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Elections in Illinois |
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The 2023 Chicago mayoral election was held on February 28, 2023, to elect the mayor of Chicago, Illinois. With no candidate receiving a majority of votes in the initial round of the election, a runoff election was held on April 4. This two-round election took place alongside other 2023 Chicago elections, including races for City Council, city clerk, city treasurer, and police district councils. The election was officially nonpartisan, with winner Brandon Johnson being elected to a four-year term which began on May 15.
Incumbent Lori Lightfoot ran for a second term in office, but placed third in the first round. Former CEO of Chicago Public Schools Paul Vallas and Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson advanced to a runoff. Other candidates eliminated in the first round included U.S. Representative Chuy Garcia and businessman Willie Wilson. Johnson defeated Vallas in the runoff, in what was considered an upset. [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] This was the first Chicago mayoral election since adopting nonpartisan two-round system elections in which the candidate who won the most votes in the first round did not win the runoff.
The following candidates advanced to the runoff election held on April 4 | |||
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Candidate | Experience | Announced | Ref |
![]() Brandon Johnson | Cook County commissioner from the 1st district since 2018 | October 27, 2022![]() [7] | [8] |
![]() Paul Vallas | Chief Executive Officer of Chicago Public Schools (1995–2001) Candidate for mayor in 2019 Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 Democratic candidate for governor in 2002 | June 1, 2022![]() [9] | [10] |
The following candidates were eliminated in the first round and did not advance to the runoff election | |||
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Candidate | Experience | Announced | Ref |
![]() Kam Buckner | Illinois state representative since 2019 | May 12, 2022![]() [11] (endorsed Johnson) [12] | [13] |
![]() Chuy García | U.S. Representative from Illinois's 4th congressional district since 2019 Cook County commissioner from the 7th district (2011–2019) Illinois state senator from the 1st district (1993–1999) Candidate for mayor in 2015 | November 10, 2022![]() [14] (endorsed Johnson) [15] | [16] |
![]() Ja'Mal Green | Marketing executive Community activist Candidate for mayor in 2019 | July 15, 2022![]() [17] [a] (endorsed Vallas) [18] | [19] |
![]() Sophia King | Alderman from the 4th ward since 2016 | August 10, 2022![]() [20] (endorsed Vallas) [21] | [22] |
![]() Lori Lightfoot | Mayor of Chicago from 2019 to 2023 | January 18, 2022![]() [23] [b] | [24] |
![]() Roderick Sawyer | Alderman from the 6th ward since 2011 Son of former mayor Eugene Sawyer | June 3, 2022![]() [25] (endorsed Vallas) [26] | [27] |
![]() Willie Wilson | Medical supplies company founder Perennial candidate | April 11, 2022![]() [28] [c] (endorsed Vallas) [29] | [30] |
The following speculated potential candidates did not run:
Lightfoot's administration faced criticism due to rising crime rates in Chicago and accusations of covering up police misconduct. During her term, she clashed with members of the Chicago City Council, the Chicago Teachers Union, and Illinois governor J. B. Pritzker's administration. The New York Times remarked that she had an "uncanny ability to make political enemies." However, Lightfoot received praise for her efforts to build affordable housing, repair dilapidated areas of the city, and raise the minimum wage. [65]
A wide field of nine challengers qualified for the ballot. [66] Polling of the race was largely inconsistent but indicated that Lightfoot was in danger of losing re-election and that the candidates with the best chance of making a runoff were Lightfoot, U.S. Representative Chuy García, Cook County commissioner Brandon Johnson, former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas, and businessman Willie Wilson. Polling also showed that Garcia enjoyed heavy support from Latino voters, while a plurality of white voters backed Vallas and a plurality of black voters backed Lightfoot. Vallas and Wilson were considered more moderate than Lightfoot, with García and Johnson being more progressive. [67] However, many organizations in the coalition of labor unions and progressive groups that supported García in his 2015 mayoral campaign instead backed Johnson in 2023. [68]
Lightfoot faced controversy when she emailed public school teachers offering school credit for students who interned on her campaign [69] and when she told South Side residents to either vote for her or not vote at all, [70] while Vallas faced accusations that he lived outside the city. [71] Lightfoot ran ads tying García to Sam Bankman-Fried and Michael Madigan and accusing Johnson of wanting to reduce police budgets. [72] [73] She and García also ran ads accusing Vallas of being an anti-abortion Democrat in name only. [74] García also questioned whether Johnson could be objective as mayor given his close relationship with the Chicago Teachers Union, while Johnson in turn accused García of "abandoning the progressive movement" by adopting a more moderate policy platform in his 2023 campaign. [68] [75]
