2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout50.2% Decrease2.svg
  Kevin Stitt (52251950006) (cropped).jpg Joy Hofmeister at Native EDGE conference 2019 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kevin Stitt Joy Hofmeister
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote639,484481,904
Percentage55.4%41.8%

2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election results map by precinct.svg
Stitt:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%
Hofmeister:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     ≥90%

Governor before election

Kevin Stitt
Republican

Elected Governor

Kevin Stitt
Republican

The 2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Oklahoma. Incumbent governor Kevin Stitt was re-elected to a second term, defeating Joy Hofmeister. [1]

Contents

Although Stitt won by a comfortable margin, and even expanded his margin from 2018, his performance was the worst of any 2022 Republican candidate for statewide office in Oklahoma. Meanwhile, Hofmeister's performance was the second best of any 2022 Democratic statewide candidate in Oklahoma, only behind State Superintendent of Public Instruction nominee Jena Nelson.

The primary elections for the Republican and Democratic parties' nominations took place on June 28, 2022. [2] The deadline for candidates to file was April 15, 2022. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Ervin Yen, former state senator from the 40th District, was the first to declare their campaign for the Republican Party of Oklahoma's nomination on November 8, 2020. [3] Yen later publicly announced on October 19, 2021, that he was leaving the Republican Party of Oklahoma. He criticized the party's opposition to mask and vaccine mandates for COVID-19, saying, "The Oklahoma GOP has left me." [4]

Incumbent Kevin Stitt was reported as joining the race in January 2021 after officially filing for re-election. [5]

Mark Sherwood, a naturopath, was reported as joining the race in September 2021. His platform included a "zero tolerance policy" for vaccine and mask mandates. He stated, "I believe the concept of vaccine and mask mandates needs to end." [6]

Joel Kintsel announced his candidacy on April 7. Moira McCabe was reported to have launched their campaign around the same time. [7]

In early June, Stitt's campaign pulled one of its commercials after Oklahoma County District Attorney, David Prater announced an investigation into whether it violated state law for featuring Oklahoma Attorney General John O'Connor. While pulling the ad, the campaign maintained they were "confident that it is an acceptable campaign ad focused on the Governor's accomplishments and fulfilled campaign promises." [8]

Incumbent Kevin Stitt won the June 28 Republican primary.

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew before filing

Declined

Endorsements

Mark Sherwood
State senators
State representatives
Individuals
Kevin Stitt
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State senators
State representatives
Newspaper
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joel
Kintsel
Moira
McCabe
Mark
Sherwood
Kevin
Stitt
Undecided
Amber Integrated (R) June 6–9, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%4%3%8%61%23%
SoonerPoll April 25 – May 11, 2022306 (LV)± 5.6%4%1%5%67%24%
Amber Integrated (R) March 24–27, 2022455 (LV)± 4.6%15%59%26%

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Stitt
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% 2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Stitt
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kevin Stitt (incumbent) 248,525 69.06%
Republican Joel Kintsel51,58714.33%
Republican Mark Sherwood47,71313.26%
Republican Moira McCabe12,0463.35%
Total votes359,871 100.0%

Democratic primary

Former state senator Connie Johnson was the first Democrat to enter the race. Johnson c (cropped).jpg
Former state senator Connie Johnson was the first Democrat to enter the race.

Former state senator Connie Johnson was the first Democrat to enter the race, officially declaring her candidacy on July 6, 2021. Her platform included expanding access to healthcare, revitalizing Oklahoma's infrastructure, pursuing criminal justice reforms like banning the death penalty, support for reproductive rights, and legalizing marijuana (marijuana is currently legal in Oklahoma for medicinal purposes, but is illegal for recreational use). A political progressive, Johnson was the only Oklahoma superdelegate who supported Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential primary. [25] [26]

On October 7, 2021, Oklahoma State Superintendent of Public Instruction Joy Hofmeister announced her plans to switch from the Republican Party to the Democratic Party and run for governor. Hofmeister had first been elected as a Republican in 2014 and 2018. This marked the first time that a Democrat held a statewide elected position in Oklahoma since Republicans swept every statewide office in 2010. Hofmeister had frequently clashed with Republican governor Kevin Stitt during the COVID-19 pandemic. In particular, she opposed the decision by the Oklahoma State Department of Education, whose members were appointed by Stitt, to forego imposing a mask mandate on schools. [27] Her platform included increasing education funding, investing in infrastructure, expanding mental health services, sentencing reform, and support for abortion rights. [28]

