November 3, 2026 | |||||||||||
| Reporting | as of 8:00 PM MST | ||||||||||
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| Elections in Nevada |
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The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Nevada. Republican incumbent Joe Lombardo is seeking a second term. He is being challenged by Democratic attorney general Aaron Ford.
Primary elections took place on June 9, 2026. [1] Lombardo won the Republican nomination with 91.0% of the vote. Ford won the Democratic nomination with 63.8% over Washoe commission chair Alexis Hill.
Nevada is considered to be a purple to slightly blue state at the federal and state levels, with neither party having control of all three branches of government. Apart from the governor, Nevada's lieutenant governor and state controller are Republicans. Nevada's attorney general, treasurer, and state secretary of state are Democrats.[ citation needed ] Donald Trump won the state in 2024, becoming the first Republican presidential nominee to win the state since 2004. [2]
The Nevada Legislature is controlled by members of the Democratic Party, with a majority in both the state assembly and senate. The lieutenant governor, a Republican, serves as the president of the state senate but only votes in the case of a tie. At the federal level, both United States Senators and three out of four members of the United States House of Representatives from Nevada are Democrats. [3] [4]
With the exception of 2018, Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in the state since 1998. [5]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Irina Hansen | Joe Lombardo | Matthew Winterhawk | Jose Zalaya | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights [14] | March 10–13, 2026 | 306 (V) | ± 5.6% | 4% | 60% | 7% | 4% | 24% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Lombardo (incumbent) | 172,150 | 90.8 | |
| None of These Candidates | 4,367 | 2.3 | ||
| Republican | Irina Hansen | 4,114 | 2.2 | |
| Republican | Matthew Winterhawk | 3,452 | 1.8 | |
| Republican | Donald J. Beaudry Jr. | 2,482 | 1.3 | |
| Republican | M. Kameron Hawkins | 1,230 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Jose M. Zalaya | 1,095 | 0.6 | |
| Republican | Barak Zilberberg | 744 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 189,638 | 100.0 | ||
| County [16] | Joe Lombardo | None of These Candidates | Various candidates [b] | Margin [c] | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Carson City | 5,886 | 91.31% | 178 | 2.76% | 382 | 5.93% | 5,708 | 88.55% | 6,446 |
| Churchill | 3,035 | 90.44% | 73 | 2.18% | 248 | 7.39% | 2,962 | 88.26% | 3,356 |
| Clark | 88,894 | 91.45% | 1,794 | 1.85% | 6,516 | 6.71% | 87,100 | 89.60% | 97,204 |
| Douglas | 10,550 | 92.85% | 278 | 2.45% | 535 | 4.71% | 10,272 | 90.40% | 11,363 |
| Elko | 3,437 | 87.59% | 106 | 2.70% | 381 | 9.71% | 3,331 | 84.89% | 3,924 |
| Esmeralda | 189 | 80.43% | 28 | 11.91% | 18 | 7.66% | 161 | 68.52% | 235 |
| Eureka | 368 | 81.78% | 25 | 5.56% | 57 | 12.67% | 343 | 76.22% | 450 |
| Humboldt | 1,740 | 86.35% | 66 | 3.28% | 209 | 10.38% | 1,674 | 83.07% | 2,015 |
| Lander | 823 | 77.79% | 102 | 9.64% | 133 | 12.57% | 721 | 68.15% | 1,058 |
| Lincoln | 856 | 88.89% | 36 | 3.74% | 71 | 7.37% | 820 | 85.15% | 963 |
| Lyon | 7,860 | 90.58% | 194 | 2.24% | 623 | 7.20% | 7,666 | 88.34% | 8,677 |
| Mineral | 450 | 81.23% | 26 | 4.69% | 78 | 14.08% | 424 | 76.54% | 554 |
| Nye | 6,362 | 85.04% | 186 | 2.49% | 933 | 12.45% | 6,176 | 82.55% | 7,481 |
| Pershing | 651 | 81.99% | 48 | 6.05% | 95 | 11.97% | 603 | 75.94% | 794 |
| Storey | 789 | 89.35% | 29 | 3.28% | 65 | 7.36% | 760 | 86.07% | 883 |
| Washoe | 39,160 | 91.34% | 1,143 | 2.67% | 2,568 | 5.99% | 38,017 | 88.67% | 42,871 |