Several days before the election, Fran Spielman of the Chicago Sun-Times opined that polls demonstrated Paul Vallas to be the top front-runner, being likely to place either first or second in the initial round of voting and advance to a runoff, with Garcia, Johnson, and Lightfoot in contention for the second runoff spot. [76]
Graph of select polls | ||
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Only showing polls by more-established polling sources: Bendixen & Amandi, GBAO, Impact Research, Lester & Associates, Mason–Dixon, Ogden & Fry, Public Policy Polling, and Victory Research
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Graph of all polls | ||
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Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Kam Buckner | Chuy García | Ja'Mal Green | Brandon Johnson | Sophia King | Lori Lightfoot | Raymond Lopez | Roderick Sawyer | Paul Vallas | Willie Wilson | Other | Undecided |
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Victory Research [78] | B/C | — | February 23–26, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | – | 15.6% | – | 20.2% | – | 18.7% | – | – | 26.8% | 11.4% | – | – |
1983 Labs [79] | — | — | February 22–25, 2023 | 1,458 (RV) | ± 2.57% | 3.39% | 15.85% | 4.87% | 14.49% | 5.76% | 17.97% | – | 0.58% | 23.91% | 11.88% | 1.30% | – |
M3 Strategies [80] [81] [82] | — | — | February 20–21, 2023 | 416 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | 11.6% | – | 18.0% | – | 13.6% | – | – | 32.0% | – | – | 14% |
Victory Research [83] | B/C | — | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 0.7% | 13.8% | 0.7% | 16.1% | 3.6% | 17.1% | – | 0.7% | 22.8% | 11.8% | – | 12.5% |
1983 Labs [84] | — | — | February 9–13, 2023 | 988 (LV) | ± 3.12% | 4.52% | 9.93% | 6.95% | 7.42% | 5.03% | 14.83% | – | 1.43% | 13.28% | 12.12% | – | 21.93% |
BSP Research [85] [86] [87] | — | Center for the Study of Diversity and Democracy at Northwestern University, Hispanic Federation, Illinois Black Advocacy Initiative, Latino Policy Forum, Latino Victory Project [88] | February 5–10, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 4% | 17% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 14% | – | 3% | 19% | 12% | – | 20% |
M3 Strategies [89] | — | — | February 6–8, 2023 | 722 (LV) | ± 3.65% | – | 13.2% | – | 16.5% | – | 16.6% | – | – | 31% | – | – | 11% |
GBAO [90] | B/C | Lori Lightfoot campaign | February 5–7, 2023 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 13% | – | 15% | – | 24% | – | – | 20% | 14% | – | 7% |
Mason–Dixon [91] | B/C | Telemundo Chicago (WSNS), NBC 5 (WMAQ-TV), Chicago Sun-Times and WBEZ | January 31 – February 3, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 1% | 20% | 2% | 11% | 1% | 17% | – | 0% | 18% | 12% | – | 18% |
Lake Research Partners [92] | A/B | Brandon Johnson campaign [93] | January 30 – February 2, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 1% | 11% | – | 15% | 2% | 16% | – | – | 24% | 10% | – | 16% |
IZQ Strategies (D) [94] | — | — | January 27–February 2, 2023 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 12% | – | 1% | 25% | 11% | – | 16% |
Cor Strategies (R) [95] [96] | — | — | January 26–30, 2023 | 614 (LV) | ± 3.95% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 23% | – | 1% | 21% | 8% | – | 20% |
1983 Labs [97] | — | — | January 23–27, 2023 | 554 | ± 4.25% | 6.07% | 7.46% | 5.97% | 9.36% | 6.17% | 16.28% | – | 1.34% | 10.23% | 13.86% | 1.35% | 21.92% |
Victory Research [98] | B/C | Illinois Poll [99] | January 23–25, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 0.7% | 16.6% | 0.9% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 19.2% | – | 0.6% | 19.5% | 11.7% | – | 12.2% |
1983 Labs [97] | — | — | January 20–24, 2023 | 554 | ± 4.25% | 7.65% | 6.66% | 6.85% | 9.96% | 5.61% | 17.11% | – | 1.57% | 10.74% | 14.77% | 1.49% | 17.59% |
GBAO [100] | B/C | Lori Lightfoot campaign [101] | January 18–22, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 2% | 18% | – | 9% | 2% | 25% | – | – | 22% | 11% | 2% | 10% |
M3 Strategies [102] | — | — | January 15–17, 2023 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.25% | 2.3% | 19.0% | 1.3% | 12.2% | 0.8% | 9.8% | – | 0.2% | 26.0% | 8.5% | – | 20.0% |
Lester & Associates (D) [103] | B/C | Sophia King campaign | January 9–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | 21% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 15% | – | – | 10% | 5% | – | 27% |
GBAO [104] | B/C | — | December 15–20, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 3% | 35% | – | 4% | 2% | 24% | – | – | 14% | 8% | 2% | 10% |
Impact Research (D) [105] | B/C [g] | — | December 10–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 21% | – | – | 12% | 13% | 26% [h] | |
