2022 United States Senate election in Arizona

See also: 2022 United States Senate elections

2022 United States Senate election in Arizona

←  2020 (special) November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08) 2028  →

Nominee Mark Kelly Blake Masters Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 1,322,027 1,196,308 Percentage 51.39% 46.51%

County results Congressional district results Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80% Masters:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election Mark Kelly Democratic Elected U.S. senator Mark Kelly Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona.

The seat was previously held by Republican John McCain, who won his final term in 2016 and died on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill the seat. Kyl resigned at the end of that year and Ducey replaced him with Martha McSally, who then lost to Democrat Mark Kelly in 2020.

Primaries in Arizona took place on August 2, 2022. Kelly won renomination without opposition, while venture capitalist Blake Masters won the Republican nomination against a large field of candidates. Although Arizona typically leans Republican, Kelly led Masters by low single digits in aggregate polling. Kelly held a significant fundraising advantage until many Republican-aligned groups began spending to assist Masters in the final weeks of the campaign. ^[1] On November 1, Libertarian nominee Marc Victor dropped out of the race and endorsed Masters. ^{[2] [3] [4]}

Kelly won re-election, defeating Masters by a comfortable margin of about 5 points. ^[5] This was the first time Democrats won a full term to this seat since 1962. The 2022 race was competitive and seen as crucial to determining party control of the U.S. Senate; with Kelly's victory in Arizona and a Democratic victory in Nevada, in addition to a Democratic gain in Pennsylvania, it was projected on November 12 that the Democratic caucus would retain control of the Senate in the 118th United States Congress. ^{[6] [7]} Masters conceded the race to Kelly on November 15, 2022. ^[8]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mark Kelly, incumbent U.S. Senator ^{[9] [10]}

Endorsements

Mark Kelly

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Miles Taylor, former Chief of Staff to the U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2019) (Forward) ^[11]
• Christine Todd Whitman, former administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2001–2003) and former governor of New Jersey (1994–2001) (Forward) ^[11]

U.S Attorneys

• Paul K. Charlton, former United States Attorney for the District of Arizona (2001–2007) (Republican) ^[12]

Local officials

• John Giles, mayor of Mesa (2014–) (Republican) ^[12]

Organizations

• 314 Action ^[13]
• End Citizens United ^[14]
• Feminist Majority PAC ^[15]
• Forward Party ^[16]
• Jewish Dems ^[17]
• Let America Vote ^[14]
• March On ^[18]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[19]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[20]
• Population Connection Action Fund ^[21]
• Renew America Movement ^[22]
• VoteVets.org ^[23]

Results

Democratic primary results ^{[24] [25]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mark Kelly (incumbent)	589,400	100.0%
Total votes			589,400	100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Blake Masters, former president of the Thiel Foundation and former chief operating officer of Thiel Capital ^[26]

Eliminated in primary

• Mark Brnovich, Arizona Attorney General ^[27]
• Jim Lamon, solar power businessman ^[28]
• Mick McGuire, retired U.S. Air Force major general and former adjutant general of the Arizona National Guard ^[29]
• Justin Olson, member of the Arizona Corporation Commission ^[30]

Did not file

• Craig Brittain ^[31]
• Robert Paveza, software engineer ^[32]

Declined

• Kirk Adams, former Chief of Staff to Governor Doug Ducey and former Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives ^[33]
• Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district ^{[34] [35]}
• Doug Ducey, outgoing Governor of Arizona ^[36]
• Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor (ran for governor) ^[37]
• Jack McCain, veteran and son of former U.S. Senator John McCain ^[38]
• Martha McSally, former U.S. Senator from Arizona (2019–2020)
• Kelli Ward, chair of the Arizona Republican Party, former state senator, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018 ^[39]
• Kimberly Yee, State Treasurer of Arizona (ran for re-election) ^{[40] [41]}

Endorsements

Mark Brnovich

Individuals

• Mark Levin, lawyer and host of Life, Liberty & Levin ^{[42] [43] [44]}
• Sean Hannity, talk show host and conservative political commentator ^[44]

Newspapers

• Casa Grande Dispatch ^[45]

Jim Lamon

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Matthew Whitaker, Acting U.S. Attorney General (2018–2019) ^[46]
• Chad Wolf, Acting U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2019–2021) ^[46]
• Jeff DeWit, Chief Financial Officer of NASA (2018–2020) and State Treasurer of Arizona (2015–2018) ^[46]
• Thomas Homan, Acting Director of the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (2017–2018) ^[46]
• Mark A. Morgan, Acting Commissioner of U.S. Customs and Border Protection (2019–2021) and Chief of the U.S. Border Patrol (2016–2017) ^[46]
• Keith Schiller, Director of Oval Office Operations (2017) ^[46]

Statewide officials

• Ken Bennett, Secretary of State of Arizona (2009–2015) ^[46]

State legislators

• David Livingston, state senator (2019–present) and state representative (2013–2019) from the 22nd district ^[46]
• Kelly Townsend, state senator (2021–present) and state representative (2013–2021) from the 16th district ^[46]
• Judy Burges, state representative from the 12th district (2021–present) and state senator from the 22nd district (2012–2019) ^[46]
• Frank Carroll, state representative from the 22nd district (2019–present) ^[46]

Individuals

• Brandon Judd, President of the National Border Patrol Council ^[46]

Organizations

• Conservative Political Action Coalition (CPAC) ^[47]
• Arizona Police Association (APA) ^[48]
• National Association of Police Organizations ^[46]
• National Border Patrol Council ^[46]
• Arizona Conference of Police and Sheriffs ^[46]
• Glendale Law Enforcement Association ^[46]
• Grassroot Grandmas ^[46]

Former

• Richard Grenell, U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020) ^[49] (switched endorsement to Blake Masters)

Blake Masters

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[50]
• David M. McIntosh, Director of the Domestic Policy Council (1987–1988) and U.S. Representative from Indiana's 2nd congressional district (1995–2001) ^[51]
• Robert C. O'Brien, U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021) ^[52]
• Richard Grenell, U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020) ^[53]
• Kash Patel, chief of staff to the Acting U.S. Secretary of Defense ^[53]

U.S. Senators

• Josh Hawley, Missouri (2019–present) ^[54]

