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Elections in Massachusetts |
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Massachusettsportal |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
A New England state, Massachusetts had been a Democratic leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and is still considered a deeply blue state today. [a] Democrats have consistently defeated Republicans by large margins in Massachusetts since 1996. In 2020, Biden won the state by more than 33%, the largest margin since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21. [1] [2] [3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. [4] The Republican nominee was former president Donald Trump. [5]
Harris won Massachusetts, including every county in the state, winning it by 25 points. This was an 8-point smaller margin than Biden, following a trend of blue states, such as New York, California and Illinois, shifting significantly red as a result of poor turnout for Democrats compared to 2020 and 2016. [6] This was the first time that a Democrat won less than 50% of the vote in Bristol County since 1992, and the first time a Republican candidate won Fall River since 1924. In addition, it was the first time a Republican candidate won Westport and Seekonk (both also in Bristol County) and West Springfield (in Hampden County) since 1984. This was also the first time a Republican candidate won Somerset since 1956, and the first time since 1984 that a Democratic candidate failed to reach 50% of the vote in Wareham. Of the 351 municipalities in Massachusetts, Trump flipped 26, while Harris flipped none. [7]
Four other minor candidates appeared on the ballot, [8] including Green-Rainbow Party candidate Jill Stein, Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver, Socialism and Liberation Party Claudia de la Cruz, and independent perennial candidate Shiva Ayyadurai. Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., did not appear on the ballot in his home state. [9]
The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 533,096 | 80.5% | 91 | 91 | |
No Preference | 60,236 | 9.1% | 1 | 1 | |
Dean Phillips | 29,728 | 4.5% | |||
Marianne Williamson | 20,402 | 3.1% | |||
Other candidates | 10,135 | 1.5% | |||
Cenk Uygur (write-in) | 82 | <0.1% | |||
Blank ballots | 8,930 | 1.3% | |||
Total: | 662,609 | 100% | 92 | 92 |
The Massachusetts Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 343,189 | 59.56% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
Nikki Haley | 211,440 | 36.69% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
No Preference | 5,717 | 0.99% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 5,217 | 0.91% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,981 | 0.69% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,738 | 0.30% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Other candidates | 1,674 | 0.29% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 619 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 527 | 0.09% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Blank ballots | 2,148 | 0.37% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 576,250 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
The Massachusetts Libertarian primary was held on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
---|---|---|
No Preference | 3,982 | 36.45% |
Chase Oliver | 1,453 | 13.30% |
Jacob Hornberger | 1,089 | 9.97% |
Michael Rectenwald | 546 | 5.00% |
Lars Mapstead | 399 | 3.65% |
Mike ter Maat | 314 | 2.87% |
All Others | 2,161 | 19.78% |
Blank ballots | 980 | 8.97% |
Total: | 10,924 | 100.00% |
Source: [12] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [13] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections [14] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [16] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis [17] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
CNN [18] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
The Economist [19] | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
538 [20] | Solid D | June 11, 2024 |
RCP [21] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
NBC News [22] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ActiVote [23] | October 2–30, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 66% | 34% | – |
Emerson College [24] [A] | October 24–26, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 36% | 5% [c] |
60% [d] | 37% | 3% [c] | ||||
ActiVote [25] | September 6 – October 16, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 67% | 33% | – |
MassINC Polling Group [26] [B] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 63% | 35% | 2% [e] |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire [27] | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 744 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 60% | 34% | – | 2% | 1% | 3% [f] |
YouGov [28] [C] | October 3–10, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.8% | 56% | 30% | – | 2% | 1% | 11% [g] |
