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Turnout | 53.6% 9 pp | |||||||||||||||||||
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DeSantis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Party governor Ron DeSantis won re-election in a landslide [1] [2] and defeated the Democratic Party nominee, former U.S. representative Charlie Crist, who previously served as governor of Florida from 2007 to 2011 as a Republican and later as an Independent. No Democrat has been elected governor of Florida since 1994. [3] [4] [5]
According to exit polls, DeSantis won 65% of White voters, 13% of Black voters, and 58% of Latinos; of the latter group, DeSantis won 69% of Cubans and 56% of Puerto Ricans. [6] DeSantis' large margin of victory was in part due to him flipping Democratic stronghold Miami-Dade County for the first time since 2002, and Palm Beach County for the first time since 1986, as well as winning Hillsborough, Osceola, Pinellas, and St. Lucie counties for the first time since 2006; this was also the first gubernatorial election since 2006 in which a candidate received over 50% of the vote. His 21.7% margin of victory was the largest since 1982 and the largest for a Republican in state history. It was also the first time the governorship was won by double digits since 2002, and the first time it was won by over one million votes.
Significantly, Crist's 38.8% performance was the worst for a Democratic nominee for governor of Florida since 1916. Republicans won the other statewide races by double digits; this is the first time since the end of Reconstruction that Democrats do not hold at least one of the statewide positions. DeSantis also made large gains among Hispanic voters, becoming the first Republican in decades to win a majority of those voters. [6] [7] He also had a major fundraising advantage over Crist, setting an all time record for a gubernatorial candidate. [8]
Some analysts believe that this election indicates that Florida has transitioned from being a Republican-leaning swing state into a reliable red state. [9] [10]
To qualify for the ballot in Florida, partisan candidates must first file with the Division of Elections of the Florida Department of State. After filing, a candidate must then qualify for the ballot by a deadline by either paying qualifying fees totaling 6% of the salary of the position sought, or obtaining sufficiently many signatures. Not all candidates who filed to run for governor subsequently qualified to appear on the ballot. [11]
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Charlie Crist | Nikki Fried | Other [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | February 7 – June 17, 2022 | June 20, 2022 | 40.0% | 23.3% | 36.7% | Crist +16.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Charlie Crist | Nikki Fried | Annette Taddeo | Other | Undecided | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 20–21, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 59% | 30% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change Research (D) Archived January 27, 2023, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 1] | August 12–14, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 37% | – | – | 16% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
University of North Florida Archived February 19, 2023, at the Wayback Machine | August 8–12, 2022 | 529 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 43% | 47% | – | 5% [lower-alpha 3] | 6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] | August 8–9, 2022 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 35% | – | – | 23% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | August 2–3, 2022 | 1,361 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 56% | 24% | – | – | 20% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GBAO (D) [upper-alpha 1] | July 27–31, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 36% | – | – | 12% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kaplan Strategies | July 6, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 39% | – | – | 22% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GBAO (D) [upper-alpha 1] | June 23–26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 34% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | June 16–17, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 24% | – | – | 27% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 2] | June 8–13, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 34% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Taddeo withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | May 2–3, 2022 | 1,859 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 52% | 19% | 5% | – | 24% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sachs Media Group | April 8–10, 2022 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 35% | 20% | 4% | – | 41% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
University of North Florida Archived July 6, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 7–20, 2022 | 271 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 27% | 19% | 4% | 8% [lower-alpha 4] | 44% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 27% | 3% | – | 26% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alvarado Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 3] | February 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 25% | 6% | 10% | 23% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GBAO (D) [upper-alpha 1] | January 26–31, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 28% | 7% | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