U.S. Representatives

• Jim Banks, Indiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present) ^[55]
• Madison Cawthorn, North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–2023) ^[56]
• Marjorie Taylor Greene, Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present) ^[57]
• Matt Gaetz, Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–present) ^[55]

Individuals

• Tucker Carlson, host of Tucker Carlson Tonight and conservative political commentator ^[58]
• Peter Thiel, venture capitalist ^[59]
• Susie Wiles, political consultant and advisor to Donald Trump ^[60]

Organizations

• Club for Growth ^[51]
• Republicans for National Renewal ^[61]
• Tea Party Express ^[62]

Rejected by candidate

• Andrew Anglin, neo-Nazi and founder of The Daily Stormer ^{[63] [64]}

Justin Olson

Organizations

• Stand for Health Freedom ^[65]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Mark Brnovich	Jim Lamon	Blake Masters	Michael McGuire	Justin Olson	Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
Real Clear Politics	July 27 – August 1, 2022	August 2, 2022	14.5%	22.0%	37.0%	8.5%	3.3%	17.7%	Masters +15.0

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Brnovich	Jim Lamon	Blake Masters	Michael McGuire	Justin Olson	Other	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	July 30 – August 1, 2022	1,064 (LV)	± 2.9%	16%	24%	39%	7%	4%	–	9%
Emerson College	July 28–30, 2022	600 (LV)	± 3.9%	14%	22%	40%	12%	3%	–	9%
Rasmussen Reports	July 27–28, 2022	710 (LV)	± 4.0%	16%	19%	31%	10%	3%	6%	15%
OH Predictive Insights	July 27, 2022	502 (LV)	± 4.4%	12%	21%	36%	5%	3%	–	22%
Battleground Connect (R)	July 26–27, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	16%	30%	28%	8%	6%	–	12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	July 25–27, 2022	1,071 (LV)	± 2.9%	15%	27%	35%	8%	6%	–	10%
Battleground Connect (R)	July 17–18, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	16%	33%	28%	7%	2%	–	14%
Cygnal (R)	July 12–13, 2022	419 (LV)	± 4.8%	18%	20%	30%	5%	2%	–	25%
Battleground Connect (R)	July 7–9, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	16%	29%	27%	4%	–	–	24%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)	July 2–7, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	13%	14%	23%	5%	2%	–	44%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners	July 5–6, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	10%	14%	26%	5%	0%	–	45%
OH Predictive Insights	June 30 – July 2, 2022	515 (LV)	± 4.3%	14%	18%	25%	6%	2%	–	35%
Public Policy Polling (D)	June 28, 2022	595 (LV)	± 4.0%	15%	10%	29%	5%	–	–	41%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	June 7–9, 2022	1,077 (LV)	± 2.9%	24%	17%	29%	4%	4%	–	22%
Data Orbital (R)	June 1–3, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.3%	18%	20%	15%	–	–	12%	36%
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 1]	May 17–18, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	18%	18%	22%	7%	2%	–	34%
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 2]	April 28–30, 2022	– (LV)	–	19%	20%	19%	7%	2%	–	33%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	April 25–28, 2022	1,064 (LV)	± 3.0%	24%	25%	19%	8%	3%	–	21%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 3]	April 21–24, 2022	– (LV)	–	22%	25%	16%	6%	–	–	31%
OH Predictive Insights	April 4–5, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	21%	16%	9%	6%	3%	–	45%
Data Orbital (R)	April 1–3, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.3%	20%	26%	10%	7%	4%	–	33%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)	March 26–27, 2022	264 (LV)	± 6.0%	11%	10%	6%	4%	–	8%	61%
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 1]	March 13–14, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	14%	14%	16%	3%	1%	–	52%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners	March 9–12, 2022	433 (LV)	± 4.7%	20%	15%	15%	3%	1%	–	45%
Data Orbital (R)	March 2022	– (LV)	–	23%	17%	14%	4%	5%	–	37%
Data Orbital (R)	February 11–13, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	22%	17%	15%	5%	5%	–	37%
co/efficient (R)	February 6–8, 2022	755 (LV)	± 3.6%	17%	13%	12%	3%	1%	11%	44%
OH Predictive Insights	January 11–13, 2022	302 (RV)	± 5.6%	25%	7%	6%	11%	4%	–	47%
OH Predictive Insights	November 1–8, 2021	252 (RV)	± 6.2%	27%	5%	9%	12%	2%	–	46%
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 1]	October 26–28, 2021	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	26%	4%	14%	2%	2%	<1% [lower-alpha 3]	52%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [upper-alpha 4]	September 9–12, 2021	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	41%	5%	7%	4%	–	–	43%
OH Predictive Insights	September 7–12, 2021	311 (RV)	± 5.6%	27%	3%	6%	14%	–	–	51%
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 1]	August 4–8, 2021	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	29%	7%	5%	3%	–	<1% [lower-alpha 3]	56%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)	May 3–5, 2021	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	28%	–	1%	1%	–	–	61%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Kirk Adams	Andy Biggs	Mark Brnovich	Doug Ducey	Jim Lamon	Blake Masters	Michael McGuire	Justin Olson	Other	Undecided
co/efficient (R)	February 6–8, 2022	755 (LV)	± 3.6%	–	–	14%	13%	11%	11%	3%	1%	9%	38%
OH Predictive Insights	January 11–13, 2022	302 (RV)	± 5.6%	–	–	13%	35%	4%	4%	9%	2%	–	34%
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 5]	April 5–6, 2021	505 (LV)	± 4.4%	–	46%	–	45%	–	–	–	–	–	9%
OH Predictive Insights	March 8–12, 2021	690 (RV)	± 3.7%	2% [lower-alpha 4]	27%	–	–	–	2%	3%	–	–	67%
				6% [lower-alpha 5]	26%	–	–	–	2%	10%	–	–	56%
Data Orbital (R) [upper-alpha 6]	February 17–19, 2021	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	2%	36%	–	–	1%	1%	3%	–	4%	53%

Results

Republican primary results by county

  Masters

•   30–40%
•   40–50%

  Lamon

•   30-40%

Republican primary results ^{[24] [25]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Blake Masters	327,198	40.24%
	Republican	Jim Lamon	228,467	28.10%
	Republican	Mark Brnovich	144,092	17.72%
	Republican	Michael McGuire	71,100	8.75%
	Republican	Justin Olson	41,985	5.16%
	Write-in		226	0.03%
Total votes			813,068	100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Marc Victor, attorney and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012 ^[66] (withdrew from general election, endorsed Blake Masters) ^[2]

