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Turnout | 50.23% ![]() | ||||||||||||||||
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Stitt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Hofmeister: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Oklahoma |
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The 2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Oklahoma. Incumbent Republican Governor Kevin Stitt was re-elected to a second term, with 55.5% of the vote, defeating Democratic candidate Joy Hofmeister. [1]
Although Stitt won by a comfortable margin, and even expanded his margin from 2018, his performance was the worst of any 2022 Republican candidate for statewide office in Oklahoma. Meanwhile, Hofmeister's performance was the second best of any 2022 Democratic statewide candidate in Oklahoma, only behind State Superintendent of Public Instruction nominee Jena Nelson.
The primary elections for the Republican and Democratic parties' nominations took place on June 28, 2022. [2] The deadline for candidates to file was April 15, 2022. [2]
Ervin Yen, former state senator from the 40th District, was the first to declare their campaign for the Republican Party of Oklahoma's nomination on November 8, 2020. [3] Yen later publicly announced on October 19, 2021, that he was leaving the Republican Party of Oklahoma. He criticized the party's opposition to mask and vaccine mandates for COVID-19, saying, "The Oklahoma GOP has left me." [4]
Incumbent Kevin Stitt was reported as joining the race in January 2021 after officially filing for re-election. [5]
Mark Sherwood, a naturopath, was reported as joining the race in September 2021. His platform included a "zero tolerance policy" for vaccine and mask mandates. He stated, "I believe the concept of vaccine and mask mandates needs to end." [6]
Joel Kintsel announced his candidacy on April 7. Moira McCabe was reported to have launched their campaign around the same time. [7]
In early June, Stitt's campaign pulled one of its commercials after Oklahoma County District Attorney, David Prater announced an investigation into whether it violated state law for featuring Oklahoma Attorney General John O'Connor. While pulling the ad, the campaign maintained they were "confident that it is an acceptable campaign ad focused on the Governor's accomplishments and fulfilled campaign promises." [8]
Incumbent Kevin Stitt won the June 28 Republican primary.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Joel Kintsel | Moira McCabe | Mark Sherwood | Kevin Stitt | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amber Integrated (R) | June 6–9, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 61% | 23% |
SoonerPoll | April 25 – May 11, 2022 | 306 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 67% | 24% |
Amber Integrated (R) | March 24–27, 2022 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | 15% | 59% | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Stitt (incumbent) | 248,525 | 69.06% | |
Republican | Joel Kintsel | 51,587 | 14.33% | |
Republican | Mark Sherwood | 47,713 | 13.26% | |
Republican | Moira McCabe | 12,046 | 3.35% | |
Total votes | 359,871 | 100.0% |
Former state senator Connie Johnson was the first Democrat to enter the race, officially declaring her candidacy on July 6, 2021. Her platform included expanding access to healthcare, revitalizing Oklahoma's infrastructure, pursuing criminal justice reforms like banning the death penalty, support for reproductive rights, and legalizing marijuana (marijuana is currently legal in Oklahoma for medicinal purposes, but is illegal for recreational use). A political progressive, Johnson was the only Oklahoma superdelegate who supported Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential primary. [25] [26]
On October 7, 2021, Oklahoma State Superintendent of Public Instruction Joy Hofmeister announced her plans to switch from the Republican Party to the Democratic Party and run for governor. Hofmeister had first been elected as a Republican in 2014 and 2018. This marked the first time that a Democrat held a statewide elected position in Oklahoma since Republicans swept every statewide office in 2010. Hofmeister had frequently clashed with Republican governor Kevin Stitt during the COVID-19 pandemic. In particular, she opposed the decision by the Oklahoma State Department of Education, whose members were appointed by Stitt, to forego imposing a mask mandate on schools. [27] Her platform included increasing education funding, investing in infrastructure, expanding mental health services, sentencing reform, and support for abortion rights. [28]
Johnson was openly skeptical of Hofmeister's decision to change parties, calling it a "big hoax." She pointed out that Hofmeister could still switch back to the Republican Party after being elected. [28] However, other Democrats in the state were more receptive, with the Oklahoma Democratic Party issuing a statement welcoming Hofmeister to the party. [29] Oklahoma Democratic Party chair Alicia Andrews admitted she was suspicious at first, but after talking with Hofmeister she became convinced that Hofmeister's intentions were good. Hofmeister emphasized that she was not changing her political beliefs, just her party, and is considerably more moderate in comparison to Johnson. [30] Andrews commented that they were "two very different candidates," and they gave Democratic voters "a real choice. If you don’t have a super progressive bent and maybe Connie scares you because she is so progressive, you have Joy. If Joy is too moderate, you have Connie." [26]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Joy Hofmeister | Connie Johnson | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amber Integrated (R) | October 12–14, 2021 | 243 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 33% | 13% | 55% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joy Hofmeister | 101,913 | 60.73% | |