Polco [106] | — | Crain's Chicago Business and The Daily Line [107] [108] | November 29 – December 14, 2022 | 1,757 (A) [i] | ± 3% | 5% | 25% | 3% | 25% | 3% | 11% | – | 2% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 7% |
M3 Strategies [109] | — | — | December 11–13, 2022 | 440 (LV) | ± 4.65% | 1.4% | 27.6% | – | 3.2% | 1.8% | 14.5% | – | – | 19.1% | 13.1% | – | 19.1% |
Impact Research (D) [110] | B/C [g] | International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150 [j] | November 10–17, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | 25% | – | – | – | 18% | * | – | 14% | 10% | 29% [k] | 14% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [111] | A– | Chuy Garcia campaign | October 26–27, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 14% | – | 3% | 3% | 22% | 7% | – | 8% | 12% | 4% [l] | 25% |
Bendixen & Amandi [112] | B/C | Nuestro PAC [m] | September 1–5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | * | 24% | * | * | * | 25% | * | * | 9% | 13% | 23% [n] | |
Ogden & Fry (R) [113] | B/C | — | November 13, 2021 | 457 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | – | – | – | 20% | 8% | – | – | – | 17% [o] | 39% |
Note: FiveThirtyEight rates pollsters with letter grades ranging from A+ to F, with A+ being the highest rating and F being the lowest (see more)
Aggregator | Kam Buckner | Chuy García | Ja'Mal Green | Brandon Johnson | Sophia King | Lori Lightfoot | Roderick Sawyer | Paul Vallas | Willie Wilson | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ballotpedia [114] | 3% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 19% | 12% | 18% | |
CrowdWisdom360 [115] | — | 13.8% | — | 16.2% | — | 16.2% | — | 26.2% | 11.8% | — | — |
Frank Calabrese [116] | 2.3% | 16.8% | 2.5% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 17.5% | 0.7% | 21.6% | 10.4% | — | — |
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Endorsed Brandon Johnson (2)
Endorsed Chuy Garcia (5)
Endorsed Brandon Johnson (8)
Endorsed Sophia King (1)
Endorsed Lori Lightfoot (9)
Endorsed Paul Vallas (4)
Endorsed Willie Wilson (1)
Incumbent alderman was a candidate (2)
The Chicago Board of Elections claimed that early voting turnout in its 2023 municipal election was higher than early voting turnout in any previous Chicago municipal election. [204] Vallas and Johnson advanced to the April runoff.
Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|
Paul Vallas | 185,743 | 32.90 | |
Brandon Johnson | 122,093 | 21.63 | |
Lori Lightfoot (incumbent) | 94,890 | 16.81 | |
Chuy García | 77,222 | 13.68 | |
Willie Wilson | 51,567 | 9.13 | |
Ja'Mal Green | 12,257 | 2.17 | |
Kam Buckner | 11,902 | 1.96 | |
Sophia King | 7,191 | 1.27 | |
Roderick Sawyer | 2,440 | 0.43 | |
Write-in | 29 | 0.00 | |
Total votes | 564,524 | 100.00 |
Graph of select polls | ||
---|---|---|
Only showing polls by more-established polling sources: BSP Research, Emerson, Lake Research Partners, Mason–Dixon, Victory Research
|
Graph of all polls | ||
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Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Brandon Johnson | Paul Vallas | Undecided |
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IZQ Strategies [205] | — | — | April 1–3, 2023 | 632 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 45% | 6% |
Victory Research [206] | B/C | March 31–April 2, 2023 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.27% | 45.4% | 49.6% | 5% | |
Emerson [207] | A− | WGN-TV, and The Hill | March 23–25, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 40.6% | 46.3% | 13% |
BSP Research [208] | B/C | Center for the Study of Diversity and Democracy at Northwestern University, Hispanic Federation, Illinois Black Advocacy Initiative, Latino Policy Forum, Latino Victory Project [209] | March 15–23, 2023 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Victory Research [206] | B/C | — | March 20–23, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 44.2% | 46.3% | 10% |
IZQ Strategies [210] | — | — | March 15–16, 2023 | 680 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Victory Research [211] | B/C | — | March 6–9, 2023 [212] | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 39.1% | 44.9% | 16% |
Lake Research Partners [213] | A/B | Johnson campaign [214] | March 2–7, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 45% | 40% | 14% [p] |
1983 Labs [215] | — | — | March 2–6, 2023 [216] | 583 (RV) | ± 4.06% | 32.47% | 43.52% | 24.01% |
— | Vallas campaign [214] | March 1–6, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 47% | 15% | |
1983 Labs [79] | — | — | February 22–25, 2023 | 1,458 (RV) | ± 2.57% | 30.75% | 44.13% | 25.12% |
Victory Research [83] | B/C | — | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 32.6% | 46.0% | 21.3% |
Mason–Dixon [91] | B/C | Telemundo Chicago (WSNS), NBC 5 (WMAQ-TV), Chicago Sun-Times and WBEZ | January 31 – February 3, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 39% | 38% |
Note: FiveThirtyEight rates pollsters with letter grades ranging from A+ to F, with A+ being the highest rating and F being the lowest (see more)
