2010 United States Senate elections in Illinois

Last updated

2010 United States Senate elections in Illinois
Flag of Illinois.svg
  2004 November 2, 2010 2016  
Turnout49.35%
  Senator Mark Kirk official portrait crop.jpg Alexi Giannoulias (cropped).jpg
Candidate Mark Kirk Alexi Giannoulias
Party Republican Democratic
Regular election1,778,698
48.01%
1,719,478
46.42%
Special election1,677,729
47.31%
1,641,486
46.29%

2010 United States Senate election in Illinois results map by county.svg
2010 United States Senate special election in Illinois results map by county.svg
Kirk:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Giannoulias:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Roland Burris [lower-alpha 1]
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mark Kirk
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate elections in Illinois took place on November 2, 2010. There were two ballot items for the same seat: a general election, to fill the Class 3 seat beginning with the 112th United States Congress beginning on January 3, 2011, and a special election, to fill that seat for the final weeks of the 111th Congress. Roland Burris, who was appointed to fill the vacancy created by fellow Democrat Barack Obama's election to the presidency, did not run in either election. [1]

Contents

The elections took place alongside 33 other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections in Illinois and other states. The registered party primaries for the full term took place on February 2, 2010, the earliest state primary elections: Republicans nominated U.S. Representative Mark Kirk, Democrats nominated State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, and the Green Party nominated journalist LeAlan Jones. The Constitution Party and Libertarian Party submitted signatures to be on the ballot but were challenged; the result of the ensuing hearings was the Constitution Party's candidate being denied placement on the ballot but the Libertarian Party's candidate Michael Labno given ballot access. [2]

On August 2, the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois ruled that the candidates appearing on the ballot for the replacement election would be the ones of the regular election, [1] [3] and that the special election would appear after the general election on the ballot. [3] Kirk won both elections and was sworn in on November 29, 2010. As of 2024, this was the last time that Republicans won an Illinois U.S. Senate election.

Election information

The primaries and general elections of both the special election and regularly scheduled election coincided with those for House and those for state offices.

Background

Vacancy

Barack Obama, the former United States Senator holding this seat, was elected President of the United States on November 4, 2008, and subsequently resigned from the Senate on November 16, 2008. [4] Illinois law provides for the Governor of Illinois to appoint replacements for Senate vacancies. [5]

Burris's appointment

On December 9, 2008, the FBI arrested Governor Rod Blagojevich (D) on various corruption charges, most notably allegations that he attempted to sell the appointment to the vacant U.S. Senate seat. On December 31, 2008, Blagojevich nevertheless appointed former Illinois Attorney General Roland Burris to fill the vacancy. [6] After initially seeking to exclude Burris, Senate Democrats relented, [7] and Burris was seated on January 15, 2009. [8]

Burris later declined to run for election. [9]

Turnout

For the state-run primary elections (Democratic, Republican, and Green), turnout was 21.74%, with 1,652,202 votes cast. [10] [11]

For the general election, the special election saw turnout of 47.24%, with 3,545,984 votes cast and the regularly-scheduled election saw turnout of 49.35% with 3,704,473 votes cast. [10] [12]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

Incumbent Senator Roland Burris did not run for a full term in 2010. [9] Burris suffered from poor approval ratings [19] and was investigated by the Sangamon County, Illinois State's Attorney for perjury. [20] Although no criminal charges were filed against him, Burris faced an investigation by the Senate Ethics Committee. [21]

Jacob Meister withdrew from campaigning and declared his support for Alexi Giannoulias on January 31, [22] two days before the February 2 election.

Finances

CandidateCash on hand [23]
Alexi Giannoulias$2,429,549
Jacob Meister$1,040,242
David Hoffman$836,958
Cheryle Jackson$317,828
Rob Marshall$1,000

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredAlexi
Giannoulias
Cheryle
Jackson
David
Hoffman
OtherUndecided
The Politico (report)August 9, 200951%21%
Chicago Tribune (report)December 2–8, 200931%17%9%4%
Chicago Tribune (report)January 16–20, 201034%19%16%4%26%

Results

Democratic primary results by county
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Giannoulias
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Hoffman
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
Marshall
30-40%
Tie
30-40% 2010 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Illinois results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county
  Giannoulias
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Hoffman
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Marshall
  •   30-40%
  Tie
  •   30-40%
Democratic primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Alexi Giannoulias 351,120 38.9%
Democratic David Hoffman303,71933.7%
Democratic Cheryle Jackson178,94119.8%
Democratic Robert Marshall51,6065.7%
Democratic Jacob Meister16,2321.8%
Total votes901,618 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Finances

