2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado

Last updated

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  

All 8 Colorado seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election43
Seats won53
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 1Steady2.svg
Popular vote1,365,4271,051,030
Percentage55.23%42.51%
SwingIncrease2.svg 2.18%Decrease2.svg 1.04%

2022 Colorado United States House of Representatives election by Congressional District.svg
2022 United States House of Representatives Elections in Colorado by county.svg

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Colorado, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Colorado gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

District boundaries were redrawn to ensure that the districts are apportioned based on data from the 2020 census, which added an eighth seat to Colorado's delegation. [1] [2]

Statewide results

PartyCandidatesVotesSeats
No. %No.+/– %
Democratic Party 81,365,42755.23%5Increase2.svg162.5%
Republican Party 81,051,03042.51%3Steady2.svg37.5%
Libertarian Party 534,2341.38%0Steady2.svg0.0%
American Constitution Party 314,4280.58%0Steady2.svg0.0%
Unity Party 23,7960.15%0Steady2.svg0.0%
Colorado Center Party12,8760.12%0Steady2.svg0.0%
Write-in 44140.02%0Steady2.svg0.0%
Independent 19>0.01%0Steady2.svg0.0%
Total352,472,214100%8Increase2.svg1100%
Statewide popular vote
Democratic
55.23%
Republican
42.51%
Libertarian
1.38%
American Constitution
0.58%
Unity
0.15%
Colorado Center
0.12%
Write-in
0.02%
Independent
0.01%
House seats
Democratic
62.5%
Republican
37.5%

District 1

2022 Colorado's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2020
2024  
  Diana DeGette official photo (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Diana DeGette Jennifer Qualteri
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote226,92949,529
Percentage80.3%17.5%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Colorado's 1st Congressional District.svg
CO1 House 2022.svg
DeGette:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Diana DeGette
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Diana DeGette
Democratic

The 1st district includes almost all of Denver, as well as the enclaves of Glendale and Holly Hills. [2] The district is very similar to its predecessor before 2020 redistricting. The incumbent was Democrat Diana DeGette, who was re-elected with 73.6% of the vote in 2020. [3] She was running for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not qualify
  • Dom Waters, graphic artist and educator [6] [7]

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Diana DeGette (incumbent) 79,391 81.1
Democratic Neal Walia18,47218.9
Total votes97,863 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jennifer Qualteri [17]

Results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jennifer Qualteri 18,568 100.0
Total votes18,568 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid DNovember 29, 2021
Inside Elections [19] Solid DNovember 22, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Safe DNovember 17, 2021
Politico [21] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [22] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [23] Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [24] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [25] Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [26] Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Colorado's 1st congressional district election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Diana DeGette (incumbent) 226,929 80.3
Republican Jennifer Qualteri49,53017.5
Libertarian John Kittleson6,1572.2
Green Iris Boswell (write-in)700.0
Total votes282,686 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2022 Colorado's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2020
2024  
  Joe Neguse, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Joe Neguse Marshall Dawson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote244,10797,770
Percentage70.0%28.0%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District.svg
CO2 House 2022.svg
Neguse:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Dawson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Joe Neguse
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Joe Neguse
Democratic

The 2nd district is located in north-central Colorado, taking in Boulder, Fort Collins, and Longmont, as well as the surrounding mountain ski towns, including Vail, Grand Lake and Idaho Springs. [2] The district was made slightly larger during redistricting, and it is now based in the north-central part of the state rather than just west of Denver. The incumbent was Democrat Joe Neguse, who was re-elected with 61.5% of the vote in 2020. [3] He was running for re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joe Neguse (incumbent) 91,793 100.0
Total votes91,793 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Marshall Dawson [17]

Results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Marshall Dawson 43,164 100.0
Total votes43,164 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid DNovember 29, 2021
Inside Elections [19] Solid DNovember 22, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Safe DNovember 17, 2021
Politico [21] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [22] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [23] Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [24] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [25] Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [26] Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Colorado's 2nd congressional district election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joe Neguse (incumbent) 244,107 70.0
Republican Marshall Dawson97,70028.1
Colorado Center PartySteve Yurash2,8760.8
American Constitution Gary L. Nation2,1880.6
Unity Tim Wolf1,9680.6
Total votes348,839 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2022 Colorado's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2020
2024  
  Lauren Boebert 117th U.S Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Lauren Boebert Adam Frisch
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote163,832163,278
Percentage50.06%49.89%

2022 Colorado's 3rd CD election Results map by county.svg
CO3 House 2022.svg
Boebert:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Frisch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Lauren Boebert
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Lauren Boebert
Republican

