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All 17 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Pennsylvania |
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Government |
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the seventeen seats in Pennsylvania (reduced from 18 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census).
Pennsylvania's legislature enacted new district maps in January 2022, which were promptly vetoed by Governor Tom Wolf. The state supreme court took control of the process and selected a map in February 2022. After the court rejected several legal challenges in March, the new district boundaries were used in the May 2022 primary elections. [1] [2]
Despite losing the popular vote, with one Democratic and two Republican incumbents running unopposed, Democrats won the majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008. As a result, Pennsylvania was one of only two states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2022, the other state being Nevada.
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Results Fitzpatrick: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Ehasz: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. [3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5 points in 2020. Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 54.9% of the vote. [4]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 60,502 | 65.57 | |
Republican | Alex Entin | 31,772 | 34.43 | |
Total votes | 92,274 | 100.00 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ashley Ehasz | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 79,546 | 100.00 |
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid R | May 26, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | August 25, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Likely R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Likely R | October 3, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Lean R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Likely R | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | Ashley Ehasz (D) | Other | Undecided |
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Public Opinion Strategies (R) [40] [A] | September 5–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 35% | – | 10% |
RMG Research [41] | July 22–29, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 35% | 10% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [42] [B] | June 24–25, 2022 | 626 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 38% | – | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 201,571 | 54.87 | |
Democratic | Ashley Ehasz | 165,809 | 45.13 | |
Total votes | 367,380 | 100.00 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Boyle: 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in central and northeastern Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. [3] It has a PVI of D+22 and voted for Joe Biden by 43 points in 2020. Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 75.7% of the vote. [44]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Brendan Boyle | Sharif Street | Undecided |
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MuniciPoll (D) [50] [C] | December 4–7, 2021 | 939 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 58% | 18% | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 53,825 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Aaron Bashir | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 11,796 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 141,229 | 75.7 | |
Republican | Aaron Bashir | 45,454 | 24.3 | |
Total votes | 186,683 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Evans: >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is based in west and south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. [3] It has a PVI of D+40, making it the second most democratic leaning district in the nation (behind NY-13), and voted for Joe Biden by 81 points. Democrat Dwight Evans, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 95.1% of the vote. [53]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 97,709 | 75.7 | |
Democratic | Alexandra Hunt | 25,712 | 19.9 | |
Democratic | Michael Cogbill | 5,728 | 4.4 | |
Total votes | 129,149 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 251,115 | 95.1 | |
Socialist Workers | Christopher Hoeppner | 12,820 | 4.9 | |
Total votes | 263,935 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Dean: 60–70% Nascimento: 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in the western suburbs of Philadelphia, including most of Montgomery County and parts of Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. [3] It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 19 points in 2020. Democrat Madeleine Dean, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.3% of the vote in the general election. [63]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Madeleine Dean (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 96,876 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Christian Nascimento | 47,192 | 68.8 | |
Republican | Daniel Burton | 21,378 | 31.2 | |
Total votes | 68,570 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
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Log Cabin Republicans [76]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Madeleine Dean (incumbent) | 224,799 | 61.3 | |
Republican | Christian Nascimento | 141,986 | 38.7 | |
Total votes | 366,785 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Scanlon: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is based in the southwestern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Delaware County, parts of Montgomery County, and parts of south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. [3] It has a PVI of D+14 and voted for Joe Biden by 32 points in 2020. Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who had represented the district since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 65.1% of the vote in the general election. [77]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 79,816 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | David Galluch | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 55,770 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Mary Gay Scanlon | David Galluch | |||||
1 | Oct. 10, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Delaware County League of Women Voters of Lower Merion & Narberth | Jamie Mogil | [84] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) | 205,128 | 65.1 | |
