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All 17 Illinois seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Illinois |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 17 U.S. representatives from Illinois, one from each of the state's 17 congressional districts (reduced from 18 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census). [1] The elections coincided with the 2022 U.S. Senate race in Illinois, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. On November 23, 2021, Governor J. B. Pritzker signed the Illinois Congressional Redistricting Act of 2021, which established the new boundaries of the districts, into law. [2] FiveThirtyEight ranked Illinois as the most gerrymandered Congressional map drawn by Democrats following 2022 redistricting. [3]
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Jackson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Carlson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Before the 2020 redistricting cycle, the 1st district was primarily based in the South Side of Chicago. Under the new congressional map, although the 1st district is still based in Chicago, including portions of Bronzeville, Hyde Park, Grand Crossing, Morgan Park, and Roseland, it now reaches down to the southwest and takes in a collection of exurban and rural areas in Cook County, Will County, and Kankakee County. The former section is heavily black and the latter is heavily white; as a result, the district as a whole is slightly over 50% black. [4] [5] [6] The incumbent was Democrat Bobby Rush, who was re-elected with 73.8% of the vote in 2020. [7] On January 3, 2022, Rush announced that he would retire rather than seek a sixteenth term in office. [8]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jonathan Jackson | 21,607 | 28.2 | |
Democratic | Pat Dowell | 14,594 | 19.0 | |
Democratic | Karin Norington-Reaves | 10,825 | 14.1 | |
Democratic | Jacqueline Collins | 9,299 | 12.1 | |
Democratic | Chris Butler | 4,141 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Jahmal Cole | 4,045 | 5.3 | |
Democratic | Jonathan Swain | 2,554 | 3.3 | |
Democratic | Michael Thompson | 1,680 | 2.2 | |
Democratic | Charise A. Williams | 1,601 | 2.1 | |
Democratic | Cassandra Goodrum | 1,422 | 1.9 | |
Democratic | Marcus Lewis | 901 | 1.2 | |
Democratic | Robert Palmer | 899 | 1.2 | |
Democratic | Nykea Pippion McGriff | 892 | 1.2 | |
Democratic | Terre Layng Rosner | 780 | 1.0 | |
Democratic | Ameena Matthews | 686 | 0.9 | |
Democratic | Kirby Birgans | 511 | 0.7 | |
Democratic | Steven DeJoie | 251 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 76,688 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eric Carlson | 10,755 | 40.5 | |
Republican | Jeff Regnier | 10,375 | 39.0 | |
Republican | Geno Young | 3,853 | 14.5 | |
Republican | Philanise White | 1,598 | 6.0 | |
Total votes | 26,581 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jonathan Jackson | 159,142 | 67.0 | |
Republican | Eric Carlson | 78,258 | 33.0 | |
Write-in | 25 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 237,425 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Kelly: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lynch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Robin Kelly, who was re-elected with 78.8% of the vote in 2020. [7]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Robin Kelly (incumbent) | 56,606 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 56,606 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Thomas Lynch | 10,289 | 37.2 | |
Republican | Shane Cultra | 9,869 | 35.7 | |
Republican | Ashley Ramos | 7,524 | 27.2 | |
Total votes | 27,682 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid D | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Robin Kelly (incumbent) | 140,414 | 67.1 | |
Republican | Thomas Lynch | 68,761 | 32.9 | |
Total votes | 209,175 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Ramirez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Burau: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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During the 2020 redistricting process, the Illinois General Assembly decided to create a second Latino-influenced district. As such, the 3rd congressional district had no incumbent. [44] The district is approximately 47% Latino and unites heavily Latino communities from Chicago to Elgin. [45] Among potential voters, the communities in the district include 63.4% White, 25.2% Latino, 6.2% Black, and 4.7% Asian people. [46] It includes parts of the Chicago neighborhoods of West Town, Logan Square, Humboldt Park, Belmont Cragin, Portage Park, Irving Park, Albany Park, Montclare, Dunning, and all or parts of the suburbs of Elmwood Park, River Grove, Franklin Park, Bensenville, Elk Grove Village, Wood Dale, Addison, Glendale Heights, Wheaton, West Chicago, Wayne, Bartlett, Hanover Park, and Elgin. [47]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Juan Aguirre | Iymen Chehade | Delia Ramirez | Gilbert Villegas | Other | Undecided |
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Impact Research (D) [97] [A] | March 14–17, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 0% | 3% | 25% | 10% | – | 62% |
– | – | 28% | 12% | – | 60% | ||||