The 3rd district encompasses the Colorado Western Slope, including the cities of Montrose, Pueblo, and Grand Junction. [2] Redistricting made the district slightly safer for the incumbent, Republican Lauren Boebert, who was elected with 51.4% of the vote in 2020. [3] The district absorbs part of the old 4th district. She ran for re-election. Under the new district lines, the seat has a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump would have carried the district by 8 points. Despite this, Democrats very nearly flipped the seat, as Boebert defeated Adam Frisch by a razor-thin margin of 554 votes. This was the closest House race in 2022.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Eliminated at Convention
  • Marina Zimmerman, crane operator [35] [36]
Declined

Endorsements

Lauren Boebert
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
Don Coram
Newspapers and other media

Debates and forums

2022 CO-03 Republican primary debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee   W Withdrawn
BoebertCoram
1 [45] May 26, 2022Dave WoodruffPP

Results

Results by county
Boebert
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Coram
50-60%
60-70%
70-80% 2022 Republican primary in Colorado's 3rd congressional district.svg
Results by county
  Boebert
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Coram
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Lauren Boebert (incumbent) 86,322 66.0
Republican Don Coram 44,48634.0
Total votes130,808 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Sol Sandoval, community organizer [48] [47]
  • Alex Walker, entrepreneur [47]
Did not qualify
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Sol Sandoval
State legislators
Organizations

Debates and forums

2022 CO-03 Democratic primary debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee   W Withdrawn
FrischSandovalWalker
1 [67] May 25, 2022Mesa County Democratic PartyPPP

Results

Results by county
Frisch
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Sandoval
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Tie 2022 Democratic primary in Colorado's 3rd congressional district.svg
Results by county
  Frisch
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Sandoval
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Tie
Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Adam Frisch 25,751 42.4
Democratic Sol Sandoval25,46241.9
Democratic Alex Walker9,50415.7
Total votes60,717 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Filed paperwork
  • Kristin Skowronski [68]

General election

Debate

2022 Colorado's 3rd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Lauren Boebert Adam Frisch
1Sep. 19, 2022Club TwentyEdie Sunn YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid RNovember 29, 2021
Inside Elections [19] Solid RMay 20, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Likely RNovember 17, 2021
Politico [21] Likely RApril 5, 2022
RCP [22] Likely RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [23] Likely RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [24] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [25] Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist [26] Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Endorsements

Adam Frisch (D)
State officials
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Lauren
Boebert (R)
Adam
Frisch (D)
Undecided
Center Street PAC (D) Sep 30 – Oct 6, 2022144 (RV)± 5.2%40%45%15%
Keating Research (D) [upper-alpha 1] Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%47%45%8%
Keating Research (D) [upper-alpha 1] Jul 21–25, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%49%42%9%
Hypothetical polling
Lauren Boebert vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Lauren
Boebert (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Keating Research (D) [upper-alpha 1] July 21–25, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%45%48%7%

Results

Republican incumbent Lauren Boebert faced a strong challenge from former Aspen city councilman and businessman Adam Frisch who led on election day. Despite many prediction sites like The Cook Political Report giving the race a rating of "Solid R" up to election day, [18] the race would prove to become the closest race of the cycle. [73] Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight gave Boebert a 97% chance of winning and most projections showed Boebert defeating Frisch by a margin of nearly 15%. [74] However, on election night, Frisch led Boebert with over 90% of votes counted. Over time the vote would narrow, with at one point Frisch leading by only 60 votes. [75] Boebert took the lead two days after the election, though confusion would start to grow as to how many outstanding votes would be left due to military absentee ballots among other errors with vote counting. [73] Although the close margin triggered an automatic recount, Frisch conceded the race on November 17 after all overseas, military and provisional ballots were counted, as he acknowledged that a recount was very unlikely to overturn Boebert's lead. [76] On December 12, Secretary of State Jena Griswold announced that the results of the recount showed minimal change, with Boebert losing 3 votes and Frisch gaining 1. [77]

2022 Colorado's 3rd congressional district election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Lauren Boebert (incumbent) 163,839 50.06
Democratic Adam Frisch 163,29349.89
Write-in 1530.05
Total votes327,285 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2022 Colorado's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2020
  Ken Buck official congressional photo (cropped 2).jpg Ike McCorkle, USMC, Retired.jpg
Nominee Ken Buck Ike McCorkle
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote216,024129,619
Percentage60.9%36.6%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Colorado's 4th Congressional District.svg
CO4 House 2022.svg
Buck:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
McCorkle:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Ken Buck
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ken Buck
Republican