Results

Libertarian primary results ^{[24] [67] [25]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Marc Victor	3,065	100.0%
Total votes			3,065	100.0%

General election

Initially expected to be one of the most widely contested elections in the nation, Kelly amassed a massive fundraising advantage over Masters, raising a record $75 million compared to Masters's $12 million. ^[68] Due to the Supreme Court's Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision, which reversed Roe v. Wade , Kelly spent the campaign heavily attacking Masters over his anti-abortion stance, which was seen as hurting Masters especially among women voters. He also attacked Masters's support for privatizing Social Security, as Arizona has many retired seniors that use the program. Masters's claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen also hurt him among voters. ^[69]

With the limited amount of money he had, Masters attempted to portray Kelly as weak on illegal immigration, supportive of spending programs that caused inflation, and too supportive of President Joe Biden. In the final weeks of the campaign, Republican groups began to increase the amount of money they were spending on the race, and many news outlets moved the race from lean Democrat to tossup. However, in the end, Kelly relatively easily defeated Masters, which helped Democrats in retaining the Senate. ^[70] According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Kelly won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Masters's defeat. ^[71]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [72]	Tossup	October 27, 2022
Inside Elections [73]	Tilt D	October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [74]	Lean D	October 19, 2022
Politico [75]	Tossup	October 27, 2022
RCP [76]	Tossup	October 25, 2022
Fox News [77]	Tossup	October 25, 2022
DDHQ [78]	Lean D	October 25, 2022
FiveThirtyEight [79]	Lean D	October 25, 2022
The Economist [80]	Lean D	November 1, 2022

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Arizona debates

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Republican	Libertarian
P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee  W  Withdrawn
					Mark Kelly	Blake Masters	Marc Victor
1	October 6, 2022	Arizona PBS	Ted Simons	Youtube	P	P	P

Endorsements

Mark Kelly (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017) ^[81]
• Miles Taylor, former Chief of Staff to the U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2019) (Forward) ^[11]
• Christine Todd Whitman, former administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2001–2003) and former governor of New Jersey (1994–2001) (Forward) ^[11]

U.S. Senators

• Alex Padilla, U.S. Senator from California (2021–present) ^[82]
• Kyrsten Sinema, U.S. Senator from Arizona (2019–present) ^[83]

U.S. Representatives

• Raúl Grijalva, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 3rd congressional district (2013–present) ^[84]

U.S. Attorneys

• Paul K. Charlton, former U.S. Attorney for the District of Arizona (2001–2007) (Republican) ^[12]

State legislators

• Kirsten Engel, former state senator (2021) from the 10th district ^[84]
• Pete Hershberger, former state representative (2001–2008) from the 26th district (Republican) ^[85]
• Roberta Voss, former state representative (1997–2003) from the 19th district (Republican) ^[85]

Local officials

• Cathy Carlat, Mayor of Peoria (2015–present) (Republican) ^[12]
• Chip Wilson, Mayor of Apache Junction (2018–present) (Republican) ^[12]
• Craig McFarland, Mayor of Casa Grande (2016–present) (Republican) ^[12]
• David Ortega, Mayor of Scottsdale (2021–present) (Independent) ^[12]
• Donald Huish, Mayor of Douglas (2016–present) (Republican) ^[12]
• Jack Dillenberg, Mayor of Jerome (2020–present) (Republican) ^[12]
• John Giles, Mayor of Mesa (2014–present) (Republican) ^[12]
• Paul Johnson, former mayor of Phoenix (1990–1994) and Democratic candidate for Governor of Arizona in 1994 and 1998 (Independent) ^[85]
• Regina Romero, Mayor of Tucson, Arizona (2019–present) ^[84]

Individuals

• Jill Biden, First Lady of the United States ^[86]
• Camila Cabello, singer ^[87]
• Kerry Washington, actress ^[87]

Labor unions

• National Education Association ^[88]
• United Mine Workers of America ^[89]
• Communications Workers of America ^[90]
• National Association of Social Workers ^[90]
• International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers ^[90]
• United Auto Workers ^[90]

Organizations

• 314 Action ^[13]
• End Citizens United ^[14]
• Equality Arizona ^[91]
• Feminist Majority PAC ^[15]
• Human Rights Campaign ^[92]
• Jewish Dems ^[17]
• League of Conservation Voters ^[93]
• Let America Vote ^[14]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[20]
• Population Connection Action Fund ^[21]
• Renew America Movement ^[22]
• March On ^[18]
• Sierra Club ^[94]
• VoteVets.org ^[23]
• Forward Party ^[95]
• Brady Campaign ^[90]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[90]
• MoveOn ^[90]
• Stonewall Democrats ^[90]
• National Organization for Women ^[90]
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare ^[90]
• J Street PAC ^[90]
• Serve America PAC ^[90]
• Common Defense PAC ^[90]
• Voter Protection Project ^[90]
• BOLD Democrats ^[90]
• Progressive Turnout Project ^[90]
• Our Voice, Our Vote PAC ^[90]

Blake Masters (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[50]
• Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States (2017–2021) and former governor of Indiana (2013–2017) ^[96]
• Duke Buchan, U.S. Ambassador to Spain and Andorra (2018–2021) ^[97]
• Richard Grenell, former U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020) ^[53]
• David M. McIntosh, former Director of the Domestic Policy Council (1987–1988) and former U.S. Representative from Indiana's 2nd congressional district (1995–2001) ^[51]
• Robert C. O'Brien, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021) ^[52]
• Kash Patel, former chief of staff to the Acting U.S. Secretary of Defense ^[53]
• Matt Schlapp, White House Director of Political Affairs (2003–2005) ^[97]
• Mercedes Schlapp, White House Director of Strategic Communications (2017–2019) ^[97]
• Chad Wolf, Acting United States Secretary of Homeland Security (2019–2021), Under Secretary of Homeland Security for Strategy, Policy, and Plans (2019–2021) and Assistant Secretary of Homeland Security for Strategy, Plans, Analysis, and Risk (2019) ^[97]

U.S. Senators

• Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present) and former Missouri Attorney General (2017–2019) ^[54]
• Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) ^[98]
• Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present) ^[99]
• Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present) and former governor of Florida (2011–2019) ^[100]
• Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (2011–present) ^[101]