Johnson was openly skeptical of Hofmeister's decision to change parties, calling it a "big hoax." She pointed out that Hofmeister could still switch back to the Republican Party after being elected. [28] However, other Democrats in the state were more receptive, with the Oklahoma Democratic Party issuing a statement welcoming Hofmeister to the party. [29] Oklahoma Democratic Party chair Alicia Andrews admitted she was suspicious at first, but after talking with Hofmeister she became convinced that Hofmeister's intentions were good. Hofmeister emphasized that she was not changing her political beliefs, just her party, and is considerably more moderate in comparison to Johnson. [30] Andrews commented that they were "two very different candidates," and they gave Democratic voters "a real choice. If you don’t have a super progressive bent and maybe Connie scares you because she is so progressive, you have Joy. If Joy is too moderate, you have Connie." [26]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joy
Hofmeister
Connie
Johnson
Undecided
Amber Integrated (R) October 12–14, 2021243 (RV)± 6.3%33%13%55%

Results

Results by county:
Hofmeister
50-60%
60-70%
Johnson
50-60%
70-80% 2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Hofmeister
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Johnson
  •   50–60%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joy Hofmeister 101,913 60.73%
Democratic Connie Johnson 65,89439.27%
Total votes167,807 100.0%

General election

Ervin Yen, who served in the Oklahoma Senate as a Republican, ran as an Independent candidate. Ervinyen (cropped).jpg
Ervin Yen, who served in the Oklahoma Senate as a Republican, ran as an Independent candidate.

Candidates

Declared but failed to file

Debates

2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Non-invitee  I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Joy
Hofmeister
Kevin
Stitt
Natalie
Bruno
Ervin
Yen
1October 19, 2022 C-SPAN Tres Savage and Storme Jones PPNN

Endorsements

Kevin Stitt (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Newspapers
Labor unions
Organizations
Joy Hofmeister (D)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Tribal nations
Tribal officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Labor unions
Local officials
Organizations

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [67] Likely RSeptember 29, 2022
Inside Elections [68] Likely ROctober 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [69] Likely ROctober 12, 2022
Politico [70] Likely ROctober 3, 2022
RCP [71] TossupOctober 17, 2022
Fox News [72] Lean RNovember 1, 2022
538 [73] Likely ROctober 17, 2022
Elections Daily [74] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kevin
Stitt (R)
Joy
Hofmeister (D)
Other
[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight March 27 – November 7, 2022November 7, 202248.2%43.4%8.4%Stitt +4.8
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kevin
Stitt (R)
Joy
Hofmeister (D)
Natalie
Bruno (L)
Ervin
Yen (I)
Undecided
Ascend Action (R) November 5–6, 2022682 (LV)± 3.8%49%46%1%1%4%
Tomahawk Strategies (R) November 1–3, 2022729 (LV)± 4.0%42%45%
Blueprint Polling October 26 – November 1, 2022557 (LV)± 4.2%48%40%2%4%6%
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] October 28–31, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%39%4%
Amber Integrated (R) October 26–28, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%45%44%2%4%4%
Emerson College October 25–28, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%1%2%8%
52%43%2%4%
Ascend Action (R) October 24–28, 2022749 (LV)± 3.6%45%48%1%1%6%
SoonerPoll October 24–28, 2022324 (LV)± 5.0%45%48%2%3%2%
Amber Integrated (R) October 13–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%46%1%3%5%
Ascend Action (R) October 10–12, 2022638 (LV)± 3.9%42%49%0%0%8%
SoonerPoll October 3–6, 2022301 (LV)± 5.7%43%47%2%1%7%
American Viewpoint (R) [upper-alpha 1] September 26–28, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%48%33%9% [lower-alpha 4] 8%
Amber Integrated (R) September 19–21, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%47%44%2%1%6%
–(L) [upper-alpha 2] September 15–18, 20222,989 (LV)± 3.2%39%40%9%5%7%
SoonerPoll September 2–7, 2022402 (LV)± 4.9%44%43%3%4%7%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022522 (RV)± 6.3%55%36%10%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 3] July 22–26, 20222,079 (LV)± 3.1%42%34%6%4%14%
Amber Integrated (R) June 6–9, 2022795 (LV)± 3.5%47%29%2%5%18%
Amber Integrated (R) March 24–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%44%30%3%4%18%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 4] January 10–21, 2022500 (RV)± 4.3%49%27%3%5%15%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 3] January 6–10, 2022881 (LV)± 4.8%58%32%10%
Amber Integrated (R) December 15–19, 2021500 (RV)± 4.4%47%32%21%
Amber Integrated (R) October 12–14, 2021500 (RV)± 4.4%49%33%18%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 4] October 2021500 (RV)± 4.3%46%31%6%17%