Lake Research Partners (WFP) [98] [B] | February 28 – March 3, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 1% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 66% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Delia Ramirez | 37,296 | 66.4 | |
Democratic | Gilbert Villegas | 12,990 | 23.1 | |
Democratic | Iymen Chehade | 3,719 | 6.6 | |
Democratic | Juan Aguirre | 2,175 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 56,180 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Justin Burau | 18,997 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 18,997 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid D | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Delia Ramirez | 121,764 | 68.5 | |
Republican | Justin Burau | 55,995 | 31.5 | |
Total votes | 177,759 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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García: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Falakos: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Jesús "Chuy" García, who was re-elected with 84.1% of the vote in 2020. [102]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jesús "Chuy" García (incumbent) | 37,499 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 37,499 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | James Falakos | 12,192 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 12,192 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid D | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chuy García (incumbent) | 91,036 | 68.4 | |
Republican | James Falakos | 37,352 | 28.1 | |
Working Class | Edward Hershey | 4,605 | 3.5 | |
Write-in | 54 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 133,047 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Quigley: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hanson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Mike Quigley, who was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020. [102]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Mike Quigley (incumbent) | 82,490 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 82,490 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Tommy Hanson | 14,806 | 55.4 | |
Republican | Malgorzata McGonigal | 11,916 | 44.6 | |
Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 26,724 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid D | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Mike Quigley (incumbent) | 190,999 | 69.6 | |
Republican | Tommy Hanson | 79,112 | 28.8 | |
Independent | Jerico Matias Cruz | 4,439 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 274,550 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Casten: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pekau: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Due to redistricting, the borders of several districts in the Chicago area changed dramatically. 3rd District Incumbent Marie Newman was drawn into the Latino-majority 4th District. As a result, Newman decided to switch to the redrawn 6th district and announced that she would be running against 6th district incumbent Sean Casten. [44] The new district contains about 40% of Newman's old district and about 25% of Casten's. [109] In the opening stages of the campaign both Casten and Newman declared an intent to run on their legislative records, and declared that they would not campaign negatively against each other. [110]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Sean Casten | Charles Hughes | Marie Newman | Undecided |
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Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) [141] [C] | May 12–16, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 2% | 27% | 35% |
Victoria Research (D) [142] [D] | February 10–15, 2022 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | – | 37% | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sean Casten (incumbent) | 45,654 | 67.7 | |
Democratic | Marie Newman (incumbent) | 19,726 | 29.2 | |
Democratic | Charles M. Hughes | 2,085 | 3.1 | |
Total votes | 67,465 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Keith Pekau | 20,178 | 38.7 | |
Republican | Gary Grasso | 14,150 | 27.2 | |
Republican | Niki Conforti | 5,947 | 11.4 | |
Republican | Catherine A. O'Shea | 5,243 | 10.1 | |
Republican | Scott R. Kaspar | 3,573 | 6.9 | |
Republican | Robert "Rob" Cruz | 3,003 | 5.8 | |
Total votes | 52,094 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections [36] | Likely D | February 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Lean D | November 2, 2022 |
Politico [38] | Lean D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Lean D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Likely D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Lean D | October 26, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Sean Casten (incumbent) | 150,496 | 54.4 | |
Republican | Keith Pekau | 126,351 | 45.6 | |
Write-in | 12 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 276,859 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The incumbent was Democrat Danny Davis, who was re-elected with 80.4% of the vote in 2020. [102] He was running for re-election.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Danny Davis (incumbent) | 39,230 | 51.9 | |
Democratic | Kina Collins | 34,574 | 45.7 | |
Democratic | Denarvis Mendenhall | 1,808 | 2.4 | |
Total votes | 75,612 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid D | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Danny Davis (incumbent) | 167,650 | 99.9 | |