CandidateCash on Hand [25]
Mark Kirk$2,213,890
Patrick Hughes$340,048
Don Lowery$2,077
John Arrington$1,540
Kathleen Thomas$1,271
Andy Martin$0

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Mark
Kirk
Patrick
Hughes
Don
Lowery
Kathleen
Thomas
John
Arrington
Andy
Martin
Undecided
Magellan Data (report)October 8, 200961%3%2%1%1%
Chicago Tribune (report)December 2–8, 200941%3%1%3%2%1%
Chicago Tribune (report)January 16–20, 201047%8%2%3%2%3%35%

Results

Republican primary results by county
Kirk
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
Hughes
30-40%
Lowery
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80% 2010 United States Senate Republican primary election in Illinois results map by county.svg
Republican primary results by county
  Kirk
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Hughes
  •   30–40%
  Lowery
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican Primary results [26]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mark Kirk 420,373 56.6
Republican Patrick Hughes142,92819.3
Republican Donald Lowery66,3578.9
Republican Kathleen Thomas54,0387.3
Republican Andy Martin37,4805.0
Republican John Arrington21,0902.8
Republican Patricia Beard2.0003
Total votes742,268 100.0%

Green primary

Candidates

Results

Green Primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Green LeAlan Jones 5,161 100
Total votes5,161 100%

General elections

Candidates

Campaign

A self-described "fiscal conservative and social moderate," Republican nominee Mark Kirk based his campaign on reform and compared the race to Republican Scott Brown's election to the Senate in February 2010. [32] In addition, Kirk immediately criticized his Democratic opponent for his management of Bright Start, an Illinois 529 college savings program and his work at Broadway Bank. [33] Immediately after the primary, the National Republican Senatorial Committee aired a web ad comparing Giannoulias to the fictional character Tony Soprano. [34] Politifact ranked Kirk's references to the mob as "Half True". [35] Republican U.S. Senator Scott Brown campaigned for Kirk in Illinois. [36] Kimberly Vertolli, Kirk's ex-wife, signed on as an advisor to Mark Kirk's campaign, but didn't support his more conservative platform. [37]

On February 4, 2010, Democrat Alexi Giannoulias revealed his campaign strategy, saying "come November, Congressman, your days as a Washington insider are over." [38] On July 19, 2010, Giannoulias announced that he had raised $900,000 in the quarter that ended June 30, compared to $2.3 million raised by Kirk. The Giannoulias campaign also announced that President Obama was scheduled to attend an August 5 fundraiser for his candidate in Chicago. [39]

Kirk and Giannoulias disagreed mostly on fiscal and foreign policy. Kirk voted against Obama's Stimulus package and the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. As a Congressman, Kirk originally voted for cap and trade but during the primary campaign announced that if elected a Senator he would vote against it. [40] Giannoulias strongly supported the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act [41] and Obama's stimulus. [42] Kirk opposed the building of the Park 51 Islamic center near Ground Zero of New York City, while Giannoulias stated that "Americans must stand up for freedom of religion even when it's difficult." [43]

Libertarian nominee Michael Labno was added to the ballot by the Illinois State Board of Elections after gaining ballot access by means of citizen petition. [31] Labno, an electrical project construction manager [44] and recruiter for Private Security Union Local 21 [45] ran on a platform of downsizing or cutting some Federal agencies and reducing taxes and government regulations. He also supported allowing citizens to opt out of Social Security. [44] Labno is pro-life and supports 2nd Amendment rights. In August 2010, Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias declared Labno a legitimate challenge from the right for Mark Kirk. Labno responded on his Facebook fan page, saying "This is very true Alexi, and you should be afraid too." [46] Labno attended the September 18, 2010 Right Nation rally in Hoffman Estates, Illinois headlined by conservative media figure Glenn Beck. While greeting attendees Labno noted that Republican candidate Kirk did not attend. [47] On August 27 the Illinois Board of Elections approved the Libertarian Party's petition to include its candidates on the ballot. [31]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [48] TossupOctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg [49] Tilt R (flip)October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics [50] TossupOctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [51] Lean R (flip)October 21, 2010
CQ Politics [52] TossupOctober 26, 2010

Debates

Kirk and Giannoulias debates (other candidates were not invited):

Jones and Labno debate:

