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Turnout | 51.4% ![]() | |||||||||||||||||||
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Healey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Diehl: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Massachusetts |
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The 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Massachusetts. Republican former state representative Geoff Diehl, Democratic state Attorney General Maura Healey, and Libertarian Kevin Reed sought to succeed incumbent Governor Charlie Baker, who did not seek re-election after two terms. [2] [3] This was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, and the only race in which the incumbent was retiring despite being eligible for re-election.
Primary elections were held on September 6, with Diehl and Healey winning against minimal opposition. Due to Massachusetts's strong liberal lean and Diehl's conservative political views, Healey was widely expected to win the election. The election was called for the Democrat shortly after polls closed, with Healey becoming the first woman ever elected governor of Massachusetts [a] and the first openly lesbian governor to take office [b] in United States history. [4]
In addition, with the election of Kim Driscoll as lieutenant governor, Massachusetts became one of the first two states to simultaneously elect women as governor and lieutenant governor, a long with Arkansas. Arkansas, however, elects the governor in a separate election from the lieutenant governor. Taking 63.7% of the vote, Healey's performance was the strongest of any Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the state since Michael Dukakis in 1986, the best performance in history for a non-incumbent Democrat, and the best performance for any non-incumbent since Channing Cox in 1920. Healey also made history by receiving over 1.5 million votes, the most ever received by a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Massachusetts history.
This election constituted the largest shift by partisan margin of any 2022 gubernatorial election, swinging from a 33.5 point margin of victory for the Republican in 2018 to a 29.1 point margin for the Democrat in 2022. Additionally, every county in the state flipped from Republican to Democratic; this was the first gubernatorial election in which every county flipped since the 2010 Wyoming election.
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Governors
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Shiva Ayyadurai | Geoff Diehl | Chris Doughty | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Advantage, Inc. (R) [29] [A] | August 22–23, 2022 | 187 (LV) | ± 7.2% | – | 42% | 27% | – | 31% |
UMass Amherst [30] | June 15–21, 2022 | 223 (LV) | ± 7.4% | – | 55% | 18% | 1% | 26% |
Emerson College [31] | May 2–4, 2022 | 288 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 6% | 37% | 9% | 7% | 41% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Charlie Baker | Geoff Diehl | Karyn Polito | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [32] [B] | October 12–13, 2021 | 556 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 29% | 50% | – | 21% |
Advantage, Inc. (R) [33] [A] | February 22–26, 2021 | 221 (LV) | ± 6.6% | – | 20% | 22% | 58% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Geoff Diehl | 149,800 | 55.44% | |
Republican | Chris Doughty | 120,418 | 44.56% | |
Total votes | 270,218 | 100.0% |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Leah Cole Allen | Kate Campanale | |||||
1 | Aug. 15, 2022 | The Boston Globe WBUR-FM WCVB-TV | Steve Brown Darryl Murphy Sharman Sacchetti | [42] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Leah Cole Allen | Kate Campanale | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Advantage, Inc. (R) [29] [A] | August 22–23, 2022 | 187 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 13% | 19% | 68% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Leah Cole Allen | 130,962 | 52.28% | |
Republican | Kate Campanale | 119,516 | 47.72% | |
Total votes | 250,478 | 100.0% |
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Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Sonia Chang-Díaz | Maura Healey | Other [d] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [107] | April 2 – May 4, 2022 | May 7, 2022 | 12.5% | 48.0% | 39.5% | Healey +35.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Sonia Chang-Díaz | Maura Healey | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Amherst [108] | August 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 14% | 73% | 1% | 12% |
UMass Amherst [30] | June 15–21, 2022 | 557 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 20% | 53% | 1% | 26% |
Emerson College [31] | May 2–4, 2022 | 488 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 8% | 34% | 15% [e] | 43% |
UMass Lowell [109] | April 2–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 17% | 62% | 2% | 18% |
MassINC Polling Group (D) [110] [C] | January 18–20, 2022 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 12% | 48% | 7% [f] | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Danielle Allen | Charlie Baker [g] | Sonia Chang-Díaz | Ben Downing | Deb Goldberg | Maura Healey | Joe Kennedy III | Ayanna Pressley | Marty Walsh | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassINC Polling Group (D) [110] [C] | January 18–20, 2022 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 2% | – | 8% | – | – | 31% | – | – | 32% | 2% | 22% |
Advantage, Inc. (R) [33] [A] | February 22–26, 2021 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 2% | – | – | 2% | – | 35% | 22% | – | – | – | 39% |
SurveyUSA (D) [111] [C] | August 12–16, 2020 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 25% | – | 13% | 25% | – | 34% |
– | 62% | – | – | 1% | 13% | – | 7% | 4% | – | 13% | ||||
Suffolk University [112] | June 5–9, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | 36% | – | 30% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maura Healey | 2,858 | 71.2% | |
Democratic | Sonia Chang-Díaz | 1,155 | 28.8% | |
Total votes | 4,013 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maura Healey | 642,092 | 85.54% | |
Democratic | Sonia Chang-Díaz (withdrawn) | 108,574 | 14.46% | |
Total votes | 750,666 | 100.0% |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Kim Driscoll | Tami Gouveia | Eric Lesser | |||||