Write-in | 96 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 167,746 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Krishnamoorthi: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Dargis: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Raja Krishnamoorthi, who was re-elected with 73.2% of the vote in 2020. [102]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Raja Krishnamoorthi (incumbent) | 29,933 | 70.3 | |
Democratic | Junaid Ahmed | 12,627 | 29.7 | |
Total votes | 42,560 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Chris Dargis | 11,055 | 32.0 | |
Republican | Phillip Owen Wood | 6,529 | 18.9 | |
Republican | Peter Kopsaftis | 6,101 | 17.6 | |
Republican | Karen Kolodziej | 6,017 | 17.4 | |
Republican | Chad Koppie | 4,886 | 14.1 | |
Total votes | 34,588 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid D | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid D | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Raja Krishnamoorthi (D) | Chris Dargis (R) | Other | Undecided |
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RMG Research [166] | July 23–31, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 39% | 5% | 12% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Raja Krishnamoorthi (incumbent) | 117,880 | 56.9 | |
Republican | Chris Dargis | 89,335 | 43.1 | |
Total votes | 207,215 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Schakowsky: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rice: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Jan Schakowsky, who was re-elected with 71.0% of the vote in 2020. [102]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jan Schakowsky (incumbent) | 76,956 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 76,956 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Max Rice | 22,751 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 22,751 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid D | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jan Schakowsky (incumbent) | 179,615 | 71.7 | |
Republican | Max Rice | 70,915 | 28.3 | |
Total votes | 250,530 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Schneider: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Severino: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Brad Schneider, who was re-elected with 63.9% of the vote in 2020. [102]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brad Schneider (incumbent) | 52,624 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 52,624 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joseph Severino | 33,708 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,708 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid D | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Brad Schneider (D) | Joseph Severino (R) | Undecided |
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Victory Research (R) [168] [E] | October 1–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brad Schneider (incumbent) | 152,566 | 63.0 | |
Republican | Joseph Severino | 89,599 | 37.0 | |
Total votes | 242,165 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Foster: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Lauf: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Bill Foster, who was re-elected with 63.3% of the vote in 2020. [102]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Bill Foster (incumbent) | 44,096 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 44,096 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Catalina Lauf | 15,360 | 31.0 | |
Republican | Jerry Evans | 11,158 | 22.5 | |
Republican | Mark Joseph Carroll | 9,955 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Susan L. Hathaway-Altman | 6,017 | 12.1 | |
Republican | Cassandra Tanner Miller | 3,730 | 7.5 | |
Republican | Andrea Heeg | 3,334 | 6.7 | |
Total votes | 49,554 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Likely D | April 27, 2022 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid D | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Likely D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Likely D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Likely D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid D | September 29, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bill Foster (incumbent) | 149,172 | 56.5 | |
Republican | Catalina Lauf | 115,069 | 43.5 | |
Total votes | 264,241 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Bost: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Markel: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbents are Republican Mike Bost, who was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2020, and Republican Mary Miller who was redistricted from the 15th Congressional District. [184]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Bost (incumbent) | 88,681 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 88,681 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chip Markel | 11,068 | 56.7 | |
Democratic | Joshua Qualls | 8,438 | 43.3 | |
Total votes | 19,506 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid R | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid R | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe R | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Bost (incumbent) | 218,379 | 75.0 | |
