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Markey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gomez: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Massachusetts |
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The 2013 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts was held on June 25, 2013, in order to fill the Massachusetts Class 2 United States Senate seat for the remainder of the term ending January 3, 2015.
The vacancy that prompted the special election was created by the resignation of Senator John Kerry, in order to become U.S. Secretary of State. [1] On January 30, 2013, Governor Deval Patrick chose his former chief of staff, Mo Cowan, to serve as interim U.S. Senator. Cowan declined to participate in the election. A party primary election was held on April 30, to determinate the nominees of each party for the general election. The Massachusetts Democrats nominated U.S. Representative Ed Markey, while the Massachusetts Republicans nominated Gabriel E. Gomez, a businessman and former Navy SEAL.
The race drew remarks from the media, because of its potential similarity to the 2010 special election, when Republican state senator Scott Brown upset the Democratic nominee, Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley. [2] [3] [4] [5] However, Gomez trailed Markey in every opinion poll taken, and Markey defeated him by a 10.2 percentage point margin, despite low turnout. [6]
The incumbent senator, John Kerry (Democratic), was nominated to serve as U.S. Secretary of State by President Barack Obama on December 21, 2012. [7] [8] He was confirmed by the Senate on January 29, 2013, [9] [10] and in a letter to Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick, Kerry announced his resignation from the Senate, effective February 1. [11] Kerry was sworn in as secretary of state on the same day. [12]
Patrick's former chief of staff, Mo Cowan, was appointed to replace Kerry in the Senate on the same day, and immediately ruled himself out of the special election. [13] The special primary elections took place on April 30. Democratic U.S. Representative Ed Markey and Republican businessman Gabriel E. Gomez won their respective primaries.
U.S. Representatives Ed Markey and Stephen F. Lynch both announced campaigns for the open seat. Markey was perceived as more left-wing than Lynch. [14]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Stephen Lynch | Ed Markey | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [80] | January 29–30, 2013 | 763 | ±4.9% | 19% | 52% | — | 29% |
Public Policy Polling [81] | February 13–14, 2013 | 426 LV | ±4.8% | 28% | 43% | — | 29% |
WBUR/MassINC [82] | March 19–21, 2013 | 610 LV | ±4.1% | 24% | 35% | 0% | 41% |
Public Policy Polling [83] | March 26–27, 2013 | 496 LV | ±4.4% | 32% | 49% | 0% | 19% |
WNEU [84] | April 11–18, 2013 | 270 LV | ±6% | 34% | 44% | 0% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Capuano | Martha Coakley | Vicki Kennedy | Stephen Lynch | Ed Markey | Marty Meehan | Deval Patrick | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [85] | December 16–18, 2012 | 1,053 RV | ±2.9% | 13% | 11% | 16% | — | — | — | 20% | 10% | 30% |
WBUR/MassINC [86] | December 17–18, 2012 | 500 RV | ±3.3% | 8% | 21% | — | 5% | 5% | 3% | 36% | 3% | 19% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ed Markey | 311,219 | 57.35% | |
Democratic | Stephen F. Lynch | 230,335 | 42.44% | |
Democratic | All others | 1,150 | 0.21% | |
Total votes | 542,704 | 100% |
Politicians
Politicians
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gabriel Gomez | Michael Sullivan | Daniel Winslow | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WBUR/MassINC [82] | March 19–21, 2013 | 610 LV | ±4.1% | 8% | 28% | 10% | 3% | 50% |
WNEU [84] | April 11–18, 2013 | 128 LV | ±9% | 33% | 27% | 9% | — | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Charlie Baker | Scott Brown | Bill Weld | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [85] | December 16–18, 2012 | 1,053 RV | ±2.9% | — | 80% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