U.S. Representatives

• Jim Banks, U.S. Representative from Indiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–present) ^[55]
• Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present) ^[102]
• Madison Cawthorn, U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–2023) ^[56]
• Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) and former Vice Chair of the Democratic National Committee (2013–2016) ^[103] (Independent)
• Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative from Florida's 1st congressional district (2017–present) ^[55]
• Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 4th congressional district (2013–2023), U.S. Representative from Arizona's 1st congressional district (2011-2013) ^[104]
• Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative from Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present) ^[57]
• Debbie Lesko, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2018–present) ^[102]
• Ron Paul, former U.S. Representative (R-TX) (1976-1977, 1979-1985, 1997-2013), candidate for President in 1988, 2008 and 2012 (Libertarian) ^{[105] [106] [107]}
• David Schweikert, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 6th congressional district (2013–2023), U.S. Representative from Arizona's 5th congressional district (2011-2013) ^[102]

Governors

• Jan Brewer, former governor of Arizona (2009–2015) and former secretary of state of Arizona (2003–2009) ^[108]
• Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present) and former U.S. Representative from Florida's 6th congressional district (2013–2018) ^[109]
• Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona (2015–2023) and former Arizona State Treasurer (2011–2015) ^{[110] [108]}
• Fife Symington, former governor of Arizona (1991–1997) ^[108]

Local officials

• Mark Lamb, Sheriff of Pinal County (2017–present) ^[111]

Party officials

• Kelli Ward, chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2019–present) ^[112]

Individuals

• Tucker Carlson, host of Tucker Carlson Tonight and conservative political commentator ^[58]
• Nick Fuentes, far-right livestreamer and white supremacist ^[113]
• Sean Hannity, host of Hannity and The Sean Hannity Show and conservative political commentator ^[114]
• Chuck Norris, martial artist and actor ^[115]
• Jack Posobiec, political activist ^[113]
• Dave Smith, comedian, podcaster, and co-host of Legion of Skanks ^[116] (Libertarian)
• Peter Thiel, venture capitalist ^[59]
• Marc Victor, former Libertarian nominee for Arizona's other Senate seat in 2012 ^[4] (Libertarian)

Labor unions

• National Border Patrol Council ^[117]

Organizations

• Arizona Republican Party ^[112]
• Campaign for Working Families ^[118]
• Center for Arizona Policy ^[119]
• Club for Growth ^[51]
• FreedomWorks for America ^[120]
• National Federation of Independent Business ^[121]
• NRA Political Victory Fund ^[122]
• National Right to Life Committee ^[123]
• Political Victory Fund ^[124]
• Republicans for National Renewal ^[61]
• Tea Party Express ^[62]
• The Conservative Caucus ^[125]
• Turning Point Action ^[126]

Rejected by candidate

• Andrew Anglin, neo-Nazi and founder of The Daily Stormer ^{[63] [64]}

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Mark Kelly (D)	Blake Masters (R)	Undecided [lower-alpha 6]	Margin
RealClearPolitics	October 30 – November 7, 2022	November 7, 2022	48.0%	48.3%	3.7%	Masters +0.3
FiveThirtyEight	September 7, 2021 – November 7, 2022	November 7, 2022	48.6%	47.1%	4.3%	Kelly +1.5
270ToWin	November 3–7, 2022	November 7, 2022	47.9%	46.6%	5.5%	Kelly +1.3
Average			48.3%	47.2%	4.5%	Kelly +1.1

