2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

Last updated

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  

All 5 Connecticut seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election50
Seats won50
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote721,526526,372
Percentage57.20%41.73%
SwingDecrease2.svg 2.63%Increase2.svg 3.21%

2022 U.S. House elections in Connecticut.svg
2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Connecticut, results shaded by municipality.svg

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Connecticut, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2022 U.S. Senate race in Connecticut and the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

This election was the closest the Republican Party has gotten to gaining a seat since 2006, where the last Republican representative was elected, as well as the first time since 2006 in which any district was won by a margin lower than 1%. This was due to the very narrow margin in Connecticut's 5th district, with Rep. Jahana Hayes winning only by a margin of 0.79%.

District 1

2022 Connecticut's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2020
2024  
  John Larson Democratic Caucus Portrait.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee John Larson Larry Lazor
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Popular vote149,55691,506
Percentage61.3%37.5%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Connecticut's 1st Congressional District, results shaded by municipality.svg
Municipality results
Larson     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Lazor     50-60%     60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Larson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

John Larson
Democratic

The 1st district encompasses Hartford and the surrounding areas, including the north-central part of the state. The incumbent was Democrat John Larson, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2020. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Disqualified
Withdrawn
  • Andrew Legnani, former EMT (endorsed Hrezi) [5] [6]

Endorsements

Muad Hrezi

Republican convention

Candidates

Nominee
  • Larry Lazor, physician [14]

General election

Debate

2022 Connecticut's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican Green
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
John Larson Larry LazorMary Sanders
1Oct. 12, 2022 Connecticut Public
Broadcasting
Ray Hardman YouTube PPN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid DFebruary 10, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid DApril 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DFebruary 16, 2022
Politico [18] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid DOctober 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [23] Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Connecticut's 1st congressional district election [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Larson144,87359.4
Working Families John Larson4,6831.9
Total John Larson 149,55661.3
Republican Larry Lazor91,50637.5
Green Mary Sanders2,8511.2
Total votes243,913 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2022 Connecticut's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2020
2024  
  Joe Courtney official photo (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Joe Courtney Mike France
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote165,946114,506
Percentage58.2%40.2%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District, results shaded by municipality.svg
Municipality results
Courtney     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
France     40-50%     50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Joe Courtney
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Joe Courtney
Democratic

The 2nd congressional district is located in eastern Connecticut and includes Enfield, Norwich, New London, and Groton. The incumbent was Democrat Joe Courtney, who was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2020. [1] Courtney ran for and won re-election in 2022.

Democratic convention

Candidates

Nominee
Failed to qualify
  • Anthony DiLizia, army veteran [26]

Endorsements

Joe Courtney
Organizations
Labor unions

Republican convention

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Debate

2022 Connecticut's 2nd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican Green Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Joe Courtney Mike France Kevin BlackerWilliam Hall
1Oct. 4, 2022 Connecticut Public
Broadcasting
Catherine Shen YouTube PPNN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Likely DMay 26, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid DApril 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DFebruary 16, 2022
Politico [18] Likely DApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Lean DOctober 30, 2022
Fox News [20] Lean DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Likely DJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid DOctober 30, 2022
The Economist [23] Likely DNovember 1, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Joe
Courtney (D)
Mike
France (R)
William
Hall (L)
OtherUndecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) October 23–27, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%29%5%2% [lower-alpha 2] 13%
55%36%9%

Results

2022 Connecticut's 2nd congressional district election [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joe Courtney (incumbent) 165,946 58.2
Republican Mike France 114,50640.2
Green Kevin Blacker2,4390.9
Libertarian William Hall2,1400.7
Total votes285,031 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2022 Connecticut's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2020
2024  
  Rosa DeLauro (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Rosa DeLauro Lesley DeNardis
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote137,92498,704
Percentage56.8%40.7%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District, results shaded by municipality.svg
Municipality results
DeLauro     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
DeNardis     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Rosa DeLauro
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rosa DeLauro
Democratic

The 3rd district is located in the south central part of the state and takes in New Haven and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Rosa DeLauro, was re-elected with 58.7% of the vote in 2020. [1] DeLauro ran for and won re-election in 2022.