1 | Aug. 16, 2022 | The Boston Globe WBUR-FM WCVB-TV | Steve Brown Taylor Dolven Sharman Sacchetti | [151] | P | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Kim Driscoll | Tami Gouveia | Adam Hinds | Eric Lesser | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Amherst [108] | August 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 31% | 15% | – | 17% | 1% | 37% |
UMass Lowell [152] | August 16–25, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 33% | 13% | – | 23% | 2% | 30% |
Advantage, Inc. (R) [29] [A] | August 22–23, 2022 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 13% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 72% |
MassINC Polling Group (D) [153] [C] | August 19–21, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 21% | 7% | – | 14% | 5% | 50% |
MassINC Polling Group [154] | August 5–9, 2022 | 520 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 15% | 8% | – | 7% | 6% | 62% |
UMass Amherst [30] | June 15–21, 2022 | 556 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 10% | – | 12% | 0% | 61% |
MassINC Polling Group (D) [155] [C] | June 2022 | – (LV) | – | 16% | 6% | – | 10% | 5% | 58% |
UMass Lowell [109] | April 2–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 22% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 49% |
MassINC Polling Group (D) [110] [C] | January 18–20, 2022 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 64% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kim Driscoll | 1,641 | 41.4% | |
Democratic | Tami Gouveia | 911 | 23.0% | |
Democratic | Eric Lesser | 839 | 21.2% | |
Democratic | Adam Hinds | 493 | 12.2% | |
Democratic | Bret Bero | 81 | 2.0% | |
Total votes | 3,965 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kim Driscoll | 332,712 | 46.65% | |
Democratic | Eric Lesser | 233,241 | 32.71% | |
Democratic | Tami Gouveia | 147,224 | 20.64% | |
Total votes | 713,177 | 100.0% |
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Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [173] | Solid D (flip) | July 20, 2022 |
Inside Elections [174] | Solid D (flip) | September 9, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [175] | Safe D (flip) | September 7, 2022 |
Politico [176] | Solid D (flip) | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [177] | Safe D (flip) | July 13, 2022 |
Fox News [178] | Solid D (flip) | August 22, 2022 |
538 [179] | Solid D (flip) | July 31, 2022 |
Elections Daily [180] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Geoff Diehl (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Other [h] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [181] | September 7 – October 16, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | 33.5% | 54.0% | 12.5% | Healey +20.5 |
FiveThirtyEight [182] | May 4 – October 19, 2022 | October 20, 2022 | 28.5% | 54.6% | 16.9% | Healey +26.1 |
Average | 31.0% | 54.3% | 14.7% | Healey +23.3 |
![]() | This graph was using the legacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to the new Chart extension. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Geoff Diehl (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Amherst/YouGov [183] | October 20–26, 2022 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 33% | 61% | 2% [i] | 3% |
UMass Lowell/YouGov [184] | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 32% | 59% | 3% [j] | 6% |
Suffolk University [185] | October 13–16, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 33% | 56% | 4% [k] | 6% |
MassINC Polling Group [186] | October 5–14, 2022 | 987 (LV) | – | 23% | 53% | 6% [l] | 18% |
Suffolk University [187] | September 10–13, 2022 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 26% | 52% | 6% [m] | 17% |
Emerson College [188] | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 52% | 3% [n] | 12% |
Suffolk University [189] | July 20–23, 2022 | 493 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 23% | 54% | – | 23% |
UMass Lowell [190] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 61% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College [31] | May 2–4, 2022 | 848 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 31% | 59% | – | 10% |
Suffolk University [191] | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 27% | 54% | – | 19% |
Charlie Baker vs. Danielle Allen
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Charlie Baker (R) | Danielle Allen (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 12% | 6% [p] | 48% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 12% | 5% [q] | 48% | ||
YouGov/UMass Amherst [193] [o] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 14% | 8% [r] | 48% |
756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 14% | 6% [p] | 49% |
Charlie Baker vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Charlie Baker (R) | Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 35% | 16% | 9% [s] | 41% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 16% | 7% [t] | 41% | ||
YouGov/UMass Amherst [193] [o] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 16% | 10% [u] | 45% |
756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 17% | 7% [t] | 45% |
Charlie Baker vs. Benjamin Downing
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Charlie Baker (R) | Benjamin Downing (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 35% | 11% | 8% [r] | 46% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 11% | 6% [p] | 47% | ||
YouGov/UMass Amherst [193] [o] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 11% | 8% [r] | 51% |
756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 12% | 6% [p] | 51% |
Charlie Baker vs. Maura Healey
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Charlie Baker (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D) [194] | November 15–19, 2021 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 29% | – | 38% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 27% | 11% [v] | 30% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 28% | 9% [s] | 29% | ||
YouGov/UMass Amherst [193] [o] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 27% | 10% [u] | 34% |
756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 28% | 7% [t] | 34% |
Charlie Baker vs. Joe Kennedy III
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Charlie Baker (R) | Joe Kennedy III (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D) [194] | November 15–19, 2021 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 30% | – | 34% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst [193] [o] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 35% | 25% | 10% [u] | 30% |