| White Pine | 1,100 | 80.88% | 55 | 4.04% | 205 | 15.07% | 1,045 | 76.84% | 1,360 |
| Total | 172,150 | 90.78% | 4,367 | 2.30% | 13,117 | 6.92% | 167,783 | 88.48% | 189,634 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Aaron Ford | Alexis Hill | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D) [36] [A] | December 11–18, 2025 | 555 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 13% | 1% [d] | 39% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Aaron Ford | 118,831 | 63.3 | |
| Democratic | Alexis Hill | 44,849 | 23.9 | |
| None of These Candidates | 7,502 | 4.0 | ||
| Democratic | James Cooper | 6,657 | 3.5 | |
| Democratic | Sunshine Arterburn | 5,012 | 2.7 | |
| Democratic | Emile Bouari | 2,795 | 1.5 | |
| Democratic | Miqehl Bayfield | 2,172 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 187,818 | 100.0 | ||
| County [37] | Aaron Ford | Alexis Hill | None of These Candidates | Various candidates [e] | Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Carson City | 2,661 | 62.10% | 1,122 | 26.18% | 184 | 4.29% | 318 | 7.41% | 1,539 | 35.92% | 4,285 |
| Churchill | 434 | 52.29% | 239 | 28.80% | 66 | 7.95% | 91 | 10.95% | 195 | 23.49% | 830 |
| Clark | 87,450 | 66.15% | 26,974 | 20.41% | 5,147 | 3.89% | 12,621 | 9.54% | 60,476 | 45.74% | 132,192 |
| Douglas | 2,357 | 64.43% | 873 | 23.87% | 166 | 4.54% | 262 | 7.15% | 1,484 | 40.56% | 3,658 |
| Elko | 478 | 48.68% | 304 | 30.96% | 60 | 6.11% | 140 | 14.26% | 174 | 17.72% | 982 |
| Esmeralda | 6 | 33.33% | 5 | 27.78% | 6 | 33.33% | 1 | 5.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 18 |
| Eureka | 10 | 40.00% | 2 | 8.00% | 3 | 12.00% | 10 | 40.00% | 7 | 28.00% | 25 |
| Humboldt | 209 | 49.06% | 145 | 34.04% | 33 | 7.75% | 39 | 9.15% | 64 | 15.02% | 426 |
| Lander | 59 | 46.83% | 32 | 25.40% | 22 | 17.46% | 13 | 10.32% | 27 | 21.43% | 126 |
| Lincoln | 55 | 49.55% | 9 | 8.11% | 29 | 26.13% | 18 | 16.22% | 26 | 23.42% | 111 |
| Lyon | 1,412 | 56.89% | 647 | 26.07% | 160 | 6.45% | 263 | 10.60% | 765 | 30.82% | 2,482 |
| Mineral | 135 | 54.22% | 46 | 18.47% | 40 | 16.06% | 28 | 11.24% | 89 | 35.75% | 249 |
| Nye | 1,548 | 62.65% | 473 | 19.14% | 184 | 7.45% | 266 | 10.77% | 1,075 | 43.51% | 2,471 |
| Pershing | 85 | 51.83% | 48 | 29.27% | 16 | 9.76% | 15 | 9.15% | 37 | 22.56% | 164 |
| Storey | 163 | 54.88% | 78 | 26.26% | 15 | 5.05% | 41 | 13.81% | 85 | 28.62% | 297 |
| Washoe | 21,655 | 55.17% | 13,802 | 35.16% | 1,333 | 3.40% | 2,461 | 6.27% | 7,853 | 20.01% | 39,251 |
| White Pine | 114 | 45.42% | 50 | 19.92% | 38 | 15.14% | 49 | 19.52% | 64 | 25.50% | 251 |
| Total | 118,831 | 63.27% | 44,849 | 23.88% | 7,502 | 3.99% | 16,636 | 8.86% | 73,982 | 39.39% | 187,818 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [41] | Tossup | October 29, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ [42] | Tossup | November 2, 2026 |
| Fox News [43] | Tossup | November 1, 2026 |
| Inside Elections [44] | Tossup | October 29, 2026 |
| NBC News [45] | Tossup | November 2, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics [46] | Tossup | November 1, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [47] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin [48] | Tossup | November 2, 2026 |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Lombardo (R) | Aaron Ford (D) | Other/ | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin [64] | September 5–26, 2026 | October 20, 2026 | 42.0% | 42.0% | 16.0% | Tie |
| Decision Desk HQ [65] | through October 25, 2026 | October 27, 2026 | 44.8% | 43.5% | 11.7% | Lombardo +1.3% |
| FiftyPlusOne [66] | through October 25, 2026 | October 27, 2026 | 44.8% | 45.5% | 9.7% | Ford +0.7% |
| RealClearPolitics [67] | September 5–26, 2026 | October 6, 2026 | 42.0% | 42.0% | 16.0% | Tie |