Democratic convention

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Republican convention

Candidates

Nominee

Independents and third-party candidates

Declared

  • Amy Chai (independent), physician [32]
  • Justin Paglino (Green), doctor and nominee for this district in 2020 [33] [34]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid DFebruary 10, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid DApril 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DFebruary 16, 2022
Politico [18] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Likely DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid DNovember 1, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [23] Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Connecticut's 3rd congressional district election [35]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Rosa DeLauro (incumbent) 137,924 56.8
Republican Lesley DeNardis98,70440.7
Independent Amy Chai4,0561.7
Green Justin Paglino1,9670.8
Total votes242,651 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2022 Connecticut's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2020
2024  
  Jim Himes portrait (118th Congress).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Himes Jayme Stevenson
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Independent Party
Popular vote140,26295,822
Percentage59.4%40.6%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, results shaded by municipality.svg
Municipality results
Himes     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
Stevenson     50-60%     60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Himes
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Himes
Democratic

The 4th district is located in southwestern Connecticut, stretching from Greenwich to Bridgeport. The incumbent was Democrat Jim Himes, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2020. [1] Himes ran for and won re-election in 2022.

Democratic convention

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Jim Himes
Organizations
Labor unions

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Republican primary results [40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jayme Stevenson 9,962 60.3
Republican Michael Goldstein6,65539.7
Total votes16,517 100.0

General election

Debate

2022 Connecticut's 4th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jim Himes Jayme Stevenson
1Oct. 14, 2022 Connecticut Public
Broadcasting
Kaliliah
Brown-Dean
YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid DFebruary 10, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid DApril 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe DFebruary 16, 2022
Politico [18] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [19] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [20] Solid DOctober 11, 2022
DDHQ [21] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [22] Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [23] Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jim
Himes (D)
Jayme
Stevenson (R)
OtherUndecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) October 23–27, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%53%37%10%

Results

2022 Connecticut's 4th congressional district election [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Himes (incumbent) 140,262 59.4
Republican Jayme Stevenson93,32939.5
Independent Party Jayme Stevenson2,4931.1
TotalJayme Stevenson95,82240.6
Total votes236,084 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

2022 Connecticut's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2020
2024  
  Jahana Hayes, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jahana Hayes George Logan
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Independent Party
Popular vote127,838125,834
Percentage50.4%49.6%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Connecticut's 5th Congressional District, results shaded by municipality.svg
Municipality results
Hayes     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
Logan     50-60%     60-70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jahana Hayes
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jahana Hayes
Democratic

The 5th district is based in the northwestern region of the state, including the cities of Danbury, New Britain, Meriden, and most of Waterbury. The incumbent was Democrat Jahana Hayes, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2020. [1] Hayes ran for and narrowly won re-election in 2022 by a margin of 0.8%. [42]

Democratic convention

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Republican convention

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

George Logan
U.S. representatives
Organizations

General election

Debates

2022 Connecticut's 5th congressional district debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Jahana Hayes George Logan
1Oct. 18, 2022 WTNH Dennis House YouTube PP
2Oct. 21, 2022 Connecticut Public
Broadcasting
Frankie Graziano YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] TossupOctober 25, 2022
Inside Elections [16] TossupNovember 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Lean R (flip)November 7, 2022
Politico [18] TossupOctober 3, 2022
RCP [19] TossupOctober 3, 2022
Fox News [20] TossupNovember 1, 2022
DDHQ [21] Lean DOctober 27, 2022
538 [22] Lean DOctober 25, 2022
The Economist [23] TossupNovember 1, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Jahana
Hayes (D)
George
Logan (R)
Undecided
[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight July 16 – October 27, 2022October 29, 202246.7%45.3%8.0%Hayes +1.4
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jahana
Hayes (D)
George
Logan (R)
OtherUndecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) October 23–27, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%45%10%
Emerson College October 19–21, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%47%48%6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] October 4–6, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%48%46%6%
RMG Research July 20–26, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%45%37%3%15%
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 2] July 16–24, 2022400 (RV)± 4.9%45%45%9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] June 29–30, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%46%41%13%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] October 4–6, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%42%47%11%
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 2] July 16–24, 2022400 (RV)± 4.9%42%48%10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] June 29–30, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%44%44%12%