WBUR/MassINC [86] | December 17–18, 2012 | 500 RV | ±3.3% | 5% | 81% | 6% | 1% | 7% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gabriel E. Gomez | 96,057 | 50.75% | |
Republican | Michael J. Sullivan | 67,946 | 35.89% | |
Republican | Daniel Winslow | 24,662 | 13.03% | |
Republican | All others | 628 | 0.33% | |
Total votes | 189,293 | 100% |
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ed Markey (D) | $7,866,591 | $8,652,479 | $2,264,701 | $0 |
Gabriel Gomez (R) | $3,304,338 | $2,307,217 | $997,120 | $900,100 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [115] [116] |
Ed Markey | Contribution | Gabriel Gomez | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
League of Conservation Voters | $147,518 | Advent International | $38,850 | |
Mintz, Levin, Cohn, Ferris, Glovsky, and Popeo | $35,950 | Berkshire Partners | $36,300 | |
Dish Network | $32,000 | Summit Partners | $28,900 | |
Bain Capital | $26,000 | Bain Capital | $11,400 | |
Harvard University | $24,400 | Easterly Capital | $10,400 | |
DLA Piper | $24,400 | William Blair & Company | $10,300 | |
Comcast Corporation | $23,350 | HarbourVest Partners | $7,800 | |
WilmerHale | $23,000 | Power Financial Corporation | $6,200 | |
Berkshire Group | $20,700 | BMO Capital Markets | $5,200 | |
American Cable Association | $20,500 | Carlyle Group | $5,200 | |
Source: OpenSecrets [117] |
Ed Markey | Contribution | Gabriel Gomez | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lawyers/Law Firms | $528,470 | Financial Institutions | $211,800 | |
Financial Institutions | $228,050 | Retired | $37,250 | |
Entertainment Industry | $179,400 | Misc Finance | $16,105 | |
Environmental Organizations | $171,568 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $13,250 | |
Real Estate | $134,900 | Business Services | $13,050 | |
Lobbyists | $134,900 | Commercial Banks | $7,750 | |
Retired | $107,101 | Manufacturing & Distributing | $6,200 | |
Business Services | $101,200 | High-Tech Industry | $6,000 | |
High-Tech Industry | $65,450 | Retail Industry | $5,600 | |
Universities | $65,150 | Misc Business | $5,100 | |
Source: OpenSecrets [118] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Gabriel E. Gomez (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald [119] | March 2–5, 2013 | 309 RV | ±4% | 47% | 28% | 7% | 19% |
WBUR/MassINC [82] | March 19–21, 2013 | 610 LV | ±4.1% | 44% | 25% | 3% | 26% |
WNEU [84] | April 11–18, 2013 | 480 LV | ±4.5% | 51% | 36% | — | 12% |
Emerson College [120] | May 1, 2013 | 797 RV | ±2.5% | 42% | 36% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling [121] | May 1–2, 2013 | 1,539 LV | ±2.5% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
WBUR/MassINC [122] | May 5–6, 2013 | 497 LV | ±4.4% | 41% | 35% | 0% | 23% |
Suffolk [123] | May 4–7, 2013 | 500 LV | ±4.4% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling [124] | May 13–15, 2013 | 880 LV | ±3.3% | 48% | 41% | — | 11% |
Emerson College [125] | May 20–22, 2013 | 867 LV | ±3.26% | 45% | 33% | — | 22% |
New England College [126] | June 1–2, 2013 | 734 RV | ±3.62% | 52% | 40% | — | 8% |
UMass Amherst-YouGov America [127] | May 30 – June 4, 2013 | 357 RV | ±5.4% | 51% | 40% | — | 9% |
Public Policy Polling [128] | June 3–4, 2013 | 560 LV | ±5.4% | 47% | 39% | — | 14% |
WBUR [129] | June 6–9, 2013 | 500 LV | ±3.4% | 43% | 36% | — | 17% |
Suffolk University [130] | June 6–9, 2013 | 500 LV | ±3.4% | 44% | 36% | — | 10% |
Harper Polling [131] | June 10–11, 2013 | 498 RV | ±4.39% | 49% | 37% | — | 14% |
Boston Globe [132] | June 11–14, 2013 | 508 LV | ±4.3% | 54% | 41% | — | 4% |
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald [133] | June 15–19, 2013 | 608 RV | ±4% | 56% | 36% | — | 7% |
WNEU [134] | June 16–20, 2013 | 566 LV | ±4.1% | 49% | 41% | — | 9% |