Democratic | Chip Markel | 72,791 | 25.0 | |
Write-in | 1 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 291,171 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Budzinski: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Deering: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Due to redistricting, the 13th congressional district was created as a new seat, with no incumbent. [44]
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||
Regan Deering | Matt Hausman | Terry Martin | Jesse Reising | |||||
1 | Jun. 2, 2022 | Illinois Public Media WAND (TV) League of Women Voters of Champaign County | Caryn Eisert Brian Mackey Sean Streaty | [202] | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Regan Deering | 14,885 | 34.6 | |
Republican | Jesse Reising | 14,184 | 32.9 | |
Republican | Matt Hausman | 10,289 | 23.9 | |
Republican | Terry Martin | 3,694 | 8.6 | |
Total votes | 43,052 | 100.0 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Nikki Budzinski | David Palmer | Ellis Taylor | |||||
1 | Mar. 22, 2022 | Bend the Arc: Jewish Action Champaign-Urbana Indivisible Illinois Ubuntu Project | Elizabeth Hess | [226] | P | P | P |
2 | May 26, 2022 | Illinois Public Media League of Women Voters of Champaign County WAND | Tinisha Spain | [227] | P | P | N |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nikki Budzinski | 31,593 | 75.6 | |
Democratic | David Palmer | 10,216 | 24.4 | |
Total votes | 41,809 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Nikki Budzinski | Regan Deering | |||||
1 | Oct. 6, 2022 | Illinois Public Media League of Women Voters of Champaign County WAND | Tinisha Spain | [228] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Lean D (flip) | September 29, 2022 |
Inside Elections [36] | Tilt D (flip) | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Lean D (flip) | April 19, 2022 |
Politico [38] | Lean D (flip) | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Lean D (flip) | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Likely D (flip) | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Likely D (flip) | September 28, 2022 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Nikki Budzinski (D) | Regan Deering (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research [235] | July 21–28, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 36% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nikki Budzinski | 141,788 | 56.6 | |
Republican | Regan Deering | 108,646 | 43.4 | |
Write-in | 16 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 250,450 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Underwood: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gryder: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Lauren Underwood, who was re-elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2020. [102] The 14th district as drawn during the 2020 redistricting cycle includes all or parts of Aurora, DeKalb, Granville, Joliet, Montgomery, Naperville, Oswego, Ottawa, Peru, Plainfield, Shorewood, Spring Valley, Sugar Grove, and Sycamore. [47]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lauren Underwood (incumbent) | 37,780 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 37,780 | 100.0 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Scott Gryder | Mike Koolidge | Jack Lombardi II | James Marter | Jaime Milton | |||||
1 | May 19, 2022 | League of Women Voters of DeKalb County League of Women Voters of Naperville League of Women Voters of the Aurora area | Jan Dorner | [247] | P | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Gryder | 13,998 | 30.9 | |
Republican | James Marter | 10,950 | 24.2 | |
Republican | Mike Koolidge | 9,378 | 20.7 | |
Republican | Jack Lombardi II | 6,372 | 14.1 | |
Republican | Jaime Milton | 4,612 | 10.2 | |
Total votes | 45,310 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Lauren Underwood | Scott Gryder | |||||
1 | Oct. 6, 2022 | League of Women Voters of DeKalb County League of Women Voters of Naperville League of Women Voters of the Aurora area | Carol Tidwell | [248] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections [36] | Likely D | May 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Lean D | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Tossup | October 21, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Lean D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Likely D | October 17, 2022 |
538 [42] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lauren Underwood (incumbent) | 128,141 | 54.2 | |
Republican | Scott Gryder | 108,451 | 45.8 | |
Write-in | 8 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 236,600 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Miller: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lange: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Mary Miller then represented the 15th congressional district, and was running for re-election in the district. Due to redistricting, Republican Rodney Davis, who represented the 13th congressional district, resided in the 15th district and opted to run in the new 15th district rather than the more Democratic 13th. The new 15th district, located in western and central Illinois, includes all or parts of Adams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Coles, DeWitt, Edgar, Greene, Hancock, Henderson, Jersey, Logan, Macon, Madison, Mercer, Menard, Montgomery, Morgan, Pike, Sangamon, Schuyler, Scott, Shelby, Christian, Vermillion, and Warren counties. [47]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Rodney Davis | Mary Miller | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [265] [F] | June 18–19, 2022 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Victory Geek (D) [266] | June 15–19, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 35% | 27% |