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Blake Masters (R)	Marc Victor (L)	Other	Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)	November 5–7, 2022	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	1%	–	4%
Data Orbital (R)	November 4–6, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.3%	48%	47%	2%	1% [lower-alpha 7]	3%
Research Co.	November 4–6, 2022	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	46%	2%	–	3%
Data for Progress (D)	November 2–6, 2022	1,359 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	2%	–	–
Targoz Market Research	November 2–6, 2022	560 (LV)	± 4.1%	50%	47%	2%	–	–
KAConsulting (R) [upper-alpha 7]	November 2–3, 2022	501 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	46%	–	1%	6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	November 2, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	48%	48%	2%	–	2%
HighGround Inc.	November 1–2, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	45%	–	2% [lower-alpha 8]	6%
Remington Research Group (R)	November 1–2, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	47%	2%	–	3%
Marist College	October 31 – November 2, 2022	1,157 (RV)	± 4.1%	49%	45%	–	1% [lower-alpha 9]	8%
		1,015 (LV)	± 4.3%	50%	47%	–	1% [lower-alpha 10]	2%
Big Data Poll (R)	October 31 – November 2, 2022	1,051 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	–	4%
Patriot Polling (R)	October 30 – November 2, 2022	814 (RV)	–	49%	48%	–	–	4%
Civiqs	October 29 – November 2, 2022	852 (LV)	± 4.2%	49%	49%	–	2% [lower-alpha 11]	1%
	November 1, 2022	Victor withdraws from the race and endorses Masters
Emerson College	October 30 – November 1, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	3%	1% [lower-alpha 12]	1%
				48%	48%	3%	1% [lower-alpha 13]	–
The Phillips Academy	October 29–30, 2022	985 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	47%	2%	–	5%
Fox News	October 26–30, 2022	1,003 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	45%	–	4% [lower-alpha 14]	5%
Wick Insights (R)	October 26–30, 2022	1,122 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	–	3% [lower-alpha 15]	1%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R) [upper-alpha 5]	October 24–26, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	46%	3%	–	–
OH Predictive Insights	October 24–26, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	3%	–	3%
Siena College/NYT	October 24–26, 2022	604 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	45%	1%	–	3%
BSP Research/Shaw & Co. [upper-alpha 8]	October 19–26, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	44%	40%	–	5% [lower-alpha 16]	11%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	October 24–25, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	45%	43%	6%	–	6%
co/efficient (R)	October 20–21, 2022	1,111 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	45%	4%	–	4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [upper-alpha 9]	October 14–18, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	2%	<1% [lower-alpha 17]	6%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [upper-alpha 10]	October 16–17, 2022	1,078 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	46%	3%	–	4%
Data for Progress (D)	October 11–17, 2022	893 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	3%	–	4%
Wick Insights (R)	October 8–14, 2022	1,058 (LV)	± 3.1%	49%	46%	–	2% [lower-alpha 18]	3%
HighGround Inc. [upper-alpha 11]	October 12–13, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.3%	42%	40%	5%	3% [lower-alpha 19]	10%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	October 11, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	46%	42%	5%	–	7%
Kurt Jetta (D) [upper-alpha 12]	October 9–10, 2022	894 (RV)	–	54%	32%	–	–	15%
		551 (LV)		55%	38%	–	–	7%
Ascend Action (R)	October 8–10, 2022	954 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	44%	–	5% [lower-alpha 20]	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [upper-alpha 13]	October 8–10, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	43%	4%	–	7%
OH Predictive Insights	October 4–6, 2022	674 (LV)	± 3.8%	46%	33%	15%	–	7%
Big Data Poll (R)	October 2–5, 2022	970 (LV)	± 3.1%	46%	45%	2%	–	7%
YouGov/CBS News	September 30 – October 4, 2022	1,164 (RV)	± 3.8%	51%	48%	–	–	1%
CNN/SSRS	September 26 – October 2, 2022	900 (RV)	± 4.4%	52%	42%	–	7% [lower-alpha 21]	–
		795 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	45%	–	4% [lower-alpha 22]	–
Fox News	September 22–26, 2022	1,008 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	40%	–	6% [lower-alpha 23]	9%
Suffolk University	September 21–25, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	42%	2%	–	7%
Marist College	September 19–22, 2022	1,260 (RV)	± 3.6%	51%	41%	–	–	8%
		1,076 (LV)	± 3.9%	50%	45%	–	–	5%
Data for Progress (D)	September 15–19, 2022	768 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	2%	–	3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	September 14–17, 2022	1080 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	45%	3%	–	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)	September 8–15, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	42%	4%	–	4%
				52%	45%	–	–	3%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [upper-alpha 13]	September 6–11, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	40%	6%	–	5%
Kurt Jetta (D) [upper-alpha 12]	September 9–10, 2022	972 (RV)	± 3.5%	53%	32%	–	–	15%
		563 (LV)		55%	35%	–	–	9%
OH Predictive Insights	September 6–9, 2022	654 (LV)	± 3.8%	47%	35%	6%	–	12%
Emerson College	September 6–7, 2022	627 (LV)	± 3.9%	47%	45%	–	3% [lower-alpha 24]	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	September 6–7, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%	45%	39%	4%	–	12%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	773 (RV)	±4.5%	52%	37%	–	–	11%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	August 24–27, 2022	1,074 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	44%	4%	–	4%
RMG Research	August 16–22, 2022	750 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	43%	–	–	7%
Fox News	August 12–16, 2022	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	42%	–	2%	6%
Kurt Jetta (D) [upper-alpha 12]	August 4–8, 2022	1,107 (A)	± 2.9%	48%	34%	–	–	19%
		877 (RV)	± 3.3%	50%	34%	–	–	16%
		512 (LV)	± 4.3%	54%	40%	–	–	7%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [upper-alpha 14]	August 1–2, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	44%	–	–	7%
Beacon Research (D) [upper-alpha 15]	July 5–20, 2022	802 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	34%	–	1%	13%
		504 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	39%	–	2%	8%
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 1]	July 13–14, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	44%	–	–	7%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 16]	June 24–27, 2022	705 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	39%	–	–	13%
Blueprint Polling (D)	May 12–16, 2022	608 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	32%	–	–	19%
OH Predictive Insights	September 7–12, 2021	882 (RV)	± 3.3%	44%	35%	–	–	21%

Hypothetical polling

Mark Kelly vs. Mark Brnovich

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Mark Brnovich (R)	Other	Undecided
Beacon Research (D) [upper-alpha 15]	July 5–20, 2022	802 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	35%	1%	11%
		504 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	40%	2%	7%
Blueprint Polling (D)	May 12–16, 2022	608 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	33%	–	18%
Data for Progress (D)	January 21–24, 2022	1,469 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	–	4%
OH Predictive Insights	September 7–12, 2021	882 (RV)	± 3.3%	43%	39%	–	18%
OH Predictive Insights	May 3–5, 2021	935 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	36%	–	18%

Mark Kelly vs. Jim Lamon

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Jim Lamon (R)	Other	Undecided
Beacon Research (D) [upper-alpha 15]	July 5–20, 2022	802 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	34%	2%	14%
		504 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	40%	2%	9%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 16]	June 24–27, 2022	705 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	41%	–	12%
Blueprint Polling (D)	May 12–16, 2022	608 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	34%	–	18%
OH Predictive Insights	September 7–12, 2021	882 (RV)	± 3.3%	43%	36%	–	21%

Mark Kelly vs. Michael McGuire

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Michael McGuire (R)	Undecided
OH Predictive Insights	September 7–12, 2021	882 (RV)	± 3.3%	44%	37%	19%
OH Predictive Insights	May 3–5, 2021	935 (RV)	± 3.2%	44%	35%	21%

Mark Kelly vs. Andy Biggs

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Andy Biggs (R)	Undecided
OH Predictive Insights	May 3–5, 2021	935 (RV)	± 3.2%	47%	36%	18%

Mark Kelly vs. Doug Ducey

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Doug Ducey (R)	Undecided
Data for Progress (D)	January 21–24, 2022	1,469 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	4%

Mark Kelly vs. Kelli Ward

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Kelli Ward (R)	Undecided
OH Predictive Insights	May 3–5, 2021	935 (RV)	± 3.2%	47%	36%	18%

Mark Kelly vs. Kari Lake

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Kari Lake (R)	Undecided
OH Predictive Insights	May 3–5, 2021	935 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	35%	19%

Mark Kelly vs. Jack McCain

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Jack McCain (R)	Undecided
OH Predictive Insights	May 3–5, 2021	935 (RV)	± 3.2%	43%	29%	28%

Mark Kelly vs. Kimberly Yee

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Kimberly Yee (R)	Undecided
OH Predictive Insights	May 3–5, 2021	935 (RV)	± 3.2%	45%	35%	19%