Republican | David Galluch | 110,058 | 34.9 | |
Total votes | 315,186 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Houlahan: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district includes all of Chester County and the city of Reading in Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. [3] It has a PVI of D+5 and voted for Joe Biden by 15 points in 2020. Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 58.3% of the vote in the general election. [85]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 71,950 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Guy Ciarrochi | 23,369 | 33.1 | |
Republican | Steve Fanelli | 21,146 | 29.9 | |
Republican | Ron Vogel | 15,628 | 22.1 | |
Republican | Regina Mauro | 10,565 | 14.9 | |
Total votes | 70,708 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Chrissy Houlahan | Guy Ciarrocchi | |||||
1 | Oct. 25, 2022 | Greater Reading Unity Coalition | Anthony Orozco | [97] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Likely D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Lean D | October 17, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) | 190,386 | 58.3 | |
Republican | Guy Ciarrocchi | 136,097 | 41.7 | |
Total votes | 326,483 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Wild: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Scheller: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, including all of Lehigh, Northampton, and Carbon counties and a small sliver of Monroe County. The district was modestly altered by redistricting, losing Stroudsburg in exchange for Carbon County. [3] This made the district more conservative, with a PVI of R+2, but it voted for Joe Biden by 0.6 points in 2020. Democrat Susan Wild, a representative since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 51.0% of the vote. [103]
During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of candidate Kevin Dellicker. [104]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Susan Wild (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 63,817 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Lisa Scheller | 34,504 | 51.3 | |
Republican | Kevin Dellicker | 32,713 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 67,217 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Susan Wild | Lisa Scheller | |||||
1 | Oct. 21, 2022 | Lehigh Valley News WLVR-FM WLVT-TV | Jen Rehill Tom Shortell | [120] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [28] | Tossup | October 5, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Tossup | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Lean R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Lean R (flip) | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Tossup | August 3, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Susan Wild (D) | Lisa Scheller (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Muhlenberg College [121] | October 12–14, 2022 | 404 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
RMG Research [122] | July 31 – August 5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 47% | 2% | 8% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Susan Wild (incumbent) | 151,364 | 51.0 | |
Republican | Lisa Scheller | 145,527 | 49.0 | |
Total votes | 296,891 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Cartwright: 50-60% Bognet: 50-60% 60-70% Precinct results | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in Northeast Pennsylvania, specifically the Wyoming Valley and Pocono Mountains, including all of Lackawanna, Wayne, and Pike counties, and most of Luzerne and Monroe counties. The district added Stroudsburg in redistricting, making it slightly more liberal. [3] It has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 3 points in 2020. Democrat Matt Cartwright, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 51.2% of the vote in the general election. [123]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 68,696 | 100.0 |
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jim Bognet | 47,097 | 68.7 | |
Republican | Michael Marsicano | 21,436 | 31.3 | |
Total votes | 68,533 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [28] | Tossup | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Tossup | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Lean R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Tossup | October 1, 2022 |
538 [35] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
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Labor unions
Executive branch officials
Organizations
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Bognet | Cartwright | ||||||||
1 | October 20, 2022 | WVIA-TV | Larry Vojtko | C-SPAN [140] | P | P |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Matt Cartwright (D) | Jim Bognet (R) | Undecided [b] | Margin |
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FiveThirtyEight [141] | June 23 – October 28, 2022 | October 31, 2022 | 48.1% | 45.0% | 6.9% | Cartwright +3.1 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Matt Cartwright (D) | Jim Bognet (R) | Undecided |
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Siena College/The New York Times [142] | October 19–20, 2022 | 415 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | 6% |
Patriot Polling [143] | October 7–9, 2022 | 289 (RV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
GQR Research (D) [144] [D] | September 12–15, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 44% | 3% |
Cygnal (R) [145] [E] | September 6–8, 2022 | 440 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
GQR Research (D) [146] [D] | August 2–9, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 46% | 1% |
Cygnal (R) [147] [E] | June 23–25, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 146,956 | 51.2 | |
Republican | Jim Bognet | 139,930 | 48.8 | |
