2022 United States Senate election in Illinois

See also: 2022 United States Senate elections

For the state legislative election, see 2022 Illinois Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Illinois

←  2016 November 8, 2022 2028  →

Nominee Tammy Duckworth Kathy Salvi Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 2,329,136 1,701,055 Percentage 56.82% 41.50%

County results Congressional district results Duckworth:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80% Salvi:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. senator before election Tammy Duckworth Democratic Elected U.S. senator Tammy Duckworth Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Illinois.

Incumbent Democratic senator Tammy Duckworth was re-elected for a second term against former U.S. House of Representatives candidate Kathy Salvi, the Republican nominee, winning by a margin of 15.3%, 0.2% more than her 2016 margin. Duckworth became the first woman ever to be re-elected for a second term in the state's history. This was the first Illinois U.S. Senate election where both major party candidates were female.

Salvi flipped seven counties—Calhoun, McDonough, Knox, Gallatin, Pulaski, Alexander, and Madison—that had voted for Duckworth in 2016. On the other hand, Duckworth won Kendall, McLean, Peoria, and Winnebago, which had all voted against her in 2016.

This Senate seat had a history of being unfavorable to incumbents and parties in power over the past several decades. No person elected to this seat was re-elected since Alan J. Dixon in 1986. With Duckworth's victory, this was the first time since 1986 that a Class 3 Illinois senator was re-elected to a successive six-year term, and the first time since 1992 that any party won the seat consecutively.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tammy Duckworth, incumbent U.S. Senator ^[1]

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth

Organizations

• EMILY's List ^[2]
• End Citizens United ^[3]
• Feminist Majority PAC ^[4]
• Giffords ^[5]
• Illinois AFL–CIO ^[6]
• Illinois National Organization for Women ^[7]
• International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150 ^[8]
• Jewish Dems ^[9]
• League of Conservation Voters ^[10]
• Let America Vote ^[3]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[11]
• Natural Resources Defense Council ^[12]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[13]
• Population Connection Action Fund ^[14]
• Women's Political Committee ^[15]

Results

Democratic primary results ^{[16] [17]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Tammy Duckworth (incumbent)	856,720	100.0%
Total votes			856,720	100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kathy Salvi, attorney, former assistant public defender in Lake County, ^[18] and candidate for Illinois's 8th congressional district in 2006 ^[19]

Eliminated in primary

• Casey Chlebek, real estate agent ^[20]
• Matthew Dubiel, owner of WCKG ^{[17] [21]}
• Peggy Hubbard, former police officer, U.S. Navy veteran, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 ^[22]
• Bobby Piton, investor and activist ^[23]
• Jimmy Lee Tillman, founder of New Martin Luther King Republicans, son of former Chicago alderman Dorothy Tillman, and nominee for Illinois's 1st congressional district in 2014 and 2018 ^{[24] [25]}
• Anthony Williams ^[24]

Disqualified

• Tim Arview, insurance agent ^{[26] [22]}
• Maryann Mahlen ^[24]
• Allison Salinas, activist ^[27]

Declined

• Tom Demmer, state representative (ran for Illinois Treasurer) ^{[28] [29]}
• Adam Kinzinger, U.S. Representative for Illinois's 16th congressional district ^{[30] [31]}

Endorsements

Bobby Piton

Individuals

• Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the DIA (2012–2014) (Democratic) ^{[32] [ better source needed ]}

Kathy Salvi

State legislators

• Jeanne Ives, former state representative from the 42nd district (2013–2019) ^[33]

Newspapers

• Chicago Tribune (Republican primary only) ^[18]
• Daily Herald ^[34]

Organizations

• Barrington Township Republican Organization ^[35]
• Bremen Township Republican Organization ^[36]
• Evanston Township GOP ^[35]
• Homer Township Republicans ^[35]
• Illinois Citizens for Life ^[35]
• Illinois Family Action ^[37]
• Illinois Federation for Right to Life ^[35]
• Lake County Republican Party ^[38]
• McHenry County GOPAC ^[35]
• McHenry County ProLife Victory PAC ^[35]
• New Trier GOP ^[39]
• Niles Township Republicans ^[35]
• Northfield Township Republican Organization ^[35]
• Republicans of Wheeling Township ^[40]
• Sangamon County GOP ^[41]
• Schaumburg Township Republican Organization ^[42]
• Winfield Township Republicans ^[35]