Mark Kelly vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
OH Predictive Insights	May 9–16, 2022	938 (RV)	± 3.3%	40%	39%	–	21%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)	March 26–27, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	41%	2%	12%
OH Predictive Insights	March 7–15, 2022	753 (RV)	± 3.6%	37%	39%	–	24%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 16]	March 2022	– (LV)	–	43%	46%	–	11%
OH Predictive Insights	January 11–13, 2022	855 (RV)	± 3.4%	42%	38%	–	19%
OH Predictive Insights	November 1–8, 2021	713 (RV)	± 3.7%	40%	39%	–	21%

Mark Kelly vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Mark Kelly (D)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 1]	July 13–14, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%	48%	7%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R) [upper-alpha 1]	July 13–14, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	46%	8%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Arizona ^[127]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Mark Kelly (incumbent)	1,322,027	51.39%	+0.23%
	Republican	Blake Masters	1,196,308	46.51%	-2.30%
	Libertarian	Marc Victor (withdrawn)	53,762	2.09%	N/A
	Write-in		197	0.01%	-0.02%
Total votes			2,572,294	100.0%
	Democratic hold

By county

By county

County Mark Kelly Democratic Blake Masters Republican Marc Victor Libertarian Write-in Margin Total votes # % # % # % # % # % Apache 18,005 67.39 8,163 30.55 549 2.05 2 0.01 9,842 36.84 26,719 Cochise 20,002 42.57 25,539 54.35 1,383 2.94 67 0.14 -5,537 -11.78 46,991 Coconino 35,149 63.84 18,697 33.96 1,199 2.18 13 0.02 16,452 29.88 55,058 Gila 7,984 35.42 13,958 61.91 601 2.67 1 0.00 -5,974 -26.50 22,544 Graham 3,243 29.79 7,388 67.87 255 2.34 0 0.00 -4,145 -38.08 10,886 Greenlee 970 39.40 1,392 56.54 100 4.06 0 0.00 -422 -17.14 2,462 La Paz 1,711 30.94 3,656 66.11 160 2.89 3 0.05 -1,945 -35.17 5,530 Maricopa 809,573 52.19 710,491 45.80 31,099 2.00 63 0.00 99,082 6.39 1,551,226 Mohave 21,040 25.69 58,737 71.72 2,117 2.58 5 0.01 -37,697 -46.03 81,899 Navajo 18,724 46.08 20,970 51.61 927 2.28 9 0.02 -2,246 -5.53 40,630 Pima 248,230 61.95 144,936 36.17 7,544 1.88 15 0.00 103,294 25.78 400,725 Pinal 62,009 42.92 78,820 54.55 3,650 2.53 7 0.00 -16,811 -11.64 144,486 Santa Cruz 8,988 68.16 3,892 29.52 304 2.31 2 0.02 5,096 38.65 13,186 Yavapai 45,258 36.60 75,752 61.26 2,633 2.13 8 0.01 -30,494 -24.66 123,651 Yuma 21,141 45.66 23,917 51.66 1,241 2.68 2 0.00 -2,776 -6.00 46,301 Totals 1,322,027 51.39 1,196,308 46.51 53,762 2.09 197 0.01 125,719 4.89 2,572,294

By congressional district

Kelly won 5 out of 9 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans. ^[128]

District	Kelly	Masters	Representative
1st	52%	46%	David Schweikert
2nd	47%	51%	Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress)
			Eli Crane (118th Congress)
3rd	76%	21%	Ruben Gallego
4th	57%	41%	Greg Stanton
5th	44%	54%	Andy Biggs
6th	54%	44%	Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress)
			Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress)
7th	68%	30%	Raúl Grijalva
8th	46%	52%	Debbie Lesko
9th	38%	60%	Paul Gosar

See also

• 2022 United States Senate elections
• 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
• 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election
• 2022 Arizona elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Paveza with <1%
4. Response without candidates' job titles, besides 'Major General' for McGuire
5. Response with candidates' job titles
6. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
7. "Refused" with 1%
8. "Some other candidate" with 2%
9. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
10. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
11. "Someone else" with 2%
12. "Someone else" with 1%
13. "Someone else" with 1%
14. "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
15. "Someone else" with 3%
16. "Someone else" with 5%
17. "Other" with <1%; "Refused" with <1%
18. "Someone else" with 2%
19. "Some other candidate" with 3%
20. "Another candidate" with 5%
21. "Neither" with 5%; "Other" with 2%
22. "Neither" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
23. "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%
24. "Someone else" with 3%

Partisan clients

1. This poll was sponsored by Saving Arizona, which supports Blake Masters
2. This poll was sponsored by Kari Lake's campaign for governor
3. This poll was sponsored by Lamon's campaign
4. This poll was sponsored by Advancing Arizona Forward, which supports Mark Brnovich
5. This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action
6. This poll was sponsored by Andy Biggs's campaign committee
7. Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
8. Poll conducted for Univision.
9. Poll conducted for The Federalist, a conservative online magazine.
10. This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire
11. This poll was sponsored by Arizona's Family
12. This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Masters
13. This poll was sponsored by the Sentinel Action Fund, which supports Masters
14. This poll was sponsored by America Next
15. This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
16. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund

References

1. "GOP megadonor Peter Thiel to host fundraiser for Arizona Senate candidate Blake Masters". CNBC . September 20, 2022.
2. Goldmacher, Shane (November 1, 2022). "Libertarian Candidate Drops Out of Arizona Senate Race and Endorses Masters". The New York Times .
3. "Arizona's Libertarian Senate Candidate Quits and Endorses Masters". Bloomberg.com. November 2022.
4. "Libertarian Senate candidate Marc Victor drops out of race". ABC 15 Arizona. November 1, 2022.
5. Ulloa, Jazmine (November 12, 2022). "Mark Kelly Wins Arizona Senate Race, Putting Democrats a Seat From Control". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 12, 2022.
6. Ulloa, Jazmine (November 12, 2022). "Mark Kelly Wins Arizona Senate Race, Putting Democrats a Seat From Control". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 13, 2022.
7. "Democrats keep control of the Senate with win in Nevada". Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved November 13, 2022.
8. "Blake Masters concedes Sen. Mark Kelly's victory, ending a crucial Arizona Senate race". AZ Central. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved November 15, 2022.
9. "Statement of Candidacy Filing FEC-1473777". Federal Election Commission. November 25, 2020. Archived from the original on November 25, 2020.
10. "Kelly raises $4.4 million for Senate re-election bid". Associated Press . April 8, 2021. Archived from the original on May 15, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2021. He's [Mark Kelly's] now seeking a full six-year term.
11. "We Are Republicans. There's Only One Way to Save Our Party From Pro-Trump Extremists". The New York Times . October 11, 2021.
12. Kavaler, Tara (July 15, 2022). "'Republicans for Kelly' group announces support for Sen. Mark Kelly". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved July 29, 2022.
13. "314 Action Fund Endorses Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly for Re-Election". 314 Action. June 29, 2021.
14. Bowman, Bridget (May 13, 2021). "Campaign finance-focused PAC makes first 2022 Senate endorsements". Roll Call . Archived from the original on May 17, 2021. Retrieved June 12, 2021. The group, known as End Citizens United and Let America Vote, is endorsing Democratic Sens. Mark Kelly of Arizona, ...
15. "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
16. "Forward Party Senate Endorsements". Forward Party. Retrieved March 9, 2023.
17. "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". Jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
18. "Endorsements". March On. December 6, 2021.
19. "Endorsements". Prochoiceamerica.org. NARAL Pro-Choice America . Retrieved June 24, 2022.
20. "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
21. "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
22. "Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover". The Hill . October 14, 2021.
23. "Endorsed Candidates". Votevets.org.
24. "2022 Primary Election". Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved April 5, 2022.
25. Arizona Secretary of State (August 22, 2022). "State of Arizona Official Canvass – August 2, 2022, Primary Election" (PDF). Retrieved August 26, 2022.
26. Steinhauser, Paul (July 9, 2021). "Thiel ally Blake Masters files for 2022 GOP Senate run in Arizona". Fox Business. Archived from the original on July 9, 2021. Retrieved July 10, 2021.
27. "Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich launches US Senate campaign". The Arizona Republic .
28. Sanchez, Yvonne. "Jim Lamon is the first Republican to enter Arizona's 2022 Senate race". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved May 3, 2021.
29. Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (June 8, 2021). "Michael McGuire enters Arizona's GOP US Senate primary race; hopes to challenge Sen. Mark Kelly". Arizona Republic . Retrieved June 8, 2021.
30. Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (October 13, 2021). "Arizona utilities regulator Justin Olson enters GOP Senate race, slams Democrats' spending proposal as 'socialist state'". Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 13, 2021.
31. "'Let's go, Brandon' becomes a campaign slogan in Arizona Republican's new ad" . Retrieved January 28, 2022.
32. "Statement of Candidacy Filing FEC-1498745". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved February 5, 2021.
33. Brufke, Juliegrace (March 1, 2021). "House Freedom Caucus chair weighs Arizona Senate bid". The Hill.
34. Brufke, Juliegrace (March 2021). "House Freedom Caucus chair weighs Arizona Senate bid". The Hill . Retrieved March 1, 2021.
35. "News". BiggsForCongress.com.
36. Sanchez, Yvonne (March 3, 2022). "'I have the job I want': Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2022". Arizona Mirror. Retrieved March 3, 2022.
37. Valencia, Peter. "Kari Lake announces run for Arizona governor". AZFamily (KPHO-TV/KTVK). Retrieved June 1, 2021.
38. Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (June 10, 2020). "Jack McCain, John McCain's son, has no 'immediate plans to run for office'". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved May 24, 2021.
39. Roberts, Laurie (December 11, 2020). "Doug Ducey vs. Kelli Ward for the Senate in '22? That would be epic. But it won't happen". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved January 7, 2021.
40. Fischer, Howard (January 25, 2021). "Arizona Gov. Ducey: I Won't Run For U.S. Senate In 2022". 91.5 KJZZ Phoenix Radio. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
41. "Kimberly Yee announces run for Arizona governor". KNXV. May 17, 2021. Retrieved May 17, 2021.
42. "Mark Levin on AG Brnovich: "This is why I've endorsed you for the U.S. Senate"". YouTube . Retrieved July 8, 2022.
43. "Mark Levin endorsed Arizona Mark Brnovich". brnoforaz. September 9, 2021. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
44. Hillyer, Quin (July 7, 2022). "Trump endorses strange Arizona man over MAGA star". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
45. "Editorial: Primary election". Casa Grande Dispatch. July 6, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
46. "Lamon Endorsements". September 16, 2021. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
47. "CPAC Endorses Jim Lamon". Conservative.org. December 8, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
48. "Arizona Police Association Endorses Jim Lamon - Jim Lamon for U.S. Senate AZ". September 18, 2021.
49. Sivak, David. "Jim Lamon loses Trump ally Richard Grenell's endorsement in Arizona Senate primary". Washington Examiner . Retrieved June 16, 2022.
50. Greenwood, Max (June 2, 2022). "Trump Endorses Masters in Arizona Senate GOP Primary". The Hill . Retrieved June 2, 2022.
51. Greenwood, Max (February 3, 2022). "Club for Growth endorses Blake Masters in Arizona Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved February 6, 2021.
52. Drucker, David M. (October 11, 2021). "Blake Masters picks up Trump alumnus endorsement in Arizona Senate bid". Washington Examiner . Retrieved October 14, 2021.
53. "tennesseestar.com". July 6, 2022. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
54. Isenstadt, Alex (April 25, 2022). "Hawley endorses Thiel-backed Arizona Senate candidate". POLITICO. Retrieved April 26, 2022.
55. Ackley, Kate; Bowman, Bridget; Akin, Stephanie (October 21, 2021). "At the Races: Quarterly clues". Roll Call . Archived from the original on October 22, 2021. Retrieved October 25, 2021.
56. "Congressman Madison Cawthorn Endorses Arizona GOP Senate Candidate Blake Masters". January 31, 2022.
57. "Marjorie Taylor Greene endorses Blake Masters in Arizona Senate race". May 6, 2022.
58. Bade, Rachael; Palmeri, Tara; Ross, Garrett; Okun, Eli (July 13, 2021). "Politico Playbook PM: What is (and isn't) in the Dems' 'go-big' bill". Politico .