Aggregator | Brandon Johnson | Paul Vallas |
---|---|---|
CrowdWisdom360 [115] | 43.3% | 46.6% |
Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | John Catanzara | Lori Lightfoot | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ogden & Fry (R) [217] | B/C | November 13, 2021 | 457 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 24% | 46% | 30% |
Graph of all polls | ||
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Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Chuy García | Lori Lightfoot | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1983 Labs [79] | — | — | February 22–25, 2023 | 1,458 (RV) | ± 2.57% | 54.35% | 23.41% | 22.24% |
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 38.6% | 33.9 | 27.5% |
Mason–Dixon [91] | Telemundo Chicago (WSNS), NBC 5 (WMAQ-TV), Chicago Sun-Times and WBEZ | B/C | January 31–February 3, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 54% | 30% | |
Cor Strategies (R) [95] [96] | — | — | January 26–30, 2023 | 614 (LV) | ± 3.95% | 35% | 42% | 24% |
Impact Research (D) [110] | B/C [g] | International Union of Operating Engineers Local 150 [j] | November 10–17, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 25% | |
Public Policy Polling (D) [111] | A– | Chuy Garcia campaign | October 26–27, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Brandon Johnson | Lori Lightfoot | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 37.1% | 32.4 | 30.5% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [111] | A– | Chuy Garcia campaign | October 26–27, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 23% | 41% | 36% |
Graph of all polls | ||
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Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Lori Lightfoot | Paul Vallas | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1983 Labs [79] | — | — | February 22–25, 2023 | 1,458 (RV) | ± 2.57% | 30.04% | 49.49% | 20.48% |
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 30.1% | 49.3% | 20.6% |
Mason–Dixon [91] | B/C | Telemundo Chicago (WSNS), NBC 5 (WMAQ-TV), Chicago Sun-Times and WBEZ | January 31–February 3, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 35% | 48% | |
Cor Strategies (R) [95] [96] | — | — | January 26–30, 2023 | 614 (LV) | ± 3.95% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [111] | A– | Chuy Garcia campaign | October 26–27, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 36% | 25% |
Ogden & Fry (R) [113] | B/C | — | November 13, 2021 | 457 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 24% | 28% | – |
Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Lori Lightfoot | Willie Wilson | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 36.6% | 39.6% | 23.8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [111] | A– | Chuy Garcia campaign | October 26–27, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 35% | 22% |
Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Chuy Garcia | Brandon Johnson | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 42.4% | 39.0% | 18.6% |
Graph of all polls | ||
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Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Chuy Garcia | Paul Vallas | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1983 Labs [79] | — | — | February 22–25, 2023 | 1,458 (RV) | ± 2.57% | 38.16 | 42.76% | 19.07% |
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 38.7% | 43.9% | 17.4% |
Mason–Dixon [91] | B/C | Telemundo Chicago (WSNS), NBC 5 (WMAQ-TV), Chicago Sun-Times and WBEZ | January 31–February 3, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 47% | 26% | |
Cor Strategies (R) [95] [96] | — | — | January 26–30, 2023 | 614 (LV) | ± 3.95% | 25% | 45% | 30% |
Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Chuy Garcia | Willie Wilson | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 39.6% | 29.3% | 31.1% |
Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Brandon Johnson | Willie Wilson | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 35.4% | 28.7% | 36.0% |
Pollster | Pollster's rating from 538 [77] | Poll sponsor | Date(s) administered | Sample size [f] | Margin of error | Paul Vallas | Willie Wilson | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Research [83] | B/C | Illinois Poll | February 12–15, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 49.9% | 36.5% | 13.6% |
Mason–Dixon [91] | B/C | Telemundo Chicago (WSNS), NBC 5 (WMAQ-TV), Chicago Sun-Times and WBEZ | January 31 – February 3, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 36% |
Endorsements in bold were made after the first round.
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Endorsed Brandon Johnson (14)
Endorsed Paul Vallas (22)
Endorsed Brandon Johnson (4)
Endorsed Paul Vallas (1)
Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|
Brandon Johnson | 319,481 | 52.16 | |
Paul Vallas | 293,033 | 47.84 | |
Total votes | 612,514 | 100.00 |
Bradley has removed himself from the race for Mayor of Chicago
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