The 4th district encompasses rural eastern Colorado and the southern Denver exurbs, including Castle Rock and Parker. [2] The incumbent was Republican Ken Buck, who was re-elected with 60.1% of the vote in 2020. [3] The old 4th district ceded parts to the new 3rd district. Buck was running for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Ken Buck
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ken Buck (incumbent) 90,070 74.0
Republican Robert Lewis31,58526.0
Total votes121,655 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ike McCorkle 42,238 100.0
Total votes42,238 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Filed paperwork
  • Ryan McGonigal [83]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid RNovember 29, 2021
Inside Elections [19] Solid RNovember 22, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Safe RNovember 17, 2021
Politico [21] Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP [22] Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [23] Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [24] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [25] Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist [26] Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Colorado's 4th congressional district election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ken Buck (incumbent) 216,024 60.9
Democratic Ike McCorkle129,61936.6
American Constitution Ryan McGonigal8,8702.5
Total votes354,513 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2022 Colorado's 5th congressional district election
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2020
2024  
  Doug Lamborn Official Portrait 118th (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Doug Lamborn David Torres
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote155,528111,978
Percentage56.0%40.3%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Colorado's 5th District.svg
CO5 House 2022.svg
Lamborn:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Torres:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Doug Lamborn
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Doug Lamborn
Republican

The 5th district is based in Colorado Springs and its suburbs, including Fountain, Black Forest, and Ellicott after previously being spread out over central Colorado. [2] The incumbent was Republican Doug Lamborn, who was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2020. [3] He was running for re-election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not qualify
  • Christopher Mitchell, electrical engineer [88] [47]

Endorsements

Doug Lamborn
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. representatives
Newspapers
Dave Williams
U.S. representatives
Individuals

Results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Doug Lamborn (incumbent) 46,178 47.3
Republican Dave Williams 32,66933.5
Republican Rebecca Keltie12,63112.9
Republican Andrew Heaton6,1216.3
Total votes97,599 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not qualify
  • Orlondo Avion [88]
  • Jeremy Dowell, attorney [94]

Results

Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Torres 24,413 54.7
Democratic Michael C. Colombe20,23745.3
Total votes44,650 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid RNovember 29, 2021
Inside Elections [19] Solid RNovember 22, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Safe RNovember 17, 2021
Politico [21] Likely RApril 5, 2022
RCP [22] Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [23] Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [24] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [25] Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist [26] Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Colorado's 5th congressional district election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Doug Lamborn (incumbent) 155,528 56.0
Democratic David Torres111,97840.3
Libertarian Brian Flanagan7,0792.5
American Constitution Christopher Mitchell3,3701.2
Independent Matthew Feigenbaum90.0
Total votes277,964 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

2022 Colorado's 6th congressional district election
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2020
2024  
  Jason Crow, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jason Crow Steve Monahan
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote170,140105,084
Percentage60.6%37.4%

2022 United States House of Representatives Election in Colorado's 6th Congressional District.svg
CO6 House 2022.svg
Crow:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Monahan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Jason Crow
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jason Crow
Democratic

The 6th district is based in the southern suburbs of the Denver metropolitan area including Aurora, Centennial, and Littleton. [2] The incumbent was Democrat Jason Crow, who was re-elected with 57.1% of the vote in 2020. [3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jason Crow (incumbent) 61,074 100.0
Total votes61,074 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Monahan 47,556 100.0
Total votes47,556 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid DNovember 29, 2021
Inside Elections [19] Solid DNovember 22, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Safe DNovember 17, 2021
Politico [21] Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP [22] Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [23] Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ [24] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [25] Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [26] Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Colorado's 6th congressional district election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jason Crow (incumbent) 170,140 60.6
Republican Steve Monahan105,08437.4
Libertarian Eric Mulder5,5312.0
Total votes280,755 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

2022 Colorado's 7th congressional district election
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2020
2024  
  Rep. Brittany Pettersen 118th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Brittany Pettersen Erik Aadland
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote204,984150,509
Percentage56.4%41.4%

United States House of Representatives Election in Colorado's 7th Congressional District.svg
CO7 House 2022.svg
Pettersen:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Aadland:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Ed Perlmutter
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Brittany Pettersen
Democratic

The 7th district includes the western suburbs of Denver and central Colorado, including Arvada, Lakewood, Broomfield, and Cañon City, but also a large portion of central Colorado. [2] The incumbent was Democrat Ed Perlmutter, who was re-elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2020. [3] Perlmutter announced that he would retire at the end of his term, creating an open seat.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Did not qualify
Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brittany Pettersen 71,497 100.0
Total votes71,497 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Erik Aadland, army veteran [111]
Eliminated in primary
  • Laurel Imer, small business owner and candidate for state house in 2020 [112]
  • Timothy Reichert, economist, businessman [113] [114]