Results

State Senate district results 2022 Oklahoma Governor election results By SSmap.svg
State Senate district results
2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election [75] [76]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Kevin Stitt (incumbent) 639,484 55.45% +1.12%
Democratic Joy Hofmeister 481,90441.79%-0.44%
Libertarian Natalie Bruno16,2431.41%-2.03%
Independent Ervin Yen 15,6531.36%N/A
Total votes1,153,284 100.0%
Turnout 1,153,28452.23%
Registered electors 2,295,906
Republican hold

By county

By county
County Kevin Stitt
Republican
Joy Hofmeister
Democratic
Natalie Bruno
Libertarian
Ervin Yen
Independent
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Adair 3,13560.031,89636.31801.531112.131,23923.725,222
Alfalfa 1,28774.1838522.19331.90301.7390251.991,735
Atoka 2,79071.161,01125.78571.45631.611,77945.383,921
Beaver 1,38281.3924914.66291.71382.241,13366.731,698
Beckham 4,11575.091,24022.63601.09651.192,87552.465,480
Blaine 1,98566.6188629.73481.61612.051,09936.882,980
Bryan 7,14462.303,94134.371931.681891.653,20327.9311,467
Caddo 4,16658.992,66837.781131.601151.631,49821.217,062
Canadian 29,47458.7019,30638.457571.516771.3510,16820.2550,214
Carter 8,62164.304,33232.312291.712261.694,28931.9913,408
Cherokee 6,66049.176,48147.851971.452071.531791.3213,545
Choctaw 2,79869.091,08426.77812.00872.151,71442.324,050
Cimarron 64087.31628.46121.64192.5957878.85733
Cleveland 41,37945.3347,35651.881,3351.461,2091.32-5,977-6.5591,279
Coal 1,28867.5154928.77301.57412.1573938.741,908
Comanche 12,21951.8210,29343.655372.285312.251,9268.1723,580
Cotton 1,18764.6154529.57603.26512.7764234.841,843
Craig 2,88064.211,49233.27571.27561.251,38830.944,485
Creek 15,01567.186,81630.502681.202511.128,19936.6822,350
Custer 4,85364.782,46132.85991.32791.052,39231.937,492
Delaware 8,85867.013,49729.861781.352351.784,91137.1513,218
Dewey 1,40079.2332118.17191.08271.531,07961.061,767
Ellis 1,16778.5328118.91251.68130.8788659.621,486
Garfield 10,80066.614,96030.592221.372321.435,84036.0216,214
Garvin 5,58968.812,29628.271321.631051.293,29340.548,122
Grady 12,16568.255,16328.962471.392501.407,00239.2917,825
Grant 1,18173.8637523.45241.50191.1980650.411,599
Greer 90267.2139429.36231.71231.7150837.851,342
Harmon 45870.4617927.5491.3840.6227942.92650
Harper 80969.2631727.14252.14171.4649242.121,168
Haskell 2,33768.9098529.04320.94381.121,35239.863,392
Hughes 2,35266.351,09330.83481.35521.471,25935.523,545
Jackson 3,85770.101.45026.351051.91901.642,40743.755,502
Jefferson 1,09868.0744427.53402.48311.9265440.541,613
Johnston 1,98667.0386729.26551.86551.861,11937.772,963
Kay 7,92763.254,20433.551911.522101.683,72329.7012,532
Kingfisher 3.64774.691,12122.96551.13601.232,52651.734,883
Kiowa 1,64866.9676431.04281.14210.8588435.922,461
Latimer 1,98564.7896031.33421.37772.511,02533.453,064
Le Flore 8,26668.083,37727.812632.172351.944,88940.2712,141
Lincoln 7,58768.363,13128.211721.552081.874,45640.1511,098
Logan 11,08665.145,51732.422221.301941.145,56932.7217,019
Love 1.95171.1570325.64331.20552.011,24845.512,742
McClain 10,16067.534,45829.632251.502031.355,70237.9015,046
McCurtain 5,56667.482,31128.021601.942112.563,25539.468,248
McIntosh 4,02862.202,30035.52701.08781.201,72826.686,476
Major 2,15179.9347017.47311.15391.451,68162.462,691
Marshall 2,95867.371,31229.88491.12721.641,64637.494,391
Mayes 8,03163.494,20533.241911.512231.763,82630.2512,650
Murray 2,71863.941,39832.89932.19420.991,32031.054,251
Muskogee 9,83555.277,51742.242301.292141.202,31813.0117,796
Noble 2,46164.531,24032.51611.60521.361,22132.023,814
Nowata 2,30269.2791627.57621.87431.291,38641.703,323