Suffolk University [29] [D] | October 1–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 61% | 32% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% [g] |
University of New Hampshire [30] | September 12–16, 2024 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 62% | 31% | – | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Chase Oliver Libertarian | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassINC Polling Group [31] | October 29 – November 1, 2024 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | 31% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5% [h] |
MassINC Polling Group [26] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 60% | 32% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% [i] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University [32] [D] | July 16–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
University of New Hampshire [33] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 68% | 32% | – |
John Zogby Strategies [34] [E] | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 55% | 36% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [35] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 271 (RV) | – | 58% | 34% | 8% [j] |
263 (LV) | 59% | 34% | 7% [j] | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell [36] | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
Emerson College [37] | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell [38] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire [33] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 26% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
MassINC Polling Group [39] [F] | March 21–29, 2024 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 26% | 7% | 2% | – | 21% [k] |
46% [d] | 28% | 9% | 2% | – | 15% [l] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [40] [C] | May 17–30, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 27% | 9% | 16% |
Suffolk University [41] [D] | April 16–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% |
Suffolk University [42] | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
YouGov [43] [C] | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [34] [E] | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [34] [E] | April 13–21, 2024 | 534 (LV) | – | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 2,126,518 | 61.22% | 4.38 | ||
Republican | 1,251,303 | 36.02% | 3.88 | ||
Green-Rainbow |
| 26,545 | 0.76% | 0.25 | |
Independent |
| 18,418 | 0.53% | N/A | |
Libertarian | 17,735 | 0.51% | 0.78 | ||
Socialism and Liberation | 12,889 | 0.37% | N?A | ||
Write-in | 20,260 | 0.58% | 0.13 | ||
Total votes | 3,473,668 | 100.00% | N/A |
County | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Barnstable | 88,129 | 59.23% | 57,451 | 38.61% | 3,205 | 2.15% | 30,678 | 20.62% | 148,785 |
Berkshire | 47,094 | 68.58% | 19,805 | 28.84% | 1,775 | 2.58% | 27,289 | 39.74% | 68,674 |
Bristol | 137,786 | 49.56% | 134,196 | 48.27% | 6,035 | 2.17% | 3,590 | 1.29% | 278,017 |
Dukes | 9,137 | 74.84% | 2,745 | 22.48% | 327 | 2.68% | 6,392 | 52.36% | 12,209 |
Essex | 236,624 | 58.88% | 155,336 | 38.66% | 9,891 | 2.46% | 81,288 | 20.22% | 401,851 |
Franklin | 28,305 | 67.00% | 12,428 | 29.42% | 1,515 | 3.59% | 15,877 | 37.58% | 42,248 |
Hampden | 110,937 | 53.18% | 92,474 | 44.33% | 5,193 | 2.49% | 18,463 | 8.85% | 208,604 |
Hampshire | 58,617 | 69.19% | 23,256 | 27.45% | 2,847 | 3.36% | 35,361 | 41.74% | 84,720 |
Middlesex | 554,471 | 68.05% | 235,118 | 28.85% | 25,243 | 3.10% | 319,353 | 39.20% | 814,832 |
Nantucket | 4,784 | 67.21% | 2,171 | 30.50% | 163 | 2.29% | 2,613 | 36.71% | 7,118 |
Norfolk | 242,712 | 62.81% | 132,497 | 34.29% | 11,238 | 2.91% | 110,215 | 28.52% | 386,447 |
Plymouth | 159,962 | 53.30% | 133,544 | 44.50% | 6,623 | 2.21% | 26,418 | 8.80% | 300,129 |
Suffolk | 222,280 | 74.29% | 66,480 | 22.22% | 10,433 | 3.49% | 155,800 | 52.07% | 299,193 |
Worcester | 225,680 | 53.63% | 183,802 | 43.67% | 11,359 | 2.70% | 41,878 | 9.96% | 420,841 |
Totals | 2,126,518 | 61.22% | 1,251,303 | 36.02% | 95,847 | 2.76% | 875,215 | 25.20% | 3,473,668 |
Trump flipped the following towns that voted for Biden in 2020. [46] [47]
Athol, Barre, Bridgewater, Fall River, Florida, Hanover, Hardwick, Lynnfield, Milbury, Northbridge, Orange, Pembroke, Plympton, Raynham, Rockland, Rutland, Salisbury, Saugus, Seekonk, Somerset, Sutton, Tewksbury, Townsend, Uxbridge, Webster, Westfield, Westminster, Westport, West Brookfield, and Whitman.
Harris did not flip any towns that voted for Trump in 2020.
Harris won all nine congressional districts. [48] [ user-generated source ]
District | Harris | Trump | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 55.63% | 41.86% | Richard Neal |
2nd | 60.26% | 36.71% | Jim McGovern |
3rd | 58.10% | 39.27% | Lori Trahan |
4th | 58.44% | 38.86% | Jake Auchincloss |
5th | 70.85% | 25.97% | Katherine Clark |
6th | 59.04% | 38.47% | Seth Moulton |
7th | 79.46% | 16.73% | Ayanna Pressley |
8th | 61.72% | 35.49% | Stephen Lynch |
9th | 54.29% | 43.58% | Bill Keating |
Partisan clients
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