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Turnout | 47.9% [1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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Kelly: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Schmidt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pyle: 60–70% >90% Tie: 30–40% 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Kansas |
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The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. [2] Governor Laura Kelly ran for re-election to a second term, facing Republican State Attorney General Derek Schmidt in the general election.
This was the only Democratic-held governorship up for election in 2022 in a state Donald Trump won in the 2020 presidential election, and the race was expected to be one of the most competitive gubernatorial races in the nation. Some analysts and Kansas Republican Party officials had also predicted that Dennis Pyle, who was on the ballot as an independent, would have a spoiler effect benefiting Kelly. [3] [4] This was the first gubernatorial election in Kansas since 1986 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president. [5]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
| 270,968 | 93.84 | |
Democratic |
| 17,802 | 6.16 | |
Total votes | 288,770 | 100 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Jeff Colyer | Ron Ryckman Jr. | Derek Schmidt | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 1] | March 3–4, 2021 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 19% | 5% | 28% | 49% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
| 373,524 | 80.60 | |
Republican |
| 89,898 | 19.40 | |
Total votes | 463,422 | 100 |
Reporters noted the lack of attention towards abortion as an issue in the campaign by both major candidates, despite the defeat of an abortion amendment in August which was widely seen as a prominent victory for the pro-choice movement. [36] [37] In televised debates, Schmidt said that he respected the referendum results and accused Kelly of opposing existing abortion restrictions. Kelly denied the accusation, saying that she had stayed consistent on the subject, and further adding that she believed in "bodily autonomy" for women. [38] When pressed on whether they would support retaining all justices in the state Supreme Court who ruled abortion as a fundamental constitutional right in 2019 and were up on the ballot, Kelly said that she would, while Schmidt said he would vote to retain some and not others. [39]
Instead, both candidates focused more on "kitchen-table" issues such as the economy and education, [37] where polls showed that the former of which was the most important concern among voters. [36] [40] Kelly's campaign tied Schmidt with former governor Sam Brownback and his Kansas experiment, highlighting Schmidt's defense of lawsuits regarding budget cuts to public education as the attorney general. [41] In the contrary, Schmidt's campaign tied Kelly with President Joe Biden by focusing on national issues such as the increase in inflation and gas prices, portraying them as "big-spending liberals". [39] Other issues include criminal justice [42] [43] and transgender people in sports. [44] [45]
Aside from state Supreme Court justice retention elections and other statewide elections, the election was also held on the same ballot as two referendums for proposed constitutional amendments. Question 1 would authorize the state legislature to veto any rules and regulations implemented by Kansas's executive branch with a simple majority. [46] The proposal was spearheaded by Schmidt in 2021 in response to Governor Kelly's pandemic-related measures to close schools temporarily and he made COVID-19 lockdowns and mandates as a focal point in his platform. [47] Kelly's campaign countered that the amendment would be a "power grab" that could create further gridlock in the state's legislative process. [48] [49] Question 2 would require most sheriffs to be elected directly by voters and that they could only be removed by a recall election or a challenge by the state attorney general. [50] In a press release, Schmidt said that he would campaign for the amendment, arguing that electing sheriffs would make them "uniquely accountable to the people". [51] Critics pointed out that the amendment could create abuse of power as the authority to investigate the sheriff would be stripped from district attorneys in every county and the attorney general could "play favorites" into which sheriff to investigate. [47] In the end, Question 1 failed narrowly by a one-point margin, while Question 2 passed with 62% of the vote. [52]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [53] | Tossup | July 26, 2022 |
Inside Elections [54] | Tossup | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [56] | Tossup | August 12, 2022 |
RCP [57] | Tossup | August 3, 2022 |
Fox News [58] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
538 [59] | Lean D | September 13, 2022 |
Elections Daily [60] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Laura Kelly (D) | Derek Schmidt (R) | Other [lower-alpha 2] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | August 10 – October 29, 2022 | November 2, 2022 | 48.6% | 43.5% | 7.9% | Kelly +5.1 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Laura Kelly (D) | Derek Schmidt (R) | Dennis Pyle (I) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 43% | 5% | 2% [lower-alpha 3] | 4% |