Okfuskee 1,78560.611,06736.23411.39521.7771824.382,945
Oklahoma 93,46642.00122,99655.272,8681.293,2241.45-29,530-13.27222,554
Okmulgee 6,18758.184,18639.361431.341191.122,00118.8210,635
Osage 9,05359.935,65637.442261.501701.133,39722.4915,105
Ottawa 4,71861.372,64934.461602.081612.092,06926.917,688
Pawnee 3,35466.461,55430.79771.53631.231,80035.675,047
Payne 11,02949.8210,56147.712941.332541.154682.1122,138
Pittsburg 8,32265.573,97331.311641.292321.834,34934.2612,691
Pontotoc 5,74851.305,06845.231921.711971.766806.0711,205
Pottawatomie 12,41559.947,65136.943391.643081.494,76423.0020,713
Pushmataha 2,30970.0387026.39662.00521.581,43943.643,297
Roger Mills 1,09282.7319114.47231.74141.0690168.261,320
Rogers 22,58166.5510,52731.024401.303851.1312,05435.5333,933
Seminole 3,64262.142,05034.98841.43851.451,59227.165,861
Sequoyah 6,51663.423,32932.401981.932312.253,18731.0210,274
Stephens 8,95769.293,58027.292822.152972.265,37741.0013,116
Texas 2,80676.7171219.46511.46892.432,09457.253,658
Tillman 1,20365.0356530.54422.27402.1663834.491,850
Tulsa 94,98148.9495,39649.152,1941.131,5240.79-415-0.21194,095
Wagoner 17,43464.888,84632.923171.182731.028,58831.9626,870
Washington 11,15265.025,57832.522171.272041.195,57432.5017,151
Washita 2,63373.6584123.52611.71401.121,79250.133,575
Woods 1,81667.2180429.76451.67371.371,01237.452,702
Woodward 4,00174.411,22522.78821.53691.282,77651.635,377
Totals639,48455.45481,90441.7916,2431.4115,6531.36157,58013.661,153,284
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Paul Tay was arrested on August 23, 2021 and charged with kidnapping, assault with a deadly weapon, and rape. [37] The charges were later dropped in early August 2022, nearly a year after his arrest. [38]
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. "A 3rd party candidate" with 9%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Stitt's campaign
  2. This poll was conducted in-house by and for Bruno's campaign
  3. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Oklahoma's Children Our Future
  4. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the American Federation for Children

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The 2022 Oklahoma State Treasurer election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next Oklahoma State Treasurer. The primary election is scheduled for Tuesday, June 28, 2022. Runoff primary elections, if necessary, would have been held on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. The deadline for candidates to file was April 15, 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma</span> Special United States Senate election in Oklahoma

The 2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate for Oklahoma. The election took place concurrently with the regularly scheduled election for Oklahoma's other Senate seat. The candidate filing deadline was between April 13 and 15, 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Oklahoma Attorney General election</span> 2022 Attorney General election in Oklahoma

The 2022 Oklahoma Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next attorney general of Oklahoma. The primary election was scheduled for Tuesday, June 28, 2022. The candidate filing deadline was April 15, 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Chris Banning</span> American politician

Chris Banning is an American politician who has served as the Oklahoma House of Representatives member from the 24th district since November 16, 2022.

References

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Official campaign websites