| Silver Bulletin [48] | through October 25, 2026 | October 27, 2026 | 45.1% | 44.6% | 10.3% | Lombardo +0.5% |
| Average | 43.7% | 43.5% | 12.8% | Lombardo +0.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Joe Lombardo (R) | Aaron Ford (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights [68] | October 26–28, 2026 | 487 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 2% [g] | 4% |
| Hart Research (D) [69] [B] | October 20–25, 2026 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | — | 6% |
| RedBox Research (D) [70] | October 20–23, 2026 | 1,407 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 46% | 8% | 4% |
| Global Strategy Group (D) [71] [C] | October 8–13, 2026 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | — | 5% |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) [72] [D] | September 26–30, 2026 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 43% | 42% | 7% | 8% |
| Noble Predictive Insights [73] | September 22–26, 2026 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 37% | 12% [h] | 13% |
| 708 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 40% | 10% [i] | 9% | ||
| Emerson College [74] | September 5–8, 2026 | 680 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 44% | 2% [j] | 11% |
| Tarrance Group (R) [75] [E] | July 25–29, 2026 | — (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 43% | — | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) [76] [F] | July 15–16, 2026 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | – | 12% |
| Grassroots Targeting (R) [75] [E] | July 8–6, 2026 | — (LV) | — | 52% | 40% | — | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) [75] [G] | June 27–29, 2026 | — (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | — | 7% |
| Primary elections | |||||||
| Global Strategy Group (D) [77] | May 5–11, 2026 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 42% | 5% [k] | 8% |
| Noble Predictive Insights [14] | March 10–13, 2026 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 38% | 6% [l] | 17% |
| Hart Research (D) [78] [H] | February 11–17, 2026 | 800 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| Emerson College [79] | November 16–18, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 41% | – | 18% |
| Noble Predictive Insights [80] | October 7–13, 2025 | 766 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 37% | – | 23% |
| Vote TXT [81] [I] | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | 30% | 7% [m] | 12% |
Irina Hansen vs. Aaron Ford
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Irina Hansen (R) | Aaron Ford (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights [14] | March 10–13, 2026 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 32% | 37% | 8% [n] | 23% |
Matthew Winterhawk vs. Aaron Ford
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Matthew Winterhawk (R) | Aaron Ford (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights [14] | March 10–13, 2026 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 37% | 8% [n] | 24% |
Jose Zalaya vs. Aaron Ford
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jose Zalaya (R) | Aaron Ford (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights [14] | March 10–13, 2026 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 30% | 36% | 9% [o] | 25% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Lombardo (incumbent) | ||||
| Democratic | Aaron Ford | ||||
| Independent | Danielle Ford | ||||
| None of These Candidates | |||||
| Total votes | 100.0 | ||||
Doñate, who has endorsed Ford, said he considered the wisdom of making a commitment at this early stage of the race, but says he likely would have heard from other interested candidates.