Polling

Graphical summary

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Casey Chlebek	Matthew Dubiel	Peggy Hubbard	Bobby Piton	Kathy Salvi	Jimmy Lee Tillman	Anthony Williams	Other [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
Real Clear Politics	June 6–13, 2022	June 15, 2022	3.5%	5.5%	14.0%	4.0%	12.5%	1.5%	2.0%	57.0%	Hubbard +1.5

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Casey Chlebek	Matthew Dubiel	Peggy Hubbard	Maryann Mahlen	Bobby Piton	Kathy Salvi	Jimmy Lee Tillman	Anthony Williams	Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R)	June 24, 2022	518 (LV)	± 4.4%	1%	6%	11%	2%	3%	20%	2%	0%	53%
The Trafalgar Group (R)	June 10–13, 2022	1,075 (LV)	± 2.9%	6%	4%	18%	–	6%	15%	2%	1%	49%
Ogden & Fry (R)	June 11–12, 2022	662 (LV)	± 3.9%	1%	4%	9%	2%	4%	17%	1%	1%	62%
Public Policy Polling (D)	June 6–7, 2022	677 (LV)	± 3.8%	1%	7%	10%	–	2%	10%	1%	3%	66%
Emerson College	May 6–8, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	4%	4%	7%	–	6%	5%	1%	1%	72%

Results

Results by county

  Salvi

•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Hubbard

•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Dubiel

•   20–30%

Republican primary results ^[16]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kathy Salvi	216,007	30.23%
	Republican	Peggy Hubbard	177,180	24.79%
	Republican	Matthew "Matt" Dubiel	90,538	12.67%
	Republican	Casey Chlebek	76,213	10.66%
	Republican	Robert "Bobby" Piton	65,461	9.16%
	Republican	Anthony W. Williams	52,890	7.40%
	Republican	Jimmy Lee Tillman II	36,342	5.09%
Total votes			714,631	100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [43]	Solid D	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections [44]	Solid D	April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [45]	Safe D	March 1, 2022
Politico [46]	Solid D	April 1, 2022
RCP [47]	Likely D	October 26, 2022
Fox News [48]	Solid D	May 12, 2022
DDHQ [49]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538 [50]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist [51]	Safe D	September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Tammy Duckworth (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Joe Biden, President of the United States (2021–present) ^[52]
• Kamala Harris, Vice President of the United States (2021–present) ^[53]

U.S. Senators

• Dick Durbin, U.S. Senator from Illinois (1997–present) and Senate Majority Whip (2021–present) ^[54]

Labor Unions

• United Mine Workers ^[55]

Organizations

• EMILY's List ^[2]
• End Citizens United ^[3]
• Feminist Majority PAC ^[4]
• Giffords ^[5]
• Illinois AFL–CIO ^[6]
• International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150 ^[8]
• Jewish Dems ^[9]
• League of Conservation Voters ^[10]
• Let America Vote ^[3]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[11]
• Natural Resources Defense Council ^[12]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[13]
• Population Connection Action Fund ^[14]
• Sierra Club ^[56]
• VoteVets.org ^[57]
• Women's Political Committee ^[15]

Newspapers

• Chicago Tribune ^[58]
• Daily Herald ^[59]

Kathy Salvi (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Mike Pompeo, 70th United States Secretary of State (2018–2021) and 6th Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018) ^[35]

State legislators

• Jeanne Ives, former state representative from the 42nd district (2013–2019) ^[33]

Local officials

• Richard Irvin, mayor of Aurora ^[60]

Newspapers

• The Arab Daily News ^[35]