56% | 33% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] | January 26–27, 2022 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 34% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] | August 10–11, 2021 | 274 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 33% | 36% | – | – | 31% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 245 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 38% | 27% | – | 5% | 30% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Political Matrix (R) | June 9–11, 2021 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 31% | – | – | 29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | May 24–26, 2021 | 2,752 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 55% | 22% | – | 11% | 12% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 232 (RV) | ± 7.0% | 53% | 30% | – | 17% [lower-alpha 5] | – | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SEA Polling (D) [upper-alpha 4] | April 15–20, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 26% | 13% | – | 34% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charlie Crist | 904,524 | 59.71% | |
Democratic | Nicole "Nikki" Fried | 535,480 | 35.35% | |
Democratic | Cadance Daniel | 38,198 | 2.52% | |
Democratic | Robert L. Willis | 36,786 | 2.43% | |
Total votes | 1,513,180 | 100.0% |
In June 2022, Politico released a shortlist of 18 people who Crist was considering as his running mate. [121] On August 26, four days after Crist won the gubernatorial primary, CBS News reported that he had selected Karla Hernández-Mats, one of the people on the Politico shortlist. [122]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
Ron DeSantis | Charlie Crist | |||||
1 | October 24, 2022 | WPEC-TV | Liz Quirantes | YouTube | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [138] | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
Inside Elections [139] | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [140] | Safe R | October 31, 2022 |
Politico [141] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [142] | Lean R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [143] | Likely R | May 12, 2022 |
538 [144] | Solid R | October 18, 2022 |
Elections Daily [145] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Ron DeSantis (R) | Charlie Crist (D) | Other [lower-alpha 6] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 17 – November 6, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.4% | 42.2% | 3.4% | DeSantis +12.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | October 30, 2022 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.5% | 42.4% | 3.0% | DeSantis +12.1 |
270 to win | November 4–7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 54.0% | 41.8% | 4.2% | DeSantis +12.2 |
Average | 54.3% | 42.1% | 3.6% | DeSantis +12.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Charlie Crist (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 41% | 2% [lower-alpha 7] | 3% |
Data for Progress (D) | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,436 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 42% | 2% [lower-alpha 8] | – |
Amber Integrated (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 40% | 4% [lower-alpha 9] | 4% |
Civiqs | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1% [lower-alpha 10] | 1% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 1, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 43% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 3% |
Siena College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 42% | – | 3% |
Victory Insights | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 41% | – | 5% |
Florida State University/YouGov | October 20–31, 2022 | 1,117 (RV) | – | 53% | 43% | – | – |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | October 27–28, 2022 | 633 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
University of North Florida Archived November 10, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | October 17–24, 2022 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 55% | 41% | 2% [lower-alpha 12] | 3% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,251 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 42% | 1% [lower-alpha 13] | 2% |
Florida Atlantic University | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 40% | 4% [lower-alpha 14] | 5% |
Sachs Media | October 15, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
RMG Research (R) Archived November 15, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 5] | October 10–13, 2022 | 685 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | September 26–28, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 21, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
Siena College | September 18–25, 2022 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 41% | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | 7% |
Civiqs | September 17–20, 2022 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 45% | 1% [lower-alpha 16] | 2% |
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 5% [lower-alpha 17] | 7% |
Sachs Media | September 10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 51% | 45% | – | 4% |
Survey Monkey (D) [upper-alpha 6] | September 9–10, 2022 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
563 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% | ||