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Alexi
Giannoulias (D)
Mark
Kirk (R)
LeAlan
Jones (G)
Mike
Labno (L)
OtherUndecided
Research 2000 (report)January 26–28, 2009600± 4.0%38%30%32%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 11, 2009500± 4.5%38%41%4%17%
Magellan Data (report)October 9, 2009± 3.1%35%42%23%
Rasmussen Reports (report)October 14, 2009500± 4.5%41%41%4%13%
Rasmussen Reports (report)December 9, 2009500± 4.5%42%39%3%15%
Public Policy Polling (report)January 22–25, 20101,062± 3.0%42%34%24%
Rasmussen Reports (report)February 3, 2010500± 4.5%40%46%4%10%
Research 2000 (report)February 22–24, 2010600± 4.0%43%36%2%19%
Rasmussen Reports (report)March 8, 2010500± 4.5%44%41%5%10%
Public Policy Polling (report)April 1–5, 2010591± 4.0%33%37%30%
Rasmussen Reports (report)April 5, 2010500± 4.5%37%41%8%13%
Rasmussen Reports (report)April 28, 2010500± 4.5%38%46%5%12%
Research 2000 (report)May 3–5, 2010600± 4.0%38%41%21%
Rasmussen Reports (report)June 7, 2010500± 4.5%39%42%7%12%
Public Policy Polling (report)June 12–13, 2010552± 4.2%31%30%14%24%
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 7, 2010500± 4.5%40%39%9%12%
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 28, 2010750± 4.0%43%41%6%10%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 11, 2010750± 4.0%40%40%8%12%
Public Policy Polling (report)August 14–15, 2010576± 4.1%37%35%9%19%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 23, 2010750± 4.0%42%40%6%12%
Chicago Tribune ()September 2, 2010600± 4.0%34%34%6%3%22%
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 7, 2010750± 4.0%37%41%9%5%9%
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 21, 2010750± 4.0%41%44%4%4%8%
Public Polling Policy (report)September 23–26, 2010470± 4.5%36%40%8%3%13%
Chicago Tribune (report)September 24–28, 2010600± 4.0%38%36%5%3%17%
Suffolk University (report)September 30 – October 3, 2010500± 4.0%41%42%4%3%10%
Rasmussen Reports (report)October 4, 2010750± 4.0%41%45%4%5%6%
The Simon Poll/SIU (report)September 30 – October 10, 20101,000± 3.5%37%37%3%2%2%18%
Rasmussen Reports (report)October 11, 2010750± 4.0%44%43%4%7%2%
Public Policy Polling (report)October 14–16, 2010557± 4.2%40%42%4%3%10%
Rasmussen Reports (report)October 18, 2010750± 4.0%40%44%4%8%5%
Mason-Dixon (report)October 18–20, 2010625± 4.0%41%43%16%
Chicago Tribune/WGN (report)October 18–22, 2010700± 4.0%41%44%5%4%7%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research (report)October 23, 20101,000± 3.0%41%43%7%2%7%
Rasmussen Reports (report)October 26, 2010750± 4.0%42%46%5%5%2%
Public Policy Polling (report)October 30–31, 2010814± 3.4%42%46%5%3%3%7%

Fundraising

Candidate (Party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash On HandDebt
Mark Kirk (R)$14,349,624$13,602,888$826,604$0
Alexi Giannoulias (D)$10,017,446$9,829,642$115,826$65,800
Source: Federal Election Commission [55]

Results

United States Senate special election in Illinois, 2010 [56] [57]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mark Kirk 1,677,729 47.31% +20.26%
Democratic Alexi Giannoulias 1,641,48646.29%-23.68%
Green LeAlan Jones 129,5713.65%N/A
Libertarian Michael Labno95,7622.70%+1.35%
Write-in 1,4360.04%-0.02%
Total votes3,545,984 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic
United States Senate election in Illinois, 2010 [58] [59]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mark Kirk 1,778,698 48.01% +20.96%
Democratic Alexi Giannoulias 1,719,47846.42%-23.55%
Green LeAlan Jones 117,9143.18%N/A
Libertarian Michael Labno87,2472.36%+1.01%
Write-in 1,1360.03%-0.03%
Total votes3,704,473 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Alexi Giannoulias</span> American lawyer (born 1976)

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Notes

  1. In December 2008, Burris was appointed by Governor Rod Blagojevich to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Barack Obama, who had elected President of the United States.
  2. Meister dropped out two days before the election and endorsed Giannoulias, but his name remained on the ballot. [18]
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