59. Isenstadt, Alex (April 26, 2021). "Peter Thiel makes $10M bet on associate in Arizona Senate race". Politico . Retrieved May 24, 2021.
60. Palmeri, Tara (January 21, 2022). "POLITICO Playbook: Suspicious Trump weighs dual endorsements". POLITICO. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
61. "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Blake Masters for U.S. Senate". December 20, 2021.
62. "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Blake Masters for Senate in Arizona". Tea Party Express. August 1, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
63. "Neo-Nazi publisher Andrew Anglin gives 'forceful endorsement' of Blake Masters' Senate bid". July 1, 2022.
64. "Trump-backed Senate candidate Blake Masters rejects endorsement of neo-Nazi site founder". July 1, 2022.
65. "Justin Olson for Arizona US Senate | Stand for Health Freedom". March 25, 2022.
66. "2022 Primary Election Interested Candidates". apps.arizona.vote. Archived from the original on April 2, 2022. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
67. "2022 Primary Election Results". Arizona Secretary of State.
68. "Kelly continues to raise money 'like a maniac,' dwarfing Masters in Senate race". bizjournals.com. October 18, 2022. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
69. "Column: In Arizona, fears that yet another flawed candidate may cost GOP control of Senate". Los Angeles Times . September 2022.
70. "Fox News Power Rankings: Storm clouds gather for Democrats in the Northeast". Fox News . October 25, 2022.
71. Brownstein, Ronald (October 10, 2023). "McCarthy's fall and Trump's rise reflect the same bet among Republicans". CNN. Retrieved October 10, 2023.
72. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
73. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
74. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
75. "Senate Election Forecast 2022". Politico. October 19, 2022.
76. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RealClearPolitics. October 25, 2022.
77. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. October 25, 2022. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
78. "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. October 25, 2022. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
79. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. October 25, 2022. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
80. "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. October 16, 2022. Retrieved October 25, 2022.
81. "Former President Barack Obama set to hold rally for Sen. Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs in Phoenix".
82. "California Sen. Alex Padilla is campaigning hard — just not for himself". Los Angeles Times . October 27, 2022.
83. Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
84. "Mark Kelly holds campaign rally in Tucson". November 4, 2022.
85. "Multiple GOP mayors, business owners backing Democrat Sen. Mark Kelly". July 17, 2022.
86. "The Arizona Republic".
87. "Celebrities campaign for Democratic candidates Kelly and Hobbs in Arizona".
88. "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Retrieved October 29, 2022.
89. "Arizona - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
90. "Mark Kelly's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
91. "Equality Arizona Endorsements". Equality Arizona.
92. Luneau, Delphine (April 28, 2022). "Human Rights Campaign Proudly Endorses Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign. Human Rights Campaign.
93. "LCV Action Fund Endorses Mark Kelly for Senate". August 22, 2022.
94. "Congressional Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
95. "2022 Endorsements". Forward Party. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
96. Samuels, Brett (October 11, 2022). "Pence backs Masters in Arizona Senate race at Phoenix event". The Hill. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
97. "Prominent pro-Trump couple to fundraise for Senate candidates List". The Washington Post . September 19, 2022. Retrieved September 22, 2022.
98. "First Lady Jill Biden among top names in Arizona helping candidates campaign". November 6, 2022.
99. "Ted Cruz Rallies Kari Lake" . The Cincinnati Enquirer.
100. "Florida Sen. Rick Scott rallies for Republican Senate hopeful Blake Masters".
101. "Endorsements" . Retrieved October 27, 2022.
102. @MastersPress (September 12, 2022). "UNITY: Arizona Republican Congressional Delegation endorses @bgmasters for U.S. Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved September 13, 2022– via Twitter.
103. "Tulsi Gabbard to campaign for Kari Lake, Blake Masters in Arizona". October 18, 2022.
104. @DrPaulGosar (August 31, 2022). "We need a solid leader like @bgmasters in the Senate if we are to save this country. He has my full support" (Tweet). Retrieved September 3, 2022– via Twitter.
105. "Does Blake Masters Have the 'Right Stuff' for Senate? With Guest...Blake Masters!".
106. "Does Blake Masters Have the 'Right Stuff' for Senate? With Guest...Blake Masters!". October 24, 2022.
107. "Will the Midterms Change Anything?".
108. Roberts, Laurie. "Three governors' endorsements for Masters don't mean nearly as much as one judge's ruling". The Arizona Republic.
109. "DeSantis to hit campaign trail to rally support for Trump-endorsed candidates: 'Unite and win'". Fox News . August 7, 2022.
110. @DougDucey (August 6, 2022). "As co-chairman of the Republican Governors Association, our organization is already active on the airwaves supporti…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
111. Cowling, Mark (September 26, 2022). "Masters travels to Pinal to receive Lamb's endorsement". Pinal Central. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
112. Sievers, Caitlin (September 13, 2022). "AZ Republicans plead with Mitch McConnell to spend millions of dollars to help Blake Masters". AZMIRROR. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
113. Ecarma, Caleb (August 16, 2022). "WHITE EXTREMISTS HAVE FOUND THEIR GUY FOR THE SENATE: BLAKE MASTERS". Vanity Fair. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
114. "The Sean Hannity Show: Meet Blake Masters - September 13th, Hour 2 on Apple Podcasts". Apple Podcasts. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
115. "Chuck Norris Endorses Blake Masters". Twitter. Retrieved November 4, 2022.
116. Tuccille, J. D. (October 14, 2022). "In Arizona, Libertarian Party Senate Candidate Polls at 15 Percent". Reason.com. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
117. "LAW ENFORCEMENT BACKS REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES" . Retrieved September 29, 2022.
118. "Endorsed Candidates". Campaign for Working Families. Retrieved September 26, 2022.
119. "CAP Action's Endorsements for the 2022 General Election!" (PDF). Center for Arizona Policy Action. Retrieved September 26, 2022.
120. "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Blake Masters in Arizona U.S. Senate Race". August 3, 2022. Retrieved August 11, 2022.
121. "Arizona's Small Businesses Endorse Blake Masters for U.S. Senate". September 22, 2022. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
122. "NRA-PVF - Grades - Arizona". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
123. "National Right to Life Endorses Blake Masters in Arizona Senate Race" . Retrieved September 29, 2022.
124. "Defend Freedom. Defeat Mark Kelly". NRA-PVF.
125. "Why You and Other Arizonans should vote for Blake Masters". The Conservative Caucus.
126. "ENDORSEMENTS". Turning Point Action. Retrieved September 26, 2022.
127. "2022 General Election Statewide Canvass" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
128. Results. docs.google.com (Report).

External links

Official campaign websites

• Mark Kelly (D) for Senate
• Blake Masters (R) for Senate