756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 37% | 27% | 8% [r] | 28% |
Charlie Baker vs. Orlando Silva
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Charlie Baker (R) | Orlando Silva (D) | Other | Undecided |
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YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 9% | 8% [r] | 47% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 37% | 9% | 7% [t] | 47% |
Karyn Polito vs. Danielle Allen
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Karyn Polito (R) | Danielle Allen (D) | Other | Undecided |
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YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 17% | 8% [r] | 54% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 17% | 7% [t] | 54% |
Karyn Polito vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Karyn Polito (R) | Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) | Other | Undecided |
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YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 19% | 8% [r] | 51% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 23% | 19% | 7% [t] | 52% |
Karyn Polito vs. Benjamin Downing
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Karyn Polito (R) | Benjamin Downing (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 15% | 8% [r] | 56% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 16% | 7% [t] | 55% |
Karyn Polito vs. Maura Healey
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Karyn Polito (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D) [195] | November 15–19, 2021 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 42% | – | 37% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 18% | 32% | 10% [u] | 40% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 19% | 35% | 8% [r] | 38% |
Karyn Polito vs. Orlando Silva
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Karyn Polito (R) | Orlando Silva (D) | Other | Undecided |
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YouGov/UMass Amherst [192] [o] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 14% | 9% [s] | 57% |
687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 14% | 7% [t] | 56% |
Geoff Diehl vs. Maura Healey with Charlie Baker as an independent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Geoff Diehl (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Charlie Baker (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University [191] | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 17% | 28% | 37% | 18% |
Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D) [194] | November 15–19, 2021 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 26% | 32% | 21% |
Geoff Diehl vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Geoff Diehl (R) | Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) | Other [w] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [196] | April 24 – June 15, 2022 | June 22, 2022 | 30.0% | 48.7% | 21.3% | Chang-Díaz +15.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Geoff Diehl (R) | Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Lowell [190] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 54% | 3% | 15% |
Emerson College [31] | May 2–4, 2022 | 848 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 47% | – | 21% |
Suffolk University [191] | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 29% | 45% | – | 25% |
Chris Doughty vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Chris Doughty (R) | Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) | Other [x] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [197] | April 24 – June 15, 2022 | June 22, 2022 | 30.0% | 44.7% | 25.3% | Chang-Díaz +14.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Chris Doughty (R) | Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Lowell [190] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 50% | 4% | 16% |
Emerson College [31] | May 2–4, 2022 | 848 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 33% | 41% | – | 26% |
Suffolk University [191] | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 27% | 43% | – | 30% |
Chris Doughty vs. Maura Healey
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Chris Doughty (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Other [y] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [198] | April 24 – June 15, 2022 | June 22, 2022 | 28.7% | 55.7% | 15.6% | Healey +27.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Chris Doughty (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University [199] | July 20–23, 2022 | 493 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 22% | 54% | – | 24% |
UMass Lowell [190] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 58% | 2% | 10% |
Emerson College [31] | May 2–4, 2022 | 848 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 31% | 54% | – | 15% |
Suffolk University [191] | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 25% | 55% | – | 21% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
Geoff Diehl | Maura Healey | |||||
1 | Oct 12, 2022 | NBC10 Boston/NECN | Link | P | P | |
2 | Oct 20, 2022 | WCVB-TV | YouTube | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 1,584,403 | 63.74% | +30.62% | ||
Republican | 859,343 | 34.57% | −32.03% | ||
Libertarian |
| 39,244 | 1.58% | N/A | |
Write-in | 2,806 | 0.11% | −0.17% | ||
Total votes | 2,485,796 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 2,511,461 | 51.4% | −9.37% | ||
Registered electors | |||||
Democratic gain from Republican |
By county | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
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Healey won all nine congressional districts. [201]
District | Diehl | Healey | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 41% | 58% | Richard Neal |
2nd | 35% | 63% | Jim McGovern |
3rd | 37% | 61% | Lori Trahan |
4th | 37% | 62% | Jake Auchincloss |
5th | 25% | 73% | Katherine Clark |
6th | 37% | 61% | Seth Moulton |
7th | 14% | 84% | Ayanna Pressley |
8th | 35% | 64% | Stephen Lynch |
9th | 42% | 56% | Bill Keating |
Partisan clients
For the record, Warren tells me she's not interested in running for governor of Massachusetts.
Official campaign websites for gubernatorial candidates
Official campaign websites for lieutenant gubernatorial candidates