Total votes | 286,886 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Meuser: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania east of the Appalachian Divide, including Williamsport, Bloomsburg, and Lebanon. The district kept most of its territory and added much of the now defunct 12th district in redistricting. [3] It has a PVI of R+21 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Dan Meuser, who had represented the district since 2019, was re-elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020. [149] Meuser is running for re-election. Republican Fred Keller, who had represented the 12th district since 2019, was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020 and redistricted into the 15th district, but switched to run in the 9th district. [150] However, on February 28, Keller announced that he would retire instead of go through a primary against Meuser. [151] Meuser went on to win the general election in 2022, garnering 69.3% of the vote. [152]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Dan Meuser (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 102,180 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Amanda Waldman | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 41,622 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [28] [160] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Labor unions
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Meuser | Waldman | ||||||||
1 | October 21, 2022 | WVIA-TV | Larry Vojtko | PAhomepage [163] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan Meuser (incumbent) | 209,185 | 69.3 | |
Democratic | Amanda Waldman | 92,622 | 30.7 | |
Total votes | 301,807 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Perry: 50-60% Daniels: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is based in the Harrisburg and York areas, including all of Dauphin County, most of Cumberland County, and the northern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 4 points in 2020. Republican Scott Perry, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 53.8% of the vote. [164]
U.S. Executive Branch officials
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 84,646 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Shamaine Daniels | 32,260 | 52.6 | |
Democratic | Rick Coplen | 29,128 | 47.4 | |
Total votes | 61,388 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid R | May 26, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe R | April 19, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Likely R | November 3, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Likely R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Scott Perry (R) | Shamaine Daniels (D) | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [175] [F] | August 9–10, 2022 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 169,331 | 53.8 | |
Democratic | Shamaine Daniels | 145,215 | 46.2 | |
Total votes | 314,546 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Smucker: 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is based in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, including all of Lancaster County and the southern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+14 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.5% of the vote. [176]
U.S. Executive Branch officials
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 96,886 | 100.0 |
Trade unions
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bob Hollister | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 46,080 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
U.S. Executive Branch officials
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U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
State legislators
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Trade unions
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 194,991 | 61.5 | |
Democratic | Bob Hollister | 121,835 | 38.5 | |
Total votes | 316,826 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Lee: 60-70% Doyle: 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is based in the city of Pittsburgh and its eastern and southern suburbs, including parts of Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. The district was numbered the 18th district before redistricting, with the old 12th district now eliminated. The district expanded into parts of Westmoreland County due to redistricting. [3] It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020. Democrat Mike Doyle has represented the district since 1995. He was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2020. [149] Doyle announced that he will not seek re-election in 2022. [186] He was succeeded in Congress by Pennsylvania State House Representative Summer Lee who was elected with 56.2% of the vote. [187]
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Dickinson | Irwin | Lee | Parker | Woodard | |||||
1 [231] | May 10, 2022 | Pittsburgh's Action News 4 | Shannon Perrine | Youtube [232] | P | P | P | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jerry Dickinson | Steve Irwin | Summer Lee | Will Parker | Jeff Woodard | Undecided |
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Mercury Public Affairs (D) [233] | Late April 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 30% | 29% | – | – | – |
GQR Research (D) [234] [G] | March 26–31, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 7% | 13% | 38% | 0% | 2% | 40% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Summer Lee | 48,002 | 41.9 | |
Democratic | Steve Irwin | 47,014 | 41.0 | |
Democratic | Jerry Dickinson | 12,440 | 10.9 | |
Democratic | Jeff Woodard | 5,454 | 4.8 | |
Democratic | William Parker | 1,670 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 114,580 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Doyle [c] | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 39,531 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Likely D | June 28, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Likely D | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Likely D | October 19, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Lean D | November 3, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Likely D | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Likely D | October 28, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid D | October 27, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe D | November 5, 2022 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Summer Lee (D) | Mike Doyle (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D) [241] [H] | October 30–31, 2022 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 40% | 6% |
Summer Lee Internal Poll (D) [242] | October 2022 | – | – | 44% | 40% | 16% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Summer Lee | 184,674 | 56.2 | |
Republican | Mike Doyle [c] | 143,946 | 43.8 | |