Cygnal (R) [265] [F] | ~June 7, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mary Miller (incumbent) | 64,549 | 57.4 | |
Republican | Rodney Davis (incumbent) | 47,852 | 42.6 | |
Total votes | 112,401 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Paul Lange | 21,433 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 21,433 | 100.0 |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid R | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid R | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe R | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mary Miller (incumbent) | 213,007 | 71.1 | |
Democratic | Paul Lange | 86,396 | 28.9 | |
Total votes | 299,403 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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LaHood: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Haderlein: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbents were Republican Adam Kinzinger, who was re-elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2020, and Republican Darin LaHood, who was redistricted from the 18th Congressional District. Kinzinger chose to retire, while LaHood chose to run in his new district. [267]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Darin LaHood (incumbent) | 56,582 | 66.4 | |
Republican | Walt Peters | 11,278 | 13.2 | |
Republican | JoAnne Guillemette | 10,476 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Michael Rebresh | 6,911 | 8.1 | |
Total votes | 85,247 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid R | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid R | January 28, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe R | December 2, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Darin LaHood (incumbent) | 197,621 | 66.3 | |
Democratic | Elizabeth Haderlein | 100,325 | 33.7 | |
Total votes | 297,946 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Sorensen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% King: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Cheri Bustos, who was re-elected with 52.0% of the vote in 2020. [102] She did not seek re-election in 2022.
The new 17th was drawn to be more Democratic-leaning than its predecessor. The new district contains nearly all of its Democratic-leaning urban portions of its former territory, while most of the Republican-leaning areas of the old 17th were drawn into the neighboring 15th and 16th districts. Had the new 17th existed in the 2020 election, Joe Biden would have carried it by eight points, whereas Donald Trump carried the old 17th by two points in 2020.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jonathan Logemann | Jackie McGowan | Spence Morris | Angie Normoyle | Eric Sorensen | Litesa Wallace | Marsha Williams | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triton Polling & Research (D) [293] [G] | May 2–5, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 5% | 2% | – | 8% | 19% | 22% | 3% | 42% |
Impact Research (D) [294] [H] | April 11–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 20% | 16% | 2% | 51% |
RMG Research [295] | March 10–15, 2022 | 311 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 75% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [296] [I] | January 26–27, 2022 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 65% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Eric Sorensen | 14,702 | 37.7 | |
Democratic | Litesa Wallace | 9,103 | 23.3 | |
Democratic | Jonathan Logemann | 5,628 | 14.4 | |
Democratic | Angie Normoyle | 4,818 | 12.4 | |
Democratic | Marsha Williams | 2,701 | 6.9 | |
Democratic | Jacqueline McGowan | 2,040 | 5.2 | |
Write-in | 14 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 39,006 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Esther Joy King | 31,065 | 68.5 | |
Republican | Charlie Helmick | 14,274 | 31.5 | |
Total votes | 45,339 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Esther Joy King | Eric Sorenson | |||||
1 | Oct. 4, 2022 | WCBU WGLT WNIJ WVIK League of Women Voters of Greater Peoria | Yvonne Boose Tim Shelley | [307] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Tossup | November 30, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [38] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Lean R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Tossup | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Lean R (flip) | October 6, 2022 |
538 [42] | Lean D | September 29, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Eric Sorensen (D) | Esther Joy King (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [308] [I] | September 21–22, 2022 | 642 (LV) | – | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Eric Sorensen | 121,186 | 52.0 | |
Republican | Esther Joy King | 111,931 | 48.0 | |
Write-in | 6 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 233,123 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Partisan clients
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