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 42% | – | 7% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 5–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) | August 29 – September 4, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | August 24–31, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) [upper-alpha 7] | August 25–30, 2022 | 3,017 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 8] | August 12–18, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 46% | – | 3% |
Cherry Communications (R) | August 4–15, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
University of North Florida Archived February 19, 2023, at the Wayback Machine | August 8–12, 2022 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 42% | 6% | 2% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) [upper-alpha 7] | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | May 27 – June 4, 2022 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – | – |
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 9] | Mid-May 2022 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
Phillips Academy | May 7–9, 2022 | 543 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 36% | 35% | – | 30% |
Saint Leo University | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 33% | – | 18% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | February 23, 2022 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 56% | – | – |
University of North Florida Archived July 6, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 7–20, 2022 | 685 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 34% | – | 11% |
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | 0% | 8% |
St. Pete Polls | November 18–19, 2021 | 2,896 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 51% | 45% | – | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 37% | 5% | 9% |
842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 40% | 4% | 7% | ||
Saint Leo University | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 35% | – | 18% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 10] | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 39% | 2% | 12% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 3–5, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
RMG Research | August 21–28, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 38% | – | 17% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 36% | 5% | 9% |
977 (LV) | 48% | 38% | 5% | 8% | |||
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 57% | – | – |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 11] | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
Cherry Communications (R) | July 26 – August 4, 2021 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | – | 6% |
St. Pete Polls | August 2–3, 2021 | 3,952 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 44% | 45% | – | 11% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | June 21, 2021 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – | 8% |
Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | – | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Nikki Fried (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cherry Communications (R) | August 4–15, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | – | 7% |
University of North Florida Archived February 19, 2023, at the Wayback Machine | August 8–12, 2022 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 43% | 5% | 2% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) [upper-alpha 7] | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
Saint Leo University Archived April 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 27% | – | 22% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | February 23, 2022 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
University of North Florida Archived July 6, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 7–20, 2022 | 685 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 32% | – | 12% |
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | – | 5% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 40% | 0% | 9% |
St. Pete Polls | November 18–19, 2021 | 2,896 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 51% | 42% | – | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 35% | 4% | 8% |
842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 37% | 4% | 7% | ||
Saint Leo University | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 33% | – | 21% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 10] | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 36% | 5% | 11% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 3–5, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
RMG Research | August 21–28, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 38% | – | 21% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
977 (LV) | 48% | 38% | 3% | 10% | |||
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 11] | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
Cherry Communications (R) | July 26 – August 4, 2021 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | August 2–3, 2021 | 3,952 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 45% | 42% | – | 13% |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | June 21, 2021 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 61% | 39% | – | – |
Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | March 22–24, 2021 | 1,923 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% |
Mason-Dixon | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Annette Taddeo (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University Archived April 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 30% | 22% |