Total votes | 328,620 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Joyce: >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is based in South Central Pennsylvania, including Johnstown, Altoona, and Gettysburg. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose its territory in Somerset and Westmoreland counties in exchange for Johnstown. [3] The district has a PVI of R+25 and voted for Donald Trump by 45 points in 2020. Republican John Joyce, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 after being unopposed in the primary and general elections. [243]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | John Joyce (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 114,160 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Critz (write-in) | 967 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 967 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Joyce (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 260,345 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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County results Reschenthaler: >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 14th district is based in Southwest Pennsylvania, including all of Washington, Greene, and Fayette counties, most of Indiana and Somerset counties, and parts of Westmoreland County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did have to expand eastward to take in more population. [3] It has a PVI of R+18 and voted for Donald Trump by 32 points in 2020. Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 having been unopposed in the primary and general elections. [248]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 81,243 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 230,865 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
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County results Thompson: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 15th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania west of the Appalachian Divide, including State College, Lock Haven, and Bradford. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose Johnstown in exchange for the parts of State College formerly in the 12th district. [3] It has a PVI of R+20 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Glenn Thompson, who had represented the district since 2009, was most recently re-elected in 2022, receiving 69.9% of the vote. [251]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Glenn Thompson (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 99,270 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Glenn Thompson (incumbent) | 213,417 | 69.9 | |
Democratic | Mike Molesevich | 91,729 | 30.1 | |
Total votes | 305,146 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Kelly: 60-70% Pastore 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 16th district is based in Northwest Pennsylvania, including all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence, and Butler counties and parts of Venango County. [3] The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 59.4% of the vote in the general election. [255]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | 87,028 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Pastore | 44,262 | 69.1 | |
Democratic | Rick Telesz | 19,788 | 30.9 | |
Total votes | 64,050 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 190,546 | 59.4 | |
Democratic | Dan Pastore | 130,443 | 40.6 | |
Total votes | 320,989 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Deluzio: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Shaffer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 17th district is based in the western and northern suburbs of Pittsburgh, including parts of Allegheny County and all of Beaver County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. [3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 6 points in 2020. Democrat Conor Lamb, who represented the district since 2018, was re-elected in 2020 with 51.1% of the vote. [149] He retired to run for the U.S. Senate in 2022. [262] Lamb was succeeded by former Navy Officer Chris Deluzio, who was elected in 2022 by winning 53.4% of the vote in the general election. [263]
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Chris Deluzio | Sean Meloy | |||||
1 | Apr. 23, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Great Pittsburgh Robert Morris University | Kristen Davis | [268] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Chris Deluzio | 62,389 | 63.6 | |
Democratic | Sean Meloy | 35,638 | 36.4 | |
Total votes | 98,027 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Kathy Coder | Jason Killmeyer | Jeremy Shaffer | |||||
1 | Apr. 23, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Great Pittsburgh Robert Morris University | Kristen Davis | [276] | P | P | A |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jeremy Shaffer | 40,965 | 58.7 | |
Republican | Jason Killmeyer | 16,801 | 24.0 | |
Republican | Kathy Coder | 12,079 | 17.3 | |
Total votes | 69,845 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Chris Deluzio | Jeremy Shaffer | |||||
1 | Nov. 2, 2022 | KDKA-TV | Ken Rice | [277] | P | P |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [28] | Tossup | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections [29] | Tossup | August 25, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [31] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [32] | Lean R (flip) | October 21, 2022 |
Fox News [33] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ [34] | Lean R (flip) | October 31, 2022 |
538 [35] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
The Economist [36] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Chris Deluzio (D) | Jeremy Shaffer (R) | Undecided |
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Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D) [281] [I] | September 18–20, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
Lake Research Partners (D) [282] [J] | July 18–21, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
RMG Research [283] | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D) [284] [H] | May 9–10, 2022 | 494 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 16% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
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Change Research (D) [285] [K] | October 19, 2022 | – | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Chris Deluzio | 193,615 | 53.4 | |
Republican | Jeremy Shaffer | 169,013 | 46.6 | |
Total votes | 362,628 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Partisan clients
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Summer Lee ... got shoutouts and praise from Obama
Deluzio, who was endorsed by Fetterman
Shaffer, recently garnered the backing of McCarthy