Organizations

• Barrington Township Republican Organization ^[35]
• Bremen Township Republican Organization ^[61]
• Evanston Township GOP ^[35]
• Homer Township Republicans ^[35]
• Huck PAC ^[62]
• Illinois Citizens for Life ^[35]
• Illinois Family Action ^[37]
• Illinois Federation for Right to Life ^[35]
• Illinois Fraternal Order of Police ^[35]
• Lake County Republican Party ^[38]
• McHenry County GOPAC ^[35]
• McHenry County ProLife Victory PAC ^[35]
• Moms for America Action ^[35]
• New Trier GOP ^[39]
• Niles Township Republicans ^[35]
• Northfield Township Republican Organization ^[35]
• Republicans of Wheeling Township ^[40]
• Sangamon County GOP ^[41]
• Schaumburg Township Republican Organization ^[42]
• United Hellenic Voters of America ^[35]
• Winfield Township Republicans ^[35]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Tammy Duckworth (D)	Kathy Salvi (R)	Undecided [lower-alpha 3]	Margin
FiveThirtyEight	August 25 – November 8, 2022	November 8, 2022	55.5%	40.2%	4.3%	Duckworth +15.3
270towin	October 14 – November 7, 2022	November 8, 2022	51.6%	36.4%	12.0%	Duckworth +15.2
Average			53.6%	38.3%	8.1%	Duckworth +15.3

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Tammy Duckworth (D)	Kathy Salvi (R)	Other	Undecided
Research Co.	November 4–6, 2022	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	55%	38%	2% [lower-alpha 4]	5%
Civiqs	October 22–25, 2022	659 (LV)	± 4.3%	56%	40%	2% [lower-alpha 5]	2%
Emerson College	October 20–24, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	39%	3% [lower-alpha 6]	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)	October 10–11, 2022	770 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	36%	5% [lower-alpha 7]	9%
Research America	October 5–11, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	48%	29%	10% [lower-alpha 8]	14%
Emerson College	September 21–23, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	31%	4% [lower-alpha 9]	16%
Victory Geek (D)	August 25–28, 2022	512 (LV)	± 4.3%	58%	35%	–	7%
Victory Research (R)	July 17–19, 2022	1,208 (LV)	± 2.8%	43%	34%	2% [lower-alpha 10]	20%

Hypothetical polling

Tammy Duckworth vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Tammy Duckworth (D)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Victory Research (R)	July 17–19, 2022	1,208 (LV)	± 2.8%	44%	36%	20%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Illinois ^[63]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Tammy Duckworth (incumbent)	2,329,136	56.82%	+1.96%
	Republican	Kathy Salvi	1,701,055	41.50%	+1.72%
	Libertarian	Bill Redpath	68,671	1.68%	-1.53%
	Write-in		34	0.0%	-0.01%
Total votes			4,098,896	100.0%
	Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Alexander (largest city: Cairo)
• Calhoun (largest city: Hardin)
• Gallatin (largest city: Shawneetown)
• Knox (largest city: Galesburg)
• Madison (largest city: Granite City)
• McDonough (largest city: Macomb)
• Pulaski (largest city: Mounds)

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Kendall (largest city: Oswego)
• McLean (largest city: Bloomington)
• Peoria (largest city: Peoria)
• Winnebago (largest city: Rockford)

By congressional district

Duckworth won 14 of 17 congressional districts. ^[64]

District	Duckworth	Salvi	Representative
1st	69.1%	29.6%	Bobby Rush (117th Congress)
			Jonathan Jackson (118th Congress)
2nd	68.9%	29.7%	Robin Kelly
3rd	68.9%	29.5%	Marie Newman (117th Congress)
			Delia Ramirez (118th Congress)
4th	69.9%	28.3%	Chuy García
5th	70.4%	28.2%	Mike Quigley
6th	55.3%	43.1%	Sean Casten
7th	86%	12.6%	Danny Davis
8th	56.3%	42.1%	Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th	71.6%	27%	Jan Schakowsky
10th	61.6%	36.9%	Brad Schneider
11th	55.6%	42.6%	Bill Foster
12th	29.4%	68.7%	Mike Bost
13th	55.9%	41.9%	Nikki Budzinski
14th	54.2%	44%	Lauren Underwood
15th	32.2%	65.6%	Mary Miller
16th	38.3%	59.8%	Darin LaHood
17th	51.9%	46.1%	Cheri Bustos (117th Congress)
			Eric Sorensen (118th Congress)

See also

• 2022 United States Senate elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
4. Redpath (L) with 2%
5. "Someone else" with 2%
6. Redpath (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
7. Redpath with 5%
8. Redpath with 6%; "None" with 4%
9. "Someone else" with 4%
10. Redpath with 2%

References

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External links

Official campaign websites

• Tammy Duckworth (D) for Senate
• Kathy Salvi (R) for Senate
• Bill Redpath (L) for Senate Archived July 6, 2022, at the Wayback Machine