Emerson College [135] | June 19–20, 2013 | 1,422 RV | ±2.5% | 51% | 41% | — | 8% |
Suffolk University [136] | June 19–22, 2013 | 500 LV | ±4.4% | 52% | 42% | 1% | 5% |
With Markey
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Michael Sullivan (R) | Daniel Winslow (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald [119] | March 2–5, 2013 | 309 RV | ±4% | 48% | 30% | — | 5% | 17% |
49% | — | 26% | 5% | 20% | ||||
WBUR/MassINC [82] | March 19–21, 2013 | 610 LV | ±4.1% | 44% | 27% | — | 2% | 25% |
44% | — | 22% | 3% | 29% | ||||
WNEU [84] | April 11–18, 2013 | 480 LV | ±4.5% | 52% | 34% | — | — | 15% |
51% | — | 32% | — | 16% |
With Lynch
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Stephen Lynch (D) | Gabriel E. Gomez (R) | Michael Sullivan (R) | Daniel Winslow (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald [119] | March 2–5, 2013 | 309 RV | ±4% | 45% | 27% | — | — | 6% | 22% |
45% | — | 28% | — | 7% | 21% | ||||
48% | — | — | 24% | 8% | 19% | ||||
WBUR/MassINC [82] | March 19–21, 2013 | 610 LV | ±4.1% | 55% | 17% | — | — | 1% | 26% |
49% | — | 21% | — | 1% | 28% | ||||
52% | — | — | 15% | 1% | 31% | ||||
WNEU [84] | April 11–18, 2013 | 480 LV | ±4.5% | 58% | 26% | — | — | — | 14% |
57% | — | 25% | — | — | 17% | ||||
59% | — | — | 23% | — | 16% |
With Brown
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Capuano (D) | Martha Coakley (D) | Vicki Kennedy (D) | Stephen Lynch (D) | Ed Markey (D) | Marty Meehan (D) | Deval Patrick (D) | Generic Democrat | Scott Brown (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [85] | December 16–18, 2012 | 1,053 RV | ±2.9% | — | — | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | 46% | — | 14% |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | — | 43% | — | 9% | ||||
WBUR/MassINC [86] | December 17–18, 2012 | 500 RV | ±3.3% | 28% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47% | 4% | 16% |
— | 36% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51% | 3% | 8% | ||||
— | — | — | 24% | — | — | — | — | 51% | 4% | 15% | ||||
— | — | — | — | 30% | — | — | — | 48% | 4% | 15% | ||||
— | — | — | — | — | 30% | — | — | 49% | 4% | 14% | ||||
— | — | — | — | — | — | 40% | — | 47% | 3% | 7% | ||||
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39% | 47% | — | 15% | ||||
David Paleologos Suffolk/NAGE [137] | ? | ? | ±? | — | — | — | 33% | — | — | — | — | 42% | — | 25% |
— | — | — | — | 39% | — | — | — | 49% | — | 12% | ||||
[WBUR/MassINC] [ citation needed ] | January 16–19, 2013 | 435 RV | ±3.6% | — | — | — | — | 31% | — | — | — | 53% | 1% | 17% |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36% | 44% | 3% | 12% | ||||
Public Policy Polling [80] | January 29–30, 2013 | 763 RV | ±3.6% | — | — | — | 39% | — | — | — | — | 48% | — | 12% |
— | — | — | — | 45% | — | — | — | 48% | — | 8% |
With Weld
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Vicki Kennedy (D) | Deval Patrick (D) | Bill Weld (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [85] | December 16–18, 2012 | 1,053 RV | ±2.9% | 40% | — | 37% | — | 23% |
— | 50% | 32% | — | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ed Markey | 645,429 | 54.80% | ![]() | |
Republican | Gabriel Gomez | 525,307 | 44.60% | ![]() | |
Twelve Visions | Richard Heos | 4,550 | 0.39% | N/A | |
Write-in | 2,504 | 0.21% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 1,177,790 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Markey won 6 of 9 congressional districts. [139] Gomez won 3 districts, all of which elected Democrats.
District | Gomez | Markey | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 46.81% | 52.72% | Richard Neal |
2nd | 48.79% | 50.73% | Jim McGovern |
3rd | 50.59% | 48.97% | Niki Tsongas |
4th | 44.93% | 54.77% | Joe Kennedy III |
5th | 34.82% | 64.82% | Ed Markey |
6th | 50.6% | 49.05% | John F. Tierney |
7th | 18.53% | 81.09% | Mike Capuano |
8th | 48.79% | 50.84% | Stephen Lynch |
9th | 53.34% | 46.31% | Bill Keating |