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| Elections in Massachusetts |
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Primary elections will be held on September 1, 2026. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Ed Markey, who was re-elected in 2020 with 66.2% of the vote, is running for a third full term.
Markey, who will be 80 years old at the time of the 2026 election, has faced calls to retire due to his age. [1]
| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ed Markey (D) | $4,099,317 | $3,210,652 | $2,540,642 |
| Seth Moulton (D) | $385,564 | $203,543 | $2,032,359 |
| Alex Rikleen (D) | $29,835 | $19,160 | $10,675 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission [27] | |||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Ed Markey | Seth Moulton | Alex Rikleen | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University [28] [A] | November 19–23, 2025 | 226 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 45% | 22% | – | – | 33% |
| University of New Hampshire [29] | November 13–17, 2025 | 343 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 34% | 25% | 2% | 3% [b] | 35% |
| Data for Progress (D) [30] | October 23–26, 2025 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 34% | – | – | 13% |
| UMass Amherst/YouGov [31] [B] | October 21–29, 2025 | 416 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% [c] | 28% | 6% | 1% [d] | 14% |
| 44% | 25% | 5% | 1% [d] | 25% | ||||
| Advantage, Inc. (R) [32] [C] | September 23–24, 2025 | 278 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 30% | 38% | – | – | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Ed Markey | Ayanna Pressley | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advantage, Inc. (R) [32] [C] | September 23-24, 2025 | 278 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 37% | 28% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Ed Markey | Seth Moulton | Ayanna Pressley | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University [28] [A] | November 19–23, 2025 | 226 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 34% | 16% | 35% | – | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Ed Markey | Seth Moulton | Ayanna Pressley | Alex Rikleen | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst/YouGov [31] [B] | October 21–29, 2025 | 416 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 35% [c] | 25% | 21% | 5% | 1% [d] | 19% |
| 31% | 24% | 20% | 4% | 1% [d] | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Seth Moulton | Ayanna Pressley | Michelle Wu | Joseph P. Kennedy III | Jake Auchincloss | Alex Rikleen | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst/YouGov [31] [B] | October 21–29, 2025 | 416 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 29% [c] | 24% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 1% [d] | 4% |
| 26% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% [d] | 16% |
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Nathan Bech (R) | $40,000 | $29,791 | $14,983 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission [27] | |||
| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Morgan Dawicki (I) | $8,111 | $2,921 | $5,191 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission [27] | |||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections [44] | Solid D | August 12, 2025 |
| The Cook Political Report [45] | Solid D | October 14, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [46] | Safe D | August 12, 2025 |
| Race To The WH [47] | Safe D | September 4, 2025 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | John Deaton (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University [28] [A] | November 19–23, 2025 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 31% | 15% |
| SurveyUSA [48] [D] | February 28 – March 4, 2025 | 775 (RV) | – | 45% | 26% | 30% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Seth Moulton (D) | John Deaton (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University [28] [A] | November 19–23, 2025 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Charlie Baker (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst/YouGov [49] [B] | February 14–20, 2025 | 700 (A) | ± 4.8% | 35% | 33% | – | 33% |
| MassINC Polling Group [50] | October 29 – November 1, 2024 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 34% | 40% | 7% [e] | 19% |
Trahan is also keeping an eye on the Bay State's Senate race. Earlier this year she endorsed incumbent Ed Markey. The congresswoman says she plans to stick with that decision even if others, like Rep. Ayanna Pressley, join the fray.
Baker is currently the head of the NCAA and a spokesman for the organization dismissed the rumors, saying Baker is 'not running for any political office.'