49% | 44% | 5% | 2% [lower-alpha 4] | – | ||||
Jayhawk Consulting (D) [upper-alpha 2] | October 10–12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 38% | 37% | 7% | – | 18% |
Emerson College | September 15–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 1% [lower-alpha 5] | 8% |
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 3] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 53% | 41% | – | – | 5% |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 4] | August 8–10, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 48% | 2% | – | 5% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 5] | April 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 10% |
Clarity Campaign Labs (D) [upper-alpha 6] | September 13–15, 2021 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 44% | – | – | 9% |
Remington Research Group (R) | September 7–9, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | – | – | 16% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Location | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Independent |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Derek Schmidt | Laura Kelly | Seth Cordell | Dennis Pyle | ||||||
1 [77] | September 7, 2022 | Kansas Chamber of Commerce | – | Olathe | [lower-alpha 6] | P | P | N | N |
2 [79] | September 10, 2022 | WIBW-FM | Greg Akagi | Hutchinson | Youtube | P | P | N | N |
3 [80] | October 5, 2022 | Kansas City PBS/ Johnson County Bar Association | Nick Haines | Overland Park | Youtube | P | P | N | N |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
| 499,849 | 49.54% | +1.53% | |
Republican |
| 477,591 | 47.33% | +4.35% | |
Independent |
| 20,452 | 2.03% | N/A | |
Libertarian |
| 11,106 | 1.10% | −0.80% | |
Total votes | 1,008,998 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 47.94% | ||||
Democratic hold | |||||
Laura Kelly won the election by a margin of 2.2 percentage points over Derek Schmidt, similar to the percentage of votes that independent Dennis Pyle received. Kansas Republican Party Chair Mike Kuckelman pointed to this as evidence that Pyle was somewhat responsible for Schmidt's defeat. However, Pyle insisted that "Kansas needed a strong conservative candidate" and instead highlighted Schmidt's underperformance compared to other Republican candidates in Kansas. [4]
Kelly's personal popularity was also a factor in her victory, where a majority of voters approved of Kelly's job performance, while only a third did so for President Joe Biden. [81] [82] Her win was also propelled by Democratic candidates' increased strength in suburban areas, such as Johnson County, in spite of Schmidt's increased vote share from 2018 in the Republican strongholds of rural Kansas. [83] Kelly also won Sedgwick County, home of Wichita, by 2.9%, [84] receiving 1.8% more of the vote than in the 2018 Kansas gubernatorial election. [85]
Kelly won 2 of 4 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican. [90]
District | Kelly | Schmidt | Other | Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 44% | 52% | 4% | Tracey Mann |
2nd | 49% | 48% | 3% | Jake LaTurner |
3rd | 57% | 40% | 3% | Sharice Davids |
4th | 46% | 51% | 3% | Ron Estes |
Kelly was reelected on November 8, 2022, defeating Kansas Attorney General Derek Schmidt, 49.2% to 47.7%.
According to Fox News's voter analysis of the 2022 race, [91] Kelly won women voters (51% Kelly, 45% Schmidt), voters 18-29 (51% Kelly, 43% Schmidt), millennials (55%, 39%), Gen X (50%, 47%), college-educated voters (57%, 40%), and Latino/Hispanic voters (58%).
Notably, Kelly lost the Generation Z vote by four points (45%), placing her 18 points behind the national average for Gen Z.
Kelly lost voters who were concerned about inflation by four points (46%). She lost voters who listed groceries and food as their most important inflation concern by one point, possibly due to her support for eliminating or reducing sales taxes on groceries in Kansas. [92] [93] 69% of voters listed abortion as an important factor in their vote, and Kelly won this group by 24 points (60%, 36%), closely mirroring the results of the 2022 Kansas abortion referendum. She won voters who listed "the future of democracy in this country" as an important factor in their vote (88% of voters) by seven points (52%).Kris William Kobach is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the attorney general of Kansas since 2023. He previously served as the 31st secretary of state of Kansas from 2011 to 2019. A former chairman of the Kansas Republican Party, Kobach rose to national prominence over his support for immigration controls, including involvement in the implementation of high-profile anti-illegal immigration ordinances in various American cities. Kobach is also known for his calls for stronger voter ID laws in the United States, reinstating the National Security Entry-Exit Registration System, and his advocacy for anti-abortion legislation. He has made claims about the extent of election fraud in the United States that some studies and media have said are unsubstantiated.