Results

2022 Connecticut's 5th congressional district election [58]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jahana Hayes123,81848.8
Working Families Jahana Hayes4,0201.6
Total Jahana Hayes (incumbent)127,83850.4
Republican George Logan123,34248.6
Independent Party George Logan2,4921.0
Total George Logan 125,83449.6
Total votes253,672 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Blacker with 2%
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Logan's campaign committee
  2. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund

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  29. "Rosa DeLauro FEC Statement of Candidacy" . Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  30. 1 2 "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
  31. Moritz, Joe (October 27, 2022). "One CT candidate spent more on pizza than opponent spent in two months: An inside look at a longshot campaign". CT Insider. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
  32. "Amy Chai FEC Statement of Candidacy" . Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  33. "Justin Paglino FEC Statement of Candidacy" . Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  34. "Green Party of Connecticut - 2022 Candidates" . Retrieved June 7, 2022.
  35. "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 3". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  36. Emilie Munson (January 13, 2021). "Himes files for 2022 re-election run; no announcement". ctpost.
  37. "Former Darien first selectman seeks GOP nomination for 4th Congressional District". March 6, 2022.
  38. "Could Greenwich doctor have remedy for 4th Congressional District's ills?". February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2022.
  39. "Michael Goldstein FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved October 25, 2021.
  40. "2022 Republican Primary Election - Representative in Congress - District 4". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  41. "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 4". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  42. 1 2 Mark Pazinokas (July 20, 2021). "Prepping for challenge, Hayes banks $1.2M for re-election". ctmirror.
  43. "AIPAC PAC Featured Candidates". AIPAC PAC.
  44. "Candidates". Congressional Black Caucus PAC.
  45. "DMFI PAC CANDIDATES". Democratic Majority for Israel .
  46. "EMILY's List Endorses 17 Congresswomen for Reelection". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List. March 26, 2021. Archived from the original on April 24, 2021.
  47. "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org.
  48. "Giffords Endorses Slate of Gun Safety Champions". Giffords . March 23, 2022.
  49. Society, Humane. "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  50. "LCV Action Fund Announces Second Round of Incumbent House Endorsements". www.lcv.org. March 3, 2022.
  51. Anna Elizabeth (July 19, 2021). "CT Examiner Talks Congressional Run with George Logan". The Connecticut Examiner.
  52. Christopher Keating (July 21, 2021). "Republican George Logan to challenge Democratic U.S. Rep. Jahana Hayes in Connecticut's 5th District". Hartfod Courant.
  53. "CT-05: Logan Celebrates Scalise Endorsement Day After GOP Whip Votes Against Marriage Equality". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. July 21, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  54. Berry, Susan (June 4, 2022). "House Republican Conference Chair Representative Elise Stefanik Endorses Republican George Logan in Bid to Flip Connecticut's 5th Congressional District". The Tennessee Star . Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  55. Dixon, Ken (October 5, 2022). "As Jahana Hayes meets with Kamala Harris, opponent George Logan brings Wisconsin congressman to CT". CT Insider. Retrieved October 13, 2022.
  56. "We proudly endorse George Logan for Congress". Log Cabin Republicans. October 27, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  57. "U.S. Chamber Endorses George Logan for Connecticut's 5th Congressional District". United States Chamber of Commerce. October 27, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2023.
  58. "2022 General Election - Representative in Congress - District 5". Connecticut Secretary of State.
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