Democratic | Connie Johnson | 65,894 | 39.27% | |
Total votes | 167,807 | 100.0% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Joy Hofmeister | Kevin Stitt | Natalie Bruno | Ervin Yen | ||||||
1 | October 19, 2022 | C-SPAN | Tres Savage and Storme Jones | P | P | N | N |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [67] | Likely R | September 29, 2022 |
Inside Elections [68] | Likely R | October 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [69] | Likely R | October 12, 2022 |
Politico [70] | Likely R | October 3, 2022 |
RCP [71] | Tossup | October 17, 2022 |
Fox News [72] | Lean R | November 1, 2022 |
538 [73] | Likely R | October 17, 2022 |
Elections Daily [74] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kevin Stitt (R) | Joy Hofmeister (D) | Other [lower-alpha 3] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | March 27 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 48.2% | 43.4% | 8.4% | Stitt +4.8 |
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kevin Stitt (R) | Joy Hofmeister (D) | Natalie Bruno (L) | Ervin Yen (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ascend Action (R) | November 5–6, 2022 | 682 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Tomahawk Strategies (R) | November 1–3, 2022 | 729 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | – | – | – |
Blueprint Polling | October 26 – November 1, 2022 | 557 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 40% | 2% | 4% | 6% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] | October 28–31, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | – | – | 4% |
Amber Integrated (R) | October 26–28, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 4% | 4% |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
52% | 43% | 2% | 4% | – | ||||
Ascend Action (R) | October 24–28, 2022 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
SoonerPoll | October 24–28, 2022 | 324 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 48% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
Amber Integrated (R) | October 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 46% | 1% | 3% | 5% |
Ascend Action (R) | October 10–12, 2022 | 638 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
SoonerPoll | October 3–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 43% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
American Viewpoint (R) [upper-alpha 1] | September 26–28, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 33% | 9% [lower-alpha 4] | 8% | |
Amber Integrated (R) | September 19–21, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
–(L) [upper-alpha 2] | September 15–18, 2022 | 2,989 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 40% | 9% | 5% | 7% |
SoonerPoll | September 2–7, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 43% | 3% | 4% | 7% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 55% | 36% | – | – | 10% |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 3] | July 22–26, 2022 | 2,079 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 34% | 6% | 4% | 14% |
Amber Integrated (R) | June 6–9, 2022 | 795 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 29% | 2% | 5% | 18% |
Amber Integrated (R) | March 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 30% | 3% | 4% | 18% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 4] | January 10–21, 2022 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 27% | 3% | 5% | 15% |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 3] | January 6–10, 2022 | 881 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 58% | 32% | – | – | 10% |
Amber Integrated (R) | December 15–19, 2021 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 32% | – | – | 21% |
Amber Integrated (R) | October 12–14, 2021 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 33% | – | – | 18% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 4] | October 2021 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 31% | 6% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Stitt (incumbent) | 639,484 | 55.45% | +1.12% | |
Democratic | Joy Hofmeister | 481,904 | 41.79% | −0.44% | |
Libertarian | Natalie Bruno | 16,243 | 1.41% | −2.03% | |
Independent | Ervin Yen | 15,653 | 1.36% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,153,284 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 1,153,284 | 52.23% | |||
Registered electors | 2,295,906 | ||||
Republican hold |
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Stitt won 4 of 5 congressional districts, with Hofmeister winning the remaining one, which elected a Republican. [77]
District | Stitt | Hofmeister | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 52% | 47% | Kevin Hern |
2nd | 64% | 34% | Markwayne Mullin (117th Congress) |
Josh Brecheen (118th Congress) | |||
3rd | 62% | 36% | Frank Lucas |
4th | 54% | 44% | Tom Cole |
5th | 49.3% | 49.4% | Stephanie Bice |
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