Derek Larkin Schmidt is an American lawyer and politician who served as the Kansas Attorney General from 2011 to 2023. A Republican, Schmidt was first elected to office serving in the Kansas Senate, where he represented the 15th district from 2001 to 2011, and served as Agriculture Committee chairman and Senate majority leader. Schmidt became the state attorney general in 2011, after he defeated incumbent Democrat Stephen Six.
Laura Jeanne Kelly is an American politician serving since 2019 as the 48th governor of Kansas. A member of the Democratic Party, she represented the 18th district in the Kansas Senate from 2005 to 2019. Kelly was elected governor in 2018, defeating Republican nominee Kris Kobach. She was reelected in 2022, narrowly defeating Republican nominee Derek Schmidt.
Dennis D. Pyle is an independent member of the Kansas Senate, representing the 1st district since 2005. He ran for governor of Kansas in the 2022 election.
Jeffrey William Colyer is an American surgeon and politician who served as the 47th governor of Kansas from January 31, 2018, to January 14, 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he was the 49th lieutenant governor of Kansas from 2011 to 2018. Colyer served in the Kansas House of Representatives from 2007 to 2009 and the Kansas Senate from 2009 to 2011. He assumed the governorship when Sam Brownback resigned to become United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom. Colyer ran for a full term as governor in 2018, but narrowly lost the Republican primary to Kansas secretary of state Kris Kobach, who in turn lost the general election to Democratic nominee Laura Kelly.
The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Kansas on November 4, 2014. Primary elections were held on August 5.
Gregory John Orman is an American politician, businessman, and entrepreneur. He ran as an independent to represent Kansas in the United States Senate in the 2014 election, earning 42.5 percent of the vote and losing to incumbent U.S. Senator Pat Roberts.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2018 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Kansas.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.
United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 8, 2022, in 36 states and three territories. As most governors serve four-year terms, the last regular gubernatorial elections for all but two of the seats took place in 2018 U.S. gubernatorial elections. The gubernatorial elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, as part of the 2022 midterm elections.
Lynn Wayne Rogers is an American politician and businessman who served as the 41st Kansas State Treasurer from 2021 to 2023. He previously served as the 51st lieutenant governor of Kansas from 2019 to 2021. A Democrat, he had previously served on the board of Wichita Public Schools from 2001 to 2017, and in the Kansas Senate representing the 25th district in west Wichita from 2017 to 2019.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran was first elected in 2010, winning the seat vacated by Sam Brownback, and ran for re-election to a third term in office. Democrat Mark Holland, the former mayor of Kansas City, was Moran's opponent in the general election. Moran ultimately won the election, but his 60% share of the vote represented another decline from his first victory in 2010, and he lost Johnson County, a major suburban county that had been recently trending left in elections, for the first time in his career. Even so, he won re-election by an overwhelming margin, despite incumbent Democratic governor Laura Kelly winning re-election on the same ballot. This was the first election since 2002 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election and the first election since 1968 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas for the Class 3 Senate seat was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election.
A general election was held in the state of Kansas on November 6, 2018. Primary elections were held on August 7, 2018.
The 2022 Kansas Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Derek Schmidt announced he would retire to run for Governor. The Republican nominee was former Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, and the Democratic nominee was former police officer, prosecutor, and state securities regulator, Chris Mann. Kobach narrowly won, taking 50.80% of the general election vote to Mann's 49.20%.
The 2022 Kansas State Treasurer election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next Kansas State Treasurer. Incumbent Democrat Lynn Rogers was appointed on January 2, 2021, after his predecessor, Jake LaTurner, resigned after being elected to Congress. Republican Steven Johnson defeated Rogers in the general election.
The 2022 Kansas abortion referendum was a rejected legislatively referred constitutional amendment to the Kansas Constitution that appeared on the ballot on August 2, 2022, alongside primary elections for statewide offices, with early voting from July 13. If enacted, the amendment would have declared that the Kansas Constitution does not guarantee a right to abortion, given the Kansas state government power to prosecute individuals involved in abortions, and further declared that the Kansas government is not required to fund abortions.
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