
  40. SoonerPoll
  41. DFM Research (D)
  42. Amber Integrated
  43. Abby Broyles
  44. Amber Integrated
  45. "November 3, 2020 - Official Results". Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  46. "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.

Official campaign websites