Did not qualify

Endorsements

Laurel Imer
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Timothy Reichert
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Newspapers

Results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Erik Aadland 43,469 47.9
Republican Timothy Reichert32,58335.9
Republican Laurel Imer14,66516.2
Total votes90,717 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Likely DJanuary 26, 2022
Inside Elections [19] Likely DNovember 22, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Lean DJuly 28, 2022
Politico [21] Lean DNovember 7, 2022
RCP [22] Lean DJune 9, 2022
Fox News [23] Lean DAugust 22, 2022
DDHQ [24] Lean DJuly 20, 2022
538 [25] Likely DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [26] Likely DSeptember 28, 2022

Endorsements

Erik Aadland (R)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Brittany
Pettersen (D)
Erik
Aadland (R)
Undecided
RMG Research July 24–30, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%44%41%13%
Meeting Street Insights (R) [upper-alpha 2] July 18–21, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%44%42%13%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Meeting Street Insights (R) [upper-alpha 2] July 18–21, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%45%44%11%

Results

2022 Colorado's 7th congressional district election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brittany Pettersen 204,984 56.4
Republican Erik Aadland150,51041.4
Libertarian Ross Klopf6,1871.7
Unity Critter Milton1,8280.5
Independent JP Lujan (write-in)920.0
Total votes363,601 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

2022 Colorado's 8th congressional district election
Flag of Colorado.svg
2024  
  Rep. Yadira Caraveo - 118th Congress (cropped).jpg Colorado Senator Barbara Kirkmeyer in 2023 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Yadira Caraveo Barbara Kirkmeyer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote114,377112,745
Percentage48.4%47.7%

2022 United States House of Representatives election Colorado's 8th Congressional district map results by county.svg
CO8 House 2022.svg
Caraveo:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Kirkmeyer:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

None
(New district)

Elected U.S. Representative

Yadira Caraveo
Democratic

The 8th district is a new district created after the 2020 census. It includes the northern Front Range cities and surrounding Denver communities, including Thornton, Brighton, Johnstown, and Greeley. [2]

Democratic nominee Yadira Caraveo won the open seat by just 0.7 percentage points. This was largely seen as an upset win, as polls almost unanimously had Republican nominee Barbara Kirkmeyer in the lead.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Did not qualify
Declined

Endorsements

Yadira Caraveo
Chaz Tedesco
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yadira Caraveo 38,837 100.0
Total votes38,837 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not qualify
  • Ryan Gonzalez [163]
  • Jewels Gray, professional photographer [163] [7]

Endorsements

Tyler Allcorn
Former executive branch officials
Barbara Kirkmeyer
Jan Kulmann
State senators
Lori Saine
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals

Results

Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer 22,724 39.0
Republican Jan Kulmann13,39823.0
Republican Lori Saine 12,35721.2
Republican Tyler Allcorn9,74316.7
Total votes58,222 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Filed paperwork

General election

Debates and forums

2022 Colorado's 8th congressional district general election debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee   W Withdrawn
CaraveoKirkmeyerLongWard
1 [171] October 13, 2022 9NEWS Kyle Clark YouTube PP
N
N

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] TossupNovember 29, 2021
Inside Elections [19] Tilt RNovember 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] Lean RNovember 2, 2022
Politico [21] Lean RNovember 3, 2022
RCP [22] Lean RJune 9, 2022
Fox News [23] Lean RNovember 1, 2022
DDHQ [24] Lean ROctober 18, 2022
538 [25] Likely ROctober 20, 2022
The Economist [26] Lean RNovember 5, 2022

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Yadira
Caraveo (D)
Barbara
Kirkmeyer (R)
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 3] October 11–16, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%46%12%
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 3] July 26 – August 2, 2022700 (LV)± 4.4%42%44%15%
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 4] June 9–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%36%44%20%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 4] June 9–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%42%46%13%

Results

2022 Colorado's 8th congressional district election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yadira Caraveo 114,377 48.4
Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer 112,74547.7
Libertarian Richard Ward9,2803.9
Colorado Center PartyTim Long (write-in)990.0
Total votes236,501 100.0
Democratic win (new seat)

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 This poll was sponsored by Frisch's campaign
  2. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund
  3. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Caraveo's campaign
  4. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Caraveo

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