Mason-Dixon | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
Saint Leo University | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 28% | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) [upper-alpha 7] | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Data for Progress (D) [upper-alpha 12] | September 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Val Demings (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cherry Communications (R) | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 38% | – |
Victory Insights (R) | May 4, 2021 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 46% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron DeSantis (incumbent) Jeanette Nuñez (incumbent) | 4,614,210 | 59.37% | +9.78% | |
Democratic | Charlie Crist Karla Hernandez | 3,106,313 | 39.97% | -9.22% | |
Independent | Carmen Jackie Gimenez Kyle "KC" Gibson | 31,577 | 0.41% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Hector Roos Jerry "Tub" Rorabaugh | 19,299 | 0.25% | N/A | |
Total votes | 7,771,399 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Turnout | 7,796,916 | 53.76% | |||
Registered electors | 14,503,978 | ||||
Republican hold | |||||
By county | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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DeSantis won 22 of 28 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats. [168]
District | DeSantis | Crist | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 73% | 26% | Matt Gaetz |
2nd | 61% | 38% | Neal Dunn |
3rd | 64% | 35% | Kat Cammack |
4th | 60% | 39% | Aaron Bean |
5th | 65% | 34% | John Rutherford |
6th | 68% | 31% | Michael Waltz |
7th | 60% | 39% | Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress) |
Cory Mills (118th Congress) | |||
8th | 65% | 35% | Bill Posey |
9th | 50% | 49% | Darren Soto |
10th | 41% | 58% | Val Demings (117th Congress) |
Maxwell Frost (118th Congress) | |||
11th | 63% | 37% | Daniel Webster |
12th | 69% | 30% | Gus Bilirakis |
13th | 58% | 41% | Anna Paulina Luna |
14th | 47% | 52% | Kathy Castor |
15th | 59% | 40% | Laurel Lee |
16th | 61% | 38% | Vern Buchanan |
17th | 64% | 35% | Greg Steube |
18th | 69% | 30% | Scott Franklin |
19th | 69% | 30% | Byron Donalds |
20th | 30% | 69% | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick |
21st | 62% | 37% | Brian Mast |
22nd | 48% | 51% | Lois Frankel |
23rd | 50% | 49% | Jared Moskowitz |
24th | 31% | 68% | Frederica Wilson |
25th | 47% | 52% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
26th | 70% | 29% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
27th | 58% | 41% | María Elvira Salazar |
28th | 64% | 36% | Carlos A. Giménez |
Demographic subgroup | Crist | DeSantis | % of voters | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | ||||
Men | 35 | 64 | 49 | |
Women | 46 | 53 | 51 | |
Age | ||||
18–24 years old | 54 | 44 | 7 | |
25–29 years old | 56 | 41 | 4 | |
30–39 years old | 52 | 47 | 13 | |
40–49 years old | 38 | 60 | 12 | |
50–64 years old | 36 | 63 | 32 | |
65 and older | 36 | 64 | 32 | |
Race | ||||
White | 34 | 65 | 64 | |
Black | 86 | 13 | 11 | |
Latino | 40 | 58 | 21 | |
Race by gender | ||||
White men | 27 | 72 | 32 | |
White women | 40 | 58 | 32 | |
Black men | 81 | 19 | 5 | |
Black women | 91 | 9 | 6 | |
Latino men | 41 | 57 | 10 | |
Latina women | 39 | 60 | 11 | |
Education | ||||
High school or less | 33 | 67 | 15 | |
Some college education | 41 | 58 | 25 | |
Associate degree | 40 | 59 | 19 | |
Bachelor's degree | 43 | 56 | 24 | |
Advanced degree | 44 | 55 | 17 | |
Party ID | ||||
Democrats | 95 | 5 | 28 | |
Republicans | 2 | 97 | 42 | |
Independents | 45 | 53 | 30 | |
Ideology | ||||
Liberals | 90 | 10 | 20 | |
Moderates | 53 | 45 | 39 | |
Conservatives | 6 | 94 | 42 | |
Marital status | ||||
Married | 38 | 62 | 59 | |
Unmarried | 50 | 50 | 41 | |
Gender by marital status | ||||
Married men | 32 | 68 | 30 | |
Married women | 44 | 55 | 29 | |
Unmarried men | 49 | 51 | 18 | |
Unmarried women | 50 | 49 | 23 | |
First-time midterm election voter | ||||
Yes | 41 | 59 | 11 | |
No | 43 | 57 | 89 | |
Most important issue facing the country | ||||
Crime | 35 | 63 | 10 | |
Inflation | 26 | 74 | 39 | |
Gun policy | 62 | 36 | 10 | |
Immigration | 12 | 88 | 10 | |
Abortion | 80 | 19 | 24 | |
Area type | ||||
Urban | 43 | 56 | 46 | |
Suburban | 40 | 58 | 44 | |
Rural | 30 | 70 | 10 | |
Source: CNN [169] |
Charles Joseph Crist Jr. is an American attorney and politician who served as the 44th governor of Florida from 2007 to 2011 and as the U.S. representative for Florida's 13th congressional district from 2017 to 2022. Crist has been a member of the Democratic Party since 2012; he was previously a Republican before becoming an independent in 2010.
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Annette Joanne Taddeo-Goldstein is a Colombian-American politician and businesswoman who served as a member of the Florida Senate from the 40th district from 2017 to 2022. She was an unsuccessful candidate for several elections starting in 2008 and was Charlie Crist's running mate in the 2014 Florida gubernatorial election. She was formerly a Democratic candidate in the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election, but withdrew to run for Congress in Florida's 27th congressional district to challenge incumbent María Elvira Salazar. She was once again defeated.
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
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