2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

Last updated

2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
Flag of Massachusetts.svg
  2020 November 3, 20262032 
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Ed Markey
Democratic



The 2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Primary elections will be held on September 15, 2026. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Ed Markey was re-elected in 2020 with 66.2% of the vote and is running for re-election to a third full term.

Contents

Markey, who will be 80 years old at the time of the 2026 election, has faced calls to retire due to his age. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

  • Earl Phalen, nonprofit CEO [6]

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Ed Markey
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ed Markey$4,099,317$3,210,652$2,540,642
Seth Moulton$385,564$203,543$2,032,359
Alex Rikleen$29,835$19,160$10,675
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

Polling

Ed Markey vs. Seth Moulton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey
Seth
Moulton
OtherUndecided
Fiscal Alliance [16] September 23–24, 2025278 (LV) [b] ± 3.6%29.9%38.1%32%
Hypothetical polling
Ed Markey vs. Ayanna Pressley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey
Ayanna
Pressley
OtherUndecided
Fiscal Alliance [16] September 23-24, 2025278 (LV) [b] ± 3.6%34%37%28%

Republican primary

Candidates

Publicly expressed interest

  • John Deaton, attorney and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024 [17]

Declined

Other candidates

Party for Socialism and Liberation

Declared

  • Joe Tache, Youth Worker and Community Organizer [20]

Independent

Filed paperwork

  • Philip Peter Devincentis Jr. [21]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [22] Solid DAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [23] Solid DAugust 18, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Safe DAugust 12, 2025
Race To The WH [25] Safe DSeptember 4, 2025

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Ed Markey vs. Charlie Baker
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGov [26] [A] February 14–20, 2025700 (A)± 4.8%35%33%33%
MassINC Polling Group [27] October 29 – November 1, 2024582 (LV)± 4.9%34%40%7% [c] 19%
Ed Markey vs. John Deaton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Markey (D)
John
Deaton (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [28] [B] February 28 – March 4, 2025775 (RV)45%26%30%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. 1 2 Among Democrats; original poll size was 750
  3. "Would not vote for Senate" & "Another candidate" with 3%; "Prefer not to say" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by WCVB
  2. Poll sponsored by the Massachusetts Responsible Alliance

References

  1. Keller, Jon (October 20, 2024). "Is it time for Ed Markey to step aside? Chairman of Massachusetts Democrats weighs in". CBS News . Retrieved December 4, 2024.
  2. Medsger, Matthew (October 27, 2024). "Ed Markey says he will seek a third term in 2026, when he will be 80 years old". Boston Herald .
  3. Brodey, Sam (September 23, 2025). "Seth Moulton believed to be weighing 2026 primary challenge to Ed Markey". The Boston Globe . Archived from the original on September 24, 2025. Retrieved September 24, 2025.
  4. "Moulton launches challenge to Markey, arguing Democrats can no longer afford to 'follow same old playbook' - The Boston Globe". BostonGlobe.com. Retrieved October 15, 2025.
  5. Garrity, Kelly (May 30, 2025). "Meet Markey's primary challenger". Politico . Retrieved June 5, 2025.
  6. Medsger, Matthew (June 4, 2025). "Another potential Ed Markey challenger emerges calling for fresh perspective". Boston Herald . Retrieved June 6, 2025.
  7. Garrity, Kelly (September 24, 2025). "Why Moulton v. Markey wouldn't be Kennedy v. Markey". Politico . Retrieved September 27, 2025.
  8. Brodey, Sam (September 17, 2025). "Auchincloss rules out Markey challenge to focus on leading new national Democratic group". The Boston Globe . Retrieved September 17, 2025.
  9. Stout, Matt (June 25, 2025). "In early show of political muscle, Ed Markey gets Elizabeth Warren's endorsement". The Boston Globe . Retrieved June 25, 2025.
  10. 1 2 3 "Sen. Collins and Rep. Hunt join latest group of Markey endorsers | Dorchester Reporter". Dorchester Reporter. September 22, 2025. Retrieved September 22, 2025.
  11. Castellano, Jessie (July 31, 2025). "This Local Congressman Endorsed Sen. Ed Markey For Reelection". Patch Media . Retrieved July 31, 2025.
  12. Micek, John (July 8, 2025). "Western Mass.'s most powerful pol endorses Ed Markey's 2026 reelection bid". The Republican . Retrieved July 8, 2025.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 Garrity, Kelly (July 1, 2025). "Markey marks his territory". Politico . Retrieved July 1, 2025.
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 Garrity, Kelly (October 9, 2025). "Galvin wades into congressional crypto fight". Politico . Retrieved October 12, 2025.
  15. "2026 Election United States Senate - Massachusetts". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  16. 1 2 "Fiscal Alliance Foundation - 750 Likely Voters" (PDF). NationBuilder. October 2, 2025. Retrieved October 2, 2025.
  17. Van Buskirk, Chris (May 7, 2025). "John Deaton, former challenger to Warren, considering a run against Ed Markey". Boston Herald . Retrieved May 7, 2025.
  18. Altimari, Daniela; Ellen McIntire, Mary (January 7, 2025). "An early look at potentially vulnerable senators in 2026". Roll Call . Retrieved January 7, 2025. Baker is currently the head of the NCAA and a spokesman for the organization dismissed the rumors, saying Baker is 'not running for any political office.'
  19. Van Buskirk, Chris (April 29, 2025). "Bellingham Republican setting sites on potentially running for Mass. constitutional office". Boston Herald . Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  20. "Form 2 for Report FEC-1880236". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved May 28, 2025.
  21. "Form 2 for Report FEC-1880236". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved May 28, 2025.
  22. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  23. "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  24. "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  25. "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  26. Medsger, Matthew (February 26, 2025). "Charlie Baker 'does not intend to run' for Senate, despite poll showing him right on Ed Markey's heels". Boston Herald . Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  27. "The MassINC Polling Group - Survey of 582 likely voters in Massachusetts" (PDF). Squarespace . November 1, 2024. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  28. "Once Messaging is Shared, Republican John Deaton Leads Democrat Ed Markey in MA 2026 US Senate Race, Despite Deeply Unpopular Trump". SurveyUSA. March 6, 2025. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
Official campaign websites